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Photovoltaic self-consumption in developing countries: Assessing the impact of block tariffs and net metering in Ecuador 发展中国家的光伏自用:评估厄瓜多尔整体电价和净计量的影响
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-02-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2026.101955
Ángel Ordóñez , Esteban Sánchez
Photovoltaic self-consumption (PVSC) has spread unevenly worldwide. In Ecuador, adoption remains lower than expected, and the influence of residential tariff design on PVSC profitability has received limited attention. This study examines how the increasing block pricing (IBP) tariff and net metering (NM) interact to determine the financial performance of residential PVSC in Ecuador. Full-year, high-resolution monitoring data from eight operational households were analysed. PV generation was scaled from 10% to 100% of annual demand and assessed under four scenarios: IBP with NM, IBP without NM, a fixed-price volumetric tariff with NM, and the same fixed tariff without NM. The results indicate that the IBP structure is the primary driver of profitability: under IBP with NM, the time to return on investment (TROI) is typically short for most households and can become exceptionally low for high-consumption ones. Removing NM reduces returns; however, under IBP, PVSC generally remains viable. In contrast, under a uniform volumetric tariff, NM becomes critical, as profitability deteriorates markedly in its absence. Overall, the findings help explain the uneven uptake of PVSC in Ecuador and highlight the central role of tariff design when deploying residential PVSC under regulated pricing frameworks.
光伏自用(PVSC)在世界范围内分布不均。在厄瓜多尔,采用率仍然低于预期,居民电价设计对PVSC盈利能力的影响受到的关注有限。本研究探讨了不断增加的大宗定价(IBP)关税和净计量(NM)如何相互作用,以确定厄瓜多尔住宅PVSC的财务绩效。分析了来自8个经营家庭的全年高分辨率监测数据。光伏发电量占年需求的比例从10%扩大到100%,并在四种情况下进行评估:有纳米发电的IBP、没有纳米发电的IBP、有纳米发电的固定价格容量电价和没有纳米发电的相同固定电价。结果表明,IBP结构是盈利能力的主要驱动力:在IBP与NM下,大多数家庭的投资回报时间(TROI)通常很短,对于高消费家庭来说可能会变得非常低。去除NM可降低收益;然而,在IBP下,PVSC通常仍然可行。相比之下,在统一的容量关税下,NM变得至关重要,因为在它缺席的情况下,盈利能力明显恶化。总体而言,研究结果有助于解释厄瓜多尔PVSC的不均衡吸收,并强调在受监管的定价框架下部署住宅PVSC时,关税设计的核心作用。
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引用次数: 0
Co-creating sustainable futures: A biogas case study in Argentina's humid pampas 共同创造可持续的未来:阿根廷潮湿潘帕斯草原的沼气案例研究
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2026.101953
M.M. Echarte , M.E. Sanz Smachetti , J. Maiorano , L. Iriarte , N. García , A.M. Costa , W. Glessi , A. Giudice
Rural development in Argentina demands comprehensive solutions that address social, environmental, and cultural factors, in addition to economic ones. Decades of unreliable energy supply, deficient infrastructure and services, declining rural labor demand, and environmental pollution from inadequately treated agricultural and agro-industrial waste have led to rural depopulation. This study examines how rural cooperative bioenergy initiatives might emerge and evolve during early-stage implementation under conditions of institutional volatility, using the Los Pinos Biogas Demonstration Unit (BDU) as a qualitative case study. Through a transdisciplinary, participatory process involving researchers, local government, private companies, and community members, a cooperative-managed biogas plant was designed and constructed to address the local energy and environmental challenges faced by a small rural town in the Humid Pampas. The experience is interpreted as a formative socio-technical process characterized by partial institutionalization, in which participatory governance and technological learning advanced despite persistent regulatory, financial, and market constraints. Integrating innovation ecosystem and business environment perspectives, the study shows how local collaboration, adaptive learning, and social embedding can coexist with structural barriers that limit consolidation and replicability. The paper provides analytical grounded insights into the conditions shaping community-based bioenergy initiatives and highlight the need for bioeconomy policies that better align institutional stability, local autonomy, and inclusive governance, particularly in developing-country contexts.
