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perms: Likelihood-free estimation of marginal likelihoods for binary response data in Python and R perms:用 Python 和 R 对二元响应数据的边际似然进行无似然估计
IF 3.1 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocs.2024.102467
Dennis Christensen , Per August Jarval Moen
In Bayesian statistics, the marginal likelihood (ML) is the key ingredient needed for model comparison and model averaging. Unfortunately, estimating MLs accurately is notoriously difficult, especially for models where posterior simulation is not possible. Recently, the idea of permutation counting was introduced, which provides an estimator which can accurately estimate MLs of models for exchangeable binary responses. Such data arise in a multitude of statistical problems, including binary classification, bioassay and sensitivity testing. Permutation counting is entirely likelihood-free and works for any model from which a random sample can be generated, including nonparametric models. Here we present perms, a package implementing permutation counting. Following optimisation efforts, perms is computationally efficient and can handle large data problems. It is available as both an R package and a Python library. A broad gallery of examples illustrating its usage is provided, which includes both standard parametric binary classification and novel applications of nonparametric models, such as changepoint analysis. We also cover the details of the implementation of perms and illustrate its computational speed via a simple simulation study.
在贝叶斯统计中,边际似然(ML)是模型比较和模型平均所需的关键要素。遗憾的是,准确估计 ML 是出了名的困难,尤其是对于无法进行后验模拟的模型。最近,有人提出了置换计数的概念,它提供了一种估计方法,可以准确估计可交换二元响应模型的 ML。这类数据出现在许多统计问题中,包括二元分类、生物测定和灵敏度测试。置换计数完全不需要似然,适用于任何可以生成随机样本的模型,包括非参数模型。这里我们介绍 perms,这是一个实现置换计数的软件包。经过优化,perms 的计算效率很高,可以处理大型数据问题。它既是一个 R 软件包,也是一个 Python 库。我们提供了大量示例来说明它的用法,其中既包括标准参数二元分类,也包括非参数模型的新型应用,如变化点分析。我们还介绍了 perms 的实现细节,并通过简单的模拟研究说明了其计算速度。
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引用次数: 0
On-the-fly mathematical formulation for estimating people flow from elevator load data in smart building virtual sensing platforms 智能建筑虚拟传感平台中根据电梯负载数据估算人流量的即时数学计算公式
IF 3.1 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocs.2024.102488
Koichi Kondo , Ryosuke Ohori , Kiyotaka Matsue , Hiroyuki Aizu
This paper considers a new approach for people flow estimation in buildings from elevator trip records and corresponding load data, and the resulting model is used on the virtual sensing platform we have developed. People flow data can be used to improve elevator performance through optimal car assignments to hall calls by a group controller and are useful for estimating occupant distributions as heat loads allowing for optimized air-conditioning control to realize energy savings. Available data from an elevator controller is insufficient for exact people flow estimation and therefore this problem becomes under-defined. Our virtual sensing platform adopts equation-based modeling and optimization-based parameter estimation, which estimates application-related parameters from available sensor data, allowing for over- or under-defined situations among sensory information, but better mathematical formulation is essential for accurate parameter estimation on this virtual sensing platform. Accordingly, we propose a new method to define an elevator trip-wise mathematical formulation by modifying pre-defined base equations or defining additional equations. The key idea is that each elevator trip has different features, including sparsity, that are useful for improving accuracy and can be successfully formulated as simultaneous equations that our virtual sensing platform accepts. The procedure for defining a mathematical formulation is invoked after trip data are obtained and we refer this procedure as “on-the-fly mathematical formulation.” The formulated trip-wise equations are combined as simultaneous equations for estimating people flow over a given period on the virtual sensing platform by mathematical optimization.
