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Climate change impacts on residential energy usage in hot semi-arid climate: Jordan case study 气候变化对炎热半干旱气候下居民能源使用的影响:约旦案例研究
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101576
Aiman Albatayneh , Renad Albadaineh , Adel Juaidi
Buildings contribute significantly to climate change, accounting for 20 % of greenhouse gas emissions and over 40 % of global primary energy consumption. As the world's population grows and living standards rise, building energy use rises. Climate change is expected to impact interior environments, leading to uncertainty in analyzing energy and thermal usage of existing structures. Among the effects of climate change is a temperature increase that affects the indoor climate. Understanding future climate scenarios and their impacts can enhance the adaptability of existing buildings. The article extensively analyzed how climate change affects the energy usage of housing developments to address this problem. This study aims to determine the thermal behavior of existing buildings in Jordan in present and future timeframes, considering the effect of different orientation scenarios. Using Design Builder software, a family's home in a Hot Semi-Arid Climate zone presented by Amman City is modeled, and its internal circumstances are documented for the current climate and the next 40–70 years' predictions. Larger homes will see higher fluctuations in their energy load than smaller homes. Based on Köppen climate classification of the present and future times, the findings indicate that by 2100, mechanical cooling will be needed most of the time. Even with suggested tactics, the structure will not be pleasant without conditioning. The research indicates that the climate zones in Amman city are expected to shift from their current classification to arid zones with two distinct thermal regions, according to the climate maps provided. This transition is predicted to increase cooling loads significantly, rising from 2544.90 kWh/year to 4076.34 kWh/year, while heating loads are predicted to decrease from 4197.56 kWh/year to 3719.15 kWh/year. Moreover, the outcomes of the orientation scenarios analysis are that the total electrical loads in the present and future timeframes were at their lowest values when the building was oriented 180° counterclockwise, while the building recorded the highest value in its baseline orientation scenario.
建筑对气候变化的影响很大,占温室气体排放量的 20%,占全球一次能源消耗量的 40%以上。随着世界人口的增长和生活水平的提高,建筑能耗也随之上升。气候变化预计会对室内环境产生影响,从而给分析现有建筑的能源和热能使用情况带来不确定性。气候变化的影响之一是温度升高,从而影响室内气候。了解未来的气候情景及其影响可以提高现有建筑的适应性。文章广泛分析了气候变化如何影响住房开发的能源使用,以解决这一问题。本研究旨在确定约旦现有建筑在当前和未来时间框架内的热行为,并考虑不同朝向情景的影响。利用 Design Builder 软件,对安曼市提出的半干旱炎热气候区的家庭住宅进行了建模,并记录了当前气候和未来 40-70 年预测的内部情况。大型住宅的能源负荷波动将高于小型住宅。根据柯本对当前和未来气候的分类,研究结果表明,到 2100 年,大部分时间将需要机械制冷。即使采用了建议的策略,没有空调的结构也不会令人感到舒适。研究表明,根据所提供的气候图,安曼市的气候带预计将从目前的分类转变为具有两个不同热区的干旱区。据预测,这种转变将显著增加制冷负荷,从 2544.90 千瓦时/年增加到 4076.34 千瓦时/年,而供暖负荷将从 4197.56 千瓦时/年减少到 3719.15 千瓦时/年。此外,朝向情景分析的结果表明,当大楼逆时针方向 180° 时,当前和未来时间框架内的总电力负荷值最低,而在基准朝向情景下,大楼的电力负荷值最高。
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引用次数: 0
Deep decarbonization strategy for synergistic reduction of CO2 and air pollutant emissions in metropolises: A case study of Suzhou, China 协同减少大都市二氧化碳和空气污染物排放的深度脱碳战略:中国苏州案例研究
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-10-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101575
Feiyue Qian , Yan Zhu , Cui Da , Xinrui Zheng , Zhiming Liu , Chunchen Lu , Yuanyuan Cheng , Chuanming Yang
Cities play a crucial role in economic development and greenhouse gas emissions worldwide owing to their population density and industrial concentration. In this study, Suzhou, a highly developed metropolis in China, was selected to investigate the deep decarbonization strategies toward achieving dual carbon goals. A bottom-up Long-term Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP-Suzhou) model was established, encompassing seven key economic sectors: electricity generation, industrial manufacturing, transportation, residential living, public service, agricultural production, and waste disposal. This model estimated Suzhou's energy consumption and historical emissions as well as predicted carbon dioxide (CO2) and homologous pollutant emissions under nine scenarios from 2021 to 2050. The results indicated that the growth in Suzhou's energy consumption significantly slowed from 2016 to 2020, with CO2 emissions reaching 248.21 million tons in 2020. Industrial manufacturing and electricity generation were identified as major contributors to emissions. By coupling new industrialization with the implementation of clean (zero-carbon) power alternatives, rather than relying solely on economic growth-driven scenarios as baselines, Suzhou can achieve its carbon peak target before 2030 while simultaneously reducing homologous pollutant emissions. The adoption of deep decarbonization strategies is expected to reduce net CO2 emissions to 29.44 million tons by 2050 and yield an economic benefit equivalent to 2.1 % of the Gross Domestic Product that year. The findings emphasize the critical roles of targeted measures such as technological innovation, cross-sectoral collaboration, and green markets, in facilitating a net zero-carbon transition.
