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Does quantity matter for distance decay? Evidence from two choice experiments on urban green 数量对距离衰减有影响吗?城市绿化两项选择实验的证据
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101472
Malte Welling , Jette Bredahl Jacobsen , Søren Bøye Olsen , Thomas Lundhede
The value of environmental goods to individuals often depends on spatial features such as distance. The most common approach of accounting for distance decay is to model utility as some function of distance. It has been suggested to instead model the value as a function of the quantity of an environmental good within a certain distance. We develop three novel quantity-within-distance models that may be more suited for evaluating quantity changes in an environmental good. We argue that these models could capture spatial patterns better than distance-based models when i) secondary benefits are a relevant source of welfare, ii) the environmental change is spatially scattered, iii) the distribution of the endowment, i.e. the present availability of the environmental good, matters. Using data from choice experiments on the extension of green space and trees in two urban areas, we compare required assumptions, model fit, and size and precision of aggregated welfare estimates. Our results indicate limited differences in model fit. However, the quantity-within-distance models consistently produce aggregate welfare estimates roughly half of common distance decay models and have narrower confidence intervals. While it is not possible to infer which is more accurate, the large differences can have considerable policy implications.
环境产品对个人的价值往往取决于距离等空间特征。考虑距离衰减的最常见方法是将效用建模为距离的某种函数。有人建议将价值建模为一定距离内环境产品数量的函数。我们开发了三种新的距离内数量模型,它们可能更适合于评估环境产品的数量变化。我们认为,在以下情况下,这些模型比基于距离的模型更能捕捉到空间格局:1)次生效益是福利的相关来源;2)环境变化在空间上是分散的;3)禀赋的分布(即环境产品的当前可用性)很重要。利用两个城市绿地和树木扩展的选择实验数据,我们比较了所需的假设、模型拟合以及总福利估计的大小和精度。我们的结果表明,模型拟合的差异有限。然而,距离内数量模型始终产生的总福利估计大约是普通距离衰减模型的一半,并且具有更窄的置信区间。虽然不可能推断出哪个更准确,但巨大的差异可能会产生相当大的政策影响。
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引用次数: 0
The role of bureaucratic incentives in the effectiveness of environmental regulations: Evidence from China 官僚激励在环境法规有效性中的作用:来自中国的证据
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101474
Haowei Yu , Guanglai Zhang , Ning Zhang
The Key Cities for Air Pollution Control (KCAPC) program is one of China’s earliest and most important target-based environmental policies, launched in 2002 to address the country’s severe air pollution issue. However, the effectiveness of the program is still largely unknown. This paper examines the impact of the KCAPC program on sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions, with an emphasis on the role of bureaucratic incentives. We find that the program reduced SO2 emissions by 12.19%–13.84% at the city level and by 11.22%–13.50% at the firm level. We also find that local governments shut down highly polluting firms, promoted greener production and enhanced environmental regulation in order to meet environmental targets set by the program. However, we find that the KCAPC program was only effective in cities where the mayor has a promotion incentive and is not incentivized to collude with polluting firms. Our findings point to the importance of bureaucratic incentives in governing the effectiveness of environmental regulations in localities.
