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Not all twins are identical: the geography of “twin” transition market applications 并非所有双胞胎都是相同的:“双胞胎”过渡市场应用的地理位置
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-03-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2026.103974
Milad Abbasiharofteh , Lukas Kriesch
The twin (a joint green and digital) transition plays a key role in achieving Europe's Green Deal objectives. However, the interplay between regional capabilities and twin transition market applications is not well understood. This study employs Large Language Models to analyze web content from over 600,000 firms across German regions, identifying product-level contributions to the green and digital economy. The results indicate that artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities and the overall level of regional specialization are positively associated with the twin transition market applications. In contrast, we find no direct association between clean and twin (digital and clean) technological capabilities and the twin transition. This finding suggests that additional place-based conditions may be necessary to translate clean and twin technological capabilities into market applications. To support further research and evidence-based policymaking, we provide open access to the underlying dataset and the TwinTransition Mapper, our AI-based classification tool (https://huggingface.co/TwinTransitionMapper).
绿色和数字化的双重转型在实现欧洲绿色协议目标方面发挥着关键作用。然而,区域能力和双重过渡市场应用之间的相互作用尚未得到很好的理解。本研究采用大型语言模型分析了德国各地区60多万家公司的网络内容,确定了产品层面对绿色和数字经济的贡献。结果表明,人工智能能力和区域专业化总体水平与双转型市场应用呈正相关。相比之下,我们发现清洁和双(数字和清洁)技术能力与双转型之间没有直接联系。这一发现表明,为了将清洁和双重技术能力转化为市场应用,可能需要额外的基于地方的条件。为了支持进一步的研究和基于证据的政策制定,我们提供了对底层数据集和基于人工智能的分类工具TwinTransitionMapper的开放访问(https://huggingface.co/TwinTransitionMapper)。
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引用次数: 0
Towards to climate change spatial-temporal characteristics and influencing mechanisms of urban spatial safety resilience in China 气候变化中国城市空间安全弹性时空特征及影响机制研究
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2026.103973
Chunbo Zhu , Shiqiong Ding , Xiaoqing Li , Jiamei Ning , Gui Jin
Understanding the spatiotemporal differentiation and influencing mechanisms of urban spatial safety resilience (USSR) under climate change is of critical importance for coordinating urban development and safety. Based on systems theory and urban spatial structure theory, we construct an “Element-Function-Management” safety analysis framework. Using a comprehensive index method, obstacle degree model, and spatial analysis, we investigate the spatiotemporal evolution patterns and driving mechanisms of USSR in China. The results show that: (1) The level of USSR exhibits a gradual upward trend, with an increase in the number of Type IV and V cities and a marked decrease in Type I cities. Its spatial pattern follows a general east-high-west-low and south-high-north-low gradient. (2) The spatial mismatch index between USSR and its dimensions shows distinct regional variations. Negative mismatches are primarily clustered in coastal areas, whereas positive mismatches dominate the lower reaches of the Yangtze and Yellow River basins. (3) Among identified obstacle types, Type A, B, and C account for 57%, 32%, and 11%, respectively. Type A constitutes the largest proportion within each resilience dimension, while Type C is the smallest. (4) Surface pressure (SP) and relative humidity (RH) exert relatively strong influences on USSR, while potential evaporation (PE) and wind speed (Win)show weaker effects. All climatic factors exhibit dualistic positive and negative impacts. This study provides a foundation for enhancing comprehensive urban governance efficacy.
