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Analyzing urban traffic crash patterns through spatio-temporal data: A city-level study using a sparse non-negative matrix factorization model with spatial constraints approach 通过时空数据分析城市交通事故模式:使用带有空间约束的稀疏非负矩阵因式分解模型的城市级研究
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103402

Urban traffic crashes represent a significant challenge affecting public safety and urban mobility worldwide. This study introduces a novel application of Sparse Non-negative Matrix Factorization with spatial constraints to analyze spatio-temporal patterns of traffic crashes at a city level. Using comprehensive crash data from Denver and Manhattan during 2020, we developed and validated a model capable of capturing distinct temporal dynamics and spatial distributions of traffic crashes. Unlike traditional methods, our approach integrates sparsity and spatial constraints, enhancing the model's ability to handle the inherent sparsity and geographical dependencies found in urban traffic data. The results demonstrate the model's effectiveness in identifying high-risk areas and times, providing actionable insights that can inform urban planning and targeted safety interventions. The study underscores the potential of advanced data-driven techniques in urban traffic analysis and contributes to the broader efforts of improving traffic safety through informed decision-making and policy development.

城市交通事故是影响全球公共安全和城市交通的重大挑战。本研究介绍了一种带有空间约束的稀疏非负矩阵因式分解的新应用,用于分析城市层面交通事故的时空模式。利用 2020 年丹佛和曼哈顿的综合交通事故数据,我们开发并验证了一个模型,该模型能够捕捉交通事故的独特时间动态和空间分布。与传统方法不同,我们的方法整合了稀疏性和空间约束,增强了模型处理城市交通数据中固有的稀疏性和地理依赖性的能力。研究结果证明了该模型在识别高风险区域和时间方面的有效性,为城市规划和有针对性的安全干预提供了可操作的见解。这项研究强调了先进的数据驱动技术在城市交通分析中的潜力,并有助于通过知情决策和政策制定来改善交通安全。
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引用次数: 0
Scrutinizing the cultural ecosystem services of Chinese Classical Gardens: A novel deep learning approach based on online reviews from a multisensory perspective 研究中国古典园林的文化生态系统服务:基于多感官视角在线评论的新型深度学习方法
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103404

The cultural ecosystem services (CESs) -related studies for decades have centered on the visual connotations of human perceptions rather than incorporating the other sensory experiences. This paper works to narrow the research gaps through scrutinizing the CESs of Chinese Classical Gardens from a multisensory perspective. We first demonstrate a qualitative phenomenological approach to conceptualizing the CES typologies of Chinese Classical Gardens, and then propose a novel deep learning approach to measuring their CESs based on online reviews from the lens of five senses. Following, the inter-relationships among the CESs are examined using co-occurrence network analysis. Results show that the CESs typologies of Chinese Classical Gardens include 7 main categories and 21 minor classes. Among them, the visual perception based CESs make up the highest proportion, but a noteworthy proportion of hearing, touch and taste based CESs is also observed. Additionally, the visual perception based CESs and auditory perception based CESs generally present higher centrality within the networked typology. Based on the discoveries, we finally discuss implications for landscape management. This paper foregrounds the effectiveness and feasibility of scrutinizing CESs from a multisensory perspective, and adds fuels to unpack the full spectrum of CESs for the geographical community.

几十年来,与文化生态系统服务(CESs)相关的研究都集中在人类感知的视觉内涵上,而没有将其他感官体验纳入其中。本文通过从多感官角度审视中国古典园林的 CES,努力缩小研究差距。我们首先展示了一种定性的现象学方法,以概念化中国古典园林的 CES 类型,然后提出了一种新颖的深度学习方法,从五种感官的视角来衡量基于在线评论的中国古典园林的 CES。随后,利用共现网络分析对 CES 之间的相互关系进行了研究。结果表明,中国古典园林的 CESs 类型包括 7 大类和 21 小类。其中,基于视觉感知的 CES 所占比例最高,但基于听觉、触觉和味觉的 CES 所占比例也不低。此外,基于视觉感知的 CES 和基于听觉感知的 CES 在网络类型学中一般具有较高的中心性。基于这些发现,我们最后讨论了对景观管理的影响。本文强调了从多感官角度研究 CES 的有效性和可行性,为地理学界全面解读 CES 增添了燃料。
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引用次数: 0
The geography of partisan homophily in the 2020 US presidential election 2020 年美国总统大选中党派同质性的地理分布
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103371

