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Time-domain dynamic response analysis of progressive mooring failure for deep-sea semi-submersible platforms 深海半潜式平台系泊渐进失效的时域动力响应分析
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joes.2025.11.010
Zhangxiang Guo , Nan Hou , Tianhong Yan , Guoqiang Zhou
Deepwater semi-submersible platforms play a pivotal role in the exploration and exploitation of marine resources. The "Deep Sea No.1″ semi-submersible platform in the South China Sea serves as the reference case for numerical simulations. Progressive mooring failures may significantly increase the risk of subsequent damage to remaining mooring lines, making the platform's self-stabilization capacity after consecutive failures critical for operational safety. Numerical simulations investigate the response of a deepwater semi-submersible platform to progressive mooring failures under 100-year return period extreme sea states. Coupled dynamic analysis of the floater-mooring system was performed in the frequency and time domains in this numerical simulation. The analysis incorporates coupled wind-wave-current interactions to evaluate platform motions, fairlead tensions, and drift characteristics. The study examines 51 scenarios (including 3 intact cases) covering diverse sea conditions and mooring failure configurations, with comparative analysis between intact and failed conditions. Mooring lines are intentionally disconnected at specified time instants to simulate transient/steady-state platform responses and residual mooring tensions. Results demonstrate significant wave direction effects on surge/sway/yaw motions, with maximum fairlead tensions in head seas and strong drift direction-wave heading correlation. Consecutive same-location failures cause irreversible catastrophic drift with 315.5 % yaw angle increase versus single failures, degrading residual mooring capacity while increasing adjacent line tensions. Different failure sequences induce symmetrical transient drift and fairlead tension variations due to mooring system symmetry, with consistent final equilibrium positions despite divergent transient drift directions.
深水半潜式平台在海洋资源勘探开发中起着举足轻重的作用。以南海“深海1号″”半潜式平台为参考案例进行数值模拟。连续的系泊故障可能会大大增加后续对剩余系泊线的损坏风险,使得平台在连续故障后的自稳定能力对操作安全至关重要。数值模拟研究了某深水半潜式平台在百年年一遇的极端海况条件下对连续系泊失效的响应。在数值模拟中,对浮子系泊系统进行了频域和时域的耦合动力学分析。该分析结合了耦合风波-电流相互作用来评估平台运动、导联张力和漂移特性。该研究考察了51种情况(包括3种完整情况),涵盖了不同的海况和系泊故障配置,并对完整和失效情况进行了比较分析。在指定的时刻故意断开系泊线,以模拟平台的瞬态/稳态响应和残余系泊张力。结果表明,波浪方向对浪涌/摇摆/偏航运动有显著的影响,在头海有最大的导流张力,并且有很强的漂向-浪向相关性。与单一故障相比,连续的同一位置故障会导致不可逆的灾难性漂移,偏航角增加315.5%,降低了剩余的系泊能力,同时增加了相邻缆的张力。由于系泊系统的对称性,不同的失效顺序会引起对称的瞬态漂移和导缆张力变化,尽管瞬态漂移方向不同,但最终的平衡位置一致。
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引用次数: 0
Experimental motion and load comparison of rigidly and hinged connected very large floating platforms 刚性与铰接超大型浮动平台的运动与载荷实验比较
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joes.2025.11.008
Abel Arredondo-Galeana , Yongqiang Chen , Saishuai Dai , Xiantao Zhang , Feargal Brennan
Very large floating structures (VLFS) could provide a new approach to floating wind foundations due to their capacity to host multiple wind turbines into a single platform. Nonetheless, further evidence of their motion and loading performance is needed. Among the existing options, very large hydroelastic platforms or hinged connected platforms with multiple pontoons can be deployed. However, a comparative experimental assessment of both type of platforms is missing in the literature. To this aim, we test the response of a laboratory scale rigidly and hinged connected VLFS subject to different regular wave conditions. The rigidly connected VLFS emulates a hydroelastic platform, whilst the hinged connected VLFS is built with two hinges. We demonstrate experimentally, an improved load alleviation of the hinged connected VLFS compared to the rigidly connected VLFS. Results are modelled numerically through a Discrete-Module-Beam (DMB) method. Our findings suggest that although both type of platforms can contribute to offshore survivability, hinged connected VLFS could have an edge due to an improved load alleviation. This work aims to contribute to the development of novel floating foundations and provides a benchmark experimental database for hydroelastic and hinged connected VLFS.
