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Does race response shift impact racial inequality? 种族反应的转变会影响种族不平等吗?
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-09 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2022.47.30
J. Muniz, Stanley R. Bailey
BACKGROUND Previous research posits that racial reclassification, or response shift, may confound measures of racial earnings inequality. However, this claim has not been systematically tested. OBJECTIVE We measure racial response shift in Brazil and examine its impact on white-to-nonwhite earnings inequality between survey waves over ten years at nine-month intervals. METHODS We use individual-level linked data from the 2002–2012 Monthly Employment Survey, involving Brazil’s six largest metropolitan areas (n = 400,046). We describe the level and pattern of racial reclassification across time and by income rank. We then decompose racial inequality into two components (income and population ratios) to examine the impact of racial response shift on estimates of racial inequality and to construct analytic counterfactuals.
背景先前的研究认为,种族重新分类或反应转变可能会混淆种族收入不平等的衡量标准。然而,这一说法尚未得到系统的检验。目的:我们测量巴西的种族反应变化,并以九个月为间隔,在十年的调查浪潮中考察其对白人与非白人收入不平等的影响。方法我们使用2002-2012年月度就业调查的个人层面关联数据,该调查涉及巴西六个最大的大都市地区(n=400046)。我们描述了不同时间和收入等级的种族重新分类的水平和模式。然后,我们将种族不平等分解为两个组成部分(收入和人口比例),以检验种族反应转变对种族不平等估计的影响,并构建分析反事实。
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引用次数: 0
Gender and educational inequalities in disability-free life expectancy among older adults living in Italian regions 意大利各地区老年人无残疾预期寿命中的性别和教育不平等
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-08 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2022.47.29
Margherita Moretti, Cosmo Strozza
BACKGROUND Italy’s life expectancy at age 65 is one of the highest in Europe, but its disability-free life expectancy (DFLE) is not so high. To understand this diverging pattern of longevity and health it is essential to consider indicators accounting for both mortality and morbidity, and to analyse the gender, social, and geographical inequities characterising them. OBJECTIVE The aim is to quantify the gender, social, and geographical inequalities in DFLE among Italian older adults and analyse the age-specific contribution of mortality and morbidity to those inequalities.
背景意大利65岁时的预期寿命是欧洲最高的之一,但其无残疾预期寿命(DFLE)并没有那么高。为了理解这种不同的寿命和健康模式,必须考虑死亡率和发病率的指标,并分析其特征的性别、社会和地理不平等。目的:量化意大利老年人DFLE中的性别、社会和地理不平等,并分析死亡率和发病率对这些不平等的具体年龄贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Do the consequences of parental separation for children’s educational success vary by parental education? The role of educational thresholds 父母分离对孩子教育成功的影响是否因父母教育而异?教育门槛的作用
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-07 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2022.47.28
W. Schulz
Abstract
摘要
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引用次数: 0
Small-area estimates from consumer trace data 根据消费者追踪数据的小区域估计
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-06 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2022.47.27
Arthur Acolin, Ari Decter-Frain, Matt Hall
BACKGROUND Timely, accurate, and precise demographic estimates at various levels of geography are crucial for planning, policymaking, and analysis. In the United States, data from the decennial census and annual American Community Survey (ACS) serve as the main sources for subnational demographic estimates. While estimates derived from these sources are widely regarded as accurate, their timeliness is limited and variability sizable for small geographic units like towns and neighborhoods. OBJECTIVE This paper investigates the potential for using nonrepresentative consumer trace data assembled by commercial vendors to produce valid and timely estimates. We focus on data purchased from Data Axle, which contains the names and addresses of over 150 million Americans annually.
