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Refugee reception, extreme-right voting, and compositional amenities: Evidence from Italian municipalities 难民接待、极右翼投票和组成便利设施:来自意大利市政当局的证据
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103892
Matteo Gamalerio , Mario Luca , Alessio Romarri , Max Viskanic

We use data from Italy to study the political and social impact of a refugee reception policy (SPRAR) directly managed by local governments, whose features recall the conditions of the contact theory (Allport, 1954). Instrumental variables estimates indicate that municipalities that opened a refugee center between the 2013 and 2018 national elections experienced a change in the vote shares of extreme-right parties that is approximately 7 percentage points lower compared to municipalities that did not open a refugee center. We document that the positive impact of SPRARs on “compositional amenities” (i.e., local schools) and population growth allows explaining the negative impact on anti-immigrant prejudice. Finally, we provide evidence of spillovers in prejudice reduction in neighboring municipalities without a SPRAR.

我们使用意大利的数据来研究由地方政府直接管理的难民接收政策(SPRAR)的政治和社会影响,其特征让人想起了接触理论的条件(Allport,1954)。工具变量估计表明,在2013年至2018年全国选举期间开设难民中心的市镇,极右翼政党的选票份额发生了变化,与未开设难民中心市镇相比,下降了约7个百分点。我们记录了SPRAR对“组合便利设施”(即当地学校)和人口增长的积极影响,这可以解释对反移民偏见的负面影响。最后,我们提供了证据,证明在没有SPRAR的情况下,邻近城市在减少偏见方面存在溢出效应。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of property taxes on businesses: Evidence from a dynamic regression discontinuity approach 财产税对企业的影响:来自动态回归不连续方法的证据
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103895
Ali Enami , C. Lockwood Reynolds , Shawn M. Rohlin

We employ a dynamic regression discontinuity design comparing business outcomes in areas that passed additional school property taxes to business outcomes in areas that failed to do so. On average, these referenda increase local property taxes by approximately 8 percent. We find little evidence that passage of a property tax referendum influences the total number of establishments in the district in the following years. Further, there is little evidence that property taxes affect total establishment births or deaths. Heterogeneity analysis does not find differences across various measures of firm exposure to property taxes.

我们采用了一种动态回归不连续性设计,将通过额外学校财产税的地区的商业成果与未通过的地区的经营成果进行比较。平均而言,这些公投使地方财产税增加了约8%。我们几乎没有发现任何证据表明,财产税公投的通过会影响该地区未来几年的企业总数。此外,几乎没有证据表明财产税会影响机构的总出生或死亡人数。异质性分析没有发现企业财产税敞口的各种衡量标准之间的差异。
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引用次数: 1
The income consequences of a managed retreat 有管理的撤退带来的收入后果
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103896
Thoa Hoang , Ilan Noy

Managed retreat is the relocation of households out of harm's way. After the 2011 Christchurch (New Zealand) earthquake, around 16000 people were thus relocated in a managed retreat program. We use administrative panel data (2004–2018) to identify the effects of this managed retreat on the relocated population. We find that, compared to the non-relocated residents, the relocated population experienced a significant initial decrease in their wages, and in their total income. Wages of those who were relocated were reduced by around $NZ 1900. Women faced greater absolute and relative decreases in wages. This finding has direct implications for the compensation packages that should be proposed for managed retreat programs.

有管理的撤退是将家庭转移到远离危险的地方。2011年克赖斯特彻奇(新西兰)地震后,约16000人在一项有管理的撤退计划中被重新安置。我们使用行政面板数据(2004-2008)来确定这种有管理的撤退对搬迁人口的影响。我们发现,与非拆迁居民相比,拆迁人口的工资和总收入在最初都出现了显著下降。搬迁人员的工资减少了约1900新西兰元。妇女面临着更大的工资绝对和相对下降。这一发现对应该为有管理的务虚会项目提出的薪酬方案有直接影响。
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引用次数: 0
The economics of China’s between-city height competition: A regression discontinuity approach 中国城市间高度竞争的经济学:一个非连续性回归方法
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103881
Jiaxuan Lu

In this article, I use a regression discontinuity design to quantify the race between Chinese cities to build taller skyscrapers. I begin by characterizing this height competition with a game-theoretic model for multi-stage, two-player, all-pay auctions with carryover. The dominant mixed strategy equilibrium of this dynamic game implies that a city would be more inclined to construct a taller skyscraper if its current tallest building is merely shorter than the tallest in the rival city, and this inclination is discontinuous at which the heights of these two buildings are equal. Utilizing a large data set of China’s skyscrapers constructed between 2004 and 2019, I confirm the presence of this between-city contest by empirically identifying the discontinuity in a city’s probability of constructing a taller building. I also find that this height competition has been more prevalent among the cities with fewer historic amenities or with leaders that have lower promotion likelihoods prior to the start of office.

