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An improved prophet emergency traffic flow prediction model 一种改进的先知应急交通流预测模型
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-10-13 DOI: 10.1680/jtran.23.00081
Xueyi Gao, Jianwei Zhou, Yusheng Ci, Lina Wu
Emergencies are rare and random, but cause dramatic changes in traffic volumes whenever they occur. It therefore poses a huge challenge to accurately predict emergency traffic volumes. This paper aims to provide a practical methodology for predicting traffic volumes during emergencies, which was built using the Prophet model and improving the event function of the model. The proposed approach isolates the event impacts through time series decomposition techniques, and allows the model to add points in time when traffic flow changes abruptly and to incorporate external factors useful to adapt to the specific background imposed by the emergency. The main data used in the paper was the daily traffic volume dataset published on the Luxembourg Data Open Platform. These data were collected over a span from January 2017 to December 2021. The dataset covers the period of impact of the two emergencies. The proposed method and four comparative models were applied to the second emergency period. The results show that the proposed method can accurately predict unconventional changes caused by emergencies and has better prediction accuracy with real data than the other comparative models under the same attribute conditions through a comparative analysis.
紧急情况是罕见和随机的,但无论何时发生都会引起交通量的巨大变化。因此,如何准确预测应急交通量是一个巨大的挑战。本文旨在利用Prophet模型,并对模型的事件函数进行改进,为突发事件期间的交通流量预测提供一种实用的方法。提出的方法通过时间序列分解技术隔离事件影响,并允许模型添加交通流量突然变化的时间点,并纳入有用的外部因素,以适应突发事件所施加的特定背景。本文使用的主要数据是在卢森堡数据开放平台上发布的每日交通量数据集。这些数据是在2017年1月至2021年12月期间收集的。该数据集涵盖了两次突发事件的影响时期。将提出的方法和四个比较模型应用于第二个紧急时期。通过对比分析表明,该方法能够准确预测突发事件引起的非常规变化,在相同属性条件下,与其他比较模型相比,该方法具有更好的真实数据预测精度。
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引用次数: 0
Study on the green degree evaluation model of construction for prefabricated buildings 装配式建筑施工绿色度评价模型研究
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-10-13 DOI: 10.1680/jsmic.23.00016
Zhipeng Huo
To promote new urbanisation and the transformation of the construction industry, a green degree (GD) evaluation model for prefabricated buildings was proposed under the guidance of the industrial green concept. A combined ordered weighted average operator was used to assign weights to each index. On this basis, a GD evaluation model for prefabricated buildings was established by combining normal cloud theory and matter-element theory. The application effect was analysed using the dual-case method. The results indicated that for a steel-frame-supported prefabricated structure, the GDs of energy resource indicators and environmental protection indicators were both in level 2. The GD of construction management indicators, technological innovation indicators and social coordination indicators was in 3. The overall trend was from level 2 to level 3. For prefabricated concrete structures, all indicators had a GD of level 2. In contrast, frame-supported prefabricated structures had more development advantages and had important practical significance in guiding the transformation of the construction industry and the development of new urbanisation. The GD evaluation model could obtain comprehensive evaluation results under different assembly structures, providing assistance for the green development of the construction industry.
为推进新型城镇化和建筑业转型,提出了以工业绿色理念为指导的装配式建筑绿色度评价模型。采用组合有序加权平均算子对各指标进行加权。在此基础上,结合正态云理论和物元理论,建立了装配式建筑的GD评价模型。采用双实例方法对应用效果进行了分析。结果表明:某钢框架预制结构的能源指标和环境保护指标的gdp均为2级;施工管理指标、技术创新指标和社会协调指标的GD值为3。总体趋势是从第2级到第3级。预制混凝土结构各项指标的GD值均为2级。相比之下,框架支撑装配式结构具有更多的发展优势,在指导建筑业转型和新型城镇化发展方面具有重要的现实意义。GD评价模型可以得到不同装配式结构下的综合评价结果,为建筑业的绿色发展提供帮助。
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引用次数: 0
Improving the precision of Light Weight Deflectometers through annual correlation trials 通过年度相关试验提高轻型偏转仪的精度
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.1680/jtran.23.00062
Michael Gordon, Michael J. McHale, Alan Ferguson
The Light Weight Deflectometer (LWD) is a portable and cost effective device that plays a vital role in checking the quality of highway foundations and base installations for sports facilities, such as football pitches and athletic tracks. As the device is accepted for use as part of compliance testing it is essential that the results produced are reliable. This paper summarises the results of two UK-wide correlation trials carried out in 2021 and 2022. Machines and operators from 42 organisations attended the trials, where the performance of 175 LWD devices was assessed against the larger Falling Weight Deflectometer (FWD). This paper provides some background to the use of LWDs and the design of the trial, including the collection and analysis of data. The relationship between the LWD and the FWD, including data variability and the influence of different testing regimes was examined. The main findings of the trials are summarised and recommendations are made to maintain the precision of LWD devices.
