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Does the winner take it all? Federal policies and political extremism 赢者通吃吗?联邦政策与政治极端主义
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.103986
Gianmarco Daniele , Amedeo Piolatto , Willem Sas

Whether citizens like or dislike federal policies often depends on regional differences. Because of geography, (economic) history or other path-dependent factors, certain regions are perceived to get more out of the union than others. We show that citizens, therefore, have a strategic incentive to elect Federal delegates that are more extreme than the representative voter. The intensity of such strategic delegation is U-shaped in expected benefits. The predictions of our model hence rationalise the voting differences we observe in the data between national and EU elections.

公民喜欢还是不喜欢联邦政策往往取决于地区差异。由于地理、(经济)历史或其他路径依赖因素,某些地区被认为能从联邦中获得比其他地区更多的好处。因此,我们的研究表明,公民有战略动机选出比代表性选民更极端的联邦代表。这种战略授权的强度与预期收益呈 U 型关系。因此,我们模型的预测合理地解释了我们从数据中观察到的国家选举和欧盟选举之间的投票差异。
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引用次数: 0
Fire protection services and house prices: A regression discontinuity investigation 消防服务与房价:回归不连续调查
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.103984
David M. Brasington, Olivier Parent

Despite its importance as a public good, little research studies how fire protection services affect housing markets or other economic outcomes. We focus on fire levies that are up for renewal so that the timing of the levy is exogenous, to help preserve the independence of votes. We use regression discontinuity to compare the price of houses in fire districts that barely pass and fail to renew a fire tax levy. House values drop at least 6.7 % the year after a community votes to cut fire protection funding, which is a quarter of a standard deviation of sale price and larger than the capitalization of crime, school quality, or environmental quality. Tax levies representing more than the median 18.8 % funding drop elicit a larger drop in house prices. The short-term decrease does not persist, though, suggesting limited awareness and a decline in risk perception over time by buyers and sellers.

尽管消防服务作为一种公共产品非常重要,但很少有人研究消防服务如何影响住房市场或其他经济成果。我们将重点放在需要更新的消防税上,这样征税的时间就是外生的,有助于保持投票的独立性。我们使用回归不连续法来比较勉强通过和未能续征消防税的消防区的房屋价格。在社区投票决定削减消防资金后的一年,房屋价值至少会下降 6.7%,这是销售价格标准差的四分之一,大于犯罪、学校质量或环境质量的资本化。征税比例超过 18.8% 的资金下降中位数会导致房价的更大幅度下降。不过,短期降幅并未持续,这表明随着时间的推移,买卖双方对风险的认识有限,风险意识下降。
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引用次数: 0
Decarbonizing passenger transportation in developing countries: Lessons and perspectives1 发展中国家客运去碳化:经验教训与展望
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.103977
Shanjun Li , Binglin Wang , Hui Zhou

This paper examines the challenges and opportunities in decarbonizing the passenger road transportation sector by reviewing recent empirical evidence and drawing lessons for developing countries. It first identifies the advantages and disadvantages of various policy instruments to promote modal shifts and vehicle fuel efficiency, and then discusses the potential impacts of electrification and ride-hailing in transportation decarbonization. While developing countries face formidable challenges in reducing carbon emissions from passenger transportation due to income and population growth, the paper argues that a unique window of opportunity exists to foster a culture of sustainable travel behavior by expanding public transit in combination with market-based pricing policies.

本文通过回顾近期的经验证据,总结发展中国家的经验教训,探讨了公路客运部门去碳化的挑战和机遇。它首先指出了促进模式转变和车辆燃料效率的各种政策工具的优缺点,然后讨论了电气化和打车服务在交通去碳化中的潜在影响。由于收入和人口的增长,发展中国家在减少客运碳排放方面面临严峻挑战,但本文认为,通过扩大公共交通并结合市场定价政策来培养可持续的出行行为文化,是一个独特的机会之窗。
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引用次数: 0
Root growing and path dependence in location choice: Evidence from Danish refugee placement 地点选择中的根源增长和路径依赖:丹麦难民安置的证据
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103975
Farid Farrokhi , David Jinkins

Does spending time in a location cause a person to stay there longer? We use a 1999 change in Danish refugee settlement policy to address this question. The policy change strongly encouraged refugees to stay in their assigned settlement municipality for at least three years. Using empirical designs for natural experiments, we find that treated refugees were more likely to be in their assigned location many years after their residence was granted. In a difference-in-differences specification, treated refugees were 4.8 percentage points more likely to remain in their first commuting zone 13 years later. A regression discontinuity design delivers a larger but less precise point estimate.

