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Air Quality in Moscow during the COVID-19 Lockdown in Comparison with Other Regions of the World COVID-19 封锁期间莫斯科空气质量与世界其他地区的比较
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373924020079
Yu. O. Shuvalova, A. S. Ginzburg

Abstract

An analysis of the changes in the carbon monoxide (CO) and particulate matter (PM10) mass concentrations in the atmosphere near highways and residential areas over Moscow during the spring lockdown in 2020 against of the mass concentrations in the previous years (2015–2019) is presented. In the lockdown period, a decrease in the CO mass concentrations was about 40% near highways and only 10% in residential areas. A decrease in the PM10 mass concentrations by about 10% was found during that period. The closeness of lockdown effects in Moscow and other megacities is shown by the comparison of trends in the traffic intensity and pollutant mass concentrations. The special importance of motor vehicles as a source of carbon monoxide emissions in the analyzed megacities is demonstrated.

摘要 分析了 2020 年春季封锁期间莫斯科上空高速公路和居民区附近大气中一氧化碳(CO)和颗粒物(PM10)质量浓度的变化,并与前几年(2015-2019 年)的质量浓度进行了对比。在封锁期间,高速公路附近的 CO 质量浓度下降了约 40%,而居民区仅下降了 10%。在此期间,PM10 的质量浓度下降了约 10%。通过比较交通强度和污染物质量浓度的趋势,可以看出莫斯科和其他特大城市的封锁效应非常接近。在分析的特大城市中,机动车作为一氧化碳排放源的特殊重要性得到了证明。
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引用次数: 0
On Trends in the Health Risks from Air Pollution and in Changing Levels of Weather and Climate Comfort in Russia until 2050 2050 年前俄罗斯空气污染的健康风险趋势以及天气和气候舒适度的变化趋势
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373924020092
A. A. Makosko, A. V. Matesheva, S. V. Emelina

Abstract

The authors explore the trends in the human health risks caused by air pollution and changing levels of weather and climate comfort on the territory of Russia in 2020–2050 under two climate change scenarios. Generally, the dynamics of risks is expected to be moderate. It will presumably be characterized by inter-scenario variability and dispersion by the country’s climate zones. In certain areas, primarily in Siberia, very noticeable trends have been revealed. The paper shows a need for additional attention when planning the measures of adaptation to climate change in southern and central regions of European Russia, most of Western Siberia, the Magadan oblast and Kamchatka.

摘要 作者探讨了在两种气候变化情景下,2020-2050 年俄罗斯境内空气污染和不断变化的天气和气候舒适度对人类健康造成的风险趋势。总体而言,预计风险的动态变化是适度的。其特点大概是情景间的变化和全国气候带的分散。在某些地区,主要是西伯利亚地区,出现了非常明显的趋势。本文表明,在规划欧洲俄罗斯南部和中部地区、西西伯利亚大部分地区、马加丹州和堪察加半岛的气候变化适应措施时,需要给予更多关注。
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引用次数: 0
Wind Speed Trend Effects on the Length of the Thermal Comfort Period in European Russia in Recent Decades 近几十年来风速变化对俄罗斯欧洲地区热舒适期长度的影响
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373924020031
A. S. Ginzburg, I. N. Belova, S. A. Dokukin, V. A. Falaleeva

Abstract

The combination of the parameters of temperature, humidity, and wind conditions of surface air, solar radiation fluxes, human metabolism under various modes of physical exertion and clothing properties characterize the thermal comfort. Under conditions of global warming, the climate characteristics that affect the quality of life, health, and well-being of people, in particular, the length of thermal comfort periods, are changing. Bioclimatic indices that determine the thermal comfort conditions depend not only on temperature changes, but also on humidity and wind speed trends. When comparing the results of the calculations of the thermal comfort period length with the use of air temperature observations and major bioclimatic indices, the authors have revealed a significant difference in the effect of changes in average wind speed on the length of the thermal comfort period in different regions of European Russia.

