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2021 Georisk best paper award, most cited paper award and best EBM award 2021 Georisk最佳论文奖、最受引用论文奖和最佳EBM奖
IF 4.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/17499518.2022.2123175
Limin Zhang
The editors are pleased to present Best Paper Award 2021 for Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards to Michael P. Crisp, Mark B. Jaksa & Yien L. Kuo for their paper entitled “Characterising site investigation performance in multiple-layer soils and soil lenses” published in Georisk in 2021, Vol. 15, No. 3, pp. 196–208. This award was established in 2011 and is bestowed annually upon the author(s) of the best paper, on the basis of its technical merit, published in Georisk over the year. Nominations for this award are solicited from the editorial board members, the managing editors, and the advisory board members of Georisk. The decision is made by the managing editors. The editors are also pleased to present Georisk Most Cited Paper Award 2021 to Wengang Zhang, Chongzhi Wu, Yongqin Li, Lin Wang & P. Samui for their paper “Assessment of pile drivability using random forest regression and multivariate adaptive regression splines” published in Georisk in 2021, Vol. 15, No. 1, pp. 27–40. This paper is most cited among the papers published in Georisk during 2018–2022, reflecting the intense attention readers pay to data-driven methods. The papers published in Georisk have made a profound impact on the assessment and management of risks for engineered systems and geohazards. We launched “Georisk Most Cited Paper Award” in 2017 to recognise the contributions of the authors whose papers were highly cited. This award is given annually, selected based on rolling 5-year Scopus citations, with judgement from the managing editors. Georisk received nearly 200 manuscripts in 2021. The responsibility of timely reviewing these submissions falls on the shoulder of all the editors and editorial board members (EBMs). To recognise the contributions of our EBMs, a new award “Georisk Best EBM Award” was launched in 2021. The editors are pleased to present “Georisk Best EBM Award 2021” to Prof Jia-Jyun Dong of National Central University, who handled 5 manuscripts with decisions in the past year. We would like to congratulate the recipients of the Georisk Best Paper Award, Most Cited Paper Award, and Best EBM Award.
编辑们很高兴向Michael P.Crisp、Mark B.Jaksa和Yien L.Kuo颁发2021年地质风险:工程系统和地质灾害风险评估和管理最佳论文奖,以表彰他们在《地质风险》2021年第15卷第3期第196–208页发表的题为“多层土壤和土壤透镜体中的现场调查性能表征”的论文。该奖项设立于2011年,每年根据其在《地质风险》杂志上发表的技术成就授予最佳论文的作者。该奖项的提名来自Georisk的编辑委员会成员、总编辑和咨询委员会成员。这个决定是由总编辑做出的。编辑们还很高兴向张文刚、吴崇志、李永勤、王林和苏梅颁发2021年地质风险最受引用论文奖,表彰他们在《地质风险》2021年第15卷第1期第27-40页发表的论文“使用随机森林回归和多元自适应回归样条评估桩的可钻性”。这篇论文在2018年至2022年发表在《地质风险》杂志上的论文中被引用最多,反映了读者对数据驱动方法的高度关注。发表在《地质风险》杂志上的论文对工程系统和地质灾害的风险评估和管理产生了深远影响。2017年,我们推出了“Georisk最受引用论文奖”,以表彰论文被高度引用的作者的贡献。该奖项每年颁发一次,根据5年的Scopus引文滚动评选,由总编辑评判。Georisk在2021年收到了近200份手稿。及时审查这些意见书的责任落在所有编辑和编辑委员会成员的肩上。为了表彰我们EBM的贡献,2021年推出了一个新奖项“Georisk最佳EBM奖”。编辑们很高兴向中央大学的贾云东教授颁发“2021年Georisk最佳EBM奖”,他在过去一年中处理了5份有决定权的手稿。我们要祝贺Georisk最佳论文奖、最受引用论文奖和最佳EBM奖的获得者。
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引用次数: 0
John T. Christian (1936–2022) 约翰·t·克里斯蒂安(1936-2022)
IF 4.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/17499518.2022.2101182
Shirin C. Samiljan, D. Christian, G. Baecher
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Faster-Than-Real-Time (FTRT) Tsunami Simulations for the Spanish Tsunami Warning System for the Atlantic 西班牙大西洋海啸预警系统的超实时(FTRT)海啸模拟分析
IF 4.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.3390/geohazards3030019
B. Gaite, J. Macías, J. Cantavella, C. Sánchez-Linares, Carlos González, Luis Carlos Puertas