背景在不同地理层次上及时、准确和精确的人口估计对于规划、决策和分析至关重要。在美国,十年一次的人口普查和年度美国社区调查的数据是国家以下人口估计的主要来源。虽然从这些来源得出的估计被广泛认为是准确的,但它们的及时性有限,对于城镇和社区等小地理单元来说,可变性相当大。目的本文研究了使用商业供应商收集的非代表性消费者追踪数据来产生有效和及时估计的可能性。我们专注于从data Axle购买的数据,该数据每年包含超过1.5亿美国人的姓名和地址。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial heterogeneity in son preference across India’s 640 districts: An application of small-area estimation 印度640个地区重男轻女偏好的空间异质性:小面积估计的应用
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2022.47.26
Abhishek Singh, A. Upadhyay, Kaushalendra Kumar, A. Singh, F. Johnson, S. Padmadas
BACKGROUND Son preference is culturally rooted across generations in India. While the social and economic implications of son preference are widely acknowledged, there is little evidence on spatial heterogeneity, especially at the district level. OBJECTIVE To derive estimates of son preference for the 640 districts of India and examine spatial heterogeneity in son preference across the districts of India. METHODS We apply model-based Small-Area Estimation (SAE) techniques, linking data from the 2015–2016 Indian National Family Health Survey and the 2011 Indian Population and Housing Census to generate district-level estimates of son preference. RESULTS The diagnostic measures confirm that the model-based estimates are robust enough to provide reliable estimates of son preference at the district level. Son preference is highest in the districts across northern and central Indian states, followed by districts in Gujarat 1 Corresponding author. Department of Public Health & Mortality Studies and Center of Demography of Gender, International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai, India. ORCID ID 0000-0001-6263-4410. Email: abhishek@iipsindia.ac.in. 2 School of Management, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India. Email: ashishsingh@som.iitb.ac.in. 3 GENDER Project, International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai, India. 4 Department of Population and Health, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Cape Coast, Ghana. Email: famoakojohnson@ucc.edu.gh. ORCID ID: 0000-0003-0896-937X. 5 Department of Public Health & Mortality Studies and Center for Demography of Gender, International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai, India. ORCID ID 0000-0001-5913-0297. Email: kaushal@iipsindia.ac.in. 6 Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, University of Southampton, United Kingdom. ORCID ID: 0000-0002-6538-9374. Email: S.Padmadas@soton.ac.uk. Singh et al.: Spatial heterogeneity in son preference in India 794 https://www.demographic-research.org and Maharashtra, and lowest in the southern districts in Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu. CONCLUSIONS There is considerable heterogeneity in son preference across Indian districts, often masked by state-level average estimates. Our findings warrant urgent policy interventions targeting specific districts in India to tackle the ongoing son-preference attitudes and practices. CONTRIBUTION Our study demonstrates the power of SAE techniques to generate robust estimates of son preference at the district level. This study is the first of its kind to examine spatial patterns in parity-specific son preference at the district level in India.
背景在印度,重男轻女在文化上代代相传。尽管重男轻女的社会和经济影响得到了广泛认可,但几乎没有证据表明空间异质性,尤其是在地区层面。目的对印度640个地区的重男轻女进行估计,并考察印度各地区重男轻男的空间异质性。方法我们应用基于模型的小面积估计(SAE)技术,将2015-2016年印度全国家庭健康调查和2011年印度人口和住房普查的数据联系起来,生成地区层面的重男轻女估计。结果诊断措施证实,基于模型的估计足够稳健,可以在地区层面提供可靠的重男轻女估计。印度北部和中部各州的地区重男轻女率最高,其次是古吉拉特邦的地区1通讯作者。印度孟买国际人口科学研究所公共卫生与死亡率研究部和性别人口学中心。ORCID 0000-0001-6263-4410。电子邮件:abhishek@iipsindia.ac.in.2印度孟买印度理工学院管理学院。电子邮件:ashishsingh@som.iitb.ac.in.3 GENDER项目,国际人口科学研究所,印度孟买。4加纳开普海岸大学社会科学学院人口与健康系。电子邮件:famoakojohnson@ucc.edu.gh.ORCID ID:0000-0003-0896-937X。5印度孟买国际人口科学研究所公共卫生与死亡率研究部和性别人口学中心。ORCID 0000-0001-5913-0297。电子邮件:kaushal@iipsindia.ac.in.6英国南安普顿大学南安普顿统计科学研究所。ORCID ID:0000-0002-6538-9374。电子邮件:S.Padmadas@soton.ac.uk.Singh等人:印度重男轻女的空间异质性794https://www.demographic-research.org和马哈拉施特拉邦,特伦甘纳、安得拉邦、喀拉拉邦和泰米尔纳德邦的南部地区最低。结论印度各地区的重男轻女存在相当大的异质性,通常被州级平均估计所掩盖。我们的研究结果证明,有必要针对印度特定地区采取紧急政策干预措施,以解决目前存在的重男轻女态度和做法。贡献我们的研究证明了SAE技术在地区层面上对重男轻女产生稳健估计的能力。这项研究是第一次在印度地区层面研究特定生育子女偏好的空间模式。
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引用次数: 2
Changing mind, changing plans? Instability of individual gender attitudes and postponement of marriage in Germany 改变主意,改变计划?德国个人性别态度的不稳定和推迟结婚
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-11-30 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2022.47.25
Daniele Florean
BACKGROUND Numerous studies address the relationship between gender attitudes and family formation, especially the attitudes–fertility connection. To date, little attention has been paid to the longitudinal dynamics of these attitudes, in particular the stability of attitudes over time, and the impact of their stability on marriage. OBJECTIVE To investigate how stable or unstable gender attitudes are related to the timing of first transitions to marriage in Germany.
