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High-speed rail opening and urban air quality 高铁开通与城市空气质量
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104134
Zhilong Qin , Xiaoguang Chen , Luoye Chen
We quantify the air quality impact of China's first major HSR line connecting Beijing and Shanghai, operational since June 30, 2011. Using high-resolution satellite data, we find a 6.2 % reduction in particulate matter concentrations in counties served by the HSR during the six months following its opening, with effects strengthening over time and persisting for at least two years. These improvements are larger in counties with HSR stations, high interregional travel demand, or limited alternative transportation options. We estimate that the HSR opening yields external health benefits of approximately CNY 21 billion annually, accounting for a substantial portion of its construction costs.
我们量化了自2011年6月30日开始运营的连接北京和上海的中国第一条主要高铁线路对空气质量的影响。利用高分辨率卫星数据,我们发现在高铁开通后的六个月里,高铁服务的县的颗粒物浓度降低了6.2%,而且随着时间的推移,效果会越来越强,至少会持续两年。在有高铁站点、区域间旅行需求高或替代交通选择有限的县,这些改善更大。我们估计,高铁开通每年产生的外部健康效益约为210亿元人民币,占其建设成本的很大一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Tax progressivity and mobility costs 税收累进性和流动性成本
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104126
Daniele Coen-Pirani
This paper examines how mobility costs influence the effectiveness and desirability of tax progressivity using a general equilibrium spatial model. A key feature of the model is that workers’ idiosyncratic productivity depends on location. The interaction of amenities, idiosyncratic shocks and moving costs implies that progressive taxation distorts location choices by reducing incentives for agents to relocate to their most productive areas. Using a quantitative framework, I find that the negative effect of tax progressivity on output is weakest when mobility costs are either relatively low or high. The optimal degree of tax progressivity balances the costs of spatial tax distortions against the benefits of enhanced insurance, leading to relatively high optimal progressivity at both extremes of mobility costs.
本文利用一般均衡空间模型考察了流动性成本如何影响累进税制的有效性和可取性。该模型的一个关键特征是,工人的特殊生产率取决于地理位置。便利设施、特殊冲击和搬迁成本的相互作用意味着,累进税通过减少代理人迁往生产力最高地区的动机,扭曲了地点选择。使用定量框架,我发现当流动性成本相对较低或较高时,税收累进性对产出的负面影响是最弱的。税收累进的最优程度平衡了空间税收扭曲的成本和增强保险的收益,导致在流动性成本的两个极端都有相对较高的最优累进程度。
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引用次数: 0
Vintage effects in commercial real estate and the dynamics of the built environment 商业地产中的古着效应和建筑环境的动态
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104131
Jan Rouwendal , Or Levkovich , Edwin Buitelaar , Jip Claassens
This paper demonstrates that the prices of older commercial buildings increase relative to younger ones. We argue that this is a ‘vintage effect’ that is due to the increasing valuation of older buildings by their marginal occupant in an expanding market. We show that this effect is not due to local price trends, or listing or preservation zones. Furthermore, it is not confined to urban locations or buildings visible from main roads, and it is most pronounced for buildings constructed before 1960. Repeat sales analysis confirms the results of hedonic regressions. Further analysis of the office market, for which the vintage effect is strongest, confirms that survival probabilities and occupancy rates are highest for older buildings. These findings suggest that commercial buildings have a longer lifespan than is often thought, making the built environment less dynamic.
