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Centrality bias in inter-city trade 城市间贸易的中心性偏差
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104060
Tomoya Mori , Jens Wrona
Using Japanese inter-city trade data, we find a substantial centrality bias in aggregate gravity estimations: Shipments from large cities (central places) to their hinterland are 50%–125% larger than predicted by gravity forces. We argue that this discrepancy results from aggregating across industries, that concentrate in a few central places, which predominantly serve their respective hinterlands. Decomposing the centrality bias along the margins of our data, we attribute most of the centrality bias to substantially larger extensive industry margins in exports from larger cities to their smaller hinterland cities than vice versa.
利用日本的城市间贸易数据,我们发现在总体引力估算中存在很大的中心性偏差:从大城市(中心城市)到其腹地的出货量比引力预测的大 50%-125%。我们认为,这种差异是由于各行业的汇总造成的,这些行业集中在少数几个中心地带,而这些中心地带主要服务于各自的腹地。通过对数据边缘的中心性偏差进行分解,我们将大部分中心性偏差归因于大城市向其腹地小城市出口的广泛产业边缘比反向大得多。
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引用次数: 0
The fiscal effects of immigration on local governments: Revisiting the Mariel Boatlift 移民对地方政府的财政影响:重新审视马里埃尔漂流事件
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104053
Travis St. Clair
Immigration raises important political and economic questions, yet there remains considerable disagreement about its short- and long-term consequences. This paper examines the fiscal consequences of immigration for local governments. Previous work has highlighted the gap between the long-term economic benefits of immigration and the short-term fiscal burden posed by recent arrivals, however several influential estimates based on cash-flow accounting suffer from potential bias. I use a quasi-experimental approach to re-examine a famous case: the large wave of Cuban refugees that landed in Miami in 1980, otherwise known as the Mariel Boatlift. Using a synthetic control design, I find that per-pupil education costs increased in Miami in the aftermath of the Boatlift, financed by an increase in state transfers. These effects persisted for at least ten years. The results shed light on the heterogeneous impacts of immigration over time and space.
移民问题提出了重要的政治和经济问题,但对其短期和长期后果仍存在相当大的分歧。本文探讨了移民对地方政府的财政影响。以往的研究强调了移民带来的长期经济效益与新移民造成的短期财政负担之间的差距,但一些基于现金流会计的有影响力的估算存在潜在偏差。我采用准实验方法重新研究了一个著名案例:1980 年登陆迈阿密的大批古巴难民潮,又称 "马里埃尔船运"。利用合成控制设计,我发现 "马里埃尔船运 "事件后,迈阿密的生均教育成本增加了,资金来源是国家转移支付的增加。这些影响至少持续了十年。这些结果揭示了移民在时间和空间上的异质性影响。
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引用次数: 0
Public firms on an international border: A model of spatial price discrimination 国际边界上的上市公司:空间价格歧视模型
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104054
John S. Heywood , Zheng Wang
This paper uniquely examines an international mixed oligopoly in a model of spatial price discrimination. It isolates the importance of the location of the border showing a variety of equilibria depending on the nationality and placement of the private rivals. While the presence of a public firm often improves domestic welfare, it need not. Moreover, a prisoner's dilemma can exist in which each country would benefit from the privatization of both public firms but neither country has a unilateral incentive to privatize. The implications are discussed.
本文在空间价格歧视模型中对国际混合寡头垄断进行了独特的研究。它孤立地分析了边界位置的重要性,并根据私营竞争对手的国籍和位置显示了多种均衡。虽然公营企业的存在往往会提高国内福利,但也并非一定如此。此外,囚徒困境也可能存在,即每个国家都会从两家公营公司的私有化中受益,但两国都没有单方面私有化的动机。本文讨论了其影响。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial externalities, R&D spillovers, and endogenous technological change 空间外部性、研发溢出效应和内生技术变革
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104055
Spyridon Tsangaris , Anastasios Xepapadeas , Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos , Luca Salvati
Forward-looking economic agents operating in a finite continuous geographic area choose how much to innovate at each point in time and space. Based on this assumption, the present study incorporates spatial interactions in endogenous growth models, addressing the criticism that such models are inconsistent with empirical evidence. More specifically, we introduce spatial production spillovers, knowledge diffusion across space, and the capability for spatial heterogeneity into a standard expanding variety growth model based on R&D. We study the properties of equilibrium and optimal allocations and argue that the characteristics are different from those of the non-spatial model, which alter the appropriate policy measures. Finally, we provide numerical examples demonstrating the importance of spatial dependent policy measures in achieving a balanced regional development.
在有限连续地理区域内运作的前瞻性经济主体会选择在每个时间和空间点进行多少创新。基于这一假设,本研究将空间互动纳入内生增长模型,以解决此类模型与经验证据不一致的批评。更具体地说,我们将空间生产溢出效应、跨空间知识扩散和空间异质性能力引入基于研发的标准扩大品种增长模型。我们研究了均衡和最优分配的特性,认为这些特性与非空间模型的特性不同,从而改变了适当的政策措施。最后,我们提供了一些数字实例,证明了依赖空间的政策措施在实现区域平衡发展方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Brand loyalty, managerial delegation and position choices: Bertrand versus Cournot competition 品牌忠诚度、管理授权和职位选择:伯特兰竞争与库诺竞争
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104052
Tai-Liang Chen , Mingjie Yang
In a mature product market, brands compete aggressively with each other using a marketing mix that includes position, pricing, and managerial delegation to win loyal customers and gain a larger market share. We examine the effects of brand loyalty on the endogenous choices of managerial compensation contracts and optimal brand positions in an uncovered market model. We analytically compare 18 symmetric and asymmetric mutual delegation cases associated with three delegation schemes—no delegation, sales delegation and relative performance (RP) delegation—in the Bertrand and Cournot competition modes. In the case of symmetric mutual contracts, under Bertrand competition, a price commitment effect resulting from the delegation decision weakens the competition, inducing higher prices and profits for both brands regardless of the type of delegation scheme. Under Cournot competition, delegation decisions can be viewed as signals to promote competition, intensifying the degree of competition. To acquire more loyal customers and higher profits, mutual RP delegation is the dominant choice under Bertrand competition, whereas mutual profit maximization is the dominant choice under Cournot competition. Furthermore, the social welfare is the highest when both brands optimally choose the RP delegation under Bertrand or optimally choose no delegation under Cournot; however, consumer surpluses are the lowest in both optimal cases.
在一个成熟的产品市场中,品牌之间会利用包括定位、定价和管理授权在内的营销组合展开激烈竞争,以赢得忠诚客户和更大的市场份额。我们在一个无覆盖市场模型中研究了品牌忠诚度对经理报酬合同和最佳品牌地位的内生选择的影响。我们分析比较了伯特兰竞争模式和库诺竞争模式下与三种委托方案--无委托、销售委托和相对业绩(RP)委托--相关的 18 种对称和非对称相互委托情况。在对称相互委托的情况下,在伯特兰竞争模式下,委托决策所产生的价格承诺效应会削弱竞争,从而导致两个品牌的价格和利润都提高,而不管委托方案的类型如何。在库诺竞争下,委托决策可视为促进竞争的信号,会加剧竞争程度。为了获得更多忠诚客户和更高利润,在伯特兰竞争下,相互 RP 委托是主要选择,而在库诺竞争下,相互利润最大化是主要选择。此外,当两个品牌在伯特兰竞争中都最优化地选择 RP 授权或在库诺竞争中都最优化地选择不授权时,社会福利最高;但在两种最优情况下,消费者盈余都最低。
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引用次数: 0
The role of historic amenities in shaping cities 历史景观在塑造城市中的作用
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104042
Miquel-Àngel Garcia-López , Elisabet Viladecans-Marsal