阿根廷的农村发展需要综合解决方案,除经济因素外,还需要解决社会、环境和文化因素。几十年来,能源供应不可靠、基础设施和服务不足、农村劳动力需求下降以及农业和农业工业废物处理不当造成的环境污染导致了农村人口减少。本研究以洛斯皮诺斯沼气示范单位(BDU)为定性案例研究,探讨了在制度波动条件下,农村合作生物能源倡议如何在早期实施阶段出现和发展。通过跨学科的参与过程,研究人员、当地政府、私营公司和社区成员参与其中,设计和建造了一个合作管理的沼气厂,以解决潮湿潘帕斯一个农村小镇面临的当地能源和环境挑战。这一经验被解释为以部分制度化为特征的形成性社会技术过程,在这一过程中,尽管存在持续的监管、金融和市场限制,参与式治理和技术学习仍取得了进展。该研究结合创新生态系统和商业环境的视角,展示了本地协作、适应性学习和社会嵌入如何与限制整合和可复制性的结构性障碍共存。本文对形成社区生物能源倡议的条件提供了基于分析的见解,并强调了更好地协调机构稳定性、地方自治和包容性治理的生物经济政策的必要性,特别是在发展中国家的背景下。
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引用次数: 0
Performance optimization of solar electric vehicles from the perspective of the life cycle 基于生命周期视角的太阳能电动汽车性能优化
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2026.101945
Zequan Lin , Qiangyan Hao , Bin Zhao , Yong Hao , Gang Pei
There is a lack of complete life cycle assessment (LCA) for solar electric vehicles (SEVs), particularly gaps in the quantitative analysis of synergistic effects between vehicle-integrated photovoltaic (VIPV) systems and power battery configurations. To address these issues, this study conducted a cradle-to-grave LCA of SEVs relative to battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Three interlinked models including life cycle carbon emission (LCCE) reduction, life cycle cost (LCC) increase, and energy consumption change were constructed, and four typical Chinese cities with distinct solar resource grades were selected for analysis. Key findings include: (1) SEVs significantly reduce the number of grid charges; for example, BEVs in Lhasa require 442 charges over 10 years, while SEVs only need 83 charges (81.2% reduction). (2) Power battery capacity reduction (20%–30%) balances environmental and economic benefits, and at 20% reduction (Lhasa) or 30% reduction (Chengdu), SEVs' LCC increase shifts from positive to negative. (3) Under similar numbers of charges, compared with BEVs, SEVs can reduce their power battery capacity by 50%–60%. (4) The LCC critical line (0 boundary) shifts upward with solar resource quality: at 25% VIPV efficiency, Lhasa tolerates an initial module cost of 500–600 CNY/m2, while Chengdu only tolerates 200–300 CNY/m2. Notably, improving VIPV efficiency has a weaker impact on LCC reduction than lowering initial module costs.
太阳能电动汽车(sev)缺乏完整的生命周期评估(LCA),特别是在车载集成光伏(VIPV)系统与动力电池配置之间协同效应的定量分析方面存在空白。为了解决这些问题,本研究进行了sev相对于纯电动汽车(bev)的从摇篮到坟墓的LCA。构建了全生命周期碳排放(LCCE)降低、全生命周期成本(LCC)增加和能源消耗变化3个相互关联的模型,并选取中国4个太阳能资源等级不同的典型城市进行分析。主要发现包括:(1)sev显著减少了电网收费数量;例如,拉萨市纯电动汽车10年充电次数为442次,而纯电动汽车10年充电次数仅为83次,降幅达81.2%。(2)动力电池容量减少(20% - 30%)平衡了环境效益和经济效益,在减少20%(拉萨)或30%(成都)时,sev的LCC增长由正向负转变。(3)在相同充电次数下,与纯电动汽车相比,纯电动汽车的动力电池容量可减少50%-60%。(4) LCC临界线(0边界)随着太阳能资源质量的提高而向上移动:在25% VIPV效率下,拉萨可承受的初始组件成本为500-600元/m2,而成都仅能承受200-300元/m2。值得注意的是,提高VIPV效率对降低LCC的影响要弱于降低初始组件成本。
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引用次数: 0
Unlocking India's $200 billion electric vehicle opportunity: State policies, grid decarbonization, and machine learning insights for sustainable development 解锁印度价值2000亿美元的电动汽车机遇:国家政策、电网脱碳和可持续发展的机器学习见解
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2026.101946
Yash Modi , M.J. Mungla , Suketu Jani
India aims to support the clean-energy transition and improve air-quality by focusing on electric mobility. Nevertheless, such an adoption is uneven across states due to variations in electricity generation mix, tariff design, policy support, and public-charging infrastructure availability. This study constructs a state-resolved techno-economic-environmental model to compare electric two-wheelers, three-wheelers, four-wheelers and intra-city buses using representative vehicles and harmonized data on grid emission intensity, electricity prices, policy support and fleet usage. Total cost of ownership and lifecycle greenhouse-gas emissions are estimated using deterministic modelling combined with Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation