首页 > 最新文献

Journal of Mathematical Sociology最新文献

英文 中文
The life cycle model of chinese empire dynamics (221 BC–1912 AD) 中国帝国动态的生命周期模型(公元前221年-公元1912年)
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2021.1981311
Peng Lu, Dianhan Chen
ABSTRACT The life cycle pattern is pervasive for both natural and social sciences, from human behaviors to social systems. Based on the life cycle model of collective actions, the man–land relationship governs the rise and fall cycles, namely dynastic cycles. We combine agent-based modeling, systemic dynamics, and numerical simulations, to build the life cycle model of empires. It aims to investigate the rise and fall process of 18 major dynasties (empires) in history of China, from BC 221 to AD 1912. The core aim is to find optimal solutions, which achieve the best matching between simulations and real history. According to our algorithm, the optimal solutions can be obtained, when we have the minimal span differences (gaps) between simulated and real empires. First, we traverse all related parameters, and select simulations with 18 empires. Second, we select the cases with the total ticks between 2122 and 2132 years (ticks). Third, we select cases whose differences (gaps) are within 20 years. Finally, we obtain three optimal solutions (combinations of parameters) whose validity (100 simulations) and robustness (1000 simulations) have been checked. It seems that our life cycle model has achieved the best fitness to real empires in the history of China. For distributive matching of durations (spans), both discrete and continuous forms can be matched. Besides, the simulate and real durations can be matched as well, under counterfactual inferences of 16–17, 18 & 19–20 pairs. Based on our model, the whole history process of China can be back-calculated. Therefore, it seems that the trend of human history (society) may be an automatic process, which cannot be altered by man’s will.
生命周期模式在自然科学和社会科学中无处不在,从人类行为到社会系统。基于集体行动的生命周期模型,人地关系支配着兴衰周期,即王朝周期。我们将基于主体的建模、系统动力学和数值模拟结合起来,构建帝国的生命周期模型。它旨在研究中国历史上18个主要王朝(帝国)的兴衰过程,从公元前221年到公元1912年。其核心目标是寻找最优解,使仿真与真实历史达到最佳匹配。根据我们的算法,当模拟帝国与真实帝国之间的跨度差异(差距)最小时,可以得到最优解。首先,我们遍历所有相关参数,并选择18个帝国的模拟。其次,选取总蜱数在2122 ~ 2132年(蜱数)之间的病例。第三,我们选择差异(差距)在20年以内的案例。最后,我们得到了三个最优解(参数组合),其有效性(100次模拟)和鲁棒性(1000次模拟)已被检查。看来我们的生命周期模式在中国历史上最适合真正的帝国。对于持续时间(跨度)的分布匹配,离散形式和连续形式都可以匹配。此外,在16 - 17,18和19-20对反事实推理下,模拟和真实的持续时间也可以匹配。基于该模型,可以回溯中国的整个历史进程。因此,人类历史(社会)的趋势似乎是一个自动的过程,不能被人的意志所改变。
{"title":"The life cycle model of chinese empire dynamics (221 BC–1912 AD)","authors":"Peng Lu, Dianhan Chen","doi":"10.1080/0022250X.2021.1981311","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1981311","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The life cycle pattern is pervasive for both natural and social sciences, from human behaviors to social systems. Based on the life cycle model of collective actions, the man–land relationship governs the rise and fall cycles, namely dynastic cycles. We combine agent-based modeling, systemic dynamics, and numerical simulations, to build the life cycle model of empires. It aims to investigate the rise and fall process of 18 major dynasties (empires) in history of China, from BC 221 to AD 1912. The core aim is to find optimal solutions, which achieve the best matching between simulations and real history. According to our algorithm, the optimal solutions can be obtained, when we have the minimal span differences (gaps) between simulated and real empires. First, we traverse all related parameters, and select simulations with 18 empires. Second, we select the cases with the total ticks between 2122 and 2132 years (ticks). Third, we select cases whose differences (gaps) are within 20 years. Finally, we obtain three optimal solutions (combinations of parameters) whose validity (100 simulations) and robustness (1000 simulations) have been checked. It seems that our life cycle model has achieved the best fitness to real empires in the history of China. For distributive matching of durations (spans), both discrete and continuous forms can be matched. Besides, the simulate and real durations can be matched as well, under counterfactual inferences of 16–17, 18 & 19–20 pairs. Based on our model, the whole history process of China can be back-calculated. Therefore, it seems that the trend of human history (society) may be an automatic process, which cannot be altered by man’s will.","PeriodicalId":50139,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Sociology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46181589","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Stochastic evolutionary dynamics in the Volunteer’s Dilemma 志愿者困境中的随机进化动力学