Real-time local tsunami warnings embody uncertainty from unknowns in the source definition within the first minutes after the tsunami generates. In general, Tsunami Warning Systems (TWS) provide a quick estimate for tsunami action from deterministic simulations of a single event. In this study, variability in tsunami source parameters has been included by running 135 tsunami simulations; besides this, four different computational domains in the northeastern Atlantic ocean have been considered, resulting in 540 simulations associated with a single event. This was done for tsunamis generated by earthquakes in the Gulf of Cadiz with impact in the western Iberian peninsula and the Canary Islands. A first answer is provided after one minute, and 7 min are required to perform all the simulations in the four computational domains. The fast computation allows alert levels all along the coast to be incorporated into the Spanish National Tsunami Early Warning System. The main findings are that the use of a set of scenarios that account for the uncertainty in source parameters can produce higher tsunami warnings in certain coastal areas than those obtained from a single deterministic reference scenario. Therefore, this work shows that considering uncertainties in tsunami source parameters helps to avoid possible tsunami warning level underestimations. Furthermore, this study demonstrates that this is possible to do in real time in an actual TWS with the use of high-performance computing resources.
实时本地海啸预警体现了海啸发生后最初几分钟内源定义中未知因素的不确定性。一般来说,海啸预警系统(TWS)通过对单个事件的确定性模拟,提供对海啸作用的快速估计。在本研究中,通过运行135次海啸模拟,纳入了海啸震源参数的变化;除此之外,还考虑了大西洋东北部的四个不同的计算域,得出了与单个事件相关的540次模拟。这是针对加的斯湾地震引发的海啸所做的研究,海啸影响了伊比利亚半岛西部和加那利群岛。1分钟后给出第一个答案,完成四个计算域的所有模拟需要7分钟。快速的计算使得沿海岸的警报级别被纳入西班牙国家海啸预警系统。主要发现是,在某些沿海地区,使用一组考虑到震源参数不确定性的情景可以产生比单一确定性参考情景更高的海啸警报。因此,本研究表明,考虑海啸震源参数的不确定性有助于避免可能的海啸预警级别低估。此外,本研究表明,在使用高性能计算资源的实际TWS中,这是可以实时完成的。
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引用次数: 1
Early identification of potential loess landslide using convolutional neural networks with skip connection: a case study in northwest Lvliang City, Shanxi Province, China 基于跳跃连接的卷积神经网络在黄土滑坡早期识别中的应用——以山西吕梁西北地区为例
IF 4.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-22 DOI: 10.1080/17499518.2022.2088803
Jianfeng Wu, Yanrong Li, Shuai Zhang, Joachim Chris Junior Oualembo Mountou
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引用次数: 3
Systematic Comparison of Tsunami Simulations on the Chilean Coast Based on Different Numerical Approaches 基于不同数值方法的智利海岸海啸模拟的系统比较
IF 4.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.3390/geohazards3020018
S. Harig, N. Zamora, A. Gubler, N. Rakowsky
Tsunami inundation estimates are of crucial importance to hazard and risk assessments. In the context of tsunami forecast, numerical simulations are becoming more feasible with the growth of computational power. Uncertainties regarding source determination within the first minutes after a tsunami generation might be a major concern in the issuing of an appropriate warning on the coast. However, it is also crucial to investigate differences emerging from the chosen algorithms for the tsunami simulations due to a dependency of the outcomes on the suitable model settings. In this study, we compare the tsunami inundation in three cities in central Chile (Coquimbo, Viña del Mar, and Valparaíso) using three different models (TsunAWI, Tsunami-HySEA, COMCOT) while varying the parameters such as bottom friction. TsunAWI operates on triangular meshes with variable resolution, whereas the other two codes use nested grids for the coastal area. As initial conditions of the experiments, three