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Improving ERGM starting values using simulated annealing 利用模拟退火提高ERGM起始值
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.socnet.2023.10.002
Christian S. Schmid , David R. Hunter

Much of the theory of estimation for exponential family models, which include exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) as a special case, is well-established and maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) in particular enjoy many desirable properties. However, in the case of many ERGMs, direct calculation of MLEs is impossible and therefore methods for approximating MLEs and/or alternative estimation methods must be employed. Many MLE approximation algorithms require an alternative estimate as a starting point. The maximum pseudo-likelihood estimator (MPLE) is frequently taken as this starting point. Here, we discuss a potentially large class of such alternatives based on the fact that, unlike the MLE, the MPLE fails to satisfy the so-called “likelihood principle”. This means that different networks may have different MPLEs even if they have the same sufficient statistics. We exploit this fact here to search for improved starting values for approximation-based MLE methods. The method we propose has shown its merit in producing an MLE for a network dataset and model that had defied estimation using all other known methods.

指数族模型的许多估计理论,其中包括指数族随机图模型(ergm)作为一种特殊情况,已经建立起来,特别是最大似然估计(MLEs)具有许多理想的性质。然而,在许多ergm的情况下,直接计算最大似然值是不可能的,因此必须采用近似最大似然值和/或替代估计方法。许多最大似然估计算法需要一个替代估计作为起点。极大伪似然估计量(MPLE)常被作为这个起点。在这里,我们基于这样一个事实,即与MLE不同,MPLE不能满足所谓的“似然原则”,讨论了一类潜在的此类替代方案。这意味着不同的网络可能有不同的mple,即使它们有相同的足够的统计数据。我们在这里利用这一事实来为基于近似的MLE方法寻找改进的起始值。我们提出的方法在为网络数据集和模型生成MLE方面显示出其优点,这些数据集和模型使用所有其他已知方法都无法进行估计。
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引用次数: 3
Predictors of romantic partner nomination reciprocity in adolescent social networks 青少年社交网络中浪漫伴侣提名互惠的预测因素
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-10-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.socnet.2023.10.001
Kate Vinita Fitch , Molly Copeland , jimi adams

Network data uniquely allow –relationships to be multiply reported, creating varying rates of relationship nomination reciprocation. However, what drives such variation is unclear. Variation in reciprocation may reflect substantive information about relationships (e.g., social salience or desirability) or study design (e.g., question wording or capped nominations). We examine predictors of nomination reciprocity in romantic network data from the PROSPER study to analyze individual and dyadic predictors of nomination reciprocity. Results show higher grades predict higher reciprocity, while same-sex relationships and behaviorally discordant dyads are less likely to be reciprocal.

网络数据独特地允许关系被多次报告,从而产生不同的关系提名回报率。然而,造成这种变化的原因尚不清楚。相互作用的变化可能反映了关于关系(如社会显著性或可取性)或研究设计(如问题措辞或上限提名)的实质性信息。我们在PROSPER研究的浪漫网络数据中检验了提名互惠的预测因素,以分析提名互惠的个体和二元预测因素。结果显示,更高的分数预示着更高的互惠性,而同性关系和行为不和谐的二人组则不太可能是互惠的。
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引用次数: 0
The evolution of k-shell in syndication networks reveals financial performance of venture capital institutions 联合网络中k-shell的演化揭示了风险投资机构的财务绩效
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-10-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.socnet.2023.09.006
Ruiqi Li , Jing Liang , Cheng Cheng , Xiaoyan Zhang , Longfeng Zhao , Chen Zhao , H. Eugene Stanley

Venture capital (VC) is a relatively newly emergent industry that is still subject to large uncertainties in China. Therefore, building a robust social network with other VC institutions is a good way to share information, various resources, and benefit from skill and knowledge complementarity to against risks. Strong evidences indicate that better networked VC institutions are of a better financial performance, however, most of previous works overlook the evolution of VC institutions and only focus on some simple topology indicators of the static syndication network, which also neglects higher-order network structure and cannot give a comprehensive evaluation. In this paper, based on VC investment records in the Chinese market, we construct temporal syndication networks between VC institutions year by year. As k-shell decomposition considers higher-order connection patterns, we employ k-shell as an evaluation of the influence of VC institutions in syndication networks. By clustering time series of k-shell values, the VC institutions in China fall into five groups that are quite different from each other on financial performances and investment behaviors. This, in turn, proves the power of our method that only based on proper sequential network properties, we can reveal their financial investment performance. Compared to other network centrality measurements, k-shell is a better indicator that is indicated by a smaller intra-group distance and a larger inter-group distance.

