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Exclude with Impunity: Personalized Indexing and Stock Restrictions 排除免责:个性化索引和股票限制
3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1080/0015198x.2023.2258061
Yin Chen, Roni Israelov
Using simulated historical backtests, we study the impact of stock exclusions on the performance of passive and active portfolios. We find that at low to moderate numbers, stock exclusions have very little influence on passive portfolios. Their effects on active portfolios vary by the factor in consideration and the portfolio construction method, but the magnitudes are much smaller than suggested by the percentage of stocks being excluded. We find similar patterns with industry-concentrated exclusions. Overall, our results suggest that investors should feel comfortable excluding a fairly large number of stocks before experiencing any significant deterioration in their investment performance.
通过模拟历史回测,我们研究了股票排除对被动和主动投资组合绩效的影响。我们发现,在低至中等的数字,股票排除对被动投资组合的影响很小。它们对积极投资组合的影响因所考虑的因素和投资组合构建方法而异,但其影响程度远小于被排除在外的股票百分比所显示的影响程度。我们在行业集中的排除中发现了类似的模式。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,在投资者的投资业绩出现任何显著恶化之前,排除相当多的股票应该感到舒服。
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引用次数: 0
Are All Short-Term Institutional Investors Informed? 所有短期机构投资者都被告知了吗?
3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1080/0015198x.2023.2259287
Mustafa O. Caglayan, Umut Celiker, Mete Tepe
AbstractWe examine whether being a hedge fund has any differential effect on the previously documented empirical relation between investment horizon and informativeness of institutional investors’ trades. We find that the positive and significant relation between short-term institutional demand and future stock returns exists only among hedge funds, while such relation does not exist for non–hedge fund institutions with short investment horizons. We also provide evidence that our results are not driven by (false) presumptions that hedge funds represent the majority of short-term institutional investors or that hedge fund demand constitute the lion’s share of the short-term institutional demand.Keywords: hedge fundsshort-term institutional investorsturnoverPL Credits: 2.0 Disclosure statementThe authors have no conflict of interest to declare. This article presents the authors’ opinions and not those of Northern Trust Corporation, its affiliates, clients, or employees. All errors are the sole responsibility of the authors.AcknowledgmentsWe thank Vikas Agarwal for sharing with us a comprehensive list of hedge funds that file 13F holdings. We also thank Kent Daniel and Kenneth French for making a large amount of data publicly available in their online data library.Notes1 In addition to these articles that provide evidence of a positive relation between short-term investment horizon and future stock returns, there are a few studies that show the contrary. For example, Cremers and Pareek (Citation2016) find that funds trading frequently generally underperform, drawing a negative cross-sectional relation between turnover and performance. Similarly, Chakrabarty, Moulton, and Trzcinka (Citation2017) show that majority of short-term institutional trades lose money.2 We differ from this literature in a significant way by working on a more refined sample in 13F. Specifically, we first divide the institutional investors as short-term and long-term institutional investors as in Yan and Zhang (Citation2009), and later we divide each group further into two groups as hedge funds and non–hedge funds. Thus, we analyze the performance of four groups of institutional investors’ trades: short-term