了解气候变化背景下城市空间安全弹性的时空分异及其影响机制,对协调城市发展与安全具有重要意义。基于系统论和城市空间结构理论,构建了“要素-功能-管理”的安全分析框架。采用综合指数法、障碍度模型和空间分析方法,探讨了中国前苏联的时空演变规律及其驱动机制。结果表明:(1)苏联水平呈逐渐上升的趋势,四、五类城市数量增加,一类城市数量明显减少;其空间格局遵循东高西低和南高北低梯度。(2)苏联与其维度的空间失配指数呈现出明显的区域差异。负错配主要集中在沿海地区,而正错配则主要集中在长江和黄河流域下游地区。(3)在已识别的障碍类型中,A类占57%,B类占32%,C类占11%。A型在各弹性维度中所占比例最大,C型最小。(4)地表气压(SP)和相对湿度(RH)对前苏联的影响较大,潜在蒸发(PE)和风速(Win)的影响较小。所有气候因子都表现出积极和消极的二元影响。本研究为提升城市综合治理效能提供了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the impact of urban spatial structure on energy-related carbon emission efficiency: Evidence from the polycentric development pattern of Chinese cities 揭示城市空间结构对能源相关碳排放效率的影响——来自中国城市多中心发展模式的证据
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-03-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2026.103959
Bin Zhang , Hui Li
With rapid global urbanization and energy transition, the configuration of urban spatial structure plays a pivotal role in sustainable development. However, the multidimensional nature of urban spatial structure poses significant challenges to understanding its influence on energy-related carbon emission efficiency (ECEE). This study adopts high-resolution population data to quantify the spatial configuration of Chinese cities from the perspective of polycentric development patterns. We apply the super-efficiency SBM model to evaluate ECEE by combining multidimensional indicators. Our study explores the impact characteristics and underlying mechanisms of polycentric spatial structure (PSS) on ECEE. Furthermore, the geographically and temporally weighted regression model is applied to explore the spatio-temporal heterogeneity of PSS impacts on ECEE. The findings demonstrate that a higher degree of urban polycentricity significantly enhances ECEE through industrial structure upgrading and green technological innovation. Road density exhibits a negative moderating effect on the impact of PSS on ECEE. Public transportation contributes to improving ECEE, and the effect is more pronounced in cities with a lower degree of urban polycentricity. Polycentric development pattern is more effective in enhancing ECEE in large and non-resource-based cities, while smaller and resource-dependent cities benefit more from strengthening agglomeration capacity in core areas. Spatiotemporal heterogeneity analysis further reveals that reinforcing the agglomeration effects of core functional zones in Northeast China is crucial for enhancing ECEE. Our research advances the understanding of the carbon reduction effects of urban spatial structures and provides policy insights to support sustainable urban planning.
随着全球城市化和能源转型的快速发展,城市空间结构的配置对可持续发展起着至关重要的作用。然而,城市空间结构的多维性对理解其对能源相关碳排放效率(ECEE)的影响提出了重大挑战。本研究采用高分辨率人口数据,从多中心发展模式的视角对中国城市空间格局进行量化。运用超效率SBM模型,结合多维指标对ECEE进行评价。本研究探讨了多中心空间结构(PSS)对ECEE的影响特征及其潜在机制。此外,采用地理和时间加权回归模型探讨了PSS对ECEE影响的时空异质性。研究结果表明,城市多中心度的提高通过产业结构升级和绿色技术创新显著提升了经济效益。道路密度对PSS对ECEE的影响呈负调节作用。公共交通对城市ECEE有促进作用,且在城市多中心度较低的城市中效果更为明显。多中心发展模式对大型和非资源型城市的经济效益提升更为有效,而小型和资源型城市则更有利于增强核心区集聚能力。时空异质性分析进一步表明,东北地区核心功能区集聚效应的增强对经济效益的提升至关重要。我们的研究促进了对城市空间结构碳减排效应的理解,并为支持可持续城市规划提供了政策见解。
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引用次数: 0
Causal effects of transit investment on neighborhoods: Evidence from unbuilt alternative alignments 交通投资对社区的因果影响:来自未建成替代线路的证据
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2026.103911
Amber DeJohn , Matthew Palm , Matthew Suandi
Light rail transit (LRT) projects have been associated with neighborhood change, attracting new residents and modifying the neighborhood’s affordability. However, evidence on their actual impacts remains mixed in part due to evolving methods for causal evaluation. Disentangling LRT’s effects from pre-existing trends is difficult, as station locations are rarely exogenous. To address this issue, this study deploys a novel quasi-experimental approach that leverages unbuilt station alternatives identified in federal environmental planning documents as counterfactuals. Rather than limiting our scope to an individual case study, we apply this study design to 15 LRT extensions in 11 U.S. cities since 2000, using station catchments to explore a suite of outcomes related to neighborhood composition. We identify two consistent patterns. Demographically, new LRT stations increase the proportion of residents who are middle-aged or older workers in lower-skilled sectors. However, the area’s older adult population (65+) slightly declines. Second, housing markets respond during the construction phase, with modest appreciation that dissipates by the time the lines open. These findings suggest that LRT investments diversify working-class geographies, while potentially disrupting aging in place, although this effect is small. Alternative alignment counterfactuals require additional research to further develop this approach.
