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A Markov chain Monte Carlo construction of space-filling Latin Hypercube Samples 空间填充拉丁超立方体样本的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗构造
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-09-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2026.106387
Rami El Haddad , Diala Wehbe , Nicolas Wicker , Matthias Hwai Yong Tan
This paper aims to construct Latin Hypercube Samples (LHSs) with enhanced repulsion between their points. Our main contribution is a novel Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm designed to generate an LHS with a large Euclidean distance between each pair of points, thus promoting better spread. The proposed algorithm is a Metropolis–Hastings algorithm that defines a Markov chain whose stationary distribution favors samples with greater separation between points. The convergence of the algorithm is rigorously Moreover, numerical experiments are presented to demonstrate that the LHSs produced by our algorithm exhibit improved point distribution, leading to better uniform coverage of the sampling space compared to standard Latin Hypercube designs. In addition, the method yields a diverse collection of designs with better spread of points (reflected in small values of a scattering criterion), highlighting the value of variety among well-performing designs.
本文旨在构造点间斥力增强的拉丁超立方体样本(lhs)。我们的主要贡献是一种新颖的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗算法,旨在生成每对点之间具有较大欧几里德距离的LHS,从而促进更好的传播。所提出的算法是一种Metropolis-Hastings算法,该算法定义了一个马尔可夫链,该马尔可夫链的平稳分布倾向于点间间隔较大的样本。此外,数值实验表明,与标准拉丁超立方体设计相比,该算法产生的lhs具有更好的点分布,从而使采样空间的覆盖更加均匀。此外,该方法产生了不同的设计集合,具有更好的点分布(反映在散射准则的小值上),突出了表现良好的设计之间多样性的价值。
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引用次数: 0
QB-optimal two-level designs for the baseline parameterization 基线参数化的最优两级设计
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-09-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2026.106380
Xietao Zhou, Steven G. Gilmour
There has been recent interest in the baseline parameterization for two-level factorial designs. The association matrix that expresses the estimator of effects under the baseline parameterization is obtained in an equivalent form as a linear function of estimators of effects under the traditional centered parameterization. This allows the generalization of the QB criterion which evaluates designs under model uncertainty in the traditional centered parameterization to be applicable to the baseline parameterization. Some optimal designs under the baseline parameterization seen in the previous literature are evaluated and it has been shown that at a given prior probability of a main effect being in the best fitted model from the experimental data, the design in the literature converges to being QB optimal as the probability of an interaction being in that model converges to 0 from above. The QB optimal designs for two setups of factors and run sizes at various priors are found by an extended coordinate exchange algorithm and the evaluation of their performances are discussed. Comparisons have been made to those optimal designs restricted to be level-balanced and orthogonal.
最近对两水平析因设计的基线参数化产生了兴趣。将表示基线参数化下效果估计量的关联矩阵等效为传统中心参数化下效果估计量的线性函数。这使得传统中心参数化中评估模型不确定性下设计的QB准则推广到基线参数化中。对先前文献中基线参数化下的一些最优设计进行了评估,结果表明,在给定的先验概率下,主效应位于实验数据的最佳拟合模型中,当交互作用位于该模型中的概率从上面收敛到0时,文献中的设计收敛于QB最优。利用扩展坐标交换算法找到了两种因素和运行规模在不同先验条件下的QB最优设计,并对其性能进行了评价。并与受水平平衡和正交限制的优化设计进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
First passage time and inverse problem for continuous local martingales 连续局部鞅的首次通过时间与逆问题
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-07-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2026.106376
Yoann Potiron
This paper derives an explicit formula for the probability that a continuous local martingale crosses a one or two-sided random constant boundary for a finite time interval. The boundary crossing probability of a continuous local martingale to a constant boundary is equal to the boundary crossing probability of a standard Wiener process, which is time-changed by the martingale quadratic variation, to a constant boundary. This paper also derives an explicit solution to the inverse first passage time problem of quadratic variation. These results are obtained by an application of the Dambis, Dubins–Schwarz theorem. The main elementary idea of the proof is the scale invariant property of the time-changed Wiener process and thus the scale invariant property of the first passage time. This is due to the constancy of the boundary.