and sensitivity analysis. Machine learning is used to determine the main drivers of adoption and forecast adoption trajectories across states. It is found that electric two-wheelers and three-wheelers deliver universal cost and emissions advantages, and four-wheelers and e-buses are cost-competitive in policy-supportive and tariff-efficient states, with lifecycle CO2 reductions of 35–90% relative to ICE. The three factors that influence the policy effectiveness the most are battery economics, tariff structures, and high-utilization fleet segments. In the absence of co-ordinated interventions, economic opportunity will be concentrated within a few states that lead first. The framework aids specific investment planning aligned with Sustainable Development Goals 7 (ensuring access to affordable, reliable, sustainable, and modern energy for all) and 11 (making cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient, and sustainable) and provides insights that can be transferred to emerging economies aiming to attain an equitable, low-carbon mobility transition.
印度的目标是支持清洁能源转型,并通过专注于电动交通来改善空气质量。然而,由于发电组合、电价设计、政策支持和公共充电基础设施的可用性等方面的差异,这种采用在各州之间是不平衡的。本研究构建了一个国家解决的技术-经济-环境模型,利用代表性车辆和统一的电网排放强度、电价、政策支持和车队使用数据,对电动两轮车、三轮车、四轮车和城市公交车进行比较。利用确定性模型结合蒙特卡罗不确定性传播和敏感性分析估算了总拥有成本和生命周期温室气体排放量。机器学习用于确定采用的主要驱动因素,并预测各州的采用轨迹。研究发现,电动两轮车和三轮车具有普遍的成本和排放优势,而四轮车和电动公交车在政策支持和关税高效的州具有成本竞争力,其生命周期二氧化碳排放量相对于内燃机减少35-90%。影响政策有效性最大的三个因素是电池经济性、关税结构和高利用率车队。在缺乏协调干预的情况下,经济机会将集中在几个领先的国家。该框架有助于与可持续发展目标7(确保所有人获得负担得起的、可靠的、可持续的现代能源)和目标11(使城市和人类住区具有包容性、安全性、韧性和可持续性)相一致的具体投资规划,并为旨在实现公平、低碳交通转型的新兴经济体提供见解。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial assessment of bioenergy potentials for small biogas digesters and pyrolysis cookstoves: A case study in Togo 小型沼气池和热解炉灶生物能源潜力的空间评价:以多哥为例
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2026.101959
Fabian Sittaro , Nils Engler , Dennis Krüger , Komi Agboka , Sebastian Semella , Friederike Naegeli de Torres
Biomass, primarily firewood and charcoal, dominates the energy landscape in Western Africa, driving deforestation, ecosystem degradation and adverse health outcomes. This study presents a comprehensive spatial assessment of the bioenergy potential of small-scale biogas digesters and pyrolysis cookstoves in Togo, addressing the urgent need for sustainable alternatives to traditional wood fuels. Using agricultural residues as feedstock for decentralised bioenergy systems could mitigate these impacts and help to achieve SDGs 7 (affordable and clean energy) and 13 (climate action). Using FAOSTAT and CROPGRIDS data, we mapped the spatial distribution and production volume of the most significant crop residues at high resolution. Residues were categorized by structure and composition in order to estimate biomethane yields and their compatibility with small-scale digesters or cookstoves. Deforestation priority regions were delineated using forest loss data derived from Landsat, enabling targeted analysis of bioenergy deployment in the most affected areas. Theoretical potential was calculated for small-scale digesters (5–15 m3) and household cookstoves based on local residue availability. Additional site-specific assessments were conducted for large-scale anaerobic digestion at over 50 poultry farms. Results reveal substantial and spatially variable bioenergy resources, particularly in regions experiencing severe deforestation. We estimate a theoretical potential of up to 720,000 small-scale biogas digesters (5 m3 capacity) and 480,000 cookstoves, demonstrating the technical feasibility of replacing traditional fuels with agricultural residues. This spatially explicit approach provides a framework for decision-making to scale up sustainable bioenergy solutions in Togo and similar contexts, thus mitigating deforestation, lower greenhouse gas emissions and improving rural livelihoods.
