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Selection pressure/Noise driven cooperative behaviour in the thermodynamic limit of repeated games 重复博弈热力学极限中的选择压力/噪声驱动的合作行为
Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: arxiv-2407.15801
Rajdeep Tah, Colin Benjamin
Consider the scenario where an infinite number of players (i.e., thetextit{thermodynamic} limit) find themselves in a Prisoner's dilemma typesituation, in a textit{repeated} setting. Is it reasonable to anticipate that,in these circumstances, cooperation will emerge? This paper addresses thisquestion by examining the emergence of cooperative behaviour, in the presenceof textit{noise} (or, under textit{selection pressure}), in repeatedPrisoner's Dilemma games, involving strategies such as textit{Tit-for-Tat},textit{Always Defect}, textit{GRIM}, textit{Win-Stay, Lose-Shift}, andothers. To analyze these games, we employ a numerical Agent-Based Model (ABM)and compare it with the analytical Nash Equilibrium Mapping (NEM) technique,both based on the textit{1D}-Ising chain. We use textit{game magnetization}as an indicator of cooperative behaviour. A significant finding is that forsome repeated games, a discontinuity in the game magnetization indicates atextit{first}-order textit{selection pressure/noise}-driven phase transition.The phase transition is particular to strategies where players do not severelypunish a single defection. We also observe that in these particular cases, thephase transition critically depends on the number of textit{rounds} the gameis played in the thermodynamic limit. For all five games, we find that both ABMand NEM, in conjunction with game magnetization, provide crucial inputs on howcooperative behaviour can emerge in an infinite-player repeated Prisoner'sdilemma game.
考虑这样一种情景:在一个 "文本{重复}"环境中,无限多的参与者(即 "文本{热力学}极限")发现自己处于 "囚徒困境 "类型的情境中。在这种情况下,合作会出现吗?本文通过研究在重复的囚徒困境博弈中合作行为的出现来解决这个问题,这些博弈涉及的策略包括:(textit{Tit-for-Tat})、(textit{Always Defect})、(textit{GRIM})、(textit{Win-Stay, Lose-Shift}以及其他策略。为了分析这些博弈,我们使用了一个基于代理的数值模型(ABM),并将其与(textit{1D}-Ising 链的)分析纳什均衡映射(NEM)技术进行了比较。我们使用(textit{game magnetization})作为合作行为的指标。一个重要的发现是,对于某些重复博弈,博弈磁化的不连续性表明了一个由(textit{一阶)(textit{选择压力/噪声)驱动的相变。我们还观察到,在这些特殊情况下,相变关键取决于博弈在热力学极限下的(textit{回合}数量。对于所有五个博弈,我们发现,ABM 和 NEM 与博弈磁化相结合,为无限玩家重复囚徒困境博弈中如何出现合作行为提供了关键信息。
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引用次数: 0
Colonel Blotto Game: An Analysis and Extension to Networks 布洛托上校游戏:对网络的分析和扩展
Pub Date : 2024-07-21 DOI: arxiv-2407.16707
Sidarth Erat
The Colonel Blotto game, introduced by Borel in the 1920s, is often used formodeling various real-life settings, such as elections, lobbying, etc. The gameis based on the allocation of limited resources by players to a set of fields.Each field is ``won'' and a corresponding field-specific value is obtained bythe player who sends the most resources. In this paper, we formulate a discreteBlotto game played on a general textit{accessibility network} (i.e., thebipartite graph made of players and the fields they can allocate resources to).The primary goal is to find how the topology of the accessibility networkcontrols the existence and uniqueness of equilibrium allocations, and how itaffects the fraction of fields that are entered and the average payoff ofplayers at equilibrium. We establish that, in a 2-regular topology, when thevalues of fields are close enough and the number of players is not a multipleof 4, then there is a unique equilbrium. We also prove that players are betteroff and fields are more likely to be entered in a regular topology than arandom topology. We find numerically that dispersion of field weightsnegatively affects average player payoff. The main contribution is a frameworkfor analyzing contests where players are permitted access to some (but notnecessarily all) venues of competition.