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2021-10-25 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2021.1988946
Andreas Tutić
ABSTRACT We study the evolution of cooperation in the Volunteer’s Dilemma using the stochastic Moran process, which models a birth/death dynamic on a finite population. Each period one player dies and is replaced by a copy of a player. Players are either matched in pairs or matched in groups to play the Volunteer’s Dilemma and their payoffs affect their probabilities of reproduction. This set-up allows to study how selection pressure, initial number of cooperators as well as the size of the groups playing the Volunteer’s Dilemma influence the evolution of cooperation. Our main result is that given sufficiently high selection pressure an equilibrium of full cooperation is certain in pairwise interactions but an impossibility in group interactions.
摘要:我们使用随机莫兰过程研究了志愿者困境中合作的演变,该过程对有限人群的出生/死亡动态进行了建模。每个时期都有一名玩家死亡,取而代之的是一名玩家的副本。玩家要么成对配对,要么分组配对,玩志愿者困境游戏,他们的收益会影响他们的繁殖概率。这种设置可以研究选择压力、合作者的初始数量以及志愿者困境中的群体规模如何影响合作的演变。我们的主要结果是,在足够高的选择压力下,完全合作的平衡在成对交互中是确定的,但在群体交互中是不可能的。
{"title":"Stochastic evolutionary dynamics in the Volunteer’s Dilemma","authors":"Andreas Tutić","doi":"10.1080/0022250X.2021.1988946","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1988946","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT We study the evolution of cooperation in the Volunteer’s Dilemma using the stochastic Moran process, which models a birth/death dynamic on a finite population. Each period one player dies and is replaced by a copy of a player. Players are either matched in pairs or matched in groups to play the Volunteer’s Dilemma and their payoffs affect their probabilities of reproduction. This set-up allows to study how selection pressure, initial number of cooperators as well as the size of the groups playing the Volunteer’s Dilemma influence the evolution of cooperation. Our main result is that given sufficiently high selection pressure an equilibrium of full cooperation is certain in pairwise interactions but an impossibility in group interactions.","PeriodicalId":50139,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Sociology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49072327","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Sociophysics of income distributions modeled by deformed fermi-dirac distributions 以变形费米-狄拉克分布为模型的收入分配的社会物理学
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2021-10-05 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2021.1973456
E. Dil, E. Dil
ABSTRACT In order to model the income data, the physical distributions of Fermi-Dirac and Bose-Einstein families have already been proposed in the literature. In this study, we generalize Fermi-Dirac distribution by using a q,p-deformed version of Fermi-Dirac distribution which provides the advantage of working with flexible free q, p deformation parameters as the regression parameters for modeling the income data. We analyze the accuracy of the generalized version, q,p-deformed Fermi-Dirac distribution, on describing the data of income share held by quintiles for countries, and household income for the states of U.S.A. in 2018. We also use minimization routine for modeling the data which leads to the best fit parameters for the deformation parameters q and p. Subsequently, we plot the fitted q,p-deformed Fermi-Dirac distribution as income distribution with the obtained deformation parameters, then find the statistical confidence values from the fitted curve. We figure out that our model properly describes the income data for the systems experiencing a high level of income inequality, and also values are correlated with the Gini index for those of considered systems.
