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When should the regulator be left alone in the commons? How fishing cooperatives can help ameliorate inefficiencies 何时应让监管者独享公共资源?渔业合作社如何帮助改善效率低下问题
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101434
Juan Rosas-Munoz , Ana Espinola-Arredondo , Felix Munoz-Garcia

This paper examines a common-pool resource where quotas and fines are set by a regulator, an artisanal organization (cooperative), or both. We analyze the interaction between these two regulatory agencies under a flexible policy regime, where quotas and fines can be revised across periods, and under an inflexible policy regime, where they cannot. We show that inefficiencies arise in the inflexible regime, but they are reduced when the two agencies coexist. Overall, we demonstrate that the artisanal organization may be preferred when environmental damages are low, but the regulator may be preferable otherwise.

本文研究了一种由监管机构、手工组织(合作社)或两者共同设定配额和罚款的共有资源。我们分析了这两个监管机构在灵活政策制度和非灵活政策制度下的互动情况。前者规定配额和罚款可以跨期修改,而后者规定配额和罚款不能跨期修改。我们发现,在缺乏灵活性的制度下,会出现效率低下的情况,但当两个机构同时存在时,效率就会降低。总之,我们证明,当环境损害较低时,个体组织可能更受欢迎,但在其他情况下,监管机构可能更受欢迎。
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引用次数: 0
Exclusion zones for renewable energy deployment: One man’s blessing, another man’s curse 可再生能源部署的禁区:一荣俱荣,一损俱损
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101419
Paul Lehmann , Philip Tafarte

Exclusion zones, like protected areas or setback distances, are the most common policy instrument to mitigate environmental impacts of human land-use, including the deployment of renewable energy sources (RES). However, exclusion zones may also increase generation and environmental costs of RES deployment. This paper aims to understand and quantify these trade-offs. Using a simple analytical model, we propose that cost effects of exclusion zones can be decomposed into a substitution effect (because RES generation is shifted to sites with higher or lower marginal costs) and an output effect (because more sites may be needed to attain a given RES generation target). We provide a numerical illustration for two examples of exclusion zones – setback distances to settlements and forest bans – which are implemented for wind power deployment in Germany. We find that moderate setback distances reduce disamenity costs but also lead to increases in generation and other environmental costs. This trade-off is primarily due to the output effect. Importantly, the output effect also implies that very restrictive setback distances may fail to reduce, and even increase, aggregate disamenity costs of wind power deployment. For forest bans, our analysis reveals substantial increases in disamenity costs. This trade-off mainly results from the substitution effect. Our analytical insights can be transferred to other fields of environmental policy, for example, exclusion zones regulating agricultural land-use or urban development.

禁区(如保护区或后退距离)是减轻人类土地利用(包括可再生能源的应用)对环境影响的最常见政策工具。然而,禁区也可能增加可再生能源利用的发电成本和环境成本。本文旨在了解并量化这些权衡。通过一个简单的分析模型,我们提出禁区的成本效应可分解为替代效应(因为可再生能源发电被转移到边际成本较高或较低的地点)和产出效应(因为可能需要更多地点来实现给定的可再生能源发电目标)。我们用数字说明了德国在风力发电部署中实施的两个禁区实例--与居民区的后退距离和森林禁令。我们发现,适度的后退距离可降低环境污染成本,但也会导致发电成本和其他环境成本的增加。这种权衡主要归因于产出效应。重要的是,输出效应还意味着,非常严格的后退距离可能无法降低,甚至会增加风电部署的总体不公平成本。对于森林禁令,我们的分析揭示了不公平成本的大幅增加。这种权衡主要源于替代效应。我们的分析见解可应用于环境政策的其他领域,例如规范农业用地或城市发展的禁区。
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引用次数: 0
The long-run value of electricity reliability in India 印度电力可靠性的长期价值
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101425
Shefali Khanna , Kevin Rowe

This paper evaluates residential consumers’ electricity consumption and appliance investment responses to power outages from 2015 to 2019 in Delhi, India. Our empirical strategy takes advantage of features of the electricity distribution network in the service territory of one of Delhi’s regulated distribution utilities that exposes similar customers to plausibly exogenous annual variation in electricity reliability. Using original household survey data and four years of billing and power outage records for more than one million customers, we estimate that an additional hour per month of power outages reduced electricity consumption by 4.8 percent. These estimates suggest that households are willing to pay USD 1.50 per kWh of lost consumption, which is more than 25 times the average price they pay for grid electricity.