由于人口密集和工业集中,城市在全球经济发展和温室气体排放中发挥着至关重要的作用。本研究选择了中国高度发达的大都市苏州,以研究实现双碳目标的深度脱碳战略。研究建立了一个自下而上的长期能源替代规划(LEAP-苏州)模型,涵盖七个关键经济部门:发电、工业制造、交通、居民生活、公共服务、农业生产和废物处理。该模型估算了苏州的能源消耗和历史排放量,并预测了 2021 至 2050 年九种情景下的二氧化碳(CO2)和同源污染物排放量。结果表明,从 2016 年到 2020 年,苏州的能源消耗增长明显放缓,2020 年的二氧化碳排放量达到 2.4821 亿吨。工业制造和发电被认为是排放的主要来源。通过将新型工业化与实施清洁(零碳)电力替代相结合,而不是仅仅依靠经济增长驱动的情景作为基线,苏州可以在 2030 年前实现碳峰值目标,同时减少同源污染物排放。预计到 2050 年,采用深度脱碳战略可将二氧化碳净排放量减少至 2944 万吨,产生的经济效益相当于当年国内生产总值的 2.1%。研究结果强调了技术创新、跨部门合作和绿色市场等有针对性的措施在促进净零碳过渡中的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Promoting cleaner cooking technologies in urban Malawi: Assessing the acceptance of pellet-fed gasifier cookstoves from a pilot targeted distribution model 在马拉维城市推广清洁烹饪技术:从试点定向分发模式评估颗粒气化炉的接受程度
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-10-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101570
Leo C. Zulu , Judith F.M. Kamoto , Ida N.S. Djenontin , Charles B.L. Jumbe , Innocent Pangapanga-Phiri , Robert B. Richardson , Mitelo Subakanya , Pascal Nzokou , Stephy D. Makungwa
The uptake of emerging biomass gasification technology that offers ultra-efficient cookstoves remains low in Africa despite its potential to reduce exposure to household air pollution, deforestation, carbon emissions (addressing UN Sustainable Development Goal, SDGs 7, 15, 13), and accidents from burns. Using urban households survey data (N = 216) from low-medium income townships of Lilongwe, Malawi, this paper assesses the acceptability and user perceptions of the Mimi Moto (MM), a fan-propelled pellet-fed gasifier cookstove that was distributed through a targeted marketing model. Findings reveal both very high popularity (91 % of users) of the MM despite stove stacking behavior characterized by households owning 2–3 stoves. Over 77 % of the respondents used the MM as primary cookstove. The performance measures and socio-cultural acceptance of the MM were rated as “high” to “very high”. Cooking timesaving emerged as the most significant benefit of the MM, alongside reduced fuel consumption and expenses. Challenges identified include high stove prices, inconsistent fuel quality, and limited access to fuel distribution and stove-maintenance services. Findings highlight the popularity of installment payment methods with 77 % of respondents favoring this option, including 39.2 % who prefer payroll deduction. The study is among the rising few that focuses on urban settings. Findings suggest that the MM cookstove can offer a cleaner stack alternative to support a realistic goal of clean cooking and energy transition (SDG 7) in urban Malawi. This will benefit from effective distribution strategies to boost gasifiers uptake. Notably, emphasizing stove-cost reduction through creative financing and subsidies to ease acquisition; ensuring high-quality pellets and sustainable supply; providing stove maintenance and repair support; and underscoring cooking time and fuel savings along with health and environmental benefits in promotional messages are key.
