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Exploring China's food security evolution from a local perspective 从地方视角探索中国粮食安全的演变
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103427
Xinyuan Liang , Xiaobin Jin , Yue Dou , Fei Meng , Yinkang Zhou
Local food self-sufficiency is a feasible path to make up for supply chain dependence caused by food system globalization. However, despite policies advocating food localization, China's current trends, such as the imbalance between food supply and nutritional demand and the mismatch between production space and consumption space, gradually restrict the sustainability of food security. This study analyzes China's local food security from 2000 to 2020 around the multi-dimensionality of supply, acquisition, and demand. Results show that regional differentiation of China's staple food self-sufficiency has become more significant. As a result, food supply capacity in rapidly urbanizing areas has weakened, and mountainous and underdeveloped areas are difficult to be self-sufficient. Fortunately, staple foods in China are highly accessible, and urban with a population of less than 50,000 have the best food transportation security. Overall, aging and scale management greatly affect China's food system, which currently can resist sudden natural disasters. In the future, decision-makers should focus on urban resources integration and rural land consolidation and realize sustainable food system transition by optimizing the local supply-demand structure through central planning based on popular science and healthy diet structure.
地方粮食自给自足是弥补粮食系统全球化造成的供应链依赖的可行路径。然而,尽管政策倡导粮食本土化,但中国当前粮食供给与营养需求失衡、生产空间与消费空间错配等趋势,逐渐制约了粮食安全的可持续性。本研究围绕供给、获取、需求等多维度,分析了 2000-2020 年中国地方粮食安全状况。结果表明,中国主粮自给率的区域分化更加显著。因此,快速城市化地区的粮食供给能力减弱,山区和欠发达地区难以实现自给自足。值得庆幸的是,中国主食的可获得性很高,人口在 5 万以下的城市粮食运输保障能力最强。总的来说,老龄化和规模化管理对中国的粮食系统影响很大,目前中国的粮食系统能够抵御突如其来的自然灾害。未来,决策者应注重城市资源整合和农村土地整理,以科普和健康饮食结构为基础,通过中央规划优化地方供需结构,实现粮食系统的可持续转型。
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引用次数: 0
Community park visits determined by the interactions between built environment attributes: An explainable machine learning method 建筑环境属性之间的相互作用决定了社区公园的访问量:可解释的机器学习方法
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103423
Zuopeng Xiao , Chengbo Zhang , Yonglin Li , Yiyong Chen
Uncovering the association between built environment (BE) attributes and community park visits by considering potential nonlinear effects can inform more effective spatial policies. This study utilizes real-time population visitation big data to depict the spatial variances in community park visits in the case city of Shenzhen. An explainable machine learning method incorporating random forest and Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) is applied to reveal the relative importance of BE attributes and to examine the nonlinear associations and interaction effects on park visits. The results confirm the decisive roles of park size and walking-based street connectivity on associating with visits, with threshold points at 2 hm2for park size and 0.3 for network warp. The revealed interaction between park size and surrounding BE attributes benefits defining the optimal scale by considering surrounding attributes of both attraction and demand factors. Based on the findings, we further discuss the possible patterns of threshold effects and interaction effects rooted in the examined nonlinearity. The findings guide policy makers in adopting smarter and more effective strategies to improve community park visits.
通过考虑潜在的非线性效应来揭示建筑环境(BE)属性与社区公园访问量之间的关联,可以为制定更有效的空间政策提供依据。本研究利用实时人口访问大数据来描述深圳社区公园访问量的空间差异。研究采用随机森林和 Shapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)相结合的可解释机器学习方法来揭示 BE 属性的相对重要性,并检验公园访问量的非线性关联和交互效应。研究结果证实,公园面积和步行街的连通性对公园访问量具有决定性作用,公园面积的阈值为 2 hm2,网络翘曲的阈值为 0.3。所揭示的公园规模与周边 BE 属性之间的相互作用有利于通过考虑吸引力和需求因素的周边属性来确定最佳规模。根据研究结果,我们进一步讨论了所研究的非线性中可能存在的阈值效应和交互效应模式。研究结果将指导政策制定者采取更明智、更有效的策略来提高社区公园的访问量。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing spatial configuration of barrier-free facilities from the perspective of age-friendliness: A case Study of Beijing, China 从适老性角度评估无障碍设施的空间配置:中国北京案例研究
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103426
Jian Liu , Zhongyu Lai , Bin Meng , Zijian Guo , Xintao Liu