风险投资是一个相对新兴的行业,在中国仍存在很大的不确定性。因此,与其他风险投资机构建立一个强大的社交网络是共享信息、各种资源、从技能和知识互补中获益以抵御风险的好方法。强有力的证据表明,网络化程度越高的风险投资机构财务绩效越好,但以往的研究大多忽视了风险投资机构的演变,只关注静态联合网络的一些简单拓扑指标,也忽视了高阶网络结构,无法对其进行综合评价。在本文中,基于中国市场上的风险投资记录,我们逐年构建风险投资机构之间的时间联合网络。由于k-shell分解考虑了高阶连接模式,我们使用k-shell来评估VC机构在联合网络中的影响。通过对k壳价值的时间序列进行聚类,将中国风险投资机构分为五组,它们在财务表现和投资行为上存在很大差异。这反过来证明了我们的方法的强大性,即只有基于适当的顺序网络属性,我们才能揭示它们的财务投资性能。与其他网络中心性测量相比,k-shell是一个更好的指标,它由较小的组内距离和较大的组间距离来指示。
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引用次数: 1
Network ties, institutional roles and advocacy tactics:Exploring explanations for perceptions of influence in climate change policy networks 网络联系、机构角色和倡导策略:探讨对气候变化政策网络影响感知的解释
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.socnet.2021.11.008
Paul M. Wagner , Petr Ocelík , Antti Gronow , Tuomas Ylä-Anttila , Luisa Schmidt , Ana Delicado

The extent to which a policy actor is perceived as being influential by others can shape their role in a policy process. The interest group literature has examined how the use of advocacy tactics, such as lobbying or media campaigns, contributes to an actor’s perceived influence. The policy networks literature, in turn, has found that network ties and occupying certain institutional roles can explain why actors are perceived as influential. When investigating what explains perceptions of influence, interest groups scholars have not accounted for network interdependencies and network scholars have so far not examined the advocacy tactics used by interest groups. This paper addresses the gap at the intersection of these two literatures by investigating the relationship between network ties, institutional roles, advocacy tactics and the presence of influence attribution ties in climate change policy networks. Exponential random graph models are applied to network data collected from the organisations participating in the national climate change policymaking processes in six EU countries that vary by the extent to which they are majoritarian or consensual democracies: Czechia, Finland, Germany, Ireland, Portugal, and Sweden. The results show that network ties and institutional roles are better predictors of influence attribution ties than advocacy tactics and that there is no pattern in the relationship between advocacy tactics and influence attribution ties across different institutional contexts. These findings suggest that because influence is primarily associated with structural factors (network ties and institutional roles) that more established policy actors are likely to have more influence, which may inhibit the need for a significant step change in climate policies.

一个政策参与者被其他人视为有影响力的程度可以塑造他们在政策过程中的角色。利益集团文献研究了游说或媒体宣传等宣传策略的使用如何影响演员的感知影响力。反过来,政策网络文献发现,网络联系和占据某些制度角色可以解释为什么行动者被认为有影响力。在调查是什么解释了对影响力的看法时,利益集团学者没有考虑到网络的相互依赖性,网络学者迄今为止也没有研究利益集团使用的倡导策略。本文通过调查网络关系、制度角色、倡导策略和气候变化政策网络中影响归因关系的存在之间的关系,来解决这两篇文献交叉点上的差距。指数随机图模型被应用于从六个欧盟国家参与国家气候变化决策过程的组织收集的网络数据,这些国家因其多数民主或协商一致的民主程度而不同:捷克、芬兰、德国、爱尔兰、葡萄牙和瑞典。研究结果表明,网络关系和制度角色比倡导策略更能预测影响力归因关系,并且在不同的制度背景下,倡导策略和影响力归因关系之间没有模式关系。这些发现表明,由于影响力主要与结构性因素(网络联系和机构角色)有关,更成熟的政策行为者可能具有更大的影响力,这可能会抑制气候政策重大步骤变化的必要性。
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引用次数: 1
Social networks and anthropogenic climate change 社会网络和人为气候变化
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.socnet.2023.03.002
David Tindall , Nina Kolleck , John McLevey
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引用次数: 0
How networks of social movement issues motivate climate resistance 社会运动议题网络如何激发气候抵抗
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.socnet.2022.02.002
Lorien Jasny , Dana R. Fisher