尽管新兴的生物质气化技术具有减少家庭空气污染、森林砍伐、碳排放(实现联合国可持续发展目标 7、15、13)和焚烧事故的潜力,但在非洲,提供超高效炉灶的生物质气化技术的采用率仍然很低。本文利用马拉维利隆圭中低收入乡镇的城市家庭调查数据(N = 216),评估了 Mimi Moto(MM)的可接受性和用户看法,MM 是一种通过定向营销模式分发的风扇推进颗粒燃料气化炉。研究结果表明,尽管家庭拥有 2-3 个炉灶是堆叠炉灶行为的特点,但 Mimi Moto 仍然非常受欢迎(91% 的用户)。超过 77% 的受访者将 MM 作为主要炉灶。MM 的性能指标和社会文化接受度被评为 "高 "至 "非常高"。除了减少燃料消耗和开支外,节省做饭时间也是 MM 的最大好处。所发现的挑战包括炉灶价格高、燃料质量不稳定、获得燃料分配和炉灶维护服务的机会有限。调查结果显示,分期付款方式很受欢迎,77% 的受访者赞成这种付款方式,其中 39.2% 的受访者赞成从工资中扣除。这项研究是为数不多的关注城市环境的研究。研究结果表明,MM 炉灶可以提供更清洁的炉灶替代品,以支持马拉维城市清洁烹饪和能源转型(可持续发展目标 7)的现实目标。这将得益于有效的分配策略,以提高气化炉的使用率。值得注意的是,强调通过创造性的融资和补贴来降低炉灶成本以方便购买;确保高质量的颗粒燃料和可持续供应;提供炉灶维护和修理支持;以及在宣传信息中强调烹饪时间和燃料节省以及健康和环境效益,这些都是关键所在。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic pathways for offshore wind in Mexico: Geospatial insights and economic viability toward energy sustainability 墨西哥海上风电的战略途径:实现能源可持续性的地理空间见解和经济可行性
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101565
Valeria Juárez-Casildo , Ilse Cervantes , R. de G. González-Huerta
In the quest for sustainable energy solutions in developing nations, this investigation leverages advanced geospatial analysis to explore the expansive potential for offshore wind energy within Mexico’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ). By meticulously accounting for geographic and depth-related constraints, the study assesses the feasibility of implementing both fixed-bottom and floating wind energy technologies. Revealing an offshore wind capacity of 1,609.7 GW, capable of producing an estimated 12,688 TWh annually, our analysis highlights the capacity to exceed Mexico’s current energy consumption by thirty-three-fold. Significantly, it determines that 58% of the evaluated maritime area is suitable for floating technologies, while 42% could support fixed-bottom installations. Economic evaluations, including the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) analysis, suggest a competitive price range of 63 to 241 USD/MWh, positioning offshore wind as a viable alternative to conventional and hydroelectric power sources. Although the study identifies considerable potential, it also exposes significant infrastructural challenges in Mexico’s electrical grid, which pose barriers to the effortless integration of offshore wind technology. The findings underscore the urgent need for infrastructural improvements and strategic policy modifications to maximize the use of Mexico’s plentiful offshore wind resources. Additionally, the research stresses the critical role of international cooperation, through North-South partnerships, in expediting the shift toward renewable energy sources.