Enhancing urban inclusivity is a crucial task for sustainable urban development. One key challenge is to create seamless and accessible urban space that caters to the mobility needs of people, especially the elderly. Addressing this pressing challenge requires a comprehensive overview of barrier-free facilities (BFFs) configuration within cities. In this study, we propose an integrated framework for assessing the BFFs in Beijing by leveraging open BFFs data and mobile phone data. The proposed framework encompasses considerations of spatial distribution, accessibility, and supply-demand patterns of BFFs. Our findings reveal the significant agglomeration and heterogeneity of BFFs in Beijing, as well as serious spatial and social inequalities. Furthermore, the supply-demand relationship of BBFs in Beijing is relatively good, with 77.8% of supply-demand balanced areas. Overall, our study provides a holistic understanding of the BFFs within Beijing, offering valuable insights for informed decision-making in inclusive city planning and development.

增强城市包容性是城市可持续发展的一项重要任务。其中一个关键挑战是创造无缝、无障碍的城市空间,满足人们尤其是老年人的行动需求。要应对这一紧迫挑战,需要对城市中的无障碍设施(BFFs)配置进行全面概述。在本研究中,我们利用开放的无障碍设施数据和手机数据,提出了评估北京无障碍设施的综合框架。该框架包括无障碍设施的空间分布、可达性和供需模式。我们的研究结果表明,北京的 "闺蜜圈 "具有明显的聚集性和异质性,同时还存在严重的空间和社会不平等现象。此外,北京商业零售设施的供需关系相对较好,供需平衡区域占 77.8%。总之,我们的研究提供了对北京市内生物多样性保护区的整体认识,为包容性城市规划和发展的明智决策提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Optimizing the ecosystem service flow of grain provision across metacoupling systems will improve transmission efficiency 优化跨元耦合系统的粮食供给生态系统服务流将提高传输效率
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103420
Guangji Fang , Xiao Sun , Hua Zheng , Peng Zhu , Wenbin Wu , Peng Yang , Huajun Tang

Ecosystem service (ES) flow can address mismatches between the supply and demand of ESs. Nevertheless, how to improve ES flow considering spatial flow information and interactions among different flow systems is a research gap. Taking the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) urban agglomeration region of China as an example, this study combined both system and network perspectives to analyze the ES flow of grain provision before and after optimization. Metacoupling system analysis was adopted to assess intra-regional and extra-regional flow. Linear programming was used to calculate the optimal distance cost flow solution with constraints. A network model was finally applied to build and analyze flow and transmission networks. In 2020, BTH participated in nearly 10% of the national flow, among which 57% was extra-regional flow. After optimization, the proportion of extra-regional flow decreased to 36%, all of which was inflow from the nearest provinces, while intra-regional flow increased by 35%. The optimized flow reduced distance costs by 143% and decreased network complexity. Core transmission nodes with both high degree and betweenness centrality played prominent connection roles in the process of flow. Strengthening regional connections and simultaneously effectively managing core transmission nodes are of great significance for improving flow efficiency and ensuring food provision.