在一个地方呆久了,是否会导致一个人在那里呆得更久?我们利用 1999 年丹麦难民安置政策的变化来解决这个问题。这一政策变化大力鼓励难民在指定的安置城市至少居住三年。利用自然实验的经验设计,我们发现,接受治疗的难民更有可能在获得居留权多年后仍留在指定地点。在差分模型中,接受治疗的难民在 13 年后留在其第一通勤区的可能性要高出 4.8 个百分点。回归不连续设计提供了一个更大但不太精确的点估计值。
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引用次数: 0
Does space matter? The case of the housing expenditure cap 空间重要吗?住房开支上限案例
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103974
Yifan Gong , Charles Ka Yui Leung

In our evaluation of the housing expenditure share cap, a macroprudential policy, we discover the importance of modeling space. In a spatial model, the equilibrium features income-based spatial sorting where a household competes with households of their own income type for residential space. As a result, the cap policy causes a larger drop in housing demand, and consequently a larger reduction in equilibrium housing prices, for constrained low-income families than for unconstrained high-income families. Depending on the assumption on households’ preference, this mechanism leads to a smaller increase or even a modest decrease in welfare inequality in a spatial model than in a spaceless model.

在评估住房支出份额上限这一宏观审慎政策时,我们发现了空间建模的重要性。在空间模型中,均衡的特点是基于收入的空间排序,即家庭与自己收入类型的家庭竞争居住空间。因此,与不受限制的高收入家庭相比,上限政策会导致受限制的低收入家庭的住房需求下降更多,从而导致均衡房价下降更多。根据对家庭偏好的假设,在有空间模型中,这一机制导致的福利不平等的增加甚至适度减少要小于无空间模型。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring the air pollution benefits of public transport projects 衡量公共交通项目的空气污染效益
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103976
Maureen Cropper , Palak Suri

We discuss two approaches to estimating the air quality impacts of public transit projects, focusing on Metro projects in the context of developing countries: air quality modeling and reduced-form econometric methods. As we illustrate, pollution reductions due to Metro projects implied by pollutant chemistry, vehicle emissions factors, and modal shifts may differ from econometric estimates of the impact of transit projects on ambient pollution concentrations. We discuss both approaches and illustrate how economics researchers can use estimated emissions reductions associated with a transit project and pollutant chemistry as a check on their estimates of changes in ambient concentrations.

我们以发展中国家的地铁项目为重点,讨论了估算公共交通项目对空气质量影响的两种方法:空气质量建模和简化计量经济学方法。正如我们所说明的,污染物化学成分、车辆排放系数和模式转变所隐含的地铁项目污染减排效果可能与计量经济学估算的公交项目对环境污染浓度的影响不同。我们将讨论这两种方法,并说明经济学研究人员如何使用与公交项目和污染物化学成分相关的减排估算值来检验他们对环境浓度变化的估算值。
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引用次数: 0
Residential sorting, local environments, and human capital 住宅分类、当地环境和人力资本
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103972
Nicolai V. Kuminoff , Sophie M. Mathes

We consider the implications of unifying the distinct literatures on residential sorting and human capital dynamics. We argue that integrating insights from recent work in both areas has important implications for future research at the intersection of environmental and urban economics. To focus attention on these implications, we summarize stylized facts from recent empirical work on residential sorting and on the effects of exposures to environmental factors on human capital. Then we outline a simple overlapping generations model that reproduces these stylized facts and use it to guide our discussion on directions for future research.

我们考虑了统一住宅分类和人力资本动态方面不同文献的意义。我们认为,整合这两个领域最新研究的观点对未来环境经济学和城市经济学交叉领域的研究具有重要意义。为了集中关注这些影响,我们总结了近期关于居住地排序和环境因素对人力资本影响的实证研究中的典型事实。然后,我们概述了一个简单的世代重叠模型,该模型再现了这些典型事实,并用它来指导我们对未来研究方向的讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Do cities mitigate or exacerbate environmental damages to health? 城市会减轻还是加剧环境对健康的损害?
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103973
David Molitor , Corey White

Do environmental conditions pose greater health risks to individuals living in urban or rural areas? The answer is theoretically ambiguous: while urban areas have traditionally been associated with heightened exposure to environmental pollutants, the economies of scale and density inherent to urban environments offer unique opportunities for mitigating or adapting to these harmful exposures. To make progress on this question, we focus on the United States and consider how exposures – to air pollution, drinking water pollution, and extreme temperatures – and the response to those exposures differ across urban and rural settings. While prior studies have addressed some aspects of these issues, substantial gaps in knowledge remain, in large part due to historical deficiencies in monitoring and reporting, especially in rural areas. As a step toward closing these gaps, we present new evidence on urban–rural differences in air quality and population sensitivity to air pollution, leveraging recent advances in remote sensing measurement and machine learning. We find that the urban–rural gap in fine particulate matter (PM2.5) has converged over the last two decades and the remaining gap is small relative to the overall declines. Furthermore, we find that residents of urban counties are, on average, less vulnerable to the mortality effects of PM2.5 exposure. We also discuss promising areas for future research.

