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Technology regulation reconsidered: The effects of certificate of need policies on the quantity and quality of diagnostic imaging 重新考虑技术管制:需求证明政策对诊断影像数量和质量的影响
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.103020
Jill R. Horwitz , Austin Nichols , Anthony Yu , Carrie H. Colla , David M. Cutler
Estimates of the impact of Certificate of Need (CON) laws on medical care have been inconsistent, possibly because not all CON laws apply to all services. Using an original dataset identifying imaging-related CON laws and a regression discontinuity design at state borders, we estimate the effects of CON on the use and quality of diagnostic imaging. Medicare beneficiaries in regulated states are less likely to receive any image and even less likely to receive low-value imaging than beneficiaries in unregulated states. High-value imaging is unaffected. Overall, CON for imaging reduces low-value care and leaves high-value care unchanged.
关于《需要证明法》对医疗保健影响的估计并不一致,可能是因为并非所有《需要证明法》都适用于所有服务。使用识别成像相关CON定律的原始数据集和州边界的回归不连续设计,我们估计CON对诊断成像的使用和质量的影响。与不受监管的州相比,受监管州的医疗保险受益人接受任何图像的可能性更小,甚至更不可能接受低价值的图像。高价值成像不受影响。总的来说,用于成像的CON减少了低价值的护理,同时保持了高价值的护理不变。
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引用次数: 0
Imprecise health beliefs and health behavior 不精确的健康信念和健康行为
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.103003
Adeline Delavande , Emilia Del Bono , Angus Holford
This paper examines belief imprecision in the context of COVID-19, when uncertainty about health outcomes was widespread. We survey a sample of young adults a few months after the onset of the pandemic. We elicit individuals’ minimum and maximum subjective probabilities of different health outcomes, and define belief imprecision as the range between these values. We document substantial heterogeneity in the degree of imprecision across respondents, which remains largely unexplained by standard demographic characteristics. To assess the behavioral impact of imprecise beliefs, we ask beliefs about future outcomes under hypothetical scenarios that feature different levels of protective behaviors. We find that individuals who expect protective behaviors to reduce not only the subjective probability of a negative health outcome, but also the degree of imprecision associated with it, behave more protectively.
本文研究了COVID-19背景下的信念不准确性,当时对健康结果的不确定性普遍存在。我们在大流行开始几个月后对年轻人样本进行了调查。我们推导出个体对不同健康结果的最小和最大主观概率,并将信念不精确定义为这些值之间的范围。我们记录了受访者不精确程度的实质性异质性,这在很大程度上仍无法解释标准人口统计学特征。为了评估不精确信念对行为的影响,我们询问了在具有不同保护行为水平的假设情景下对未来结果的信念。我们发现,那些期望保护行为不仅能减少负面健康结果的主观概率,还能减少与之相关的不精确程度的人,会表现得更有保护意识。
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引用次数: 0
Regression and decomposition with ordinal health outcomes 有序健康结果的回归和分解
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.103012
Qian Wu , David M. Kaplan
Although ordinal health outcome values are categories like “poor” health or “moderate” depression, they are often assigned values 1,2,3, for convenience. We provide results on interpretation of subsequent analysis based on ordinary least squares (OLS) regression. For description, unlike for prediction, the OLS estimand’s interpretation does not require that the 1,2,3, are cardinal values: it is always the “best linear approximation” of a summary of the conditional survival functions. Further, for Blinder–Oaxaca-type decomposition, the OLS-based estimator is numerically equivalent to a certain counterfactual-based decomposition of the survival function, again regardless of any cardinal values. Empirically, with 2022 U.S. data for working-age adults, we estimate a higher incidence of depression in the rural population, and we decompose the rural–urban difference. Including a nonparametric estimator that we describe, estimators agree that 33%–39% of the rural–urban difference is statistically explained by income, education, age, sex, and geographic region. The OLS-based detailed decomposition shows this is mostly from income.
