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Introduction to the Special Collection on The new roles of women and men and implications for families and societies 《妇女和男子的新角色及其对家庭和社会的影响特别合集导言》
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-05-23 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.48.29
L. Oláh, R. Richter, I. Kotowska
BACKGROUND This is the introduction to a special collection of articles produced within a large-scale collaborative research project, FamiliesAndSocieties, funded by the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme in 2013 ‒ 2017. OBJECTIVE The special collection addresses (1) the gendered outcomes of employment for fertility, well-being, and partnership stability, and (2) the new role of men in various socioeconomic positions and its implications for family life.
这是由2013 - 2017年欧盟第七框架计划资助的大型合作研究项目“家庭与社会”中产生的一组特别文章的介绍。目的:特别收集地址(1)性别结果就业生育,福祉,和伙伴关系的稳定性,(2)男性在不同的社会经济地位的新角色及其对家庭生活的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Age reporting for the oldest old in the Brazilian COVID-19 vaccination database: What can we learn from it? 巴西COVID-19疫苗接种数据库中最高龄老人的年龄报告:我们可以从中学到什么?
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-05-19 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.48.28
C. Turra, F. Fernandes, Júlia Almeida Calazans, M. Nepomuceno
BACKGROUND Age misreporting affects population estimates at older ages. In Brazil, every citizen must be registered and show an identity document to vaccinate against COVID-19. This requirement to present proof of age provides a unique opportunity for measuring the oldest-old population using novel administrative data.OBJECTIVES To offer critically assessed estimates of the Brazilian population aged 80 and older based on data from the vaccination registration system (VRS). To uncover discrepancies between the number of vaccinated oldest-old people and the projections used to estimate target populations for COVID-19 vaccination. METHODS We calculate data quality indicators based on data from the VRS - namely, 100+/80+ and 90+/80+ population proportions, sex ratios, and the Myers blended index - and compare them to those based on data on target populations from Brazilian censuses and demographic projections, and from Sweden - a country with high-quality data. We also estimate vaccination coverage ratios using population projections adjusted to excess deaths as the denominators.RESULTS Requiring documentation reduces age heaping, age exaggeration, and sex ratios marginally. However, it cannot solve the problem of the misreporting of birth dates due to the absence of long-standing birth registration systems in Brazil, particularly in the northern and central regions. In addition, we find a mismatch between the projected populations and numbers of vaccinated people across regions.CONCLUSIONS Despite improvements in data quality in Brazil, we are still not confident about the accuracy of age reporting among the oldest old in the less advantaged Brazilian regions. The postponement of the 2020 census reduced the ability of authorities to define the target populations for vaccinations against COVID-19 and other diseases.CONTRIBUTIONS This is the first study to compare population estimates for the oldest old in administrative data and census data in Brazil. Age misreporting resulted in discrepancies that may have compromised the efficacy of the COVID-19 vaccination campaign.
背景年龄误报影响老年人口估计。在巴西,每位公民都必须登记并出示身份证件才能接种COVID-19疫苗。提供年龄证明的这一要求为使用新的行政数据测量最高龄人口提供了一个独特的机会。目的:根据疫苗接种登记系统(VRS)的数据,对巴西80岁及以上人口进行严格评估。揭示接种疫苗的老年人口数量与用于估计COVID-19疫苗接种目标人群的预测之间的差异。方法我们根据VRS的数据计算数据质量指标,即100+/80+和90+/80+人口比例、性别比例和Myers混合指数,并将其与基于巴西人口普查和人口预测的目标人群数据以及瑞典的数据进行比较。瑞典是一个拥有高质量数据的国家。我们还使用以超额死亡调整后的人口预测作为分母来估计疫苗接种覆盖率。结果:要求提供文件可以略微减少年龄堆积、年龄夸大和性别比。然而,由于巴西,特别是在北部和中部地区缺乏长期存在的出生登记系统,它无法解决谎报出生日期的问题。此外,我们发现预计人口与各地区接种疫苗人数之间存在不匹配。结论:尽管巴西的数据质量有所改善,但我们仍然对巴西贫困地区老年人年龄报告的准确性缺乏信心。2020年人口普查的推迟降低了当局确定COVID-19和其他疾病疫苗接种目标人群的能力。这是第一个比较巴西行政数据和人口普查数据中最高龄人口估计的研究。年龄误报导致的差异可能损害了COVID-19疫苗接种运动的效果。
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引用次数: 0
Improved bounds and high-accuracy estimates for remaining life expectancy via quadrature rule-based methods 通过基于正交规则的方法改进了剩余预期寿命的边界和高精度估计
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-05-17 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.48.27
O. Fernandez
BACKGROUND Previous research has derived bounds on the remaining life expectancy function e ( x ) that connect survivorship and remaining life expectancy at two age values and therefore can be used to, among other things, estimate life expectancy at birth when the population’s full mortality trajectory is not known. RESULTS We show that the aforementioned bounds emerge from using particular two-node closed quadrature rules and prove a theorem that establishes conditions for when an n -node closed rule respects those bounds for e ( x ) . This enables the usage of known high-accuracy rules that stay within the bounds and provide new high-accuracy estimates for e ( x ) . We show that among this set of rules are ones that yield exact estimates for e ( x ) . We illustrate our work empirically using life table data from French females since 1816 and discover a new empirical regularity linking life expectancy at birth in the data set to survivorship and remaining life expectancy at age 20.