Partisan segregation in the United States is often interpreted as evidence of limited social interaction among out-partisans, or partisan homophily. In this paper, I draw on 2020 US presidential election results and data on the pairwise density of social ties between the populations of 22,537 zip code tabulation areas (ZCTA) to examine how different areas are socially connected to politically similar others. Using the local Moran index, I first identify clusters of ZCTAs where there is evidence of partisan homophily or heterophily. In a series of multinomial logistic regressions, I then also examine differences in the probability of each cluster across different settlement types and regions, and across areas with differences in the relative connectedness and geographic distance to others. I find that partisan homophily is the norm across areas, broadly tracking partisan segregation along the urban-rural continuum. However, the populations of Democratic-leaning areas, which are most likely to be in cities and suburbs, are on average likely to have more of their co-partisan social ties in relatively distant areas when compared to the populations of Republican-leaning areas. This highlights the prospect of partisan differences in the role of non-local context in local political outcomes.

美国的党派隔离通常被解释为党外人士之间社会交往有限的证据,或者说是党同伐异。在本文中,我利用 2020 年美国总统大选结果和 22537 个邮政编码表区(ZCTA)人口之间成对的社会联系密度数据,研究了不同地区与政治上相似的其他地区之间的社会联系。利用当地的莫兰指数,我首先确定了存在党派同亲或异亲迹象的 ZCTA 群组。然后,在一系列多项式逻辑回归中,我还考察了不同聚落类型和地区以及与其他地区的相对联系和地理距离不同的地区之间每个聚落的概率差异。我发现,党派同质性是各地区的常态,大致与城乡连续体上的党派隔离相吻合。然而,与共和党倾向地区的人口相比,民主党倾向地区(最有可能位于城市和郊区)的人口平均而言有可能在相对较远的地区拥有更多的共同党派社会关系。这凸显了非本地背景对本地政治结果的作用存在党派差异的前景。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial proximity in ‘local’ Alternative Food Networks: a case study of AMAP in France 地方 "替代食品网络的空间邻近性:法国 AMAP 案例研究
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103401

This paper explores the emerging paradigm of alternative food networks (AFN), with a focus on AMAP (Association pour le Maintien de l’Agriculture Paysanne) in France as a case study. Delving into the multifaceted concept of spatial proximity within such networks, this paper explores three hypotheses drawn from literature on the spatiality of AFN, analyzing both ‘local’ distances variability and the characteristics of agricultural and urban contexts where such local-based AFN take place. Methodologically, the study leverages an original, manually compiled database at a national scale encompassing AMAP producers and distribution points. Specific analytical protocols are developed combining traditional geographical approaches with machine learning techniques. Key findings reveal the influence of both population density and agricultural land availability on the distances between producers and selling locations. Moreover, the study discerns that the nature of products and their processing levels significantly shapes 'local' distances. Additionally, the paper offers insights into distinctive features of the morphological landscape associated with AMAP producers. These findings may serve as a catalyst for future inquiries into the spatial dynamics and potential spatial configurations of alternative food networks.

本文探讨了替代性食品网络(AFN)这一新兴范式,并以法国的 AMAP(Association pour le Maintien de l'Agriculture Paysanne)为研究案例。本文深入探讨了此类网络中的空间邻近性这一多层面概念,探讨了从有关替代性粮食网络空间性的文献中得出的三个假设,分析了 "当地 "距离的可变性以及发生此类基于当地的替代性粮食网络的农业和城市环境的特征。在研究方法上,本研究利用了一个全国范围内人工编制的原始数据库,其中包括 AMAP 生产商和分销点。结合传统地理方法和机器学习技术,制定了具体的分析方案。主要研究结果表明,人口密度和农业用地对生产商和销售点之间的距离都有影响。此外,研究还发现,产品的性质及其加工水平对 "本地 "距离有很大影响。此外,本文还深入分析了与 AMAP 生产者相关的形态景观的显著特征。这些发现可能有助于今后对替代食品网络的空间动态和潜在空间配置进行研究。
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引用次数: 0
Does the spatial distribution of afforestation by government and farmers in Beijing follow a random pattern? 北京政府和农民植树造林的空间分布是否遵循随机模式?
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103403

