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Enhanced structural health monitoring of ageing Pratt truss bridges: a combined approach of static and dynamic measurements 加强老化普拉特桁架桥的结构健康监测:静态和动态测量相结合的方法
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1007/s13349-024-00850-5
Anis Shafiqah Azhar, Sakhiah Abdul Kudus, Adiza Jamadin, Shaiful Amir Leman

The application of SHM has been broadened to the issues of preserving existing bridges, which are subjected to many years of usage and exposure to environmental factors. This paper aims to demonstrate the effectiveness of SHM in the maintenance and management of ageing structures, specifically a Pratt-truss steel bridge in Malaysia. The research combines static and dynamic methodologies to describe the ancient bridge’s serviceability. Operational modal analysis and FE analysis were first used to evaluate the structure's inherent frequencies and mode shapes, followed by a successful sensitivity-based model updating method. Next, static measurements were automated using displacement and strain data to evaluate the bridge’s condition. According to the study, the first four crucial bending and torsion modes for the ageing steel truss bridge occur between 4 and 29 Hz. Since the two approaches yield different MAC values and frequencies, employing a sensitivity analysis and model update procedure has become necessary. The frequency reference generated with EN1991-2:2003 bridge frequency constraints was then used to determine the bridge’s integrity, concluding that the bridge is safe and functional. Finally, the static analysis findings showed that the bridge is in a safe service condition regarding its deflection limit and strain limit.

SHM 的应用范围已扩大到现有桥梁的维护问题,这些桥梁已使用多年,并暴露在环境因素中。本文旨在展示 SHM 在老化结构维护和管理中的有效性,特别是马来西亚的一座普拉特桁架钢桥。研究结合了静态和动态方法来描述古桥的适用性。首先使用运行模态分析和 FE 分析来评估结构的固有频率和模态振型,然后采用基于灵敏度的模型更新方法。接下来,利用位移和应变数据自动进行静态测量,以评估桥梁的状况。研究结果表明,老化钢桁架桥的前四个关键弯曲和扭转模态发生在 4 到 29 Hz 之间。由于两种方法产生的 MAC 值和频率不同,因此有必要采用敏感性分析和模型更新程序。然后,使用 EN1991-2:2003 桥梁频率约束条件生成的频率参考值来确定桥梁的完整性,得出的结论是桥梁是安全和正常的。最后,静态分析结果表明,就其挠度极限和应变极限而言,桥梁处于安全的使用状态。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis and validation of theoretical equations for a seismic isolation system with a multi-level friction damper 多级摩擦阻尼器隔震系统理论方程的分析与验证
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1007/s13349-024-00838-1
Chia-Shang Chang Chien, Lyan-Ywan Lu, Shan-Ru Chen, Mei-Ting Guo

Traditional seismic isolation structures perform poorly due to the impact of velocity pulses from near-field seismic waves. A conical friction pendulum isolator (CFPI) is a variable-curvature seismic isolation system, which can mitigate the resonance effect produced in seismic isolation structures by the velocity pulses of long-period near-field seismic waves. A multi-level friction damper (MFD) has a multistage energy dissipation mechanism and has been proven to have excellent shock absorption effects in structures for earthquakes of different intensities. Therefore, the present study integrated an MFD into a CFPI to develop a seismic isolation system (CFPI + MFD system) with improved safety under near-field seismic waves. Theoretical equations were established for this system to enable numerical simulation analysis. According to the results of numerical simulation analysis, the designed CFPI + MFD system has an excellent seismic isolation effect, whether under near-field seismic waves or large earthquakes. To verify the accuracy of the numerical simulation results, this study performed a shaking table test for a single-degree-of-freedom (SDOF) structure with the designed seismic isolation system. Experimental data derived from the shaking table test and the results of numerical simulation analysis were used to conduct fitting of the superstructure acceleration, base sliding displacement, and hysteresis loop data. The fitting results indicated that the numerical and experimental superstructure acceleration, base sliding displacement, and hysteresis loops exhibited a good fit, which validated the accuracy of the theoretical equations formulated in this study.