轻质偏转仪(LWD)是一种便携且经济高效的设备,在检查公路基础和体育设施(如足球场和田径跑道)基础设施的质量方面起着至关重要的作用。当设备被接受作为符合性测试的一部分使用时,产生的结果是可靠的是至关重要的。本文总结了在2021年和2022年进行的两次全英国相关试验的结果。来自42家机构的机器和操作人员参加了试验,在试验中,175台LWD设备与更大的下落重量偏转仪(FWD)进行了性能评估。本文介绍了lwd的使用背景和试验的设计,包括数据的收集和分析。研究了随钻测井和FWD之间的关系,包括数据变异性和不同测试制度的影响。总结了试验的主要结果,并提出了保持LWD设备精度的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Research and application of cost control algorithm for engineering projects based on BIM technology 基于BIM技术的工程项目成本控制算法研究与应用
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-10-02 DOI: 10.1680/jsmic.23.00021
Yun Zhang
In recent years, the construction industry has experienced unprecedented development, and the rise in cost factors in various stages of engineering projects has made various project participants pay more attention to cost control work. It is urgent to strengthen cost control throughout the entire process of engineering projects to achieve profit goals. To reduce the cost of the projects, the study proposes a cost control strategy based on BIM. Firstly, the risk identification algorithm of engineering projects is proposed based on BIM, then the cost control model is constructed based on the risk identification results, and the genetic algorithm is added to the model to improve its performance, and finally the simulation experiment is designed to verify the effectiveness of the method, and the results show that the identification accuracy of the risk identification algorithm proposed by the study reaches 99.7%, and the C-C method based on BIM can significantly reduce the cost expenditure of engineering projects. The evaluation method proposed in this study evaluated the effectiveness, scientificity, feasibility, and generalizability of the C-C method by more than 90 points. The above results show that the application of BIM can effectively realize the cost control of engineering projects, which is of great significance to the smooth development of engineering construction.
近年来,建筑业经历了前所未有的发展,工程项目各个阶段成本因素的上升,使得各个项目参与方更加重视成本控制工作。加强工程项目全过程的成本控制,实现盈利目标是当务之急。为了降低项目成本,本研究提出了基于BIM的成本控制策略。首先提出基于BIM的工程项目风险识别算法,然后根据风险识别结果构建成本控制模型,并在模型中加入遗传算法提高其性能,最后设计仿真实验验证该方法的有效性,结果表明,研究提出的风险识别算法的识别准确率达到99.7%。基于BIM的C-C方法可以显著降低工程项目的成本支出。本研究提出的评价方法对C-C方法的有效性、科学性、可行性、通用性进行了90分以上的评价。以上结果表明,BIM的应用可以有效地实现工程项目的成本控制,对工程建设的顺利开展具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Research on fuzzy algorithm for intelligent power saving control of urban street lamps 城市路灯智能节电控制的模糊算法研究
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1680/jsmic.23.00010
Hanmei Wu, Chun’e Li, Guofan Duan
Urbanization has increased the demand for energy efficient and environmentally friendly street lighting systems. However, traditional urban lighting uses time interval control and cannot be intelligently controlled according to the environment. Therefore, an intelligent urban street lighting control system based on advanced fuzzy control technology is developed. The system uses a fuzzy control algorithm based on ZigBee technology to study the street lighting system. The fuzzy control system determines input and output variables and obtains demand instructions for intelligent control of street lights through fuzzy operation. The number of node visits and node degree is optimized to complete the construction of the street lamp intelligent control system. Experimental simulations showed that the proposed scheme can reasonably control the brightness of the street lighting according to the ambient light. At 5:00 p.m., the proposed scheme adjusts the street lighting to 80W. The system is illuminated at rated power and the current power consumption is 100W. A test was carried out under a street lighting system, and the proposed scheme dynamically adjusted the lighting brightness reasonably considering various factors such as light intensity, noise intensity and vehicle speed. The proposed street lamp fuzzy control algorithm has good control performance and significantly reduces the system energy consumption. The research has important reference value for energy saving and intelligent control of urban lighting.