在这篇文章中,我使用回归不连续性设计来量化中国城市之间建造更高摩天大楼的竞赛。首先,我用一个多阶段、两人、带结转的全付费拍卖的博弈论模型来描述这种高度竞争。这种动态博弈的主导混合策略均衡意味着,如果一座城市目前最高的建筑只比竞争城市中最高的建筑短,那么它将更倾向于建造一座更高的摩天大楼,而在这两座建筑的高度相等的情况下,这种倾向是不连续的。利用2004年至2019年间建造的中国摩天大楼的大量数据集,我通过实证确定一个城市建造更高建筑的概率的不连续性,证实了这种城市之间竞争的存在。我还发现,这种身高竞争在历史设施较少的城市或在上任前晋升可能性较低的领导人中更为普遍。
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引用次数: 0
Working from home and corporate real estate 在家工作和公司房地产
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103878
Antonin Bergeaud , Jean-Benoît Eyméoud , Thomas Garcia , Dorian Henricot

We examine how corporate real estate market participants adjust to the take-off of teleworking. We develop an index for the exposure of counties to teleworking in France by combining teleworking capacity with incentives and frictions to its deployment. We find that the valuation of offices declined more in areas more exposed to telecommuting, a pattern that we do not observe for retail assets. In addition, we show that telecommuting increases vacancy, decreases construction, while transaction volumes are not affected. It implies that the drop in price is due to a shift in demand for space. In addition, our result suggests that market participants are expecting the shift to teleworking to durably affect the demand for office space.

我们研究了企业房地产市场参与者如何适应远程工作的兴起。我们通过将远程工作能力与部署的激励和摩擦相结合,制定了法国各县接触远程工作的指数。我们发现,在更容易远程办公的地区,办公室的估值下降幅度更大,这是我们在零售资产中没有观察到的模式。此外,我们发现远程办公增加了空置率,减少了建筑,而交易量没有受到影响。这意味着价格下跌是由于对空间需求的转变。此外,我们的研究结果表明,市场参与者预计向远程工作的转变将持续影响办公空间的需求。
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引用次数: 0
Parking not included: The effect of paid residential parking on housing prices and its relationship with public transport proximity 不包括停车:付费住宅停车对房价的影响及其与公共交通邻近度的关系
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103877
Anders Bondemark, Axel Merkel

Under-priced street parking is widely considered to be a great urban policy failure and is partly what motivated Stockholm to expand its parking zones for both visitors and residents from 2016 onwards. In this paper we use a unique natural experiment to study the effect of priced parking on property prices in Stockholm suburbs. We find that apartment prices were negatively affected by the unexpected appeal and subsequent revocation of parking fees. This finding is interpreted to mean that the introduction of priced parking yielded benefits to apartment residents in the studied areas, which were capitalized in the price of housing. Based on our estimated results, we find that the implied benefits to residents amounted to the equivalent of approximately €2.5 per day. We investigate whether apartments were differentially impacted based on their distance to public transit but find no strong evidence to support this hypothesis. For single-family homes, no conclusions can be drawn as the standard errors are large in relation to the estimated effects.

人们普遍认为,价格过低的街道停车是城市政策的一大失败,也是斯德哥尔摩从2016年起扩大游客和居民停车区的部分原因。在本文中,我们使用一个独特的自然实验来研究收费停车对斯德哥尔摩郊区房地产价格的影响。我们发现,公寓价格受到意外上诉和随后取消停车费的负面影响。这一发现被解释为,引入定价停车为研究地区的公寓居民带来了好处,这些好处在住房价格中得到了资本化。根据我们的估计结果,我们发现居民的隐含利益相当于每天约2.5欧元。我们调查了公寓是否因其与公共交通的距离而受到不同的影响,但没有发现有力的证据支持这一假设。对于独栋住宅,无法得出任何结论,因为标准误差与估计影响相比很大。
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引用次数: 0
The minimum wage and the locations of new business entries in China: Estimates based on a refined border approach 中国的最低工资和新企业进入的地点:基于改进边界方法的估计
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103876
Xiaoying Li , Dongbo Shi , Sifan Zhou

This paper studies how the local adjustments of minimum wage levels in China affect the locations of new business entries. We use a refined border approach to address the endogeneity concerns regarding local minimum wage levels and examine whether differential changes in minimum wage levels on both sides of a county border result in abrupt changes in business entries within short distances from the border. Our results suggest that a 10% increase in the minimum wage levels decreases business entries by 2.69%. This effect is magnified for industries that pay lower average salaries or employ a larger share of unskilled workers. The entry-discouraging effects of high minimum wage levels are stronger when closer to the border where the identification assumption of the border approach is the most likely to hold and gradually decrease as we expand the widths of the border areas. Moreover, although we expect businesses could move across county borders at relatively low costs to avoid high minimum wage levels, we find that business relocation is rare and does not significantly respond to changes in the cross-county difference in minimum wage levels.