由于受到近场地震波速度脉冲的影响,传统的隔震结构性能较差。锥形摩擦摆隔震器 (CFPI) 是一种变曲率隔震系统,可减轻长周期近场地震波速度脉冲对隔震结构产生的共振效应。多级摩擦阻尼器(MFD)具有多级消能机制,在不同烈度的地震中被证明对结构具有良好的减震效果。因此,本研究将多级摩擦阻尼器集成到 CFPI 中,开发出一种在近场地震波下安全性更高的隔震系统(CFPI + MFD 系统)。为该系统建立了理论方程,以便进行数值模拟分析。根据数值模拟分析的结果,所设计的 CFPI + MFD 系统无论是在近场地震波还是大地震下都具有极佳的隔震效果。为了验证数值模拟结果的准确性,本研究对采用所设计隔震系统的单自由度(SDOF)结构进行了振动台试验。利用振动台试验得出的实验数据和数值模拟分析结果,对上部结构加速度、基座滑动位移和滞后环数据进行了拟合。拟合结果表明,上部结构加速度、底座滑动位移和滞后环的数值拟合与实验拟合效果良好,验证了本研究制定的理论方程的准确性。
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引用次数: 0
An improved multi-task approach for SHM missing data reconstruction using attentive neural process and meta-learning 使用注意神经过程和元学习的 SHM 缺失数据重建多任务改进方法
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1007/s13349-024-00848-z
Jing-Yu Zhao, Guan-Sen Dong, Yaozhi Luo, Hua-Ping Wan

Missing data due to sensor or transmission failures pose a significant challenge in structural health monitoring (SHM) systems, and data reconstruction methods can effectively address the missing data problem. Most of the traditional approaches typically focus on single-task data reconstruction, requiring repeated applications for each sensor and increasing computational cost. To address this issue, in this paper, we propose a probabilistic deep learning-based approach for multi-task data reconstruction. The multi-task data reconstruction is achieved by a probabilistic learning-based attentive neural process network (ANPN) that uses a common implicit data-driven kernel to learn the relationships among sensors. The meta-learning strategy is employed to train the common kernel in the ANPN. The attention mechanism is incorporated to further improve the reconstruction accuracy by enhancing the learning of the relationship between missing data and observed data. The effectiveness of the proposed ANPN is evaluated using the simulation data from a square pyramid space grid and the field data acquired from the Xiong’an Railway Station. The results show that the proposed ANPN can accurately reconstruct the missing data from multiple sensors within a second, underscoring its computational efficiency and accuracy. Furthermore, the influence of critical parameters (i.e., network depth, feature size, attention mechanism, and data loss ratio) on the reconstruction accuracy and efficiency is comprehensively investigated, and the optimal parameter settings are suggested.

传感器或传输故障导致的数据缺失是结构健康监测(SHM)系统面临的一大挑战,而数据重建方法可以有效解决数据缺失问题。大多数传统方法通常侧重于单任务数据重建,需要对每个传感器进行重复应用,增加了计算成本。针对这一问题,本文提出了一种基于概率深度学习的多任务数据重建方法。多任务数据重构是通过基于概率学习的殷勤神经过程网络(ANPN)来实现的,该网络使用共同的隐式数据驱动内核来学习传感器之间的关系。ANPN 采用元学习策略来训练通用核。通过加强对缺失数据和观测数据之间关系的学习,引入注意力机制进一步提高了重构精度。利用方形金字塔空间网格的模拟数据和雄安火车站的实地数据,对所提出的 ANPN 的有效性进行了评估。结果表明,所提出的 ANPN 可以在一秒钟内准确地重建多个传感器的缺失数据,突出了其计算效率和准确性。此外,还全面研究了关键参数(即网络深度、特征大小、关注机制和数据丢失率)对重建精度和效率的影响,并提出了最佳参数设置建议。
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引用次数: 0
Automated bridge analysis based on computer vision and improved finite cell method 基于计算机视觉和改进有限单元法的自动桥梁分析
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1007/s13349-024-00844-3
Feiyu Wang, Chenhao Gao, Jian Zhang

Finite element method (FEM) is one of the essential means of structural analysis. However, the existing finite element modelling relies on manual and design drawings. Therefore, this study proposes an automated method for the numerical analysis of in-service bridges represented by point clouds. The proposed method includes two main innovations: first, an improved finite cell method (FCM) is introduced to generate finite element meshes from point clouds directly. This method eliminates the need for intricate computations involving uniformly distributed grid points as division criteria, significantly reducing the modelling time. Second, to overcome FCM’s limitations in handling structures with multiple material properties, this paper introduces a combination of a three-way topological relationship determination method (TRDM) and RandLA-Net. This approach automatically classifies material properties at integration points within the bridge structure’s physical domain. A model of an arch bridge is subjected to indoor experiments. Through comparative experimentation and ANSYS outcomes, proposed method demonstrates a level of precision akin to that of conventional modelling approaches.

