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The effect of water filtration on cholera mortality 水过滤对霍乱死亡率的影响
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103752
Daniel Knutsson
This paper examines how water filtration and distribution helped reduce mortality during a cholera outbreak. Using household water contract records and individual mortality data, I analyze the impact of filtered water with an event study approach. The results show that having access to filtered water at home greatly reduced the risk of death. This suggests that water filtration and distribution were key public health measures in lowering mortality from waterborne diseases in the 19th and early 20th centuries. Improvements in urban water systems could have played a major role in the decline of cholera outbreaks and mortality during this period.
本文探讨了在霍乱暴发期间,水的过滤和分配如何帮助降低死亡率。利用家庭用水合同记录和个人死亡率数据,我用事件研究的方法分析了过滤水的影响。结果表明,在家中使用过滤水大大降低了死亡风险。这表明,在19世纪和20世纪初,水的过滤和分配是降低水传播疾病死亡率的关键公共卫生措施。在此期间,城市供水系统的改善可能在霍乱暴发和死亡率下降方面发挥了重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
JUE insight: Efficiency of bus priority infrastructure 识识:公交优先基础设施的效率
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103751
Felipe González , Hugo E. Silva
We use bus GPS data across 500 routes to estimate the impact of priority infrastructure on buses’ speed and ridership in Chile. Almost 100 million bus trips allow us to leverage within-route variation in the proportion of the route in which buses travel along bus lanes or Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) corridors. Corridors increase bus speeds by 20% at peak hours. Bus lanes, often seen as an equally effective but cheaper alternative to a BRT corridor, are, on average, ineffective. However, bus lanes achieve the same travel time savings as BRT corridors only when fully isolated from private vehicles, coupled with monitoring cameras and enforcement.
我们使用500条路线的公交车GPS数据来估计优先基础设施对智利公交车速度和乘客的影响。近1亿次公交出行使我们能够利用路线内的变化,即沿公交车道或快速公交(BRT)走廊行驶的公交线路的比例。在高峰时段,走廊可使巴士速度提高20%。公交专用道通常被视为与BRT走廊同样有效但更便宜的替代方案,但平均而言是无效的。然而,只有在与私家车完全隔离,再加上监控摄像头和执法的情况下,公交车道才能像BRT走廊一样节省出行时间。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing political preferences of second-generation immigrants across the rural–urban divide 分析跨越城乡鸿沟的第二代移民的政治偏好
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103740
Simone Moriconi , Giovanni Peri , Riccardo Turati
This paper analyzes the political preferences of immigrants’ offspring in relation to the rural–urban divide of political preferences in European countries. Using data on individual voting behavior and political preferences in 22 European countries between 2001 and 2017, we analyze whether second-generation immigrants have different preferences on a left–right political spectrum, relative to other natives. We show that they have a significant left-wing preference after controlling for a large set of individual characteristics and origin fixed effects. In spite of their concentration in urban areas, where native residents are also more left-leaning than the average, this difference is not a result of their location, as the difference is particularly strong in non-urban areas. Second-generation immigrants are also more likely to be politically active, to participate in demonstrations or petitions and to exhibit stronger preferences for inequality-reducing government intervention, internationalism and multiculturalism. Growing up with an immigrant father experiencing challenges in his labor market integration seems to be the stronger predictor of the left-wing preference of second-generation.
