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Techno-economic assessment of battery systems in the PV self-consumption without surpluses in the residential tariff of the Dominican Republic 多米尼加共和国居民电价中无盈余光伏自用电池系统的技术经济评价
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101898
Edwin Garabitos-Lara , Alexander Vallejo-Díaz , Carlos Napoleón Pereyra-Mariñez , Idalberto Herrera-Moya
This study develops a techno-economic model to evaluate the feasibility of battery energy storage systems (BESS) integrated into photovoltaic (PV) self-consumption schemes without surplus injection under the Dominican Republic's residential tariff. Hourly consumption data from three real households were analyzed, defining three representative demand levels—low, medium, and high. System sizing was optimized by maximizing net present value (NPV) while assessing internal rate of return (IRR), self-consumption ratio (SCR), self-sufficiency ratio (SSR), levelized cost of energy (LCOE), and a proposed parity index (PI). Results indicate that PV self-consumption is profitable only for high-demand users (≥ 701 kWh month−1), achieving grid parity (PI ≈ 1.0; IRR ≈ 10 %). Battery integration raises SCR from 73.4 to 98.3 % and SSR from 34 to 45 %, however reduces profitability because of higher capital investment. Profitability is highly sensitive to the hourly demand profile: redistributing identical daily consumption improved NPV by up to 16 %. Removing the residential subsidy slightly enhances profitability for low- and medium-demand users, while high-demand users lose competitiveness. A 30 % reduction in battery cost increases NPV by 18 % for high-demand profiles but remains insufficient for others. These results confirm that PV + BESS are technically and economically viable for high-demand consumers, strengthening energy autonomy and resilience in countries with similar tariffs and solar resources.
本研究开发了一个技术经济模型,以评估在多米尼加共和国居民电价下,电池储能系统(BESS)集成到光伏(PV)自消费计划中而没有剩余注入的可行性。我们分析了三个真实家庭的每小时消费数据,定义了三个具有代表性的需求水平——低、中、高。通过最大化净现值(NPV)来优化系统规模,同时评估内部收益率(IRR)、自用率(SCR)、自给率(SSR)、平准化能源成本(LCOE)和提议的平价指数(PI)。结果表明,光伏自用仅对高需求用户(≥701 kWh月- 1)有利,实现电网平价(PI≈1.0;IRR≈10%)。电池集成将SCR从73.4提高到98.3%,SSR从34%提高到45%,但由于更高的资本投资,降低了盈利能力。盈利能力对小时需求曲线高度敏感:重新分配相同的日消费可使净现值提高16%。取消居民补贴略微提高了中低需求用户的盈利能力,而高需求用户则失去了竞争力。电池成本降低30%,对高需求车型的净现值增加18%,但对其他车型仍然不够。这些结果证实,对于高需求的消费者来说,光伏+ BESS在技术和经济上都是可行的,可以增强具有类似关税和太阳能资源的国家的能源自主权和弹性。
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引用次数: 0
CMIP6 climate change and wind environment impacts on cold-region residential energy and thermal comfort: A case study of Harbin 气候变化和风环境对寒区居民能源和热舒适的影响——以哈尔滨市为例
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101885
Jingyi Mu , Yimeng Feng , Dazhi Yang , Guoming Yang
The energy consumption of urban residential buildings and occupant thermal comfort are significantly affected by climate change driven by excessive carbon emissions. However, these impacts remain understudied in cold urban areas. This study examined residential buildings in Harbin, China, to evaluate the effects of future climate change and urban wind environment on energy consumption and thermal comfort. Meteorological data for Harbin were simulated for 2030, 2040, 2050, and 2060 under SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 carbon emission scenarios. The urban wind environment was analyzed using Phoenics, and EnergyPlus simulated the impact on building energy consumption and thermal comfort. Results showed an increase of 3.96 °C in annual average air temperature under SSP585 by 2060 compared to the typical meteorological year, with SSP245 and SSP126 showing increases of 2.27 °C and 1.57 °C. Cooling energy demand was projected to rise by 142.5 % and 134.0 % for multi-story and high-rise buildings under SSP585, while heating demand dropped by 20.3 % and 15.8 %. Thermal comfort exhibited pronounced changes, as the urban wind environment improving winter comfort but exacerbating summer discomfort, leading to a 1.33 % increase in cooling demand and a 1.68 % reduction in heating demand. This study emphasized the need for Harbin to adopt a greener development path beyond SSP126 while addressing health risks from winter temperature drops and the environmental impacts of increased cooling demand. The shading effect of urban vegetation can effectively mitigate the increased cooling energy consumption caused by the wind environment during summer. These results provided a foundation for policy development in cold urban areas.
