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High-tech clusters, labor demand, and inequality: Evidence from “Made in China 2025” 高科技集群、劳动力需求与不平等:来自“中国制造2025”的证据
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104142
Klint Mane , Geunyong Park , Ande Shen
This paper examines the impact of high-tech clusters on labor market inequalities, focusing on a place-based industrial policy known as ”Made in China 2025.” This policy aimed to attract high-tech firms to industrial clusters in designated ”pilot” cities by providing unprecedented fiscal incentives. By utilizing the staggered rollout of these pilot cities and representative online job posting data, we conduct an event-study analysis to explore the causal effects of high-tech clusters on labor demand across different occupations and regions. Our findings indicate that the policy resulted in a significant increase in job openings and wages in the pilot cities, but it also led to a widening wage gap between routine and non-routine occupations. In neighboring areas of the pilot cities, job openings and wages initially decreased in the short term but later recovered, indicating evidence of positive spillover effects from the high-tech clusters. Additionally, we show that the development of high-tech clusters has caused a reduction in the net income of workers in routine jobs, as it significantly raised housing costs in the pilot cities. These results suggest that policymakers should be cautious about the varying welfare effects when developing high-tech clusters.
本文考察了高科技集群对劳动力市场不平等的影响,重点研究了以地方为基础的“中国制造2025”产业政策。这项政策旨在通过提供前所未有的财政激励,吸引高科技企业进入指定的“试点”城市的产业集群。我们利用这些试点城市的交错推出和具有代表性的在线招聘数据,进行事件研究分析,探讨高科技集群对不同职业和地区劳动力需求的因果关系。我们的研究结果表明,该政策导致试点城市的职位空缺和工资显著增加,但也导致常规和非常规职业之间的工资差距扩大。在试点城市的邻近地区,职位空缺和工资在短期内开始下降,但随后恢复,这表明高科技集群的积极溢出效应。此外,我们表明,高科技集群的发展导致常规工作人员的净收入减少,因为它显著提高了试点城市的住房成本。这些结果表明,决策者在发展高科技集群时应谨慎对待不同的福利效应。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of urban redevelopment for mitigating earthquake damage risk on land values 城市重建以减轻地震破坏风险对土地价值的影响
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104144
Mizuki Kawabata , Michio Naoi , Shohei Yasuda
We examine the impact of urban redevelopment for mitigating earthquake damage risk on land values using a spatial regression discontinuity (RD) design. Our analysis exploits the risk discontinuity at the boundaries of dense urban districts with extremely high earthquake damage risk (high-risk DUDs) in Tokyo, using data on high-risk DUDs in 2012, 2017, and 2020. The cross-sectional RD estimates demonstrate that land values are consistently higher just outside than just inside the boundaries of high-risk DUDs that existed in 2012 but were removed by 2017 under urban redevelopment initiatives. The RD estimates further reveal that the discontinuous gap in land values at the boundaries of the former high-risk DUDs diminished over time. The differences in the RD estimates before and after the removal of high-risk DUDs between 2012 and 2017 indicate that this removal reduced the discontinuity at the former high-risk DUD boundaries, leading to a relative increase in land values of 1.5% by 2017 and 2.0% by 2020. These findings suggest that mitigating earthquake damage risk through urban redevelopment contributes to a progressive appreciation in land values.
我们使用空间回归不连续(RD)设计来研究城市重建对减轻地震破坏风险的土地价值的影响。我们的分析利用了东京具有极高地震破坏风险(高风险DUDs)的密集城区边界的风险不连续,使用了2012年、2017年和2020年的高风险DUDs数据。横断面RD估计表明,2012年存在但在2017年城市重建计划下被拆除的高风险dud的边界外的土地价值始终高于边界内的土地价值。RD估算进一步显示,在前高风险DUDs边界的土地价值不连续差距随着时间的推移而缩小。2012年至2017年移除高风险DUD前后的RD估算差异表明,移除减少了以前高风险DUD边界的不连续性,导致2017年和2020年的土地价值相对增长1.5%和2.0%。这些发现表明,通过城市重建来减轻地震破坏风险有助于土地价值的逐步升值。
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引用次数: 0
The economic impact of hydrogen energy infrastructure in China 中国氢能基础设施的经济影响
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104143
Yingdan Mei , Xiaoning Su , Pengfei Liu , Hong Lan , Yueming (Lucy) Qiu
Investment in hydrogen energy infrastructure is a promising way to achieve low-carbon and sustainable development. We provide a comprehensive assessment on the economic impact of hydrogen refueling stations (HRSs) based on the geocoded information on HRSs and housing transaction records from 2014 to 2023 in China. Our study reveals that establishing a HRS significantly lowers the transaction prices of surrounding housing within 1.4 km. Furthermore, the construction of a HRS significantly reduces housing prices by 7.65 %, mostly caused by the first constructed station. HRSs in areas with high population density have a greater negative impact on housing prices. Higher levels for environmental awareness among residents and government alleviate negative impacts. Visual exposure may exacerbate residents’ negative perceptions, prompting some individuals to relocate due to perceived uncertainty surrounding the HRS, thereby contributing to a decline in housing prices. Our results provide significant policy implications for appropriate intervention strategies to alleviate HRS-driven externalities.