生物质,主要是木柴和木炭,主导着西非的能源格局,导致森林砍伐、生态系统退化和不利的健康后果。本研究对多哥小型沼气池和热解炉灶的生物能源潜力进行了全面的空间评估,解决了对传统木材燃料可持续替代品的迫切需求。使用农业残留物作为分散式生物能源系统的原料可以减轻这些影响,并有助于实现可持续发展目标7(负担得起的清洁能源)和13(气候行动)。利用FAOSTAT和CROPGRIDS数据,我们以高分辨率绘制了最重要作物残留物的空间分布和产量。根据残留物的结构和组成进行分类,以估计生物甲烷的产量及其与小型沼气池或炉灶的相容性。利用来自Landsat的森林损失数据划定了毁林重点区域,从而能够对受影响最严重地区的生物能源部署进行有针对性的分析。计算了小型沼气池(5-15立方米)和家用炉灶的理论潜力,这是基于当地残渣的可用性。对50多个家禽养殖场的大规模厌氧消化进行了额外的具体地点评估。研究结果显示,生物能源资源丰富且具有空间差异性,特别是在森林砍伐严重的地区。我们估计,理论上可能有多达72万个小型沼气池(容量为5立方米)和48万个炉灶,这表明用农业残留物替代传统燃料在技术上是可行的。这种空间上明确的方法为在多哥和类似情况下扩大可持续生物能源解决方案的决策提供了一个框架,从而减轻森林砍伐、降低温室气体排放和改善农村生计。
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引用次数: 0
Cooking fuels and household air pollution in resource-constrained urban environments: A field assessment 资源有限的城市环境中的烹饪燃料和家庭空气污染:实地评估
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2026.101942
Dan Oduor Oluoch , Gideon Nyamasyo , Nzioka John Muthama , James K. Gitau , James Moronge , Ruth Mendum , Moses Kirimi , Mary Njenga
Household air pollution from cooking remains a major public health and climate challenge in low-income urban areas. In Kibera informal settlement in Nairobi, Kenya high population density living in poorly ventilated houses, surrounded with poor waste management and use of charcoal in inefficient stoves and kerosene expose people to harmful emissions. This study assessed household energy use, cooking time, and emissions of carbon monoxide (CO), carbon dioxide (CO2) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) from cooking with charcoal, kerosene, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and electricity under real-world conditions, and explored implications for health and climate policy. Participatory cooking tests of breakfast and dinner were conducted in three households that used all four fuel types identified in a household survey. Real-time measurements of CO, CO2, and PM2.5 were taken before, during, and after cooking. Data were analysed using Welch's ANOVA with Games–Howell post hoc tests. Cooking with any fuel resulted into some household air pollution and charcoal and kerosene produced the highest concentrations of the studied gases and particles. LPG and electricity produced low concentrations and there was no significance difference between the two. The household ambient PM2.5 was 213 μg/m3 implying that people are living in houses with this pollutant being 14.2 times above the 24-h threshold of 15 μg/m3 by World Health Organization guidelines. Hence no fuel switch alone will address household air quality in the informal settlement.
Transitioning households to clean(er) cooking stackings such as with renewable ecooking, improved charcoal cookstoves and LPG scenario showed the highest reduction of emissions contributing toward Kenya's nationally determined contribution of 32% reduction green house gases emission. Clean(er) cooking stacking aimed at net zero should consider sustainable sourcing of the fuel. There is also need for integration of green spaces for air pollutions removal and reduction of emissions from activities such as burning of waste in open spaces, industrial processes and transport.