过度碳排放导致的气候变化对城市居住建筑能耗和居住者热舒适的影响显著。然而,这些影响在寒冷的城市地区仍未得到充分研究。本研究以哈尔滨市住宅建筑为研究对象,评估未来气候变化和城市风环境对能耗和热舒适的影响。对哈尔滨市在SSP126、SSP245和SSP585碳排放情景下2030、2040、2050和2060年的气象数据进行了模拟。利用Phoenics软件对城市风环境进行了分析,并利用EnergyPlus软件模拟了风对建筑能耗和热舒适的影响。结果表明,到2060年,SSP585下的年平均气温较典型气象年升高3.96℃,其中SSP245和SSP126分别升高2.27℃和1.57℃。根据SSP585,多层和高层建筑的制冷能源需求预计分别上升142.5%和134.0%,而供暖需求则分别下降20.3%和15.8%。热舒适表现出明显的变化,城市风环境改善了冬季舒适度,但加剧了夏季不适,导致制冷需求增加1.33%,供暖需求减少1.68%。本研究强调,哈尔滨需要在SSP126之外采取更绿色的发展道路,同时解决冬季气温下降带来的健康风险和制冷需求增加对环境的影响。城市植被的遮阳作用可以有效缓解夏季风环境带来的制冷能耗增加。这些结果为寒冷城市地区的政策制定提供了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Stakeholder analysis of perceptions of hydrogen cooperation with Japan in India 利益相关者对印度与日本氢能合作看法的分析
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101884
Takuma Otaki, Rajib Shaw
India and Japan are advancing hydrogen technologies, with Japan leading in areas salient to India (ammonia combustion, hydrogen-based iron reduction, heavy-duty vehicles, and water electrolyzers), making bilateral collaboration particularly valuable and raising the prospect of an India–Japan hydrogen value chain, including exports. Japan is also preparing to import hydrogen through grant-based schemes initiated in October 2024. This study maps and compares stakeholders in both countries using official documents, then conducts semi-structured interviews (11 of 12 targeted decision-makers across companies, research organizations, universities, and a conglomerate) to examine three themes: collaboration with Japan, export feasibility, and diffusion of hydrogen technologies in India. Stakeholders held moderate expectations for Japanese technology licensing (lower than for the United States) and highlighted slow decision-making by Japanese firms; they emphasized local manufacturing in India and the need for Japanese capital to leverage India's strong human talent amid infrastructure and funding constraints. Intellectual property protection was viewed as adequate, suggesting cooperation within the current framework. Medium- to long-term exports to Japan were considered feasible, underpinned by renewable deployment outpacing domestic demand and stable policy support; ammonia was favored as the carrier, whereas liquid hydrogen drew cost and handling concerns. Diffusion in India is expected to take at least a decade, with early uptake in refining, fertilizer, syngas, and iron, and government agencies pivotal via incentives, diffusion support, and public awareness. Key challenges—ecosystem development, cost competitiveness, safety, and demand creation—point to priorities in human capital, regulation, and finance, where Japanese experience could catalyze collaboration.