摘要为了对收入数据进行建模,文献中已经提出了费米-狄拉克和玻色-爱因斯坦家族的物理分布。在这项研究中,我们通过使用费米-狄拉克分布的q,p变形版本来推广费米-狄ac分布,该版本提供了使用灵活的自由q,p形变参数作为对收入数据建模的回归参数的优点。我们分析了广义版本q,p变形费米-迪拉克分布在描述2018年各国五分位数收入份额和美国各州家庭收入数据方面的准确性。我们还使用最小化程序对数据进行建模,从而得出变形参数q和p的最佳拟合参数。随后,我们用获得的变形参数将拟合的q,p变形费米-狄拉克分布绘制为收入分布,然后从拟合曲线中找到统计置信度值。我们发现,我们的模型正确地描述了经历高度收入不平等的系统的收入数据,并且所考虑的系统的值与基尼指数相关。
{"title":"Sociophysics of income distributions modeled by deformed fermi-dirac distributions","authors":"E. Dil, E. Dil","doi":"10.1080/0022250X.2021.1973456","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1973456","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT In order to model the income data, the physical distributions of Fermi-Dirac and Bose-Einstein families have already been proposed in the literature. In this study, we generalize Fermi-Dirac distribution by using a q,p-deformed version of Fermi-Dirac distribution which provides the advantage of working with flexible free q, p deformation parameters as the regression parameters for modeling the income data. We analyze the accuracy of the generalized version, q,p-deformed Fermi-Dirac distribution, on describing the data of income share held by quintiles for countries, and household income for the states of U.S.A. in 2018. We also use minimization routine for modeling the data which leads to the best fit parameters for the deformation parameters q and p. Subsequently, we plot the fitted q,p-deformed Fermi-Dirac distribution as income distribution with the obtained deformation parameters, then find the statistical confidence values from the fitted curve. We figure out that our model properly describes the income data for the systems experiencing a high level of income inequality, and also values are correlated with the Gini index for those of considered systems.","PeriodicalId":50139,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Sociology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49103316","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Contrarian effect in opinion forming: Insights from Greta Thunberg phenomenon 舆论形成中的逆向效应——从格蕾塔·桑伯格现象看
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2021-09-08 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2021.1981310
E. Iacomini, P. Vellucci
ABSTRACT In recent months, the figure of Greta Thunberg and the theme of climate changings quickly became the focus of the debate. This has led to a polarization effect in opinion forming about the climate subject. Starting from the analysis of this phenomenon, we develop an opinion dynamics model in which several types of contrarian agents are considered. Each agent is supposed to have an opinion on several topics related to each other; thus, the opinions being formed on these topics are also mutually dependent. The aim of the paper is to investigate the indirect effects of contrarian agents on the collective opinion about these topics. Several numerical tests are presented in order to highlight the main features of the model.