背景大量研究探讨了性别态度与家庭形成之间的关系,尤其是态度与生育之间的联系。到目前为止,人们很少关注这些态度的纵向动态,特别是随着时间的推移态度的稳定性,以及态度的稳定性对婚姻的影响。目的探讨在德国,稳定或不稳定的性别态度如何与首次向婚姻过渡的时间有关。
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引用次数: 1
Heterogeneity among the never married in a low-fertility context 低生育率背景下未婚人群的异质性
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-11-18 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2022.47.24
Jolene Tan
BACKGROUND While there has been extensive research on trends in marriage and singlehood, few studies have examined heterogeneity among never-married individuals in a low-fertility context. As a country that has experienced a steady decline in marriage and an accompanying rise in singlehood, Singapore presents a compelling context in which to study the singlehood phenomenon. OBJECTIVE This study aims to understand variations in the never-married population based on their family-related attitudes. It seeks to classify the never married into subgroups and examine how these groups relate in terms of their sociodemographic traits and marriage desires. METHODS Using data from the Perceptions of Singles on Marriage and Having Children study (N = 1,980), latent class analysis was performed to develop a typology of the never married. Latent class analysis applies a person-centered approach to identify heterogeneity between and homogeneity within subgroups based on associations among a set of observed indicators. RESULTS Four never-married subgroups were identified: family conservatives (37%), conflicted conservatives (24%), family progressives (22%), and family skeptics (17%). There were distinct characteristics among subgroups in terms of age, sex, and relationship status. A strong gradient in marriage desires was found across the never-married subgroups, implying that variations between subgroups are an important determinant of the desire to marry. CONCLUSIONS The paper highlights the importance of recognizing diversity among the never-married population as a first step to understanding the flight from marriage. 1 Australian National University, Canberra, Australia. Email: jolene.tan@anu.edu.au. Tan: Heterogeneity among the never married in a low-fertility context 728 https://www.demographic-research.org CONTRIBUTION These findings have implications for societies with declining marriage and fertility rates, especially in contexts where marriage is closely linked to childbearing.
背景虽然人们对婚姻和单身的趋势进行了广泛的研究,但很少有研究在低生育率的情况下考察未婚者的异质性。作为一个经历了婚姻稳步下降和单身率上升的国家,新加坡为研究单身现象提供了一个令人信服的背景。目的本研究旨在了解未婚人群基于家庭相关态度的差异。它试图将从未结婚的人分为几个亚组,并根据他们的社会人口特征和婚姻欲望来研究这些群体之间的关系。方法利用1980年“单身者对婚姻和生育子女的感知”研究的数据,进行潜在阶级分析,建立未婚者的类型学。潜在类别分析采用以人为中心的方法,根据一组观察到的指标之间的关联来识别亚组之间的异质性和同质性。结果确定了四个从未结婚的亚组:家庭保守派(37%)、矛盾保守派(24%)、家庭进步派(22%)和家庭怀疑派(17%)。各亚组在年龄、性别和关系状况方面有明显的特征。在从未结婚的亚组中发现了婚姻欲望的强烈梯度,这意味着亚组之间的差异是结婚欲望的重要决定因素。结论:该论文强调了认识未婚人群的多样性的重要性,这是理解逃离婚姻的第一步。1澳大利亚国立大学,堪培拉,澳大利亚。电子邮件:jolene.tan@anu.edu.au.谭:低生育率背景下未婚人群的异质性728https://www.demographic-research.org贡献这些发现对婚姻和生育率下降的社会有影响,尤其是在婚姻与生育密切相关的情况下。
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引用次数: 1
Investigating the application of generalized additive models to discrete-time event history analysis for birth events 研究广义加性模型在出生事件离散时间事件历史分析中的应用
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-10-28 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2022.47.22
Joann Ellison, A. Berrington, Erengul Dodd, J. Forster
BACKGROUND Discrete-time event history analysis (EHA) is the standard approach taken when modelling fertility histories collected in surveys, where the date of birth is often recorded imprecisely. This method is commonly used to investigate the factors associated with the time to a first or subsequent conception or birth. Although there is an emerging trend towards the smooth incorporation of continuous covariates in the broader literature, this is yet to be formally embraced in the context of birth events. OBJECTIVE We investigate the formal application of smooth methods implemented via generalized additive models (GAMs) to the analysis of fertility histories. We also determine whether and where GAMs offer a practical improvement over existing approaches. We fit parity-specific logistic GAMs to data from the UK Household Longitudinal Study, learning about the effects of age, period, time since last birth, educational qualification, and country of birth. First, we select the most parsimonious GAMs that fit the data sufficiently well. Then we compare them with corresponding models that use the existing methods of categorical, polynomial, and piecewise linear spline representations in terms of fit, complexity, and substantive insights gained.
