Pub Date : 2025-11-01DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103814
Gregory Verdugo , Malak Kandoussi
We examine how relocations from the center to the suburbs of establishments employing mainly skilled workers affect the composition and wages of their employees. Using data from the Paris metro area, we find that these relocations increase average commuting time by 19%. In response, firms compensate highly paid workers with 10 to 20% of their hourly wage per additional hour of commuting. Lower-paid workers receive no compensation and are more likely to leave. Consistent with workers valuing locational amenities, we find little increase in separation and no wage adjustment for increased commuting time when establishments relocate to more attractive neighborhoods.
{"title":"Will you follow your job to the suburbs?","authors":"Gregory Verdugo , Malak Kandoussi","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103814","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103814","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine how relocations from the center to the suburbs of establishments employing mainly skilled workers affect the composition and wages of their employees. Using data from the Paris metro area, we find that these relocations increase average commuting time by 19%. In response, firms compensate highly paid workers with 10 to 20% of their hourly wage per additional hour of commuting. Lower-paid workers receive no compensation and are more likely to leave. Consistent with workers valuing locational amenities, we find little increase in separation and no wage adjustment for increased commuting time when establishments relocate to more attractive neighborhoods.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 103814"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145474421","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-01DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103813
Hao Fe , Yang Liang , Mary E. Lovely
Exporting to foreign markets offers new opportunities for growth and expansion, but also comes with inherent challenges and risks. To mitigate these uncertainties, firms often learn from neighboring firms that are geographically close (Koenig et al. 2010; Silvente and Giménez 2007). Accounting for endogenous sorting of firms across space within cities, we present novel evidence of export spillovers at finely detailed spatial scales. Our findings suggest that firms located in the immediate vicinity of a local first exporter – a firm initiating a new seller-market – are 38% more likely to enter the same market the following year, compared to firms that lack a nearby first exporter. This effect is twice as large as export spillovers from later exporters in the same area. Our mechanism analysis suggests that the spillover effect is likely driven by the flow of information, facilitated by close proximity.
对外出口为中国经济增长和扩大提供了新的机遇，但也面临着固有的挑战和风险。为了减轻这些不确定性，企业通常会向地理位置相近的相邻企业学习（Koenig et al. 2010; Silvente and gimsamnez 2007）。考虑到企业在城市内部空间的内生排序，我们在精细的空间尺度上提出了出口溢出效应的新证据。我们的研究结果表明，与附近没有第一出口商的公司相比，位于当地第一出口商附近的公司（即启动新的卖方市场的公司）第二年进入同一市场的可能性要高38%。这种影响是同一地区后发出口国出口溢出效应的两倍。我们的机制分析表明，这种溢出效应很可能是由信息流动驱动的，并由近距离促进。
{"title":"Follow thy neighbor: The role of first exporters","authors":"Hao Fe , Yang Liang , Mary E. Lovely","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103813","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103813","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Exporting to foreign markets offers new opportunities for growth and expansion, but also comes with inherent challenges and risks. To mitigate these uncertainties, firms often learn from neighboring firms that are geographically close (Koenig et al. 2010; Silvente and Giménez 2007). Accounting for endogenous sorting of firms across space within cities, we present novel evidence of export spillovers at finely detailed spatial scales. Our findings suggest that firms located in the immediate vicinity of a local first exporter – a firm initiating a new seller-market – are 38% more likely to enter the same market the following year, compared to firms that lack a nearby first exporter. This effect is twice as large as export spillovers from later exporters in the same area. Our mechanism analysis suggests that the spillover effect is likely driven by the flow of information, facilitated by close proximity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 103813"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145474420","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-18DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103811
Zeyi He , Zhi-An Hu , Wei Huang , Yankun Kang
This paper examines how tourism expansion, driven by the establishment of China’s top-tier tourist attractions, affects human capital accumulation. We find that exposure to tourism growth before age 17 significantly reduces high school enrollment, particularly among disadvantaged individuals and in less-developed regions. Mechanism analysis indicates that individuals make schooling decisions by weighing the opportunity cost of continued education against its expected long-term returns. Moreover, following tourism expansion, we observe declines in parental educational expectations and investments, alongside poorer academic performance among children. These findings highlight the complex trade-offs between tourism-led economic growth and educational development.