本文分析了移民后代的政治偏好与欧洲国家城乡政治偏好差异的关系。利用2001年至2017年间22个欧洲国家的个人投票行为和政治偏好数据,我们分析了相对于其他本地人,第二代移民在左右政治光谱上是否有不同的偏好。我们发现,在控制了大量的个体特征和起源固定效应后,他们有显著的左翼偏好。尽管他们集中在城市地区,当地居民也比平均水平更左倾,但这种差异并不是他们所处位置的结果,因为这种差异在非城市地区尤为明显。第二代移民也更有可能在政治上活跃,参加示威或请愿活动,并对减少不平等的政府干预、国际主义和多元文化主义表现出更强的偏好。与一个移民父亲一起成长,在融入劳动力市场方面遇到挑战,似乎更能预测第二代人的左翼偏好。
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引用次数: 0
Long-term effects of weather-induced migration on urban labor and housing markets 气候导致的人口迁移对城市劳动力和住房市场的长期影响
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103739
Matias Busso, Juan Pablo Chauvin
This paper explores the effects of weather-induced rural–urban migration on labor and housing market outcomes of urban residents in Brazil. In order to identify causal effects, it uses weather shocks to the rural municipalities of origin of migrants. We show that larger migration shocks led to an increase in employment growth and a reduction in wage growth of 4 and 5 percent, respectively. The increased migration flows also affected the housing market in destination cities. On average, it led to 4 percent faster growth of the housing stock, accompanied by 6 percent faster growth in housing rents. These effects vary sharply by housing quality. We find a substantial positive effect on the growth rates of the most penurious housing units (with no effect on rents) and a negative effect on the growth of housing units in the next quality tier (with a positive effect on rents). This suggests that rural immigration growth slowed down housing-quality upgrading in destination cities.
本文探讨了天气因素对巴西城市居民劳动力和住房市场结果的影响。为了确定因果关系,它使用了对移民来源地农村城市的天气冲击。我们表明,更大的移民冲击导致就业增长增加,工资增长减少,分别为4%和5%。移民流动的增加也影响了目的地城市的房地产市场。平均而言,它导致住房存量增长加快4%,住房租金增长加快6%。这些影响因住房质量而异。我们发现,对最贫困住房单元的增长率有实质性的积极影响(对租金没有影响),对下一个质量层的住房单元的增长有负面影响(对租金有积极影响)。这表明,农村移民的增长减缓了目的地城市住房质量的升级。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of macroprudential policies on homeownership: Evidence from Switzerland 宏观审慎政策对住房所有权的影响:来自瑞士的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103749
Elio Bolliger , Adrian Bruhin , Andreas Fuster , Maja Ganarin
This paper studies how the introduction of macroprudential policies in the Swiss residential mortgage market affected the propensity of households to become homeowners. We exploit a unique administrative data set of individual tax records containing detailed financial and socio-demographic information. We show that the mean share of renter households transitioning into homeownership decreased from 3.4% per year in the five years prior to the introduction of macroprudential policies to 3.0% per year in the five years afterward. This decrease is more pronounced for young and middle-aged households with relatively low income and wealth, suggesting that it is at least partly due to a tightening in borrowing constraints. Moreover, intergenerational transfers in the form of predeath bequests have become more important for homebuying both at the extensive and intensive margin.
本文研究了瑞士住房抵押贷款市场宏观审慎政策的引入如何影响家庭成为房主的倾向。我们利用独特的管理数据集的个人税务记录,其中包含详细的财务和社会人口信息。我们发现,在宏观审慎政策出台前的5年里,租房家庭转为自有住房的平均比例从每年3.4%下降到5年后的每年3.0%。这种下降在收入和财富相对较低的中青年家庭中更为明显,这表明至少部分原因是借贷限制收紧。此外,以死前遗赠形式进行的代际转移,无论是在广泛的还是密集的边际上,对购房都变得更加重要。
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引用次数: 0
Roads, internal migration and the spatial sorting of U.S. high-skill workers 道路、国内移民和美国高技能工人的空间分类
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103735
Florin Cucu
This article studies the effects of a major transport infrastructure project, the construction of the U.S. Interstate Highway System (IHS), on the location choices and welfare of high-skill and low-skill workers. In its first part, the article provides reduced-form evidence that the IHS altered the skill composition of metropolitan areas. Event study and instrumental variable regressions show that better-connected cities experienced higher growth in their adult population and share of college-educated residents. Additional results highlight the role played by lower travel times, inter-state migration, and agglomeration economies. The second part of the article rationalizes these patterns using a quantitative spatial model with costly trade, heterogeneous migration costs, and agglomeration economies. Counterfactual experiments show that increasing travel times to their pre-IHS values would lower the expected utility of high-skill workers by an average of 6.1% and that of low-skill workers by 6.4%. These effects exhibit significant variation across cities and, within cities, across skill groups. The findings in this article highlight how transport infrastructure shapes the distribution of skills and the spatial patterns of welfare inequality.