seismic sources (2010 Mw 8.8 Maule, 2015 Mw 8.3 Coquimbo, and 1730 Mw 9.1 Valparaíso) are considered for the experiments. Inundation areas are determined with high-resolution topo-bathymetric datasets based on specific wetting and drying implementations of the numerical models. We compare each model’s results and sensitivities with respect to parameters such as bottom friction and bathymetry representation in the varying mesh geometries. The outcomes show consistent estimates for the nearshore wave amplitude of the leading wave crest based on identical seismic source models within the codes. However, with respect to inundation, we show high sensitivity to Manning values where a non-linear behaviour is difficult to predict. Differences between the relative decrease in inundation areas and the Manning n-range (0.015–0.060) are high (11–65%), with a strong dependency on the characterization of the local topo-bathymery in the Coquimbo and Valparaíso areas. Since simulations carried out with such models are used to generate hazard estimates and warning products in an early tsunami warning context, it is crucial to investigate differences that emerge from the chosen algorithms for the tsunami simulations.
海啸淹没估计对灾害和风险评估至关重要。在海啸预报中,随着计算能力的提高,数值模拟变得越来越可行。海啸发生后最初几分钟内确定震源的不确定性,可能是在海岸发出适当警报时的一个主要关切。然而,由于结果依赖于合适的模型设置,研究海啸模拟所选择的算法所产生的差异也是至关重要的。在这项研究中,我们使用三种不同的模型(TsunAWI、tsunami - hysea、COMCOT),在改变底部摩擦等参数的情况下,比较了智利中部三个城市(科金博、Viña del Mar和Valparaíso)的海啸淹没情况。TsunAWI在可变分辨率的三角形网格上运行,而其他两个代码则在沿海地区使用嵌套网格。实验以2010 Mw 8.8 Maule、2015 Mw 8.3 Coquimbo和1730 Mw 9.1 Valparaíso三个震源作为实验初始条件。淹没区域是通过基于数值模型具体的湿润和干燥实现的高分辨率地形水深数据集确定的。我们比较了每个模型的结果和灵敏度,以及不同网格几何形状下的底部摩擦和水深表示等参数。结果表明,基于规范内相同震源模型的前波峰近岸波幅估计一致。然而,就淹没而言,我们显示出对曼宁值的高度敏感性,其中非线性行为难以预测。淹没面积的相对减少量与Manning n-range(0.015-0.060)之间的差异很大(11-65%),这与Coquimbo和Valparaíso地区的地形水深特征有很大的关系。由于使用这些模型进行的模拟用于在海啸早期预警背景下产生危害估计和预警产品,因此研究海啸模拟所选择算法所产生的差异至关重要。
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引用次数: 3
Improved landslide susceptibility mapping using unsupervised and supervised collaborative machine learning models 使用无监督和有监督的协作机器学习模型改进滑坡易感性映射
IF 4.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-19 DOI: 10.1080/17499518.2022.2088802
Chenxu Su, Bijiao Wang, Yunhong Lv, Mingpeng Zhang, Da-lei Peng, B. Bate, Shuai Zhang
ABSTRACT Datasets containing recorded landslide and non-landslide samples can greatly influence the performance of machine learning (ML) models, which are commonly used in landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM). However, the non-landslide samples cannot be directly obtained. In this study, a pattern-based approach is proposed to improve the LSM process, constructing unsupervised machine learning (UML) – supervised machine learning (SML) collaborative models in which the non-landslide samples can be reasonably selected. Two UML models, the Gaussian mixture model (GMM) and K-means, are introduced to sample the non-landslide datasets with four sampling selections (abbreviated as A, B, C and D, respectively). Then non-landslide patterns recognised by the UML models are learned by the random forest (RF). A new sensitivity index, accuracy improvement ratio (AIR), is defined to evaluate the superiority of these sampling selections. Compared with the GMM-RF model, the K-means-RF model is more capable of recognising non-landslide patterns and providing sufficient and reliable non-landslide samples. The sampling selection A of the K-means-RF with an AIR value of 2.3 is regarded as the best selection. The results indicate that the UML-SML model based on the pattern-based approach offers an effective strategy to find the non-landslide samples and has a better solution to the LSM.