本文导出了有限时间区间内连续局部鞅与单侧或双侧随机常数边界相交概率的显式公式。连续局部鞅到常数边界的边界跨越概率等于由鞅二次变分时变的标准Wiener过程到常数边界的边界跨越概率。本文还导出了二次变分首次通过时间逆问题的显式解。这些结果是由Dambis, Dubins-Schwarz定理的应用得到的。证明的主要基本思想是时变维纳过程的尺度不变性质,从而得到第一次通过时间的尺度不变性质。这是由于边界的恒定性。
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引用次数: 0
A class of mixed-level amplified designs and their space-filling properties 一类混合级放大设计及其空间填充特性
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2025.106372
Zuohang Kang , Zujun Ou
With the increasing complexity of experimental scenarios, mixed-level designs with large size are urgently needed. A class of mixed-level designs are constructed through amplification, which enlarges both the run size and number of factors of initial design. The space-filling properties of amplified designs are discussed under generalized minimum aberration criterion, wordlength enumerator and maximin L2-distance criterion, and attainable upper bound of maximin L2-distance and lower bound of wordlength enumerator for amplified design are respectively obtained. Numerical examples demonstrate that the construction method of amplified designs is very simple and effective, and is recommended for application in high dimension topics of statistics or large-scale experiments.
随着实验场景的日益复杂,迫切需要大尺寸的混合级设计。通过放大的方法构建了一类混合水平设计,它既扩大了初始设计的运行规模,又扩大了初始设计的因素数量。在广义最小像差准则、字长枚举数和最大l2 -距离准则下,讨论了放大设计的空间填充特性,得到了放大设计的最大l2 -距离上界和最大l2 -距离下界。数值算例表明,放大设计的构造方法简单有效,适用于高维统计课题或大规模实验。
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引用次数: 0
Nonparametric estimation of the quantiles of the conditional residual lifetime distribution 条件残差寿命分布分位数的非参数估计
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-07-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2026.106373
Steven Abrams , Paul Janssen , Noël Veraverbeke
In medical research interest is often in studying either the association between an event time T1 and a continuous covariate T2 or between two event times T1 and T2 where event times are typically subject to (right) censoring. Although the strength of dependence between such random variables can be expressed in terms of global and local association measures, it is interesting to study alternative quantities such as percentiles of the residual lifetime distribution with regard to T1, conditional on T2 taking values in a given interval. In this paper, we extend existing methods to estimate quantiles of the conditional residual lifetime distribution needed to encompass a more flexible classification of subjects into subgroups based on their respective T2-values. More specifically, we propose two estimators under one-component, respectively under univariate censoring, and provide a detailed study of their finite-sample performance. We demonstrate the use of these estimators for two medical datasets on (1) monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance, and (2) on overall mortality in Danish twin members.
医学研究的兴趣通常是研究事件时间T1与连续协变量T2之间的关系,或两个事件时间T1和T2之间的关系,其中事件时间通常受到(右)审查。尽管这些随机变量之间的依赖强度可以用全局和局部关联度量来表示,但研究替代量(如T2在给定区间内取值的条件下相对于T1的剩余寿命分布的百分位数)是有趣的。在本文中,我们扩展了现有的方法来估计条件剩余寿命分布的分位数,这些分位数需要根据各自的t2值将受试者更灵活地分类为子组。更具体地说,我们分别在单分量和单变量审查下提出了两个估计器,并详细研究了它们的有限样本性能。我们展示了这些估计器在两个医学数据集上的使用(1)意义不明的单克隆伽玛病,以及(2)丹麦双胞胎成员的总死亡率。
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引用次数: 0
Template based functional prediction with applications to noninvasive mechanical ventilation and surface EMG techniques 基于模板的功能预测及其在无创机械通气和表面肌电图技术中的应用
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-07-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2026.106375
Jan Beran , Jeremy Näscher , Franziska Farquharson , Jan Graßhoff , Stephan Walterspacher
Sample paths of physiological measurements often exhibit periodically similar patterns. The shapes of observed curves can be complicated, and between-subject variability is typically high. Modeling and prediction therefore need to be done at a patient-specific level. We consider models based on stationary warping of subject-specific template functions. The proposed models can be understood as state space processes or functional time series, with warping functions and vertical deviations characterized by real valued latent processes. Estimation, asymptotic results and prediction regions are derived. The methodology is motivated by a study of mechanical ventilation where the aim is to design automated noninvasive procedures for neurally derived regulation of mechanical ventilation, applying surface electromyography of the respiratory muscles.
