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Bootstrap-based tests for the total time on test and the excess wealth orders 基于引导的测试的总测试时间和剩余财富顺序
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-06-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2025.106315
Tommaso Lando, Sirio Legramanti
Given a pair of non-negative random variables X and Y, we introduce a class of nonparametric tests for the null hypothesis that X dominates Y in the total time on test order. Critical values are determined using bootstrap-based inference, and the tests are shown to be consistent. The same approach is used to construct tests for the excess wealth order. As a byproduct, we also obtain a class of goodness-of-fit tests for the NBUE (New Better than Used in Expectation) family of distributions.
给定一对非负随机变量X和Y,我们引入了对X在总时间上优于Y的零假设的一类非参数检验。使用基于自举的推理来确定临界值,并且测试表明是一致的。同样的方法也用于构造过剩财富顺序的检验。作为副产品,我们还获得了NBUE (New Better than Used in Expectation)分布族的一类拟合优度检验。
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引用次数: 0
On semi-supervised estimation using exponential tilt mixture models 指数倾斜混合模型的半监督估计
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-06-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2025.106314
Ye Tian , Xinwei Zhang , Zhiqiang Tan
Consider a semi-supervised setting with a labeled dataset of binary responses and predictors and an unlabeled dataset with only the predictors. Logistic regression is equivalent to an exponential tilt model in the labeled population. For semi-supervised estimation of regression coefficients in logistic regression, we develop further analysis and understanding of a statistical approach using exponential tilt mixture (ETM) models and maximum nonparametric likelihood estimation, while allowing that the class proportions may differ between the unlabeled and labeled data. We derive asymptotic properties of ETM-based estimation and demonstrate improved efficiency over supervised logistic regression in a random sampling setup and an outcome-stratified sampling setup previously used. Moreover, we reconcile such efficiency improvement with the existing semiparametric efficiency theory when the class proportions in the unlabeled and labeled data are restricted to be the same. We also provide a simulation study to numerically illustrate our theoretical findings.
考虑一个半监督设置,其中包含二元响应和预测器的标记数据集,以及一个仅包含预测器的未标记数据集。逻辑回归相当于标记群体中的指数倾斜模型。对于逻辑回归中回归系数的半监督估计,我们进一步分析和理解了使用指数倾斜混合(ETM)模型和最大非参数似然估计的统计方法,同时允许未标记和标记数据之间的类比例可能不同。我们推导了基于etm估计的渐近性质,并证明了在随机抽样设置和先前使用的结果分层抽样设置中优于监督逻辑回归的效率。此外,当未标记和标记数据中的类比例被限制为相同时,我们将这种效率改进与现有的半参数效率理论相协调。我们还提供了一个模拟研究来数值说明我们的理论发现。
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引用次数: 0
Limit results for estimation of connectivity matrix in multi-layer stochastic block models 多层随机块模型连通性矩阵估计的极限结果
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2025.106313
Wenqing Su , Xiao Guo , Ying Yang
Multi-layer networks arise naturally in various domains including biology, finance and sociology, among others. The multi-layer stochastic block model (multi-layer SBM) is commonly used for community detection in the multi-layer networks. Most of current literature focuses on statistical consistency of community detection methods under multi-layer SBMs. However, the asymptotic distributional properties are also indispensable which play an important role in statistical inference. In this work, we aim to study the estimation and asymptotic properties of the layer-wise scaled connectivity matrices in the multi-layer SBM. We study and analyze a computationally tractable method for estimating the scaled connectivity matrices. Under the multi-layer SBM and its variant multi-layer degree-corrected SBM, we establish the asymptotic normality of the estimated matrices under mild conditions, which can be used for interval estimation and hypothesis testing. Simulations show the superior performance of proposed method over existing methods in two considered statistical inference tasks. We apply the method to a real dataset and obtain interpretable results. In addition, we develop a moment estimator for the non-scaled connectivity matrices and study its asymptotic properties.