生态系统服务流(ES)可以解决生态系统服务供需不匹配的问题。然而,考虑到空间流动信息和不同流动系统之间的相互作用,如何改善生态系统服务流动仍是一个研究空白。本研究以中国京津冀(BTH)城市群区域为例,结合系统和网络两个视角,分析了优化前后的粮食供应服务流。采用元耦合系统分析评估区域内和区域外流量。采用线性规划方法计算带约束条件的最优距离成本流量方案。最后应用网络模型来构建和分析流量和传输网络。2020 年,BTH 参与了全国近 10%的流量,其中 57%为区域外流量。优化后,区域外流量比例下降到 36%,全部来自最近的省份,而区域内流量增加了 35%。优化后的流量减少了 143% 的距离成本,降低了网络的复杂性。在流动过程中,度数中心性和间度中心性均较高的核心传输节点发挥了突出的连接作用。加强区域连接,同时有效管理核心传输节点,对于提高流动效率、保障粮食供应具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Accounting for ecosystem service flows in water security assessment: A case study of the Yiluo River Watershed, China 水安全评估中的生态系统服务流核算:中国伊洛河流域案例研究
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103421
Hongjuan Zhang , Hang Zhang , Yong Liu , Guanpeng Dong

The water-related ecosystem services (ESs) flow is a pivotal linkage between ecological and social systems, playing an integral role in water security. Previous research has primarily assessed water security in contexts with and without the presence of ES flows, but further research is necessary to understand the influence of water yield inflow(WY_inflow) and total nitrogen inflow(TN_inflow) as critical determinants of water security. To address dynamic water security assessment and its driving mechanisms, we developed a novel water security index (WSI) that incorporates water quality and ES flows. Additionally, we employed a spatial Durbin model to investigate the impact and spatial effects of related factors on water security, applying it to the Yiluo River Watershed in China. The results revealed that: 1) the dynamic WSI of sub-watersheds incorporating ES flows was an improvement over the static WSI; 2) precipitation and the proportion of cropland significantly positively impacted static WSI, but their impact on dynamic WSI was not significant; 3) WY_inflow intensity contributed positively to dynamic WSI, while TN_inflow intensity negatively influenced dynamic WSI; and 4) most determinants of water security, including WY_inflow and TN_inflow intensity, exhibited negligible spatial spillover effects. Notably, the contribution of ES flows to water security showed an upward trend, accounting for approximately 30% by 2018. Such insights are crucial for formulating sustainable management strategies, such as ecological compensation, to enhance long-term regional water security.

与水相关的生态系统服务(ESs)流是生态和社会系统之间的关键纽带,在水安全中发挥着不可或缺的作用。以往的研究主要是在有和没有生态系统服务流的情况下评估水安全,但要了解作为水安全关键决定因素的水产量流入量(WY_inflow)和总氮流入量(TN_inflow)的影响,还需要进一步的研究。为了解决动态水安全评估及其驱动机制问题,我们开发了一种新的水安全指数(WSI),其中包含水质和 ES 流量。此外,我们采用空间杜宾模型研究了相关因素对水安全的影响和空间效应,并将其应用于中国伊洛河流域。结果表明2)降水和耕地比例对静态 WSI 有显著的正向影响,但对动态 WSI 的影响不显著;3)WY_流入强度对动态 WSI 有正向贡献,而 TN_ 流入强度对动态 WSI 有负向影响;4)包括 WY_ 流入强度和 TN_ 流入强度在内的大多数水安全决定因子的空间溢出效应可以忽略不计。值得注意的是,ES 流量对水安全的贡献呈上升趋势,到 2018 年约占 30%。这些见解对于制定可持续管理战略(如生态补偿)以提高区域长期水安全至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
From center to outlying areas: Navigating built-up land dynamics along urban-rural gradients in Global South megaregions 从中心到外围地区:沿着全球南部特大地区的城乡梯度探索建成区土地动态
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103419
Xia Liao , Chuanglin Fang , Tianheng Shu , Zhitao Liu , Biao Sun