背景先前的研究已经得出了剩余预期寿命函数e(x)的界限,该函数将两个年龄值下的存活率和剩余预期寿命联系起来,因此,当人口的完整死亡轨迹未知时,可以用来估计出生时的预期寿命。结果我们证明了上述边界来自于使用特定的两节点闭求积规则,并证明了一个定理,该定理为n节点闭规则何时遵守e(x)的这些边界建立了条件。这使得能够使用保持在边界内的已知高精度规则,并提供e(x)的新的高精度估计。我们证明,在这组规则中,有一些规则可以产生e(x)的精确估计。我们使用1816年以来法国女性的寿命表数据实证地说明了我们的工作,并发现了一个新的经验规律,将数据集中出生时的预期寿命与20岁时的生存率和剩余预期寿命联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
Educational reproduction in Sweden: A replication of Skopek and Leopold 2020 using Swedish data 瑞典的教育复制:利用瑞典数据复制斯科普克和利奥波德2020
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-05-11 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.48.25
Vanessa Wittemann
BACKGROUND Intergenerational social mobility, or the inheritance of status characteristics, is well-studied in Sweden. However, it accounts for just one aspect of the process of intergenerational reproduction of social inequality. The role of socially stratified fertility in this process remains underexplored. OBJECTIVE I address the gap in knowledge by replicating the approach pioneered by Skopek and Leopold (2020) in the context of Germany in order to study the relative contributions of the mobility component vis-à-vis the fertility component in the educational reproduction of Swedish cohorts born between 1930 and 1950.
代际社会流动,或身份特征的继承,在瑞典得到了很好的研究。然而,它只是社会不平等代际再生产过程的一个方面。社会分层生育率在这一过程中的作用仍未得到充分探讨。我通过复制Skopek和Leopold(2020)在德国背景下开创的方法来解决知识差距,以研究1930年至1950年之间出生的瑞典队列的教育再生产中流动性组成部分相对于-à-vis生育组成部分的相对贡献。
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引用次数: 1
Migration’s contribution to the urban transition: Direct census estimates from Africa and Asia 移民对城市转型的贡献:来自非洲和亚洲的直接人口普查估计
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-05-09 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.48.24
P. Bocquier, A. Menashe-Oren, Wanling Nie
BACKGROUND The components of urbanisation are important to understand, since urbanisation is closely related to development. Internal migration was key in historical urban transitions, while in contemporary transitions the balance of births and deaths has been the main driver of urbanisation. Reclassification of rural areas and international migration also contribute to urbanisation. OBJECTIVE Unlike previous work based on indirectly measured net migration estimates, we directly estimate inand out-migration rates between rural and urban areas across Africa and Asia by age and sex, and evaluate the contribution of the balance of these flows to urbanisation. METHOD We use 67 census samples from IPUMS International for 28 countries in Africa and Asia between 1970 and 2014 to estimate inand outmigration between rural and urban areas, based on available questions of residence. We then model ageand sex-specific migration rates using Poisson regression and estimate net migration through marginal effects. RESULTS Results confirm that, in both continents, urbanisation is not generated by rural-to-urban migration but by the urban population itself, be it through natural growth or through expansion to peripheral areas. In Asia, urbanisation reflects internal migration trends and reclassification decisions to a greater extent than in Africa, where natural growth is the key contributor. 1 Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium. Email: philippe.bocquier@uclouvain.be. 2 Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium. Bocquier, Menashe-Oren & Nie: Migration’s contribution to the urban transition 682 https://www.demographic-research.org CONTRIBUTION By using direct estimates, we ascertain the role of inter-regional rural–urban migration in urbanisation. We find that a positive effect of inter-regional migration is counterbalanced by a negative effect of intra-regional migration (combined with reclassification and international migration).