印度和日本正在推进氢技术,日本在对印度具有重要意义的领域(氨燃烧、氢基铁还原、重型汽车和水电解槽)处于领先地位,这使得双边合作特别有价值,并提高了印日氢价值链(包括出口)的前景。日本还准备通过2024年10月启动的赠款计划进口氢气。本研究使用官方文件绘制并比较了两国的利益相关者,然后进行了半结构化访谈(公司、研究机构、大学和企业集团的12位目标决策者中的11位),以研究三个主题:与日本的合作、出口可行性和氢技术在印度的推广。利益相关者对日本技术许可持温和期望(低于美国),并强调日本公司决策缓慢;他们强调印度的本地制造业,以及在基础设施和资金受限的情况下,日本需要资本来利用印度强大的人才。知识产权保护被认为是充分的,建议在现有框架内进行合作。对日本的中长期出口被认为是可行的,因为可再生能源的部署超过了国内需求和稳定的政策支持;氨作为载体受到青睐,而液氢则引起了成本和处理方面的担忧。印度的推广预计至少需要10年时间,炼油、化肥、合成气和铁等行业将率先采用,政府机构将通过激励措施、推广支持和公众意识发挥关键作用。关键挑战——生态系统发展、成本竞争力、安全和需求创造——指向人力资本、监管和金融领域的优先事项,日本的经验可以在这些领域促进合作。
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引用次数: 0
The greenhouse gases emissions and environmental impact profiles for bio-electromobility alternatives in Brazilian urban buses 巴西城市公交车的生物电动交通替代品的温室气体排放和环境影响概况
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101887
Marcelo Antunes Gauto , Tamar Roitman , Everton Lopes , Rafael Silva Capaz , Gonçalo Amarante Guimarães Pereira , Guilherme Pessoa Nogueira
The global transport sector remains a major contributor to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, urging the need for low-carbon pathways that go beyond full fleet electrification. In countries like Brazil, where biofuel production is mature and the electricity matrix is relatively clean, bio-electromobility can offer an effective alternative for decarbonizing urban public transport. This study assesses the environmental performance of seven scenarios composed by different bus types and energy use — conventional diesel, compressed natural gas (CNG), biomethane (bioCNG), hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) from soybean oil and from tallow, in internal combustion engine buses (ICEB), hybrid buses (HEB) and battery electric buses (BEB) configurations — through a cradle-to-grave Life Cycle Assessment (LCA). The analysis covers midpoint Global Warming Potential and endpoint damage categories: Ecosystem Quality, Human Health, and Natural Resources. Results show that buses powered by residue-based HVO or bioCNG in both internal combustion and hybrid configurations outperform BEBs in several environmental impact categories, challenging the narrative that “zero-emission” buses are always the optimal solution when upstream and mid-life emissions are considered. Limitations include data assumptions, partial regionalization, and infrastructure constraints that may affect large-scale deployment. The findings emphasize the need for diversified public policies that integrate biofuels and electrification, leveraging Brazil's biomass potential while expanding charging infrastructure sustainably. This study contributes to closing knowledge gaps in bio-electromobility's role and provides decision-makers with robust evidence to guide investments and regulatory frameworks toward a truly low-carbon urban transport system.
全球交通运输部门仍然是温室气体排放的主要来源,迫切需要在车队全面电气化之外寻找低碳途径。在巴西等生物燃料生产成熟、电力基质相对清洁的国家,生物电动交通可以为城市公共交通的脱碳提供有效的替代方案。本研究通过从摇篮到坟墓的生命周期评估(LCA),评估了由不同类型和能源使用组成的七种方案的环境性能,包括内燃机客车(ICEB)、混合动力客车(HEB)和纯电动客车(BEB)配置中的传统柴油、压缩天然气(CNG)、生物甲烷(bioCNG)、大豆油和牛脂加氢处理植物油(HVO)。该分析涵盖了全球变暖潜势的中点和端点损害类别:生态系统质量、人类健康和自然资源。结果表明,在内燃和混合动力配置中,由基于残留物的HVO或生物柴油驱动的公交车在几个环境影响类别中都优于beb,挑战了“零排放”公交车始终是考虑上游和中期排放的最佳解决方案的说法。限制包括数据假设、部分区域化和可能影响大规模部署的基础设施约束。研究结果强调,需要制定多元化的公共政策,将生物燃料和电气化结合起来,利用巴西的生物质潜力,同时可持续地扩大充电基础设施。本研究有助于缩小关于生物电动汽车作用的知识差距,并为决策者提供有力的证据,以指导投资和监管框架,实现真正的低碳城市交通系统。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive model for sustainable exploitation of geothermal resources in Africa: The case of Olkaria geothermal field 非洲地热资源可持续开发的预测模型:以Olkaria地热田为例
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101886
C. Zuffi , D. Fiaschi , X.S. Musonye , H.S. Mukhongo , M. Nafula , I.P. Da Silva
Geothermal energy is a crucial renewable resource for a sustainable future, especially in African nations cut by the Rift Valley, which holds vast untapped potential. However, high upfront costs and development risks remain key challenges. This study introduces a simplified model calibrated with real data from Kenya's Olkaria geothermal field. The model enables rapid preliminary assessments of both technical and economic performance, requiring minimal input data. Additionally, it incorporates a Life Cycle Assessment to evaluate environmental impacts, an aspect rarely explored in African geothermal studies. The research analyses various technological configurations, including Single Flash, Double Flash, and Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) systems, aiming to improve efficiency without additional drilling. Findings show that integrating an ORC with existing flash systems can boost energy output by up to 20.1 %, with only a modest rise in the Levelized Cost of Electricity. Compared to the current Olkaria IV setup, hybrid systems demonstrated lower carbon emissions and reduced material resource use per energy output. Results confirm that ORC integration offers the most sustainable pathway for developing high-temperature geothermal resources in the East African Rift. This approach balances energy efficiency, economic feasibility, and environmental impact, providing valuable guidance for future power plant development in regulatory-constrained settings. This work is fully consistent with the objectives of Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) 7 and 13.