hedge funds, short-term non–hedge funds, long-term hedge funds, and long-term non–hedge funds. Out of these four groups, we find that only the trades of short-term hedge funds predict future stock returns.3 In terms of the distribution of sources in identifying the 13F-filing hedge funds among all institutions in our sample, the union database covers approximately 90% of our 13F-filing hedge fund sample. An additional 6% of the sample comes from ADV filings. The other three criteria combined (industry publications, company websites, and news articles in Factiva) constitute the remaining 4% of our 13F-filing hedge fund sample.4 Agarwal, Fos, and Jiang (Citation2013), similarly detect 23% (1,199 out of 5,188) of all 13F-filing institutions as hedge funds during their sample p
摘要本文考察了对冲基金对机构投资者投资期限与交易信息性之间的实证关系是否存在差异效应。我们发现,短期机构需求与未来股票收益之间存在显著的正相关关系,而对于投资期限较短的非对冲基金机构,这种关系不存在。我们还提供证据表明,我们的结果不是由(错误的)假设驱动的,即对冲基金代表了大多数短期机构投资者,或者对冲基金需求构成了短期机构需求的大部分。关键词:对冲基金;短期机构投资者;sturnoverpl信用等级:2.0披露声明作者无利益冲突需要声明。本文仅代表作者的观点,不代表北方信托公司、其附属公司、客户或员工的观点。所有的错误是作者的唯一责任。我们感谢Vikas Agarwal与我们分享了一份提交13F持有的对冲基金的综合名单。我们还要感谢Kent Daniel和Kenneth French在他们的在线数据库中公开提供了大量数据。注1除了这些文章提供了短期投资期限与未来股票回报之间呈正相关关系的证据外,还有一些研究表明相反。例如,Cremers和Pareek (Citation2016)发现,交易频繁的基金通常表现不佳,从而得出营业额与业绩之间的负截面关系。同样,Chakrabarty、Moulton和Trzcinka (Citation2017)表明,大多数短期机构交易都是亏损的我们在13F中研究了一个更精细的样本,这与这些文献有很大的不同。具体来说,我们首先像Yan和Zhang (Citation2009)那样将机构投资者分为短期机构投资者和长期机构投资者,然后将每一组进一步分为对冲基金和非对冲基金两组。因此,我们分析了四组机构投资者的交易绩效:短期对冲基金、短期非对冲基金、长期对冲基金和长期非对冲基金。在这四组中,我们发现只有短期对冲基金的交易能够预测未来的股票收益就在我们样本中所有机构中识别13f备案对冲基金的来源分布而言,union数据库涵盖了我们13f备案对冲基金样本的约90%。另外6%的样本来自ADV申报。其他三个标准结合起来(行业出版物、公司网站和Factiva的新闻文章)构成了我们13f备案对冲基金样本的剩余4%Agarwal、Fos和Jiang (Citation2013)同样发现,在截至2008年的样本期内,所有13f申报机构中有23%(5188家中的1199家)是对冲基金5为了消除我们的主要发现仅仅是由于短期对冲基金和短期非对冲基金之间的CR值差异造成的担忧,在一个单独的分析中,我们根据它们的CR值将短期非对冲基金分为两组(CR值低的短期非对冲基金和CR值高的短期非对冲基金),并分别检查这两组交易的预测能力。我们发现,尽管具有高CR值的短期非对冲基金的平均CR值(30.40%)大于短期对冲基金的平均CR值(27.34%),但在风险调整条件下,具有高CR值的短期非对冲基金的交易仍然不能显著预测未来股票收益。因此,这一结果排除了短期对冲基金交易的强预测能力是由于短期对冲基金的CR值略高的可能性在未列表的结果中,当我们分析多年来样本中对冲基金市值的百分比时,我们注意到它在样本的最初几年非常小(小于5%)。然而,随着时间的推移,这一数字逐渐增加,在我们的样本期间(1994-2019.7),对冲基金占总市值的平均份额约为10%。我们在季度末定义机构i的活跃份额如下:∑j=1N|PWijt−MWjt|,其中N表示我们样本中的股票数量(即,在2.1节中讨论的过滤器的CRSP域),PWijt表示机构i的投资组合中股票j在第t季末的权重,MWjt是股票j在第t季末的股票样本中的权重。 值得注意的是,虽然共同基金的基准指数通常很容易识别,但不可能为机构投资者识别基准指数,因为机构投资者可能包括共同基金,也可能不包括许多其他类型的投资基金。因此,在计算每个机构的活跃份额时,我们简单地使用最通用的股票市场指数(即CRSP价值加权指数)作为基准在未列表的结果中,我们基于两种替代方法计算活跃份额度量。在第一种方法中,投资者的投资范围由当前投资组合中持有的股票组成。此外,我们根据这些股票在CRSP宇宙中的市场权重来确定投资组合中股票的隐含权重。然后,我们采用脚注7所示的主动份额公式计算主动份额。在第二种替代方法中,我们采用了与Koijen和Yogo (Citation2019)类似的方法,并假设投资者的投资范围包括最近12个季度(即当前季度和过去11个季度)持有的股票。接下来,对于每个季度,我们计算投资组合中不属于投资者投资范围的股票的比例,并将该比例表示为活跃份额。使用这两种方法,我们仍然发现短期机构的平均AS高于长期机构。同样,对冲基金的AS值高于非对冲基金,短期对冲基金的AS值高于短期非对冲基金在每个季度t结束时,我们计算机构i的HHI如下:HHIi,t=∑j=1J(Ni,j,tPi,j,t)∑j=1JNi,j,tPi,j,t)2,其中N和P分别表示投资者i持有的股票j的股数和第t季度末的股价中间组包括中间的三个五分位数当我们使用Fama和French (Citation2015)的五因素模型衡量风险调整后的回报时,我们在短期对冲基金的重买入和重卖出交易之间获得了定性和定量相似的alpha价差(0.38%,t-stat= 4.06)。同样,在短期非对冲基金的重买重卖交易中,我们没有发现统计学上显著的五因子alpha价差作为稳健性检查,我们也用等权重投资组合复制了价值加权投资组合的结果。与我们在表2中的发现相似,我们看到短期对冲基金需求的L/S投资组合在随后的季度产生0.37% (t-stat = 4.97)和0.33% (t-stat = 4.19)的月度四因子α。相比之下,短期非对冲基金的交易在短期内不会产生任何统计上显著的回报或α。此外,与之前的文献和我们在表2中的发现一致,长期对冲基金的L/S投资组合和长期非对冲基金的L/S投资组合在接下来的季度中都没有产生统计学上显著的正回报和α与Yan和Zhang (Citation2009)一致,我们在计算中西异方差调整的t统计量时使用了两个滞后附录15的表A1提供了这些变量的详细说明作为稳健性检查,我们还使用加权最小二乘法运行表3列3中的回归规范,每个公司都以其市值的自然对数(SIZE)加权。我们在表4的第2列中报告了我们的回归结果。我们发现,短期对冲基金需求(ΔSIO_HF)的平均系数估计值仍然是正的,具有统计学意义(0.161,t-stat = 5.59),短期非对冲基金需求(ΔSIO_NHF)的平均系数估计值在统计上与零无差异(0.017,t-stat = 0.67)。16为了便于比较,我们再次在表4.17的第1列中报告表3第3列的原始结果。在另一种鲁棒性测试中,继Lou (Citation2012)之后,当我们使用总流量并将每个对冲基金的交易面板回归到总流量时,我们再次获得类似的结果,即我们的主要发现是由短期对冲基金的明智交易驱动的,而不是由持续的需求冲击和/或价格压力驱动当我们对这个有限样本进行投资组合测试时,我们也得到了短期对冲基金交易预测能力的类似结果我们使用中位数市值和账面市值比将样本分成两部分根据Cooper、Gutierrez和Hameed (Citation2004)的研究,我们将过去12个月的累计市场回报为负的市场定义为下
