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You can’t sit with us: How locals and tourists compete for amenities in Paris 你不能和我们坐在一起:当地人和游客如何争夺巴黎的便利设施
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103773
Vladimir Avetian , Stefan Pauly
Tourism in cities fosters social interactions between people from distant cultures within limited space. But how does the influx of tourists affect locals’ satisfaction with amenities? Using data on restaurant reviews, we construct a panel of tourist presence in Paris. Based on two unanticipated drops in tourism – the November 2015 terrorist attack and the COVID-19 pandemic – we show that tourism reduces Parisians’ satisfaction with restaurants. We find that social frictions, including xenophobia towards tourists, drive our results. As tourist numbers declined, explicit complaints about tourists in reviews decreased, while other complaints remained unaffected. Locals are least satisfied with dining among tourists from countries with weak social ties to France. Tourists are not affected by the presence of other tourists.
城市旅游业促进了来自遥远文化的人们在有限空间内的社会交往。但是,大量涌入的游客如何影响当地人对便利设施的满意度呢?利用餐馆评论的数据,我们构建了一个巴黎游客存在的面板。根据2015年11月的恐怖袭击和2019冠状病毒病大流行这两次意外的旅游业下降,我们表明旅游业降低了巴黎人对餐馆的满意度。我们发现,社会摩擦,包括对游客的仇外心理,推动了我们的结果。随着游客数量的下降,评论中对游客的明确投诉减少了,而其他投诉则没有受到影响。在与法国社会关系较弱的国家游客中,法国人对餐饮最不满意。游客不受其他游客的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Did cities increase skills during industrialization? Evidence from rural-urban migration 城市在工业化过程中提高了技能吗?从农村向城市迁移的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103772
Jonatan Andersson , Jakob Molinder
The process of industrialization is typically associated with urbanization and a large urban-rural gap in productivity and skills. To what extent were these disparities driven by the direct impact on occupational attainment of living in an urban area or the result of the positive self-selection of migrants moving to cities? In this paper, we leverage exceptional Swedish longitudinal data that allow us to estimate the impact of rural-urban migration on occupational attainment during Sweden’s industrialization from the 1880s to the 1930s using a staggered treatment difference-in-differences estimator. We attribute roughly half of the urban premium to a direct impact of living in an urban area, whereas the other half is driven by self-selection into cities. A third of the direct impact of residing in cities is explained by a static effect, reflecting the urban advantage, while the rest is the result of a dynamic effect as individuals move into higher-skilled occupations over time in urban areas.
工业化进程通常与城市化以及生产力和技能方面的巨大城乡差距有关。这些差异在多大程度上是由生活在城市地区对职业成就的直接影响或移居城市的移民积极自我选择的结果造成的?在本文中,我们利用特殊的瑞典纵向数据,使我们能够使用交错处理差异估计器估计19世纪80年代至30年代瑞典工业化期间城乡迁移对职业成就的影响。我们将城市溢价的大约一半归因于生活在城市地区的直接影响,而另一半则是由自我选择进入城市所驱动的。居住在城市的直接影响有三分之一可以用静态效应来解释,这反映了城市的优势,而其余的则是动态效应的结果,因为随着时间的推移,个人在城市地区进入了更高技能的职业。
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引用次数: 0
Tenant rights, eviction, and rent affordability 租户权利,驱逐和租金负担能力
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103762
N. Edward Coulson , Thao Le , Victor Ortego-Marti , Lily Shen
We use state-level differences in landlord-tenant laws to estimate their impact on rental housing affordability. We construct a Tenant Rights Index (TRI) spanning 1997 to 2016 to assess its effects on eviction rates and rental market outcomes. Increased TRI correlates with higher median rent, higher rent-value ratio, and increased homelessness. To rationalize our findings, we develop a search and matching model of the rental market with free entry of both landlords and tenants, and an endogenous eviction mechanism. In our environment, more stringent eviction regulations reduce evictions and raise the relative demand for housing. However, stricter regulations also lead to higher rents and lower vacancy rates. We calibrate the model to the US rental market to quantitatively assess the mechanism in our model. An increase in eviction costs has a larger impact on the eviction rate and market tightness, with a relatively smaller effect on rents and vacancy rates. Our findings suggest that while stringent regulations may reduce evictions, they could lead to unintended consequences such as inflated house prices and heightened homelessness. Policymakers must carefully balance these potential drawbacks against the goal of tenant protection to avoid exacerbating existing housing affordability challenges.
