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Earnings myopia and private equity takeovers 盈利近视与私募股权收购
IF 4.2 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11142-024-09844-6
Paul Hribar, Todd Kravet, Trent Krupa

We examine the role of private equity in alleviating earnings myopia induced by public markets. We first construct a measure of earnings myopia and show that this measure varies as predicted with determinants and effects of myopia. Then we show that public firms exhibiting earnings myopia realize an increased likelihood of takeover by private equity buyers. Cross-sectional analyses indicate that this relation is strongest when costs of earnings myopia are likely higher. Following private equity takeovers, firms exhibiting greater measures of earnings myopia realize improvements to R&D investment and productivity. The results add to the understanding of the role of private equity in identifying and alleviating earnings myopia within U.S. capital markets. This is important given the increasing size of private equity assets under management. Takeover premiums paid for myopic firms suggest a cost of earnings myopia at approximately 6.9% of firm value.

我们研究了私募股权在缓解公开市场导致的收益近视方面的作用。我们首先构建了盈利近视的衡量标准,并证明这一衡量标准随近视的决定因素和影响而变化。然后我们证明,表现出盈利近视的上市公司被私募股权收购者收购的可能性会增加。横截面分析表明,当收益近视的成本可能较高时,这种关系最为密切。私募股权收购后,收益近视程度较高的公司在研发投资和生产率方面都有所改善。这些结果加深了人们对私募股权在识别和缓解美国资本市场盈利近视方面的作用的理解。鉴于私募股权管理的资产规模不断扩大,这一点非常重要。为近视企业支付的收购溢价表明,盈利近视的成本约为企业价值的 6.9%。
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引用次数: 0
Is it all hype? ChatGPT’s performance and disruptive potential in the accounting and auditing industries 都是炒作吗?ChatGPT 在会计和审计行业的表现和颠覆潜力
IF 4.2 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11142-024-09833-9
Marc Eulerich, Aida Sanatizadeh, Hamid Vakilzadeh, David A. Wood

ChatGPT frequently appears in the media, with many predicting significant disruptions, especially in the fields of accounting and auditing. Yet research has demonstrated relatively poor performance of ChatGPT on student assessment questions. We extend this research to examine whether more recent ChatGPT models and capabilities can pass major accounting certification exams including the Certified Public Accountant (CPA), Certified Management Accountant (CMA), Certified Internal Auditor (CIA), and Enrolled Agent (EA) certification exams. We find that the ChatGPT 3.5 model cannot pass any exam (average score across all assessments of 53.1%). However, with additional enhancements, ChatGPT can pass all sections of each tested exam: moving to the ChatGPT 4 model improved scores by an average of 16.5%, providing 10-shot training improved scores an additional 6.6%, and allowing the model to use reasoning and acting (e.g., allow ChatGPT to use a calculator and other resources) improved scores an additional 8.9%. After all these improvements, ChatGPT passed all exams with an average score of 85.1%. This high performance indicates that ChatGPT has sufficient capabilities to disrupt the accounting and auditing industries, which we discuss in detail. This research provides practical insights for accounting professionals, investors, and stakeholders on how to adapt and mitigate the potential harms of this technology in accounting and auditing firms.

ChatGPT 频繁出现在媒体上,许多人预测它将带来巨大的破坏,尤其是在会计和审计领域。然而,研究表明 ChatGPT 在学生评估问题上的表现相对较差。我们扩展了这项研究,考察了最新的 ChatGPT 模型和功能能否通过主要的会计认证考试,包括注册会计师(CPA)、注册管理会计师(CMA)、注册内部审计师(CIA)和注册代理人(EA)认证考试。我们发现 ChatGPT 3.5 模型无法通过任何考试(所有评估的平均得分率为 53.1%)。然而,通过额外的改进,ChatGPT 可以通过每个测试考试的所有部分:转移到 ChatGPT 4 模型后,平均得分提高了 16.5%;提供 10 次训练后,得分提高了 6.6%;允许模型使用推理和行动(例如,允许 ChatGPT 使用计算器和其他资源)后,得分提高了 8.9%。经过所有这些改进后,ChatGPT 以 85.1% 的平均分通过了所有考试。这一优异成绩表明,ChatGPT 有足够的能力颠覆会计和审计行业,我们将对此进行详细讨论。这项研究为会计专业人员、投资者和利益相关者提供了实用的见解,帮助他们了解如何适应和减轻这项技术对会计和审计公司的潜在危害。
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引用次数: 0
Partner wealth and audit quality: evidence from the United States 合伙人财富与审计质量:来自美国的证据
IF 4.2 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1007/s11142-024-09828-6
John Xuefeng Jiang, Shaohua He, K. Philip Wang

Using the market values of audit partners’ houses as a measure of their personal wealth, we find that wealthier U.S. partners provide higher-quality audits, as evidenced by fewer material restatements, fewer material SEC comment letters, and higher audit fees. A battery of falsification tests shows that these findings are not driven by the matching of wealthier partners with clients with higher financial reporting quality. Our additional analyses suggest two explanations: greater personal wealth both incentivizes partners to exert more effort in delivering high-quality audits and reveals partners’ audit competence.