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引用次数: 0
Direct Lending Returns 直接贷款申报表
3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI: 10.1080/0015198x.2023.2254199
Antti Suhonen
I examine the performance of US business development companies (“BDC”). BDCs have produced returns in line with those of private funds engaged in direct lending. Leveraged loan and small-cap value equity returns explain a significant part of BDC performance, and the alpha of BDCs is zero on a market-value basis but a statistically significant 2.74% per annum based on net asset value (NAV) valuations. I find no evidence of an illiquidity premium, which suggests that the alpha could result from regulatory arbitrage or a peso problem. Cross-sectional BDC returns are widely dispersed and exhibit strong persistence in top- and bottom-quartile manager performance.
我研究了美国商业发展公司(“BDC”)的业绩。bdc产生的回报与从事直接贷款的私人基金的回报一致。杠杆贷款和小盘股价值股票回报解释了BDC业绩的重要部分,BDC的alpha在市值基础上为零,但在基于净资产价值(NAV)估值的统计上具有显著的2.74%。我没有发现存在非流动性溢价的证据,这表明alpha可能来自监管套利或比索问题。横断面BDC回报广泛分散,并在最高和最低四分位数的经理业绩中表现出很强的持久性。
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引用次数: 0
Thematic Investing with Big Data: The Case of Private Equity 大数据主题投资:私募股权案例
3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-20 DOI: 10.1080/0015198x.2023.2242075
Ludovic Phalippou
Using natural language processing, we score companies based on the frequency with which news articles contain both their names and terms private equity and leveraged buy-out. An index is then created and can be updated seamlessly at high frequency. The weights are set as a function of the relative exposure to this theme. We add liquidity constraints to ensure minimal transaction costs. Even though the algorithm does not optimize on either return or correlation, this listed private equity index is highly correlated to commonly used private equity fund market indices: nearly 90% correlation with Burgiss LBO fund index. In addition, our index has similar returns as non-tradable Leveraged Buy-Outs (LBO) fund indices. Our approach can be generalized to many other investment themes.
我们使用自然语言处理技术,根据新闻文章同时包含公司名称和术语的频率对公司进行评分。然后创建索引,并可以以高频率无缝更新索引。权重设置为对该主题的相对暴露的函数。我们增加了流动性限制,以确保交易成本最小化。尽管算法没有对收益和相关性进行优化,但该上市私募基金指数与常用的私募基金市场指数高度相关,与Burgiss杠杆收购基金指数相关性接近90%。此外,我们的指数与非交易杠杆收购(LBO)基金指数具有相似的回报。我们的方法可以推广到许多其他投资主题。
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引用次数: 0
Harry Markowitz in Memoriam 纪念哈里·马科维茨
3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-12 DOI: 10.1080/0015198x.2023.2251861
William N. Goetzmann
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引用次数: 0
Green Parity and the Decarbonization of Corporate Bond Portfolios 绿色平价与公司债券投资组合的脱碳
3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-12 DOI: 10.1080/0015198x.2023.2246579
Mario Bajo, Emilio Rodríguez
This study explores the incorporation of climate change into fixed income investment. We investigate the cost of decarbonization and the selection of Sustainable Investment strategies in portfolio construction, providing a comprehensive analytical framework. Employing a passive management style and through empirical analysis, we assess the tradeoff between decarbonization and the associated cost in terms of benchmark deviation for a corporate bond portfolio. We also propose an innovative strategy called “Green Parity,” which helps to improve traditional approaches to decarbonization. Our results challenge the common belief that pursuing decarbonization targets inevitably compromises risk-return outcomes.