烹饪造成的家庭空气污染仍然是低收入城市地区面临的一个重大公共卫生和气候挑战。在肯尼亚内罗毕的基贝拉非正式定居点,人口密度高,居住在通风不良的房屋中,周围的废物管理不善,在低效的炉子和煤油中使用木炭,使人们暴露在有害排放物中。本研究评估了现实世界条件下家庭能源使用、烹饪时间以及使用木炭、煤油、液化石油气(LPG)和电力烹饪产生的一氧化碳(CO)、二氧化碳(CO2)和细颗粒物(PM2.5)排放,并探讨了对健康和气候政策的影响。在三个家庭中进行了早餐和晚餐的参与式烹饪测试,这些家庭使用了家庭调查中确定的所有四种燃料类型。在烹饪前、烹饪中和烹饪后,对CO、CO2和PM2.5进行了实时测量。数据分析采用韦尔奇方差分析和Games-Howell事后检验。用任何燃料做饭都会造成一些家庭空气污染,木炭和煤油产生的研究气体和颗粒浓度最高。液化石油气和电力产生的浓度较低,两者之间无显著差异。家庭环境PM2.5为213 μg/m3,这意味着人们居住的房屋的污染物浓度比世界卫生组织指导方针的24小时15 μg/m3的阈值高出14.2倍。因此,仅靠燃料开关无法解决非正式定居点的家庭空气质量问题。将家庭过渡到清洁(er)烹饪堆栈,例如使用可再生烹饪,改进的木炭炉灶和液化石油气方案,表明排放量减少最多,有助于肯尼亚减少32%的温室气体排放的国家确定贡献。以净零为目标的清洁(er)烹饪堆叠应该考虑可持续的燃料来源。还需要整合绿色空间,以消除空气污染并减少诸如在开放空间、工业过程和运输中燃烧废物等活动的排放。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated biohydrogen production systems: Advances, synergies, and pathways to a circular hydrogen economy 综合生物制氢系统:循环氢经济的进展、协同效应和途径
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2026.101941
Manidipa Roy , Soumyajit Chandra , Tripti Singh , Soumya Pandit , Srijoni Banerjee , Harjot Singh Gill , Mithul Rajeev , Amandeep Sharma , Basant Lal , Rajeev Singh
Integrated biological hydrogen production systems are being critically evaluated as renewable alternatives to traditional fossil fuels, based on hydrogen production processes. The rising environmental issues and depletion of resources call for the use of renewable energy carriers, among which hydrogen is a suitable candidate because of its high energy density and carbon-neutral combustion. This review covers the mechanisms, operating conditions, and recent technological advances of integrated biohydrogen production strategies, such as dark fermentation photo fermentation (DFPF), dark fermentation microbial electrolysis cells (DFMEC), dark fermentation microbial fuel cells (DFMFC), biophotolysis photo fermentation systems, and DF anaerobic digestion (DF-AD) configurations. The sequential integration of biological pathways provides synergistic benefits in terms of hydrogen yield, waste valorization, and overall energy recovery; however, the authors point out that there are still some challenges, such as mismatched operating conditions between stages, microbial stability, reactor design complexity, and scale-up feasibility.
Advances in synthetic biology, nanomaterial-based electrodes, process intensification, and data-driven optimization offer possible solutions to these problems. In summary, this review serves as a vehicle for recent scientific and technological breakthroughs in integrated biohydrogen systems, covering economic aspects and analyzing sustainability implications, as well as envisaging the role of such systems in the framework of the emerging hydrogen economy and circular bioeconomy.