摘要 地表空气的温度、湿度和风力条件参数、太阳辐射通量、各种体力消耗模式下的人体新陈代谢以及衣物特性共同构成了热舒适度的特征。在全球变暖的条件下,影响人们生活质量、健康和福祉的气候特征,特别是热舒适期的长短,正在发生变化。决定热舒适度的生物气候指数不仅取决于温度变化,还取决于湿度和风速的变化趋势。在比较利用气温观测数据和主要生物气候指数计算热舒适时间长度的结果时,作者发现平均风速的变化对俄罗斯欧洲不同地区热舒适时间长度的影响存在显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
Water Balance of Belarus and Its Changes due to Global Warming 白俄罗斯的水资源平衡及其因全球变暖而发生的变化
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373924010072
S. A. Lysenko, V. F. Loginov, I. V. Buyakov, Yu. A. Brovka

Abstract

Estimates of the water balance components (precipitation, evaporation, zonal and meridional advection of moisture) on the territory of Belarus for the cold (October–March) and warm (April–September) seasons have been obtained on the basis of the balance calculations of precipitation recycling and the ERA5 reanalysis data. It has been shown that the precipitation on the territory of Belarus results from westerlies in 77–84% of cases, from southerlies in 14–20% of cases, and from local evaporation in 2–4% of cases. Annual total precipitation exceeds annual evaporation by 18–30% (the maximum excess is observed in the north, and the minimum is registered in the southeast). During the warm seasons, there is a negative water balance in entire Belarus: evaporation exceeds precipitation by 8–23%. Over the period of global warming, the annual difference between precipitation and evaporation has decreased by 12–15%. The water balance for the warm season has decreased to negative values at the beginning of the current century due to the activation of summer warming. An increase in the amplitude of the water balance fluctuations has been revealed for the cold season, which indicates strengthening climate extremity.

摘要根据降水循环平衡计算和ERA5再分析数据,对白俄罗斯境内寒季(10月至3月)和暖季(4月至9月)的水平衡成分(降水、蒸发、水分的地带性和经向平流)进行了估计。结果表明,白俄罗斯境内的降水量 77-84%来自西风,14-20%来自南风,2-4%来自本地蒸发。年总降水量比年蒸发量多 18-30%(北部降水量最多,东南部降水量最少)。在温暖的季节,整个白俄罗斯的水量平衡为负:蒸发量比降水量多 8-23%。在全球变暖期间,降水量和蒸发量之间的年差值减少了 12-15%。本世纪初,由于夏季气候变暖,暖季的水平衡已降至负值。寒冷季节的水平衡波动幅度增大,表明气候极端性增强。
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引用次数: 0
Prospects of Using Satellite Data for Determining Water Levels in Large Lakes and Reservoirs: A Case Study for Russian Water Bodies 利用卫星数据确定大型湖泊和水库水位的前景:俄罗斯水体案例研究
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373924010011
V. S. Vuglinskii, J. F. Cretaux, A. V. Izmailova, S. I. Gusev, L. S. Kurochkina

Abstract

Over the past two decades, the volume and quality of information received from satellites to determine the water level of large lakes and reservoirs have significantly increased. At the same time, due to insufficient accuracy, the results of satellite measurements need an adjustment based on the comparison with ground-based observations. The latter not only allow evaluating errors in satellite data, but also serve as a kind of a benchmark for the development and adaptation of the methods of their correction. Such a methodology is being developed for several years jointly by the Laboratory of Space Geophysical and Oceanographic Studies (LEGOS, France) and the State Hydrological Institute. The paper analyzes the causes and sources of errors in satellite and ground data, the techniques for comparing and analyzing long-term series of these data, and the methods for adapting the results of satellite observations in order to improve their accuracy. The directions of further development of satellite altimetry are considered to increase the reliability of satellite data on the water level of inland water bodies.