本研究探讨将气候变化纳入固定收益投资。我们研究了脱碳成本和可持续投资策略在投资组合构建中的选择,提供了一个全面的分析框架。采用被动管理风格,并通过实证分析,我们评估了脱碳和相关成本之间的权衡在基准偏差的公司债券投资组合。我们还提出了一项名为“绿色平价”的创新战略,该战略有助于改进传统的脱碳方法。我们的研究结果挑战了追求脱碳目标不可避免地损害风险回报结果的普遍信念。
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引用次数: 0
Applying Economics—Not Gut Feel—to ESG 在ESG中运用经济学而非直觉
3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-12 DOI: 10.1080/0015198x.2023.2242758
Alex Edmans
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引用次数: 2
Intermediaries’ Incentives across Share Classes in the Same Fund 中介机构在同一基金中不同股票类别的激励措施
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-05 DOI: 10.1080/0015198X.2023.2243205
Ivalina Kalcheva, Ping McLemore
We provide supporting evidence that intermediaries’ incentives vary across retail share classes in the same fund. We find that when a fund has multiple share classes with different distribution fees, flow is less sensitive to poor performance for share classes with higher distribution fees. These results are more pronounced for funds when intermediaries are more inclined to favor one share class over another—specifically, for funds serving only retail investors, having a large dispersion in distribution fees across share classes, or having a share class that charges the maximum allowed distribution fee. Our results hold for funds with small spread in investors’ performance sensitivities and disappear in a placebo test. These findings cannot be explained by differences in share-class load fees or investor clientele.
我们提供了支持性证据,证明中介机构在同一基金的零售股票类别中的激励措施各不相同。我们发现,当一只基金有多个不同分销费用的股票类别时,对于分销费用较高的股票类别,流量对较差的业绩不太敏感。当中介机构更倾向于青睐一种股票类别而非另一种股票类型时,这些结果对基金来说更为明显——特别是对只为散户投资者服务的基金,对不同股票类别的分销费用有很大差异的基金,或者对收取最高允许分销费用的股票类别的基金。我们的结果适用于投资者业绩敏感性差异较小的基金,并在安慰剂测试中消失。这些发现不能用股票类别负载费用或投资者客户的差异来解释。
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引用次数: 0
Swing Pricing Calibration: Using ETFs to Infer Swing Factors for Mutual Funds 波动定价校准:使用ETF推断共同基金的波动因素
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.1080/0015198x.2023.2240280
Kenechukwu Anadu, John-Clark Levin, Victoria Liu, N. Tanner, Antoine Malfroy-Camine, Sean Baker
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引用次数: 1
The Controversy over Proxy Voting: The Role of Fund Managers and Proxy Advisors 代理投票争议:基金经理和代理顾问的角色
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1080/0015198X.2023.2240081
Arnoud Boot, J. Krahnen, Lemma W. Senbet, Chester Spatt
In this statement, we assess the role and power of proxy advisors and asset managers in corporate governance in a market that is characterized by a limited number of voting advisory firms (Institutional Shareholder Services and Glass Lewis) and a growing dominance of index investing concentrated in a few large asset managers, such as BlackRock, Vanguard, and State Street. We discuss the business model of proxy advisory firms and contrast its objectives with those of asset managers in the context of the informational screening/filtering role and voting analysis and conclude with a set of policy recommendations addressing transparency and regulatory oversight.
在本声明中,我们评估了代理顾问和资产管理公司在公司治理中的作用和权力,其市场特征是有限数量的投票咨询公司(Institutional Shareholder Services和Glass Lewis),以及指数投资日益集中在少数大型资产管理公司(如贝莱德、先锋和道富)的主导地位。我们讨论了代理咨询公司的商业模式,并在信息筛选/过滤角色和投票分析的背景下,将其目标与资产管理公司的目标进行了对比,最后提出了一套解决透明度和监管监督问题的政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Financial Analysts Journal
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