投资氢能基础设施是实现低碳和可持续发展的有效途径。基于2014 - 2023年中国加氢站的地理编码信息和住房交易记录,对加氢站的经济影响进行了综合评估。我们的研究表明,建立HRS显著降低了1.4 km范围内周边住房的交易价格。此外,高铁的建设显著降低了7.65%的房价,主要是由第一个建成的车站造成的。在人口密度高的地区,房价的负面影响更大。提高居民和政府的环保意识可以减轻负面影响。视觉暴露可能会加剧居民的负面看法,促使一些人由于感知到HRS的不确定性而搬迁,从而导致房价下跌。我们的研究结果为适当的干预策略提供了重要的政策启示,以减轻人力资源管理驱动的外部性。
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引用次数: 0
Residential rent externalities of photovoltaic systems: The relevance of view 光伏系统的住宅租金外部性:观点的相关性
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104138
Roland Füss , Kathleen Kürschner Rauck , Alois Weigand
In a three-dimensional topographic model of Switzerland, we study how the view at photovoltaic (PV) systems affects residential real estate. Our hedonic difference-in-differences regressions provide evidence that the view at a PV system is associated with lower residential rents. We consider different view types to examine amplifiers and attenuators of these negative externalities. Using municipal voting results and data on electric vehicles, we document causal pathways of the effect that align with stated and lived preferences for sustainability. Similar causal pathways of negative externalities are evident through municipalities’ solar energy production potential and their local demand elasticities for housing.
在瑞士的三维地形模型中,我们研究了光伏(PV)系统对住宅房地产的影响。我们的享乐差异回归提供了证据,表明光伏系统的景观与较低的住宅租金有关。我们考虑不同的视图类型来检查这些负面外部性的放大和衰减。利用市政投票结果和电动汽车数据,我们记录了与声明和生活偏好一致的可持续性影响的因果路径。通过市政当局的太阳能生产潜力及其当地住房需求弹性,可以明显看出类似的负外部性因果路径。
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引用次数: 0
Spillover effects of accessory dwelling unit development 附属住宅发展的溢出效应
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104136
Idil Tanrisever
Promoting accessory dwelling units (ADUs), small residential backyard units, is one way that state and local governments have attempted to boost housing supply amid rising housing costs. However, homeowners worry about the impact on property values due to increased population and density. This paper studies the effect of ADU development on neighboring property values using an instrumental variable approach. I find that a 0.5 percentage point increase (the mean ADU concentration over the sample period of 2013–2021) in ADU density leads to a 3% decrease in nearby property prices. The negative spillover effects remain consistent within a 300-meter radius, after which they become statistically insignificant. The results are robust across alternative specifications and samples and the adverse effects of ADUs are more pronounced for properties with smaller lot sizes and those in low- and middle-rent neighborhoods. I provide evidence that ADU growth contributes to neighborhood externalities, including increased parking citations, domestic violence reports, illegal dumping, and neighborhood service requests, while showing no significant effects on overall or property crime.
在住房成本不断上升的情况下,推动小型住宅后院单元(adu)是州和地方政府试图增加住房供应的一种方式。然而,房主担心由于人口和密度的增加对房地产价值的影响。本文采用工具变量法研究了ADU开发对周边物业价值的影响。我发现,ADU密度每增加0.5个百分点(2013-2021年样本期间的平均ADU浓度),就会导致附近房价下降3%。负外溢效应在300米半径范围内保持一致,超过300米就变得不显著。结果在不同的规格和样本中都是稳健的,adu的不利影响对于较小的地块规模和中低租金社区的房产更为明显。我提供的证据表明,ADU的增长有助于社区外部性,包括增加停车罚单、家庭暴力报告、非法倾倒和社区服务请求,而对总体或财产犯罪没有显着影响。
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引用次数: 0
Inter-municipal cooperation and tax enforcement capabilities 市际合作和税务执法能力
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104137
Naruki Notsu , Haruaki Hirota , Nobuo Akai
This study examines the effects of enhancing administrative tax enforcement on the tax gap, focusing on inter-municipal cooperation (IMC). IMC involves collaborative tax collection efforts among multiple municipalities and promotes the aggregation of tax collection resources and expertise, improving tax enforcement. Using the time variation in IMC creation across municipalities, we show that IMC substantially reduces the tax gap by reinforcing tax enforcement in local governments. Our findings suggest that enhanced administrative capability in tax enforcement can be an effective tool against noncompliance in ways other than facilitating voluntary compliance.