摘要 在过去二十年里,从卫星上接收到的用于确定大型湖泊和水库水位的信息的数量和质量都有了显著提高。与此同时,由于精度不足,卫星测量结果需要在与地面观测数据对比的基础上进行调整。后者不仅可以评估卫星数据的误差,还可以作为一种基准,用于开发和调整其修正方法。空间地球物理和海洋学研究实验室(LEGOS,法国)和国家水文研究所多年来一直在联合开发这种方法。本文分析了卫星和地面数据误差的原因和来源,比较和分析这些数据长期序列的技术,以及调整卫星观测结果以提高其准确性的方法。为提高内陆水体水位卫星数据的可靠性,考虑了进一步发展卫星测高的方向。
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引用次数: 0
Experience of Applying the Ice Sheet Model for Predicting Ice Formation Dates in Modern Information Environment: A Case Study for Rivers of Northeastern Siberia 在现代信息环境中应用冰盖模型预测冰层形成日期的经验:西伯利亚东北部河流案例研究
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373924010047
M. I. Sil’nitskaya

Abstract

The ice sheet model developed by L.G. Shulyakovskii for calculating ice formation dates on water bodies is presented. A possibility of applying this model for predicting ice formation dates based on the information system of the Hydrometcenter of Russia is shown. The model is implemented in the Automated Operational Data Processing System for the large navigable rivers of northeastern Siberia. Forecast sites at which the morphometric parameters of the model were obtained from long-term observations are distinguished on these rivers. The analysis of the state of the information databases used to automate calculations revealed a possibility to increase the lead time of the forecasts of the ice phenomena onset up to 10 days. The verification of the floating ice formation date forecasts produced using the model in operational mode over 2014–2022 is performed.

摘要 介绍了 L.G. Shulyakovskii 开发的用于计算水体成冰日期的冰层模型。在俄罗斯水文中心信息系统的基础上,展示了应用该模型预测冰层形成日期的可能性。该模型已在西伯利亚东北部大型通航河流的自动运行数据处理系统中实施。根据长期观测结果获得模型形态参数的预报点分布在这些河流上。对用于自动计算的信息数据库状态的分析表明,有可能将冰现象发生的预报时间延长至 10 天。在 2014-2022 年期间,对在运行模式下使用该模型生成的浮冰形成日期预测进行了验证。
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引用次数: 0
Applicability of Simulated Precipitation for the Rainfall Flood Forecasting in the Amur Basin 模拟降水量在阿穆尔河流域降雨洪水预报中的适用性
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373924010035
E. M. Verbitskaya, S. V. Ageeva, L. V. Gonchukov, S. O. Romanskii

Abstract

The studies of the applicability of simulated precipitation in hydrological calculations and forecasts are presented on the example of the Amur basin rivers. It is shown that the use of simulated precipitation has a positive effect on forecasting rainfall floods in case of a sparse observational network. There is an especially noticeable lack of hydrological and precipitation data on the catchments of the Amur right-bank tributaries located in China (the Songhua River and its tributaries), whose runoff is a significant contributor to the water balance of the Middle and Lower Amur. It is revealed that the catchment-averaged fluctuations in simulated 5-day total precipitation above and below a certain threshold are linked to the temporal variations in water levels at the outlets of the Amur partial catchments.

摘要 以阿穆尔河流域为例,介绍了模拟降水在水文计算和预报中的适用性研究。研究表明,在观测网络稀少的情况下,使用模拟降水对预报降雨洪水具有积极作用。位于中国境内的阿穆尔河右岸支流(松花江及其支流)流域的水文和降水数据尤为缺乏,而这些支流的径流对阿穆尔河中下游的水量平衡起着重要作用。研究表明,模拟 5 天总降水量在某一临界值上下的流域平均波动与阿穆尔河部分流域出口水位的时间变化有关。
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引用次数: 0
Development of the Methods for Hydrometric Computation and Coordination of Streamflow 制定水文计算方法和协调河流流量的方法
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373924010059
Yu. V. Iz’yurova, T. I. Yakovleva

Abstract

The paper provides an overview of the methods for hydrometric streamflow computation in the regime and real-time variants developed at the State Hydrological Institute and intended for inclusion in the technologies for automated processing and generalization of hydrological observations, which were included in the Roshydromet regulatory documents put into effect in 2017–2022. The results of further development of the methodological basis for water discharge calculations in the conditions of variable backwater are given on the example of the reach of the Ob River from Barnaul to Kamen-on-Ob. To control the reliability of streamflow computation at gauging sections, it is proposed to use the computation and analysis of dynamic (short-term) channel water balances as the most effective tool. The effectiveness of using the improved methods for streamflow computation and coordination is shown through examples.