在发展中国家寻求可持续能源解决方案的过程中,这项调查利用先进的地理空间分析来探索墨西哥专属经济区(EEZ)内近海风能的巨大潜力。通过仔细考虑与地理和深度相关的限制因素,该研究评估了实施固定底部和浮动风能技术的可行性。我们的分析显示,近海风力发电能力为 1,609.7 千兆瓦,年发电量约为 12,688 太瓦时,超过墨西哥目前能源消耗量的三十三倍。值得注意的是,它确定 58% 的评估海域适合浮动技术,而 42% 的海域可支持固定底部装置。包括平准化能源成本 (LCOE) 分析在内的经济评估表明,海上风力发电的价格范围在 63 到 241 美元/兆瓦时之间,具有很强的竞争力,可以替代传统能源和水力发电。尽管研究发现了巨大的潜力,但也暴露了墨西哥电网在基础设施方面的重大挑战,这些挑战阻碍了海上风电技术的顺利整合。研究结果强调,迫切需要改善基础设施和修改战略政策,以最大限度地利用墨西哥丰富的海上风能资源。此外,研究还强调了通过南北合作开展国际合作在加快向可再生能源转变方面的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
The relationships among housing, energy poverty, and health: A scoping review 住房、能源贫困和健康之间的关系:范围审查
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101568
Xinao Mei, Bo Kyong Seo
As the demand for household energy has rapidly grown in the past few decades, there has been an increasing number of global populations that cannot afford adequate energy use, falling into energy poverty. Attaining clean, equitable and affordable energy is not only conducive to promoting residents' health and well-being but also to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. While housing is a critical factor affecting household energy consumption and an important social determinant of health, our knowledge of the linkage between energy poverty, housing and health has been fragmented. We conducted a comprehensive scoping review of the forty-eight articles, following Arksey and O'Malley's Framework, to explore how the relationship between energy poverty, housing and health has been understood and identify potential future research directions. Our analysis shows that energy poverty degrades the functionality of housing, making the health effects of energy poverty multifaceted, and poor housing quality and housing unaffordability facilitate the adverse effects of energy poverty on health. Low-income families, tenants, people with physical difficulties, older people, and children have tended to be investigated as the populations vulnerable to the challenges induced by energy poverty and housing hardships and the target groups for relevant policy interventions. Our review calls for an integrated theoretical framework to understand the relationship among energy poverty, housing and health and more empirical studies that can inform policy interventions.
过去几十年来,随着家庭能源需求的快速增长,全球越来越多的人无法负担足够的能源使用,陷入能源贫困。获得清洁、公平和负担得起的能源不仅有利于促进居民的健康和福祉,也有利于实现可持续发展目标。虽然住房是影响家庭能源消耗的关键因素,也是健康的重要社会决定因素,但我们对能源贫困、住房和健康之间联系的认识却很零散。我们按照 Arksey 和 O'Malley 的框架,对 48 篇文章进行了全面的范围审查,以探讨如何理解能源贫困、住房和健康之间的关系,并确定未来潜在的研究方向。我们的分析表明,能源贫困降低了住房的功能性,使得能源贫困对健康的影响是多方面的,而住房质量差和买不起住房则加剧了能源贫困对健康的不利影响。低收入家庭、租户、身体有困难的人、老年人和儿童往往是容易受到能源贫困和住房困难挑战影响的人群,也是相关政策干预的目标群体。我们的综述呼吁建立一个综合理论框架,以了解能源贫困、住房和健康之间的关系,并开展更多的实证研究,为政策干预提供依据。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting optimum energy consumption and scenario analysis: A case study on detached houses in the United Arab Emirates 预测最佳能源消耗和情景分析:阿拉伯联合酋长国独立式住宅案例研究
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-10-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101561
Makbulenur Onur , Yasemin Nielsen
The study aims to optimize energy consumption for cooling and lighting in the residential sector by examining the interaction of glass types, shading systems, and interior surface reflectance values in a standard house plan. Structured in four stages, the research began with developing a detailed building model to calculate energy consumption, focusing on glazing type, surface reflectance, and shading options. In the second stage, 120 scenarios were created to assess their impact on lighting and cooling energy requirements in residential buildings. The third stage used DALEC Software to analyze these variables under different conditions, integrating local climatic data to find meaningful correlations. Finally, the fourth stage compared these scenarios using cross-validation to identify the optimal combination for energy efficiency in the residential sector.