超大型浮式结构(VLFS)可以为浮式风基础提供一种新的方法,因为它们能够在一个平台上容纳多个风力涡轮机。尽管如此,还需要进一步证明它们的运动和加载性能。在现有的方案中,可以部署非常大的水弹性平台或带有多个浮筒的铰接平台。然而,文献中缺少对两种类型平台的比较实验评估。为此,我们测试了实验室尺度的刚性和铰接VLFS在不同规则波条件下的响应。刚性连接的VLFS模拟了一个水弹性平台,而铰接的VLFS由两个铰链组成。我们通过实验证明,与刚性连接的VLFS相比,铰链连接的VLFS具有更好的负载缓解效果。结果通过离散模束(DMB)方法进行了数值模拟。我们的研究结果表明,尽管这两种类型的平台都有助于海上生存,但铰链连接的VLFS可能具有优势,因为它可以改善负载缓解。本工作旨在为新型浮动基础的发展做出贡献,并为水弹性和铰链连接的VLFS提供基准实验数据库。
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引用次数: 0
Fractional attention entropy and enhanced intrinsic time-scale decomposition for robust underwater target signal detection 分数注意熵和增强的本征时间尺度分解用于鲁棒水下目标信号检测
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joes.2025.10.004
Zhaoxi Li , Yaan Li , Kai Zhang , HaoYang Lan , Tian Ma
Underwater target signal detection faces great challenges due to complex ocean noise and time-varying signal characteristics. In this paper, a novel hybrid framework combining fractional attentional entropy (FAE) and enhanced intrinsic time scale decomposition (EITD) is proposed to improve the robustness of feature extraction. FAE quantifies the signal complexity through fractional-order attentional mechanism while EITD adaptively decomposes the non-stationary components. The extracted features are fed into a decision tree (DT) classifier for six types of ship target recognition, which achieves an average accuracy of 98.86 % on a real-world dataset. Comparative experiments show that the proposed method is 19.05 % superior to the traditional intrinsic time scale decomposition (ITD) and dispersion entropy (DispEn). In addition, implementation with probabilistic neural network (PNN) shows that DT achieves excellent generalization with limited training samples (98.86 % vs. 97.05 % accuracy), and this research provides a theoretical basis for underwater weak target detection.
由于海洋噪声的复杂性和信号的时变特性,水下目标信号的检测面临着巨大的挑战。为了提高特征提取的鲁棒性,提出了一种结合分数注意熵(FAE)和增强内禀时间尺度分解(EITD)的混合框架。FAE通过分数阶注意机制量化信号复杂度,EITD自适应分解非平稳分量。将提取的特征输入到决策树分类器中,用于六种类型的船舶目标识别,在实际数据集上平均准确率达到98.86%。对比实验表明,该方法比传统的固有时间尺度分解(ITD)和色散熵(DispEn)方法提高了19.05%。此外,基于概率神经网络(PNN)的实现表明,DT算法在训练样本有限的情况下取得了很好的泛化效果(准确率为98.86% vs. 97.05%),为水下弱目标检测提供了理论基础。
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引用次数: 0
Data-driven predictive maintenance for two-stroke marine diesel engines using machine learning and MLOps 使用机器学习和MLOps的二冲程船用柴油机数据驱动的预测性维护
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joes.2025.11.011
Torsten Kirketerp-Møller , Mathias Wiggers Hyldgaard , Jie Cai, Aurelian-Ionut Dodis, Niels Gorm Maly Rytter
Digital ship operation is just around the corners with the rapid development of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) technologies. Real time condition monitoring and Predictive Maintenance (PdM) of marine diesel engines are crucial to realize the success of ship digital operations. The study investigates the PdM in two-stroke marine diesel engines using Machine Learning (ML) and Machine Learning Operations (MLOps) based on engine operational data. Practical data with labeled engine scuffing incidents are collected from a shipping company. The real scuffing incidents are predicted based on the expected operational behavior modeling method and a customized framework. Three case studies are conducted based on 2 different vessels for the purpose of model validations and further investigation. During the expected behavior modeling procedure, comparisons among different ML models accounting for various parameters (E.g., targets, operational features, moving average types and widths) are conducted and sensitivity studies are performed in order to identify the best solutions for engine PdM in shipping practice. Based on the study, the model effectiveness and efficiency are demonstrated and a limited generalization ability of the expected behavior modeling method with ML has been realized, which can facilitate the alarming and scheduling of maintenance events for vessels. The models and findings from this research work can be easily adapted for possible future use in ship operations.