Understanding the dynamics of built-up land amidst the urban-rural transformation process is crucial for balancing the benefits of urbanization against the challenges of uncontrolled expansion. Yet, how built-up land develops across different types of human settlements, particularly within emerging Global South megaregions (GSMs), is not well documented. Employing an urban-rural gradient (URG) approach, we investigate built-up land dynamics across six representative emerging GSMs spanning 1985–2020, contextualizing our findings within urbanization theory and sustainable development discourse. Our analysis reveals that urban center growth and peri-urbanization drive a substantial proportion of built-up land expansion (36.47% and 27.39%, respectively), in contrast to the minimal increases observed in rural clusters and semi-dense areas (2.48% and 2.44%, respectively). The predominant expansion mode is sprawling growth, notably evident in peripheral areas, while densifying growth is mainly confined to urban centers and mostly uninhabited areas. Sprawling shrinkage is observed in dense and semi-dense urban areas, as well as rural clusters. These nuanced dynamics illustrate the varied ways in which regional territories engage with and are shaped by the urbanization process. Through the lens of the URG analysis, our study enhances understanding of spatial transformations in the GSMs, offering informative insights for fostering sustainable cities and human settlements.

在城乡转型过程中,了解建成区土地的动态变化对于平衡城市化的益处与无节制扩张的挑战至关重要。然而,对于不同类型的人类住区,尤其是新兴的全球南部特大地区(GSMs)内的建成用地如何发展,却没有很好的记录。我们采用城乡梯度(URG)方法,调查了 1985-2020 年间六个具有代表性的新兴 GSM 的建成区土地动态,并将我们的研究结果与城市化理论和可持续发展论述相结合。我们的分析表明,城市中心增长和近郊城市化推动了相当大比例的建成区土地扩张(分别为 36.47% 和 27.39%),而在农村集群和半密集区观察到的增长则微乎其微(分别为 2.48% 和 2.44%)。主要的扩张模式是无序增长,这在边缘地区尤为明显,而密集增长则主要局限于城市中心和大部分无人居住地区。在密集型和半密集型城市地区以及农村聚居区,则出现了无计划的萎缩。这些细微的动态变化说明了区域领土参与城市化进程并受其影响的不同方式。通过 URG 分析的视角,我们的研究加深了对全球通用地区空间变化的理解,为促进可持续城市和人类住区的发展提供了有益的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Accessibility and satisfaction with daily commute: Does subjective perception in accordance with objective measurement? 日常通勤的可达性和满意度:主观感受是否与客观测量相符?
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103417
Xingchuan Gao , Tao Li , Dong Wei

Although many scholars have revealed daily commuting satisfaction is related to both psychological factors and travel quality and efficiency under objective travel environment, few studies have investigated the relationship between accessibility and satisfaction. To fill this research gap, this paper explores whether accessibility is in accordance with satisfaction with daily commute (SWDC), and the dominant factors influencing SWDC in different time periods. Given the important objective role of accessibility, this paper used 1512 valid questionnaire data and API traffic big data from Xi'an, China, and employed the Satisfaction with Travel Scale (STS) covering three domains, and hierarchical regression methods to calculate the cumulative opportunity accessibility for four transport modes (walking, cycling, car, and public transport [PT]). The results show that the accessibility of the four transport modes was consistent with SWDC within 20-min. There were significant changes in car and PT within 40- and 60-min traffic circles; however, accessibility and SWDC results for these two modes were inconsistent. Furthermore, we found that travel attitude had the greatest impact on SWDC for walking and cycling within 20 min. Analysis of SWDC for car and PT in three time periods (i.e., 20 min, 20–40 min, and 40–60 min) showed that SWDC with car travel was only significantly affected by the built environment within 20–40 min, whereas travel characteristics played a dominant role in the other two time periods. For PT, SWDC was most affected by built environment, travel characteristics, and travel-related attitude.