本文论证了老商业建筑的价格相对于新商业建筑的价格上涨。我们认为,这是一种“复古效应”,是由于在不断扩大的市场中,老建筑的边际居住者对老建筑的估值不断上升。我们表明,这种影响不是由于当地的价格趋势,或上市或保护区。此外,它并不局限于城市地点或从主干道上可见的建筑物,在1960年以前建造的建筑物中最为明显。重复销售分析证实了享乐回归的结果。对办公楼市场的进一步分析证实,老旧建筑的生存概率和入住率最高。这些发现表明,商业建筑的寿命比通常认为的要长,这使得建筑环境缺乏活力。
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引用次数: 0
Do urban redevelopment projects attract jobs? Evidence from the Dutch National Restoration Fund 市区重建项目能吸引就业机会吗?证据来自荷兰国家修复基金
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104130
Niels M. Kuiper , Mark van Duijn , Arno J. van der Vlist
We study the local labor market effects of a place-based policy aimed at the preservation and economic re-use of urban built heritage in the Netherlands. We use establishment-level labor market data and a difference-in-differences approach to identify both direct and spillover effects of these redevelopment projects on local labor markets. Our findings show that these projects tend to follow, and at times reinforce, processes of neighborhood change, targeting areas already experiencing relative labor market decline and shifts in the industry mix. While we do not find that these projects reverse or halt decline through local spillover effects, we do find clear direct effects: the projects attract jobs and firms to the redevelopment sites in numbers that outweigh the ongoing negative labor market trends, pointing to a distinct and positive local economic impact.
我们研究了一项基于地点的政策对当地劳动力市场的影响,该政策旨在保护和经济地再利用荷兰的城市建筑遗产。我们使用企业层面的劳动力市场数据和差异中的差异方法来确定这些再开发项目对当地劳动力市场的直接和溢出效应。我们的研究结果表明,这些项目往往会跟随,有时会加强,社区变化的过程,目标是已经经历相对劳动力市场下降和行业组合转变的地区。虽然我们没有发现这些项目通过当地溢出效应扭转或停止衰退,但我们确实发现了明显的直接影响:这些项目吸引的就业和公司到重建地点的数量超过了正在进行的负面劳动力市场趋势,表明了对当地经济的明显积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial wage differentials, geographic frictions and the organization of labor within firms 空间工资差异、地理摩擦和企业内部的劳动力组织
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104128
Camilo Acosta , Ditte Håkonsson Lyngemark
This paper studies the spatial organization of firms, both theoretically and empirically. Two new facts in Danish register data motivate the analysis: (i) firms have become increasingly spatially fragmented, and (ii) headquarters (HQ) establishments have become more manager-intensive. We develop and estimate a structural model in which firms allocate labor across establishments and produce non-rival, manager-intensive HQ services. Identification relies on exogenous variation in labor supply induced by commuting-augmented immigration shocks. We estimate elasticities of substitution across establishments of −9.8 for workers and −1.1 for managers, consistent with firms reallocating general labor more easily than managerial inputs. Our decomposition shows that rising managerial wages at HQs – interacted with firm-level scale effects – explain about half of the observed increase in HQ managerial intensity, highlighting the importance of intangible internal inputs in shaping firm spatial structure.
本文从理论和实证两方面对企业的空间组织进行了研究。丹麦注册数据中的两个新事实促使了分析:(i)公司在空间上变得越来越分散,(ii)总部(HQ)机构变得更加经理密集。我们开发并估计了一个结构模型,在这个模型中,公司在各个机构之间分配劳动力,并提供非竞争的、经理密集型的总部服务。识别依赖于通勤增强移民冲击引起的劳动力供给的外生变化。我们估计,企业的替代弹性对工人为- 9.8,对管理人员为- 1.1,这与企业重新分配一般劳动力比重新分配管理投入更容易一致。我们的分解表明,总部管理人员工资的上升——与公司层面的规模效应相互作用——解释了所观察到的总部管理强度增加的一半左右,突出了无形的内部投入在塑造公司空间结构中的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Federal tax policy and the capitalization of local public goods 联邦税收政策和地方公共产品的资本化
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104129
Brent W. Ambrose , Maxence Valentin
This study examines the connection between federal tax policies and the capitalization of local public goods into housing prices, focusing on the deduction of State and Local Taxes (SALT). In the United States, taxpayers can deduct taxes paid to local jurisdictions from their federal taxable incomes, effectively reducing the net cost of local public goods. We develop a theoretical model of local public goods capitalization that predicts a higher capitalization of public goods in jurisdictions with a greater share of residents who deduct local taxes. We test this prediction by exploiting local exposure to national fiscal changes from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) in a shift-share instrumental variable framework. Using school district spending, we find empirical support that a higher share of residents deducting property taxes causes a greater capitalization of local public spending. In particular, a one-standard-deviation increase in school spending corresponds to a 1.2% decrease in house value in school districts where no resident deducts property taxes but to a 2.8% rise in values in districts where 25% of the residents take advantage of the property tax deduction. Our results thus emphasize the importance of the interaction between local and national policies when evaluating the optimal level of local public good provision, and provide guidance for evaluating the future of the SALT deductions.