The existence of amenities matters to understanding people’s residential choices. Our theoretical model extends the standard urban model by introducing exogenous amenities to explain population allocation within cities. To estimate the model predictions, we focus on historic amenities using detailed geolocated data for 579 European cities. We analyze how the shape of city centers endowed or not endowed with these amenities is affected. We measure historic amenities with the location of buildings from the Roman, Medieval, and Renaissance–Baroque periods. Our results show that cities with historic buildings in their centers have steeper population density gradients, are more compact and centralized, and have been less affected by the suburbanization processes caused by transportation improvements. Heterogeneity analyses show that the quantity and the quality of historic buildings also matter. Several robustness checks controlling for natural and modern amenities and testing for the spatial scope of these amenities verify our main results.

便利设施的存在对于理解人们的居住选择至关重要。我们的理论模型对标准城市模型进行了扩展,引入了外生便利设施来解释城市内的人口分布。为了估算模型的预测结果,我们利用 579 个欧洲城市的详细地理位置数据,重点研究了历史上的便利设施。我们分析了拥有或不拥有这些便利设施的城市中心的形态是如何受到影响的。我们用罗马、中世纪和文艺复兴-巴洛克时期建筑的位置来衡量历史设施。我们的研究结果表明,市中心有历史建筑的城市人口密度梯度更陡,更加紧凑和集中,受交通改善造成的郊区化进程的影响较小。异质性分析表明,历史建筑的数量和质量也很重要。一些稳健性检验控制了自然和现代设施,并检验了这些设施的空间范围,从而验证了我们的主要结果。
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引用次数: 0
Capital as an anchor of agricultural employment: Evidence from the 1975 frost 资本是农业就业的支柱:1975 年霜冻的证据
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104041
Bruno Barsanetti

How do temporary shocks affect the spatial distribution of employment in agriculture? I investigate this question by examining the 1975 frost that damaged coffee trees in Brazil. I find that the frost persistently affected the spatial distribution of employment in agriculture. To identify the effects of the capital destruction from the frost, I compare changes in agricultural employment across local economies that had different coffee tree densities right before the frost and that were differently affected by the extreme weather. The frost resulted in a persistent decline in agricultural employment. The findings are consistent with a history versus expectations model in which fixed and specific capital (such as coffee trees) prevents multiple equilibria despite strategic complementarities in crop choice.