{"title":"Tourism growth, education decline: Evidence from China’s 5A attraction expansion","authors":"Zeyi He , Zhi-An Hu , Wei Huang , Yankun Kang","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103811","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103811","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines how tourism expansion, driven by the establishment of China’s top-tier tourist attractions, affects human capital accumulation. We find that exposure to tourism growth before age 17 significantly reduces high school enrollment, particularly among disadvantaged individuals and in less-developed regions. Mechanism analysis indicates that individuals make schooling decisions by weighing the opportunity cost of continued education against its expected long-term returns. Moreover, following tourism expansion, we observe declines in parental educational expectations and investments, alongside poorer academic performance among children. These findings highlight the complex trade-offs between tourism-led economic growth and educational development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 103811"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145334003","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-17DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103812
Keyang Li , Yixun Tang , Qiuyi Wang
Using an administrative microlevel dataset of housing resale transactions in a major Chinese city, we exploit China's relaxation of the One-Child Policy in 2013 as an exogenous shock on fertility to analyze the effect of fertility relaxation on housing market outcomes. Our results show that housing prices (transaction volume) for units with more bedrooms increased by 2.2% (9.9%) compared with those with fewer bedrooms after the policy announcement. Consistently, city-level analysis employing an alternative identification strategy reveals that cities experiencing greater exposure to the policy change exhibited more pronounced increases in housing prices after the fertility relaxation. The underlying mechanism is related to increased fertility, as the surge in housing demand for units with more bedrooms was primarily driven by younger buyers aged 18–29 with higher fertility intentions. Our findings reveal the consequences of fertility relaxation on the housing market, which have important implications for fertility and housing policy development.
{"title":"Impact of fertility relaxation on the housing market outcomes","authors":"Keyang Li , Yixun Tang , Qiuyi Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103812","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103812","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using an administrative microlevel dataset of housing resale transactions in a major Chinese city, we exploit China's relaxation of the One-Child Policy in 2013 as an exogenous shock on fertility to analyze the effect of fertility relaxation on housing market outcomes. Our results show that housing prices (transaction volume) for units with more bedrooms increased by 2.2% (9.9%) compared with those with fewer bedrooms after the policy announcement. Consistently, city-level analysis employing an alternative identification strategy reveals that cities experiencing greater exposure to the policy change exhibited more pronounced increases in housing prices after the fertility relaxation. The underlying mechanism is related to increased fertility, as the surge in housing demand for units with more bedrooms was primarily driven by younger buyers aged 18–29 with higher fertility intentions. Our findings reveal the consequences of fertility relaxation on the housing market, which have important implications for fertility and housing policy development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 103812"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145334004","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-04DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103800
Eve Colson-Sihra , José De Sousa , Thierry Mayer
Does geography shape tastes? This paper investigates the geography of tastes using French household surveys from 1974 and 2005. We propose a two-step method: first, we estimate regional tastes using a structural demand system; then, we compute bilateral taste differences and link them to geographic distance. The 1974 results provide evidence of ‘gravity in taste’—that is, geographically closer regions have more similar food tastes. By 2005, this geographic pattern has largely disappeared. However, tastes are not homogenized. Regional diversity persists, with differences in taste determined by sociocultural similarity rather than geographic distance.