The forestland expansion is the joint efforts by various behavioral actors, and among them governments and farmers play a more important role in it. However, their afforestation behaviors haven't be together investigated. Examining Beijing metropolitan area, this research distinguishes between government-led (GA) and farmer-led (FA) afforestation on arable land, and analyzes their spatial characteristics and the influencing factors using Ordinary Least Squares and Geographically Weighted Regression models. Our findings show: (1) Spatial distributions of GA and FA are non-random and systematically organized. GA dominates both in the areas close to the central city and at the outermost edge of the metropolitan area. FA leads in intermediate zones between GA dominant areas. (2) Both GA and FA are rational strategies for land allocation. GA in areas close to the central city is regarded as a trade-off between public benefits of afforestation and potential loss of fiscal revenue, while GA at the metropolitan area's outermost edge prioritizes ecological gains and lower land costs. FA, however, is driven by maximizing household welfare amidst the challenges brought by rural exodus and a rapid aging society. The findings deepen the existing investigations and provide a guidance for spatially organizing GA and synthetically regulating FA.

林地扩张是各种行为主体的共同努力,其中政府和农民在其中扮演着更为重要的角色。然而,他们的植树造林行为尚未被一并研究。本研究以北京都市圈为研究对象,区分了政府主导型(GA)和农民主导型(FA)的耕地造林行为,并利用普通最小二乘法和地理加权回归模型分析了它们的空间特征和影响因素。我们的研究结果表明:(1)GA 和 FA 的空间分布具有非随机性和系统性。在靠近中心城市的地区和大都市区的最外缘,GA 均占主导地位。在 GA 优势区域之间的中间地带,FA 占主导地位。(2) GA 和 FA 都是合理的土地分配策略。在靠近中心城市的地区,GA 被认为是在植树造林的公共利益和潜在的财政收入损失之间的权衡,而在大都市区最外缘的 GA 则优先考虑生态收益和较低的土地成本。而 FA 的驱动力则是在农村人口外流和社会快速老龄化带来的挑战下实现家庭福利最大化。研究结果深化了现有研究,为从空间上组织 GA 和综合调控 FA 提供了指导。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying disproportionate impacts in Arkansas: New considerations for environmental justice mapping and implications for leaders 确定阿肯色州不成比例的影响:绘制环境正义地图的新考虑因素及对领导者的影响
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103390

In 2021, Charles Lee defined disproportionate environmental and public health impacts and offered an approach for environmental justice (EJ) leaders to identify disproportionate impacts. However, Lee's model has not yet been compared to current mapping models, nor has it been applied to the highly disadvantaged landscape of Arkansas. In this study, we extend Lee's model and offer a complementary theory of disadvantage to identify, characterize, and describe disproportionate impacts in Arkansas. We ask: What communities are most disproportionately impacted? What is the spatial distribution of risk to environmental burdens and population vulnerabilities? How do these burdens and vulnerabilities cluster together? How might the theory of disadvantage assist in disproportionate impacts research? We deploy a descriptive, mixed-methods design using data from national mapping tools. Findings reveal regions of Arkansas that are disproportionately impacted. However, no region is devoid of high risk. Minority populations are the most impacted groups, and populations living in disproportionately impacted communities tend to suffer from specific burdens and vulnerabilities that erode well-being. The theory of disadvantage is found to be useful for disproportionate impacts research. These results offer EJ leaders a new lens to view and design mapping tools and they clarify intervention points.