地热能是可持续未来的重要可再生资源,尤其是在被东非大裂谷隔开的非洲国家,那里蕴藏着巨大的未开发潜力。然而,高昂的前期成本和开发风险仍然是主要的挑战。本研究引入了一个简化模型,该模型使用肯尼亚Olkaria地热田的真实数据进行校准。该模型能够对技术和经济绩效进行快速初步评估,所需的输入数据最少。此外,它还结合了生命周期评估来评价环境影响,这是非洲地热研究中很少探讨的一个方面。该研究分析了各种技术配置,包括单闪、双闪和有机朗肯循环(ORC)系统,旨在提高效率,而无需额外的钻井。研究结果表明,将ORC与现有的闪存系统集成可以将能量输出提高20.1%,而平均电力成本仅略有上升。与目前的Olkaria IV装置相比,混合动力系统显示出更低的碳排放,减少了每能量输出的材料资源消耗。结果证实,ORC整合为东非裂谷高温地热资源开发提供了最可持续的途径。这种方法平衡了能源效率、经济可行性和环境影响,为监管受限的未来发电厂发展提供了有价值的指导。这项工作完全符合可持续发展目标7和13的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Peer-to-peer energy and rural electrification: Evidence from solar microgrids in Bangladesh 点对点能源和农村电气化:来自孟加拉国太阳能微电网的证据
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101881
Christian Zürpel , Sebastian Groh
Around 800 million people globally do not have access to electricity — most of those affected reside in rural areas in the Global South. The challenge of rural electrification is particularly pronounced in Africa, though pockets of South Asia are similarly afflicted. In these areas, national grid extension is often prohibitively expensive owing to geography. To allow for the reaping of documented benefits bestowed by access to electricity, and to retain the prospect of reaching Sustainable Development Goal 7 by 2030 (access to affordable, reliable, sustainable, and modern energy for all), affordably implementable alternatives to national grid extensions require exploring. To date, policymakers around the world have, however, paid comparably little attention to off-grid solutions suited to local conditions, such as microgrids powered by sustainable sources of energy, despite the potential cost- and time-savings in rural electrification.
Analyzing a unique, newly constructed data set covering two years of peer-to-peer trading data from 104 solar-powered microgrids across Bangladesh yields important lessons on aspects to consider in designing and efficiently leveraging such microgrids in electrifying rural areas. Linear regression analysis results illustrate, for both linear probability and ordinary least squares models, (i) the importance of sufficient solar power generation capacity in a microgrid, with backup power supply by so-called micro-utilities constituting an important tool to enhance microgrid performance; (ii) the composition and geographic setup of microgrids are crucial, with ideally no households in a given location opting out of connecting to the microgrid and a sufficient dispersion of production capacity to meet demand close by, minimizing transmission losses; (iii) electrically run appliances are a precondition for the intensive-margin utility of a microgrid, allowing for peer-to-peer energy sellers to capitalize on their investments in solar panels and batteries.
These findings and their interpretation underscore the crucial role ascribed to complementary services by the literature. Such services range from support in financing microgrid infrastructure and appliance purchases to skills training aimed at buttressing productive-use uptake of newly-gained electricity access. Policy support in establishing microgrids furthermore proves to be a worthwhile long-term endeavor. Even the arrival of national grid connections at numerous of the solar microgrids investigated did not diminish their utility owing to the need for backup power and these microgrids’ continued capacity to provide clean energy reliably.