随着人工智能(AI)和工业物联网(IIoT)技术的快速发展,船舶数字化运营指日可待。船用柴油机的实时状态监测和预测性维护是实现船舶数字化运营成功的关键。该研究利用基于发动机运行数据的机器学习(ML)和机器学习操作(MLOps)研究了二冲程船用柴油机的PdM。有标记的发动机磨损事件的实际数据是从一家航运公司收集的。基于预期操作行为建模方法和定制框架对实际磨损事件进行预测。基于2种不同的容器进行了3个案例研究,目的是验证模型并进一步研究。在预期行为建模过程中,对考虑各种参数(例如,目标、操作特征、移动平均类型和宽度)的不同ML模型进行比较,并进行敏感性研究,以确定船舶实践中发动机PdM的最佳解决方案。在此基础上,验证了模型的有效性和有效性,实现了基于机器学习的期望行为建模方法的有限泛化能力,为船舶维修事件的预警和调度提供了便利。这项研究工作的模型和结果可以很容易地适用于未来的船舶操作。
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引用次数: 0
Undulatory vs. gliding locomotion: Effects on underwater object detection 波动与滑动运动:对水下目标探测的影响
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joes.2025.11.012
Shixian Gong , Dixia Fan , Linlin Kang , Weicheng Cui
Underwater object detection based on flow sensing is crucial for bio-inspired robotics, due to its reliable performance in turbid environment. Nevertheless, how locomotion patterns affect sensing performance remains poorly understood. We employ numerical simulations to systematically compare flow sensing performance between two fundamental patterns, which are undulatory and gliding motions, through pressure signal analysis on a foil interacting with a stationary cylinder. The effects of different tail-beat frequencies and lateral distances are also considered. Key findings demonstrate that undulatory locomotion remarkably amplifies effective pressure signals, particularly at higher tail-beat frequencies, whereas gliding provides superior suppression of self-generated flow noise. Both locomotion patterns exhibit exponential signal attenuation with increasing lateral distance, though undulatory motion significantly extends the detection range. These findings propose a hybrid strategy: undulatory motion for long-range detection and gliding motion for high-precision perception. Flow analyses identify a characteristic counter-clockwise vortex structure induced by the cylinder, which directly correlates with the effective pressure signal. Spatiotemporal analysis of cylinder-induced flow perturbations demonstrates that undulatory motion substantially enhances the positive vorticity perturbations on the foil posterior, generating a more pronounced and spatially extended region of negative pressure perturbation. The study advances understanding of locomotion-modulated sensing and provides reliable guidance for bio-inspired robotic design on adaptive underwater navigation.