本研究考察了联邦税收政策与地方公共产品资本化到房价之间的联系,重点是州和地方税(SALT)的扣除。在美国,纳税人可以从他们的联邦应税收入中扣除支付给地方管辖区的税款,有效地减少了地方公共产品的净成本。我们开发了一个地方公共产品资本化的理论模型,该模型预测,在扣除地方税的居民比例更高的司法管辖区,公共产品的资本化会更高。我们通过在转移-份额工具变量框架中利用地方对2017年减税和就业法案(TCJA)的国家财政变化的敞口来检验这一预测。利用学区支出,我们发现了实证支持,即更高比例的居民扣除财产税导致更大的地方公共支出资本化。特别是,在没有居民扣除财产税的学区,学校支出每增加一个标准差,对应的房价就会下降1.2%,而在25%的居民享受财产税减免的学区,对应的房价就会上涨2.8%。因此,我们的研究结果强调了在评估地方公共产品提供的最佳水平时,地方和国家政策之间相互作用的重要性,并为评估SALT扣除的未来提供了指导。
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引用次数: 0
Complexity and colocation of the college-educated: Sort of complements 受过大学教育的人的复杂性和位置:有点互补
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104105
Curtis J. Simon
Kremer (1993) proposed that complementarity between highly skilled workers who are employed in firms with complex production processes would motivate both the firms and the workers they employ to colocate geographically, but thus far empirical work has focused on complementarity at the firm and industry level. This paper uses Census and American Community Survey data between 1960 and 2020 on 561 cities to present new evidence on high-skill complementarity among college-educated workers at and below the city level. The findings include: (1) More complex occupations and industries employ higher college shares; (2) Cities with higher overall college shares employ higher college shares within an industry or occupation; (3) More complex industries and occupations tend to exhibit larger gradients of college share with respect to city college share; (4) Cities with higher college shares tend to house more complex mixes of industries and occupations; (5) Below the city level, (a) college share in an industry tends to be higher, the higher the college share in industries up- and downstream; (b) college share in an occupation tends to be higher, the higher the college share in the remainder of the industry; and (6) More complex industries and occupations tend to exhibit larger (sub-city) gradients. Finally, analysis of college wages supports the hypothesis that productivity-related factors are at work.
Kremer(1993)提出,在具有复杂生产过程的企业中雇用的高技能工人之间的互补性会激励企业及其雇用的工人在地理上进行协同工作,但迄今为止,实证工作主要集中在企业和行业层面上的互补性。本文利用1960年至2020年561个城市的人口普查和美国社区调查数据,为城市及城市以下受过大学教育的工人之间的高技能互补性提供了新的证据。研究发现:(1)越复杂的职业和行业,大学生比例越高;(2)高校总体比例较高的城市在某一行业或职业中高校比例较高;(3)越复杂的行业和职业,高校份额相对于城市高校份额的梯度越大;(4)大学比例较高的城市往往容纳了更复杂的行业和职业组合;(5)在城市层级以下,(a)高校在某一行业的份额越高,上下游行业的高校份额越高;(b)大学在某一职业中所占比例越高,该职业在该行业的其他职业中所占比例越高;(6)越复杂的行业和职业呈现出更大的(副城市)梯度。最后,对大学工资的分析支持了生产率相关因素在起作用的假设。
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引用次数: 0
Reexamining lackluster productivity growth in construction 重新审视建筑业生产率增长乏力
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104107
Daniel Garcia, Raven Molloy
Of all major industries, construction is the only one to have registered negative average productivity growth since 1987. Mechanically, this lackluster performance owes to the fact that indexes measuring the cost of building a constant-quality structure have risen much faster than those measuring the cost of producing other goods. We assess the extent to which growth in construction costs could be biased upward by improvements in unobserved structure quality. Even under generous assumptions, our estimates of the magnitude of this bias are not large enough to alter the view that construction-sector productivity growth has been weak. Next, we calculate new estimates of single-family residential construction productivity growth by state and metropolitan area from 1980 to 2019. These estimates reveal that productivity has declined the most in areas with a larger fraction of construction in the urban core and with tighter housing supply constraints, especially in locations with long permitting times.