The findings, based on 120 scenarios analyzed using DALEC Software, show that different design decisions significantly affect energy consumption in hot, arid climates. The study found that increasing interior reflectance values reduces energy consumption for lighting and cooling in residential buildings. The most effective combination was Low EC Glass type and External Venetian Blind 450 shading system. Conversely, scenarios with no shading, very dark reflective surfaces, and SC-R Glass had high-energy consumption and are not recommended for residential buildings in hot climates.
This research stands out by addressing the complex interplay between architectural and landscape components to enhance energy efficiency in the residential sector, especially relevant in the context of rising global temperatures. Conducted in the UAE, the study aims to inform sustainable architectural practices in similar environments and provide a blueprint for global efforts to mitigate global warming through intelligent design.
这项研究旨在通过研究标准房屋规划中玻璃类型、遮阳系统和室内表面反射率值之间的相互作用,优化住宅制冷和照明的能耗。研究分为四个阶段,首先是开发一个详细的建筑模型来计算能耗,重点是玻璃类型、表面反射率和遮阳选项。第二阶段创建了 120 种方案,以评估它们对住宅建筑照明和制冷能源需求的影响。第三阶段使用 DALEC 软件分析这些变量在不同条件下的变化情况,并整合当地气候数据,以找到有意义的相关性。最后,第四阶段使用交叉验证法对这些方案进行比较,以确定住宅领域能效的最佳组合。研究结果基于使用 DALEC 软件分析的 120 种方案,表明不同的设计决策会显著影响炎热干旱气候下的能耗。研究发现,提高室内反射率可降低住宅建筑的照明和制冷能耗。最有效的组合是低导电率玻璃类型和外置 Venetian Blind 450 遮阳系统。反之,无遮阳、反光表面极暗和 SC-R 玻璃的方案能耗较高,不建议用于炎热气候下的住宅建筑。这项研究的突出之处在于,它解决了建筑和景观组件之间复杂的相互作用,以提高住宅领域的能效,这在全球气温不断升高的背景下尤为重要。这项研究在阿联酋进行,旨在为类似环境中的可持续建筑实践提供信息,并为全球通过智能设计减缓全球变暖的努力提供蓝图。
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引用次数: 0
Hydraulic design of a very low head axial turbine for clean energy option at Tana-Beles sugar irrigation canal in Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚 Tana-Beles 糖灌渠清洁能源选择的超低水头轴流式水轮机水力设计
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-10-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101556
Desta Lemma Gebrewold , Stefan Riedelbauch , Edessa Dribssa
<div><div>This paper envisages the hydraulic design of a Very Low Head Turbine (VLHT) based on an existing dual-purpose project, which consists of an upstream hydropower plant that feeds water to the downstream irrigation system. The design aims to develop a VLHT that can generate 500 kW of electricity using discharge and head in a primary canal near a rural community.</div><div>Crucial flow parameters and overall dimensions of the VLHT were determined through one-dimensional (1-D) analysis and free-vortex flow assumption. The VLHT design consists of nonmoving guide vanes and a fixed blade runner, both oriented in an axial direction. Thirty-two meters of downstream energy dissipator and seventeen meters of upstream canal coupled with a complete three-dimensional VLHT were the domain of interest. Subsequently, the finite volume method was applied to mesh all the domains of interest. Numerical flow simulations were performed using the Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) equation and the shear stress turbulence (SST) model, simultaneously capturing the interaction between the VLHT and canals. Two Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulation approaches were employed to assess their design performance prediction capabilities: steady and unsteady single-phase simulations.</div><div>A full-fledged design was realized for VLHT inclined 15.27° from the horizontal, characterized by optimal energy conversion, acceptable operating ranges, and minimal energy losses with no cavitation. The flow fields in the rotor-stator assembly, upstream canal, and energy dissipator were favorable toward the intended hydraulic design and justified with facts from the general fluid dynamics principle. At the best efficiency point, the mechanical power outputs for the steady and unsteady approaches were 562.31 kW and 582.73 kW, respectively, with the associated losses within the rotor-stator of 11.35 % and 10.32 %. Furthermore, at the same operating point, the corresponding VLHT discharge rates stand at 22.87 m<sup>3</sup>/s and 22.82 m<sup>3</sup>/s, and the recorded slit overflows are 5.13 m<sup>3</sup>/s and 5.18 m<sup>3</sup>/s for the steady and unsteady approaches, respectively. Quantitative and qualitative evaluations of the results provided excellent insight into the flow behavior within the VLHT and the region of flow interaction between the canal and the turbine.