本文评估了 2015 年至 2019 年印度德里居民消费者的电力消费和家电投资对停电的反应。我们的实证策略利用了德里一家受监管的配电公司服务区域内配电网络的特点,使类似客户面临电力可靠性方面看似外生的年度变化。利用原始的家庭调查数据以及超过 100 万用户的四年账单和停电记录,我们估计每月多停电一小时,用电量就会减少 4.8%。这些估算表明,家庭愿意为每千瓦时的用电损失支付 1.50 美元,这是他们为电网用电支付的平均价格的 25 倍以上。
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引用次数: 0
Discrete-continuous models of residential energy demand: A comprehensive review 住宅能源需求的离散-连续模型:全面回顾
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101426
Michael Hanemann , Xavier Labandeira , José M. Labeaga , Felipe Vásquez-Lavín

This paper reviews forty years of research applying econometric models of discrete-continuous choice to analyze residential demand for energy. The review is primarily from the perspective of economic theory. We examine how well the utility-theoretic models developed in the literature match data that is commonly available on residential energy use, and we highlight the modeling challenges that have arisen through efforts to match theory with data. The literature contains two different formalizations of a corner solution. The first, by Dubin and McFadden (1984) and Hanemann (1984), models an extreme corner solution, in which only one of the discrete choice alternatives is chosen. While those papers share similarities, they also have some differences which have not been noticed or exposited in the literature. Subsequently, a formulation first implemented by Wales and Woodland (1983) and extended by Kim et al. (2002) and Bhat (2008) models a general corner solution, where several but not all of the discrete choice alternatives are chosen. Seventeen papers have employed one or another of these models to analyze residential demand for fuels and/or energy end uses in a variety of countries. We review issues that arose in these applications and identify some alternative model formulations that can be used in future work on residential energy demand.

本文回顾了四十年来应用离散-连续选择计量经济学模型分析居民能源需求的研究成果。本文主要从经济理论的角度进行回顾。我们考察了文献中建立的效用理论模型与通常可用的住宅能源使用数据的匹配程度,并强调了理论与数据匹配过程中出现的建模挑战。文献中包含两种不同的角解决方案形式。第一种是 Dubin 和 McFadden(1984 年)以及 Hanemann(1984 年)提出的极端拐角解决方案模型,即只选择离散选择中的一种。虽然这两篇论文有相似之处,但它们也有一些不同之处,而这些不同之处尚未在文献中得到注意或阐述。随后,Wales 和 Woodland(1983 年)首先提出了一个公式,Kim 等人(2002 年)和 Bhat(2008 年)对其进行了扩展,建立了一个一般拐角解模型,在这个模型中,会选择多个离散选择方案,但不会选择所有方案。有 17 篇论文采用了这些模型中的一种或另一种来分析各国居民对燃料和/或能源终端用途的需求。我们回顾了这些应用中出现的问题,并确定了一些可用于未来住宅能源需求研究的替代模型公式。
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引用次数: 0
Effectiveness of electric vehicle subsidies in China: A three-dimensional panel study 中国电动汽车补贴的有效性:三维面板研究
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101424
Tong Zhang , Paul J. Burke , Qi Wang

Electric vehicles (EVs) are likely to emerge as the main means of zero-emission road transport. China has used a variety of policy approaches to encourage EV adoption, including vehicle purchase subsidies. This study uses a three-dimensional dataset to estimate the effect of purchase subsidies for domestic EVs on adoption in 316 cities in China over January 2016–December 2019. An instrumental variable approach that utilizes the timing of the cancellation of local subsidies by the central government is pursued. The findings suggest that purchase subsidies for domestic EVs have led to a sizeable increase in uptake, but have discouraged uptake of imported EVs. Higher consumer awareness of the subsidies is associated with a larger proportional effect on uptake of domestically-produced vehicles. We estimate that increases in the per-vehicle subsidy rate have on average reduced carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions at a marginal subsidy cost of about 4453 CNY (US$712) per tonne, which is high. However other benefits, including long-run benefits from the emergence of a new clean technology sector, may be substantial.

电动汽车(EV)很可能成为零排放道路运输的主要手段。中国采用了多种政策方法来鼓励电动汽车的采用,其中包括购车补贴。本研究使用三维数据集估算了 2016 年 1 月至 2019 年 12 月期间,国产电动汽车购车补贴对中国 316 个城市采用电动汽车的影响。采用工具变量法,利用中央政府取消地方补贴的时间点进行估算。研究结果表明,对国产电动汽车的购买补贴大幅提高了电动汽车的使用率,但却阻碍了进口电动汽车的使用。消费者对补贴的认知度越高,对国产汽车使用率的影响比例就越大。我们估计,提高每辆车的补贴率平均减少了二氧化碳排放量,边际补贴成本约为每吨 4453 元人民币(712 美元),补贴率较高。然而,其他效益,包括新清洁技术行业的出现所带来的长期效益,可能是巨大的。
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引用次数: 0
Climate policy with electricity trade 气候政策与电力贸易
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101422
Stefan Ambec , Yuting Yang