我们使用州一级的房东-租客法律差异来估计它们对租赁住房负担能力的影响。我们构建了1997年至2016年的租户权利指数(TRI),以评估其对驱逐率和租赁市场结果的影响。增加的TRI与更高的中位数租金、更高的租金价值比和更多的无家可归者相关。为了合理化我们的研究结果,我们建立了一个房东和租客自由进入的租赁市场搜索和匹配模型,以及一个内生的驱逐机制。在我们的环境中,更严格的驱逐规定减少了驱逐,并提高了对住房的相对需求。然而,更严格的监管也导致了更高的租金和更低的空置率。我们将模型校准为美国租赁市场,以定量评估我们模型中的机制。驱逐成本的增加对驱逐率和市场紧张程度的影响较大,而对租金和空置率的影响相对较小。我们的研究结果表明,虽然严格的法规可能会减少驱逐,但它们可能会导致意想不到的后果,如房价上涨和无家可归现象加剧。政策制定者必须仔细权衡这些潜在的缺点和保护租户的目标,以避免加剧现有的住房负担能力挑战。
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引用次数: 0
When does crime respond to punishment?: Evidence from drug-free school zones 什么时候犯罪对惩罚有反应?来自无毒学区的证据
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103763
Robert Gonzalez , Ranae Jabri , Sarah Komisarow
Economic theory suggests that crime should respond to punishment severity. However, empirical evidence on this link is ambiguous. We propose one explanation for this discrepancy: Punishments deter crime but only when the probability of detection is moderate. Using increases in punishment severity in drug-free school zones along with changes in the probability of detection resulting from a community crime-monitoring program, we demonstrate that drug-related crime drops in blocks just within the drug-free school zones, where punishments are more severe, but only if the monitoring intensity – and hence the probability of detection – is at intermediate levels.
经济理论认为,犯罪应该对严厉的惩罚做出反应。然而,这种联系的经验证据是模糊的。我们对这种差异提出了一种解释:惩罚能阻止犯罪,但只有在被发现的可能性适中的情况下。通过对禁毒区惩罚力度的提高,以及社区犯罪监控项目导致的被发现概率的变化,我们证明,禁毒区内街区的毒品相关犯罪有所下降,在禁毒区,惩罚更严厉,但前提是监控强度——以及因此被发现的概率——处于中等水平。
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引用次数: 0
Why do right to carry laws increase violence? Effects on gun theft and clearance rates 为什么携带权法会增加暴力?对枪支盗窃和清除率的影响
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103761
John J. Donohue , Samuel V. Cai , Matthew V. Bondy , Philip J. Cook
Since the 1970s most state restrictions on carrying handguns in public have been eased or eliminated. Several of the early impact evaluations of these changes tended to support the belief that laws that facilitated gun carrying by private citizens deterred violent crime (while possibly increasing property crime). But more recent studies of the impacts of right to carry (RTC) laws conclude that the net effect is to increase state-level violent-crime rates relative to more restrictive regimes. This finding implies that the deterrence mechanism is swamped by other mechanisms, but there has been little evidence on which ones are important in practice. Using a novel data set of 217 large cities over 41 years, we confirm that violent crime increases following RTC adoption. We then document two mechanisms that may account for this result, finding a 50 percent increase in gun theft and a 9-18 percent reduction in violent crime clearance rates. Further analysis of city-level heterogeneity in RTC-induced effects is consistent with the hypothesis that gun theft is a likely cause of the RTC-induced increase in violent crime and more tentative evidence points to clearance as a potential driver.