尽管许多学者已经揭示了日常通勤满意度与客观出行环境下的心理因素和出行质量与效率都有关系,但很少有研究探讨可达性与满意度之间的关系。为了填补这一研究空白,本文探讨了无障碍环境是否与日常通勤满意度(SWDC)相一致,以及不同时期影响SWDC的主导因素。鉴于交通可达性的重要客观作用,本文使用了中国西安市 1512 份有效问卷数据和 API 交通大数据,采用涵盖三个领域的出行满意度量表(STS)和分层回归方法,计算了四种交通方式(步行、自行车、小汽车和公共交通 [PT])的累积机会可达性。结果表明,四种交通方式在 20 分钟内的可达性与社发中心一致。汽车和公共交通在 40 分钟和 60 分钟交通圈内有明显变化,但这两种交通方式的可达性和 SWDC 结果不一致。此外,我们发现出行态度对 20 分钟内步行和骑自行车的 SWDC 影响最大。在三个时间段(即 20 分钟、20-40 分钟和 40-60 分钟)内对自驾车和公共交通的 SWDC 进行的分析表明,自驾车出行的 SWDC 仅在 20-40 分钟内受到建筑环境的显著影响,而在其他两个时间段内,出行特征则起着主导作用。对于公共交通而言,建筑环境、旅行特征和旅行相关态度对 SWDC 的影响最大。
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引用次数: 0
Disaggregating census data for population mapping using a Bayesian Additive Regression Tree model 利用贝叶斯加性回归树模型分解人口普查数据以绘制人口分布图
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103416
Ortis Yankey, Chigozie E. Utazi, Christopher C. Nnanatu, Assane N. Gadiaga, Thomas Abbot, Attila N. Lazar, Andrew J. Tatem

Population data is crucial for policy decisions, but fine-scale population numbers are often lacking due to the challenge of sharing sensitive data. Different approaches, such as the use of the Random Forest (RF) model, have been used to disaggregate census data from higher administrative units to small area scales. A major limitation of the RF model is its inability to quantify the uncertainties associated with the predicted populations, which can be important for policy decisions. In this study, we applied a Bayesian Additive Regression Tree (BART) model for population disaggregation and compared the result with a RF model using both simulated data and the 2021 census data for Ghana. The BART model consistently outperforms the RF model in out-of-sample predictions for all metrics, such as bias, mean squared error (MSE), and root mean squared error (RMSE). The BART model also addresses the limitations of the RF model by providing uncertainty estimates around the predicted population, which is often lacking with the RF model. Overall, the study demonstrates the superiority of the BART model over the RF model in disaggregating population data and highlights its potential for gridded population estimates.

人口数据对决策至关重要,但由于共享敏感数据的难题,往往缺乏精细的人口数字。人们采用不同的方法,如使用随机森林(RF)模型,将普查数据从较高的行政单位分解到较小的区域范围。随机森林模型的一个主要局限是无法量化与预测人口相关的不确定性,而这些不确定性对于政策决策可能非常重要。在本研究中,我们采用贝叶斯加性回归树(BART)模型进行人口分解,并使用模拟数据和加纳 2021 年人口普查数据将结果与 RF 模型进行比较。就偏差、均方误差 (MSE) 和均方根误差 (RMSE) 等所有指标而言,BART 模型在样本外预测方面始终优于 RF 模型。BART 模型还解决了 RF 模型的局限性,提供了预测人口周围的不确定性估计值,而 RF 模型往往缺乏这种估计值。总之,该研究证明了 BART 模型在分解人口数据方面优于 RF 模型,并突出了其在网格化人口估计方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Does community-based tenure prevent land grabbing? The oil palm case in Mexico 以社区为基础的土地保有权能否防止土地掠夺?墨西哥油棕榈树案例
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103413
Antonio Castellanos-Navarrete, Marcela A. Colocho-Rodríguez, Nicolás Vargas-Ramírez