轻轨交通(LRT)项目与社区变化有关,吸引新居民并改变社区的负担能力。然而,关于其实际影响的证据仍然参差不齐,部分原因是因果评价方法不断发展。将轻轨的影响从已有的趋势中分离出来是很困难的,因为车站的位置很少是外生的。为了解决这个问题,本研究采用了一种新颖的准实验方法,利用联邦环境规划文件中确定的未建成车站替代方案作为反事实。我们没有将研究范围局限于单个案例研究,而是将本研究设计应用于2000年以来美国11个城市的15条轻轨延伸线,使用车站集水区来探索与社区构成相关的一系列结果。我们确定了两种一致的模式。从人口统计上看,新建的轻轨车站增加了从事低技能行业的中年或老年工人的比例。然而,该地区的老年人口(65岁以上)略有下降。其次,房地产市场在建设阶段做出反应,适度升值,到线路开通时就会消失。这些发现表明,轻轨投资使工薪阶层的地理分布多样化,同时可能破坏当地的老龄化,尽管这种影响很小。可选的对齐反事实需要额外的研究来进一步开发此方法。
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引用次数: 0
Urban sprawl, natural environments, and mortality inequality: Socioeconomic pathways and spatial heterogeneity across U.S. counties 城市扩张、自然环境和死亡率不平等:美国各县的社会经济路径和空间异质性
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2026.103943
Yehua Dennis Wei , Yu Wang , David S. Curtis , Sungeun Shin , Ning Xiong
Mortality patterns exhibit substantial spatial variation, yet potential geographic influences are not well-understood. This study develops an integrated framework to investigate how urban sprawl and natural environments contribute to county-level all-cause mortality risk and to examine intergenerational mobility (IM) as a mediator. The analysis incorporates machine learning and spatial regression methods with U.S. county data. Using a small-area disease risk model, we identify clusters of high mortality risk in the Southeast while lower-risk counties concentrate along the Pacific Coast, the Northern Great Plains, and the Northeastern metropolitan corridor. Using random forest regression, poverty exerted the strongest influence, with an importance index of 0.38, far exceeding that of built and natural environment factors. Yet, when nonlinear relationships are considered, the built and natural environments are more clearly associated with mortality risk. Specifically, population centering, employment mix, land-use mix, and transportation accessibility are associated with lower mortality rates while higher population density corresponds to elevated risk, but only within specific ranges of each variable. Air pollution is consistently associated with higher mortality risk, whereas green space composition exhibits an inverted U-shaped relationship with mortality. In structural equation models, IM was a critical pathway linking urban sprawl characteristics to mortality outcomes, as population centering and land-use mix are associated with lower mortality through higher IM, while employment centering increases mortality by suppressing IM. Substantial spatial heterogeneity characterizes these relationships. The results highlight the need for regionally tailored interventions that integrate urban form, the natural environment, and opportunity structures to reduce mortality inequalities.
死亡率模式表现出很大的空间差异,但潜在的地理影响尚未得到很好的理解。本研究开发了一个综合框架来调查城市扩张和自然环境如何影响县级全因死亡率风险,并检验代际流动性(IM)作为中介。该分析将机器学习和空间回归方法与美国县数据结合起来。使用小区域疾病风险模型,我们确定了东南地区的高死亡率风险集群,而低风险县集中在太平洋沿岸,北部大平原和东北大都市走廊。利用随机森林回归分析,贫困因素的影响最大,重要性指数为0.38,远远超过了建筑和自然环境因素的影响。然而,当考虑非线性关系时,建筑环境和自然环境与死亡风险的关系更为明显。具体而言,人口集中、就业组合、土地利用组合和交通可达性与较低的死亡率相关,而较高的人口密度对应于较高的风险,但仅在每个变量的特定范围内。空气污染始终与较高的死亡率风险相关,而绿地构成与死亡率呈倒u型关系。在结构方程模型中,流动人口是连接城市蔓延特征与死亡率结果的关键途径,因为人口集中和土地使用组合通过较高的流动人口与较低的死亡率相关,而就业集中通过抑制流动人口而增加死亡率。这些关系具有显著的空间异质性。研究结果突出表明,需要采取有针对性的干预措施,将城市形态、自然环境和机会结构结合起来,以减少死亡率不平等。
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引用次数: 0
Digital grievances: A geospatial analysis of public discourse on doctor-patient conflict in China 数字不满:中国医患冲突公共话语的地理空间分析
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2026.103954
Pu Zhang , Yiliang Li , Zheng Wei , Pan Hui , Na Jiang