全球约有8亿人用不上电,其中大多数受影响的人居住在全球南方的农村地区。农村电气化的挑战在非洲尤其明显,尽管南亚的一些地区也受到同样的困扰。在这些地区,由于地理位置的原因,国家电网的扩展往往非常昂贵。为了获得电力供应所带来的有记录的好处,并保持到2030年实现可持续发展目标7(人人获得负担得起的、可靠的、可持续的现代能源)的前景,需要探索可负担得起、可实施的替代方案,以取代国家电网扩建。然而,迄今为止,尽管农村电气化可能节省成本和时间,但世界各地的政策制定者对适合当地情况的离网解决方案(例如由可持续能源供电的微电网)的关注相对较少。分析一个独特的、新建的数据集,涵盖了孟加拉国104个太阳能微电网两年的点对点交易数据,得出了设计和有效利用此类微电网在农村地区电气化方面需要考虑的重要经验教训。线性回归分析结果表明,对于线性概率模型和普通最小二乘模型,(i)充足的太阳能发电能力在微电网中的重要性,通过所谓的微公用事业提供备用电源是提高微电网性能的重要工具;(ii)微电网的组成和地理设置至关重要,理想情况下,在特定地点没有家庭选择不连接微电网,并且生产能力充分分散以满足附近的需求,最大限度地减少传输损失;(iii)电动设备是微电网实现高边际效用的先决条件,它允许点对点能源销售商利用他们在太阳能电池板和电池上的投资获利。这些发现及其解释强调了文献中补充服务的关键作用。这些服务包括资助微电网基础设施和设备购买,以及旨在支持生产利用新获得的电力的技能培训。建立微电网的政策支持进一步证明是值得长期努力的。即使在许多被调查的太阳能微电网中实现了国家电网连接,也没有减少它们的效用,因为它们需要备用电源,而且这些微电网仍有能力可靠地提供清洁能源。
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引用次数: 0
Survey bias and the poor: How survey responses overstate electricity spending 调查偏差与穷人:调查回应如何夸大电力支出
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101876
Joel Mugyenyi, Vijay Modi
Accurately estimating household electricity expenditures is essential for assessing energy poverty and informing subsidy and affordability policies. This study combines household survey data with administrative utility billing records for households in Rwanda to examine the extent and nature of misreporting in self-reported electricity spending, using a sample size of 650 households. We find systematic over-reporting among poorer households, primarily due to mismatches between survey recall periods and the irregular, prepaid nature of electricity purchases. To correct for this bias, we adjust reported expenditures using empirical distributions of monthly purchase frequency derived from utility data. Additionally, for unmatched households, we develop predictive models based on household characteristics, though these perform less reliably in data-sparse settings. Extending the analysis to Uganda, we apply both the frequency-based correction and predictive models. Across countries, adjusted estimates suggest electricity burdens for most households lie between 0.5% and 2.5% of total household expenditure across all wealth groups. These findings underscore the limitations of relying solely on household surveys to measure electricity spending in prepaid systems. They highlight the value of integrating administrative utility data with statistical correction methods to produce more accurate and policy-relevant assessments of electricity affordability.