包含记录的滑坡和非滑坡样本的数据集可以极大地影响机器学习(ML)模型的性能,机器学习(ML)模型通常用于滑坡敏感性制图(LSM)。而非滑坡样不能直接获得。在本研究中,提出了一种基于模式的方法来改进LSM过程,构建无监督机器学习(UML) -监督机器学习(SML)协作模型,该模型可以合理选择非滑坡样本。引入高斯混合模型(GMM)和K-means两种UML模型,对四种抽样选择(分别缩写为A、B、C和D)的非滑坡数据集进行抽样。然后由UML模型识别的非滑坡模式由随机森林(RF)学习。定义了一个新的灵敏度指标——准确度改进比(AIR)来评价这些采样选择的优越性。与GMM-RF模型相比,K-means-RF模型对非滑坡模式的识别能力更强,能够提供充足、可靠的非滑坡样本。将AIR值为2.3的K-means-RF的抽样选择A视为最佳选择。结果表明,基于模式方法的UML-SML模型为寻找非滑坡样本提供了一种有效的策略,能够较好地解决LSM问题。
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引用次数: 11
Future of machine learning in geotechnics 机器学习在岩土工程中的未来
IF 4.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-16 DOI: 10.1080/17499518.2022.2087884
K. Phoon, Wenpeng Zhang
ABSTRACT Machine learning (ML) is widely used in many industries, resulting in recent interests to explore ML in geotechnical engineering. Past review papers focus mainly on ML algorithms while this paper advocates an agenda to put data at the core, to develop novel algorithms that are effective for geotechnical data (existing and new), to address the needs of current practice, to exploit new opportunities from emerging technologies or to meet new needs from digital transformation, and to take advantage of current knowledge and accumulated experience. This agenda is called data-centric geotechnics and it contains three core elements: data centricity, fit for (and transform) practice, and geotechnical context. The future of machine learning in geotechnics should be envisioned with this “data first practice central” agenda in mind. Data-driven site characterization (DDSC) is an active research topic in this agenda because an understanding of the ground is crucial in all projects. Examples of DDSC challenges are ugly data and explainable site recognition. Additional challenges include making ML indispensable (ML supremacy), learning how to learn (meta-learning), and becoming smart (digital twin).
机器学习在许多行业中得到了广泛的应用,近年来人们对机器学习在岩土工程中的应用产生了浓厚的兴趣。过去的综述论文主要关注ML算法,而本文主张将数据置于核心,开发对岩土数据有效的新算法(现有和新的),满足当前实践的需求,利用新兴技术的新机会或满足数字化转型的新需求,并利用现有知识和积累的经验。该议程被称为以数据为中心的岩土工程,它包含三个核心要素:以数据为核心、适合(和转换)实践以及岩土工程背景。岩土工程中机器学习的未来应该考虑到这一“数据优先实践中心”议程。数据驱动的站点表征(DDSC)是本议程中一个活跃的研究主题,因为对地面的了解在所有项目中都至关重要。DDSC挑战的例子是丑陋的数据和可解释的站点识别。其他挑战包括让ML变得不可或缺(ML至上)、学习如何学习(元学习)和变得聪明(数字孪生)。
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引用次数: 59
Reliability-based optimization in climate-adaptive design of embedded footing 基于可靠性的嵌入式基础气候适应性设计优化
IF 4.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-13 DOI: 10.1080/17499518.2022.2088801
V. Mahmoudabadi, N. Ravichandran
ABSTRACT This paper presents a quantitative framework to optimise embedded footing performance subjected to extreme historical climate events with respect to the uncertainties associated with site-specific soil and climatic parameters. The proposed framework is developed based on partially saturated soil mechanics principles in conjunction with a multi-objective optimisation algorithm called Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II) to develop a robust optimised design procedure. The proposed method was applied to two semi-arid climate sites, Riverside and Victorville, both situated in California, United States. The results show that the proposed method generally improves the embedded footing design compared to conventional methods in terms of cost and performance. Based on the findings, under the extreme climate conditions, the proposed method estimates the average soil degree of saturation within the footing influence zone between 52% and 95%, with a mean value of 63.1% for the Victorville site, and 57% and 90% with a mean value of 81.6% for the site in Riverside. It is also found that the optimal design from the proposed method shows a lower total construction cost, 44% and 19%, for the Victorville and Riverside sites, respectively, compared to the ones designed by the conventional methods.