本文考虑采用一种新方法,根据电梯运行记录和相应的负荷数据对建筑物内的人流进行估算,并将由此产生的模型用于我们开发的虚拟传感平台。人流数据可用于通过群组控制器对电梯厅呼叫的最佳轿厢分配来提高电梯性能,也可用于估算作为热负荷的乘员分布,从而优化空调控制,实现节能。来自电梯控制器的可用数据不足以进行精确的人流估算,因此这一问题变得不够明确。我们的虚拟传感平台采用了基于方程的建模和基于优化的参数估计,可从可用的传感器数据中估算出与应用相关的参数,从而允许在感知信息中出现定义过度或定义不足的情况,但要在该虚拟传感平台上进行精确的参数估计,更好的数学表述是必不可少的。因此,我们提出了一种新方法,通过修改预先定义的基本方程或定义附加方程来定义电梯行程数学公式。其主要思想是,每个电梯行程都有不同的特征,包括稀疏性,这些特征有助于提高精确度,并且可以成功地表述为我们的虚拟传感平台所接受的同步方程。定义数学公式的程序是在获得行程数据后调用的,我们将这一程序称为 "即时数学公式"。通过数学优化,将制定的行程方程合并为同步方程,用于估算虚拟传感平台上给定时间段内的人流量。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing multi-omics data classification with relative expression analysis and decision trees 利用相对表达分析和决策树加强多组学数据分类
IF 3.1 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocs.2024.102460
Marcin Czajkowski, Krzysztof Jurczuk, Marek Kretowski
This study introduces the Relative Multi-test Classification Tree (RMCT), a novel classification method tailored for multi-omics data analysis. The RMCT method combines the interpretative power of decision trees with the analytical precision of Relative eXpression Analysis (RXA) to address the complex task of examining biomedical data derived from diverse high-throughput technologies. The proposed RMCT approach discerns patterns within and across omics layers, yielding an accurate and interpretable classifier. In each internal node of RMCT, we create a multitest - group of Top-Scoring-Pair tests, that capture the ordering relationships among features from various omics. Multi-tests are optimized for maximal reduction of Gini impurity, and ensuring consistency in decision-making. We address computational challenges by advanced GPU parallelization, remarkably improving RMCT’s time performance. Through experimental validation on diverse multi-omics datasets, RMCT has demonstrated superior performance compared to traditional tree-based solutions, particularly in terms of accuracy and clarity of predictions. This method effectively reveals intricate interactions and relationships within multi-omics data, marking it as a useful addition to bioinformatics and biomedicine. This work represents a thorough extension of our preliminary research, which was initially presented at the twenty-third edition of the International Conference on Computational Science (ICCS). It expands the initial concept of integrating decision trees with RXA for multi-omics data classification, deepening the analytical methodologies, further optimizing the GPU computing, and broadening the experimental validation.
本研究介绍了为多组学数据分析量身定制的新型分类方法--相对多检验分类树(RMCT)。RMCT 方法结合了决策树的解释能力和相对表达分析(RXA)的分析精度,以解决检查来自不同高通量技术的生物医学数据的复杂任务。所提出的 RMCT 方法能辨别 omics 层内和层间的模式,从而产生准确且可解释的分类器。在 RMCT 的每个内部节点中,我们创建了一个多测试(Top-Scoring-Pair 测试组),这些测试捕捉了来自不同 omics 的特征之间的排序关系。我们对多重测试进行了优化,以最大限度地减少基尼不纯度,并确保决策的一致性。我们通过先进的 GPU 并行化解决了计算难题,显著提高了 RMCT 的时间性能。通过在不同的多组学数据集上进行实验验证,RMCT 与传统的基于树的解决方案相比表现出了更优越的性能,尤其是在预测的准确性和清晰度方面。这种方法能有效揭示多组学数据中错综复杂的相互作用和关系,是生物信息学和生物医学的有益补充。这项工作是对我们最初在第二十三届国际计算科学大会(ICCS)上发表的初步研究成果的全面扩展。它扩展了将决策树与 RXA 集成用于多组学数据分类的最初概念,深化了分析方法,进一步优化了 GPU 计算,并扩大了实验验证。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying influential nodes in complex networks through the k-shell index and neighborhood information 通过 K 壳指数和邻域信息识别复杂网络中的有影响力节点
IF 3.1 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocs.2024.102473
Shima Esfandiari, Mohammad Reza Moosavi
Identifying influential nodes is crucial in network science for controlling diseases, sharing information, and viral marketing. Current methods for finding vital spreaders have problems with accuracy, resolution, or time complexity. To address these limitations, this paper presents a hybrid approach called the Bubble Method (BM). First, the BM assumes a bubble with a radius of two surrounding each node. Then, it extracts various attributes from inside and near the surface of the bubble. These attributes are the k-shell index, k-shell diversity, and the distances of nodes within the bubble from the central node. We compared our method to 12 recent ones, including the Hybrid Global Structure model (HGSM) and Generalized Degree Decomposition (GDD), using the Susceptible–Infectious–Recovered (SIR) model to test its effectiveness. The results show the BM outperforms other methods in terms of accuracy, correctness, and resolution. Its low computational complexity renders it highly suitable for analyzing large-scale networks.