大气污染控制重点城市(KCAPC)计划是中国最早也是最重要的以目标为基础的环境政策之一,于2002年启动,旨在解决该国严重的空气污染问题。然而,该计划的有效性在很大程度上仍然是未知的。本文考察了KCAPC计划对二氧化硫(SO2)排放的影响,重点是官僚激励的作用。我们发现,该计划在城市层面减少了12.19%-13.84%的二氧化硫排放量,在企业层面减少了11.22%-13.50%。我们还发现,地方政府关闭了高污染企业,促进了绿色生产,加强了环境监管,以实现该计划设定的环境目标。然而,我们发现KCAPC计划仅在市长有晋升激励且不鼓励与污染企业勾结的城市有效。我们的研究结果指出了官僚激励在地方环境法规有效性管理中的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
The relevance of non-state climate protection activities as motivation for individual climate protection: Results from a framed field experiment 非国家气候保护活动作为个人气候保护动机的相关性:一个有框架的实地实验的结果
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101473
Marvin Gleue, Theresa Luigs, Andreas Ziegler
Previous studies on leading by example have shown how an actor contributing to a public good first can increase the contribution of following actors in social dilemma situations. This paper empirically examines how leading by example of non-state actors, which are key to the transition to a low-carbon society, affects individual climate protection. Specifically, we consider the causal effect of providing information about the past climate protection activities of two non-state actors on donations for climate protection through an incentivized donation scheme. Based on data from a survey of 671 students, we conducted a framed field experiment using different information treatments about climate protection activities of the university and city of residence of the participants. Although our treatments successfully influence beliefs about the climate protection activities of both non-state actors, these beliefs do not significantly increase the individual contributions to climate protection in either treatment group. The analysis of heterogeneity in treatment effects reveals that informing students about climate protection activities of the city significantly increases climate protection activities among individuals with low prior beliefs about the role of cities in climate protection. In contrast, no such heterogeneity is observed for the university. Finally, individual identification with a non-state actor and environmental attitudes do not significantly moderate the treatment effects. These results contrast somewhat with previous studies on the effectiveness of leading by example measures and suggest that a broader understanding of the leader-follower relationship is needed for non-state actors to effectively promote individual climate protection.
以往关于以身作则的研究表明,在社会困境中,首先为公共产品做出贡献的行为者如何增加后续行为者的贡献。本文实证研究了作为向低碳社会转型关键的非国家行为体的表率如何影响个人的气候保护。具体而言,我们考虑了通过激励捐赠方案提供两个非国家行为体过去气候保护活动信息对气候保护捐赠的因果效应。基于对671名大学生的调查数据,采用不同的信息处理方式,对大学生所在学校和居住城市的气候保护活动进行了框架式的实地实验。虽然我们的治疗成功地影响了两个非国家行为者对气候保护活动的信念,但这些信念并没有显著增加任何一个治疗组对气候保护的个人贡献。处理效果的异质性分析表明,告知学生城市气候保护活动显著增加了对城市气候保护作用的低先验信念个体的气候保护活动。相比之下,大学没有观察到这种异质性。最后,个体对非国家行为者的认同和环境态度对治疗效果没有显著的调节作用。这些结果与之前关于以身作则措施有效性的研究形成了一定的对比,表明非国家行为体需要更广泛地理解领导者-追随者关系,以有效促进个人气候保护。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental regulation and tax evasion when the regulator has incomplete information 环境监管与逃税时的监管者信息不完全
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101475
Francisco Cabo, Guiomar Martín-Herrán, Laís Ramos
This paper analyzes the dynamic interaction between an environmental regulator and a polluting firm in a stock pollution Stackelberg game, where the regulator acts as the leader and the firm as the follower. The firm must determine the emissions required for production and pay a tax based on its reported emissions. The regulator chooses this tax on emissions to induce more environmentally respectful behavior of the firm. Evasion, defined as the gap between real and reported emissions can be discouraged using a fine. A central assumption in our analysis is that the regulator has incomplete information regarding the firm’s objective function. The regulator does not know, but conjectures, how afraid the firm is of the fine for fraud. Based on this conjecture, the regulator estimates the firm’s best-response functions and determines the tax. We compare the results when the regulator is accurate or misguided. Interestingly we find that when the regulator overestimates the firm’s fear of the fine for fraud, social welfare can be greater than when he accurately estimates it.