背景了解城市化的组成部分很重要,因为城市化与发展密切相关。内部移民是历史上城市转型的关键,而在当代转型中,出生和死亡的平衡一直是城市化的主要驱动力。农村地区的重新分类和国际移民也有助于城市化。目的与以往基于间接测量的净移民估计的工作不同,我们直接估计了非洲和亚洲农村和城市地区按年龄和性别划分的流入和流出移民率,并评估了这些流动的平衡对城市化的贡献。方法我们使用IPUMS International在1970年至2014年间为非洲和亚洲28个国家提供的67个人口普查样本,根据现有的居住问题,估计农村和城市之间的流入和流出。然后,我们使用泊松回归对特定年龄和性别的移民率进行建模,并通过边际效应估计净移民。结果结果证实,在两大洲,城市化不是由农村向城市迁移产生的,而是由城市人口本身产生的,无论是通过自然增长还是通过向周边地区扩张。在亚洲,城市化在更大程度上反映了内部移民趋势和重新分类决定,而在非洲,自然增长是关键因素。1比利时卢旺天主教大学。电子邮件:philippe.bocquier@uclouvain.be.2比利时卢旺天主教大学。Bocquier,Menashe Oren&Nie:移民对城市转型的贡献682https://www.demographic-research.org贡献通过使用直接估计,我们确定了区域间农村-城市移民在城市化中的作用。我们发现,区域间移民的积极影响被区域内移民的负面影响(再加上重新分类和国际移民)所抵消。
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引用次数: 1
Adult children’s union type and contact with mothers: A replication 成年儿童的结合类型和与母亲的接触:一种复制
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-05-05 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.48.23
M. Kreidl, Zuzana Űilinčíková
BACKGROUND Several studies show that cohabiting adult children have less frequent contact with their mothers than married adult children. We argue that these findings might be spurious due to confounding. OBJECTIVE Our aim is to replicate earlier research using more robust statistical instruments from the family of multi-level models with fixed effects, which are known to offer better control of omitted-variable bias. We also want to show the extent to which union-type effects vary across countries and by parenthood status.
背景几项研究表明,与已婚成年子女相比,同居成年子女与母亲的接触频率较低。我们认为,由于混淆,这些发现可能是虚假的。目的我们的目的是复制早期的研究,使用具有固定效应的多层次模型家族中更稳健的统计工具,已知这些工具可以更好地控制遗漏的变量偏差。我们还想展示工会类型的影响在多大程度上因国家和父母身份而异。
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引用次数: 0
Better to ask online when it concerns intimate relationships? Survey mode differences in the assessment of relationship quality 当涉及亲密关系时,最好在网上询问?关系质量评估中的调查模式差异
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-05-04 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.48.22
Almut Schumann, Detlev Lück
BACKGROUND The assessment of relationship quality is a key construct in family research and relies on several indicators. As answer behavior for sensitive and subjective questions can be biased by the interview situation, the emerging switch from face-to-face mode to web or mixed mode in surveys challenges the comparability of measurements. OBJECTIVE This study investigates the impact of two modes of data collection – face-to-face mode and web mode – on central measurements of relationship quality in quantitative family research. METHODS In a German experimental pilot study (2018) within the Generations and Gender Programme, target persons were randomly assigned to face-to-face or online interviews. Mode differences are assessed by comparing distributions for various indicators of relationship quality. To adjust for confounders, post-stratification weighting and multivariate regression analysis are applied.