How do individuals make sense of the specific issues that motivate them when they participate in activism? Are there clear and consistent patterns of motivations among participants and organizers within a movement over time? This paper applies network methods to a unique dataset to understand the relationships and structure formed among the issues that activists cited as motivation for their participation in a series of climate-related demonstrations over a three-year period. We test whether these networks of issue motivations form coherent structures, and whether they reflect the growing emphasis on social justice within the climate movement. Our findings highlight the coherence in the structure of relationships among motivations to participate, especially the centrality of ‘Equality’ as a motivation within our sampled cycle of contention.

当个人参与激进主义时,他们如何理解激励他们的具体问题?随着时间的推移,一场运动的参与者和组织者之间是否存在清晰一致的动机模式?本文将网络方法应用于一个独特的数据集,以了解活动人士在三年内参与一系列气候相关示威活动的动机所涉及的问题之间形成的关系和结构。我们测试这些问题动机网络是否形成了连贯的结构,以及它们是否反映了气候运动中对社会正义的日益重视。我们的研究结果强调了参与动机之间关系结构的一致性,特别是“平等”作为我们抽样竞争周期中的一种动机的中心地位。
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引用次数: 3
The rise of #climateaction in the time of the FridaysForFuture movement: A semantic network analysis 在周五为未来运动时期,#气候反应#的兴起:语义网络分析
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.socnet.2022.06.003
Caterina Suitner , Leonardo Badia , Damiano Clementel , Laura Iacovissi , Matteo Migliorini , Bruno Gabriel Salvador Casara , Domenico Solimini , Magdalena Formanowicz , Tomaso Erseghe

We investigate the psycho-linguistic features of the online discourse over climate change, focusing on its modifications throughout the years 2017–2019 as a result of collective actions emerging and spreading worldwide. We seek to understand the emerging connection between digital activism and the psychological processes related to its social drives. To this end, a semantic network is derived from the social platform Twitter, and its evolution is traced over time, tracking textual proxies of social identity and empowerment. Original proposals are made to identify communities and highlight the most important semantic contents of the corpus from a network perspective. These evaluations on semantic communities of related concepts further detail the shift in the rhetoric of collective actions. Finally, we explore projection of the ingroup to the future in the online discourse about climate change, which can point to developments of pro-environmental campaigns.

我们调查了关于气候变化的网络话语的心理语言学特征,重点关注2017年至2019年由于全球范围内出现和传播的集体行动而发生的变化。我们试图理解数字激进主义与其社会驱动力相关的心理过程之间正在出现的联系。为此,从社交平台推特衍生出一个语义网络,并跟踪其随时间的演变,跟踪社会身份和赋权的文本代理。从网络的角度提出了识别社区和突出语料库中最重要的语义内容的原始建议。这些对相关概念语义共同体的评价进一步详细说明了集体行动修辞的转变。最后,我们探讨了在关于气候变化的在线讨论中,该群体对未来的预测,这可以指出环保运动的发展。
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引用次数: 5
Drivers of tie formation in the Canadian climate change policy network: Belief homophily and social structural processes 加拿大气候变化政策网络关系形成的驱动因素:信仰同质性和社会结构过程
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.socnet.2021.06.004
Adam C. Howe , David B. Tindall , Mark C.J. Stoddart

Extant research on policy networks tends to focus on explaining successes and/or failures of particular policy efforts. One commonly used theoretical framework – the Advocacy Coalition Framework (ACF) – focuses on actor attributes external to policy networks. We argue this leads to an incomplete understanding of the social dynamics of climate change policy making. We incorporate a policy network analytic approach with the ACF in an ERGM of collaboration in a Canadian climate change policy network, showing the role micro-structural network processes play in giving rise to informal policy networks. We find certain policy beliefs are correlated with tie formation. We also find micro-structural network processes related to reciprocity, structural equivalence and transitive closure are correlated with tie formation. We argue combining these two prominent streams of policy network literature has potential to improve our understanding of climate change policy making processes.