近几个月来,格蕾塔·桑伯格的形象和气候变化的主题迅速成为争论的焦点。这导致了关于气候问题的意见形成的两极分化效应。从分析这一现象开始,我们建立了一个意见动力学模型,其中考虑了几种类型的逆向代理。每个代理应该对彼此相关的几个主题有自己的看法;因此,在这些话题上形成的观点也是相互依赖的。本文的目的是研究逆向代理人对这些话题的集体意见的间接影响。为了突出模型的主要特征,给出了几个数值试验。
{"title":"Contrarian effect in opinion forming: Insights from Greta Thunberg phenomenon","authors":"E. Iacomini, P. Vellucci","doi":"10.1080/0022250X.2021.1981310","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1981310","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT In recent months, the figure of Greta Thunberg and the theme of climate changings quickly became the focus of the debate. This has led to a polarization effect in opinion forming about the climate subject. Starting from the analysis of this phenomenon, we develop an opinion dynamics model in which several types of contrarian agents are considered. Each agent is supposed to have an opinion on several topics related to each other; thus, the opinions being formed on these topics are also mutually dependent. The aim of the paper is to investigate the indirect effects of contrarian agents on the collective opinion about these topics. Several numerical tests are presented in order to highlight the main features of the model.","PeriodicalId":50139,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Sociology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45849029","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
Hiding opinions by minimizing disclosed information: an obfuscation-based opinion dynamics model. 通过最小化披露信息来隐藏意见:基于混淆的意见动态模型。
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2021-08-17 eCollection Date: 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2021.1929968
Tanzhe Tang, Amineh Ghorbani, Caspar G Chorus

In the field of opinion dynamics, the hiding of opinions is routinely modeled as staying silent. However, staying silent is not always feasible. In situations where opinions are indirectly expressed by one's observable actions, people may however try to hide their opinions via a more complex and intelligent strategy called obfuscation, which minimizes the information disclosed to others. This study proposes a formal opinion dynamics model to study the hitherto unexplored effect of obfuscation on public opinion formation based on the recently developed Action-Opinion Inference Model. For illustration purposes, we use our model to simulate two cases with different levels of complexity, highlighting that the effect of obfuscation largely depends on the subtle relations between actions and opinions.

在意见动力学领域,意见的隐藏通常被建模为保持沉默。然而,保持沉默并不总是可行的。在观点通过可观察到的行为间接表达的情况下,人们可能会试图通过一种更复杂、更聪明的策略来隐藏自己的观点,这种策略被称为混淆,它将向他人披露的信息最小化。本研究在最近发展的行动-意见推理模型的基础上,提出了一个正式的意见动态模型来研究迄今为止尚未探索的混淆对民意形成的影响。为了说明目的,我们使用我们的模型来模拟两种不同复杂程度的情况,强调混淆的效果在很大程度上取决于行为和意见之间的微妙关系。
{"title":"Hiding opinions by minimizing disclosed information: an obfuscation-based opinion dynamics model.","authors":"Tanzhe Tang,&nbsp;Amineh Ghorbani,&nbsp;Caspar G Chorus","doi":"10.1080/0022250X.2021.1929968","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1929968","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In the field of opinion dynamics, the hiding of opinions is routinely modeled as staying silent. However, staying silent is not always feasible. In situations where opinions are indirectly expressed by one's observable actions, people may however try to hide their opinions via a more complex and intelligent strategy called obfuscation, which minimizes the information disclosed to others. This study proposes a formal opinion dynamics model to study the hitherto unexplored effect of obfuscation on public opinion formation based on the recently developed Action-Opinion Inference Model. For illustration purposes, we use our model to simulate two cases with different levels of complexity, highlighting that the effect of obfuscation largely depends on the subtle relations between actions and opinions.</p>","PeriodicalId":50139,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Sociology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/62/1f/GMAS_46_1929968.PMC9487867.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"33482572","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Drifting to the top? Disentangling mechanisms influencing the turnover rate of popular music 漂移到顶端?影响流行音乐翻唱率的纠缠机制
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2021-07-27 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2021.1956918
S. Westenberger
ABSTRACT What causes turnover on the Billboard charts? The neutral model of cultural evolution, which assumes that taste is transmitted via an unbiased copying process, provides precise predictions regarding expected popularity distributions and turnover within a popularity-ranked list. Recent advances in this line make it possible to characterize the likelihood of music taste transmission mechanisms by investigating departures of observed turnover rates from neutral model predictions. Here, I bias the neutral model to investigate four alternative conceptions of individual music taste transmission (song quality, individual status, social network, and anticonformist) and use agent-based simulations to examine the impact on turnover. I then compare modeled with empirical turnover data from the Billboard Hot 100 over the period from 1958 to 2021 and find that observed turnover patterns are reproduced only in an anticonformist model simulating the systematic rejection of the most popular songs. This finding was unexpected and challenges the notion of a generalized “preference for the popular.” Overall, this study contributes to ongoing debates regarding the mechanisms involved in the transmission of taste and the mechanics of fashion change.