基于制氢过程的综合生物制氢系统作为传统化石燃料的可再生替代品正在受到严格评估。日益严重的环境问题和资源枯竭要求使用可再生能源载体,其中氢因其高能量密度和碳中性燃烧而成为合适的候选者。本文综述了暗发酵光发酵(DFPF)、暗发酵微生物电解池(DFMEC)、暗发酵微生物燃料电池(DFMFC)、生物光解光发酵系统和DF厌氧消化(DF- ad)等生物制氢综合策略的机理、操作条件和最新技术进展。生物途径的顺序整合在产氢、废物增值和整体能源回收方面提供了协同效益;然而,作者指出,仍然存在一些挑战,例如阶段之间不匹配的操作条件,微生物稳定性,反应器设计的复杂性以及扩大规模的可行性。合成生物学、纳米材料电极、工艺强化和数据驱动优化的进步为这些问题提供了可能的解决方案。总而言之,本综述是综合生物氢系统最新科技突破的载体,涵盖经济方面和分析可持续性影响,以及设想这些系统在新兴氢经济和循环生物经济框架中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial modeling of cooking energy mixes: The case of West Africa 烹饪能源混合的空间模型:以西非为例
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2026.101943
Théo Chamarande, Benjamin Pillot
Cooking is one of the basic human needs that requires energy. Solid biomass is currently the main energy source for more than 2 billion people worldwide. In West Africa, biomass is used by 85% of the population. Modeling cooking scenarios helps understanding current energy mixes and potential paths to increase their sustainability. This study proposes a spatial model that optimizes the cost or carbon footprint of cooking a meal based on local resource availability (biomass, solar energy). We illustrate this method on three countries : Senegal, Niger and Côte d’Ivoire, but it can easily be applied to other regions or countries. The goal of this article is not to advocate for an optimal cooking energy mix, but rather to identify the main drivers of such a mix and to evaluate the effectiveness of potential public policies to enhance it. Our results highlight the strong potential for solar cooking in the Sahel, the low relevance of current electric cooking, and the major role played by traditional biomass. We also analyze how sensitive are the results of cooking optimization models to modeling assumptions, especially regarding biomass characterization.
烹饪是人类需要能量的基本需求之一。固体生物质目前是全世界20多亿人的主要能源。在西非,85%的人口使用生物质能。模拟烹饪场景有助于了解当前的能源组合和潜在的途径,以提高其可持续性。本研究提出了一个空间模型,该模型基于当地资源的可用性(生物质能、太阳能)来优化烹饪一顿饭的成本或碳足迹。我们以塞内加尔、尼日尔和Côte科特迪瓦这三个国家为例说明了这种方法,但它很容易适用于其他地区或国家。本文的目的不是提倡最佳的烹饪能源组合,而是确定这种组合的主要驱动因素,并评估潜在的公共政策的有效性,以加强它。我们的研究结果强调了太阳能烹饪在萨赫勒地区的巨大潜力,当前电烹饪的相关性较低,以及传统生物质的主要作用。我们还分析了烹饪优化模型的结果对建模假设的敏感性,特别是关于生物质表征。
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引用次数: 0
Cost competitiveness and carbon reduction of battery-electric vehicle and battery-swapping electric vehicle with incentive policy in China 基于激励政策的纯电动汽车和换电池汽车成本竞争力与碳减排
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2026.101938
Jun Li , Bin Yang , Mingke He
The key factors determining the total cost of ownership (TCO) of battery-electric vehicle (BEV) and battery-swapping electric vehicle (BSEV) are analysed. The effects of multiple incentive policies and carbon emission regulation on the cost competitiveness and carbon emission reduction of BEV and BSEV are explored in China. The comprehensive TCO model for BEV and BSEV is proposed focusing on vehicle category, city, incentive policy, and application. The TCO of BSEV’ M-SUV is approximately 20,000 yuan higher than that of internal combustion engine vehicle ICEV across five cities under the private car mode. The TCO of BSEV for all vehicle categories is the lowest, being approximately 100,000 yuan lower than that of BEV and around 250,000 yuan lower than that of ICEV under the ride-hailing mode. The incentive policies are essential to improve the cost competitiveness of BEV and BSEV under the private car mode. By contrast, TCO of BEV and BSEV is still 50,000 to 300,000 yuan lower than that of ICEV even without the implementation of incentive policies under the ride-hailing mode in 10 cities. Through sensitivity analysis, the rising unit carbon price, extended driving mileage and proportion of electricity generated from renewable energy sources have increasingly highlighted the advantage of BSEV in reducing carbon emission cost. The appropriate discount rates and optimized battery replacement period can effectively reduce the TCO of BEV and BSEV. Using the BEV with battery capacity of 75 kWh under the private car mode and the BSEV with battery capacity of 100 kWh under the ride-hailing mode are more conducive to TCO reduction. The methodology proposed in this paper can be used in other city and country studies, and generate useful information for supporting decision-making.