在网络科学中,识别有影响力的节点对于控制疾病、共享信息和病毒营销至关重要。目前寻找重要传播者的方法在准确性、分辨率或时间复杂性方面存在问题。为了解决这些局限性,本文提出了一种名为 "气泡法"(BM)的混合方法。首先,气泡法假定每个节点周围都有一个半径为 2 的气泡。然后,从气泡内部和表面附近提取各种属性。这些属性包括 k 壳指数、k 壳多样性以及气泡内节点与中心节点的距离。我们使用易感-感染-恢复(SIR)模型,将我们的方法与包括混合全局结构模型(HGSM)和广义度分解(GDD)在内的 12 种最新方法进行了比较,以检验其有效性。结果表明,BM 在准确性、正确性和分辨率方面都优于其他方法。它的计算复杂度低,非常适合分析大规模网络。
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引用次数: 0
EVADyR: A new dynamic resampling algorithm for auto-tuning noisy High Performance Computing systems EVADyR:用于自动调整噪声高性能计算系统的新型动态重采样算法
IF 3.1 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocs.2024.102468
Sophie Robert-Hayek , Soraya Zertal , Philippe Couvée
Black-box auto-tuning methods have been proven to be efficient for tuning configurable computer hardware, including those encountered within the High Performance Computing (HPC) ecosystem. However, because of the shared nature of HPC clusters and the complexity of the software and hardware stacks, the measurement of the performance function can be tainted by noise during the tuning process, which can reduce and sometimes prevent the benefit of the tuning approach. A usual choice for performing the tuning in spite of these interference is to add a resampling step at each iteration to reduce uncertainty, but this approach can be time-consuming and must be done carefully. In this paper, we propose a new resampling and filtering algorithm called EVADyR (Efficient Value Aware Dynamic Resampling). Compared to the state of the art, it finds a better exploration versus exploitation trade-off by resampling only promising configuration and increases the level of confidence around the suggested solution as the tuning process advances. This algorithm was able to tune efficiently two I/O accelerators highly sensitive to interference, in two different scenarios. Compared to Standard Error Dynamic Resampling (SEDR), a state of the art noise reduction strategy, we show that EVADyR is able to reduce the distance to the optimum by 93.5% and 24.7% for the two I/O accelerators respectively, as well as speed-up the experiment duration by 45.8% and 58.1% because less iterations are needed to reach the found optimum. Our results prove the importance of using noise reduction strategies whenever tuning systems running in production.
黑盒自动调整方法已被证明可有效调整可配置计算机硬件,包括高性能计算(HPC)生态系统中的硬件。然而,由于高性能计算集群的共享性以及软件和硬件堆栈的复杂性,性能函数的测量在调谐过程中可能会受到噪声的影响,这可能会降低调谐方法的效益,有时甚至无法实现。要在这些干扰下进行调整,通常的选择是在每次迭代时增加一个重采样步骤,以减少不确定性,但这种方法可能很耗时,而且必须谨慎操作。在本文中,我们提出了一种名为 EVADyR(Efficient Value Aware Dynamic Resampling,高效值感知动态重采样)的新型重采样和过滤算法。与现有技术相比,该算法通过只对有希望的配置进行重采样,找到了更好的探索与利用之间的权衡,并随着调整过程的推进,提高了对建议解决方案的置信度。该算法能够在两种不同的场景中有效调整两个对干扰高度敏感的 I/O 加速器。与最先进的降噪策略标准误差动态重采样(SEDR)相比,我们发现 EVADyR 能够将两个 I/O 加速器的最佳值距离分别缩短 93.5% 和 24.7%,并将实验持续时间分别加快 45.8% 和 58.1%,因为达到最佳值所需的迭代次数更少。我们的结果证明,在调整生产中运行的系统时,使用降噪策略非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
Explosive synchronization in interacting star networks 相互作用的星形网络中的爆炸性同步
IF 3.1 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocs.2024.102469
Ruby Varshney , Anjuman Ara Khatun , Haider Hasan Jafri
We study the transition to phase synchronization in an ensemble of Stuart–Landau oscillators interacting on a star network. We observe that by introducing frequency-weighted coupling and timescale variations in the dynamics of nodes, the system exhibits a first-order explosive transition to phase synchrony. Further, we extend this study to understand the nature of synchronization in the case of two coupled star networks. If the coupled star networks are identical, we observe that with increasing inter-star coupling strength, the hysteresis width initially increases, reaches a maximum value, then decreases before saturating. If the interacting star networks are non-identical, we observe that the transition to the coherent state is preceded by the occurrence of intermittent in-phase and anti-phase synchrony for small inter-star coupling. However, for large values of coupling strengths, we observe that the intermittent state disappears and the hysteresis width changes as in coupled identical star networks. We characterize these transitions by plotting the Lyapunov exponents for the system and the master stability function.
