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Potential ecological risk assessment based on loss of ecosystem services due to land use and land cover change: A case study of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region 基于土地利用和土地覆被变化导致的生态系统服务损失的潜在生态风险评估:京津冀地区案例研究
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103389
Pengyan Zhang , Qianxu Wang , Yu Liu , Jinbing Zhang

Ecosystem services (ESs) bridge the gap between human wellbeing and ecosystem processes. Land use and land cover change (LUCC) affect ecosystem services by altering the structure and function of ecosystems. Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH), one of the most developed urban agglomerations in China, is subject to intense LUCC that affects ESs while increasing the regional ecological risk (ER). Therefore, to achieve the coordinated development of socioeconomic and ecological quality, there is an urgent need to establish a regional ecological risk assessment (ERA). ESs were introduced into the ERA to clarify their ecological significance and to compensate for the deficiencies of the traditional ERA. In this study, the ERA utilizes key ESs as endpoints to assess potential ER through a new framework by multiplying the probability of LUCC by the resultant loss of key ESs. We found that cultivated land was the most dominant outflow type and built-up land was the predominant inflow type. From 2020 to 2030, there is a greater possibility of changes in cultivated land, forest, grassland, and built-up land as well as in relatively stable water bodies and unused land. Overall, ESs show a positive trend. The overall potential ER was relatively minimal, with a significant northwestern spatially concentrated characteristic of high values. This study helps understand the potential development process of ERs and provides a scientific basis for risk management.

生态系统服务 (ES) 是人类福祉与生态系统过程之间的桥梁。土地利用和土地覆被变化(LUCC)通过改变生态系统的结构和功能来影响生态系统服务。京津冀(BTH)是中国最发达的城市群之一,其强烈的土地利用和土地覆被变化(LUCC)在影响生态系统服务的同时也增加了区域生态风险(ER)。因此,为实现社会经济与生态质量的协调发展,迫切需要建立区域生态风险评估(ERA)。为明确 ESs 的生态意义,弥补传统 ERA 的不足,将 ESs 引入 ERA。在本研究中,ERA 利用关键生态系统作为终点,通过一个新的框架,将 LUCC 的概率乘以由此导致的关键生态系统的损失,来评估潜在的 ER。我们发现,耕地是最主要的流出类型,而建筑用地则是最主要的流入类型。从 2020 年到 2030 年,耕地、森林、草地、建筑用地以及相对稳定的水体和未利用土地发生变化的可能性更大。总体而言,ESs 呈现出积极的趋势。总体潜在的 ER 值相对较小,具有明显的西北部空间集中的高值特征。这项研究有助于了解ER的潜在发展过程,为风险管理提供科学依据。
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引用次数: 0
Detecting thresholds in the health impact of the urban built environment 检测城市建筑环境对健康影响的阈值
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103399
Wenyao Sun , Lan Wang , Arthi Rao , Steve Yim , Haidong Kan , Yue Gao , Surong Zhang , Catherine Ross , Bao Pingping

The urban built environment impacts human health through complex and nonlinear pathways. However, thresholds of urban built environment attributes associated with respiratory health are still relatively undetermined. Moreover, most existing studies assume the built environment to be static and only incorporate a cross-sectional approach to measuring it. In this case study examining the impact of the urban built environment on lung cancer risk in Shanghai, China, we perform a longitudinal analysis incorporating a range of environmental attributes and data spanning multiple years to tackle the synergistic effect of the urban built environment over an extended time period. We propose a novel approach combining nonlinear regressions and Geo-Detector to discern the general trend in the environment-disease association and pinpoint significant thresholds within this trend. Our findings showed that impervious land percentage, building coverage, green space coverage, and population density explained stratified heterogeneity of the respiratory health outcome by 8.7%, 21.2%, 8.1%, and 8.8%, respectively. Lung cancer incidence was significantly elevated in areas or during times with impervious surface percentage > 95%, building coverage > 25%, green space coverage < 15%, or population density > 10 thousand persons/km2. These findings offer actionable insights for urban development regulation and policymaking.