摘要:是什么导致了公告牌排行榜上的营业额?文化进化的中性模型假设品味是通过无偏见的复制过程传播的,它提供了关于受欢迎程度排名列表中预期受欢迎程度分布和营业额的精确预测。这一领域的最新进展使得通过研究观察到的更替率与中性模型预测的偏差来表征音乐品味传播机制的可能性成为可能。在这里,我偏向中性模型来研究个人音乐品味传播的四个替代概念(歌曲质量、个人地位、社交网络和反信息主义者),并使用基于代理的模拟来检验对营业额的影响。然后,我将1958年至2021年期间Billboard Hot 100的建模营业额数据与实证营业额数据进行了比较,发现观察到的营业额模式仅在模拟对最受欢迎歌曲的系统拒绝的反信息主义模型中再现。这一发现出乎意料,并挑战了普遍“偏爱大众”的概念。总的来说,这项研究有助于就品味传递机制和时尚变化机制进行持续的辩论。
{"title":"Drifting to the top? Disentangling mechanisms influencing the turnover rate of popular music","authors":"S. Westenberger","doi":"10.1080/0022250X.2021.1956918","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1956918","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT What causes turnover on the Billboard charts? The neutral model of cultural evolution, which assumes that taste is transmitted via an unbiased copying process, provides precise predictions regarding expected popularity distributions and turnover within a popularity-ranked list. Recent advances in this line make it possible to characterize the likelihood of music taste transmission mechanisms by investigating departures of observed turnover rates from neutral model predictions. Here, I bias the neutral model to investigate four alternative conceptions of individual music taste transmission (song quality, individual status, social network, and anticonformist) and use agent-based simulations to examine the impact on turnover. I then compare modeled with empirical turnover data from the Billboard Hot 100 over the period from 1958 to 2021 and find that observed turnover patterns are reproduced only in an anticonformist model simulating the systematic rejection of the most popular songs. This finding was unexpected and challenges the notion of a generalized “preference for the popular.” Overall, this study contributes to ongoing debates regarding the mechanisms involved in the transmission of taste and the mechanics of fashion change.","PeriodicalId":50139,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Sociology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1956918","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43153590","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Law Enforcement: The key to a Crime-free Society 执法:无犯罪社会的关键
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2021-07-06 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2021.1941002
Avneet Kaur, M. Sadhwani, S Z Abbas
ABSTRACT This paper intends to simulate a simple artificial society divided into two populations: criminal and non-criminal. The time evolution of the system is modeled using a set of differential equations, borrowing relevant features from the prey-predator, epidemic spread, and harvesting models. Each population can switch type upon interaction. The stability and equilibrium points of this system are examined, concluding that harvesting and interaction rates play an important role in the evolution of the system toward different stable equilibria between populations, which eventually coalesce into one. The results indicate that as long as the harvesting and conversion rates remain sufficiently small, the criminal population thrives. However, when either of the two crosses a certain value, the criminal population becomes extinct.