基于流量传感的水下目标检测对于仿生机器人至关重要,因为它在浑浊环境中具有可靠的性能。然而,运动模式如何影响感知性能仍然知之甚少。本文采用数值模拟的方法,通过对箔片与静止圆柱体相互作用的压力信号分析,系统地比较了波动运动和滑动运动两种基本运动模式的流量传感性能。还考虑了不同尾拍频率和横向距离的影响。主要研究结果表明,波动运动显著放大了有效压力信号,特别是在较高的尾拍频率下,而滑翔则能更好地抑制自生的流动噪声。随着横向距离的增加,两种运动模式都表现出指数级的信号衰减,尽管波动运动显著地扩展了检测范围。这些发现提出了一种混合策略:用于远距离探测的波动运动和用于高精度感知的滑动运动。通过流动分析,发现了一个典型的由气缸引起的逆时针旋涡结构,它与有效压力信号直接相关。对圆柱体诱导的流动扰动的时空分析表明,波动运动大大增强了后叶上的正涡度扰动,产生了一个更明显的空间扩展的负压扰动区域。该研究促进了对运动调制传感的理解,为仿生机器人自适应水下导航设计提供了可靠的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Performance analysis of two-body wave energy converters with a bistable mechanism and a mechanical motion rectifier in irregular waves 具有双稳机构和机械运动整流器的两体波能转换器在不规则波中的性能分析
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joes.2025.10.006
Zihe Chen , Xiantao Zhang , Lei Liu
Various bistable mechanisms have been extensively investigated in wave energy utilization. However, there is little application of their physical realization in two-body wave energy converters (WECs) suitable for offshore regions. Therefore, this work proposes a physical realization of a spring bistable mechanism (SBM). The spring bistable mechanism consists of a pair of pressure springs in series on each side and is integrated into the WEC with a power take-off (PTO) based on a mechanical motion rectifier. The system dynamic model in time domain is developed and validated by the bench test. The dynamic characteristics and performance of the integrated WEC in irregular waves are analyzed and compared for different WEC types, translational PTO damping, spring bistable stiffness and wave conditions. The passive control of the SBM is discussed to uncover the effect of the SBM on performance enhancement. The results suggest that the output power per displacement volume achieves 16.2W/m3 at the significant wave height of 0.1 m for the WaveBob type WEC, which is superior to that for the PowerBuoy type WEC. The output power is improved by a maximum ratio of 16.33 % for the WaveBob type WEC due to the large hydrostatic stiffness of the spar and adjustment of natural frequency of the torus by the SBM in inter-well state.
波浪能利用的各种双稳态机制已被广泛研究。然而,它们的物理实现在适用于近海地区的两体波能转换器(WECs)中的应用很少。因此,本工作提出了一种弹簧双稳态机构(SBM)的物理实现。弹簧双稳机构由两侧串联的一对压力弹簧组成,并通过基于机械运动整流器的功率输出(PTO)集成到WEC中。建立了系统的时域动力学模型,并通过台架试验进行了验证。分析和比较了不同WEC类型、平动PTO阻尼、弹簧双稳刚度和波浪条件下集成WEC在不规则波浪中的动态特性和性能。讨论了SBM的被动控制,揭示了SBM对性能增强的影响。结果表明,在有效波高为0.1 m时,WaveBob型WEC的单位排气量输出功率达到16.2W/m3,优于PowerBuoy型WEC。WaveBob型WEC的输出功率最大提高了16.33%,这是由于梁的静水刚度大,以及井间状态下SBM对环面固有频率的调节。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the mechanism and distribution characteristics of bubble generation in the bow of a research vessel 某考察船艏部气泡产生机理及分布特征研究
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joes.2025.12.021
Peng Xu , Zejun Liang , Yiwei Fan , Linfeng Chen , Jiafeng Wu
The flow around the ship bow involves complex three-dimensional flow separation, leading to the generation of a large number of bubbles. These bubbles have a significant impact on acoustic instrumentation, and mitigating their effects has become a key focus in the field. Central to this issue is understanding the bubble generation mechanism near the bow. This study investigates the generation of bubbles in the bow region through a combination of physical experiments and numerical simulations. Experiments were conducted in a wind-wave-current circulating flume under controlled laboratory conditions. Qualitative observations of bubble phenomena near the bow were carried out, complemented by numerical simulations to examine the statistical characteristics of bubble distribution. Two distinct types of bubble generation were identified in the experiments: air entrainment due to vortex formation and bubble clouds caused by wave breaking. The former is primarily influenced by hull geometry and the turbulence intensity of the incoming flow, whereas the latter is strongly affected by wave parameters and hull motion. Numerical simulations successfully reproduced bubble generation around the hull, revealing vortex entrainment and wave-breaking-induced bubble clouds. The bubble size–density distribution follows a power-law behavior, with the slope of the bubble density versus diameter distribution found to be -3.3.