本文研究了美国州际公路系统(IHS)建设这一重大交通基础设施项目对高技能工人和低技能工人的区位选择和福利的影响。在第一部分中,本文提供了简化形式的证据,证明IHS改变了大都市地区的技能构成。事件研究和工具变量回归表明,连通程度越高的城市,其成年人口和受过大学教育的居民比例增长越快。其他结果强调了较短的旅行时间、州际迁移和集聚经济所起的作用。文章的第二部分利用一个包含贸易成本、异质性迁移成本和集聚经济的定量空间模型对这些模式进行了合理化分析。反事实实验表明,将出行时间增加到ihs之前的值会使高技能工人的预期效用平均降低6.1%,使低技能工人的预期效用平均降低6.4%。这些影响在不同城市之间、城市内部、不同技能群体之间表现出显著差异。本文的研究结果强调了交通基础设施如何塑造技能分布和福利不平等的空间格局。
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引用次数: 0
Long-distance water infrastructure, rural development and urban growth: Evidence from China 远距离供水基础设施、农村发展和城市增长:来自中国的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103736
Xiaomeng Cui , Wangyang Lai , Tao Lin
Water is unevenly distributed across regions, yet the effectiveness of long-distance water transfer in addressing this issue remains understudied. This paper employs a difference-in-difference design to examine the impact of the world’s largest water transfer project on water resources, rural development, and urban growth. We find that the project enhances water supply and agricultural production in water-receiving areas, while it leads to agricultural declines in water-sourcing areas. Such diverging patterns contribute to various consequences on labor market and rural welfare, thereby generating further differential impacts on nearby urban growth. The water-receiving areas witness urban expansion and economic activities thrive in the rural-urban fringe, but in the water-sourcing areas, economic activities decline outside the core urban areas. Further analysis reveals significant heterogeneity between the two water-transfer routes, distinguished by their engineering designs.
水资源在区域间分布不均,但长距离调水在解决这一问题上的有效性仍未得到充分研究。本文采用“差中之差”设计来考察世界上最大的调水工程对水资源、农村发展和城市增长的影响。研究发现,该工程促进了受水区的供水和农业生产,同时导致了水源地的农业衰退。这种分化模式对劳动力市场和农村福利产生了不同的影响,从而对附近的城市增长产生了进一步的差异影响。受水区城市扩张,经济活动在城乡结合部蓬勃发展,但在水源地,核心城区以外的经济活动下降。进一步的分析揭示了两条输水路线之间的显著异质性,这是由它们的工程设计来区分的。
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引用次数: 0
Reducing the burden of mental illness on the criminal justice system: Evidence from light-touch outreach 减轻刑事司法系统的精神疾病负担:来自轻触式外展的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2024.103734
Mary Kate Batistich, William N. Evans, David C. Phillips
One quarter of people in jail have a serious mental illness (SMI); we study a county in a multi-state area that screens all inmates to identify those with one. Immediately after jail exit, county staff attempt to contact and connect these individuals to a mental healthcare provider, making successful connections in one in four cases. As outreach began on a specific date and residents of neighboring counties are ineligible for outreach, we compare residents and non-residents exiting the same jail over time in a difference-in-differences design. When the program begins, 180-day recidivism rates fall by 12 percentage points more for eligible residents than for would-be-eligible non-residents. Measured effects at one year are consistent with a persistent impact over time. We also find suggestive evidence that recidivism effects are larger for people without a history of mental healthcare.