利用审计合伙人房屋的市场价值作为其个人财富的衡量标准,我们发现,较富裕的美国合伙人提供的审计质量较高,这体现在较少的重大重述、较少的美国证券交易委员会重大意见函以及较高的审计费用上。一系列的伪造测试表明,这些发现并不是由于较富有的合伙人与财务报告质量较高的客户相匹配所导致的。我们的补充分析提出了两种解释:更多的个人财富既能激励合伙人付出更多努力提供高质量的审计,又能显示出合伙人的审计能力。
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引用次数: 0
Financial information and diverging beliefs 财务信息和不同信仰
IF 4.2 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1007/s11142-024-09832-w
Christopher S. Armstrong, Mirko S. Heinle, Irina Luneva

Standard Bayesians’ beliefs converge when they receive the same piece of new information. However, when agents initially disagree and have uncertainty about the precision of a signal, their disagreement might instead increase, despite receiving the same information. We demonstrate that this divergence of beliefs leads to a unimodal effect of the absolute surprise in the signal on trading volume. We show that this prediction is consistent with the empirical evidence using trading volume around earnings announcements of U.S. firms. We find evidence of elevated volume following moderate surprises and depressed volume following more extreme surprises, a pattern that is more pronounced when investors hold more distant prior beliefs and are more uncertain about earnings’ precision. The evidence is consistent with the model where investors disagree about stocks’ expected returns and do not know the precision of earnings as a signal about the firm’s value.

标准贝叶斯主义者在收到同一条新信息时,他们的信念会趋于一致。然而,当代理人最初对信号的精确性存在分歧和不确定性时,尽管收到的信息相同,他们的分歧反而会增加。我们证明,这种信念分歧会导致信号的绝对意外对交易量产生单峰效应。我们利用美国公司盈利公告前后的交易量来证明这一预测与经验证据是一致的。我们发现有证据表明,在中等程度的意外事件发生后,交易量会上升,而在更极端的意外事件发生后,交易量会下降,当投资者持有更遥远的先验信念,对盈利的精确性更不确定时,这种模式会更加明显。这些证据与投资者对股票预期收益存在分歧且不了解作为公司价值信号的盈利精确度的模型是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
Investors’ information acquisition and the manager’s value-risk tradeoff 投资者的信息获取与管理者的价值风险权衡
IF 4.2 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-21 DOI: 10.1007/s11142-024-09839-3
Hao Xue

This paper studies a model in which investors’ information acquisition and the manager’s investment choice (hence the moments of the firm’s cash flow) are jointly determined. I show that a lower information acquisition cost alters the information environment in a way that motivates the manager to prioritize reducing the variance of cash flow over improving its mean. I present conditions under which a decrease in the cost of information acquisition reduces stock valuations and investors’ welfare. The analysis highlights the importance of considering the joint determination of firm risk in studying investors’ information acquisition. The model’s predictions are relevant to the growing literature that studies technological advancements and regulatory requirements that lower the cost for investors to acquire and process information.

本文研究了一个模型,在该模型中,投资者的信息获取和管理者的投资选择(即公司现金流的时刻)是共同决定的。我的研究表明,信息获取成本的降低会改变信息环境,从而促使经理优先考虑降低现金流的方差,而不是提高其均值。我提出了降低信息获取成本会降低股票估值和投资者福利的条件。分析强调了在研究投资者信息获取时考虑公司风险联合决定的重要性。该模型的预测与研究降低投资者获取和处理信息成本的技术进步和监管要求的日益增多的文献相关。
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引用次数: 0
Market and regulatory implications of social identity cohorts: a discussion of crypto influencers 社会身份群体对市场和监管的影响:关于加密货币影响者的讨论
IF 4.2 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-06-17 DOI: 10.1007/s11142-024-09837-5
Alan D. Jagolinzer

Merkley et al. (2023) examine how cryptocurrency influencers recommend digital coins on Twitter (X) and the associated price effects. They report that influencers may exploit market investors via potential pump and dump schemes. While plausible, researchers may develop a broader understanding of influencers’ incentives and their influence by considering how investors engage these markets for social identity needs that enhance utility. Social-psychological research indicates that someone’s social identity strongly influences their behavior, even making the behavior maladaptive. This paper discusses how crypto influencers create social identity resonance. It then discusses how influencers can leverage this resonance for potentially lucrative financial opportunities, which might manifest in different expected crypto price patterns. The paper concludes by recommending more research on influencers’ experience, networks, and communication choices; the effects of video relative to text communication; and implications of social identity cohorts that influence prices and undermine regulatory trust in traditional markets.