临时冲击如何影响农业就业的空间分布?我通过研究 1975 年对巴西咖啡树造成损害的霜冻来探讨这个问题。我发现,霜冻持续影响了农业就业的空间分布。为了确定霜冻对资本破坏的影响,我比较了霜冻前咖啡树密度不同、受极端天气影响不同的地方经济中农业就业的变化。霜冻导致农业就业率持续下降。研究结果符合历史与预期模型,在该模型中,尽管作物选择具有战略互补性,但固定资本和特定资本(如咖啡树)会阻碍多重均衡。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic agglomeration effects of foreigners and natives – The role of experience in high-quality sectors, tasks and establishments 外国人和本国人的动态集聚效应 - 高质量部门、任务和机构的经验作用
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104040
Annekatrin Niebuhr , Jan Cornelius Peters , Duncan H.W. Roth

We analyze whether the benefits of work experience that was acquired in denser locations can be explained by the quality of jobs that can be found in agglomerations using administrative data on individual employment biographies of workers in Germany. We find that 79% of the premium for work experience gained in the densest regions can be ascribed to the sectors, tasks and establishments in which experience was acquired. Moreover, we find that foreign and native workers, on average, benefit to a similar extent from dynamic agglomeration effects. However, low-skilled foreign workers receive a lower return to experience gained in dense regions than observationally identical natives. This difference can be explained by the fact that the former gain work experience in lower-quality jobs.

我们利用德国工人个人就业简历的行政数据,分析了在密集地区获得的工作经验的益处是否可以通过在聚集区找到的工作的质量来解释。我们发现,在最密集地区获得的工作经验溢价的 79% 可归因于获得经验的部门、任务和机构。此外,我们还发现,平均而言,外国工人和本地工人从动态集聚效应中获益的程度相似。然而,低技能外国工人在密集地区获得的经验回报低于观察相同的本地工人。这种差异可以用前者在低质量工作中获得工作经验这一事实来解释。
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引用次数: 0
Revisiting property tax capitalization 重新审视财产税资本化
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104039
Xueying Lyu

This paper investigates the extent of property tax capitalization in the context of a progressive property tax pilot in Shanghai. I utilize a difference-in-differences approach by comparing neighborhoods with different tax rates before and after the implementation of the property taxes. Neighborhoods with a 0.2 percentage point higher marginal property tax rate experience a roughly 2.73% decrease in housing prices relative to their counterparts. The result reflects that at least 71% of expected property tax liabilities are capitalized into housing prices in a year. These changes also imply a large wealth redistribution as large as 2.68 years of average disposable income across homeowners.

本文研究了在上海试点累进房产税背景下房产税资本化的程度。我采用差分法,比较了房产税实施前后不同税率的居民区。房产税边际税率高出 0.2 个百分点的居民区,其房价相对于同类居民区下降了约 2.73%。这一结果反映了至少 71% 的预期房产税负债在一年内被资本化到了房价中。这些变化也意味着财富的大幅再分配,相当于房主 2.68 年的平均可支配收入。
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引用次数: 0
Re-evaluating the urban wage premium: The changing roles of geographical and job transitions for women and men 重新评估城市工资溢价:地域和工作转换对女性和男性不断变化的作用2
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104038
Sabine D'Costa

This paper investigates gender as a new source of heterogeneity in the urban wage premium, using a representative panel of 1.2 million worker observations in Great Britain over the period 1999–2019. Pre-2008, women's urban wage premium was more than twice as large as men's (2.8% versus 1.2%), but this difference disappears during the Financial Crisis as women's urban wage premium drastically and permanently drops. This drop is due to the disappearance of women's relative sharing advantages. Moreover, contrary to men, women's urban wage premium is now driven by a wage penalty incurred when changing occupation while transitioning from urban to rural jobs.

本文利用 1999-2019 年间英国 120 万工人的代表性面板观测数据,研究了作为城市工资溢价异质性新来源的性别问题。2008 年之前,女性的城市工资溢价是男性的两倍多(2.8% 对 1.2%),但在金融危机期间,这一差异消失了,因为女性的城市工资溢价急剧并永久性地下降了。这种下降是由于女性的相对分享优势消失了。此外,与男性不同的是,女性的城市工资溢价现在是由从城市工作向农村工作转换职业时产生的工资惩罚所驱动的。
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引用次数: 0
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Regional Science and Urban Economics
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