2021 年,查尔斯-李(Charles Lee)定义了不成比例的环境和公共健康影响,并为环境正义(EJ)领导者提供了一种识别不成比例影响的方法。然而,Lee 的模型尚未与当前的绘图模型进行比较,也未应用于阿肯色州的高度弱势地貌。在本研究中,我们扩展了 Lee 的模型,并提供了一个互补的劣势理论,以识别、描述和说明阿肯色州不成比例的影响。我们要问:哪些社区受到的影响最为严重?环境负担和人口脆弱性的风险空间分布如何?这些负担和脆弱性是如何聚集在一起的?劣势理论如何有助于不成比例影响研究?我们采用了一种描述性的混合方法设计,使用了来自国家绘图工具的数据。研究结果揭示了阿肯色州受到不成比例影响的地区。然而,没有哪个地区不存在高风险。少数民族是受影响最大的群体,而生活在受影响过大的社区的人群往往承受着特定的负担和脆弱性,这些负担和脆弱性侵蚀着他们的福祉。研究发现,劣势理论对过度影响研究很有帮助。这些结果为环境正义领导者提供了一个新的视角来看待和设计绘图工具,并阐明了干预要点。
{"title":"Identifying disproportionate impacts in Arkansas: New considerations for environmental justice mapping and implications for leaders","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103390","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103390","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In 2021, Charles Lee defined disproportionate environmental and public health impacts and offered an approach for environmental justice (EJ) leaders to identify disproportionate impacts. However, Lee's model has not yet been compared to current mapping models, nor has it been applied to the highly disadvantaged landscape of Arkansas. In this study, we extend Lee's model and offer a complementary theory of disadvantage to identify, characterize, and describe disproportionate impacts in Arkansas. We ask: What communities are most disproportionately impacted? What is the spatial distribution of risk to environmental burdens and population vulnerabilities? How do these burdens and vulnerabilities cluster together? How might the theory of disadvantage assist in disproportionate impacts research? We deploy a descriptive, mixed-methods design using data from national mapping tools. Findings reveal regions of Arkansas that are disproportionately impacted. However, no region is devoid of high risk. Minority populations are the most impacted groups, and populations living in disproportionately impacted communities tend to suffer from specific burdens and vulnerabilities that erode well-being. The theory of disadvantage is found to be useful for disproportionate impacts research. These results offer EJ leaders a new lens to view and design mapping tools and they clarify intervention points.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48396,"journal":{"name":"Applied Geography","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142098628","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Understanding the spatially heterogeneous relationships between urban green amenities and residential dynamics: Evidence from Wuhan, China 了解城市绿色设施与居住动态之间的空间异质性关系:来自中国武汉的证据
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103396

Urban green turn has gained global momentum, with cities worldwide actively developing urban green amenities (UGAs). While considerable attention has been given to how expanding UGAs impact residential dynamics, the role of space in shaping these relationships has been underexplored. Employing global and local regression models, we investigate the associations between UGA characteristics, property prices and sales transactions, using data from 443 neighborhoods in Wuhan, China. Our findings reveal that at the city-wide level, larger UGAs are associated with gentrification trends marked by rising property prices and population shifts. High-quality UGAs are linked to higher risks of gentrification but do not significantly indicate direct displacement. Meanwhile, substantial bodies of water are associated with mitigating the effects of increased property prices and population shifts. At the local scale, these relationships show spatial heterogeneity, particularly between old inner-city areas and traditional industrial zones. Additionally, we analyze the roles of the state and real estate developers in influencing UGA development and the associated social ramifications in China. This study enhances our understanding of UGAs and their impacts on residential dynamics in a non-Western context, enriching the discourse on the social implications of urban green movements and ecological initiatives.