本文提出了一个定量框架,以优化受极端历史气候事件影响的嵌入式基础性能,考虑与场地特定土壤和气候参数相关的不确定性。提出的框架是基于部分饱和土力学原理,结合称为非主导排序遗传算法(NSGA-II)的多目标优化算法开发的,以开发稳健的优化设计程序。所提出的方法被应用于两个半干旱气候地点,河滨和维克多维尔,都位于美国加利福尼亚州。结果表明,与传统方法相比,该方法在成本和性能方面总体上改善了嵌入式基础设计。根据研究结果,在极端气候条件下,本文方法估计的立基影响区内土壤平均饱和度在52% ~ 95%之间,其中Victorville场地的平均值为63.1%,Riverside场地的平均值为57% ~ 90%,平均值为81.6%。研究还发现,与传统方法设计的站点相比,采用该方法设计的Victorville和Riverside站点的总施工成本分别降低了44%和19%。
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引用次数: 1
Use of Neural Networks for Tsunami Maximum Height and Arrival Time Predictions 利用神经网络预测海啸最大高度和到达时间
IF 4.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-13 DOI: 10.3390/geohazards3020017
Juan F. Rodríguez, J. Macías, M. Castro, Marc de la Asunción, C. Sánchez-Linares
Operational TEWS play a key role in reducing tsunami impact on populated coastal areas around the world in the event of an earthquake-generated tsunami. Traditionally, these systems in the NEAM region have relied on the implementation of decision matrices. The very short arrival times of the tsunami waves from generation to impact in this region have made it not possible to use real-time on-the-fly simulations to produce more accurate alert levels. In these cases, when time restriction is so demanding, an alternative to the use of decision matrices is the use of datasets of precomputed tsunami scenarios. In this paper we propose the use of neural networks to predict the tsunami maximum height and arrival time in the context of TEWS. Different neural networks were trained to solve these problems. Additionally, ensemble techniques were used to obtain better results.
在发生地震引起的海啸时,TEWS在减少海啸对世界各地人口稠密的沿海地区的影响方面发挥着关键作用。传统上,NEAM地区的这些系统依赖于决策矩阵的实现。在该地区,海啸波从产生到产生影响的时间非常短,因此不可能使用实时动态模拟来产生更准确的警报级别。在这些情况下,当时间限制如此苛刻时,使用决策矩阵的替代方案是使用预先计算的海啸情景的数据集。本文提出在TEWS环境下,利用神经网络预测海啸最大高度和到达时间。不同的神经网络被训练来解决这些问题。此外,采用集成技术获得了更好的结果。
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引用次数: 3
Probabilistic back analysis for rainfall-induced slope failure using MLS-SVR and Bayesian analysis 基于MLS-SVR和贝叶斯分析的降雨诱发边坡破坏概率反分析
IF 4.8 3区 工程技术 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-06 DOI: 10.1080/17499518.2022.2084555
Himanshu Rana, G. S. Sivakumar Babu
{"title":"Probabilistic back analysis for rainfall-induced slope failure using MLS-SVR and Bayesian analysis","authors":"Himanshu Rana, G. S. Sivakumar Babu","doi":"10.1080/17499518.2022.2084555","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17499518.2022.2084555","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48524,"journal":{"name":"Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2022-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44827785","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
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Georisk-Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards
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