我们研究了在星形网络上相互作用的斯图尔特-朗道振荡器集合向相位同步的过渡。我们观察到,通过在节点动力学中引入频率加权耦合和时标变化,系统呈现出向相位同步的一阶爆炸性过渡。此外,我们还扩展了这项研究,以了解两个耦合星形网络的同步性质。如果耦合星体网络完全相同,我们观察到,随着星体间耦合强度的增加,滞后宽度最初会增加,达到最大值,然后在饱和前减小。如果相互作用的星体网络是非相同的,我们观察到,在过渡到相干态之前,对于较小的星间耦合,会出现间歇性的同相和反相同步。然而,当耦合强度值较大时,我们发现间歇状态消失了,滞后宽度发生了变化,就像在耦合的相同恒星网络中一样。我们通过绘制系统的李亚普诺夫指数和主稳定函数来描述这些转变。
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引用次数: 0
A new fourth-order compact finite difference method for solving Lane-Emden-Fowler type singular boundary value problems 解决 Lane-Emden-Fowler 型奇异边界值问题的新四阶紧凑有限差分法
IF 3.1 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocs.2024.102474
Nirupam Sahoo , Randhir Singh , Ankur Kanaujiya , Carlo Cattani
We develop a novel fourth-order compact finite difference scheme to solve nonlinear singular ordinary differential equations. Such problems occur in many fields of science and engineering, such as studying the equilibrium of an isothermal gas sphere, reaction–diffusion in a spherical permeable catalyst, etc. These problems are challenging to solve because of their singularity or nonlinearity. By our proposed method, we can easily solve these complex problems without removing or modifying the singularity. To construct the new fourth-order compact difference method, Initially, we created a uniform mesh within the solution domain and developed a compact finite difference scheme. This scheme approximates the derivatives at the boundary nodal points to handle the problem’s singularity effectively. Employing a matrix analysis approach, we discussed the convergence analysis of the methods. To demonstrate its efficacy, we apply our approach to solve various real-life problems from the literature. The new method offers high-order accuracy with minimal grid points and provides better numerical results than the nonstandard finite difference method and exponential compact finite difference method.
我们开发了一种新颖的四阶紧凑有限差分方案来求解非线性奇异常微分方程。这类问题出现在科学和工程的许多领域,如研究等温气体球体的平衡、球形渗透催化剂中的反应扩散等。由于这些问题的奇异性或非线性,其求解具有挑战性。通过我们提出的方法,我们可以在不消除或修改奇异性的情况下轻松解决这些复杂问题。为了构建新的四阶紧凑差分法,我们首先在求解域内创建了一个均匀网格,并开发了一种紧凑有限差分方案。该方案对边界结点的导数进行了近似处理,从而有效地处理了问题的奇异性。我们采用矩阵分析方法,讨论了方法的收敛性分析。为了证明其有效性,我们应用我们的方法解决了文献中的各种实际问题。与非标准有限差分法和指数紧凑有限差分法相比,新方法以最小的网格点实现了高阶精度,并提供了更好的数值结果。
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引用次数: 0
Physics-informed neural networks and higher-order high-resolution methods for resolving discontinuities and shocks: A comprehensive study 用于解决不连续性和冲击的物理信息神经网络和高阶高分辨率方法:综合研究
IF 3.1 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocs.2024.102466
Arun Govind Neelan , G. Sai Krishna , Vinoth Paramanantham
Addressing discontinuities in fluid flow problems is inherently difficult, especially when shocks arise due to the nonlinear nature of the flow. While handling discontinuities is a well-established practice in computational fluid dynamics (CFD), it remains a major challenge when applying physics-informed neural networks (PINNs). In this study, we compare the shock-resolving capabilities of traditional CFD methods with those of PINNs, highlighting the advantages of the latter. Our findings show that PINNs exhibit less dissipative behavior compared to conventional techniques. We evaluated the performance of both PINNs and traditional methods on linear and nonlinear test cases, demonstrating that PINNs offer superior shock-resolving properties. Notably, PINNs can accurately resolve inviscid shocks with just three grid points, whereas traditional methods require at least seven points. This suggests that PINNs are more effective at resolving shocks and discontinuities when using the same grid for both PINN and CFD simulations. However, it is important to note that PINNs, in this context, are computationally more expensive than traditional methods on a given grid.