准确估计家庭用电支出对于评估能源贫困和为补贴和可负担性政策提供信息至关重要。本研究将家庭调查数据与卢旺达家庭的行政公用事业账单记录相结合,以650个家庭为样本,研究自我报告的电力支出误报的程度和性质。我们发现,在较贫穷的家庭中,系统性的多报,主要是由于调查召回期与电力购买的不规律、预付性质之间的不匹配。为了纠正这种偏差,我们使用来自公用事业数据的每月购买频率的经验分布来调整报告的支出。此外,对于不匹配的家庭,我们开发了基于家庭特征的预测模型,尽管这些模型在数据稀疏设置中表现不太可靠。将分析扩展到乌干达,我们同时应用了基于频率的校正和预测模型。在各国,调整后的估计表明,在所有财富群体中,大多数家庭的电费负担占家庭总支出的0.5%至2.5%。这些发现强调了仅仅依靠家庭调查来衡量预付费系统的电力支出的局限性。他们强调了将行政公用事业数据与统计校正方法相结合的价值,以产生更准确和与政策相关的电力负担能力评估。
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引用次数: 0
Biomass densification pathways for India: An overview on technologies, characterization, testing, challenges and economics 印度的生物质致密化途径:技术概述,表征,测试,挑战和经济
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101878
Deepti , Deepanshu Awasthi , Kunwar Pal , Tapas Kumar Patra , Nikhil Gakkhar , Amrit Pal Toor
In the pursuit of sustainable energy solutions amid escalating climate concerns and fossil fuel depletion, biomass has emerged as a viable alternative. Derived from organic sources like agricultural residues and forest biomass, it offers locally sourced energy potential. However, its low bulk density poses significant handling and logistical challenges, necessitating densification a process that compresses biomass into denser forms to enhance energy efficiency and manageability. This study explores the historical evolution, principles, technologies and testing methodologies of biomass densification, critically analyzing its benefits and current challenges. As of January 2025, India has an installed capacity of 472,468.01 MW of which 296,745.79 MW is active with 175,700.23 MW from renewable sources, including 11,594.02 MW from biomass energy and 46,647.33 MW under maintenance. With approximately 285 Mt. of surplus biomass available out of a total 755 Mt., biomass offers significant untapped energy potential. Notably, India's peak energy demand stands at 199,048 MW, with a shortfall of 1077 MW, underscoring the urgent need for alternative energy pathways. This work serves as a comprehensive reference for academia, industry, R&D, policy-makers and stakeholders, advocating for widespread adoption of biomass densification to support India's energy security and its net zero emission goals by 2070.
在不断升级的气候担忧和化石燃料枯竭的背景下,在追求可持续能源解决方案的过程中,生物质已成为一种可行的替代方案。它来自农业残留物和森林生物质等有机资源,提供了本地能源潜力。然而,它的低体积密度带来了重大的处理和后勤挑战,需要致密化,将生物质压缩成更密集的形式,以提高能源效率和可管理性。本研究探讨了生物质致密化的历史演变、原理、技术和测试方法,批判性地分析了它的好处和当前的挑战。截至2025年1月,印度的装机容量为472,468.01兆瓦,其中296,745.79兆瓦活跃,175,700.23兆瓦来自可再生能源,其中11,594.02兆瓦来自生物质能源,46,647.33兆瓦正在维护中。在总计7.55亿吨的剩余生物质中,约有2.85亿吨可用,生物质提供了巨大的未开发能源潜力。值得注意的是,印度的峰值能源需求为199,048兆瓦,缺口为1077兆瓦,这突显了对替代能源途径的迫切需求。这项工作为学术界、工业界、研发部门、政策制定者和利益相关者提供了全面的参考,倡导广泛采用生物质致密化,以支持印度的能源安全和到2070年实现净零排放目标。
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引用次数: 0
Techno-economic assessment of floating photovoltaic systems to strengthen local energy security: A case study of the Valsequillo Dam, Mexico 浮动光伏系统加强地方能源安全的技术经济评估:以墨西哥Valsequillo大坝为例
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101883
Shahin Rasooli , Shahrzad Farhoodi , Catalina Spataru , Mexitli Sandoval-Reyes , Pabel Antonio Cervantes-Avilés , Carlos Alberto Huerta-Aguilar
Floating Photovoltaic (FPV) systems offer a promising yet underexplored alternative to fulfill the growing demand for energy. This study practically evaluates the viability of deploying an FPV system on the Valsequillo Dam in central Mexico, a large reservoir without any energy infrastructure. A land-based photovoltaic (LPV) system with identical design parameters was also modeled to provide a comparative benchmark. The assessment integrates geospatial clustering of nearby settlements, climatic analysis, energy yield modeling, and a detailed techno-economic analysis supported by sensitivity and Monte Carlo simulations. Despite enhanced cooling of FPV and land-use efficiency, the LPV system achieves a lower levelized cost of electricity (46.7 vs 59.2 USD/MWh for FPV) and a positive net present value (NPV) of 16.6 million USD; however, FPV's higher cost and design constraints (e.g., panel tilt limitation) have dropped the NPV to values as low as −5.7 million USD. The uncertainty analysis highlights the critical role of cost reduction, energy price, and policy incentives in enhancing the viability of FPV. Higher overhead costs as well as political interests toward fossil fuels must be overcome to provide stable investment atmosphere. By implementing targeted strategies, FPVs could be integrated into the infrastructure planning in underutilized regions such as Puebla in Mexico or other similar locations globally to catalyze transition to cleaner energies. Otherwise, despite the privilege of adequate solar irradiance, risk – reward imbalance could further discourage investors to engage with renewable energy projects in Mexico.