城市绿化已在全球范围内获得了强劲的发展势头,世界各地的城市都在积极发展城市绿化设施(UGAs)。尽管人们对不断扩大的 UGA 如何影响住宅动态给予了相当多的关注,但对空间在形成这些关系中的作用却探索不足。我们利用中国武汉 443 个社区的数据,采用全球和地方回归模型,研究了 UGA 特征、房地产价格和销售交易之间的关联。我们的研究结果表明,在全市范围内,规模较大的 UGA 与以房地产价格上涨和人口迁移为特征的城市化趋势相关。高质量的 UGA 与更高的城市化风险相关,但并不显著地表明直接的迁移。同时,大量的水体与减轻房地产价格上涨和人口迁移的影响有关。在地方尺度上,这些关系表现出空间异质性,尤其是在老城区和传统工业区之间。此外,我们还分析了国家和房地产开发商在影响中国 UGA 发展及相关社会影响方面所扮演的角色。本研究加深了我们对 UGA 及其在非西方背景下对居住动态的影响的理解,丰富了有关城市绿色运动和生态倡议的社会影响的论述。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial nonstationarity and the role of environmental metal exposures on COVID-19 mortality in New Mexico 空间非平稳性和环境金属暴露对新墨西哥州 COVID-19 死亡率的影响
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103400

Worldwide, the COVID-19 pandemic has been influenced by a combination of environmental and sociodemographic drivers. To date, population studies have overwhelmingly focused on the impact of societal factors. In New Mexico, the rate of COVID-19 infection and mortality varied significantly among the state's geographically dispersed, and racially and ethnically diverse populations who are exposed to unique environmental contaminants related to resource extraction industries (e.g. fracking, mining, oil and gas exploration). By looking at local patterns of COVID-19 disease severity, we sought to uncover the spatially varying factors underlying the pandemic. We further explored the compounding role of potential long-term exposures to various environmental contaminants on COVID-19 mortality prior to widespread applications of vaccinations. To illustrate the spatial heterogeneity of these complex associations, we leveraged multiple modeling approaches to account for spatial non-stationarity in model terms. Multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) results indicate that increased potential exposure to fugitive mine waste is significantly associated with COVID-19 mortality in areas of the state where socioeconomically disadvantaged populations were among the hardest hit in the early months of the pandemic. This relationship is paradoxically reversed in global models, which fail to account for spatial relationships between variables. This work contributes both to environmental health sciences and the growing body of literature exploring the implications of spatial nonstationarity in health research.

在全球范围内,COVID-19 的流行受到了环境和社会人口因素的共同影响。迄今为止,人口研究主要侧重于社会因素的影响。在新墨西哥州,COVID-19 的感染率和死亡率在该州地理位置分散、种族和民族多样化的人群中差异显著,这些人群暴露在与资源开采业(如压裂、采矿、石油和天然气勘探)相关的独特环境污染物中。通过研究 COVID-19 疾病严重程度的地方模式,我们试图揭示大流行的空间变化因素。我们进一步探讨了在广泛接种疫苗之前,长期接触各种环境污染物对 COVID-19 死亡率的潜在复合作用。为了说明这些复杂关联的空间异质性,我们采用了多种建模方法来考虑模型项的空间非平稳性。多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)结果表明,在该州社会经济条件较差的地区,逸散性矿山废料潜在暴露量的增加与 COVID-19 死亡率显著相关。在全球模型中,这种关系恰恰相反,因为全球模型没有考虑变量之间的空间关系。这项研究既有助于环境健康科学,也有助于越来越多的文献探讨空间非平稳性对健康研究的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Potential ecological risk assessment based on loss of ecosystem services due to land use and land cover change: A case study of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region 基于土地利用和土地覆被变化导致的生态系统服务损失的潜在生态风险评估:京津冀地区案例研究
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103389

Ecosystem services (ESs) bridge the gap between human wellbeing and ecosystem processes. Land use and land cover change (LUCC) affect ecosystem services by altering the structure and function of ecosystems. Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH), one of the most developed urban agglomerations in China, is subject to intense LUCC that affects ESs while increasing the regional ecological risk (ER). Therefore, to achieve the coordinated development of socioeconomic and ecological quality, there is an urgent need to establish a regional ecological risk assessment (ERA). ESs were introduced into the ERA to clarify their ecological significance and to compensate for the deficiencies of the traditional ERA. In this study, the ERA utilizes key ESs as endpoints to assess potential ER through a new framework by multiplying the probability of LUCC by the resultant loss of key ESs. We found that cultivated land was the most dominant outflow type and built-up land was the predominant inflow type. From 2020 to 2030, there is a greater possibility of changes in cultivated land, forest, grassland, and built-up land as well as in relatively stable water bodies and unused land. Overall, ESs show a positive trend. The overall potential ER was relatively minimal, with a significant northwestern spatially concentrated characteristic of high values. This study helps understand the potential development process of ERs and provides a scientific basis for risk management.