生理测量的样本路径通常表现出周期性的相似模式。观察到的曲线形状可能很复杂,受试者之间的可变性通常很高。因此,建模和预测需要在特定患者的水平上进行。我们考虑基于特定主题模板函数的平稳翘曲的模型。所提出的模型可以理解为状态空间过程或函数时间序列,其翘曲函数和垂直偏差以实值潜在过程为特征。给出了估计、渐近结果和预测区域。该方法的动机是对机械通气的研究,其目的是设计自动化的无创程序,用于神经衍生的机械通气调节,应用呼吸肌表面肌电图。
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引用次数: 0
Uniformity pattern and uniform projection designs based on absolute discrepancy 基于绝对差值的均匀模式和均匀投影设计
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-07-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2026.106377
Na Zou, Yao Xiao
This paper mainly investigates the projection uniformity of experimental designs based on absolute discrepancy, a newly proposed uniformity criterion particularly suitable for modern experiments with discrete experimental domains. We first establish a general framework of the uniformity pattern defined over the discrete experimental domain via the theory of the reproducing kernel. Then, we highlight the uniformity pattern based on absolute discrepancy and propose a new minimum projection uniformity criterion to evaluate and compare designs more effectively. Theoretical results show the consistence between the proposed minimum projection uniformity criterion and other classical design screening criteria in the sense of level permutations, while several examples demonstrate the superior performance of the new criterion. We also present the uniform projection design under absolute discrepancy, exhibiting superior projection uniformity across all dimensions. Numerical simulations show that uniform projection designs outperform uniform designs under absolute discrepancy in prediction performance, especially in experiments with inert factors.
本文主要研究了基于绝对差异的实验设计投影均匀性准则。绝对差异是一种新提出的均匀性准则,特别适用于具有离散实验域的现代实验。我们首先通过再现核理论建立了在离散实验域上定义的均匀性模式的一般框架。然后,我们突出了基于绝对差异的均匀性模式,并提出了一种新的最小投影均匀性准则,以更有效地评价和比较设计。理论结果表明,所提出的最小投影均匀性准则与其他经典设计筛选准则在水平排列意义上是一致的,而几个算例表明了新准则的优越性能。我们还提出了在绝对差异下的均匀投影设计,在所有维度上都表现出优越的投影均匀性。数值模拟结果表明,均匀投影设计在预测性能上优于均匀投影设计,特别是在有惰性因素的实验中。
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引用次数: 0
On deriving Liouville process from Liouville distribution and its application in nonparametric Bayesian inference 由Liouville分布导出Liouville过程及其在非参数贝叶斯推理中的应用
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2025.106368
Sadegh Chegini, Mahmoud Zarepour
The Liouville distribution, a generalization of the Dirichlet distribution, serves as a well-known conjugate prior for the multinomial distribution. Just as the Dirichlet process is derived from the finite-dimensional Dirichlet distribution, it is natural and important to introduce and derive a Liouville process in a similar manner. We introduce a discrete random probability measure constructed from a random vector following a Liouville distribution and subsequently derive its weak limit to define our proposed Liouville process. The resulting process is a spike-and-slab process, where the Dirichlet process serves as the slab and a single point from its mean acts as the spike. These two components are linearly combined using a random weight generated from the Liouville distribution. By using the Liouville process as a prior on the space of probability measures, we derive the corresponding posterior process as well as the predictive distribution.