城市建筑环境通过复杂的非线性途径影响人类健康。然而,与呼吸系统健康相关的城市建筑环境属性的阈值相对来说仍未确定。此外,现有的大多数研究都假定建筑环境是静态的,并且只采用横截面的方法来测量建筑环境。本案例研究探讨了城市建筑环境对中国上海肺癌风险的影响,我们结合一系列环境属性和多年数据进行了纵向分析,以解决城市建筑环境在较长时期内的协同效应问题。我们提出了一种结合非线性回归和 Geo-Detector 的新方法,以辨别环境与疾病关联的总体趋势,并在这一趋势中找出重要的临界点。我们的研究结果表明,不透水土地百分比、建筑覆盖率、绿地覆盖率和人口密度对呼吸系统健康结果的分层异质性的解释分别为 8.7%、21.2%、8.1% 和 8.8%。在不透水表面百分比为 95%、建筑覆盖率为 25%、绿地覆盖率为 15%或人口密度为 1 万人/平方公里的地区或时期,肺癌发病率明显升高。这些发现为城市发展监管和政策制定提供了可操作的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Does foreign aid play a role in promoting economic development? Evidence from US aid 外国援助在促进经济发展方面发挥作用吗?来自美国援助的证据
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103394
Wanpeng Cao , Debin Du

Does foreign aid always contribute to economic development in recipient countries? This question has never been fully addressed. Using data on US aid to 128 countries worldwide from 2000 to 2019, this paper examines the relationship between US aid and economic growth in recipient countries, and the moderating role of institutional quality and absorptive capacity in shaping this relationship. Different types of US aid are considered, including economic aid and military aid. The results show that the relationship between economic aid and economic growth is U-shaped, while military aid has a positive linear relationship with economic growth. Moreover, we find that the institutional quality of the recipient country negatively moderates the relationship between US aid and economic growth. Additionally, the absorptive capacity of the recipient country positively moderates the relationship between economic aid and economic growth, whereas the relationship between military aid and economic growth is not affected by absorptive capacity.

外国援助是否总能促进受援国的经济发展?这个问题一直没有得到充分解决。本文利用 2000 年至 2019 年美国对全球 128 个国家的援助数据,研究了美国援助与受援国经济增长之间的关系,以及制度质量和吸收能力在形成这种关系中的调节作用。本文考虑了不同类型的美国援助,包括经济援助和军事援助。结果显示,经济援助与经济增长之间的关系呈 U 型,而军事援助与经济增长之间呈正线性关系。此外,我们还发现,受援国的制度质量对美国援助与经济增长之间的关系具有负向调节作用。此外,受援国的吸收能力对经济援助与经济增长之间的关系有正向调节作用,而军事援助与经济增长之间的关系不受吸收能力的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The role of Industry-University-Research collaboration in regional technological diversification: An empirical study on the pharmaceutical industry in China 产学研合作在地区技术多样化中的作用:中国制药业的实证研究
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103393
Wentao Li, Canfei He

Regional diversification literature has increasingly recognized the importance of diversifying into unrelated technologies. The emergence of technologies is considered the outcome of collaborative efforts, nevertheless, the role of scientific organizations is largely ignored. Especially, we know less about the impact of Industry-University-Research (IUR) collaboration on regional technological diversification. To fill in the gap, we conduct an empirical analysis based on patents from the Chinese Intellectual Patent Office over 2000–2019, in the case of China's pharmaceutical industry. The results show that: (1) Universities are pharmaceutical firms' primary collaborators, followed by research institutes, with hospitals accounting for a relatively small part. (2) There are significant differences in the knowledge bases of actors, with pharmaceutical firms more oriented to the applied field and scientific organizations, especially universities, focusing on basic research. (3) Regions with more IUR collaboration tend to diversify into unrelated technologies about pharmaceuticals, and its role is more evident for inter-regional collaboration. (4) Pharmaceutical firms engaging in IUR collaboration are more likely to diversify into unrelated technologies, while the technological diversification of scientific organizations seems to be irrelevant to IUR collaboration. Furthermore, pharmaceutical firms that collaborate with universities instead of research institutes and hospitals frequently tend to develop unrelated technologies.