摘要 本文概述了国家水文研究所开发的制度和实时变体水文流量计算方法,并打算将其纳入水文观测的自动处理和概括技术中,这些技术已纳入2017-2022年生效的Roshydromet规范文件中。以巴尔瑙尔至奥布河畔卡门的奥布河河段为例,介绍了进一步发展可变回水条件下排水量计算方法基础的成果。为了控制测量断面水流计算的可靠性,建议将计算和分析动态(短期)河道水量平衡作为最有效的工具。通过实例说明了使用改进方法进行流量计算和协调的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Transition Period in the Transformation of the Catchment Moisture Circulation System (according to the Data of the Kamennaya Step’ Water Balance Station) 集水区水分循环系统转变的过渡时期(根据卡门纳亚阶梯水量平衡站的数据)
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373924010023
A. S. Zhuravin, E. V. Gurevich, M. L. Markov

Abstract

The aspects of adaptating the moisture circulation system at the catchments of small watercourses to climate change based on the observational data from the Kamennaya Step’ water balance station are considered. It is demonstrated that the transformation of the moisture circulation system results from the changes in the balance between the groundwater recharge and leakage with a decrease in the contribution of cryogenic factors to the river basin water regime formation. It is suggested that the transition period in the moisture circulation restructuring in river basins can be divided into two periods: with predomination of groundwater recharge and with predomination of its leakage. The length of the transformation phase in the steppe zone depending on the cryogenic factor is about 40 years. The final stabilization of the hydrological regime will depend on setting the groundwater balance under the specific hydrogeological conditions and anthropogenic load.

摘要 根据卡缅纳亚台阶水量平衡站的观测数据,研究了小型河道集水区水汽循环系统适应气候变化的问题。结果表明,水汽循环系统的转变是由于地下水补给和渗漏之间的平衡发生了变化,低温因素对流域水系形成的贡献减少。研究认为,流域水汽循环结构调整的过渡期可分为两个时期:地下水补给前期和地下水渗漏前期。根据低温因素的不同,草原区的转变期约为 40 年。水文系统的最终稳定将取决于在特定水文地质条件和人为负荷下的地下水平衡。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrological Consequences of Typhoon Hinnamnor in Primorsky Krai in September 2022 2022 年 9 月台风 "肉桂 "对滨海边疆区的水文影响
IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.3103/s1068373924010102
D. I. Shkolnyi, E. I. Bakhareva, V. A. Semakov, D. K. Shkolnaya, D. A. Yatsumira

Abstract

The features of precipitation and its spatial distribution over the territory of the Primorsky krai during the passage of Typhoon Hinnamnor (September 4–7, 2022), as well as the characteristics of the flood caused by the typhoon, are studied based on ground observational data and the ERA5-Land reanalysis. A list of the settlements affected by the flood and an assessment of the impact of the disaster on transport infrastructure are given. The relationship between the precipitation maxima and the movement of storm cells is shown. Deformations were recorded for 30% of the length of the Primorsky krai river channels as a result of the typhoon passage. The relationship among the changes in the channels, spatial characteristics of precipitation (including their intensity) and the slope of the catchment were determined. Areas of extreme channel deformations (including mudflows) and their magnitudes on rivers of different scales are described.

摘要 根据地面观测数据和 ERA5-Land 再分析数据,研究了台风 "肉桂 "过境期间(2022 年 9 月 4-7 日)滨海边疆区降水的特征及其空间分布,以及台风造成的洪水的特征。文中列出了受洪水影响的居民点,并评估了灾害对交通基础设施的影响。图中显示了最大降水量与风暴单元移动之间的关系。台风过境导致滨海边疆区河道 30% 的长度发生变形。确定了河道变化、降水空间特征(包括降水强度)和集水坡度之间的关系。此外,还描述了不同规模河流的极端河道变形区域(包括泥石流)及其规模。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology
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