Trade reduces the effectiveness of climate policies such as carbon pricing when domestic products are replaced by more carbon-intensive imports. We investigate the impact of unilateral carbon pricing on electricity generation in a country open to trade through interconnection lines. We characterize the energy mix with intermittent renewable sources of energy (wind or solar power). Electricity trade limits the penetration of renewables due to trade-induced competition. A carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) removes this limit by increasing the cost of imported power, or by deterring imports. The CBAM must be complemented by a subsidy on renewables to increase renewable generation above domestic consumption. The interconnection line is then used to export power rather than importing it when renewables are producing. We also examine network pricing and investment into interconnection capacity. A higher carbon price increases interconnection investment which further reduces the effectiveness of carbon pricing. In contrast, when renewable electricity is exported, a higher subsidy on renewables reduces further carbon emissions by expanding interconnection capacity.

当国内产品被碳密集度更高的进口产品取代时,贸易会降低碳定价等气候政策的有效性。我们研究了单边碳定价对一个通过互联线路开放贸易的国家发电量的影响。我们用间歇性可再生能源(风能或太阳能)来描述能源组合。由于贸易引发的竞争,电力贸易限制了可再生能源的渗透。碳边界调整机制(CBAM)通过增加进口电力的成本或阻止进口来消除这一限制。碳边界调整机制必须辅之以可再生能源补贴,以增加可再生能源发电量,使其高于国内消费量。这样,当可再生能源发电时,互联线路就被用来出口电力,而不是进口电力。我们还研究了网络定价和对互联容量的投资。较高的碳价格会增加互联投资,从而进一步降低碳定价的有效性。相反,当可再生能源电力被出口时,对可再生能源的更高补贴可通过扩大互联容量进一步减少碳排放。
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引用次数: 0
Energy transition and climate change abatement: A macroeconomic analysis 能源转型与减少气候变化:宏观经济分析
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101423
Lucas Bretschger

The paper integrates the characteristics of regenerative energies into a dynamic macroeconomic model with climate change. Learning and economies of scale in new energy moderate the cost of emissions reductions and increase the speed of decarbonization. I provide closed-form analytical solutions for the development of regenerative energies, emissions, consumption, and population. The elasticity of substitution between clean and dirty energy inputs, stringency of climate policy, and potential raw material scarcity constitute critical conditions for reaching carbon neutrality by 2050. I find that a timely carbon phase-out requires sufficient substitution in the energy sector, continued learning and scale effects in regenerative energies, and active climate policy, which is indispensable even with enormous cost degression of regenerative energies. Raw material scarcity induced by regenerative energy use slows down the transition but can be overcompensated by more stringent climate policy at a moderate economic cost.

本文将再生能源的特点纳入了一个包含气候变化的动态宏观经济模型。新能源的学习和规模经济可降低减排成本,提高去碳化速度。我为再生能源的发展、排放、消费和人口提供了闭式分析解决方案。清洁和肮脏能源投入之间的替代弹性、气候政策的严格程度以及潜在的原材料稀缺性构成了到 2050 年实现碳中和的关键条件。我发现,要实现及时的碳淘汰,需要能源部门的充分替代、再生能源的持续学习和规模效应,以及积极的气候政策,而即使再生能源的成本大幅下降,积极的气候政策也是不可或缺的。再生能源使用引起的原材料稀缺会减缓过渡进程,但可以通过更严格的气候政策以适度的经济成本加以弥补。
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引用次数: 0
Economic impacts of reducing methane emissions in British Columbia’s oil and natural gas sectors: Taxes vs technology standards 减少不列颠哥伦比亚省石油和天然气行业甲烷排放的经济影响:税收与技术标准
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101421
Mallory Long , Patrick Withey , Dave Risk , Van Lantz , Chinmay Sharma

As countries reduce greenhouse gas emissions to fight the potential impacts of climate change, increasing attention is being paid to methane, which is roughly 34 times more potent than CO2 over a 100-year time span. Governments in many jurisdictions aim to reduce methane by 45–75% in oil and gas sectors by 2030. Methane reductions are often achieved by implementing new technologies and operational techniques, but jurisdictions have discussed the implementation of a methane tax. While several studies have focused on the financial costs of reducing methane emissions through adopting new technologies, little information exists on the economy-wide impacts of these initiatives and the effectiveness of different policy tools. We develop a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for British Columbia, Canada, to evaluate the economy wide impacts of methane technology standards versus taxes. Findings indicate that methane can be reduced by 75% by 2030 using technology standards at a loss of 0.0089% of GDP in 2030. Impacts associated with a methane tax will range from a loss of 0.0071–0.18% in 2030, depending on whether new technologies are assumed to be adopted. If a sufficiently high methane tax incentivizes adoption of new technology, the negative impacts of a tax are lower than that of a standard once the policy is fully implemented. While the overall economy-wide impact of a technology standard is relatively low, we find that it is as much as 65% higher than the direct costs.