区域多样化文献日益认识到向不相关技术多样化的重要性。技术的出现被认为是合作努力的结果,然而,科学组织的作用在很大程度上被忽视了。尤其是,我们对产学研合作对地区技术多样化的影响知之甚少。为了填补这一空白,我们以中国医药行业为例,基于中国知识产权局 2000-2019 年的专利进行了实证分析。结果显示(1)大学是制药企业的主要合作方,其次是科研院所,医院所占比例相对较小。(2) 参与者的知识基础存在显著差异,制药企业更倾向于应用领域,而科研机构,尤其是大学,则侧重于基础研究。(3) IUR 合作较多的地区倾向于多样化发展与制药无关的技术,其在地区间合作中的作用更加明显。(4) 参与 IUR 合作的制药企业更有可能向不相关的技术多元化发展,而科研机构的技术多元化似乎与 IUR 合作无关。此外,与大学而不是研究所和医院合作的制药公司往往倾向于开发不相关的技术。
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引用次数: 0
Associations between neighborhood compactness, perceived accessibility to urban amenities, and mental distress of older adults in a high-density city 高密度城市中老年人的邻里紧凑程度、感知到的城市便利设施可达性与精神痛苦之间的关系
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103397
Jianxiao Liu , Shuangzhou Chen , Hung Chak Ho , Linchuan Yang , Zhikang Bao

Neighborhood compactness has been identified as a sustainable approach for fostering social relationships. However, existing studies have not clearly demonstrated whether neighborhood compactness in high-density cities directly influences the mental distress of community-dwelling older adults, or whether it indirectly influences mental distress through perceived accessibility to urban amenities (PA). Using a composite score of three dimensions (depressive symptoms, loneliness, and social isolation) to measure mental distress, and applying a mediation model within a cross-sectional design involving 947 older adults (aged ≥ 60) with at least mild symptoms in Hong Kong, our findings suggest an indirect pathway between neighborhood compactness, PA, and mental distress. Neighborhood compactness was positively associated with PA (B = 7.791, p < 0.001), and PA was negatively associated with mental distress (B = −0.12, p = 0.017). However, no direct impact of neighborhood compactness on mental distress was found. Moderated mediation analysis further indicated that neighborhood compactness and PA supported older females but not males. These results align with our hypothesis that (1) neighborhood compactness may not always be beneficial for older adults with mental distress in high-density cities unless compactness itself enhances PA and facility usage to support community-dwelling individuals, and (2) gender differences may result in varying interactions and perceptions of urban amenities and the built environment. To support the concept of “aging in place” in the future, urban plans aimed at enhancing neighborhood compactness and its social impacts should focus on addressing social inequality, including strategies to improve urban design, social participation, and gender-specific protocols, so that older adults can achieve better community awareness, environmental satisfaction, and facility usage, ultimately reducing mental distress.

邻里紧凑被认为是促进社会关系的一种可持续方法。然而,现有的研究并没有清楚地证明高密度城市的邻里紧凑程度是直接影响居住在社区的老年人的精神痛苦,还是通过感知到的城市便利性(PA)间接影响精神痛苦。我们采用了由三个维度(抑郁症状、孤独感和社会隔离)组成的综合评分来测量精神压力,并在横断面设计中应用了一个中介模型,该模型涉及香港 947 名至少有轻微症状的老年人(年龄≥ 60 岁)。邻里紧凑程度与PA呈正相关(B = 7.791, p < 0.001),而PA与精神痛苦呈负相关(B = -0.12,p = 0.017)。然而,邻里紧凑程度对精神压力没有直接影响。调节中介分析进一步表明,邻里紧凑程度和 PA 支持老年女性,但不支持老年男性。这些结果与我们的假设相吻合:(1)在高密度城市中,邻里紧凑程度并不总是对有精神困扰的老年人有益,除非紧凑程度本身能提高PA和设施的使用率,以支持社区居住的个人;(2)性别差异可能会导致对城市设施和建筑环境的不同互动和感知。为了支持未来的 "居家养老 "理念,旨在提高社区紧凑性及其社会影响的城市规划应重点解决社会不平等问题,包括改善城市设计、社会参与和性别协议的策略,从而使老年人获得更好的社区意识、环境满意度和设施使用率,最终减少精神困扰。
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引用次数: 0
Socio-spatial segregation in residents’ daily life: A longitudinal study in Beijing 居民日常生活中的社会空间隔离:北京纵向研究
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103395
Hongbo Chai

