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JUE insight: The impact of school spending on civic engagement: Evidence from school finance reforms 觉》的洞察力:学校支出对公民参与的影响:学校财务改革的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103688
Erdal Asker , Eric Brunner , Steve Ross

A primary rationale for public financing of schools is that education fosters civic engagement. However, existing studies examining the relationship between schooling and civic engagement have focused exclusively on how educational attainment affects political activity. We provide evidence on how school spending affects volunteerism and voting. Exploiting variation in U.S. court-ordered and legislative school finance reforms and using survey data from the NCES Secondary Longitudinal Studies Program, we find that exogenous increases in school spending led to increases in the probability that young adults volunteer, the amount of time they spend volunteering, and the probability of being registered to vote.

为学校提供公共资金的一个主要理由是教育能促进公民参与。然而,现有研究在探讨学校教育与公民参与之间的关系时,只关注教育程度如何影响政治活动。我们提供了学校支出如何影响志愿服务和投票的证据。利用美国法院下令进行的和立法进行的学校财政改革的差异,并使用 NCES 中学纵向研究项目的调查数据,我们发现学校支出的外生增长会导致年轻成年人志愿服务概率、志愿服务时间以及登记投票概率的增加。
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引用次数: 0
Foundations of cities 城市的基础
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103684
Jacques-François Thisse , Matthew A. Turner , Philip Ushchev

How do people choose work and residence locations when commuting is costly and productivity spillovers, increasing returns to scale, or first nature advantage, reward the concentration of employment. We describe such an equilibrium city in a simple geography populated by agents with heterogenous preferences over workplace–residence pairs. The behavior of equilibrium cities is more complex than previously understood. Heterogeneous location preferences are sufficient for equilibrium centralization of employment and residence. Increasing returns and productivity spillovers can disperse employment. An increase in commuting costs may decentralize residence and employment. Our results shed new light on classical urban economics and are important for our understanding of quantitative spatial models.

当通勤成本高昂,而生产率溢出效应、规模收益递增或先天优势使就业集中时,人们如何选择工作和居住地点。我们在一个简单的地理环境中描述了这样一个均衡城市,该地理环境中的居民对工作地点和居住地具有异质性偏好。均衡城市的行为比以往理解的更为复杂。异质性地点偏好足以实现就业和居住的均衡集中。收益增加和生产率溢出效应可以分散就业。通勤成本的增加可能会分散居住和就业。我们的研究结果为经典城市经济学提供了新的启示,对我们理解定量空间模型具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Cities and the sea level 城市与海平面
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103685
Yatang Lin , Thomas K.J. McDermott , Guy Michaels

Construction on low elevation coastal zones is risky for both residents and taxpayers who bail them out. To investigate this construction, we analyze spatially disaggregated data covering the entire US Atlantic and Gulf coasts. We find that the 1990 housing stock reflects historical avoidance of locations prone to sea level rise (SLR) and flooding, but net new construction from 1990–2010 was similar in SLR-prone locations and safer ones; and within densely built coastal areas, net new construction was higher in SLR-prone locations. These findings are difficult to rationalize as mere products of moral hazard or imperfect information, suggesting that people build on risky locations to benefit from nearby urban agglomerations. To explain our findings, we develop a simple model of a monocentric coastal city, which we use to explore the consequences of sea level rise. This model helps explain cities’ role in expanding flood risks, and how future sea level rise may reshape coastal cities, creating significant challenges for policymakers.

在低海拔沿海地区进行建设,对居民和为其提供救助的纳税人来说都是有风险的。为了研究这种建设,我们分析了涵盖整个美国大西洋和海湾沿岸的空间分类数据。我们发现,1990 年的住房存量反映了历史上对易受海平面上升(SLR)和洪水影响地区的回避,但 1990-2010 年期间,易受 SLR 影响地区和较安全地区的净新建住房量相近;在建筑密集的沿海地区,易受 SLR 影响地区的净新建住房量较高。这些发现很难被合理地解释为仅仅是道德风险或信息不完善的产物,这表明人们在风险较高的地区进行建设是为了从附近的城市群中获益。为了解释我们的发现,我们建立了一个简单的单中心沿海城市模型,用来探讨海平面上升的后果。该模型有助于解释城市在扩大洪水风险中的作用,以及未来海平面上升可能如何重塑沿海城市,给政策制定者带来重大挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Road maintenance and local economic development: Evidence from Indonesia’s highways 道路维护与地方经济发展:印度尼西亚高速公路的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103687
Paul J. Gertler , Marco Gonzalez-Navarro , Tadeja Gračner , Alexander D. Rothenberg

This paper estimates the local welfare impacts of highway maintenance investments. We instrument road quality exploiting Indonesia’s two-step budgeting process for allocating funding to local road authorities. Using comprehensive data on road quality from 1990–2007, we find evidence that better roads help manufacturers create new jobs, enabling worker transitions out of informal employment, and increasing labor income. Road quality also changes the cost of living, reducing perishable food prices but also raising housing prices. We estimate the elasticity of household welfare with respect to road quality to be 0.1 and the benefit/cost ratio for road maintenance investments to be 2.3.