船首绕流涉及复杂的三维流动分离,导致大量气泡的产生。这些气泡对声学仪器有重大影响,减轻它们的影响已成为该领域的重点。这个问题的核心是理解船头附近的气泡产生机制。本文采用物理实验和数值模拟相结合的方法研究了船首区域气泡的产生。实验在风浪-水流循环水槽中进行。对船首附近的气泡现象进行了定性观察,并辅以数值模拟来检验气泡分布的统计特征。实验中确定了两种不同类型的气泡产生:由于涡流形成的空气夹带和波浪破碎引起的气泡云。前者主要受船体几何形状和来流湍流强度的影响,而后者则受波浪参数和船体运动的强烈影响。数值模拟成功地再现了船体周围气泡的产生,揭示了涡流夹带和破波诱导的气泡云。气泡的大小-密度分布遵循幂律规律,气泡密度与直径分布的斜率为-3.3。
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引用次数: 0
Interpretable machine learning approach for AUV motion prediction based on lake-test data 基于湖泊测试数据的AUV运动预测的可解释机器学习方法
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joes.2025.11.002
Tianqi Pei , Caoyang Yu , Jinrong Zheng , He Zhang , Junjun Cao , Xianbo Xiang , Lian Lian
Interpretable models are essential for deploying deep-learning techniques in marine activities. However, the layered complexity of state-of-the-art deep-learning architectures hinders mechanistic insight and limits adoption. Here, we introduce a three-degree-of-freedom surrogate model that renders a multivariate long short-term memory network with multiple input and output channels (MIMO-LSTM) for autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) transparent and tractable. The surrogate is built on a least-squares support-vector machine selected for its superior approximation and generalization capacity. Benchmark manoeuvres show that the surrogate retains predictive fidelity up to 95.8% while accelerating inference by 98.6% relative to the parent MIMO-LSTM. Interpretable parameter-dependence plots quantify the contribution of individual variables and deliver mechanistically grounded, transparent forecasts of AUV manoeuvring dynamics.
可解释模型对于在海洋活动中部署深度学习技术至关重要。然而,最先进的深度学习架构的分层复杂性阻碍了机械洞察力并限制了采用。在这里,我们引入了一个三自由度代理模型,该模型为自主水下航行器(auv)提供了一个具有多输入和输出通道的多元长短期记忆网络(MIMO-LSTM)透明和易于处理。代理是建立在一个最小二乘支持向量机,选择其优越的近似和泛化能力。基准操作表明,代理保持预测保真度高达95.8%,同时加速推理相对于母体MIMO-LSTM的98.6%。可解释的参数依赖性图量化了单个变量的贡献,并提供了基于机械的、透明的AUV操纵动力学预测。
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引用次数: 0
A hybrid experimental investigation of structural parameter effects on 2-DOF vortex-induced vibrations of a circular cylinder 结构参数对圆柱二自由度涡激振动影响的混合实验研究
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joes.2025.11.006
Jiawei Shen , Shixiao Fu , Xuepeng Fu , Pengqian Deng , Zhibo Niu , Torgeir Moan
This study develops a two-degree-of-freedom (2-DOF) virtual physical framework (VPF) to investigate structural parameter effects on 2-DOF vortex-induced vibrations (VIV) of a circular cylinder. The framework ensures strictly planar vibrations with equal mass in both directions, while allowing flexible modification of m, damping ratio ζ, and natural frequency ratio fn under constant-Reynolds-number conditions. Results show that 2-DOF VIV exhibits a super-upper branch where the cross-flow (CF) amplitude is amplified compared with the 1-DOF case, and this amplification weakens as the mass ratio increases. At the same time, the in-line (IL) amplitude, synchronization range, and dominant frequency are reduced with increasing mass ratio. The phase difference increases gradually with reduced velocity (UR) and reaches its maximum at the CF amplitude peak. This maximum phase difference decreases as the mass ratio increases, and when UR further enters the lower branch, the phase difference drops to about 10°. Correspondingly, the trajectory evolves from right-opening figure-of-eight shapes to nearly straight CF-dominated lines as the IL response diminishes. The natural frequency ratio further alters the vibration features. At fn=0.5, both CF and IL vibrations are suppressed, whereas at fn=2.0, dual resonance occurs with amplified IL response, reversed asymmetric trajectories, and a pronounced third-harmonic component in lift force. Structural damping reduces both CF and IL amplitudes but has little effect on the dominant frequency. These findings provide necessary corrections to conclusions drawn from 1-DOF VIV and offer structural parameter references for engineering design.