本文分析了在存量污染博弈中,环境监管者作为领导者,企业作为追随者,环境监管者与污染企业之间的动态互动。企业必须确定生产所需的排放量,并根据其报告的排放量纳税。监管机构选择这种排放税是为了促使企业采取更尊重环境的行为。逃税,定义为实际排放量和报告排放量之间的差距,可以通过罚款来阻止。我们分析中的一个中心假设是,监管机构对公司的目标函数信息不完全。监管机构不知道,但可以推测,该公司有多害怕因欺诈而被罚款。基于这一猜想,监管机构估计公司的最佳反应函数并确定税收。当调节器准确或被误导时,我们比较结果。有趣的是,我们发现,当监管者高估公司对欺诈罚款的恐惧时,社会福利可能比他准确估计时更大。
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引用次数: 0
Accounting for baseline individual and site characteristics when estimating recreational demand for specialized activities 在估计专业活动的娱乐需求时,考虑个人和场地的基线特征
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101464
Robert Fonner, Leif Anderson
This article develops a demand model of recreational steelhead fishing to estimate how changes in catch rates and the percentage of catch of wild (vs. hatchery) origin influence angler welfare. Demand models of recreational fishing often rely on discrete choice experiments that are centered on the overall average attribute levels experienced within a fishery. In contrast, many recreational fisheries are characterized by heterogeneous anglers facing heterogeneous consideration sets and attribute levels experienced at given sites. Within the context of the steelhead fishery of Washington State, USA, we conducted a discrete choice experiment that closely mirrored the actual levels of catch rates experienced and locations used by individuals. The experiment varied catch rates and the percentage of steelhead that were of wild (vs. hatchery) origin. Estimated mean willingness-to-pay for a change in catch rates was an order of magnitude larger than mean willingness-to-pay for proportional changes in the percent of steelhead catch that was wild, indicating that catch rates were the primary determinant of behavior. The effects of both attributes depended on the catch- and location-specific baselines experienced by anglers.
本文建立了一个休闲捕捞钢头鱼的需求模型,以估计捕捞率和野生(与孵化场)捕捞比例的变化如何影响垂钓者的福利。休闲钓鱼的需求模型通常依赖于离散选择实验,这些实验以渔业中经历的总体平均属性水平为中心。相比之下,许多休闲渔业的特点是,在给定地点面临异质考虑集和属性水平的异质垂钓者。在美国华盛顿州的钢头渔业的背景下,我们进行了一个离散选择实验,该实验密切反映了实际的捕捞率水平和个体使用的位置。实验改变了捕捞率和野生(与孵化场)来源的钢头的百分比。估计平均支付意愿对捕捞率变化的支付意愿比平均支付意愿对野生钢头捕捞比例变化的支付意愿大一个数量级,这表明捕捞率是行为的主要决定因素。这两种属性的影响取决于垂钓者所经历的渔获量和特定位置基线。
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引用次数: 0
Observability and stakeholder conflict in resources management 资源管理中的可观察性和涉众冲突
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101465
Jorge Holzer , Geret DePiper , Elizabeth N. Brooks
Heuristic learning from personal experience is hard-wired in humans, but overreliance on experiential samples may lead to biased beliefs when such samples are not representative of the population. Prominent examples include skepticism towards climate change and an increasingly vocal anti-vaccine movement. In turn, biased beliefs may lead to stakeholder conflict when different parties hold competing views of reality and financial stakes are high. In this paper we focus on the commercial fishing industry. We develop a theoretical model to study harvesters’ incentives to challenge the science that informs management when the claims of official science are at odds with their personal experience. In the empirical application, the case of the Georges Bank cod fishery, we estimate the distribution of extra profits industry would expect to earn if their view of science were incorporated into policy. Our findings show strong incentives to lobby for lax regulations even when harvesters hold relatively low confidence in their own beliefs. An impatient industry would have strong incentives to challenge the official science. While the stock would eventually collapse in this scenario, leading to welfare losses, the crash of the cod population would take time. The industry’s overreliance on first-hand observations will ultimately undermine its own interests. This paper highlights the importance of effectively communicating and translating the technical aspects of science to the relevant audiences, particularly those directly impacted by its use in policy.