有限元法(FEM)是结构分析的重要手段之一。然而,现有的有限元建模依赖于人工和设计图纸。因此,本研究提出了一种对以点云为代表的在役桥梁进行数值分析的自动化方法。该方法主要有两个创新点:首先,引入了一种改进的有限单元法(FCM),可直接从点云生成有限元网格。这种方法无需以均匀分布的网格点作为划分标准进行复杂的计算,从而大大缩短了建模时间。其次,为了克服 FCM 在处理具有多种材料属性的结构时的局限性,本文引入了三向拓扑关系确定方法 (TRDM) 和 RandLA-Net 的组合。这种方法可自动对桥梁结构物理域内各集成点的材料属性进行分类。对拱桥模型进行了室内实验。通过对比实验和 ANSYS 结果,所提出的方法显示出与传统建模方法类似的精度水平。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of environmental factors on modal identification of a hydroelectric dam’s hollow-gravity concrete block 环境因素对水电站大坝空心重力混凝土块模态识别的影响
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1007/s13349-024-00828-3
Yeny V. Ardila-Ardila, Iván D. Gómez-Araújo, Jesús D. Villalba-Morales, Luis A. Aracayo

Dams are a type of civil infrastructure that can directly impact people’s well-being, as their function is energy production, flood control, or water supply. Therefore, it is worth generating strategies to assess its current condition, since structural changes may occur during its useful life. One highly effective approach for evaluating the structural integrity of dams involves monitoring alterations in modal parameters. This method enables the identification of abnormal changes that may arise from structural degradation. Numerous studies have revealed the strong influence of environmental factors on modal parameters, resulting in variations unrelated to structural damage. This paper investigates the effects of environmental factors such as upstream water level and air temperature on the temporal evolution of the identified modal parameters of a hydroelectric dam’s hollow-gravity concrete block. Modal identification is performed through an automatic procedure of estimating modal parameters to 30-min acceleration time series over 3 years of operation. Correlation analysis reveals a distinct relationship between the identified modal parameters and environmental factors. Changes in air temperature exhibit a direct proportional impact on natural frequencies, while fluctuations of the upstream level have an inverse effect. Furthermore, a time lag was observed in the natural frequencies concerning air temperature. Multiple linear regressions were fitted to mitigate the induced effects, incorporating as predictors the upstream water level and the averages of air temperature segments measured prior to the predicted frequency. A reduction in variability of more than 50% was achieved in an out-of-sample 8-month period for the modes linked to the natural frequencies most influenced by environmental factors.

水坝是一种民用基础设施,可直接影响人们的福祉,因为其功能是能源生产、防洪或供水。因此,值得制定策略来评估其当前状况,因为在其使用寿命期间,结构可能会发生变化。评估大坝结构完整性的一个非常有效的方法是监测模态参数的变化。这种方法可以识别结构退化可能导致的异常变化。大量研究表明,环境因素对模态参数有很大影响,导致与结构损坏无关的变化。本文研究了上游水位和气温等环境因素对水电站大坝空心重力混凝土块已识别模态参数的时间演变的影响。模态识别是通过对运行 3 年的 30 分钟加速度时间序列进行模态参数估计的自动程序实现的。相关分析表明,确定的模态参数与环境因素之间存在明显的关系。空气温度的变化对自然频率有直接的比例影响,而上游水位的波动则有反向影响。此外,还观察到自然频率与气温之间存在时间差。为了减轻诱导效应,我们采用了多重线性回归法,将上游水位和预测频率之前测量的气温段平均值作为预测因子。在样本外的 8 个月时间里,与受环境因素影响最大的自然频率相关联的模式的变异性降低了 50%以上。
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引用次数: 0
Time-Transformer for acoustic leak detection in water distribution network 用于配水管网声波泄漏检测的时变器
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1007/s13349-024-00845-2
Rongsheng Liu, Tarek Zayed, Rui Xiao, Qunfang Hu

Accurate leak detection for water distribution networks (WDNs) is a critical task to minimize water loss and ensure efficient infrastructure management. Machine learning (ML) algorithms have demonstrated significant potential in establishing effective acoustic leak detection systems. However, the utilization of time-series models, specifically designed to handle sequential signals, in the field of water leak detection remains relatively unexplored, and there is a lack of research discussing their applicability in this context. Therefore, this study introduces a novel approach for precise leak detection in WDNs using a Time-Transformer model, which effectively captures long-range dependencies through self-attention mechanisms, enabling it to outperform other time-series models. This study conducted field experiments on WDNs in Hong Kong to demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed approach in accurately detecting leaks. The model structure is optimized through parametric experiments. Besides, leak detection and t-SNE results highlight the model's significant potential to enhance leak detection in WDNs compared to 1D-CNN and CNN–LSTM. The proposed Transformer-based model shows significant potential in advancing leak detection in WDNs, improving accuracy and precision, and supporting efficient water management.