</div><div>The hydraulic efficiency and mechanical power output for the unsteady simulation surpassed that of the steady simulation. The observed difference was approximately 20 kW and 1 %. The rotor-stator interface loss was 2.51 % for steady simulation and 0.162 % for unsteady simulation, expressed as percentages of the average net heads between the two simulations. In terms of significance, this tailored-based research outcome can give hydraulic practitioners a design clue on the adaptability of similar sites for low-cost, low-impact propeller turbine concepts and provide great insight for Ethiopia's r
该项目由一个上游水电站和一个下游灌溉系统组成。本文设想在现有两用项目的基础上进行超低水头水轮机(VLHT)的水力设计。该设计旨在开发一个 VLHT,利用农村社区附近一级渠道的排水量和水头发电 500 千瓦。VLHT 的关键流量参数和总体尺寸是通过一维(1-D)分析和自由涡流假设确定的。VLHT 的设计包括不动导流叶片和固定叶片流道,两者均沿轴向布置。32 米长的下游消能装置和 17 米长的上游水渠与一个完整的三维 VLHT 相结合。随后,采用有限体积法对所有相关域进行网格划分。使用雷诺平均纳维-斯托克斯(RANS)方程和剪应力湍流(SST)模型进行了数值流动模拟,同时捕捉 VLHT 与运河之间的相互作用。为评估其设计性能预测能力,采用了两种计算流体动力学(CFD)模拟方法:稳定和非稳定单相模拟。实现了与水平面成 15.27° 倾斜的 VLHT 的成熟设计,其特点是最佳能量转换、可接受的工作范围以及无气蚀的最小能量损失。转子-定子组件、上游水渠和能量耗散器中的流场均有利于预期的水力设计,并且符合一般流体动力学原理。在最佳效率点,稳定和非稳定方式的机械功率输出分别为 562.31 千瓦和 582.73 千瓦,转子-定子内的相关损耗分别为 11.35 % 和 10.32 %。此外,在同一运行点,相应的 VLHT 排放速率分别为 22.87 立方米/秒和 22.82 立方米/秒,记录的缝隙溢流在稳定和非稳定方式下分别为 5.13 立方米/秒和 5.18 立方米/秒。对结果的定量和定性评估为了解 VLHT 内的水流行为以及水渠和水轮机之间的水流相互作用区域提供了极好的视角。观察到的差异约为 20 千瓦和 1%。稳定模拟的转子-定子界面损失为 2.51%,非稳定模拟的转子-定子界面损失为 0.162%。就其意义而言,这一基于量身定制的研究成果可为水利从业人员提供设计线索,使其了解类似地点对低成本、低影响螺旋桨水轮机概念的适应性,并为埃塞俄比亚地区和联邦政府采用灌溉渠清洁能源技术方案提供重要启示。通过国家电气化计划(NEP)为农村社会提供负担得起、可靠的现代能源服务,利用这种多用途水能资源进行离网应用有助于埃塞俄比亚实现可持续发展目标。
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引用次数: 0
Do off-grid solar energy based productive activities increase income of beneficiaries: An impact evaluation using PSM and DID techniques 基于离网太阳能的生产活动是否增加了受益人的收入:使用 PSM 和 DID 技术进行影响评估
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101567
Chandrakant Kashiram Ingole
Renewable energy has emerged as one of the climate-friendly development alternatives to provide clean and sustainable energy access. Productive use of renewable energy for livelihood and income generation is an emerging area of development, however, it remains under-explored for its socio-economic impact on beneficiaries, although such interventions have potential to contribute towards climate change targets and sustainable development goals. In this context, this research, using control-treatment group design, estimated the economic impact of solar energy-based productive interventions (solar energy for cotton yarn production) located in Amravati district of Maharashtra (India). For improving the robustness of the impact evaluation, the study used retrospective observational study design combining the use of propensity score matching and difference-in-differences techniques. The results obtained from the field-based data of 411 respondents indicated that there was a strong demand and interest for productive activities using renewable energy among the weaker section of the society for livelihood with a need to increase awareness about associated policy frameworks and to provide concessional capital. The findings further depicted a significant change in beneficiaries' income vis-à-vis non-beneficiaries with associated multiplier effects on food access, health, education, women upliftment, and work environment. Though, the rise in the income was impressive, however, there was a need to upscale the solar charkha operations to contribute additional income to the beneficiaries' family, to complement the intervention using RE based, locally processed commodities with beneficiaries managing the supply chains, and to provide concessional capital structure. These findings are critical as India has promulgated several policy measures including productive use of renewable energy to address development issues and climate change goals.