城市化增加了对节能环保街道照明系统的需求。而传统的城市照明采用时间间隔控制,无法根据环境进行智能控制。因此,开发了一种基于先进模糊控制技术的智能城市路灯控制系统。该系统采用基于ZigBee技术的模糊控制算法对街道照明系统进行研究。模糊控制系统通过模糊运算,确定输入输出变量,得到路灯智能控制的需求指令。优化节点访问量和节点度,完成路灯智能控制系统的构建。实验仿真结果表明,该方案可以根据环境光合理地控制路灯的亮度。在下午5点,建议方案将街道照明调整为80W。系统以额定功率照明,当前功耗为100W。在某街道照明系统下进行了测试,该方案考虑光照强度、噪声强度、车速等多种因素,对照明亮度进行了合理的动态调整。所提出的路灯模糊控制算法具有良好的控制性能,显著降低了系统能耗。该研究对城市照明的节能与智能控制具有重要的参考价值。
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引用次数: 0
Investigation of methodologies for extraction of horizontal alignment features of roads in terms of cost and time 基于成本和时间的道路水平线形特征提取方法研究
4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1680/jtran.23.00044
Mohd Atif, Gourab Sil
The lack of coordination between the driver and geometry results in driver errors and crashes. Road geometric data is one of the primary requirements for safety analysis and improvement projects. This paper presents a systematic literature review to identify existing methodologies for road geometric data extraction. Methodologies based on GPS, GIS maps, AutoCAD digital maps, satellite imagery, IMU, LiDAR, and vision technology were found employing manual, semi-automatic, and automatic algorithms for extraction of horizontal alignment features of roads. A multi criteria analysis in terms of device/software cost, data treatment cost, and time acquisition was performed for the methodologies using an expert survey. Survey responses were analysed to rank the methodologies for minimum cost and time using Analytical Hierarchal Process (AHP). GPS and GIS maps-based methodologies were the most economical, while the LiDAR-based methodology was the most uneconomical. Overall, the findings provide valuable insights into components of existing methodologies. The findings would benefit practitioners, policymakers, enforcement authorities, vehicle manufacturers, and researchers in choosing an appropriate methodology judiciously. An inventory of road geometric data could also be established to develop an intelligent transportation system (ITS) by combining vehicle, road, and driver in effective communication through information technologies.
驾驶员和几何之间缺乏协调导致驾驶员错误和碰撞。道路几何数据是安全分析和改进项目的主要要求之一。本文提出了一个系统的文献综述,以确定现有的道路几何数据提取方法。基于GPS、GIS地图、AutoCAD数字地图、卫星图像、IMU、激光雷达和视觉技术的方法采用手动、半自动和自动算法提取道路的水平对齐特征。在设备/软件成本、数据处理成本和时间获取方面,通过专家调查对方法进行了多标准分析。使用层次分析法(AHP)对调查结果进行分析,以对最低成本和时间的方法进行排名。基于GPS和GIS地图的方法最经济,而基于lidar的方法最不经济。总的来说,这些发现为现有方法的组成部分提供了有价值的见解。研究结果将有利于从业者、政策制定者、执法当局、汽车制造商和研究人员明智地选择适当的方法。还可以建立道路几何数据清单,通过信息技术将车辆、道路和驾驶员有效沟通结合起来,开发智能交通系统(ITS)。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic selection and evaluation of alternative milling types for railway points 铁路点位备选铣削型式的动态选择与评价
IF 0.8 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-08-16 DOI: 10.1680/jtran.23.00069
Yang Cao, Weihua Zhao, Jiaofeng Li, Xiaohan Ding, Hao Shi
The milled shape of point blades is one of the main factors causing structural problems with railway points (also known as turnouts or switches). Choosing the right type of milling for point blades can improve train running performance. Based on wheel–rail system dynamics, a vehicle–points dynamic model with various milling methods was established, from which a selection and evaluation method for milling was proposed. The service performance of four milling types was compared and combined with point blade robustness to provide a comprehensive evaluation. It was found that a small rate of railhead width change for an oblique tangent point blade resulted in better running performance of trains. The oblique secant point blade caused an abrupt change in the rail layout, which reduced train running steadiness. The railhead widths of longitudinal secant and longitudinal secant–oblique tangent point blades increased quickly, and the corresponding dynamic responses were at an intermediate level. The proposed selection and evaluation method for milling types took into account the dynamic characteristics and structural durability of the points. It will be beneficial in selecting an appropriate milling type for points blades according to their service requirements.