Segregation studies based on human activity spaces have attracted increasing interest in urban geography and planning. Previously, most research employed variations in the geographical features of individuals' physical activity areas to ascertain social group segregation. A few studies have examined segregation based on one's activity space, comparing this over several years. This research conducts an empirical analysis based on people's activity space in Beijing to detect changes in segregation over time. We investigate activity space-based segregation among Beijing residents, separated into four housing categories for inner-city and suburban areas. The primary outcomes show residents living in different types of housing experience varying degrees of segregation when considering their activity spaces, which has progressed over the years. Furthermore, the findings show that the impact of changes in the built environment on the socio-spatial segregation of residents is gradually deepening, while the impact of institutional contexts such as danwei is gradually decreasing. In summary, this paper provides Beijing-based empirical evidence for this housing type differentiation and increasing segregation, which helps to enrich the understanding of activity space-based socio-spatial segregation of urban residents in China.

基于人类活动空间的隔离研究在城市地理学和规划领域引起了越来越多的关注。以前,大多数研究都是利用个人身体活动区域的地理特征变化来确定社会群体隔离。少数研究根据个人的活动空间对隔离情况进行了研究,并对几年来的情况进行了比较。本研究根据北京居民的活动空间进行了实证分析,以发现随着时间的推移,隔离情况发生了变化。我们调查了北京居民基于活动空间的隔离情况,并将其分为市内和郊区的四个住房类别。主要结果表明,居住在不同类型住房中的居民在考虑其活动空间时会经历不同程度的隔离,而且这种隔离随着时间的推移而不断加剧。此外,研究结果表明,建筑环境的变化对居民社会空间隔离的影响正在逐步加深,而丹桂等制度背景的影响正在逐步减弱。总之,本文为这种住房类型分化和隔离加剧提供了基于北京的经验证据,有助于丰富对中国城市居民基于活动空间的社会空间隔离的理解。
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引用次数: 0
‘Generation Share’ versus ‘Generation Rent’: Analysing the spatial preferences of shared rental housing 一代共享 "与 "一代出租":分析合租住房的空间偏好
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103398
Ling Li , Kuang Kuang Deng

A growing number of young adults are choosing to live in private rental housing and sharing with unknown individuals in order to reduce their housing expenses. However, young housing sharers are generally treated as homogeneous to other renters in academic research and policy formation, leaving some of their unique housing issues unaddressed. This study examines how young housing sharers differ from their counterparts living in conventional or unshared rental housing. More specifically, we compare the spatial preferences of housing sharers to the spatial preferences of conventional housing renters, using a unique dataset of over 0.8 million private rental housing records collected in Shanghai, China. The results using a revealed-preference approach based on a hedonic pricing model demonstrate significant differences in their preference for location characteristics. Housing sharers are more willing to pay for proximity to employment centres and metro stations than conventional housing renters. Following the outbreak of Covid-19, the difference has narrowed to some extent, and housing sharers have moved further from employment centres. Rather, housing sharers are less concerned about access to public and private service amenities. The findings of this study contribute to our understanding of the recent housing tenure shift toward sharing among the younger generation and its potential impact on age-related segmentation in the housing market.