浮动光伏(FPV)系统为满足日益增长的能源需求提供了一个有前途但尚未开发的替代方案。本研究实际评估了在墨西哥中部Valsequillo大坝(一个没有任何能源基础设施的大型水库)部署FPV系统的可行性。并对具有相同设计参数的陆基光伏(LPV)系统进行了建模,以提供比较基准。该评估综合了附近居民点的地理空间聚类、气候分析、能源产出模型,以及由敏感性和蒙特卡罗模拟支持的详细技术经济分析。尽管加强了FPV的冷却和土地利用效率,LPV系统实现了更低的电力成本(FPV为46.7美元/兆瓦时,而FPV为59.2美元/兆瓦时)和正净现值(NPV)为1660万美元;然而,FPV的高成本和设计限制(如面板倾斜限制)使NPV降至- 570万美元。不确定性分析强调了成本降低、能源价格和政策激励在提高FPV可行性方面的关键作用。为了提供稳定的投资环境,必须克服更高的间接费用和对化石燃料的政治利益。通过实施有针对性的战略,fpv可以整合到未充分利用地区的基础设施规划中,如墨西哥的普埃布拉或全球其他类似地区,以促进向清洁能源的过渡。否则,尽管拥有充足的太阳辐照度,但风险与回报的不平衡可能会进一步阻碍投资者参与墨西哥的可再生能源项目。
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引用次数: 0
Biogas and the circular economy: Rethinking rural employment in Limpopo, South Africa 沼气与循环经济:重新思考南非林波波省的农村就业
IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101882
Thilivhali Rasimphi , David Tinarwo , Sophie Mulaudzi
Biogas technology presents a viable pathway to address energy poverty and unemployment in rural South Africa, offering clean energy from organic waste while creating opportunities for income generation. Despite its potential, adoption in Limpopo Province remains low, constrained by economic, technical, and socio-cultural barriers. This study investigates how biogas initiatives contribute to job creation and livelihood improvement, using a qualitative, grounded theory approach. Data were collected through 22 semi-structured interviews with households, technicians, youth entrepreneurs, and policymakers across Sekhukhune, Capricorn, and Vhembe districts. The findings show that biogas projects generate both direct employment, in activities such as digester construction, installation, and maintenance, and indirect employment through the production and use of biofertilizer. However, uptake is limited by high installation costs, insufficient technical support, and fragmented policy and institutional frameworks. To enhance adoption and employment outcomes, the study recommends targeted subsidies, ongoing technical training, and inclusive public–private partnerships. These insights underline the importance of community-centered strategies that integrate technical, economic, and social considerations, offering practical guidance for policymakers and development practitioners seeking to promote sustainable energy solutions and improve livelihoods in rural South African communities.
沼气技术为解决南非农村的能源贫困和失业问题提供了一条可行的途径,从有机废物中提供清洁能源,同时创造创收机会。尽管有潜力,林波波省的采用率仍然很低,受到经济、技术和社会文化障碍的限制。本研究采用定性的、扎根的理论方法,调查了沼气倡议如何有助于创造就业机会和改善生计。数据是通过对Sekhukhune、Capricorn和Vhembe地区的家庭、技术人员、青年企业家和政策制定者进行的22次半结构化访谈收集的。研究结果表明,沼气项目既能在沼气池建设、安装和维护等活动中创造直接就业机会,也能通过生产和使用生物肥料创造间接就业机会。然而,由于安装成本高、技术支持不足以及政策和体制框架不统一,这种吸收受到限制。为了提高采用率和就业成果,该研究建议有针对性的补贴、持续的技术培训和包容性的公私伙伴关系。这些见解强调了以社区为中心的战略的重要性,这些战略综合了技术、经济和社会方面的考虑,为寻求促进可持续能源解决方案和改善南非农村社区生计的政策制定者和发展实践者提供了实用指导。
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Energy for Sustainable Development
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