本文研究了中国地方最低工资水平的调整对新企业进入地的影响。我们使用精细边界方法来解决有关当地最低工资水平的内生性问题,并研究县边界两侧最低工资水平差异变化是否会导致距离边境较短距离内的企业进入突然变化。我们的研究结果表明,最低工资水平提高10%会使企业准入减少2.69%。对于平均工资较低或雇佣更多非技术工人的行业来说,这种影响更大。当更接近边境时,高最低工资水平对入境的阻碍作用更强,在边境地区,边境方法的识别假设最有可能成立,并随着我们扩大边境地区的宽度而逐渐减少。此外,尽管我们预计企业可以以相对较低的成本跨越县边界迁移,以避免高最低工资水平,但我们发现,企业迁移很少,而且对最低工资水平的跨县差异没有显著反应。
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引用次数: 0
Terrorism and political attitudes: Evidence from European social surveys 恐怖主义与政治态度:来自欧洲社会调查的证据
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2022.103864
Giovanni Peri , Daniel I. Rees , Brock Smith

Terror attacks in Europe have increased substantially since the turn of the last century. Using data from European Social Surveys (ESS), we examine their effects on political attitudes and orientation by comparing within-country survey responses shortly before and after terror attacks involving at least one fatality. At the national level, we find little support for the hypothesis that terror attacks influenced attitudes towards immigration or political orientation. By contrast, there is evidence of post-attack increases in satisfaction with the national government and trust in parliament among ESS respondents living in the region that was attacked.

自上世纪之交以来,欧洲的恐怖袭击大幅增加。利用欧洲社会调查(ESS)的数据,我们通过比较涉及至少一人死亡的恐怖袭击前后不久的国内调查结果,研究了它们对政治态度和取向的影响。在国家层面,我们几乎没有发现支持恐怖袭击影响对移民或政治取向的态度这一假设。相比之下,有证据表明,居住在袭击地区的ESS受访者在袭击后对国家政府的满意度和对议会的信任度有所提高。
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引用次数: 0
On the road (again): Commuting and local employment elasticities in Germany 在路上(再次):德国的通勤和当地就业弹性
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103874
Oliver Krebs, Michael Pflüger

This paper develops a quantitative spatial general equilibrium model for the German economy to address two issues. First, we explore the role of commuting for local labor markets and their capacity to absorb productivity shocks. Second, we address the role of housing markets for quantitative analyses. Germany is an exciting laboratory because commuting across local labor markets is pervasive, unique data are available, and because Germany's high degree of trade openness poses a thrilling counterpoint to the United States. Our key findings for German counties are that the employment and resident elasticities associated with local productivity shocks are much above unity, yet disparate (the former larger than the latter), very heterogeneous, and only poorly predicted by simple labor market statistics. Allowing the supply of land/housing to be price elastic increases the elasticities and reinforces our conclusions. The regional heterogeneity of the land/housing shares in Germany turns out to be inessential for our findings, the level of the land/housing share plays an important role, however. We perform a plethora of robustness checks which allow us to gain perspective on extant findings for the United States.

本文建立了德国经济的定量空间一般均衡模型,以解决两个问题。首先,我们探讨了通勤对当地劳动力市场的作用及其吸收生产力冲击的能力。其次,我们讨论了住房市场在定量分析中的作用。德国是一个令人兴奋的实验室,因为在当地劳动力市场上通勤无处不在,有独特的数据可用,而且德国高度的贸易开放程度与美国形成了惊人的对比。我们对德国各县的主要发现是,与当地生产力冲击相关的就业和居民弹性远高于统一性,但又是不同的(前者比后者大),非常异质,而且通过简单的劳动力市场统计数据只能很难预测。允许土地/住房供应具有价格弹性会增加弹性,并强化我们的结论。事实证明,德国土地/住房份额的区域异质性对我们的研究结果并不重要,然而,土地/住房的份额水平起着重要作用。我们进行了大量的稳健性检查,这使我们能够对美国现存的研究结果有一个新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
Reconstructing cities: Stimulating redevelopment through the tax code 重建城市:通过税法刺激重建
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103880
Geert Goeyvaerts

The welfare effect of urban renewal policies depends on the size of the external effects and the quantity of the building stock that gets redeveloped. While evidence on the externalities is growing, there is still a need for credibly identified estimates of the responsiveness of redevelopment. I exploit a sharp reduction in the value-added tax (VAT) on construction services for redevelopment in a select group of 32 Belgian cities to fill this gap. The results show that a 15 percentage point reduction in the VAT rate leads to an increase in the amount of demolished and redeveloped floorspace of respectively 36% and 35%.

城市更新政策的福利效应取决于外部效应的大小和重新开发的建筑存量。尽管关于外部性的证据越来越多,但仍需要对重建的响应性进行可靠的估计。我利用大幅降低建筑服务增值税(VAT)的机会,在32个比利时城市中进行重建,以填补这一空白。结果显示,增值税税率降低15个百分点,拆除和重新开发的建筑面积分别增加36%和35%。
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引用次数: 0
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Regional Science and Urban Economics
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