本研究探讨了加强行政税收执法对税收差距的影响,重点是城市间合作(IMC)。整合税收管理涉及多个城市之间的协同税收工作,并促进税收资源和专业知识的聚集,从而改善税收执法。利用城市间税收整合整合产生的时间变化,我们发现,通过加强地方政府的税收执法,税收整合整合大大缩小了税收差距。我们的研究结果表明,加强税务执法的行政能力可以成为除促进自愿合规以外的对抗违规行为的有效工具。
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引用次数: 0
Urban pull: The roles of amenities and employment 城市拉动:便利设施和就业的作用
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104127
Naomi Hausman , Peleg Samuels , Maxime Cohen , Roy Sasson
This paper leverages new measurement of neighborhood consumption amenities to demonstrate that housing prices and rents in U.S. cities are likely determined nearly as much by access to amenities as by access to employment. We extend the Alonso–Muth–Mills model, allowing residents to derive utility from within-city trips to amenities. The model delivers standard estimable log-linear pricing equations as well as new measures of local amenities—based on a destination’s popularity during leisure hours—and of access to consumption amenities city wide. We find our amenity measures add substantial explanatory power, have large effects in magnitude, and reduce naive estimates of commute costs by 30%. Elasticities of rents with respect to employment access are 20%–50% larger than those with respect to amenity access. The findings hold using a variety of alternative measures and are neither driven by density nor fully explained by the locations of business establishments. These results suggest the potential resilience of cities to changes in employment locations.
本文利用社区消费便利设施的新测量方法来证明,美国城市的房价和租金可能几乎是由便利设施和就业机会决定的。我们扩展了阿隆索-穆特-米尔斯模式,允许居民从城市内的旅行中获得便利。该模型提供了标准的可估计的对数线性定价方程,以及基于目的地在休闲时间的受欢迎程度和在全市范围内获得消费便利设施的新措施。我们发现,我们的便利措施增加了大量的解释力,在量级上产生了巨大的影响,并将通勤成本的天真估计减少了30%。与就业机会相关的租金弹性比与便利设施相关的租金弹性大20%-50%。使用各种替代措施得出的结论是成立的,既不受密度的影响,也不完全由商业机构的位置来解释。这些结果表明,城市对就业地点的变化具有潜在的弹性。
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引用次数: 0
Restoring inland prosperity: The impact of the New International Land-Sea Corridor on corporate internationalization and regional wealth gaps 恢复内陆繁荣:新国际陆海走廊对企业国际化和区域贫富差距的影响
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104135
Bozong Yuan , Xinzhi Zhang
Enabling inland regions in developing countries to participate in the global market and overcome poverty remains a significant challenge. In this study, we use the International Land-Sea Trade Corridor (ILSTC) strategy as a quasi-natural experiment exploring the impact of inland infrastructure development on the internationalization of manufacturing enterprises located over 1000 km from the ocean. Our findings indicate that the construction of ILSTC significantly increases the likelihood, by 5.6 %, of these inland enterprises engaging in international markets. Further analysis reveals that the reduction in geographical distance primarily enhances the likelihood of enterprise internationalization by boosting export and import activities, outward investment, and participation of foreign suppliers. Furthermore, heterogeneity analysis shows the positive impact of the ILSTC to be more pronounced in smaller-scale companies facing stronger financial constraints. The macroeconomic impact test shows that the strategy has led to a 1.7 % increase in residents' income, a 3.5 % increase in per capita GDP, and a 7.6 % rise in per capita light intensity, contributing to narrowing the wealth gap between inland and coastal regions.