The escalating conflict between doctors and patients in China has become a critical societal issue, with social media emerging as a primary arena for public grievance. However, the thematic content, spatial heterogeneity, and underlying drivers of this vast online discourse remain poorly understood. This study addresses this gap by analyzing over 300,000 user comments from the social media platform Douyin, linked to provincial-level socioeconomic and healthcare statistics. Employing a hybrid method combining manual open coding with a Large Language Model (LLM), we identify core discussion themes and use a normalized “Topic Index” with Lasso-selected Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and SHAP-GIS analysis to explain their geographical distribution. Our findings reveal a discourse dominated by grievances, yet a counter-narrative of empathy for professionals is highly endorsed by users. Geographically, the analysis uncovers a distinct “Modernization Paradox.” Nationally, Hospital Density serves as a significant stabilizer, showing a negative correlation with grievance levels. However, SHAP visualization reveals that in modernized coastal regions, this buffering effect is offset by the “Modernization Penalty”, where higher Life Expectancy actively drives critical systemic discourse. We conclude that online public grievance is not a simple function of scarcity but is shaped by a structural tension between the stabilizing effects of infrastructure and the escalating pressures of patient complexity and rising expectations in modernized regions. This suggests that solutions must move beyond simply expanding physical infrastructure to focus on optimizing patient flow and humanizing service interactions in high-pressure medical centers.
中国医患矛盾不断升级,已成为一个重要的社会问题,社交媒体成为公众表达不满的主要场所。然而,主题内容、空间异质性和这一庞大在线话语的潜在驱动因素仍然知之甚少。这项研究通过分析社交媒体平台抖音上的30多万条用户评论,并与省级社会经济和医疗统计数据相关联,解决了这一差距。采用人工开放编码与大型语言模型(LLM)相结合的混合方法,我们确定了核心讨论主题,并使用标准化的“主题指数”与Lasso-selected多元线性回归(MLR)和SHAP-GIS分析来解释其地理分布。我们的研究结果揭示了一种以不满为主导的话语,但对专业人士的同理心的反叙事得到了用户的高度认可。在地理上,分析揭示了一个独特的“现代化悖论”。在全国范围内,医院密度是一个显著的稳定器,与不满程度呈负相关。然而,SHAP可视化显示,在现代化的沿海地区,这种缓冲效应被“现代化惩罚”所抵消,在那里,更高的预期寿命积极地推动了关键的系统性话语。我们得出的结论是,网上公众的不满不是简单的稀缺功能,而是由基础设施的稳定效果与现代化地区患者复杂性不断升级的压力和不断提高的期望之间的结构性紧张关系形成的。这表明解决方案必须超越简单地扩展物理基础设施,专注于优化患者流程和人性化的高压医疗中心服务互动。
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引用次数: 0
The configuration and mechanism of peripheral innovation in China: Empirical analysis from the high-end equipment manufacturing industry 中国周边创新的结构与机制——基于高端装备制造业的实证分析
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2026.103952
Guoqing Lyu , Ingo Liefner , Haining Jiang
Trans-local linkages are central mechanism for peripheral regions to sustain innovation systems, but their spatial configuration and mechanisms remain underexplored. This paper proposes four hypotheses based on the tri-polar framework integrating actor, network, and contextual dimensions, and tests them using co-invention patents from China's high-end equipment manufacturing industry covering 1985-2021. Employing Exponential Random Graph Models, the analysis reveals several key findings: (1) state-owned enterprises and large firms dominate peripheral innovation; (2) the spatial configuration of peripheral innovation is relatively stable; and (3) peripheral cities prioritize cross-hierarchy cooperation, resulting in open network configurations rather than locally closed structures. Overall, peripheral innovation in China is predominantly firm-led, cross-boundary, and selectively oriented toward higher-tier partners. By placing firms at the center of analysis and identifying differentiated types of peripheral cities, this study advances understanding of peripheral regional innovation systems in emerging economies. The findings contribute to the applied geography literature by providing spatially explicit evidence that informs place-based innovation and regional development policy.