四分之一的在押人员患有严重精神疾病(SMI);我们研究了一个多州地区的一个县,该县对所有囚犯进行筛查,以识别其中一个。出狱后,县里的工作人员立即试图联系这些人,并将他们与精神保健提供者联系起来,在四分之一的案例中成功建立了联系。由于外展活动在特定日期开始,邻近县的居民没有资格参加外展活动,我们采用差异中差异的设计,比较了同一监狱的居民和非居民随时间的变化。项目开始后,符合条件的居民180天内的再犯率比符合条件的非居民下降了12个百分点。一年的测量效果与一段时间的持续影响是一致的。我们还发现,没有精神病史的人再犯的影响更大。
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引用次数: 0
Slow traffic, fast food: The effects of time lost on food store choice 缓慢的交通,快餐:时间损失对食品商店选择的影响
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103737
Panka Bencsik , Lester Lusher , Rebecca L.C. Taylor
Time scarcity is one of the strongest correlates of fast food consumption. To estimate the causal effect of time lost on food choice, we match daily store-specific foot traffic data traced via smartphones to plausibly exogenous shocks in highway traffic congestion in Los Angeles County. We find that on days when highways are more congested, individuals are more likely to frequent fast food restaurants and less likely to grocery shop. In our main model, a one standard deviation increase in traffic delay leads to a 1% increase in fast food visits, equivalent to 1.2 million more fast food visits in Los Angeles County per year. The effects are particularly pronounced for afternoon rush hour traffic. Our results imply a net reduction in healthy food store choice due to time lost.
时间短缺是与快餐消费密切相关的因素之一。为了估计时间损失对食物选择的因果影响,我们将通过智能手机追踪到的每日特定商店的人流量数据与洛杉矶县高速公路交通拥堵中看似合理的外生冲击相匹配。我们发现,在高速公路更拥堵的日子里,人们更有可能经常去快餐店,而不太可能去杂货店。在我们的主要模型中,交通延误每增加一个标准差,就会导致快餐店访问量增加1%,相当于洛杉矶县每年增加120万次快餐店访问量。这种影响对下午高峰时段的交通尤其明显。我们的研究结果表明,由于时间损失,健康食品商店的选择净减少。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of low-skilled immigration on local productivity and amenities: Learning from the South Korean experience 低技能移民对当地生产力和便利设施的影响:从韩国的经验中学习
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103738
Hyejin Kim , Jongkwan Lee , Giovanni Peri
In this study, we evaluate the economic effects of a significant increase in low-skilled immigration in Korean Municipalities. Using a change in immigration policy in 2004 and the pre-existing immigrant networks we estimate the effects of low-skilled immigration on local wages, net native migration, and housing prices. We interpret the findings using a canonical representative agent spatial equilibrium model as in Glaeser and Gottlieb (2009) to infer the equilibrium effects of immigration on local productivity and amenities. An increase of immigrants equal to 1 percent of the local population generated a 1% increase in local productivity and a 1.6% decrease in local amenities. We also find a net migration response of zero among natives deriving from an inflow of those who moved for work-related and an outflow of those who moved for amenity-related reasons. Finally, we find a direct negative effect of the immigration shock on measures of local amenities.
在本研究中,我们评估了韩国城市低技术移民显著增加的经济影响。利用2004年移民政策的变化和先前存在的移民网络,我们估计了低技能移民对当地工资、净本地移民和房价的影响。我们使用Glaeser和Gottlieb(2009)的典型代表性代理空间均衡模型来解释这些发现,以推断移民对当地生产力和便利设施的均衡效应。每增加相当于当地人口1%的移民,当地生产力就会提高1%,而当地的便利设施则会下降1.6%。我们还发现,本地人的净移民响应为零,这是由于工作相关移民的流入和与舒适相关的移民的流出。最后,我们发现移民冲击对当地便利设施的衡量有直接的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Urban Economics
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