使发展中国家的内陆地区能够参与全球市场和克服贫困仍然是一项重大挑战。本研究以国际陆海贸易走廊(ILSTC)战略为准自然实验,探讨内陆基础设施发展对距离海洋1000公里以上的制造业企业国际化的影响。我们的研究结果表明,ILSTC的建设显著提高了这些内陆企业参与国际市场的可能性,提高了5.6%。进一步分析表明,地理距离的减小主要通过促进进出口活动、对外投资和外国供应商的参与来提高企业国际化的可能性。此外,异质性分析表明,在面临更强财务约束的小型公司中,ILSTC的积极影响更为明显。宏观经济影响测试表明,该战略导致居民收入增长1.7%,人均GDP增长3.5%,人均光照强度提高7.6%,有助于缩小内陆和沿海地区的贫富差距。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating commuter benefits of a new transit system: Evidence from New York City’s ferry service 估算新交通系统的通勤效益:来自纽约市渡轮服务的证据
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104132
Justin Tyndall
This paper estimates the impact of a new transit system on worker outcomes, accounting for endogenous worker decisions. I examine the phased opening of New York City’s commuter ferry system. I find evidence of a small but significant shift in commuting flows, towards routes with ferry service, driven by middle-to-high-income workers. I then propose and estimate a novel structural neighborhood choice model that recovers workers’ valuation of ferry service and the aggregate effects of the system on employment. Higher-income workers display a stronger preference for the ferry. Ferry routes also match the location preferences of higher-income workers, allowing these workers to capture almost all direct benefits from the new system. Differing home and work location preferences across income groups largely determine who benefits from a new transit system.
本文估计了一个新的交通系统对工人产出的影响,考虑了内生的工人决策。我研究了纽约市通勤轮渡系统的分阶段开放。我发现有证据表明,由中高收入工人驱动的通勤流正在向有轮渡服务的路线转变,这种转变幅度虽小,但意义重大。然后,我提出并估计了一个新的结构性邻里选择模型,该模型恢复了工人对轮渡服务的评价和系统对就业的总体影响。收入较高的工人更喜欢乘坐渡轮。渡轮路线也符合高收入工人的地点偏好,使这些工人几乎可以从新系统中获得所有直接利益。不同收入群体对家庭和工作地点的不同偏好,在很大程度上决定了谁能从新的交通系统中受益。
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引用次数: 0
Productivity and wage effects of an exogenous improvement in transport infrastructure: Accessibility and the Great Belt Bridge 交通基础设施外生改善对生产率和工资的影响:可达性和大带桥
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2025.104133
Bruno De Borger , Ismir Mulalic , Jan Rouwendal
In this paper, we study the productivity and wage effects of a large and very localized discrete shock in the quality of transport infrastructure, viz. the opening of the Great Belt Bridge connecting the Copenhagen area with the neighboring island Funen and the mainland of Denmark. We focus on two effects: (i) an accessibility externality, captured via changes in an accessibility indicator at the municipal level; (ii) better matching of workers to jobs, enabled by to the shorter travel times after the opening of the bridge. We can disentangle the accessibility and matching effects, because better matching is only realized via new commutes crossing the Great Belt after the opening of the bridge. Our results show that the increased accessibility had significant positive effects on productivity as well as wages, the latter being much more localized. The productivity effects of improved labour market matching are larger than the accessibility effects, but they are restricted to a small share of the firms. We find a modest wage effect of better matching, suggesting that employees get a small wage increase on top of the commuting cost savings associated with the opening of the bridge. Overall, the estimates suggest that firms benefited more from the opening of the bridge than did workers. Moreover, the bridge benefited mainly highly educated and male workers, and it increased wage inequality.
在本文中,我们研究了交通基础设施质量的巨大且非常局部的离散冲击对生产率和工资的影响,即连接哥本哈根地区与邻近的福嫩岛和丹麦大陆的大带桥的开通。我们关注两个效应:(i)可达性外部性,通过城市一级可达性指标的变化来捕捉;(ii)在大桥通车后,更短的交通时间使工人与工作更匹配。我们可以将可达性和匹配效果分开,因为更好的匹配只有在大桥开通后通过新的通勤穿越大带才能实现。我们的研究结果表明,可达性的提高对生产率和工资都有显著的积极影响,后者更加本地化。改善劳动力市场匹配的生产率效应大于可及性效应,但它们仅限于一小部分公司。我们发现更好的匹配带来了适度的工资效应,这表明,除了与大桥开通相关的通勤成本节约之外,员工的工资还会有小幅增长。总的来说,这些估计表明,公司从大桥的开通中获得的利益比工人更多。此外,大桥的受益者主要是受过高等教育的男性工人,而且它加剧了工资不平等。
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引用次数: 0
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Regional Science and Urban Economics
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