点刀片的铣削形状是造成铁路点(也称为道岔或开关)结构问题的主要因素之一。选择合适的铣削类型可以提高列车的运行性能。基于轮轨系统动力学,建立了多种铣削方式下的车点动力学模型,提出了铣削方式的选择与评价方法。对四种铣削方式的使用性能进行了比较,并结合点刃的鲁棒性进行了综合评价。结果表明,斜切点叶片轨道宽度变化率小,列车运行性能较好。斜割线点叶片引起轨道布置的突变,降低了列车运行的稳定性。纵割线和纵割线-斜切点叶片轨头宽度增加较快,动力响应处于中间水平。提出的铣削类型的选择和评价方法考虑了点的动力特性和结构耐久性。这将有利于根据其使用要求选择合适的铣削类型的点刀片。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: Embracing the opportunities of sustainable transportation for a better future 社论:拥抱可持续交通的机遇,创造更美好的未来
IF 0.8 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1680/jtran.2023.176.5.261
Lingyun You, Zhengwu Long
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引用次数: 0
Effective utilization of waste cement concrete dust in bituminous concrete 沥青混凝土中废水泥混凝土粉尘的有效利用
IF 0.8 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-07-25 DOI: 10.1680/jtran.23.00045
Jayvant Choudhary, Gaurang Asthana, Mayank Sukhija, V. Wagh, Chayan Gupta
This study compared the suitability of waste cement concrete dust (CD) with conventional hydrated lime (HL) as filler in bituminous concrete. Bituminous mixes containing both fillers at different proportions were designed, and their performance was studied using Marshall quotient, indirect tensile strength, tensile strength ratio (TSR), passive and active adhesion, and cantabro tests. The cost of various mixes and their greenhouse gas (GHG) emission was also compared. Finally, the optimum filler content for both mixes was determined. Mixes containing CD displayed rutting, cracking, and ravelling resistance similar to conventional mixes. CD offered improved affinity towards bitumen and ensured excellent moisture resistance (TSR > 80%). The use of CD marginally lowered the cost by around 3-8%, and reduced the GHG emissions by more than 50% as compared to the traditional mix (4% HL). Overall, the application of CD ensures satisfactory engineering performance at a relatively lower cost and GHG emissions.
本研究比较了废水泥混凝土粉尘(CD)与常规水合石灰(HL)作为沥青混凝土填料的适用性。设计了两种填料在不同配比下的沥青混合料,通过马歇尔商、间接抗拉强度、抗拉强度比(TSR)、被动和主动粘结以及cantabro试验对其性能进行了研究。还比较了各种混合燃料的成本及其温室气体排放。最后确定了两种混合料的最佳填料含量。含有CD的混合料显示出与常规混合料相似的车辙、开裂和抗脱落性。CD提高了对沥青的亲和力,并确保了优异的抗湿性(TSR为80%)。与传统混合物(4% HL)相比,CD的使用略微降低了约3-8%的成本,并减少了50%以上的温室气体排放。总体而言,CD的应用以相对较低的成本和温室气体排放确保了令人满意的工程性能。
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引用次数: 0
Using data to develop cost-effective battery-swap networks for electric vehicles 利用数据为电动汽车开发具有成本效益的电池交换网络
IF 0.8 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2023-07-20 DOI: 10.1680/jtran.23.00050
Lei Zhang, Pengfei Xia, Lijia Peng, Chengwei Yang, Jianwu Li, Jianxin Lin
Electric vehicle development faces the challenges of range anxiety and the high construction and operating costs of charging and battery-swap infrastructure. To address these issues, this paper describes a proposed battery swap network comprising battery-swapping-van service points and battery-swap stations to provide local, fast and cost-effective battery-swapping services. A data-driven approach was developed to analyse and model vehicle trajectory data to obtain realistic battery-swap demand distributions. An optimisation model based on location cover was then developed to minimise the cost of a battery-swapping network using a greedy algorithm. Real traffic network driving distance was adopted to improve authenticity and accuracy. In a case study, a battery-swapping network used a one-week trajectory dataset of taxis in Beijing and tested the effects in eight scenarios. The results showed that the mesh size of service points, service radius and coverage rate all had an impact on service quality and cost. It is concluded that a battery-swapping network could be cost-effectively deployed by adjusting these parameters to suit the needs of electric vehicles at different development stages. This paper provides useful a reference for decision-makers and operators to formulate policies and strategies.
电动汽车的发展面临着里程焦虑以及充电和电池交换基础设施的高建设和运营成本的挑战。为了解决这些问题,本文提出了一个由电池交换车服务点和电池交换站组成的电池交换网络,以提供本地、快速和经济的电池交换服务。提出了一种数据驱动的方法来分析和建模车辆轨迹数据,以获得真实的电池交换需求分布。然后建立了一个基于位置覆盖的优化模型,使用贪婪算法最小化电池交换网络的成本。采用真实交通网络行驶距离,提高真实性和准确性。在一个案例研究中,一个电池交换网络使用了北京出租车一周的轨迹数据集,并在八种情况下测试了效果。结果表明,服务点网格大小、服务半径和覆盖率对服务质量和成本均有影响。结果表明,通过调整这些参数来适应电动汽车在不同发展阶段的需求,可以经济有效地部署电池交换网络。本文为决策者和经营者制定政策和策略提供了有益的参考。
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引用次数: 0
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Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers-Transport
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