配水管网(WDN)的精确检漏是一项关键任务,可最大限度地减少水资源损失,确保高效的基础设施管理。机器学习(ML)算法在建立有效的声学漏水检测系统方面已显示出巨大的潜力。然而,在漏水检测领域,专门用于处理连续信号的时间序列模型的应用仍相对欠缺,也缺乏对其适用性的研究讨论。因此,本研究介绍了一种使用时间变换器模型在 WDN 中进行精确漏水检测的新方法,该模型通过自我注意机制有效捕捉长程依赖关系,使其优于其他时间序列模型。这项研究在香港的 WDN 上进行了现场实验,以证明所提出的方法在准确检测泄漏方面的卓越性能。通过参数实验优化了模型结构。此外,与 1D-CNN 和 CNN-LSTM 相比,泄漏检测和 t-SNE 结果凸显了该模型在增强 WDN 泄漏检测方面的巨大潜力。所提出的基于变压器的模型在推进 WDN 中的泄漏检测、提高准确度和精确度以及支持高效水资源管理方面显示出了巨大的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Space-borne DInSAR measurements exploitation for risk classification of bridge networks 利用星载 DInSAR 测量对桥梁网络进行风险分类
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1007/s13349-024-00832-7
Andrea Miano, Annalisa Mele, Michela Silla, Manuela Bonano, Pasquale Striano, Riccardo Lanari, Marco Di Ludovico, Andrea Prota

Existing bridges constitute essential infrastructures of land transport and communications routes worldwide. They are often outdated and vulnerable; for this reason, monitoring and safety should be ensured for their use. The reduced economic and technical resources lead to the necessity of defining intelligent monitoring strategies for the preliminary classification of the infrastructures to establish an order of priority for executing more in-depth checks, verifications, and interventions. In this context, earth monitoring through satellite remote sensing has become a fundamental research topic in the last decades. This technique allows to obtain innumerable information on the temporal and spatial evolution of displacements at a territorial scale by means of the observation of wide deformation phenomena such as subsidence, landslides, and settlements. Furthermore, at a smaller scale, as in the case of a single bridge, the use of high spatial resolution and high sampling rate data could be crucial in civil engineering scenarios to carry on a preliminary structural monitoring of a road, railway network, or a single bridge. This work proposes a procedure for a large-scale analysis for the monitoring of an entire road network, based on remote sensing Structural Health Monitoring (SHM). The capability of the procedure is investigated on a network of 68 bridges, using deformation measurements derived from satellite remote sensing, where large stacks of ascending and descending Differential SAR Interferometry DInSAR data products were available. A Risk Class is estimated for each bridge based on the deformation analysis, considering the potential phenomena at both territorial and local scales. Based on such a Risk Class, the stakeholders can define most critical bridges as well as more in-depth monitoring strategies.

现有桥梁是全球陆地交通和通信线路的重要基础设施。它们往往陈旧而脆弱,因此应确保对其使用的监控和安全。由于经济和技术资源的减少,有必要制定智能监测战略,对基础设施进行初步分类,为执行更深入的检查、核实和干预确定优先顺序。在这种情况下,通过卫星遥感对地球进行监测已成为过去几十年的一个基本研究课题。这种技术可以通过观察大范围的变形现象,如沉降、滑坡和沉降,获得有关领土范围内位移的时间和空间演变的大量信息。此外,在较小范围内,如单座桥梁,使用高空间分辨率和高采样率数据对土木工程中对公路、铁路网或单座桥梁进行初步结构监测至关重要。这项工作提出了一种基于遥感结构健康监测(SHM)的大规模分析程序,用于监测整个道路网络。利用卫星遥感得出的变形测量数据,对由 68 座桥梁组成的网络进行了程序能力研究,其中有大量的上升和下降差分合成孔径雷达干涉测量 DInSAR 数据产品。根据变形分析,考虑到全境和局部范围内的潜在现象,为每座桥梁估算了风险等级。根据该风险等级,利益相关方可确定最关键的桥梁以及更深入的监测策略。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating corrosion-induced deterioration in bolted steel plate joints using guided wave ultrasonic inspection 利用导波超声波检测技术研究螺栓连接钢板的腐蚀诱发劣化问题
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1007/s13349-024-00843-4
Jay Kumar Shah, Subhra Majhi, Abhijit Mukherjee, Hao Wang