本文旨在模拟一个简单的人造社会,它分为两个群体:罪犯和非罪犯。该系统的时间演化使用一组微分方程进行建模,借鉴了捕食者、流行病传播和收获模型的相关特征。每个群体可以在互动时切换类型。研究了该系统的稳定性和平衡点,得出的结论是,收获率和相互作用率在系统向种群之间不同稳定平衡的进化中发挥着重要作用,这些平衡最终融合为一个平衡。结果表明,只要收获率和转化率保持足够低,犯罪人口就会激增。然而,当两者中的任何一个超过一定值时,犯罪人口就会灭绝。
{"title":"Law Enforcement: The key to a Crime-free Society","authors":"Avneet Kaur, M. Sadhwani, S Z Abbas","doi":"10.1080/0022250X.2021.1941002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1941002","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This paper intends to simulate a simple artificial society divided into two populations: criminal and non-criminal. The time evolution of the system is modeled using a set of differential equations, borrowing relevant features from the prey-predator, epidemic spread, and harvesting models. Each population can switch type upon interaction. The stability and equilibrium points of this system are examined, concluding that harvesting and interaction rates play an important role in the evolution of the system toward different stable equilibria between populations, which eventually coalesce into one. The results indicate that as long as the harvesting and conversion rates remain sufficiently small, the criminal population thrives. However, when either of the two crosses a certain value, the criminal population becomes extinct.","PeriodicalId":50139,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Sociology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1941002","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43641049","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Study of the unemployment problem by mathematical modeling: Predictions and controls 用数学模型研究失业问题:预测和控制
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2021-07-06 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2021.1931173
H. Ashi, Raneah Al-Maalwi, Sarah Al-Sheikh
ABSTRACT One problem that has become a concern for governments around the world is unemployment. We illustrate the problem using a nonlinear system of differential equations considering three dynamical variables: the number of unemployed people, the number of employees and the number of available vacancies. We find that the system possesses one positive equilibrium point which is locally and globally stable under certain conditions. We identify the employment rate and the rate of creating new vacancies that is required to reach the unemployment rate of 7% in agreement with the efforts of governments to attain low unemployment levels.keywords: Unemployment; Stability; Routh Hurwitz; Lyapunov function; Numerical simulation
摘要失业是世界各国政府关注的一个问题。我们使用一个考虑三个动态变量的非线性微分方程组来说明这个问题:失业人数、雇员人数和可用职位数量。我们发现系统具有一个正平衡点,该平衡点在一定条件下是局部和全局稳定的。我们确定了达到7%的失业率所需的就业率和创造新职位的比率,这与政府为实现低失业率所做的努力一致。关键词:失业;稳定性Routh Hurwitz;李雅普诺夫函数;数值模拟
{"title":"Study of the unemployment problem by mathematical modeling: Predictions and controls","authors":"H. Ashi, Raneah Al-Maalwi, Sarah Al-Sheikh","doi":"10.1080/0022250X.2021.1931173","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1931173","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT One problem that has become a concern for governments around the world is unemployment. We illustrate the problem using a nonlinear system of differential equations considering three dynamical variables: the number of unemployed people, the number of employees and the number of available vacancies. We find that the system possesses one positive equilibrium point which is locally and globally stable under certain conditions. We identify the employment rate and the rate of creating new vacancies that is required to reach the unemployment rate of 7% in agreement with the efforts of governments to attain low unemployment levels.keywords: Unemployment; Stability; Routh Hurwitz; Lyapunov function; Numerical simulation","PeriodicalId":50139,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Sociology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1931173","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49327020","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
A model of income evaluation: income comparison on subjective reference income distribution 收入评价模型:主观参照收入分配的收入比较
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2021-07-04 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2021.1972417
Atsushi Ishida
ABSTRACT People’s evaluation of the relative position of their income is not as accurate as the relative income hypothesis assumes. It is observed from empirical survey data that income evaluation is concentrated in the middle. We develop a model that assumes income comparison on a subjective income reference distribution to explain the centralization phenomenon of income evaluation. We conduct theoretical analysis and empirical parameter estimation using Bayesian statistical modeling. The theoretical analysis shows that the centralization of income evaluation distribution occurs when the subjective reference distribution is more dispersed than the objective distribution. Empirical analysis using Japanese data from 2015 shows that the relationship between subjective and objective distributions differed depending on social categories with different social experiences. Women had a more ambiguous distribution than men. Among men, those aged 45–54 had a subjective distribution closest to the objective distribution. Thus, the subjective reference income distributions that potentially define people’s evaluation of their income and their differences based on social category were only clarified by constructing the model.