布洛托上校博弈(Colonel Blotto game)由博勒(Borel)于 20 世纪 20 年代提出,常用于模拟各种现实生活场景,如选举、游说等。博弈的基础是博弈者将有限的资源分配给一组领域,每个领域都是 "赢家",发送资源最多的博弈者将获得相应的领域特定值。本文的主要目标是研究无障碍网络的拓扑结构如何控制均衡分配的存在性和唯一性,以及它如何影响均衡时进入的田地数量和玩家的平均报酬。我们发现,在 2 规则拓扑中,当场值足够接近且玩家数量不是 4 的倍数时,存在唯一的均衡。我们还证明,与随机拓扑相比,在规则拓扑中,棋手的情况更好,更有可能进入场。我们在数值上发现,棋子权重的分散会对棋手的平均收益产生负面影响。我们的主要贡献是建立了一个分析竞赛的框架,在这个框架中,棋手可以进入某些(但不一定是全部)竞赛场地。
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引用次数: 0
(Non-)Commutative Aggregation (非)交换聚合
Pub Date : 2024-07-20 DOI: arxiv-2407.14959
Yuzhao Yang
Commutativity is a normative criterion of aggregation and updating statingthat the aggregation of expert posteriors should be identical to the update ofthe aggregated priors. I propose a thought experiment that raises questionsabout the normative appeal of Commutativity. I propose a weakened version ofCommutativity and show how that assumption plays central roles in thecharacterization of linear belief aggregation, multiple-weight aggregation, andan aggregation rule which can be viewed as the outcome of a game played by"dual-selves," Pessimism and Optimism. Under suitable conditions, I establishequivalences between various relaxations of Commutativity and classic axiomsfor decision-making under uncertainty, including Independence, C-Independence,and Ambiguity Aversion.
通用性是聚合和更新的规范性标准,指出专家后验的聚合应与聚合前验的更新相同。我提出了一个思想实验,对换算的规范性吸引力提出了质疑。我提出了通用性的弱化版本,并展示了这一假设如何在描述线性信念聚合、多权重聚合和聚合规则时发挥核心作用,而这一聚合规则可以被看作是 "双重自我"--悲观主义和乐观主义--博弈的结果。在合适的条件下,我建立了换元法的各种松弛与不确定性下决策的经典公理之间的等价关系,包括独立性、C-独立性和模糊厌恶。
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引用次数: 0
Cohesion, Ideology, and Tolerance 凝聚力、意识形态和宽容
Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: arxiv-2407.14045
Patrick Allmis
Agents with different ideologies often form alliances to achieve their goals.Paradoxically, ideologically similar agents are often opponents. In this paper,ideologically heterogeneous agents choose the ideological composition of theirneighborhood, their tolerance, and invest into connections. The resultingweighted network describes allies, opponents, and strengths. Disputes withopponents determine benefits, which increase in an agent's strength andcohesion. Cohesive agents have fewer mutual allies with opponents. Inequilibrium, the network is segregated when cohesion is effective enough andsome agents tolerate ideologically distant types to oppose closer ones.Subsidizing connections dampens polarization in societies on the verge ofsegregation.