Merkley 等人(2023 年)研究了加密货币影响者如何在 Twitter(X)上推荐数字硬币以及相关的价格效应。他们报告说,影响者可能会通过潜在的抽水和抛售计划来剥削市场投资者。虽然有一定的合理性,但研究人员可以通过考虑投资者如何出于提高效用的社会身份需求而参与这些市场,从而对影响者的动机及其影响力有更广泛的了解。社会心理学研究表明,一个人的社会身份会强烈影响其行为,甚至使其行为变得不适应。本文讨论了加密货币影响者如何创造社会认同共鸣。然后,本文讨论了影响者如何利用这种共鸣来获得潜在的有利可图的财务机会,这种机会可能表现为不同的预期加密货币价格模式。最后,本文建议就以下方面开展更多研究:影响者的经验、网络和沟通选择;视频相对于文本沟通的效果;影响价格和破坏传统市场监管信任的社会身份群组的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Accrual duration 累计期限
IF 4.2 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-14 DOI: 10.1007/s11142-024-09826-8
Ilia Dichev, Edward Owens

We define accrual duration as the length of time between an accrual and its associated cash flow. Accrual duration is inextricably linked to accrual discretion and accrual quality by the fundamentals of the accrual process—the recording of longer-duration accruals involves using longer-term estimates, which makes them relatively more discretionary and less reliable, ceteris paribus. We provide the theoretical development of this broad idea and demonstrate several empirical applications linking accrual duration to earnings persistence, Accounting and Auditing Enforcement Releases, asset write-offs, and the observed kink in the earnings distribution. A major advantage of the accrual duration approach is that it is quite general, which allows us to derive a powerful new model of total accruals discretion and quality as well as a novel measure of total accruals duration. Finally, we discuss how the accrual duration approach can illuminate numerous ongoing issues in accounting research.

我们将应计项目持续时间定义为应计项目与其相关现金流之间的时间长度。应计项目的持续时间与应计项目的自由裁量权和应计项目的质量密不可分,因为应计项目过程的基本原理是:记录持续时间较长的应计项目需要使用较长时间的估算,这就使得应计项目的自由裁量权相对较高,可靠性相对较低。我们提供了这一广泛观点的理论发展,并展示了应计项目持续时间与收益持续性、会计与审计执行公告、资产注销以及观察到的收益分配中的扭结之间的若干经验应用。应计项目持续时间方法的一个主要优势是它具有相当的通用性,这使我们能够推导出一个关于总应计项目自由裁量权和质量的强大的新模型,以及总应计项目持续时间的新测量方法。最后,我们将讨论应计项目持续时间法如何能够揭示会计研究中的众多持续性问题。
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引用次数: 0
Retail investor trade and the pricing of earnings 散户投资者交易与收益定价
IF 4.2 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-11 DOI: 10.1007/s11142-024-09825-9
Jeremy Michels

Using the number of Robinhood users holding a firm’s shares, I examine how novice retail investors respond to earnings announcements and the implications of their responses for the price-earnings relation. I do not find evidence of informed trading among these investors. Changes in their holdings also do not resemble random, uncorrelated noise trading. Instead I find that the number of retail investors holding a firm’s shares increases in response to both more positive and more negative earnings news, consistent with attention-driven trade. While retail trades appear to react to announced earnings, an analysis of intraday trading indicates that these traders respond most consistently to market returns following the earnings announcement, as opposed to only earnings itself. Consistent with this coordinated trading exerting pressure on prices, I find that stock returns drift upward following both the most positive and the most negative earnings surprises when increases in retail holdings are greatest and the firm is relatively small or costly to sell short.