现有的政策网络研究往往侧重于解释特定政策努力的成功和/或失败。一个常用的理论框架——倡导联盟框架(ACF)——侧重于政策网络外部的行动者属性。我们认为,这导致了对气候变化政策制定的社会动态的不完全理解。我们将政策网络分析方法与ACF结合在加拿大气候变化政策网络合作的ERGM中,展示了微观结构网络过程在产生非正式政策网络中发挥的作用。我们发现某些政策信念与平局形成相关。我们还发现,与互易性、结构等价和传递闭包相关的微观结构网络过程与平局形成相关。我们认为,将这两个突出的政策网络文献流结合起来,有可能提高我们对气候变化政策制定过程的理解。
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引用次数: 11
A network intervention for natural resource management in the context of climate change 气候变化背景下自然资源管理的网络干预
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.socnet.2022.03.003
Kenneth A. Frank , Tingqiao Chen , Ethan Brown , Angela Larsen , William 'B.J.' Baule

As climate change impacts the Great Lakes region, the increased frequency and intensity of precipitation events are dramatically increasing the erosive effects of stormwater in the ravine ecosystem. Because formal governance structures may not be effective in providing coordination during turbulent and dynamic events, those seeking to manage natural resources during climate change may turn to resources located in their social networks. In this study network analysis was used to visualize collegial ties and self-reported consideration of climate change among those managing ravines along southwestern Lake Michigan. Professional development then leveraged the visualizations to modify the network, potentially increasing knowledge flows and coordination. Those who were targeted by the intervention increased their engagement in the network and contributed to bridging between subgroups to fill structural holes. This provides insight into the potential for interventions that leverage baseline network analysis for the management of natural resources in the context of climate change.

随着气候变化对五大湖区的影响,降水事件的频率和强度的增加大大增加了雨水对峡谷生态系统的侵蚀作用。由于正式的治理结构可能无法有效地在动荡和动态事件中提供协调,那些寻求在气候变化期间管理自然资源的人可能会求助于其社会网络中的资源。在这项研究中,网络分析被用于可视化密歇根湖西南部峡谷管理者之间的学院关系和对气候变化的自我报告考虑。然后,专业发展利用可视化来修改网络,有可能增加知识流动和协调。那些成为干预目标的人增加了他们对网络的参与,并有助于在亚组之间建立桥梁,填补结构漏洞。这为利用基线网络分析在气候变化背景下管理自然资源的干预措施的潜力提供了见解。
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引用次数: 1
Local policymakers’ attitudes towards climate change: A multi-method case study 地方决策者对气候变化的态度:一个多方法案例研究
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 ANTHROPOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.socnet.2021.09.001
Stefano Ghinoi , Riccardo De Vita , Francesco Silvestri

Local authorities play a key role in tackling climate change by implementing targeted adaptation and mitigation measures. The specific implementation of a mix of adaptation and mitigation strategies is the outcome of the interaction of policymakers through a political debate and their attitudes towards climate change. By concentrating on the political discourses occurring in the Assembly of an Italian region (Emilia-Romagna), we use a multi-method approach of Discourse Network Analysis and Concept Mapping to investigate local policymakers’ positioning. Our investigation shows that actors are grouped not only according to their political affiliation, but also to the debated topics, and this relates to the preference for supporting adaptation or mitigation measures, which characterizes the local policy debate.

地方当局通过实施有针对性的适应和缓解措施,在应对气候变化方面发挥着关键作用。适应和缓解战略的具体实施是决策者通过政治辩论及其对气候变化的态度进行互动的结果。通过对意大利艾米利亚-罗马涅地区议会中发生的政治话语的研究,我们采用话语网络分析和概念映射的多种方法来调查地方决策者的定位。我们的调查表明,行动者不仅根据其政治派别进行分组,还根据辩论的主题进行分组,这与支持适应或缓解措施的偏好有关,这是地方政策辩论的特点。
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引用次数: 0
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Social Networks
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