可再生能源已成为提供清洁和可持续能源的气候友好型发展选择之一。将可再生能源用于生产性生计和创收是一个新兴的发展领域,然而,尽管此类干预措施有可能有助于实现气候变化目标和可持续发展目标,但其对受益者的社会经济影响仍未得到充分探讨。在此背景下,本研究采用对照-治疗组设计,对印度马哈拉施特拉邦阿姆拉瓦蒂地区基于太阳能的生产干预措施(太阳能用于棉纱生产)的经济影响进行了估算。为提高影响评估的稳健性,本研究采用了回顾性观察研究设计,并结合使用了倾向得分匹配和差分技术。从 411 名受访者的实地数据中获得的结果表明,社会弱势群体对利用可再生能源开展生产活动有着强烈的需求和兴趣,但需要提高对相关政策框架的认识,并提供优惠资金。研究结果进一步表明,与非受益者相比,受益者的收入发生了显著变化,并对食品获取、卫生、教育、妇女进步和工作环境产生了相关的乘数效应。虽然收入的增长令人印象深刻,但仍有必要扩大太阳能卡哈的经营规模,为受益人家庭带来额外收入,利用基于可再生能源的当地加工商品对干预措施进行补充,由受益人管理供应链,并提供优惠的资本结构。这些发现至关重要,因为印度已颁布多项政策措施,包括生产性使用可再生能源,以解决发展问题和实现气候变化目标。
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引用次数: 0
Riding the future: Environmental, primary energy and economic analysis of an electric motorcycle - A Kenyan case study 驰骋未来:电动摩托车的环境、一次能源和经济分析--肯尼亚案例研究
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101573
Lina La Fleur , Emma Lindkvist , Rebecka Trångteg , Sally Winter , Patrik Thollander
The transport sector is heavily dominated by fossil fuels, which have significant health and environmental implications. Electrification or e-mobility is a key strategy to mitigate the negative environmental and health impacts of the transport sector. In developing countries, a high share of transport energy use arises from motorcycles, and research regarding potential electrification is scarce. This study analyzes, ex-ante, the environmental impact, primary energy demand and total cost of ownership during the life cycle of an electric motorcycle designed for the African market. A case study is performed in Kenya, which has a high share of renewable energy in the electricity mix. A series of sensitivity analyses are performed to also include an electricity mix with a low share of renewable energy and daily driving distance. The user phase contributes to the highest primary energy demand. The electricity used for charging the motorcycle is, however, shown to be an important factor influencing the environmental impact and the primary energy demand. Despite higher initial costs, electric motorcycles prove cost-effective over the user phase due to lower operating and maintenance costs. One key finding from this study is that electric motorcycles hold a vast decarbonization potential. In conclusion, this study provides insights into the environmental, energy, and economic aspects of electric motorcycles in Kenya, where results easily can be generalizable to any country where high shares of motorcycles are found.