本文估算了公路养护投资对当地福利的影响。我们利用印尼向地方公路管理部门分配资金的两步预算程序来衡量公路质量。利用 1990-2007 年有关道路质量的综合数据,我们发现有证据表明,更好的道路有助于制造商创造新的就业机会,使工人摆脱非正规就业,并增加劳动收入。道路质量还改变了生活成本,降低了易腐食品价格,但也提高了住房价格。我们估计家庭福利与道路质量的弹性为 0.1,道路维护投资的收益/成本比为 2.3。
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引用次数: 0
Does the US have an infrastructure cost problem? Evidence from the interstate highway system 美国是否存在基础设施成本问题?州际公路系统提供的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103681
Neil Mehrotra , Matthew A. Turner , Juan Pablo Uribe

Between 1984 and 2008, expenditure per Interstate vehicle mile traveled fell 10%, while the price of new lane miles and pavement quality more than doubled. To reconcile these trends, we describe an Interstate cost function for a planner who minimizes the cost required to deliver a given level of highway services. Using administrative data, we estimate prices for lane miles and pavement quality and evaluate the user cost of the Interstate. User cost fell by half between 1994–2008, largely due to falling interest rates. In this sense, there is no problem with the cost of the Interstate.

1984 年至 2008 年间,每英里州际公路车辆行驶成本下降了 10%,而新车道里程和路面质量的价格却翻了一番多。为了调和这些趋势,我们描述了州际公路的成本函数,即规划者最大限度地降低提供特定水平公路服务所需的成本。利用行政数据,我们估算了车道里程和路面质量的价格,并评估了州际公路的用户成本。1994-2008 年间,用户成本下降了一半,主要原因是利率下降。从这个意义上说,州际公路的成本没有问题。
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引用次数: 0
JUE insight: Air pollution and student performance in the U.S. 觉》的洞察力:美国空气污染与学生成绩
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103686
Michael Gilraine , Angela Zheng

The United States has seen a drastic shift in the fuels used for electricity production. We study the consequences of these changes on air pollution and test scores. Using data covering the near-universe of students and a shift-share instrument that interacts local fuel shares with national growth rates, we show that each one-unit increase in particulate pollution reduces test scores by 0.016 standard deviations. Our estimates indicate that pollution reductions from electricity generation raised nationwide test scores by 0.03 standard deviations. As pollution declines were largest in majority-black districts, the black–white test score gap fell by 0.01 standard deviations.

美国用于发电的燃料发生了巨大变化。我们研究了这些变化对空气污染和考试成绩的影响。通过使用涵盖几乎所有学生的数据以及将当地燃料份额与全国增长率交互作用的转变份额工具,我们发现,颗粒物污染每增加一个单位,考试成绩就会降低 0.016 个标准差。我们的估计结果表明,发电污染的减少使全国的考试成绩提高了 0.03 个标准差。由于黑人占多数的地区污染下降幅度最大,因此黑人与白人的考试分数差距缩小了 0.01 个标准差。
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引用次数: 0
The economic impacts of the UK's eat out to help out scheme 英国 "外出就餐互助计划 "的经济影响
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103682
Nicolas Gonzalez-Pampillon , Gonzalo Nunez-Chaim , Henry G. Overman

We evaluate the economic impacts of the UK's Eat Out to Help Out (EOTHO) scheme on the food service sector. EOTHO was introduced during the COVID pandemic to stimulate demand by subsidizing the cost of eating out, with a 50 % discount Mondays to Wednesdays in August 2020. We exploit the spatial variation in participation using a continuous difference-in-differences approach and an instrumental variables strategy. We measure the effect on footfall using mobility data from Google and on employment using job posts from Indeed. Our estimates indicate that a one standard deviation increase in exposure to the EOTHO scheme increased footfall in retail & recreation by 2–5 %, and job posts in the food preparation & service industry by 6–8 %. These effects are transitory, and we do not find evidence of large spillover benefits to non-recreational activities or other sectors.