虽然有序健康结果值属于“健康欠佳”或“中度”抑郁等类别,但为了方便起见,它们通常被赋值为1、2、3、…。我们提供了基于普通最小二乘(OLS)回归的后续分析的解释结果。对于描述,与预测不同,OLS估计的解释不要求1,2,3,…是基数值:它总是条件生存函数总结的“最佳线性近似值”。此外,对于blinder - oaxaca型分解,基于ols的估计量在数值上等同于生存函数的某个基于反事实的分解,同样与任何基数值无关。从经验上看,根据2022年美国工作年龄成年人的数据,我们估计农村人口中抑郁症的发病率较高,并对城乡差异进行了分解。包括我们描述的非参数估计量,估计者一致认为城乡差异的33%-39%在统计上可以用收入、教育、年龄、性别和地理区域来解释。基于ols的详细分解显示,这主要来自收入。
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引用次数: 0
Mental health and mortality trends in the United States 美国的心理健康和死亡率趋势
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.103015
Christopher J. Ruhm
This study investigates whether worsening mental health has played a significant role in the rising mortality rates experienced by some population groups in the early 21st century, a question that has gained prominence with increased attention to so-called “deaths of despair.” The main takeaway is that although declining psychological health has likely contributed to adverse mortality trends—especially among prime-age non-Hispanic Whites—its overall impact is limited and not well captured by standard definitions of “deaths of despair.” Five key findings support this conclusion. First, mental health deteriorated between 1993 and 2019 for all population groups examined. Second, these declines are associated with higher predicted death rates and help explain worsening mortality trends for prime-age non-Hispanic Whites and, to a lesser extent, non-Hispanic Blacks between 1999 and 2019. Third, while these correlations lend some support to the broader idea of “deaths of despair,” the specific causes comprising them appear to be both more expansive and different from those previously emphasized. Fourth, heterogeneity in how worsening mental distress affects mortality—rather than in mental health trends themselves—is more important in explaining Black-White disparities in its overall impact. Finally, in the primary specifications, deteriorating mental health accounts for an estimated 9 % to 29 % of the rise in mortality rates among prime-age Whites in recent years.
这项研究调查了21世纪初,心理健康状况的恶化是否在某些人群的死亡率上升中发挥了重要作用。随着人们对所谓的“绝望死亡”的关注越来越多,这个问题变得越来越突出。主要的结论是,尽管心理健康状况的下降可能导致了不良的死亡率趋势——尤其是在非西班牙裔白人的黄金年龄——但其总体影响是有限的,而且没有被“绝望死亡”的标准定义很好地捕捉到。五个关键发现支持了这一结论。首先,在1993年至2019年期间,所有受调查人群的心理健康状况都有所恶化。其次,这些下降与较高的预测死亡率有关,并有助于解释1999年至2019年期间黄金年龄非西班牙裔白人和非西班牙裔黑人(在较小程度上)死亡率趋势的恶化。第三,虽然这些相关性为“绝望死亡”这一更广泛的观点提供了一些支持,但构成它们的具体原因似乎更广泛,也与之前强调的不同。第四,精神压力恶化如何影响死亡率的异质性——而不是精神健康趋势本身——在解释其总体影响的黑人-白人差异方面更为重要。最后,在主要指标中,近年来壮年白人死亡率上升的原因中,估计有9%至29%是心理健康恶化造成的。
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引用次数: 0
Living alone and provider behaviour in public and private hospitals 公立和私立医院的独居和提供者行为
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.103016
Luigi Siciliani , Jinglin Wen , James Gaughan
Following COVID-19, hospitals in many OECD countries are under pressure to absorb backlogs accumulated due to the suspension of health services. Reductions in length of stay can generate capacity to treat patients and increase efficiency. Personal circumstances, such as living alone, can affect how long patients stay in hospital. We test whether such non-clinical factors affect care received by patients. Several countries are experiencing an increase in the number of elderly people who live alone. Patients who live alone may lack support at home leading to delayed discharges despite being clinically fit. We test whether living alone affects length of stay of publicly-funded patients treated by public and private hospitals requiring hip replacement, a common planned surgery, in England. Private providers have stronger incentives to contain costs, which could reduce the extent to which non-clinical factors such as living alone are taken into account when providers discharge patients. Using administrative data and controlling for a rich set of patient characteristics, and hospital and local supply factors, we provide evidence that living alone increases length of stay. The effect is substantive and larger for public hospitals and older patients. It is similar for patients living in urban and rural areas, and across socioeconomic status. More broadly, the study shows that non-clinical factors can affect the care received by patients.