从个人经验中启发式学习是人类固有的,但当这些样本不能代表总体时,过度依赖经验样本可能会导致偏见。突出的例子包括对气候变化的怀疑和越来越大声的反疫苗运动。反过来,当不同的各方对现实持有不同的观点时,有偏见的信念可能会导致利益相关者冲突,而且经济利益很高。在本文中,我们关注的是商业渔业。我们开发了一个理论模型来研究当官方科学的主张与他们的个人经验不一致时,采矿者挑战告知管理层的科学的动机。在实证应用中,以乔治银行鳕鱼渔业为例,我们估计了如果他们的科学观点被纳入政策,行业将期望获得的额外利润的分布。我们的研究结果表明,即使采矿者对自己的信仰相对缺乏信心,他们也有强烈的动机游说宽松的监管。一个没有耐心的行业会有强烈的动机去挑战官方的科学。虽然在这种情况下,鳕鱼的数量最终会崩溃,导致福利损失,但鳕鱼数量的崩溃需要时间。该行业对第一手观察的过度依赖最终会损害自身利益。这篇论文强调了将科学的技术方面有效地传播和翻译给相关受众的重要性,特别是那些直接受其在政策中的使用影响的受众。
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引用次数: 0
The emerging endgame: The EU ETS on the road towards climate neutrality 即将到来的最后阶段:欧盟排放交易体系在通往气候中和的道路上
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101476
Michael Pahle , Simon Quemin , Sebastian Osorio , Claudia Günther , Robert Pietzcker
The 2023 reform of the EU emissions trading system (ETS) has brought to the forefront the issue of allowance market functioning in the long run. With the emissions cap set to go down to zero by around 2040, the next decade can be said to mark the ‘ETS endgame’. That is, when allowance supply approaches zero, the market is bound to undergo fundamental changes. Yet the understanding and modeling of terminal market dynamics with ever-increasing allowance scarcity is limited. We analyze possible changes in market conditions and behaviors, and discuss associated challenges in two steps. First, we use the numerical model LIMES-EU to illuminate the market dynamics instigated by the reform, i.e. key changes in allowance price formation, supply adjustment and abatement by sector. Second, we use our numerical results as a backdrop to identify potential frictions (financial, informational, distributional) that may arise or become exacerbated as the endgame unfolds. Besides shedding light on whether the ETS is fit for climate neutrality, these frictions further delineate avenues for future research to improve the understanding and modeling of emissions trading in the long run.
2023年欧盟排放交易体系(ETS)改革将配额市场的长期运作问题带到了最前沿。由于排放上限将在2040年左右降至零,未来十年可以说是“排放交易体系的终结期”。也就是说,当配额供给接近于零时,市场必然会发生根本性的变化。然而,随着配额稀缺性的不断增加,对终端市场动态的理解和建模是有限的。我们分析了市场条件和行为可能发生的变化,并分两个步骤讨论了相关的挑战。首先,我们使用数值模型lime - eu来阐明改革引发的市场动态,即各部门配额价格形成、供应调整和减排的关键变化。其次,我们使用我们的数字结果作为背景,以确定潜在的摩擦(财务、信息、分配),这些摩擦可能会随着最后阶段的展开而出现或加剧。除了揭示排放交易体系是否适合气候中和之外,这些摩擦还进一步为未来的研究描绘了途径,以提高对长期排放交易的理解和建模。
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引用次数: 0
Spreading the word! Effects of a randomized normative informational campaign on residential water conservation 传播信息!随机规范宣传活动对居民节水的影响
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101463
Jose D. Lopez-Rivas
This paper reports the direct and spillover effects of a norm-based informational campaign on residential water usage. I follow a two-stage randomized saturation design to produce and measure interference within utilities. A percentage of households within utilities is targeted to receive periodic reports comparing their usage to neighbors' average, while the rest are left untreated to measure spillover effects. I find targeted and spillover households reduced their water usage compared to the control group, with average reductions of 8.2 % and 5.6 %, respectively. I also find that the campaign’s effects depend on the number of targeted households within a utility, the feedback frequency, baseline water usage, and the proximity to other directly treated households. The findings shed light on the efficacy of leveraging social influence and norms to foster environmentally responsible behaviors.