处理流体流动问题中的不连续性本身就很困难,特别是当由于流动的非线性性质而产生冲击时。虽然处理不连续性是计算流体动力学(CFD)中的既定做法,但在应用物理信息神经网络(PINN)时,这仍然是一个重大挑战。在本研究中,我们比较了传统 CFD 方法和 PINNs 的冲击解决能力,突出了后者的优势。我们的研究结果表明,与传统技术相比,PINNs 表现出较少的耗散行为。我们评估了 PINNs 和传统方法在线性和非线性测试案例中的性能,结果表明 PINNs 具有更优越的冲击解决性能。值得注意的是,PINNs 只需三个网格点就能准确解析不粘性冲击,而传统方法至少需要七个网格点。这表明,在使用相同网格进行 PINN 和 CFD 模拟时,PINN 能更有效地解析冲击和不连续性。不过,需要注意的是,在这种情况下,PINN 在给定网格上的计算成本要高于传统方法。
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引用次数: 0
A model to address the cold-start in peer recommendation by using k-means clustering and sentence embedding 利用均值聚类和句子嵌入解决同伴推荐冷启动问题的模型
IF 3.1 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocs.2024.102465
Deepika Shukla, C. Ravindranath Chowdary
In academia, research collaboration plays a vital role in enhancing the research quality and enriching the academic profile of the authors. Recommending appropriate collaborators from a vast scholarly database, particularly for newcomers, poses a challenging cold-start problem. This study addresses a cold-start problem in peer recommendation, considering a dynamic coauthorship graph as a network structure of academic collaborators. As the coauthorship graph is quite large and complex, an efficient indexing method is essential for speeding up the initial search of similar coauthors. The study introduces an efficient Global Inverted List (GIL) for indexing research areas and active authors in the coauthorship network. An attribute-based search and filtering mechanism is proposed to identify relevant collaborators, followed by the application of k-means clustering and doc2vec metrics to rank and select top recommendations. A cold user is associated with attributes that identify coauthors with similar research interests. For each attribute of the cold user, the model searches the associated authors from the GIL. Further, two filtering approaches are applied to refine the retrieved author list. The first ensures that the authors have a significant presence in the specified research areas, whereas the second one helps avoid recommending authors with only superficial connections to the cold user. The model creates a feature matrix of filtered authors using the publication features of authors. The k-means clustering applied to the feature matrix generates k clusters, among which the model chooses only those with seed nodes i.e. the clusters which are having seed nodes are selected for further process. Selected clusters are ranked using doc2vec metrics, with the top-ranked cluster providing the final recommendation. The model recommends the top L members of the selected cluster, where L is the length of the recommendations provided to the new user. Our extensive experiments show the efficacy of the proposed model.