我们评估了英国 "外出就餐帮助计划"(EOTHO)对餐饮业的经济影响。EOTHO 计划是在 COVID 大流行期间推出的,目的是通过补贴外出就餐的费用来刺激需求,2020 年 8 月起每周一至周三提供 50% 的折扣。我们采用连续差分法和工具变量策略,利用参与的空间差异。我们利用谷歌的流动性数据和 Indeed 的招聘信息来衡量对人流量的影响。我们的估计结果表明,EOTHO 计划的参与度每增加一个标准差,零售和娱乐业的人流量就会增加 2-5%,食品制作和服务业的就业岗位就会增加 6-8%。这些效应是短暂的,我们没有发现证据表明这些效应对非娱乐活动或其他行业产生了巨大的溢出效益。
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引用次数: 0
Bunching in real-estate markets: Regulated building heights in New York City 房地产市场的束缚:纽约市受管制的建筑高度
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103683
Jan K. Brueckner , David Leather , Miguel Zerecero

This paper presents a real-estate application of the bunching methodology widely used in other areas of applied microeconomics. The focus is on regulated building heights in New York City, where developers can exceed a parcel’s regulated height by incurring additional costs. Using the bunching methodology, we estimate the magnitude of these extra costs, with the results showing a modest increase in the marginal cost of floor space beyond the regulated building height. We use these estimates to predict the additional floor space that would be created by complete removal of building-height regulation in NYC. While this last exercise is circumscribed by our focus on a limited number of zoning categories, the results suggest that New York could secure notably more housing through lighter height regulation.

本文介绍了广泛应用于应用微观经济学其他领域的扎堆方法在房地产领域的应用。本文的重点是纽约市受管制的建筑高度,在纽约市,开发商可以通过承担额外成本来超过地块受管制的高度。我们利用聚类方法估算了这些额外成本的规模,结果显示超过规定建筑高度的楼面空间边际成本略有增加。我们利用这些估算结果来预测纽约市完全取消建筑高度管制后所增加的楼面面积。虽然最后一项工作由于我们只关注有限的分区类别而受到限制,但结果表明,纽约市可以通过放松高度管制来确保更多的住房。
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引用次数: 0
The long-term effects of war on foreign direct investment and economic development: evidence from Vietnam 战争对外国直接投资和经济发展的长期影响:来自越南的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103680
Cuong Viet Nguyen , Tuyen Quang Tran , Huong Van Vu

In this study, we find a negative effect of unexploded ordnance (UXO) on the geographical density of foreign direct investment and large firms in Vietnam. A 1 % increase in the proportion of UXO-contaminated areas leads to a 0.69 % relative decrease in the density of FDI firms within districts. Point estimates for the elasticity of the density of joint-venture FDI firms and state-owned enterprises (SOEs) due to UXO are smaller, equal to -0.56 and -0.36. Moreover, we also find that a 1 % increase in the proportion of UXO-contaminated areas leads to a 0.38 % relative decrease in the intensity of nighttime light.

在这项研究中,我们发现未爆弹药(UXO)对越南外商直接投资和大型企业的地理密度有负面影响。未爆弹药污染区的比例每增加 1%,各区内外国直接投资企业的密度就会相对降低 0.69%。未爆弹药对合资外国直接投资企业和国有企业密度弹性的点估计值较小,分别为-0.56和-0.36。此外,我们还发现,未爆弹药污染区比例每增加 1%,夜间照明强度就会相对降低 0.38%。
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引用次数: 0
Mayors’ promotion incentives and subnational-level GDP manipulation 市长晋升激励与国家以下各级 GDP 操纵
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103679
Jiangnan Zeng , Qiyao Zhou

What role do local officials’ incentives play in regional economic growth? How do local officials behave under promotion pressure? This paper studies the unintended impact of mayors’ promotion incentives on regional economic growth and subnational-level GDP manipulation in China. We employ a regression discontinuity design that accounts for age restrictions in deciding promotions for mayors. We find that when GDP performance is prioritized in officials’ promotion evaluations (before 2013), mayors’ promotion incentives significantly increase the statistical GDP growth rate by 3.4 percentage points. However, their effects on nighttime light and other non-manipulable real economic growth indicators are close to zero. This gap can be attributed to GDP manipulation under our empirical framework. The above pattern no longer persists after 2013, when the role of GDP statistics in mayoral promotions was reduced. Our findings indicate that GDP manipulation makes performance-based competition between mayors devolve into a data manipulation game.

地方官员的激励机制在地区经济增长中发挥什么作用?地方官员在升迁压力下的行为如何?本文研究了中国市长晋升激励对地区经济增长和国家以下各级 GDP 操纵的意外影响。我们采用回归不连续设计,在决定市长晋升时考虑了年龄限制。我们发现,当官员晋升评价中优先考虑 GDP 表现时(2013 年以前),市长晋升激励会显著提高统计 GDP 增长率 3.4 个百分点。然而,它们对夜间照明和其他不可操控的实际经济增长指标的影响却接近于零。在我们的实证框架下,这一差距可以归因于 GDP 的操纵。2013 年后,GDP 统计在市长晋升中的作用减弱,上述模式不再持续。我们的研究结果表明,GDP操纵使得市长之间基于政绩的竞争演变成了一场数据操纵游戏。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Urban Economics
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