交通部门主要使用化石燃料,对健康和环境有重大影响。电气化或电动交通是减轻交通部门对环境和健康负面影响的关键战略。在发展中国家,摩托车在交通能源使用中所占比例很高,而有关潜在电气化的研究却很少。本研究对为非洲市场设计的电动摩托车在生命周期内的环境影响、一次能源需求和总拥有成本进行了事前分析。案例研究在肯尼亚进行,该国的可再生能源在电力组合中占有较高比例。还进行了一系列敏感性分析,包括可再生能源比例较低的电力组合和每日驾驶距离。用户阶段的一次能源需求最大。然而,用于摩托车充电的电力被证明是影响环境影响和一次能源需求的重要因素。尽管初始成本较高,但由于运行和维护成本较低,电动摩托车在用户阶段被证明具有成本效益。本研究的一个重要发现是,电动摩托车具有巨大的脱碳潜力。总之,本研究为肯尼亚电动摩托车的环境、能源和经济方面提供了深入见解,其结果很容易推广到摩托车保有量高的任何国家。
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引用次数: 0
Recognizing social forestry's role in bioenergy optimization through geospatial fuzzy-multicriteria analysis 通过地理空间模糊多标准分析认识社会林业在生物能源优化中的作用
IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-10-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101566
Harkunti Pertiwi Rahayu , Al Hilal Firdaus S. Alim , Kornelis Blok , Seigo Nasu , Ganesha Mangkoesoebroto
Current bioenergy development has emphasized on degraded land, since the sustainability of bioenergy in the forest sector remains a subject of debate related with emissions and deforestation risk. Thus, this study aims to open new perspectives of how degraded land and social forestry can be potentially combined to significantly impact the energy transition and environmental-societal enhancement. Considering sustainability of Bali as a small island with its unique customary governance structure, a model of biomass energy optimization using geospatial fuzzy-multicriteria analysis was developed to select potential green energy source sites. Firstly, potential degraded land and social forestry were mapped to identify potential feedstock, then normalized using Euclidian Distance and Fuzzy Logic based on identified five sustainability criteria. They are availability of raw material, road, port, transmission, and demand proximities. Meanwhile, using identified three restriction criteria, i.e. protected area, slope and land-use restrictions, a restriction map was developed. The two maps were then integrated using Geospatial-based multicriteria analysis, fuzzy logic and Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) weighting method, to further identify potential green energy source map. The integration shown a significant increase of 60 % in land availability for bioenergy development. Results of study recognized potential 36,527 ha of degraded land; 21,671 ha of social forestry; and 40 optimal locations for bioenergy facilities, considering various spatial and temporal criteria. To conclude, the identified 120 social forestry sites in Bali involving 78,385 household provide opportunity to a community based socio-economic coupled with revitalizing environment efforts, which lead to massive net zero emissions community participation. Further, the integration of social forestry and degraded land should be highly recommended to policy maker in bioenergy development.
目前的生物能源开发侧重于退化土地,因为森林部门生物能源的可持续性仍是一个与排放和毁林风险有关的争论主题。因此,本研究旨在开辟新的视角,探讨如何将退化土地和社会林业结合起来,对能源转型和环境社会改善产生重大影响。考虑到巴厘岛作为一个具有独特习俗治理结构的小岛的可持续性,本研究利用地理空间模糊多标准分析法建立了一个生物质能源优化模型,以选择潜在的绿色能源地点。首先,绘制了潜在的退化土地和社会林业地图,以确定潜在的原料,然后根据确定的五项可持续性标准,利用欧几里得距离和模糊逻辑进行归一化处理。这五项标准分别是原料可得性、道路、港口、传输和需求邻近性。同时,利用已确定的三个限制标准,即保护区、坡度和土地使用限制,绘制了限制地图。然后,利用基于地理空间的多标准分析、模糊逻辑和层次分析法(AHP)加权法对两张地图进行整合,进一步确定潜在的绿色能源地图。整合结果显示,可用于生物能源开发的土地大幅增加了 60%。考虑到各种空间和时间标准,研究结果确认了 36 527 公顷潜在的退化土地、21671 公顷社会林业和 40 个生物能源设施的最佳地点。总之,在巴厘岛确定的 120 个社会林业地点涉及 78,385 个家庭,为基于社区的社会经济和振兴环境工作提供了机会,这将导致大规模的净零排放社区参与。此外,应向生物能源开发的政策制定者强烈推荐社会林业与退化土地的结合。
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Energy for Sustainable Development
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