多层网络自然出现在包括生物学、金融学和社会学在内的各个领域。多层随机块模型(multi-layer SBM)是多层网络中常用的社区检测方法。目前的文献大多集中在多层SBMs下社区检测方法的统计一致性上。然而,渐近分布性质也是不可缺少的,它在统计推断中起着重要作用。在这项工作中,我们的目的是研究多层SBM中逐层缩放连接矩阵的估计和渐近性质。我们研究和分析了一种计算上易于处理的估计尺度连通性矩阵的方法。在多层SBM及其变体多层度校正SBM下,我们建立了估计矩阵在温和条件下的渐近正态性,可用于区间估计和假设检验。仿真结果表明,在两种统计推断任务中,本文方法的性能优于现有方法。将该方法应用于实际数据集,得到了可解释的结果。此外,我们建立了一个无尺度连通性矩阵的矩估计量,并研究了它的渐近性质。
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引用次数: 0
Deconvolution density estimation using penalized splines 利用惩罚样条进行反褶积密度估计
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-06-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2025.106310
Hanxiao Jing , Mary C. Meyer , Jiayang Sun
A straight-forward solution to the deconvolution density estimation involves penalized splines. A priori information about shape of the densities is readily imposed; for example the estimates may be constrained to be unimodal or bimodal. With quadratic splines and uniform errors, a cube-root convergence rate is attained. Simulations show that the estimators perform well compared to kernel estimators in a variety of scenarios.
反褶积密度估计的直接解决方案涉及惩罚样条。关于密度形状的先验信息很容易被强加;例如,估计可能被限制为单峰或双峰。在二次样条和均匀误差条件下,得到了一个立方根的收敛速度。仿真结果表明,在各种情况下,与核估计器相比,该估计器具有良好的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Accelerated failure time model under dependent truncated data 相关截断数据下的加速失效时间模型
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2025.106297
Jin-Jian Hsieh, Siang-Ying Chen
This paper delves into the accelerated failure time model within the framework of dependent truncation data and leverages the copula model to establish correlations within the dataset. Building upon the work of Chaieb et al. (2006), who utilized the copula-graphic method to estimate survival functions and proposed an approach for estimating correlation parameters, we further extend the methodology by introducing two distinct estimation techniques for regression parameters. The first method involves parameter evaluation through the calculation of the area between survival curves, while the second method employs the weight of survival jump in conjunction with the least squares approach to estimate regression parameters. We evaluate the efficacy of these proposed estimation procedures through simulation studies and conduct a comparative analysis between the two approaches. Furthermore, we apply these methodologies to two real-world datasets, providing insights into their practical applicability. Through this analysis, we gain a deeper understanding of how these approaches can be effectively utilized in real-world scenarios.
本文在相关截断数据框架下深入研究加速失效时间模型,并利用copula模型建立数据集内部的相关性。Chaieb等人(2006)利用copula-graph方法估计生存函数,并提出了一种估计相关参数的方法。在此基础上,我们通过引入两种不同的回归参数估计技术,进一步扩展了该方法。第一种方法是通过计算生存曲线之间的面积来评估参数,第二种方法是利用生存跳权结合最小二乘法来估计回归参数。我们通过模拟研究来评估这些建议的估计程序的有效性,并在两种方法之间进行比较分析。此外,我们将这些方法应用于两个真实世界的数据集,提供了对其实际适用性的见解。通过此分析,我们可以更深入地了解如何在实际场景中有效地利用这些方法。
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引用次数: 0
Semiparametric modal regression with varying coefficients and measurement error 变系数半参数模态回归及测量误差
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-05-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2025.106307
Aman Ullah , Tao Wang
We in this paper propose a stepwise estimation procedure for semiparametric modal regression with varying coefficients and measurement error, where the linear covariate is unobserved but an ancillary variable is available. This modal regression framework, which is built on the mode value rather than the mean, captures the “most likely” effect instead of the traditional average effect. The proposed stepwise procedure introduces a restricted regression mode by imposing a structural constraint on the model, allowing us to concentrate out the varying coefficients using the “correction for attenuation” method commonly employed in mean regression. This transformation reduces the original model to a parametric modal regression. We establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the resulting modal estimators by analyzing the tail behavior of the characteristic function of the error distribution, distinguishing between ordinary smooth and super smooth cases. Additionally, we investigate bandwidth selection strategies and propose a simulation-extrapolation algorithm as a practical approach for optimal bandwidth choice. We conduct Monte Carlo simulations to assess the finite sample performance of the resulting estimators and present a real data analysis to further illustrate the effectiveness of the suggested estimation procedure.