随着各国减少温室气体排放以应对气候变化的潜在影响,甲烷受到越来越多的关注,在 100 年的时间跨度内,甲烷的效力大约是二氧化碳的 34 倍。许多国家政府的目标是到 2030 年将石油和天然气行业的甲烷排放量减少 45-75%。甲烷减排通常通过实施新技术和操作技术来实现,但各辖区也讨论过甲烷税的实施。虽然有几项研究侧重于通过采用新技术减少甲烷排放的财务成本,但有关这些举措对整个经济的影响以及不同政策工具的有效性的信息却很少。我们为加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省建立了一个动态可计算一般均衡模型,以评估甲烷技术标准与税收对整个经济的影响。研究结果表明,到 2030 年,采用技术标准可将甲烷排放量减少 75%,而 2030 年的 GDP 损失为 0.0089%。与甲烷税相关的影响将在 2030 年损失 0.0071-0.18% 不等,这取决于是否假定会采用新技术。如果足够高的甲烷税能激励新技术的采用,那么一旦政策全面实施,甲烷税的负面影响将低于标准税。虽然技术标准对整个经济的影响相对较低,但我们发现它比直接成本高出 65%。
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引用次数: 0
Pollution-induced migration and environmental policy in an economic geography model 经济地理模型中由污染引起的移民和环境政策
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101420
María Victoria Caballero , María Pilar Martínez-García , José R. Morales

This paper develops a two-region New Economic Geography model with polluting firms subject to regional abatement policies. Pollution accumulates in the local environment and decreases the welfare of the population. We show that environmental policies have two opposing effects on welfare: they reduce nominal wages and increase environmental quality. If environmental regulations are equally strict in the two regions then population, pollution and wages tend to converge as trade becomes more open. If the two regions have different but unambitious environmental regulations, firms agglomerate in the laxer region, which becomes a pollution haven. However, a sufficiently far-reaching environmental policy in one of the regions raises its environmental quality, increasing its attractiveness for population and firms, and the emergence of a pollution haven is avoided. We also show that if the natural absorption rate of pollution is low, the environment recovers slowly, population and firms move between regions in a pollute-and-flee cycle and no static equilibrium is reached.

本文建立了一个两地区新经济地理模型,模型中的污染企业受地区减排政策的制约。污染会在当地环境中累积,并降低人口的福利。我们表明,环境政策对福利有两种相反的影响:降低名义工资和提高环境质量。如果两个地区的环境法规同样严格,那么随着贸易的日益开放,人口、污染和工资会趋于一致。如果两个地区的环境法规不同但都不严格,那么企业就会向较宽松的地区聚集,而后者就会成为污染的天堂。然而,如果其中一个地区的环境政策具有足够深远的意义,就会提高其环境质量,增加其对人口和企业的吸引力,从而避免出现污染天堂。我们还表明,如果污染的自然吸收率较低,环境恢复缓慢,人口和企业就会在污染-逃离循环中在地区间流动,不会达到静态平衡。
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引用次数: 0
The energy transition: A balancing act 能源转型:一种平衡行为
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2023.101408
Natalia Fabra , Mar Reguant

As the need for drastic reductions in global greenhouse gas emissions becomes increasingly urgent, governments and policymakers are developing proposals for climate change policies that aim to achieve net-zero emissions. However, the challenge lies in determining the most effective way to operationalize this transformation. While cost efficiency is often emphasized as a desirable property, experience shows that it is neither necessary nor sufficient to achieve a desirable policy portfolio. Instead, we advocate for a broader definition of economic efficiency: policies must also be feasible, fair, effective, and credible. Trade-offs between these criteria are common, and must be balanced to create a successful policy portfolio. The European experience provides interesting case studies with which to illustrate these efficiency dimensions and their implications.

随着大幅减少全球温室气体排放的需求日益迫切,各国政府和政策制定者正在制定旨在实现净零排放的气候变化政策建议。然而,挑战在于确定实现这种转换的最有效方法。虽然成本效率经常被强调为一种理想的特性,但经验表明,要实现理想的政策组合,成本效率既不是必要的,也不是充分的。相反,我们主张对经济效率进行更广泛的定义:政策也必须是可行的、公平的、有效的和可信的。这些标准之间的权衡是常见的,必须加以平衡,才能创建成功的政策组合。欧洲的经验提供了有趣的案例研究,用以说明这些效率维度及其影响。
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引用次数: 1
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Resource and Energy Economics
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