自20世纪70年代以来,大多数州对在公共场合携带手枪的限制已经放宽或取消。对这些变化的一些早期影响评估倾向于支持这样一种信念,即促进公民私人携带枪支的法律可以阻止暴力犯罪(同时可能增加财产犯罪)。但最近对持枪权(RTC)法律影响的研究得出结论,其净效应是相对于更严格的制度,增加了州一级的暴力犯罪率。这一发现意味着威慑机制被其他机制所淹没,但几乎没有证据表明哪些机制在实践中是重要的。利用217个大城市41年来的新数据集,我们证实了采用RTC后暴力犯罪有所增加。然后,我们记录了两种可能解释这一结果的机制,发现枪支盗窃增加了50%,暴力犯罪清除率降低了9- 18%。进一步分析城市层面的rtc诱导效应的异质性,与枪支盗窃可能是rtc诱导的暴力犯罪增加的一个原因的假设是一致的,更多的初步证据表明清场是一个潜在的驱动因素。
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引用次数: 0
Tax policy and the heterogeneous costs of homeownership 税收政策和房屋所有权的异质性成本
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103750
Kelly C. Bishop , Jakob Dowling , Nicolai V. Kuminoff , Alvin D. Murphy
The real economic cost of homeownership depends on an intricate system of taxes and subsides that vary over time and across the United States. We incorporate the key features of this system into a framework for measuring the annual user cost of housing and we use it to document how housing costs and subsidies varied over time, across space, and with household demographics in 2016–2017. Then we examine how the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 subsequently reduced subsidies and increased the relative cost of housing. We report how these changes varied by geography, homeownership, race, income, and voting behavior.
拥有住房的实际经济成本取决于一个复杂的税收和补贴体系,这个体系随着时间和美国各地的变化而变化。我们将该系统的主要特征纳入了一个衡量年度住房用户成本的框架,并用它来记录2016-2017年住房成本和补贴如何随时间、空间和家庭人口统计数据而变化。然后,我们将研究2017年的《减税和就业法案》(Tax Cuts and Jobs Act)随后如何减少补贴并增加住房的相对成本。我们报告了这些变化是如何因地理位置、房屋所有权、种族、收入和投票行为而变化的。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of water filtration on cholera mortality 水过滤对霍乱死亡率的影响
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103752
Daniel Knutsson
This paper examines how water filtration and distribution helped reduce mortality during a cholera outbreak. Using household water contract records and individual mortality data, I analyze the impact of filtered water with an event study approach. The results show that having access to filtered water at home greatly reduced the risk of death. This suggests that water filtration and distribution were key public health measures in lowering mortality from waterborne diseases in the 19th and early 20th centuries. Improvements in urban water systems could have played a major role in the decline of cholera outbreaks and mortality during this period.
本文探讨了在霍乱暴发期间,水的过滤和分配如何帮助降低死亡率。利用家庭用水合同记录和个人死亡率数据,我用事件研究的方法分析了过滤水的影响。结果表明,在家中使用过滤水大大降低了死亡风险。这表明,在19世纪和20世纪初,水的过滤和分配是降低水传播疾病死亡率的关键公共卫生措施。在此期间,城市供水系统的改善可能在霍乱暴发和死亡率下降方面发挥了重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
JUE insight: Efficiency of bus priority infrastructure 识识:公交优先基础设施的效率
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103751
Felipe González , Hugo E. Silva
We use bus GPS data across 500 routes to estimate the impact of priority infrastructure on buses’ speed and ridership in Chile. Almost 100 million bus trips allow us to leverage within-route variation in the proportion of the route in which buses travel along bus lanes or Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) corridors. Corridors increase bus speeds by 20% at peak hours. Bus lanes, often seen as an equally effective but cheaper alternative to a BRT corridor, are, on average, ineffective. However, bus lanes achieve the same travel time savings as BRT corridors only when fully isolated from private vehicles, coupled with monitoring cameras and enforcement.