在学术界,研究合作对提高研究质量和丰富作者的学术形象起着至关重要的作用。从庞大的学术数据库中推荐合适的合作者,尤其是对于新人来说,是一个具有挑战性的冷启动问题。本研究将动态共同作者图视为学术合作者的网络结构,从而解决了同行推荐中的冷启动问题。由于共同作者图谱相当庞大和复杂,高效的索引方法对于加快相似共同作者的初始搜索至关重要。本研究介绍了一种高效的全局反向列表(GIL),用于索引共同作者网络中的研究领域和活跃作者。研究提出了一种基于属性的搜索和过滤机制来识别相关的合作者,然后应用 k-means 聚类和 doc2vec 指标来排列和选择顶级推荐。冷用户与识别具有相似研究兴趣的合作者的属性相关联。对于冷用户的每个属性,模型都会从 GIL 中搜索相关作者。此外,还采用了两种过滤方法来完善检索到的作者列表。第一种方法确保作者在指定的研究领域有重要影响力,而第二种方法则有助于避免推荐与冷用户只有表面联系的作者。该模型利用作者的发表特征创建了筛选作者的特征矩阵。对特征矩阵进行 k-means 聚类生成 k 个聚类,模型只选择其中有种子节点的聚类,即选择有种子节点的聚类进行下一步处理。选定的聚类使用 doc2vec 指标进行排名,排名靠前的聚类提供最终推荐。该模型推荐所选簇中排名前 L 的成员,其中 L 是向新用户提供的推荐的长度。我们的大量实验证明了所建议模型的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Quantitative assessment and dynamic characteristic measurement of regional resilience: From the perspective of post-earthquakes effects 地区复原力的定量评估和动态特征测量:从地震后影响的角度出发
IF 3.1 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2024-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocs.2024.102461
Suyue Han , Bin Liu , Jun Shu , Zuli He , Xinyu Xia , Ke Pan , Hourui Ren
Strong geological disasters have caused persistent losses in society, economy, and ecological environments. Given the unique geographical settings of the stricken areas, their resilience is prone to damage or even loss. Comprehensive risk assessment of natural disasters is the core content and important foundation for building regional resilience. Therefore, conducting dynamic characteristics analysis of resilience in mountainous disaster areas impacted by strong earthquake geological disasters is vital for ensuring the region's high-quality and sustainable development. This article takes the 51 stricken areas of Wenchuan earthquake as the research object. To this end, social, economic and ecological environmental data from 2008 to 2020 was hereby collected. Initially, a regional resilience assessment system based on "socio-economic-ecological environment" was established, considering the long-term and spatial heterogeneity of geological disasters. Secondly, the regional resilience assessment model was constructed using Spectral clustering-genetic algorithm-improved entropy weight method. Following that, the dynamic characteristics of regional resilience were quantitatively analyzed from two aspects, including change velocity state and change rate trend. Finally, based on the regional resilience characteristics, differentiated resilience enhancement strategies were proposed. Collectively, the results revealed that: (1) From a geological disaster standpoint, the risk in post-earthquake disaster areas exhibited a strikingly rapid decline, with the spatial distribution of geological disaster risk being notably higher in the central areas and diminishing towards the peripheries. (2) Overall, the regional resilience of the 51 stricken areas showed a "V-shaped" trend, with a significant upturn since 2012. (3) From the perspective of dynamic characteristics, more counties (cities) presented an upward trend. (4) The 51 stricken areas were hereby divided into the "benchmarking type", the "declination type", the "backward type", and the "potential type". In conclusion, the current study enhances the technical framework for evaluating regional resilience and provides technical support for the construction of resilient cities.
强烈的地质灾害给社会、经济和生态环境造成了持续的损失。由于灾区特殊的地理环境,其抗灾能力容易受到破坏甚至丧失。自然灾害综合风险评估是区域抗灾能力建设的核心内容和重要基础。因此,对受强震地质灾害影响的山区灾区进行抗灾能力动态特征分析,对于确保区域高质量、可持续发展至关重要。本文以汶川地震 51 个灾区为研究对象。为此,本文收集了 2008 年至 2020 年的社会、经济和生态环境数据。首先,考虑到地质灾害的长期性和空间异质性,建立了基于 "社会-经济-生态环境 "的区域抗灾能力评估体系。其次,利用光谱聚类-遗传算法-改进熵权法构建了区域抗灾能力评估模型。然后,从变化速度状态和变化速率趋势两个方面定量分析了区域抗灾能力的动态特征。最后,根据区域恢复力特征,提出了差异化的恢复力提升策略。研究结果表明(1) 从地质灾害角度看,震后灾区的地质灾害风险呈现出惊人的快速下降趋势,地质灾害风险的空间分布呈现出明显的中心区高、边缘区低的特点。(2)总体而言,51 个灾区的区域抗灾能力呈 "V "型趋势,自 2012 年以来显著回升。(3) 从动态特征来看,更多的县 (市)呈上升趋势。(4)据此将 51 个贫困地区分为 "标杆型"、"衰退型"、"落后型 "和 "潜力型"。总之,本研究完善了区域韧性评价的技术框架,为韧性城市建设提供了技术支撑。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Computational Science
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