分析了决定纯电动汽车(BEV)和换电池汽车(BSEV)总拥有成本(TCO)的关键因素。本文以中国为例,探讨了多重激励政策和碳排放监管对纯电动汽车和纯电动汽车成本竞争力和碳减排的影响。从车型、城市、激励政策和应用四个方面,提出了纯电动汽车和纯电动汽车的综合TCO模型。在私家车模式下,BSEV的M-SUV在五个城市的TCO比内燃机汽车ICEV高出约2万元。在网约车模式下,BSEV在所有车型类别中的TCO最低,比纯电动汽车低约10万元,比电动汽车低约25万元。激励政策是提高纯电动汽车和纯电动汽车在私家车模式下的成本竞争力所必需的。相比之下,在10个城市的网约车模式下,即使不实施激励政策,纯电动汽车和纯电动汽车的TCO仍比纯电动汽车低5 - 30万元。通过敏感性分析,单位碳价的上涨、行驶里程的延长以及可再生能源发电比例的提高,使得BSEV在降低碳排放成本方面的优势日益凸显。适当的贴现率和优化的电池更换周期可以有效降低纯电动汽车和纯电动汽车的TCO。私家车模式下使用电池容量为75 kWh的纯电动汽车,网约车模式下使用电池容量为100 kWh的纯电动汽车更有利于降低TCO。本文提出的方法可用于其他城市和国家研究,并为支持决策提供有用的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Data-driven location–allocation for clean cooking LPG supply chains: A mixed-integer programming approach for Rwanda 数据驱动的清洁烹饪液化石油气供应链位置分配:卢旺达混合整数规划方法
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2026.101947
Zeynep Goze Gurkan , Pablo Duenas-Martinez , Ayse Selin Kocaman
Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) is a key clean cooking alternative to biomass, especially in developing countries where household air pollution remains a major concern. This study proposes a scalable decision-making framework for the design of LPG distribution networks, using Rwanda as a case study. We formulate a hierarchical location–allocation model as a Mixed-Integer Linear Program (MILP), leveraging a large-scale dataset with rooftop-level LPG demand for over 3.3 million households across Rwanda. To enable tractable, country-scale optimization, we adopt two complementary strategies: (i) a time-aggregated formulation assuming stable seasonal demand, and (ii) a spatial aggregation method based on agglomerative hierarchical clustering, which places retailers at distance-constrained geomedian points of rooftop clusters. We compare this clustering-based approach against a benchmark that uses village centroids for retailer siting, demonstrating cost savings and improved spatial fairness. Additionally, we assess the scalability of the system under projected demand growth and evaluate infrastructure–transportation trade-offs under fluctuating diesel prices. Our findings underscore the potential of data-driven planning tools in advancing equitable access to clean cooking solutions.
液化石油气(LPG)是生物质的关键清洁烹饪替代品,特别是在家庭空气污染仍然是主要问题的发展中国家。本研究以卢旺达为例,提出了一个可扩展的LPG分配网络设计决策框架。我们将分层位置分配模型制定为混合整数线性计划(MILP),利用卢旺达超过330万户家庭的屋顶液化石油气需求大型数据集。为了实现可处理的、国家尺度的优化,我们采用了两种互补的策略:(i)假设季节性需求稳定的时间聚合公式,以及(ii)基于聚集分层聚类的空间聚合方法,该方法将零售商置于距离受限的屋顶集群几何点上。我们将这种基于聚类的方法与使用村庄中心点进行零售商选址的基准方法进行了比较,证明了成本节约和空间公平性的提高。此外,我们评估了系统在预计需求增长下的可扩展性,并评估了柴油价格波动下的基础设施运输权衡。我们的研究结果强调了数据驱动的规划工具在促进公平获得清洁烹饪解决方案方面的潜力。
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Energy for Sustainable Development
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