本研究建立了一个二自由度(2-DOF)虚拟物理框架(VPF)来研究结构参数对圆柱体二自由度涡激振动(VIV)的影响。该框架确保在两个方向上具有相等质量的严格平面振动,同时允许在恒定雷诺数条件下灵活修改m∗,阻尼比ζ和固有频率比fn∗。结果表明:与1-DOF相比,2-DOF的VIV表现出一个超上分支,其中交叉流(CF)幅值被放大,且随着质量比的增加,这种放大减弱;同时,随质量比的增大,在线(IL)幅值、同步范围和主导频率减小。相位差随速度的减小而逐渐增大,并在CF幅值峰值处达到最大值。该最大相位差随着质量比的增大而减小,当UR进一步进入下支路时,相位差降至10°左右。相应地,随着IL响应的减弱,轨迹从右开的8字形形状演变为几乎笔直的cf主导线。固有频率比进一步改变了振动特性。当fn∗=0.5时,CF和IL振动都被抑制,而当fn∗=2.0时,双重共振发生,IL响应被放大,不对称轨迹被逆转,升力中出现明显的三次谐波分量。结构阻尼降低了CF和IL幅值,但对主导频率影响不大。这些结果为1-DOF VIV的结论提供了必要的修正,并为工程设计提供了结构参数参考。
{"title":"A hybrid experimental investigation of structural parameter effects on 2-DOF vortex-induced vibrations of a circular cylinder","authors":"Jiawei Shen ,&nbsp;Shixiao Fu ,&nbsp;Xuepeng Fu ,&nbsp;Pengqian Deng ,&nbsp;Zhibo Niu ,&nbsp;Torgeir Moan","doi":"10.1016/j.joes.2025.11.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.joes.2025.11.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study develops a two-degree-of-freedom (2-DOF) virtual physical framework (VPF) to investigate structural parameter effects on 2-DOF vortex-induced vibrations (VIV) of a circular cylinder. The framework ensures strictly planar vibrations with equal mass in both directions, while allowing flexible modification of <span><math><msup><mrow><mi>m</mi></mrow><mrow><mo>∗</mo></mrow></msup></math></span>, damping ratio <span><math><mi>ζ</mi></math></span>, and natural frequency ratio <span><math><msubsup><mrow><mi>f</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>n</mi></mrow><mrow><mo>∗</mo></mrow></msubsup></math></span> under constant-Reynolds-number conditions. Results show that 2-DOF VIV exhibits a super-upper branch where the cross-flow (CF) amplitude is amplified compared with the 1-DOF case, and this amplification weakens as the mass ratio increases. At the same time, the in-line (IL) amplitude, synchronization range, and dominant frequency are reduced with increasing mass ratio. The phase difference increases gradually with reduced velocity (<span><math><msub><mrow><mi>U</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>R</mi></mrow></msub></math></span>) and reaches its maximum at the CF amplitude peak. This maximum phase difference decreases as the mass ratio increases, and when <span><math><msub><mrow><mi>U</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>R</mi></mrow></msub></math></span> further enters the lower branch, the phase difference drops to about 10°. Correspondingly, the trajectory evolves from right-opening figure-of-eight shapes to nearly straight CF-dominated lines as the IL response diminishes. The natural frequency ratio further alters the vibration features. At <span><math><mrow><msubsup><mrow><mi>f</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>n</mi></mrow><mrow><mo>∗</mo></mrow></msubsup><mo>=</mo><mn>0</mn><mo>.</mo><mn>5</mn></mrow></math></span>, both CF and IL vibrations are suppressed, whereas at <span><math><mrow><msubsup><mrow><mi>f</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>n</mi></mrow><mrow><mo>∗</mo></mrow></msubsup><mo>=</mo><mn>2</mn><mo>.