环境条件是否对生活在城市或农村地区的人构成更大的健康风险?答案在理论上是模棱两可的:虽然城市地区传统上与更高的环境污染物暴露有关,但城市环境固有的规模经济和密度为减轻或适应这些有害暴露提供了独特的机会。为了在这一问题上取得进展,我们将重点放在美国,并考虑在城市和农村环境中,空气污染、饮用水污染和极端温度的暴露以及对这些暴露的反应有何不同。虽然之前的研究已经解决了这些问题的某些方面,但在知识方面仍然存在很大差距,这在很大程度上是由于监测和报告方面的历史缺陷造成的,尤其是在农村地区。为了缩小这些差距,我们利用遥感测量和机器学习方面的最新进展,提出了有关城乡空气质量差异和人口对空气污染敏感性的新证据。我们发现,在过去二十年中,细颗粒物(PM2.5)的城乡差距有所收敛,相对于整体下降而言,剩余差距较小。此外,我们还发现,平均而言,城市地区的居民更不容易受到 PM2.5 暴露的死亡影响。我们还讨论了未来有望开展研究的领域。
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引用次数: 0
The rise of e-commerce and generational consumption inequality: Evidence from COVID-19 in South Korea 电子商务的兴起与代际消费不平等:来自韩国 COVID-19 的证据
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103971
Hyunbae Chun , Eunjee Kwon , Dongyun Yang

This paper investigates how the local COVID-19 outbreak, acting as a sudden negative shock to mobility and accessibility, led to a significant generational disparity, with younger people benefiting disproportionately from the ability to transition to online consumption. Employing credit card transaction data linked to cardholders’ demographic characteristics, we construct online spending shares by age group to study the generational disparity in online consumption when consumer mobility was constrained. We estimate a difference-in-difference model based on an exogenous regional outbreak of COVID-19 in South Korea. Our results show that when the mobility costs to offline stores unexpectedly increased due to the pandemic, middle-aged and older adults (aged 45 and above) were less likely to shift their spending online than younger adults (aged 20–44). The limited shift to the online consumption of older people resulted in decreases in their total consumption, while that of younger ones changed little, thereby increasing generational consumption inequality. With the rising trend in e-commerce, our findings emphasize the growing importance of generational differences in adapting to new shopping technologies.

本文研究了当地 COVID-19 疫情的爆发如何对流动性和可及性造成突然的负面冲击,从而导致显著的代际差异,其中年轻人从过渡到在线消费的能力中获益过多。利用与持卡人人口特征相关联的信用卡交易数据,我们构建了按年龄组划分的在线消费份额,以研究消费者流动性受限时在线消费的代际差异。我们基于韩国 COVID-19 的外生地区爆发,对差分模型进行了估计。我们的结果表明,当线下商店的流动成本因疫情而意外增加时,中老年人(45 岁及以上)比年轻人(20-44 岁)更不可能将消费转移到网上。中老年人向网上消费的有限转移导致其消费总额下降,而年轻人的消费总额变化不大,从而加剧了代际消费不平等。随着电子商务趋势的上升,我们的研究结果强调了代际差异在适应新购物技术方面日益重要的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Commuting barriers to low-wage employment 低工资就业的通勤障碍
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103970
Scott Abrahams , James Mabli

Lack of access to affordable transportation has been hypothesized to be a barrier to employment among low-wage workers. We build a structural job search model to investigate how commuting costs influence the employment decisions of low-wage workers in the United States, and whether differences in commuting by race and education can explain observed disparities in employment. We find that commuting itself poses a significant barrier to overall low-wage employment, as the associated costs are high relative to potential wages. However, we find that inter-group differences in commuting costs account for a much smaller fraction of inter-group employment disparities than do differences in other labor market factors such as the wage offer distribution and offer arrival rates.

缺乏负担得起的交通工具被认为是低薪工人就业的一个障碍。我们建立了一个结构性求职模型,以研究通勤成本如何影响美国低薪工人的就业决策,以及不同种族和教育程度的通勤差异能否解释所观察到的就业差异。我们发现,通勤本身对整体低薪就业构成了重大障碍,因为相对于潜在工资而言,相关成本较高。然而,我们发现,通勤成本的群体间差异在群体间就业差异中所占的比例远远小于其他劳动力市场因素的差异,如工资报酬分布和报酬到达率。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Regional Science and Urban Economics
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