跨区域联系是周边地区维持创新系统的核心机制,但其空间结构和机制仍未得到充分探讨。本文基于行动者、网络和情境维度的三极框架提出了四个假设,并利用1985-2021年中国高端装备制造业的共同发明专利进行了检验。运用指数随机图模型,分析发现:(1)国有企业和大型企业主导了外围创新;②周边创新空间格局相对稳定;(3)外围城市优先考虑跨层级合作,形成开放的网络结构,而非局部封闭的网络结构。总体而言,中国的外围创新主要是企业主导的、跨界的、有选择地面向高层合作伙伴的创新。通过将企业置于分析的中心位置,并识别不同类型的外围城市,本研究促进了对新兴经济体外围区域创新系统的理解。研究结果通过为基于地方的创新和区域发展政策提供明确的空间证据,为应用地理学文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Role of computing power infrastructure in shaping the geographic landscape AI enterprise in China 计算能力基础设施在塑造中国人工智能企业地理景观中的作用
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2026.103946
Fangye Du , Jiaoe Wang , Pei Zhang
With the acceleration of digital transformation, demand for computing resources has surged, positioning computing power infrastructure (CPI) as a critical driver of emerging industries and a new force reshaping the geography of economic activity. Although existing research has examined the regional patterns of CPI, the mechanisms through which it shapes industrial spatial dynamics remain insufficiently understood. Using the artificial intelligence (AI) industry as an empirical case, this study applies a structural equation model to investigate how CPI, measured primarily through the service coverage and capacity of data centers, influences the spatial distribution of AI enterprises. The results show that: (1) CPI and AI enterprises exhibit strong spatial coupling, characterized by a marked east-west imbalance, although signs of synergistic growth have begun to appear in several regions. (2) The spatial configuration of AI enterprises is shaped by multiple forces, with CPI, economic development, innovation environment, policy support, and traditional infrastructure emerging as the most influential. A bidirectional but asymmetric relationship is observed between CPI and AI enterprise agglomeration. (3) The impact of CPI on AI enterprise location choices is significantly strengthened by regional economic development, innovation conditions, policy environment, and transportation and digital connectivity, which together enhance its ability to guide industrial clustering. This study provides new empirical evidence for understanding how digital infrastructure reorganizes spatial resource allocation, and offers policy implications for optimizing the spatial deployment of AI enterprises, improving regional CPI efficiency, and promoting more balanced digital development.
随着数字化转型的加速,对计算资源的需求激增,将计算能力基础设施(CPI)定位为新兴产业的关键驱动力和重塑经济活动地理的新力量。虽然现有的研究已经考察了CPI的区域格局,但其形成工业空间动态的机制仍然不够清楚。本文以人工智能(AI)行业为实证案例,运用结构方程模型考察CPI(主要通过数据中心的服务覆盖率和容量来衡量)如何影响人工智能企业的空间分布。研究结果表明:(1)CPI与AI企业的空间耦合性较强,呈现出明显的东西不平衡特征,但部分地区已开始出现协同增长的迹象;(2)人工智能企业空间格局受多种力量影响,其中CPI、经济发展、创新环境、政策支持、传统基础设施等影响最大。CPI与AI企业集聚之间存在双向但不对称的关系。③CPI对人工智能企业区位选择的影响被区域经济发展、创新条件、政策环境、交通与数字互联互通等因素显著增强,共同增强了其对产业集聚的引导能力。本研究为理解数字基础设施如何重组空间资源配置提供了新的实证证据,并为优化人工智能企业空间布局、提高区域CPI效率、促进更均衡的数字化发展提供了政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
The digital economy enhances overall life satisfaction but reduces equity among vulnerable groups: Empirical evidence from 287 cities in China 数字经济提高了整体生活满意度,但降低了弱势群体的公平:来自中国287个城市的经验证据
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2026.103925
Jin Rui , Chenyu Shao , Lei Qin , Wenlin Zhao
With the deepening of urban digitalization, existing research has focused on the growth effects of the digital economy, while paying less attention to its impact on residents' life satisfaction and equity, particularly among vulnerable groups. This study aims to address these gaps by integrating the dual perspectives of regional disparities and characteristics of vulnerable groups, and by examining the impact mechanisms of the digital economy on life satisfaction and its equity in different geographical and socio-economic contexts. We analyzed life satisfaction by integrating advanced language models with social media data, employing ridge regression and XGBoost combined with GeoShapley to quantify the spatial contributions of features. The results indicated that: First, the digital economy is positively associated with residents’ life satisfaction but is also correlated with widening gaps; Second, elderly, low-income, and low-education groups experience both the benefits and the growing divide in digital finance and mobile internet adoption; Third, the strengthening of digital infrastructure in the eastern coastal regions improves satisfaction but intensifies regional imbalances; Fourth, increasing internet employment opportunities in northern regions can enhance both life satisfaction and its equity; finally, coastal port cities demonstrate a “win–win” scenario, where high life satisfaction coexists with greater equity. In short, balancing “expanding digital dividends” with narrowing gaps for vulnerable groups is key to fostering inclusive digital economy development.