我们使用500条路线的公交车GPS数据来估计优先基础设施对智利公交车速度和乘客的影响。近1亿次公交出行使我们能够利用路线内的变化,即沿公交车道或快速公交(BRT)走廊行驶的公交线路的比例。在高峰时段,走廊可使巴士速度提高20%。公交专用道通常被视为与BRT走廊同样有效但更便宜的替代方案,但平均而言是无效的。然而,只有在与私家车完全隔离,再加上监控摄像头和执法的情况下,公交车道才能像BRT走廊一样节省出行时间。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing political preferences of second-generation immigrants across the rural–urban divide 分析跨越城乡鸿沟的第二代移民的政治偏好
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103740
Simone Moriconi , Giovanni Peri , Riccardo Turati
This paper analyzes the political preferences of immigrants’ offspring in relation to the rural–urban divide of political preferences in European countries. Using data on individual voting behavior and political preferences in 22 European countries between 2001 and 2017, we analyze whether second-generation immigrants have different preferences on a left–right political spectrum, relative to other natives. We show that they have a significant left-wing preference after controlling for a large set of individual characteristics and origin fixed effects. In spite of their concentration in urban areas, where native residents are also more left-leaning than the average, this difference is not a result of their location, as the difference is particularly strong in non-urban areas. Second-generation immigrants are also more likely to be politically active, to participate in demonstrations or petitions and to exhibit stronger preferences for inequality-reducing government intervention, internationalism and multiculturalism. Growing up with an immigrant father experiencing challenges in his labor market integration seems to be the stronger predictor of the left-wing preference of second-generation.
本文分析了移民后代的政治偏好与欧洲国家城乡政治偏好差异的关系。利用2001年至2017年间22个欧洲国家的个人投票行为和政治偏好数据,我们分析了相对于其他本地人,第二代移民在左右政治光谱上是否有不同的偏好。我们发现,在控制了大量的个体特征和起源固定效应后,他们有显著的左翼偏好。尽管他们集中在城市地区,当地居民也比平均水平更左倾,但这种差异并不是他们所处位置的结果,因为这种差异在非城市地区尤为明显。第二代移民也更有可能在政治上活跃,参加示威或请愿活动,并对减少不平等的政府干预、国际主义和多元文化主义表现出更强的偏好。与一个移民父亲一起成长,在融入劳动力市场方面遇到挑战,似乎更能预测第二代人的左翼偏好。
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引用次数: 0
Long-term effects of weather-induced migration on urban labor and housing markets 气候导致的人口迁移对城市劳动力和住房市场的长期影响
IF 5.7 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2025.103739
Matias Busso, Juan Pablo Chauvin
This paper explores the effects of weather-induced rural–urban migration on labor and housing market outcomes of urban residents in Brazil. In order to identify causal effects, it uses weather shocks to the rural municipalities of origin of migrants. We show that larger migration shocks led to an increase in employment growth and a reduction in wage growth of 4 and 5 percent, respectively. The increased migration flows also affected the housing market in destination cities. On average, it led to 4 percent faster growth of the housing stock, accompanied by 6 percent faster growth in housing rents. These effects vary sharply by housing quality. We find a substantial positive effect on the growth rates of the most penurious housing units (with no effect on rents) and a negative effect on the growth of housing units in the next quality tier (with a positive effect on rents). This suggests that rural immigration growth slowed down housing-quality upgrading in destination cities.
本文探讨了天气因素对巴西城市居民劳动力和住房市场结果的影响。为了确定因果关系,它使用了对移民来源地农村城市的天气冲击。我们表明,更大的移民冲击导致就业增长增加,工资增长减少,分别为4%和5%。移民流动的增加也影响了目的地城市的房地产市场。平均而言,它导致住房存量增长加快4%,住房租金增长加快6%。这些影响因住房质量而异。我们发现,对最贫困住房单元的增长率有实质性的积极影响(对租金没有影响),对下一个质量层的住房单元的增长有负面影响(对租金有积极影响)。这表明,农村移民的增长减缓了目的地城市住房质量的升级。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Urban Economics
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