背景离散时间事件历史分析(EHA)是对调查中收集的生育历史进行建模时采用的标准方法,其中出生日期通常记录不准确。这种方法通常用于调查与第一次或随后的受孕或分娩时间相关的因素。尽管在更广泛的文献中出现了平稳合并连续协变量的新趋势,但在出生事件的背景下,这还没有被正式接受。目的探讨通过广义加性模型(GAMs)实现的光滑方法在生育史分析中的正式应用。我们还确定GAMs是否以及在哪里提供了对现有方法的实际改进。我们对来自英国家庭纵向研究(UK Household Longitudinal Study)的数据进行了特定于均等的logistic GAMs拟合,了解了年龄、时期、上次出生后的时间、教育程度和出生国家的影响。首先,我们选择最简洁的GAMs,它与数据拟合得足够好。然后,我们将它们与使用分类、多项式和分段线性样条表示的现有方法的相应模型在拟合、复杂性和获得的实质性见解方面进行比较。
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引用次数: 0
When investment backfires: Unbalanced sex ratios and mental health among boys in rural areas 当投资适得其反:农村地区男孩的性别比例失衡和心理健康问题
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-10-26 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2022.47.21
Hantao Wu, Ting Li
BACKGROUND In China, a key feature of demographic transition is the abnormally high sex ratio, resulting in a shortage of brides. In addition, depressive symptoms among Chinese adolescents have risen sharply in the last decade, and among these adolescents, boys in rural areas are most likely to be depressed. OBJECTIVE In this study, we investigate the phenomenon of depression in a large number of rural boys. We hypothesize that upon perceiving the strong competition in the local marriage market, rural parents tend to increase educational investment to improve their sons’ relative standing in the market, thereby leading to high pressure and depression among rural boys. we constructed a difference-in-differences model featuring rich fixed to absorb invariant confounding factors and cohort trends across To ensure the of we studied the first the child’s gender.
背景在中国,人口结构转型的一个关键特征是性别比例异常高,导致新娘短缺。此外,在过去十年中,中国青少年的抑郁症状急剧上升,在这些青少年中,农村地区的男孩最容易抑郁。目的本研究调查了大量农村男孩的抑郁现象。我们假设,在感知到当地婚姻市场的激烈竞争后,农村父母倾向于增加教育投资,以提高儿子在市场上的相对地位,从而导致农村男孩的高压和抑郁。我们构建了一个差异中的差异模型,该模型具有丰富的固定到吸收不变的混杂因素和跨性别的队列趋势。
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引用次数: 0
Culture portability from origin to destination country: The gender division of domestic work among migrants in Italy 从原籍国到目的地国的文化可移植性:意大利移民家务劳动的性别划分
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2022.47.20
E. Brini, Anna Zamberlan, P. Barbieri
BACKGROUND The relative importance of a cultural component in the gender division of unpaid labour is still debated. OBJECTIVE Drawing on the epidemiological approach to the study of culture, we investigate the cultural component of gender inequality by examining whether gender asymmetries in housework and childcare in families with a migrant background relate to gender equity in the country of origin. METHODS Through multilevel models based on microlevel data (Istat SCIF survey), we examine the extent to which the division of household labour between immigrant partners living in Italy relates to gender equity in their origin country, proxied by the Global Gender Gap Index. We further analyse the changing importance of gender equity in the country of origin at different lengths of stay in the destination country. the coefficient related to overall housework, and points to the presence of fine-grained distinctions between specific activities. Results for childcare tasks corroborate descriptive and aggregate findings: gender equity in the origin country relates positively and strongly (also compared to housework) to male engagement in both general childcare (beta = 0.034) and children’s education (beta = 0.039).
背景在无偿劳动的性别划分中,文化因素的相对重要性仍然存在争议。目的利用流行病学方法研究文化,我们通过研究移民背景家庭在家务和育儿方面的性别不对称是否与原籍国的性别公平有关,来调查性别不平等的文化成分。方法通过基于微观层面数据的多层次模型(Istat SCIF调查),我们以全球性别差距指数为代表,考察了居住在意大利的移民伴侣之间的家庭劳动分工与原籍国性别公平的关系。我们进一步分析了在目的地国停留不同时间的原籍国性别平等重要性的变化。该系数与整体家务劳动有关,并指出特定活动之间存在细微差别。儿童保育任务的结果证实了描述性和综合性研究结果:原籍国的性别公平(也与家务劳动相比)与男性参与一般儿童保育(β=0.034)和儿童教育(β=0.039)呈正相关。
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引用次数: 2
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Demographic Research
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