在新冠肺炎疫情之后,许多经合组织国家的医院都面临着因医疗服务中断而积压的压力。缩短住院时间可产生治疗病人的能力并提高效率。个人情况,如独居,会影响病人住院的时间。我们测试这些非临床因素是否会影响患者接受的护理。一些国家正在经历独居老人数量的增加。独居的患者可能在家中缺乏支持,导致延迟出院,尽管临床上是健康的。我们测试了独居是否会影响在英国公立和私立医院接受髋关节置换术(一种常见的计划手术)治疗的公费患者的住院时间。私人医疗服务提供者有更强的动机来控制费用,这可以减少医疗服务提供者在让病人出院时考虑独居等非临床因素的程度。通过使用管理数据和控制丰富的患者特征,以及医院和当地的供应因素,我们提供了独居延长住院时间的证据。对公立医院和老年患者的影响是实质性的,而且更大。生活在城市和农村地区以及不同社会经济地位的患者的情况相似。更广泛地说,研究表明非临床因素可以影响患者接受的护理。
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引用次数: 0
High speed internet and the widening gender gap in adolescent mental health: Evidence from Spanish hospital records 高速互联网和青少年心理健康方面不断扩大的性别差距:来自西班牙医院记录的证据
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.103014
Esther Arenas-Arroyo , Daniel Fernandez-Kranz , Natalia Nollenberger
We exploit variations in fiber optic (FTTH) deployment to assess the impact of high-speed internet access on adolescent mental health. Our findings reveal that FTTH access increases addictive Internet usage and reduces time allocated to sleep, homework, as well as social interactions with family and friends. Access to FTTH increases mental health diagnoses in hospitals and contributes to a notable rise in adolescent suicide rates, particularly among girls. As new platforms and apps gain traction among adolescents, understanding the impact of connectivity improvement becomes important. This is especially relevant given the current FTTH growth replacing older broadband technologies.
我们利用光纤(FTTH)部署的变化来评估高速互联网接入对青少年心理健康的影响。我们的研究结果表明,FTTH接入增加了上瘾的互联网使用,减少了分配给睡眠、家庭作业以及与家人和朋友社交的时间。获得光纤到户服务增加了医院的精神健康诊断,并导致青少年自杀率显著上升,特别是在女孩中。随着新的平台和应用程序在青少年中越来越受欢迎,了解连接性改善的影响变得非常重要。鉴于目前FTTH的增长正在取代旧的宽带技术,这一点尤其重要。
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引用次数: 0
Legal status and voluntary abortions by immigrants 移民的法律地位和自愿堕胎
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.103001
Luca Pieroni , Melcior Rosselló Roig , Luca Salmasi , Gilberto Turati
We estimate the effect of granting legal status to immigrant women on voluntary abortions. We exploit the 2007 EU enlargement as an exogenous shock to legal status for Romanian and Bulgarian women, considering Italy as a destination country. Using a standard Difference-in-Differences model, we estimate a decline between 60% and 70% in voluntary pregnancy termination (VPT) rates for the new EU citizens from the two Eastern countries. We also introduce a novel framework to separate the total effect of the enlargement into a “citizenship” effect due to (legal or illegal) migrants already present in Italy and a “selection” effect due to new flows of immigrants. We show that the findings are robust to several alternative explanations. The drop in abortions points to legal status as a way to empower immigrant women.
我们估计给予移民妇女合法地位对自愿堕胎的影响。我们利用2007年欧盟扩大作为对罗马尼亚和保加利亚妇女法律地位的外源性冲击,考虑到意大利是目的地国家。使用标准的差中差模型,我们估计来自两个东方国家的新欧盟公民自愿终止妊娠(VPT)率下降了60%至70%。我们还引入了一个新的框架,将扩大的总体影响分为由于已经存在于意大利的(合法或非法)移民而产生的“公民身份”效应和由于新移民流动而产生的“选择”效应。我们表明,这些发现对几种不同的解释是稳健的。堕胎率的下降表明,合法地位是赋予移民妇女权力的一种方式。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of e-cigarette flavor bans on tobacco use 电子烟口味禁令对烟草使用的影响
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.103013
Chad Cotti , Charles Courtemanche , Yang Liang , Johanna Catherine Maclean , Erik Nesson , Joseph J. Sabia
Advocates for sales restrictions on flavored e-cigarettes argue that flavors appeal to young people and lead them down a path to nicotine addiction. Using data from a variety of surveys (Youth Risk Behavior Surveys, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance Survey, and Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health), this study is among the first to examine the effect of state and local restrictions on the sale of flavored electronic nicotine delivery system (ENDS) products on youth and young adult tobacco use. We find robust evidence that the adoption of an ENDS flavor restriction reduces short-run frequent and everyday ENDS use among youths by approximately two-to-three percentage-points. Some evidence suggests that this effect weakens after two years. We also document reductions in ENDS use among young adults aged 18-30 that appear to strengthen after two years. Finally, evidence suggests substitution from flavored ENDS to unflavored ENDS and cigarettes among certain age groups.