意识形态不同的代理人往往会结成联盟来实现他们的目标。矛盾的是,意识形态相似的代理人往往是对手。在本文中,意识形态异质的代理人会选择其邻居的意识形态构成、容忍度,并投资于联系。由此产生的加权网络描述了盟友、对手和优势。与对手的争端决定了利益,而利益会随着代理人的实力和凝聚力而增加。具有凝聚力的代理与对手之间的相互盟友数量较少。在非均衡状态下,当凝聚力足够有效时,网络就会出现隔离,一些代理人会容忍意识形态上距离较远的类型来反对距离较近的类型。
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引用次数: 0
Fair allocation of riparian water rights 河岸水权的公平分配
Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: arxiv-2407.14623
Ricardo Martinez, Juan D. Moreno-Ternero
We take an axiomatic approach to the allocation of riparian water rights. Weformalize ethical or structural properties as axioms of allocation rules. Weshow that several combinations of these axioms characterize focal rulesimplementing the principle of Territorial Integration of all Basin States invarious forms. One of them connects to the Shapley value, the long-standingcenterpiece of cooperative game theory. The others offer natural compromisesbetween the polar principles of Absolute Territorial Sovereignty and UnlimitedTerritorial Integrity. We complete our study with an empirical application tothe allocation of riparian water rights in the Nile River.
我们采用公理的方法来分配河岸水权。我们将伦理或结构属性作为分配规则的公理。我们发现,这些公理的几种组合是以各种形式实施所有流域国家领土一体化原则的焦点规则的特征。其中一个公理与沙普利值有关,而沙普利值是合作博弈论的长期核心。其他方案则是在绝对领土主权和无限领土完整这两个极端原则之间的自然妥协。我们将尼罗河沿岸水权分配的实证应用作为研究的结尾。
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引用次数: 0
Soviet Mathematics and Economic Theory in the Past Century: An Historical Reappraisal 上个世纪的苏联数学和经济理论:历史再评价
Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: arxiv-2407.14315
Ivan Boldyrev
What are the effects of authoritarian regimes on scholarly research ineconomics? And how might economic theory survive ideological pressures? Thearticle addresses these questions by focusing on the mathematization ofeconomics over the past century and drawing on the history of Soviet science.Mathematics in the USSR remained internationally competitive and generated manyideas that were taken up and played important roles in economic theory. Thesesame ideas, however, were disregarded or adopted only in piecemeal fashion bySoviet economists, despite the efforts of influential scholars to change theeconomic research agenda. The article draws this contrast into sharper focus byexploring the work of Soviet mathematicians in optimization, game theory, andprobability theory that was used in Western economics. While the intellectualexchange across the Iron Curtain did help advance the formal modelingapparatus, economics could only thrive in an intellectually open environmentabsent under the Soviet rule.
专制制度对经济学学术研究有何影响?经济理论如何在意识形态压力下生存?本文通过对过去一个世纪经济学数学化的研究,并借鉴苏联科学史来探讨这些问题。苏联的数学仍然具有国际竞争力,并产生了许多在经济理论中被采纳并发挥重要作用的思想。然而,尽管有影响力的学者努力改变经济研究议程,苏联经济学家却无视或只是零敲碎打地采纳了这些思想。本文通过探讨西方经济学中使用的苏联数学家在最优化、博弈论和概率论方面的研究成果,使这一对比更加鲜明。虽然跨越铁幕的智力交流确实有助于推动正式建模工具的发展,但经济学只有在苏联统治下所缺乏的智力开放环境中才能茁壮成长。
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引用次数: 0
Justified Fairness in House Allocation Problems: two Characterizations of Strategy-proof Mechanisms 房屋分配问题中的合理公平性:防策略机制的两个特点
Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: arxiv-2407.14101
Di Feng, Jacob Coreno
We consider the house allocation problems with strict preferences, wheremonetary transfers are not allowed. We propose two properties in the spirit ofjustified fairness. Interestingly, together with other well-studied properties(strategy-proofness and non-bossiness), our two new properties identify serialdictatorships and sequential dictatorships, respectively.