在所有主要行业中,建筑业是自1987年以来唯一一个平均生产率出现负增长的行业。机械地说,这种低迷的表现是由于衡量建造一个稳定质量结构的成本的指数比那些衡量生产其他商品成本的指数上升得快得多。我们评估了建筑成本的增长在多大程度上可能因未观察到的结构质量的改善而向上倾斜。即使在慷慨的假设下,我们对这种偏差程度的估计也不足以改变建筑业生产率增长疲软的观点。接下来,我们计算了1980年至2019年各州和大都市地区单户住宅建筑生产率增长的新估计。这些估计表明,在城市核心建筑比例较大、住房供应限制较紧的地区,生产率下降幅度最大,尤其是在许可时间较长的地区。
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引用次数: 0
Empirical behaviour of Anselin et al.’s locally robust LM tests for spatial dependence in a panel data setting Anselin等人的局部鲁棒LM测试在面板数据设置中的空间依赖性的经验行为
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104106
Giovanni Millo
A key issue in spatial models is to appropriately specify the spatial effect. Robust Lagrange Multipliers (RLM) tests have long been popular in spatial econometrics for discriminating between spatial lag and spatial error processes. A review of the recent applied literature shows how they are often (mis)applied in a panel context, where further issues arise the tests were not designed to address in the first place: individual or time heterogeneity and time persistence. We address the performance of RLM tests in spatial panels through Monte Carlo simulation showing that they can become virtually useless as a specification device under substantial individual and especially time heterogeneity, regardless whether correlated or not; or in the presence of spatially lagged regressors. Accounting for unobserved effects by demeaning the data or adding dummies restores the good properties of the RLM. The presence of spatially lagged regressors remains instead problematic. We conclude with suggestions for improving applied practice.
空间模型的一个关键问题是适当地指定空间效应。鲁棒拉格朗日乘数(RLM)检验在空间计量经济学中一直很受欢迎,用于区分空间滞后和空间误差过程。对最近的应用文献的回顾表明,它们如何经常(错误地)应用于小组背景下,在这种情况下,出现了进一步的问题,这些测试最初并没有设计用于解决:个体或时间异质性和时间持久性。我们通过蒙特卡罗模拟解决了空间面板中RLM测试的性能问题,结果表明,无论是否相关,在大量个体和特别是时间异质性下,RLM测试作为规范设备几乎是无用的;或者在存在空间滞后回归的情况下。通过降低数据或添加假人来考虑未观察到的影响,可以恢复RLM的良好特性。空间滞后回归量的存在仍然存在问题。最后提出了改进应用实践的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging policy and prices: Causal evidence of housing renovation subsidies on property values in Italy 衔接政策和价格:意大利住房翻新补贴对房地产价值的因果证据
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104095
Marta Crispino, Michele Loberto
This paper investigates the impact of a government renovation subsidy program on housing prices, with a focus on the Italian region of Piemonte. We exploit a spatial discontinuity in the eligibility criteria for a tax credit targeting anti-seismic renovations and employ a difference-in-differences methodology to assess the policy’s effects. Our findings show that prices of apartments eligible for the subsidy increased by 3.2 percent more compared to those of ineligible properties. This increase rises to 11.2 percent when considering only single-family detached homes.
本文调查了政府翻新补贴计划对房价的影响,重点是意大利皮埃蒙特地区。我们利用了针对抗震改造的税收抵免资格标准的空间不连续,并采用了差异中的差异方法来评估政策的效果。我们的研究结果显示,与不符合补贴条件的公寓相比,符合补贴条件的公寓价格上涨了3.2%。如果只考虑独栋独立式住宅,这一增幅将达到11.2%。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Regional Science and Urban Economics
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