{"title":"Tastes, geography and culture","authors":"Eve Colson-Sihra , José De Sousa , Thierry Mayer","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103800","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103800","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Does geography shape tastes? This paper investigates the geography of tastes using French household surveys from 1974 and 2005. We propose a two-step method: first, we estimate regional tastes using a structural demand system; then, we compute bilateral taste differences and link them to geographic distance. The 1974 results provide evidence of ‘gravity in taste’—that is, geographically closer regions have more similar food tastes. By 2005, this geographic pattern has largely disappeared. However, tastes are not homogenized. Regional diversity persists, with differences in taste determined by sociocultural similarity rather than geographic distance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 103800"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-10-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145227809","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-10-03DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103810
Robert B. Fluegge
How does city growth respond to catastrophe? I propose a model in which local entrepreneurs have a comparative advantage in starting local businesses and business creation benefits from business activity. The model predicts that cities stagnate following a reduction in local human capital but, consistent with established facts about city resilience, recover after the destruction of local physical capital. I test for the predicted effects of a shock to human capital using U.S. city populations after the 1918 Influenza Pandemic, which killed 0.5% of residents in the largest U.S. cities. Instrumenting for Flu incidence with local weather at the peak of the epidemic, I show that cities with high influenza mortality had persistently low population levels and growth rates, with estimates implying that a 10% increase in Flu incidence caused a 13% reduction in 2010 population.
{"title":"Death, destruction, and growth in cities: Entrepreneurial capital and economic geography after the 1918 influenza","authors":"Robert B. Fluegge","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103810","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103810","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>How does city growth respond to catastrophe? I propose a model in which local entrepreneurs have a comparative advantage in starting local businesses and business creation benefits from business activity. The model predicts that cities stagnate following a reduction in local human capital but, consistent with established facts about city resilience, recover after the destruction of local physical capital. I test for the predicted effects of a shock to human capital using U.S. city populations after the 1918 Influenza Pandemic, which killed 0.5% of residents in the largest U.S. cities. Instrumenting for Flu incidence with local weather at the peak of the epidemic, I show that cities with high influenza mortality had persistently low population levels and growth rates, with estimates implying that a 10% increase in Flu incidence caused a 13% reduction in 2010 population.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 103810"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145227810","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-26DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103809
Matthew Tarduno
Over the past decade, many U.S. cities have imposed taxes on Uber and Lyft, leading to debate over the impacts and incidence of these policies. This paper answers three questions about these taxes: (i) How do ridesharing taxes impact trip prices and quantities? (ii) What are the implied market supply and demand elasticities, and (iii) Who bears the burden of ridesharing taxes? Using data from Chicago, I show that ridesharing demand is inelastic in both gross terms, and relative to supply. Accordingly, 89% of the city’s ridesharing tax is passed through to passengers. From a distributional standpoint, travel survey data suggest that ridesharing taxes are roughly as progressive as the federal income tax schedule. Finally, back-of-the-envelope calculations informed by these results suggest that ridesharing taxes of the size typically seen in the U.S. are unlikely to generate meaningful improvements in congestion or air pollution.
{"title":"Elasticities and tax incidence in urban ridesharing markets: Evidence from Chicago","authors":"Matthew Tarduno","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103809","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103809","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Over the past decade, many U.S. cities have imposed taxes on Uber and Lyft, leading to debate over the impacts and incidence of these policies. This paper answers three questions about these taxes: (i) How do ridesharing taxes impact trip prices and quantities? (ii) What are the implied market supply and demand elasticities, and (iii) Who bears the burden of ridesharing taxes? Using data from Chicago, I show that ridesharing demand is inelastic in both gross terms, and relative to supply. Accordingly, 89% of the city’s ridesharing tax is passed through to passengers. From a distributional standpoint, travel survey data suggest that ridesharing taxes are roughly as progressive as the federal income tax schedule. Finally, back-of-the-envelope calculations informed by these results suggest that ridesharing taxes of the size typically seen in the U.S. are unlikely to generate meaningful improvements in congestion or air pollution.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 103809"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145160064","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-09-25DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103808
Silvia Peracchi
This paper examines how undocumented migrant displacements affect local news markets and the political economy of EU internal borders. I focus on a policy that took place in June 2015, in which French authorities introduced militarized controls at their borders with Italy, to return waves of irregular border-crossing migrants transiting from Italy to Italian lands. Natives’ exposure to resettled migrants varied across Italian municipalities, depending on their proximity to push-back areas. I exploit this quasi-experimental setting in a diff-in-diff framework and compile novel text and count data from local news in Liguria, Italy. Results show that migration coverage declined with distance from the border after the push-backs. In contrast, anti-immigrant discourse intensified away from the events and weakened at the border. Exploring further this framing dimension, I observe readers’ demand to be closely associated with local news discourse and voting preferences to broadly follow anti-immigrant slant in the news.