支持限制加味电子烟销售的人士认为,加味电子烟对年轻人很有吸引力,会导致他们对尼古丁上瘾。利用来自各种调查(青少年风险行为调查、行为风险因素监测调查和烟草与健康人口评估)的数据,本研究是第一个研究州和地方限制销售调味电子尼古丁输送系统(ENDS)产品对青少年和年轻人烟草使用的影响的研究之一。我们发现强有力的证据表明,采用ENDS口味限制可以减少青少年短期频繁和日常使用ENDS的大约2 - 3个百分点。一些证据表明,这种影响在两年后减弱。我们还记录了18-30岁年轻人使用ENDS的减少,两年后似乎会加强。最后,有证据表明,在某些年龄组中,有香味的电子烟会被无香味的电子烟和香烟取代。
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引用次数: 0
Does knowing the costs of other physicians affect doctors’ referrals? 了解其他医生的费用会影响医生的转诊吗?
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.103002
Scott Barkowski
Patient referrals from primary care physicians (PCPs) to specialists are common in the American health care industry, but are typically made without any knowledge of relative specialist costs. In this study, I estimate the effect of providing such information to PCPs on referral patterns. Implementing a field experiment with an Independent Practice Association (IPA), I sent a list of average costs for new ophthalmology referrals to randomly chosen primary care medical practices. Using administrative referral data, I find that PCPs increased referral share to less costly ophthalmology practices during the first two months after treatment by 4.6 percentage points for each reduction in costliness rank (e.g., each rank closer to the least expensive). Effects were only found for patients for whom the PCPs had cost reduction incentives, and dissipated over the following four months. For the patients whose referrals were affected, I estimate that the expected cost to the IPA of a referral to ophthalmology fell during the first two months by about $80 (45% of pre-intervention referral cost).
在美国的医疗保健行业中,病人从初级保健医生(pcp)转介到专科医生是很常见的,但通常是在不了解相关专科费用的情况下进行的。在本研究中,我估计了向pcp提供这些信息对转诊模式的影响。我与独立执业协会(IPA)一起实施了一项实地实验,随机选择初级保健医疗机构,向他们发送了一份新眼科转诊的平均费用清单。利用行政转诊数据,我发现在治疗后的头两个月,每降低一个费用等级(例如,每降低一个等级接近最便宜的等级),pcp将转诊份额增加到费用较低的眼科实践4.6个百分点。效果只在pcp有降低成本激励的患者中发现,并且在接下来的四个月内消失。对于那些转诊受到影响的患者,我估计在前两个月转诊到眼科的IPA预期成本下降了约80美元(干预前转诊成本的45%)。
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引用次数: 0
When women take over: Physician gender and health care provision 当妇女接管:医生、性别和保健服务
IF 3.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2025.103000
Gerald J. Pruckner, Flora Stiftinger, Katrin Zocher
The share of female physicians has risen in OECD countries in recent decades, but we know little about the effects of physician gender on patient health care use. We exploit quasi-random assignment of primary care providers (PCPs) to existing PCP practices and patients and estimate the causal effect of female PCPs on health care provision. Using Austrian register data and a difference-in-differences strategy, we find that female PCPs generate 15% less revenue and see 7% fewer patients than male PCPs. Shifting the focus to patient-level outcomes, we observe that health care utilization remains largely unchanged following assignment to a female physician. However, results show that patients are more likely to leave PCP practices with female successors. Our results do not support the idea that the decision to change PCP is driven by preferences against being treated by female physicians. Instead, our analysis suggests that the observed differences are partly explained by female PCPs working fewer hours, especially those facing working time restrictions. As the share of female physicians continues to rise, measures to increase work flexibility may be necessary to maintain broad access to outpatient health care.
近几十年来,女医生在经合组织国家的比例有所上升,但我们对医生性别对患者医疗保健使用的影响知之甚少。我们利用准随机分配初级保健提供者(PCP)到现有的PCP实践和患者,并估计女性PCP对卫生保健提供的因果效应。使用奥地利注册数据和差异中的差异策略,我们发现女性pcp产生的收入比男性pcp少15%,看到的病人比男性pcp少7%。将重点转移到患者水平的结果,我们观察到,卫生保健的利用率在分配给女医生后基本保持不变。然而,结果显示,患者更有可能离开PCP实践与女性接班人。我们的研究结果不支持改变PCP的决定是由对女医生治疗的偏好所驱动的观点。相反,我们的分析表明,观察到的差异部分可以解释为女性pcp工作时间更短,尤其是那些面临工作时间限制的人。随着女医生的比例继续上升,可能有必要采取措施增加工作灵活性,以保持广泛获得门诊保健。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Health Economics
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