利用 Robinhood 用户持有公司股票的数量,我研究了新手散户投资者如何对盈利公告做出反应,以及他们的反应对市盈率关系的影响。我没有发现这些投资者进行知情交易的证据。他们的持股变化也不像随机的、无相关性的噪音交易。相反,我发现持有公司股票的散户投资者数量会随着正面和负面盈利消息的增加而增加,这与注意力驱动型交易是一致的。虽然散户交易似乎对公布的收益做出了反应,但对盘中交易的分析表明,这些交易者对收益公布后的市场回报做出了最一致的反应,而不仅仅是收益本身。与这种协调交易对价格产生的压力相一致的是,我发现当散户持股量增加最多、公司规模相对较小或卖空成本较高时,最积极和最消极的盈利意外公布后,股票回报率都会向上漂移。
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引用次数: 0
Actions speak louder than words: environmental law enforcement and audit fees 行胜于言:环境执法和审计费用
IF 4.2 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.1007/s11142-024-09823-x
Xiting Wu, Le Luo, Jiaxing You

Using the staggered establishment of environmental courts in China, we study the effect of environmental law enforcement on audit fees. We find that companies’ abnormal audit fees increase significantly after the establishment of a specialized environmental court strengthens environmental law enforcement. Our cross-sectional analyses show that the increase in abnormal audit fees is greater for companies with worse environmental performance and for those in heavily polluting industries. We then assess the channels through which environmental courts affect companies’ audit fees and find that the effect of the courts on fees is driven by both audit effort and audit risk and the establishment of a particular type of environmental court (an independent environmental adjudication division). Finally, our results reveal that public concern about environmental protection plays a substitutive role for environmental courts in affecting the increase in audit fees. Our findings suggest that environmental courts aimed at strengthening environmental laws and regulations alter firms’ and auditors’ behaviors and decisions, having unintended spillover effects on audit pricing.

我们利用中国交错设立环保法庭的情况,研究了环保执法对审计费用的影响。我们发现,在设立专门的环保法庭加强环保执法后,企业的非正常审计费用会显著增加。我们的横截面分析表明,环境绩效较差的企业和重污染行业的企业的非正常审计费用增幅更大。然后,我们评估了环境法院影响公司审计费用的渠道,发现法院对费用的影响是由审计工作和审计风险以及特定类型的环境法院(独立的环境裁决部门)的设立共同驱动的。最后,我们的研究结果表明,公众对环境保护的关注在影响审计费用增长方面对环境法庭起着替代作用。我们的研究结果表明,旨在加强环境法律法规的环境法庭改变了公司和审计师的行为和决策,对审计定价产生了意想不到的溢出效应。
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引用次数: 0
Analyst information about peer firms during the IPO quiet period 首次公开募股静默期同行公司的分析师信息
IF 4.2 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-04-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11142-024-09824-w
Badryah Alhusaini, Andrew C. Call, Kimball Chapman

The SEC limits sell-side analysts’ research activities on IPO firms both before and immediately after going public (the IPO quiet period). However, during the IPO quiet period, analysts provide regular coverage of IPO peer firms, which is potentially relevant to investors seeking to glean information about the IPO firm itself. We examine whether, despite the restrictions on analyst research of IPO firms during the quiet period, investors uncover information about the IPO firm indirectly through analyst research of peer firms. We find that, on the IPO date, institutional investors trade on the information in analysts’ recommendation revisions of peer firms that were issued earlier in the quiet period. Institutional investors also trade in the short window around analyst revisions of peer firms that are issued later in the quiet period (after the IPO date) but before analysts initiate coverage of the IPO firm. Retail investors, however, are inattentive to the information available in analyst research of peer firms. Importantly, our findings vary predictably with attributes of the issuing analyst, which helps rule out firm- and industry-level alternative explanations. Lastly, we find that recommendation revisions analysts issue for peer firms predict future IPO-firm performance, suggesting that analyst research of peer firms during the quiet period conveys meaningful information about the IPO firm that results in an information advantage for institutional investors.

美国证券交易委员会限制卖方分析师在首次公开募股公司上市前和上市后(首次公开募股静默期)对其进行研究活动。然而,在 IPO 静默期,分析师会对 IPO 同行公司进行定期报道,这对投资者收集 IPO 公司本身的信息具有潜在意义。我们研究了尽管在静默期分析师对 IPO 公司的研究受到限制,投资者是否仍能通过分析师对同行公司的研究间接发现 IPO 公司的信息。我们发现,在 IPO 当日,机构投资者会根据分析师对同行公司在静默期早些时候发布的建议修订中的信息进行交易。机构投资者还在静默期后期(IPO 日之后)但在分析师开始报道 IPO 公司之前发布的同行公司分析师建议修订前后的短暂窗口中进行交易。然而,散户投资者并不关注分析师对同行公司的研究信息。重要的是,我们的研究结果随发行分析师属性的变化而变化,这有助于排除公司和行业层面的其他解释。最后,我们发现分析师为同行公司发布的建议修订预测了未来 IPO 公司的表现,这表明在静默期分析师对同行公司的研究传递了有关 IPO 公司的有意义的信息,从而为机构投资者带来了信息优势。
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引用次数: 0
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Review of Accounting Studies
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