随着城市数字化的深入,现有的研究主要集中在数字经济的增长效应上,而较少关注其对居民,特别是弱势群体的生活满意度和公平的影响。本研究旨在通过整合区域差异和弱势群体特征的双重视角,并通过研究不同地理和社会经济背景下数字经济对生活满意度及其公平性的影响机制来解决这些差距。我们将先进的语言模型与社交媒体数据相结合,利用脊回归和XGBoost结合GeoShapley量化特征的空间贡献来分析生活满意度。结果表明:第一,数字经济与居民生活满意度呈正相关,但也与差距扩大相关;其次,老年人、低收入和低教育程度群体在数字金融和移动互联网应用方面既能受益,也能享受到越来越大的鸿沟;第三,东部沿海地区数字基础设施的加强提高了满意度,但加剧了区域失衡;第四,增加北方地区的互联网就业机会,可以提高生活满意度和公平性;最后,沿海港口城市展示了一种“双赢”的局面,高生活满意度与更大的公平并存。总之,平衡“扩大数字红利”与缩小弱势群体差距是促进包容性数字经济发展的关键。
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引用次数: 0
The effects of pedestrianization on commercial dynamics a quasi-experimental study in Barcelona 巴塞罗那步行化对商业动态的影响——一项准实验研究
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2026.103947
Pablo Villar-Abeijón , Carme Miralles-Guasch , Oriol Marquet
Cities worldwide are increasingly implementing pedestrianization policies to enhance urban livability, promote sustainable mobility, and stimulate local economic activity. However, while these interventions are often celebrated for revitalizing public space, their potential role in triggering processes of commercial gentrification remains underexplored. This study investigates whether pedestrianization has contributed to commercial gentrification processes in Barcelona. Adopting a quasi-experimental design, pedestrianized streets were matched with comparable non-pedestrianized ones to form treatment and control groups. Using detailed commercial census data from 2014 to 2022, the study constructs indicators capturing shifts in commercial turnover, diversity, and composition. Results indicate that pedestrianization is associated with an increase in commercial closures and a reduction in retail diversity, but not with higher rates of new commercial openings or growth in the number of leisure-oriented businesses. These findings suggest that pedestrianization, while capable of reshaping local retail dynamics, does not by itself trigger full processes of commercial gentrification. Instead, other drivers, particularly touristic pressure, appear more influential in fostering substitution toward discretionary, leisure-oriented commerce. The study contributes to the growing body of research on the socio-economic effects of pedestrianization, offering nuanced evidence on its commercial impacts.
世界各地的城市越来越多地实施步行化政策,以提高城市宜居性,促进可持续的流动性,并刺激当地的经济活动。然而,尽管这些干预措施经常因振兴公共空间而受到欢迎,但它们在引发商业高档化过程中的潜在作用仍未得到充分探索。本研究调查了巴塞罗那的行人专用区是否促进了商业高档化进程。采用准实验设计,将步行街与非步行街进行匹配,形成实验组和对照组。利用2014年至2022年的详细商业普查数据,该研究构建了反映商业营业额、多样性和构成变化的指标。结果表明,步行化与商业关闭的增加和零售多样性的减少有关,但与新商业开业率或休闲导向企业数量的增长无关。这些发现表明,步行区虽然能够重塑当地的零售动态,但本身并不会引发商业高档化的完整过程。相反,其他驱动因素,特别是旅游压力,似乎在促进替代自由裁量、休闲导向的商业方面更有影响力。这项研究为越来越多关于行人专用区的社会经济影响的研究做出了贡献,为其商业影响提供了细致入微的证据。
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引用次数: 0
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Applied Geography
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