Liouville分布是Dirichlet分布的一种推广,是多项式分布的一个众所周知的共轭先验。正如狄利克雷过程是从有限维狄利克雷分布推导出来的一样,以类似的方式引入和推导Liouville过程是很自然和重要的。我们引入了一个离散随机概率测度,该测度由遵循Liouville分布的随机向量构造,随后推导出其弱极限来定义我们提出的Liouville过程。由此产生的过程是尖峰-尖峰过程,其中狄利克雷过程作为尖峰,其平均值的一个点作为尖峰。这两个分量使用由Liouville分布生成的随机权重线性组合。利用Liouville过程作为概率测度空间上的先验,推导出相应的后验过程和预测分布。
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引用次数: 0
Robust transfer learning under generalized linear errors-in-variables models 广义线性变量误差模型下的鲁棒迁移学习
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-07-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2026.106378
Zhenglong Zhang, Houlin Zhou, Xuejun Wang
Transfer learning enhances statistical modeling by utilizing source-task information, but its effectiveness can be compromised when the common assumption of error-free covariates is violated, as measurement error often leads to biased estimates and invalid inference. To address this critical issue, we propose a novel transfer learning framework for generalized linear errors-in-variables models (GLEVMs), which account for classical additive measurement error in covariates. We introduce a functional similarity structure linking source and target parameters, and develop the errors-in-variables transfer learning likelihood (ev-TLL) method based on weighted likelihood. Under mild regularity conditions, we establish the asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator and demonstrate that it achieves faster convergence rates than traditional methods without transfer learning. Extensive simulations under both linear and nonlinear GLEVMs confirm the superior estimation accuracy of our approach. Finally, a real data application to the Maryland Biological Stream Survey highlights the practical benefits of ev-TLL over models using only target-domain data.
迁移学习通过利用源任务信息来增强统计建模,但是当违反无误差协变量的常见假设时,迁移学习的有效性可能会受到损害,因为测量误差通常会导致有偏差的估计和无效的推断。为了解决这一关键问题,我们提出了一种新的迁移学习框架,用于广义线性变量误差模型(GLEVMs),该模型考虑了协变量中的经典加性测量误差。引入源参数和目标参数之间的功能相似结构,提出了基于加权似然的变量内误差迁移学习似然(ev-TLL)方法。在温和的正则性条件下,我们建立了该估计量的渐近正态性,并证明了它比传统的不迁移学习的方法收敛速度更快。在线性和非线性glevm下的大量仿真证实了我们的方法具有较高的估计精度。最后,马里兰州生物流调查的实际数据应用突出了ev-TLL比仅使用目标域数据的模型的实际好处。
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引用次数: 0
Robust estimation with Latin Hypercube Sampling: A Central Limit Theorem for Z-estimators 拉丁超立方抽样的稳健估计:z估计量的中心极限定理
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2026-07-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2026.106374
Faouzi Hakimi
Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) is a widely used stratified sampling method in computer experiments. In this work, we extend existing convergence results for the sample mean under LHS to the broader class of Z-estimators — estimators defined as the zeros of a sample mean function. We derive the asymptotic variance of these estimators and demonstrate that it is smaller when using LHS compared to traditional independent and identically distributed sampling. Furthermore, we establish a Central Limit Theorem for Z-estimators under LHS, providing a theoretical foundation for its improved efficiency.
拉丁超立方体抽样(LHS)是计算机实验中广泛使用的分层抽样方法。在这项工作中,我们将LHS下样本均值的现有收敛结果扩展到更广泛的z估计量-定义为样本均值函数零点的估计量。我们推导了这些估计量的渐近方差,并证明了与传统的独立同分布抽样相比,LHS的渐近方差更小。此外,我们还建立了LHS下z估计量的中心极限定理,为其提高效率提供了理论基础。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
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