我们考虑的是具有严格偏好的房屋分配问题,在这种情况下不允许货币转移。我们本着合理公平的精神提出了两个属性。有趣的是,我们的这两个新特性与其他已被充分研究的特性(策略防伪性和非老板性)一起,分别确定了序列独裁和序列独裁。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-Tier Tournaments: Matching and Scoring Players 多层锦标赛:玩家匹配与计分
Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: arxiv-2407.13845
Steven J. Brams, Mehmet S. Ismail
We introduce a novel system of matching and scoring players in tournaments,called Multi-Tier Tournaments, illustrated by chess and based on the followingrules: 1. Players are divided into skill-based tiers, based on their Elo ratings. 2. Starting with one or more mini-tournaments of the least skilled players(Tier 1), the winner or winners -- after playing multiple opponents -- move tothe next-higher tier. 3. The winners progress to a final tier of the best-performing players fromlower tiers as well as players with the highest Elo ratings. 4. Performance in each tier is given by a player's Tournament Score (TS),which depends on his/her wins, losses, and draws (not on his/her Elo rating). Whereas a player's Elo rating determines in which mini-tournament he/shestarts play, TS and its associated tie-breaking rules determine whether aplayer moves up to higher tiers and, in the final mini-tournament, wins thetournament. This combination of players' past Elo ratings and current TS'sprovides a fair and accurate measure of a player's standing among the playersin the tournament. We apply a variation of Multi-Tier Tournaments to the top 20active chess players in the world (as of February 2024). Using a dataset of1209 head-to-head games, we illustrate the viability of giving lower-ratedplayers the opportunity to progress and challenge higher-rated players. We alsobriefly discuss the application of Multi-Tier Tournaments to baseball, soccer,and other sports that emphasize physical rather than mental skills.
我们以国际象棋为例,基于以下规则,介绍了一种在锦标赛中匹配棋手并为其计分的新系统,称为多层锦标赛(Multi-Tier Tournaments):1.1. 根据棋手的 Elo 等级,将棋手划分为不同的技术等级。2.2. 从技术最差的棋手(第 1 层)的一场或多场小型比赛开始,获胜者在与多个对手交手后,进入下一个更高的层级。3.3. 获胜者进入由较低级别中表现最好的选手以及 Elo 等级最高的选手组成的最后级别。4.4. 每个级别的成绩由选手的锦标赛得分(TS)决定,锦标赛得分取决于选手的胜负和平局(而非 Elo 等级)。棋手的 Elo 等级决定了他/她在哪个迷你锦标赛中开始比赛,而 TS 及其相关的决胜规则则决定了棋手是否晋级到更高的级别,以及在最后的迷你锦标赛中是否获胜。球员过去的 Elo 等级和当前的 TS 等级相结合,可以公平、准确地衡量球员在锦标赛中的地位。我们对世界排名前 20 的活跃棋手(截至 2024 年 2 月)采用了多层锦标赛的变体。通过 1209 盘正面对决的数据集,我们说明了给予低等级棋手进步和挑战高等级棋手的机会的可行性。我们还简要讨论了多层锦标赛在棒球、足球和其他强调体能而非心智技能的运动中的应用。
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引用次数: 0
Continuous Social Networks 持续的社交网络
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: arxiv-2407.11710
Julián Chitiva, Xavier Venel
We develop an extension of the classical model of DeGroot (1974) to acontinuum of agents when they interact among them according to a DiKernel $W$.We show that, under some regularity assumptions, the continuous model is thelimit case of the discrete one. We provide some applications of this result.First, we establish a canonical way to reduce the dimensionality of matrices bycomparing matrices of different dimensions in the space of DiKernels. Then, wedevelop a model of Lobby Competition where two lobbies compete to bias theopinion of a continuum of agents. We give sufficient conditions for theexistence of a Nash Equilibrium. Furthermore, we establish the conditions underwhich a Nash Equilibrium of the game induce an $varepsilon$-Nash Equilibriumof the discretization of the game. Finally, we put forward some elements forthe characterization of equilibrium strategies.
