Yunnan, China, has abundant solar energy resources, positioning it as a pivotal region for photovoltaic (PV) development. However, land management restrictions and complex weather conditions pose challenges to the establishment and operation of PV power stations. This study developed a climate suitability framework using the analytic hierarchy process for PV development in Yunnan, based on 10 climatic factors and 5 land use factors linked closely to PV power efficiency. The results indicated that central and southwestern regions, accounting for approximately 45.1 % of Yunnan Province, exhibit excellent suitability for PV deployment, particularly Xishuangbanna, Lincang, Chuxiong, Yuxi, and Pu’er. Additionally, when considering five land use constraint factors, 48.9 % of Yunnan's area was excluded. Notably, the analysis did not establish a strong relationship between climate suitability for PV development and solar energy generation potential (SEGP) due to topographic heterogeneity and microclimate variability at the provincial scale, underscoring the necessity for more integrated planning approaches. Coupled analysis using the local Moran's I indicated that areas with high climatic suitability and high SEGP are concentrated predominantly in central and southwestern regions of Yunnan, accounting for 20 % of the province's PV resource development zones. Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) further confirmed this spatial heterogeneous distribution of SEGP across Yunnan. Compared with actual electricity consumption, a substantial surplus of PV power potential was identified across 16 counties of Yunnan. These findings highlight the considerable potential of PV energy generation to promote clean energy transition and contribute to carbon neutrality in Yunnan, providing a foundation for sustainable energy planning and policy formulation.
Key points
45.1 % of Yunnan, especially central-southwest, is highly suitable for solar power due to optimal climate conditions
20 % of feasible areas combine high suitability and energy potential, ideal for large-scale solar stations.
Theoretically, Yunnan possesses substantial potential for photovoltaic development.
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