本文提出了一种具有变系数和测量误差的半参数模态回归的逐步估计方法,其中线性协变量是不可观测的,但辅助变量是可用的。这种模态回归框架是建立在模态值而不是平均值的基础上的,它捕捉的是“最可能”的效应,而不是传统的平均效应。所提出的逐步过程通过对模型施加结构约束引入了一种受限回归模式,允许我们使用平均回归中常用的“衰减校正”方法集中出变化系数。这种转换将原始模型简化为参数模态回归。通过分析误差分布特征函数的尾部行为,区分普通光滑和超光滑情况,建立了所得模态估计量的相合性和渐近正态性。此外,我们研究了带宽选择策略,并提出了一种模拟外推算法作为最优带宽选择的实用方法。我们进行蒙特卡罗模拟,以评估所得估计器的有限样本性能,并提供真实的数据分析,以进一步说明所建议的估计过程的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Divide and conquer for generalized approximately expectile regression 广义近似期望回归的分治法
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-05-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2025.106300
Zhen Zeng , Weixin Yao
When the size of the dataset becomes extremely large, it is computationally challenge for traditional statistical estimation methods and might be infeasible to store all the data on a single computer. Under the massive data framework, we extend the divide and conquer method to the generalized approximately expectile regression and investigate both of their finite and asymptotic properties. Bahadur representation of the estimators are established. Moreover, we prove that with the appropriate number of subsamples, the proposed method can ensure the accuracy of statistical inference. Simulations studies validate our theoretical findings. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.
当数据集的规模变得非常大时,传统的统计估计方法在计算上是一个挑战,并且在一台计算机上存储所有的数据可能是不可行的。在海量数据框架下,我们将分治法推广到广义近似期望回归,并研究了它的有限性质和渐近性质。建立了估计量的Bahadur表示。此外,我们还证明了在适当的子样本数量下,所提出的方法可以保证统计推断的准确性。模拟研究验证了我们的理论发现。本文的补充材料可在网上获得。
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引用次数: 0
Asymptotically efficient estimation under local constraint in Wicksell’s problem 局部约束下Wicksell问题的渐近有效估计
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2025.106299
Francesco Gili, Geurt Jongbloed, Aad van der Vaart
We consider nonparametric estimation of the distribution function F of squared sphere radii in the classical Wicksell problem. Under smoothness conditions on F in a neighborhood of x, in Gili et al. (2024) it is shown that the Isotonic Inverse Estimator (IIE) is asymptotically efficient and attains rate of convergence n/logn. If F is constant on an interval containing x, the optimal rate of convergence increases to n and the IIE attains this rate adaptively, i.e. without explicitly using the knowledge of local constancy. However, in this case, the asymptotic distribution is not normal. In this paper, we introduce three informed projection-type estimators of F, which use knowledge on the interval of constancy and show these are all asymptotically equivalent and normal. Furthermore, we establish a local asymptotic minimax lower bound in this setting, proving that the three informed estimators are asymptotically efficient and a convolution result showing that the IIE is not efficient. We also derive the asymptotic distribution of the difference of the IIE with the efficient estimators, demonstrating that the IIE is not asymptotically equivalent to the informed estimators. Through a simulation study, we provide evidence that the performance of the IIE closely resembles that of its competitors, supporting the use of the IIE as the standard choice when no information about F is available.