人们对自己收入相对地位的评价并不像相对收入假说所假设的那样准确。从实证调查数据可以看出,收入评价集中在中间位置。为了解释收入评价的集中化现象,我们建立了一个假设主观收入参考分布上的收入比较模型。我们使用贝叶斯统计模型进行理论分析和经验参数估计。理论分析表明,当主观参考分配比客观分配更分散时,收入评价分配就会出现集中化。利用2015年日本数据进行的实证分析表明,主观分布与客观分布之间的关系随着社会类别和社会经历的不同而不同。女性的分布比男性更为模糊。在男性中,45-54岁的主观分布与客观分布最接近。因此,只有通过构建模型,才能明确可能定义人们对其收入评价的主观参考收入分布及其基于社会类别的差异。
{"title":"A model of income evaluation: income comparison on subjective reference income distribution","authors":"Atsushi Ishida","doi":"10.1080/0022250X.2021.1972417","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1972417","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT People’s evaluation of the relative position of their income is not as accurate as the relative income hypothesis assumes. It is observed from empirical survey data that income evaluation is concentrated in the middle. We develop a model that assumes income comparison on a subjective income reference distribution to explain the centralization phenomenon of income evaluation. We conduct theoretical analysis and empirical parameter estimation using Bayesian statistical modeling. The theoretical analysis shows that the centralization of income evaluation distribution occurs when the subjective reference distribution is more dispersed than the objective distribution. Empirical analysis using Japanese data from 2015 shows that the relationship between subjective and objective distributions differed depending on social categories with different social experiences. Women had a more ambiguous distribution than men. Among men, those aged 45–54 had a subjective distribution closest to the objective distribution. Thus, the subjective reference income distributions that potentially define people’s evaluation of their income and their differences based on social category were only clarified by constructing the model.","PeriodicalId":50139,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Sociology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45150422","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Correction 修正
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2021-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2021.1917928
B. Cornwell, Jake Burchard
Theorem 3.1 and Corollary 3.1.1 in the article are false. While Theorem 3.1 correctly states that κ N ð Þ � k, the reverse inequality is not necessarily true (a family of counterexamples can be produced to show this). It should be noted that these statements, while false, are nevertheless tangential to the main emphasis of the paper, which is that cohesion in two-mode networks should be studied without one-mode projections, and that this can be done using both what we call “two-sided” and “onesided” approaches. We have replaced Theorem 3.1 and Corollary 3.1.1 with the following new, correct theorems and accompanying text.
本文中的定理3.1和推论3.1.1为假。虽然定理3.1正确地陈述了κ N ð Þ ø k,但反向不等式不一定是正确的(可以产生一系列反例来证明这一点)。应该指出的是,这些陈述虽然是错误的,但与本文的主要重点无关,即双模网络中的内聚应该在没有单模预测的情况下进行研究,并且这可以使用我们称之为“双面”和“片面”的方法来完成。我们将定理3.1和推论3.1.1替换为以下新的、正确的定理和相应的文本。
{"title":"Correction","authors":"B. Cornwell, Jake Burchard","doi":"10.1080/0022250X.2021.1917928","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1917928","url":null,"abstract":"Theorem 3.1 and Corollary 3.1.1 in the article are false. While Theorem 3.1 correctly states that κ N ð Þ � k, the reverse inequality is not necessarily true (a family of counterexamples can be produced to show this). It should be noted that these statements, while false, are nevertheless tangential to the main emphasis of the paper, which is that cohesion in two-mode networks should be studied without one-mode projections, and that this can be done using both what we call “two-sided” and “onesided” approaches. We have replaced Theorem 3.1 and Corollary 3.1.1 with the following new, correct theorems and accompanying text.","PeriodicalId":50139,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Mathematical Sociology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/0022250X.2021.1917928","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45977764","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Mathematical Sociology
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1