我们将德格鲁特(DeGroot,1974 年)的经典模型扩展到连续代理,即代理之间根据 DiKernel $W$ 进行互动。我们证明,在某些规则性假设下,连续模型是离散模型的极限情形。首先,我们通过比较 DiKernels 空间中不同维度的矩阵,建立了一种降低矩阵维度的典型方法。然后,我们建立了一个 "游说竞争"(Lobby Competition)模型,在这个模型中,两个游说团体通过竞争来影响一系列代理人的意见。我们给出了纳什均衡存在的充分条件。此外,我们还建立了博弈的纳什均衡诱发博弈离散化的$varepsilon$-纳什均衡的条件。最后,我们提出了均衡策略表征的一些要素。
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引用次数: 0
Informational Size in School Choice 择校中的信息量
Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: arxiv-2407.11273
Di Feng, Yun Liu
This paper introduces a novel measurement of informational size to schoolchoice problems, which inherits its ideas from Mount and Reiter (1974). Thisconcept measures a matching mechanism's information size by counting themaximal relevant preference and priority rankings to secure a certain pairwiseassignment of a student to a school across all possible matching problems. Ouranalysis uncovers two key insights. First, the three prominent strategy-proofmatching mechanisms, the deferred acceptance (DA) mechanism, the top tradingcycles (TTC) mechanism, and the serial dictatorship (SD) mechanism, is(strictly) less informative than the non-strategy-proof immediate acceptance(IA) mechanism. This result highlights a previously omitted advantage of IA interm of its information demand, which partially explain the its popularity inreal-world matching problems especially when acquiring information is bothpecuniarily and cognitively costly. Second, when the matching problem containsat least four students, the TTC demands less information compared to the DA toimplement a desired allocation. The issue of comparison between TTC and DA haspuzzled researchers both in theory (Gonczarowski and Thomas, 2023) and inexperiment (Hakimov and Kubler, 2021). Our result responds to this issue froman informational perspective: in experiments with relatively fewer students,agents tend to prefer DA over TTC as DA requires fewer information to secureone's allocation in all problems (Guillen and Veszteg, 2021), while theopposite is true when the market size increases (Pais et al., 2011). Amongothers, our informational size concept offers a new perspective to understandthe differences in auditability (Grigoryan and Moller, 2024), manipulationvulnerability (Pathak and Sonmez, 2013), and privacy protection (Haupt andHitzig, 2022), among some commonly used matching mechanisms.
本文继承了 Mount 和 Reiter(1974)的观点,为择校问题引入了一种新的信息量测量方法。这一概念通过计算在所有可能的择校问题中,为确保将某个学生配对分配到某所学校而进行的最大相关偏好和优先排序,来测量匹配机制的信息量。我们的分析揭示了两个关键问题。首先,三种著名的防策略匹配机制--延迟接受(DA)机制、最高交易循环(TTC)机制和序列独裁(SD)机制--的信息量(严格来说)都小于非防策略的立即接受(IA)机制。这一结果凸显了 IA 机制之前被忽略的优势,即它对信息的需求,这也部分解释了它在现实匹配问题中受欢迎的原因,尤其是当获取信息既需要高昂的金钱成本又需要高昂的认知成本时。其次,当匹配问题至少包含四个学生时,TTC 与 DA 相比对信息的需求更少,更容易实现理想的分配。TTC 和 DA 之间的比较问题在理论上(Gonczarowski 和 Thomas,2023 年)和实验中(Hakimov 和 Kubler,2021 年)都令研究人员感到困惑。我们的结果从信息角度回应了这一问题:在学生人数相对较少的实验中,代理人倾向于选择 DA 而不是 TTC,因为 DA 在所有问题中都需要较少的信息来确保分配(Guillen 和 Veszteg,2021 年),而当市场规模扩大时,情况则恰恰相反(Pais 等人,2011 年)。此外,我们的信息规模概念为理解一些常用匹配机制在可审计性(Grigoryan 和 Moller,2024 年)、易操纵性(Pathak 和 Sonmez,2013 年)和隐私保护(Haupt 和 Hitzig,2022 年)方面的差异提供了一个新视角。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
arXiv - ECON - Theoretical Economics
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