Bolted steel plate joints encounter challenges posed by joint corrosion, which impact the quality of interfacial contact among the bolted components. Unfortunately, no correlation between corrosion-induced joint damage and preload, nor an existing numerical model capable of capturing such effects, has been identified. This study aims to utilize guided wave ultrasonic investigation to examine the deterioration of interfacial contact caused by corrosion in bolted joints. Additionally, a contact modification-based numerical approach is presented to capture the effects of changing interfacial stress during joint corrosion. Guided wave mode selection was conducted with some preliminary experiments supplemented with the theory of wave mode dispersion, hence leading to the selection of S0 and A0 mode existing at 300 kHz. The joint was then corroded in a controlled manner using an electrochemical process while simultaneous ultrasonic measurements were taken. The experimental observations highlighted the progressive dispersion in the transmitted A0 mode across the bolted joint, potentially due to changing interfacial stress boundaries between the plates. A damage parameter, termed the dispersion index, was developed based on the energy ratio of different signal sections. A linear change in the dispersion index was observed with the increase in corrosion-induced mass loss. The insight was further established through a numerical investigation by studying the effect of changing bolt preload and the corresponding interfacial stress distribution. The findings revealed that monitoring the changes in the stress distribution at the bolted interface can provide insight into interfacial corrosion. Eventually, destructive tension test results confirmed the effect of joint corrosion on the load-bearing capacity of the joint. The change in failure mode of the pristine and corroded specimen is observed. The reported approach establishes the potential of ultrasonic inspection to investigate the interfacial health of a bolted joint in corroding conditions.

螺栓连接钢板接头面临着接头腐蚀带来的挑战,腐蚀会影响螺栓连接部件之间的界面接触质量。遗憾的是,目前还没有发现腐蚀引起的接头损坏与预紧力之间的相关性,也没有能够捕捉这种影响的现有数值模型。本研究旨在利用导波超声波调查来研究螺栓连接中腐蚀引起的界面接触恶化。此外,还介绍了一种基于接触修正的数值方法,以捕捉接头腐蚀过程中界面应力变化的影响。通过一些初步实验,并辅以波模分散理论,进行了导波模式选择,从而选择了 300 kHz 频率下的 S0 和 A0 模式。然后利用电化学过程对接头进行受控腐蚀,同时进行超声波测量。实验观察结果表明,在整个螺栓连接处,传输的 A0 模式逐渐分散,这可能是由于板之间的界面应力边界发生了变化。根据不同信号截面的能量比,开发出一种称为分散指数的损坏参数。随着腐蚀引起的质量损失的增加,分散指数也发生了线性变化。通过对螺栓预紧力变化的影响以及相应的界面应力分布进行数值研究,进一步证实了这一观点。研究结果表明,监测螺栓界面应力分布的变化可以深入了解界面腐蚀情况。最终,破坏性拉伸试验结果证实了接头腐蚀对接头承载能力的影响。原始试样和腐蚀试样的失效模式发生了变化。所报告的方法证实了超声波检测在研究腐蚀条件下螺栓连接界面健康状况方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Over 25-year monitoring of the Tsing Ma suspension bridge in Hong Kong 对香港青马吊桥长达 25 年的监测
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI: 10.1007/s13349-024-00842-5
Lu Zhang, Tian Lu, Fei Wang, Yong Xia

Bridges in service are subjected to environmental and load actions, but their status and conditions are typically unknown. Health monitoring systems have been installed on long-span bridges to monitor their loads and the associated responses in real time. Since 1997, the Tsing Ma suspension bridge in Hong Kong has been the world’s first of the type equipped with a long-term health monitoring system. For the first time, this study reports the first-hand field monitoring data of the bridge from 1997 to 2022. The 26-year data provide an invaluable and rare opportunity to examine the long-term characteristics of the loads, bridge responses, and their relationships, thereby enabling the assessment of the bridge’s load evolution and structural condition over time. Results show that traffic loads have remained stable after 2007, highway vehicles kept increasing until the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the annual maximum deck temperature continued to increase at a rate of 0.51 °C/decade, typhoon durations increased by 2.5 h/year, and monsoon speeds decreased and became dispersed and variable. For the bridge responses, deck displacement is governed by the varying temperature. Natural frequencies in the past 26 years were almost unchanged. The overall condition of the bridge is very satisfactory. Current status and recent update of the health monitoring system are also reported. Lastly, prospects of bridge health monitoring are discussed. This study is the first to report the over one-quarter century status of a structural health monitoring system and the behavior of a long-span suspension bridge. This research provides a benchmark for many other bridge monitoring systems worldwide.