家庭关系质量评价是家庭研究的重要内容,它依赖于几个指标。由于敏感和主观问题的回答行为会受到采访情况的影响,调查中出现的从面对面模式到网络或混合模式的转变对测量结果的可比性提出了挑战。目的探讨定量家庭研究中面对面和网络两种数据收集模式对关系质量中心测量的影响。方法在德国世代与性别项目的一项实验性试点研究(2018年)中,目标人群被随机分配到面对面或在线访谈中。通过比较各种关系质量指标的分布来评估模式差异。为了调整混杂因素,应用分层后加权和多元回归分析。
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引用次数: 0
Weakened parent–child ties and the well-being of older divorced parents 减弱的亲子关系和老年离异父母的幸福感
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-05-03 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.48.21
M. Kalmijn
BACKGROUND The consequences of declining parent–child ties after divorce have primarily been studied for children’s well-being and not for parents’ well-being. Some parents lose contact with their children after divorce, and one would expect that such a decline in contact hampers their emotional well-being, in particular when parents are older and children are adults. OBJECTIVE This study aims to describe the association between how much contact divorced fathers and mothers have with their children and parents’ well-being in old age. METHOD This report uses a survey with a register-based oversample of divorced parents and children from the Netherlands in 2017 ( N = 4,641). Parents (mean age 62) reported about life satisfaction, health, and loneliness and on contact with two adult children (mean age 34).
背景离婚后亲子关系恶化的后果主要是为了孩子的幸福,而不是为了父母的幸福。一些父母在离婚后失去了与孩子的联系,人们会认为这种联系的减少会阻碍他们的情绪健康,尤其是当父母年龄较大,孩子已经成年时。目的本研究旨在描述离婚父亲和母亲与子女的接触程度与父母晚年幸福感之间的关系。方法本报告采用了一项基于登记的调查,对2017年荷兰离婚父母和子女进行了过抽样调查(N=4641)。父母(平均年龄62岁)报告了生活满意度、健康和孤独感,以及与两个成年子女(平均年龄34岁)的接触情况。
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引用次数: 1
Family inequality: On the changing educational gradient of family patterns in Western Germany 家庭不平等:论德国西部家庭模式的教育梯度变化
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-04-27 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.48.20
Ansgar Hudde, H. Engelhardt
OBJECTIVE A comprehensive and thorough investigation of the key trends in family patterns in Western Germany. METHODS Descriptive analyses of educational differences in marital status, cohabitation, partnerlessness, and children in the household in Western Germany from 1976 to 2019. We analyze unique data from the German Microcensus with information from more than 1.7 million individuals.
目的对西德家庭模式的主要趋势进行全面彻底的调查。方法对1976年至2019年西德家庭中婚姻状况、同居、无伴侣和子女的教育差异进行描述性分析。我们分析了来自德国Microcensus的独特数据和来自170多万个人的信息。
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引用次数: 1
Aligning household decision-making with work and education: A comparative analysis of women’s empowerment 调整家庭决策与工作和教育:妇女赋权的比较分析
IF 2.1 3区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.48.19
Sojin Yu, Feinian Chen, S. Desai
BACKGROUND Although women’s empowerment is one of the key concepts in development, it has proven challenging to measure it. Empirical studies have tended to focus on a cause-and-effect analysis of empowerment and using composite measures to compare different national contexts. More recent works suggest new conceptual and methodological approaches to women’s empowerment that better reflect contextual factors, intersectionality, and life course perspectives. OBJECTIVE We conduct cross-national comparative research on women’s empowerment using a new approach: by examining how women’s household decision-making power, education, and work – major components of empowerment – relate to each other across 28 low-and middle-income countries. Through this, we explore what the different relationships might imply for women’s empowerment in different contexts and circumstances.
背景尽管赋予妇女权力是发展中的关键概念之一,但事实证明,衡量这一概念具有挑战性。实证研究往往侧重于对赋予权力的因果分析,并使用综合衡量标准来比较不同的国家背景。最近的工作提出了赋予妇女权力的新的概念和方法论方法,更好地反映了背景因素、交叉性和人生历程的观点。目标我们采用一种新的方法对妇女赋权进行跨国家比较研究:通过研究28个中低收入国家妇女的家庭决策权、教育和工作——赋权的主要组成部分——如何相互关联。通过这一点,我们探讨了在不同的背景和情况下,不同的关系可能对赋予妇女权力意味着什么。
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引用次数: 0
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Demographic Research
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