越来越多的年轻人选择租住私人住房,并与不认识的人合租,以减少住房开支。然而,在学术研究和政策制定过程中,年轻的合租者通常被视为与其他租房者一样,从而导致他们的一些独特住房问题得不到解决。本研究探讨了青年合租者与居住在传统或非合租房中的租房者有何不同。更具体地说,我们利用在中国上海收集到的 80 多万条私人租赁住房记录的独特数据集,比较了住房共享者的空间偏好与传统住房租赁者的空间偏好。使用基于享乐主义定价模型的显现偏好方法得出的结果表明,他们对区位特征的偏好存在显著差异。与传统住房租赁者相比,住房共享者更愿意为靠近就业中心和地铁站付费。在 Covid-19 爆发后,这种差异在一定程度上缩小了,住房共享者也离就业中心更远了。相反,住房合租者对获得公共和私人服务设施的关注度较低。本研究的结果有助于我们理解近期年轻一代住房使用权向合租的转变,以及其对住房市场中与年龄相关的细分的潜在影响。
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引用次数: 0
Shame buffers and spatial risk-mitigation: Exploring the effects of social stigma on the locational strategies of illicit massage businesses and their customers 耻辱缓冲和空间风险缓解:探索社会耻辱感对非法按摩企业及其顾客选址策略的影响
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103391
Sean M. Crotty, Xiaolu Zhou

Traditional locational analysis in urban retail/business geography begins with the assumption that customers will visit retail locations that are most convenient, and that businesses that locate close to their customers’ residences or workplaces would be preferred to locations farther from those places. This assumption is problematic when applied to economic activities for which social stigma exists. In this article, we examine the influence of social stigma on the locational choices made by customers of illicit massage businesses in the Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas metropolitan area. We introduce the concept of shame buffers – zones around the places to which each customer is most deeply socially embedded, their home, workplace, and other community spaces, where the customer would not engage in stigmatized behaviors for fear of being observed and facing social shaming. We then examine the validity of the shame-buffer concept by analyzing customers' mobility patterns for both legal and illicit massage businesses in the Dallas-Fort Worth Metropolitan Area (DFW metro).

城市零售/商业地理学中传统的区位分析始于这样一个假设,即顾客会光顾最方便的零售地点,而靠近顾客住所或工作场所的企业会比远离这些地点的企业更受欢迎。当这一假设应用于存在社会污名的经济活动时,就会出现问题。在本文中,我们研究了社会耻辱感对得克萨斯州达拉斯-沃斯堡大都会地区非法按摩业顾客的地点选择的影响。我们引入了 "耻辱缓冲区"(shame buffers)的概念--在每个顾客最深的社会烙印周围的区域,如他们的家、工作场所和其他社区空间,顾客因害怕被观察和面临社会耻辱而不会在这些地方从事被耻辱化的行为。然后,我们通过分析达拉斯-沃斯堡大都会区(DFW Metropolitan Area)合法和非法按摩行业顾客的流动模式,来检验羞耻缓冲区概念的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial intelligence and contextual relevance in AI-driven health information retrieval 人工智能驱动的健康信息检索中的空间智能和上下文相关性
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103392
Niko Yiannakoulias

The evolution of large language models (LLMs) has already significantly influenced online health information retrieval. As these models gain more widespread use, it is important to understand their ability to contextualize responses based on spatial and geographic information. This study investigates whether LLMs can vary responses based on geographic and spatial context. Using a structured set of prompts submitted to ChatGPT, responses were analyzed to discern patterns based on prompt question and geographic identifiers included in queries. The analysis used word frequency analysis and bidirectional encoder representations from transformers (BERT) embeddings to evaluate the variation in responses concerning geographic specificity. The results provide some evidence that LLMs can generate geographically tailored responses when the query specifies such a need, thereby supporting localized information retrieval. Moreover, prompt responses exhibit an association between spatial distance and word frequency/sentence embedding differences between texts. This result suggests a nuanced representation of spatial information, which could impact user experience by providing more relevant health information based on the user's location. This study lays the groundwork for further exploration into the spatial intelligence of LLMs and their impact on the accessibility of health information online.