本文报告了基于规范的宣传活动对居民用水的直接影响和溢出效应。我采用两阶段随机饱和设计来产生和测量公用事业内部的干扰。公用事业单位内的一部分家庭被锁定为定期报告的接收对象,他们会将自己的用水量与邻居的平均用水量进行比较,而其他家庭则不被锁定,以衡量溢出效应。我发现,与对照组相比,目标家庭和溢出家庭的用水量都有所下降,平均降幅分别为 8.2% 和 5.6%。我还发现,活动的效果取决于公用事业中目标家庭的数量、反馈频率、基线用水量以及与其他直接接受治疗家庭的距离。这些发现揭示了利用社会影响和规范来培养对环境负责的行为的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal fisheries management and the response to price changes 最佳渔业管理和对价格变化的反应
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101461
Eric Nævdal

The literature on how price changes affect optimally managed fisheries is mostly concerned with how fish stocks and harvest rates are affected in steady state. There is little published on how prices affect optimal harvest rates at stock levels outside of steady state. Here we show the effect of an unanticipated and permanent price increase. It is shown that in a model of a pure schooling fishery, if the stock is below the steady state, it is optimal to harvest less if the price goes up and vice versa. It is also shown that in a model with stock dependent harvest costs, the optimal response to a price increase is to reduce the harvest rate for low stock levels even if the optimal harvest rate increases close to the steady state. Empirical relevance is demonstrated by illustrating the theoretical results in an estimated model.

关于价格变化如何影响优化管理的渔业的文献主要涉及鱼类种群和捕捞率在稳态下如何受到影响。关于价格如何影响稳定状态外鱼类种群水平下的最佳捕捞率的文献很少。在此,我们展示了意外和永久性价格上涨的影响。结果表明,在纯洄游渔场模型中,如果鱼量低于稳定状态,价格上涨时最佳捕捞量是减少,反之亦然。研究还表明,在一个捕捞成本取决于种群的模型中,对价格上涨的最佳反应是降低低种群水平的捕捞率,即使最佳捕捞率在接近稳定状态时会增加。通过在一个估计模型中说明理论结果,证明了该模型与经验的相关性。
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引用次数: 0
Delegation of environmental regulation and perceived corruption in South Africa 南非环境监管权力下放与腐败印象
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101462
Pedro Naso
I study the drivers of a reduction in the discretionary power of environmental inspectors and the impact that such reduction has on firms’ perceptions. I examine the transition from the Air Pollution Protection Act of 1965 to the Air Quality Act of 2005 (AQA), a change from full to partial delegation of regulation in South Africa. By constructing a principal–agent model, I propose a theoretical explanation for why a society would restrict environmental inspectors’ discretionary power. I then use my theoretical model to discuss the air quality regulation transition in South Africa. I suggest that the transition might have occurred because of increases in inspectors’ rent-seeking motivation and capacity of appropriating rents after the end of Apartheid. Using microdata, I run difference-in-differences models in a two-period panel with 191 South African firms to show that the implementation of the AQA decreases affected firms’ perceived corruption, but does not change perceptions on obtaining licences and on the functioning of courts. My work indicates that national governments in developing countries should consider the characteristics of the agents who are implementing regulation, and the system they are embedded in, when designing environmental regulation.
我研究了环境检查员自由裁量权减少的动因,以及这种减少对企业看法的影响。我研究了南非从 1965 年《空气污染保护法》到 2005 年《空气质量法》(AQA)的转变,即从完全授权到部分授权的转变。通过构建一个委托代理模型,我提出了一个理论解释,说明为什么一个社会会限制环境检查员的自由裁量权。然后,我利用我的理论模型来讨论南非的空气质量监管转型。我认为,过渡的发生可能是由于种族隔离结束后检查员寻租动机的增强和侵占租金能力的提高。利用微观数据,我在一个包含 191 家南非企业的两期面板中运行了差异模型,结果表明,实施 AQA 降低了受影响企业对腐败的感知,但并没有改变对获得许可证和法院运作的看法。我的研究表明,发展中国家的政府在制定环境法规时,应考虑实施法规的主体的特点以及他们所处的系统。
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引用次数: 0
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Resource and Energy Economics
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