{"title":"Migration crisis in the local news: Evidence from the French–Italian border","authors":"Silvia Peracchi","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103808","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103808","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines how undocumented migrant displacements affect local news markets and the political economy of EU internal borders. I focus on a policy that took place in June 2015, in which French authorities introduced militarized controls at their borders with Italy, to return waves of irregular border-crossing migrants transiting from Italy to Italian lands. Natives’ exposure to resettled migrants varied across Italian municipalities, depending on their proximity to push-back areas. I exploit this quasi-experimental setting in a diff-in-diff framework and compile novel text and count data from local news in Liguria, Italy. Results show that migration coverage declined with distance from the border after the push-backs. In contrast, anti-immigrant discourse intensified away from the events and weakened at the border. Exploring further this framing dimension, I observe readers’ demand to be closely associated with local news discourse and voting preferences to broadly follow anti-immigrant slant in the news.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 103808"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145134828","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-08-29DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103798
Ben Klopack, Fernando Luco
We compare two widely used sources of consumption data: payment card transactions (from credit and debit cards) and cell phone location pings. We find they are positively but imperfectly correlated; payment card usage is higher among higher-income consumers, while cell phone pings only loosely track consumer spending. We develop a methodology that combines both sources to measure local retail spending and show that it closely tracks more aggregated government data. We illustrate its use by quantifying local fiscal multipliers. We show that the impacts of government spending shocks are highly localized, decay spatially, and are heterogeneous across store categories.
{"title":"JUE Insight: Measuring local consumption with payment cards and cell phone pings","authors":"Ben Klopack, Fernando Luco","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103798","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103798","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We compare two widely used sources of consumption data: payment card transactions (from credit and debit cards) and cell phone location pings. We find they are positively but imperfectly correlated; payment card usage is higher among higher-income consumers, while cell phone pings only loosely track consumer spending. We develop a methodology that combines both sources to measure local retail spending and show that it closely tracks more aggregated government data. We illustrate its use by quantifying local fiscal multipliers. We show that the impacts of government spending shocks are highly localized, decay spatially, and are heterogeneous across store categories.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"149 ","pages":"Article 103798"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144914016","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-08-26DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103797
Filipe Campante , Rui Du , Weizeng Sun , Jianghao Wang , Siqi Zheng
We show evidence of how political geography directly shapes real economic outcomes by studying the spatial impact on Beijing’s restaurant sector of China’s 2012 anti-corruption campaign, which placed strict limits on lavish spending by public officials. Restaurants located closer to government offices experienced a relative decline in consumer demand. The post-campaign distribution of establishments was less spatially concentrated around government offices and had a smaller presence of high-end restaurants than before the campaign. Our results underscore the role of political geography as a potent, spatially concentrated driver of demand and its influence on the configuration of economic activities.
{"title":"JUE insight: Political geography and the spatial allocation of economic activity: Evidence from China’s anti-corruption campaign","authors":"Filipe Campante , Rui Du , Weizeng Sun , Jianghao Wang , Siqi Zheng","doi":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103797","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jue.2025.103797","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We show evidence of how political geography directly shapes real economic outcomes by studying the spatial impact on Beijing’s restaurant sector of China’s 2012 anti-corruption campaign, which placed strict limits on lavish spending by public officials. Restaurants located closer to government offices experienced a relative decline in consumer demand. The post-campaign distribution of establishments was less spatially concentrated around government offices and had a smaller presence of high-end restaurants than before the campaign. Our results underscore the role of political geography as a potent, spatially concentrated driver of demand and its influence on the configuration of economic activities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48340,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Urban Economics","volume":"149 ","pages":"Article 103797"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-08-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144904506","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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