研究了经典Wicksell问题中平方球半径分布函数F的非参数估计。在x邻域F上的平滑条件下,Gili et al.(2024)证明了等压逆估计(IIE)是渐近有效的,其收敛速率为n/logn。如果F在包含x的区间上是常数,则最优收敛速率增加到n,并且IIE自适应地达到该速率,即不显式地使用局部常数的知识。然而,在这种情况下,渐近分布不是正态分布。本文引入了F的三个已知投影型估计,它们利用了关于常数区间的知识,证明了它们都是渐近等价的正态估计。在此基础上,我们建立了局部渐近极大极小下界,证明了这三个估计量是渐近有效的,并给出了一个卷积结果,证明了IIE是无效的。我们还推导了IIE与有效估计量之差的渐近分布,证明了IIE与知情估计量并不渐近等价。通过模拟研究,我们提供了证据,证明IIE的性能与其竞争对手非常相似,支持在没有关于F的信息时使用IIE作为标准选择。
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引用次数: 0
A nonparametric test for the heterogeneity of the spatial autoregressive parameter 空间自回归参数异质性的非参数检验
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-05-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2025.106298
Yangbing Tang , Jiang Du , Zhongzhan Zhang
We propose a new test for the heterogeneity of the spatial autoregressive parameter in semiparametric varying-coefficient spatial autoregressive models. Our specification test is built on the difference of parametric and nonparametric estimates of the spatial autoregressive coefficient, where the two estimates are obtained by the sieve GMM estimation method. Under mild conditions, we derive the limiting null distribution, the local power property and consistency of the test statistic. Numerical simulations show promising performance of the proposed test for finite samples in the considered cases, and the crime data of Tokyo is analyzed to illustrate the usefulness of the test.
本文提出了一种检验半参数变系数空间自回归模型中空间自回归参数异质性的新方法。我们的规范检验建立在空间自回归系数的参数和非参数估计的差异上,其中两个估计是通过筛选GMM估计方法获得的。在温和条件下,导出了检验统计量的极限零分布、局部功率性质和一致性。数值模拟结果表明,该方法在有限样本情况下具有良好的性能,并对东京的犯罪数据进行了分析,以说明该方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Copula-based semiparametric nonnormal transformed linear model for survival data with dependent censoring 基于copula的生存数据非正态变换线性模型
IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2025-05-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2025.106296
Huazhen Yu , Lixin Zhang
Although the independent censoring assumption is commonly used in survival analysis, it can be violated when the censoring time is related to the survival time, which often happens in many practical applications. To address this issue, we propose a flexible semiparametric method for dependent censored data. Our approach involves fitting the survival time and the censoring time with a joint transformed linear model, where the transformed function is unspecified. This allows for a very general class of models that can account for possible covariate effects, while also accommodating administrative censoring. We assume that the transformed variables have a bivariate nonnormal distribution based on parametric copulas and parametric marginals, which further enhances the flexibility of our method. We demonstrate the identifiability of the proposed model and establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the model parameters under appropriate regularity conditions and assumptions. Furthermore, we evaluate the performance of our method through extensive simulation studies, and provide a real data example for illustration.
虽然独立审查假设是生存分析中常用的假设,但是当审查时间与生存时间相关时,独立审查假设就会被违反,这种情况在许多实际应用中经常发生。为了解决这个问题,我们提出了一种灵活的半参数方法。我们的方法包括用一个联合变换的线性模型拟合生存时间和审查时间,其中变换的函数是未指定的。这允许一个非常一般的模型类别,可以解释可能的协变量效应,同时也适应行政审查。我们假设变换后的变量具有基于参数copula和参数边际的二元非正态分布,这进一步增强了方法的灵活性。我们证明了模型的可辨识性,并在适当的正则性条件和假设下,建立了模型参数的一致性和渐近正态性。此外,我们通过大量的仿真研究来评估我们的方法的性能,并提供了一个真实的数据示例来说明。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
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