生态系统服务 (ES) 是人类福祉与生态系统过程之间的桥梁。土地利用和土地覆被变化(LUCC)通过改变生态系统的结构和功能来影响生态系统服务。京津冀(BTH)是中国最发达的城市群之一,其强烈的土地利用和土地覆被变化(LUCC)在影响生态系统服务的同时也增加了区域生态风险(ER)。因此,为实现社会经济与生态质量的协调发展,迫切需要建立区域生态风险评估(ERA)。为明确 ESs 的生态意义,弥补传统 ERA 的不足,将 ESs 引入 ERA。在本研究中,ERA 利用关键生态系统作为终点,通过一个新的框架,将 LUCC 的概率乘以由此导致的关键生态系统的损失,来评估潜在的 ER。我们发现,耕地是最主要的流出类型,而建筑用地则是最主要的流入类型。从 2020 年到 2030 年,耕地、森林、草地、建筑用地以及相对稳定的水体和未利用土地发生变化的可能性更大。总体而言,ESs 呈现出积极的趋势。总体潜在的 ER 值相对较小,具有明显的西北部空间集中的高值特征。这项研究有助于了解ER的潜在发展过程,为风险管理提供科学依据。
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引用次数: 0
Detecting thresholds in the health impact of the urban built environment 检测城市建筑环境对健康影响的阈值
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103399

The urban built environment impacts human health through complex and nonlinear pathways. However, thresholds of urban built environment attributes associated with respiratory health are still relatively undetermined. Moreover, most existing studies assume the built environment to be static and only incorporate a cross-sectional approach to measuring it. In this case study examining the impact of the urban built environment on lung cancer risk in Shanghai, China, we perform a longitudinal analysis incorporating a range of environmental attributes and data spanning multiple years to tackle the synergistic effect of the urban built environment over an extended time period. We propose a novel approach combining nonlinear regressions and Geo-Detector to discern the general trend in the environment-disease association and pinpoint significant thresholds within this trend. Our findings showed that impervious land percentage, building coverage, green space coverage, and population density explained stratified heterogeneity of the respiratory health outcome by 8.7%, 21.2%, 8.1%, and 8.8%, respectively. Lung cancer incidence was significantly elevated in areas or during times with impervious surface percentage > 95%, building coverage > 25%, green space coverage < 15%, or population density > 10 thousand persons/km2. These findings offer actionable insights for urban development regulation and policymaking.

城市建筑环境通过复杂的非线性途径影响人类健康。然而,与呼吸系统健康相关的城市建筑环境属性的阈值相对来说仍未确定。此外,现有的大多数研究都假定建筑环境是静态的,并且只采用横截面的方法来测量建筑环境。本案例研究探讨了城市建筑环境对中国上海肺癌风险的影响,我们结合一系列环境属性和多年数据进行了纵向分析,以解决城市建筑环境在较长时期内的协同效应问题。我们提出了一种结合非线性回归和 Geo-Detector 的新方法,以辨别环境与疾病关联的总体趋势,并在这一趋势中找出重要的临界点。我们的研究结果表明,不透水土地百分比、建筑覆盖率、绿地覆盖率和人口密度对呼吸系统健康结果的分层异质性的解释分别为 8.7%、21.2%、8.1% 和 8.8%。在不透水表面百分比为 95%、建筑覆盖率为 25%、绿地覆盖率为 15%或人口密度为 1 万人/平方公里的地区或时期,肺癌发病率明显升高。这些发现为城市发展监管和政策制定提供了可操作的见解。
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引用次数: 0
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