服役中的桥梁会受到环境和荷载的作用,但其状态和条件通常是未知的。人们在大跨度桥梁上安装了健康监测系统,以实时监测其荷载和相关反应。自 1997 年以来,香港青马悬索桥成为世界上第一座配备长期健康监测系统的此类桥梁。本研究首次报告了该桥从 1997 年至 2022 年的第一手现场监测数据。长达 26 年的数据为研究荷载的长期特性、桥梁的响应以及它们之间的关系提供了宝贵而难得的机会,从而能够评估桥梁荷载随时间的演变和结构状况。结果显示,交通荷载在 2007 年后保持稳定,公路车辆在 2020 年 COVID-19 大流行之前持续增加,桥面年最高温度以 0.51 °C/十年的速度持续上升,台风持续时间增加了 2.5 小时/年,季风速度降低并变得分散和多变。就桥梁响应而言,桥面位移受温度变化的影响。过去 26 年的自然频率几乎没有变化。桥梁的整体状况非常令人满意。报告还介绍了健康监测系统的现状和最新进展。最后,还讨论了桥梁健康监测的前景。本研究首次报告了超过四分之一世纪的结构健康监测系统的状况以及大跨度悬索桥的行为。这项研究为全球许多其他桥梁监测系统提供了基准。
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引用次数: 0
Bayesian dynamic noise model for online bridge deflection prediction considering stochastic modeling error 考虑随机建模误差的贝叶斯动态噪声模型用于在线桥梁挠度预测
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-18 DOI: 10.1007/s13349-024-00831-8
Guang Qu, Mingming Song, Limin Sun

Predicting bridge deflection is crucial for identifying potential structural issues, as sustained deviations from the expected range may indicate stiffness degradation. To address the stochastic modeling errors often overlooked by existing methods, this paper proposes a Bayesian Dynamic Noise Model (BDNM) for predicting the daily average deflection of bridge structures. The dynamic noise equations are formulated based on measured deflection data and incorporate modeling errors. Using Bayes’ theorem, a recursive BDNM process for bridge deflection prediction is established. Within a Bayesian forecasting framework, key parameters, particularly the coefficient and variance of modeling errors, are estimated using the method of moments, while the Bayesian discount factor is determined using Bayesian optimization. In addition, a novel prediction interval formula is developed, considering both modeling errors and monitoring uncertainties, based on the additivity of the normal distribution. This prediction interval is used as an anomaly detection threshold, and the estimated modeling errors from within the model are employed as damage indicators. The model is validated using monitoring data from an in-service bridge and compared with several common methods. Results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves high prediction accuracy and provides reasonable prediction intervals. Simulated scenarios of increased response variability due to stiffness degradation further illustrate the model’s sensitivity to structural behavior anomalies. This method lays a theoretical foundation for developing real-time warning systems for in-service bridges.

预测桥梁挠度对于识别潜在的结构问题至关重要,因为持续偏离预期范围可能预示着刚度退化。为了解决现有方法经常忽略的随机建模误差问题,本文提出了一种贝叶斯动态噪声模型 (BDNM),用于预测桥梁结构的日平均挠度。动态噪声方程是根据测量的挠度数据并结合建模误差而制定的。利用贝叶斯定理,建立了用于桥梁挠度预测的递归 BDNM 过程。在贝叶斯预测框架内,关键参数,尤其是建模误差的系数和方差,采用矩方法进行估计,而贝叶斯折扣因子则采用贝叶斯优化方法确定。此外,基于正态分布的可加性,考虑到建模误差和监测的不确定性,开发了一种新的预测区间公式。该预测区间被用作异常检测阈值,模型内部的估计建模误差被用作损害指标。该模型利用一座在役桥梁的监测数据进行了验证,并与几种常用方法进行了比较。结果表明,所提出的方法达到了较高的预测精度,并提供了合理的预测区间。由于刚度退化导致响应变异性增加的模拟场景进一步说明了该模型对结构行为异常的敏感性。该方法为开发在役桥梁实时预警系统奠定了理论基础。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Civil Structural Health Monitoring
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