大型语言模型(LLM)的发展已经对在线健康信息检索产生了重大影响。随着这些模型得到越来越广泛的使用,了解它们根据空间和地理信息进行语境化回复的能力就显得尤为重要。本研究调查了 LLM 是否能根据地理和空间背景改变回答。使用提交给 ChatGPT 的一组结构化提示,对回复进行了分析,以便根据提示问题和查询中包含的地理标识符找出模式。分析中使用了词频分析和来自变换器的双向编码器表示(BERT)嵌入来评估回复中有关地理特异性的变化。结果提供了一些证据,表明当查询指定了这种需求时,LLM 可以生成按地理位置定制的回复,从而支持本地化信息检索。此外,提示回复显示出空间距离与文本之间的词频/句子嵌入差异之间的关联。这一结果表明了空间信息的细微差别,可以根据用户的位置提供更多相关的健康信息,从而影响用户体验。这项研究为进一步探索 LLM 的空间智能及其对在线健康信息可访问性的影响奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Encouraging cycling through the improvement of streetscape perception: A bottom-up investigation into the relationship between street greening and bicycling volume 通过改善街景观感鼓励骑自行车:自下而上调查街道绿化与自行车骑行量之间的关系
IF 4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103388
Qiao Zhang , Jin Rui , Yufei Wu

Enhancing neighborhood greenery quality proves to be an effective tactic in encouraging active travel among residents. From a cyclist's perspective, this study quantitatively evaluates street greening quality and its association with cycling behaviors. Utilizing shared bicycle usage data and SegNet-analyzed Baidu Street Views on Xiamen Island, we quantified comprehensive street greening quality. We then employed Spatial Design Network Analysis and a street greening quality rating scale to assess accessibility and aesthetics. Subsequently, models were developed using OLS, spatial autocorrelation, and Moran's I statistical methods, complemented by a spatial heterogeneity analysis of factors influencing shared bicycle riding behaviors through the Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model. Our study reveals that in arterial and commercial districts, the appeal and variety of street greening elements are more crucial than their quantity. These quality indicators exhibit a polycentric, continuous spatial distribution, aligning with the overall street layout. Beyond the visual impact of greenery on cycling behavior, factors like richness, openness, and safety of streets, along with diverse facilities, significantly influence cycling route preferences. In contrast, uniform street elements can disrupt or even discourage cycling. This research, by analyzing the relationship between street greening quality and cycling intensity, offers valuable insights for policymakers in prioritizing the transformation of streets into bike-friendly zones. Additionally, we propose a pragmatic, bottom-up approach to developing bicycle-friendly urban environments, indirectly fostering healthier travel habits among urban residents.

事实证明,提高街区绿化质量是鼓励居民积极出行的有效手段。本研究从骑车人的角度出发,对街道绿化质量及其与骑车行为的关系进行了定量评估。利用共享单车使用数据和经 SegNet 分析的厦门岛内百度街景,我们对街道的综合绿化质量进行了量化。然后,我们采用空间设计网络分析和街道绿化质量评分表来评估可达性和美观度。随后,我们利用 OLS、空间自相关和 Moran's I 统计方法建立了模型,并通过地理加权回归(GWR)模型对影响共享单车骑行行为的因素进行了空间异质性分析。我们的研究表明,在主干道和商业区,街道绿化元素的吸引力和多样性比其数量更为重要。这些质量指标呈现出多中心、连续的空间分布,与整体街道布局相一致。除了绿化对骑行行为的视觉影响外,街道的丰富性、开放性和安全性等因素以及多样化的设施也会极大地影响人们对骑行路线的偏好。相反,千篇一律的街道元素则会破坏甚至阻碍骑行。本研究通过分析街道绿化质量与骑行强度之间的关系,为政策制定者优先将街道改造成自行车友好区提供了宝贵的见解。此外,我们还提出了一种务实的、自下而上的方法来发展自行车友好型城市环境,间接促进城市居民养成更健康的出行习惯。
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引用次数: 0
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