</mo><mn>0</mn></mrow></math></span>, dual resonance occurs with amplified IL response, reversed asymmetric trajectories, and a pronounced third-harmonic component in lift force. Structural damping reduces both CF and IL amplitudes but has little effect on the dominant frequency. These findings provide necessary corrections to conclusions drawn from 1-DOF VIV and offer structural parameter references for engineering design.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48514,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Ocean Engineering and Science","volume":"11 1","pages":"Pages 191-203"},"PeriodicalIF":11.8,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146102810","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Bayesian modeling for natural gas pipeline corrosion management 天然气管道腐蚀管理的贝叶斯建模
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MARINE Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.joes.2025.10.003
Nazila Adabavazeh , Mehrdad Nikbakht , Atefeh Amindoust , Sayed Ali Hassanzadeh-Tabrizi
Pipeline corrosion analysis is considered a challenging topic due to the complexity and uncertainty of the factors involved. The uncontrolled consequences of corrosion impact the "natural ecosystem, society, and economy." Investigating corrosion plays a crucial role in managing incidents. This paper aims to provide an effective management tool for predicting corrosion using Bayesian modeling. This study illustrates how to integrate Bayesian modeling with "incomplete data, scientific information in various formats, and expert knowledge," utilizing it effectively. Employing Netica software, a fault tree representing important elements affecting the natural gas transmission lines corrosion is converted into a cause-and-effect diagram of the Bayesian belief network. Natural gas transmission lines corrosion the model's output response is then analyzed after defining the relationships between these corrosion-affecting variables. The correlation between failures and corrosion is considered through a bivariate normal distribution as the likelihood function in the Bayesian update, and the model was validated using OpenBUGS software. In the next step, sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis were conducted in two industrial zones located in the central regions of the country. The final findings showed that the suggested model can produce accurate results for Corrosion monitoring systems in the Natural Gas Industry, providing an efficient approach to assess safety, quantitative risk analysis, and forming the basis for decisions aimed at averting pipeline episodes.
由于所涉及因素的复杂性和不确定性,管道腐蚀分析被认为是一个具有挑战性的课题。无法控制的腐蚀后果会影响“自然生态系统、社会和经济”。调查腐蚀在事故管理中起着至关重要的作用。本文旨在为使用贝叶斯模型预测腐蚀提供一种有效的管理工具。本研究说明了如何将贝叶斯建模与“不完整数据、各种格式的科学信息和专业知识”相结合,并有效地利用它。利用Netica软件,将影响天然气输电线腐蚀的重要因素的故障树转换为贝叶斯信念网络的因果关系图。在确定腐蚀影响变量之间的关系后,分析了天然气输电线腐蚀模型的输出响应。在贝叶斯更新中,采用二元正态分布作为似然函数考虑失效与腐蚀之间的相关性,并利用OpenBUGS软件对模型进行验证。下一步,对位于该国中部地区的两个工业区进行敏感性分析和情景分析。最后的研究结果表明,所建议的模型可以为天然气行业的腐蚀监测系统提供准确的结果,为评估安全性、定量风险分析提供了有效的方法,并为避免管道事故的决策奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Ocean Engineering and Science
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