The recent oil palm expansion has resulted in significant land losses for rural communities globally, raising concerns about food security, poverty, and the loss of common resources. This study investigates whether community-based tenure regimes in Mexico, particularly ejidos, prevent land grabbing and land concentration in oil palm producing regions. By mapping oil palm plantation types (smallholdings, mid-sized and large-scale plantations) across major land tenure regimes (ejido, communal and private property) using high spatial resolution imagery from Google Earth and ESRI/Maxar, we explore the relationship between tenure forms and land concentration. Our findings suggest that ejido lands largely prevents land grabbing by oil palm, although neoliberal reforms have favored land concentration, especially under private tenured land (southern Campeche) but also in some ejidos facing illegal land-based investments (Lacandon rainforest). This research contributes to broader debates on oil palm, tenure regimes and land grabbing, highlighting the need for land tenure policies that protect rural communities from industrial plantation encroachments.

最近的油棕榈扩张导致全球农村社区的土地大量流失,引发了人们对粮食安全、贫困和共同资源流失的担忧。本研究调查了墨西哥以社区为基础的土地使用权制度,尤其是 ejidos,是否能防止油棕榈产区的土地掠夺和土地集中。我们利用谷歌地球和 ESRI/Maxar 的高空间分辨率图像,绘制了主要土地权属制度("ajido"、公有和私有财产)中的油棕种植园类型(小块土地、中型和大型种植园),探索了土地权属形式与土地集中之间的关系。我们的研究结果表明,尽管新自由主义改革有利于土地集中,特别是在私人保有土地上(坎佩切省南部),但在一些面临非法土地投资的 ejido(拉坎东雨林),"ajido "土地在很大程度上阻止了油棕榈树对土地的掠夺。这项研究有助于对油棕、土地保有权制度和土地掠夺等问题进行更广泛的讨论,并强调了制定土地保有权政策以保护农村社区免受工业种植园侵占的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping and measuring neighbourhood social media groups. The case of facebook 绘制和测量邻里社交媒体群体。facebook 案例
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103415
Renee Zahnow , Jeremy Verrier , Sam Hames , Jonathan Corcoran

Social media is a pervasive part of everyday life. Neighbourhood social media are important community orientated structures that serve as digital platforms where local residents can connect with neighbours, exchange information, and share resources. The current study details an analytic framework to systematically capture, measure and map neighbourhood social media (Facebook groups) presence for a large metropolitan region, Brisbane, Australia. Further through modelling we reveal how socially organised communities acquire a higher number of neighbourhood-based social media groups while socially disorganised communities tend to have social media groups associated with crime or crime watch. We also unveil important spatial patterns with more neighbourhood-based social media groups located in coastal areas that are associated with tourism, leisure activities and recreational pursuits. Our findings demonstrate that neighbourhood-based social media is an important component of community social infrastructure and can support collective capacity to respond to problems. Our hope is that our approach can be replicated in other situational and cultural contexts to assemble a growing set of comparative studies through which the spatial distribution of locality-based social media can be assessed.

社交媒体是日常生活中无处不在的一部分。邻里社交媒体是重要的社区导向结构,是当地居民与邻居联系、交流信息和共享资源的数字平台。本研究详细介绍了一个分析框架,该框架用于系统地捕捉、测量和绘制澳大利亚布里斯班大都会地区的邻里社交媒体(Facebook 群组)存在情况。通过建模,我们进一步揭示了社会组织化社区如何获得更多基于邻里的社交媒体群组,而社会无组织化社区则倾向于拥有与犯罪或犯罪观察相关的社交媒体群组。我们还揭示了重要的空间模式,即在与旅游、休闲活动和娱乐活动相关的沿海地区有更多的邻里社交媒体群体。我们的研究结果表明,邻里社交媒体是社区社会基础设施的重要组成部分,能够支持集体应对问题的能力。我们希望,我们的研究方法可以在其他环境和文化背景下推广,从而形成一套不断扩大的比较研究,通过这些研究可以评估基于地域的社交媒体的空间分布。
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