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Practical ethical frameworks for civil engineering and environmental systems 土木工程和环境系统的实用伦理框架
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-01-24 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2023.2279078
Tonatiuh Rodriguez-Nikl, Kory P. Schaff
Ethics is receiving increased emphasis in civil and environmental engineering. However, despite the proliferation of college textbooks and courses encouraging ethical reasoning, engineers in practi...
土木与环境工程越来越重视伦理。然而,尽管鼓励道德推理的大学教科书和课程层出不穷,但实际工作中的工程师们却没有意识到这一点。
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引用次数: 0
Using systems-thinking approaches to evaluate impacts to essential services in fragile contexts: a case study on Venezuela 使用系统思维方法评估脆弱环境中基本服务的影响:以委内瑞拉为例
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2023.2288611
Emma Houiellebecq, Kristen MacAskill, Federico Sittaro
The global risk landscape is evolving, leading to more protracted and complex crises. The eventual degradation of critical infrastructure in such contexts often results in insufficient access to es...
全球风险形势正在演变,导致更持久和复杂的危机。在这种情况下,关键基础设施的最终退化往往导致无法充分利用这些资源。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of geological composition using recurrent neural networks and shield tunnel boring machine data 利用递归神经网络和盾构隧道掘进机数据预测地质成分
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2023.2286248
Mohammad Pourhomayoun, Mehran Mazari, Luis Fisher, Kabir Nagrecha, Tonatiuh Rodriguez-Nikl, Michael Mooney, Ehsan Alavi
Tunnel Boring Machines (TBMs) are large-scale excavation tools used commonly in transportation tunnel construction. While tunnelling, TBMs generate data at large scales, often at levels difficult t...
隧道掘进机是交通隧道施工中常用的大型开挖工具。在隧道掘进过程中,隧道掘进机产生的数据规模很大,通常是难以预测的水平。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the systems nature of safety incidents in the construction industry from a post-2010 literature review 从2010年后的文献回顾分析建筑业安全事故的制度性质
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-21 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2023.2283708
Lingna Lin, Jiacheng Zhong
This review aims to develop a comprehensive understanding of multi-system and multi-dimensional characteristics of learning from incidents (LFI) and improve the ability to learn from incidents effe...
本文旨在全面认识事件学习(LFI)的多系统、多维特征,提高事件学习能力。
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引用次数: 0
Systems analysis of metropolitan-scale reuse with effects on water supply resilience and water quality 城市规模回用对供水弹性和水质影响的系统分析
3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2023.2263746
Erik Porse
Water reuse with Advanced Water Treatment (AWT) is increasingly appealing for urban areas seeking water supply reliability. In cities facing water scarcity, how can large-scale reuse support reliability and how do reuse operations affect water quality, energy use, and water conservation? This paper presents a systems analysis of metropolitan-scale water reuse and its effects on water supply and quality. For the case study of Los Angeles County, California, USA, hydroeconomic modeling is used to evaluate reuse as a contributor to water supply given urban water conservation, drought-induced water scarcity, and costs and benefits for supply and demand. Results indicate that AWT can be a viable source of supply especially when coupled with conservation. Across modeled scenarios, reuse provides as much as 30% of regional supplies. New water reuse with AWT becomes viable when imported water availability is 50% or less of historic values. Existing indirect potable reuse operations in the county remain important. Systemwide energy intensity of operations increases with greater reuse in the absence of water conservation. Modeled influent flow rates to wastewater treatment plants resemble historical values, but extreme flow events could pose risks. The paper offers a holistic framework to evaluate water reuse as a component of urban water management.
利用高级水处理技术(AWT)回用水越来越受到追求供水可靠性的城市地区的欢迎。在面临水资源短缺的城市,大规模回用如何支持可靠性?回用操作如何影响水质、能源使用和节水?本文对城市中水回用及其对供水和水质的影响进行了系统分析。在美国加利福尼亚州洛杉矶县的案例研究中,利用水文经济模型来评估在城市水资源保护、干旱引起的水资源短缺以及供需成本和效益的情况下,再利用对供水的贡献。结果表明,AWT是一种可行的供应来源,特别是在与保护相结合的情况下。在模拟的场景中,再利用提供了多达30%的区域供应。当进口可用水量为历史值的50%或更低时,AWT的新水回用就可行了。该县现有的间接饮用水再使用业务仍然很重要。在没有节约用水的情况下,系统范围内操作的能源强度随着更大的重复使用而增加。模拟的流入污水处理厂的流量与历史值相似,但极端的流量事件可能带来风险。本文提供了一个整体框架来评价水回用作为城市水管理的一个组成部分。
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引用次数: 0
Improving urban water management and building water supply resilience in the city of Harare, Zimbabwe – a systems view 在津巴布韦哈拉雷市改善城市水管理和建设供水弹性——一个系统的观点
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-07-17 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2023.2233910
A. Brooke, R. Fenner
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引用次数: 0
Social vulnerability assessment for an industrial city in Natech accidents: A Bayesian network approach 工业城市科技事故社会脆弱性评价:贝叶斯网络方法
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2023.2211516
Mei Cai, Yu Gao, Chen Yang, Jin-bang Xiao, Qiuhan Wang
ABSTRACT China is a large industrial country where tropical meteorological disasters occur frequently. Therefore, natural-technological (Natech) risk cannot be ignored. Assessing the social vulnerability of an industrial city prone to tropical meteorological disaster-induced Natechs is urgent. To analyze the social vulnerability of such cities, we propose a Bayesian network (BN)-based method to model the social vulnerability framework. Natech is characterised by high-consequence and low-probability. The industrial cities in Southeast China are selected as a case study. The Monte Carlo method simulates the data generated in industrial cities suffering from tropical disaster-induced Natechs, and the conditional probability tables of BN descendant nodes are obtained by the expert scoring method. After sensitivity analysis, we conclude that the ‘catastrophic index of tropical cyclones,’ ‘population density,’ and ‘prevention capacity’ have important impacts on social vulnerability. Human traits, the social environment, and the economy play important roles in social vulnerability assessments. Therefore, reducing the catastrophic index of tropical cyclones and population density and strengthening prevention capacity management measures are necessary. Some suggestions obtained after sensitivity analysis can assist governments in improving disaster prevention and mitigation abilities and formulating urban planning policies for sustainable development. Highlights Industry city’s vulnerability analysis for Natural-technological (Natech) accidents A social vulnerability assessment framework for sustainable development A Bayesian network combined with the Monte Carlo simulation data and expert judgment Risk management for high-consequence and low-probability events
中国是一个工业大国,热带气象灾害频发。因此,自然技术(Natech)风险不容忽视。评估一个易受热带气象灾害影响的工业城市的社会脆弱性迫在眉睫。为了分析这些城市的社会脆弱性,我们提出了基于贝叶斯网络(BN)的社会脆弱性框架建模方法。Natech的特点是高后果和低概率。本文以东南地区的工业城市为研究对象。蒙特卡罗方法对遭受热带灾害的工业城市产生的数据进行模拟,通过专家评分法得到BN后代节点的条件概率表。通过敏感性分析,我们发现热带气旋灾害指数、人口密度和预防能力对社会脆弱性有重要影响。人类特征、社会环境和经济在社会脆弱性评估中发挥着重要作用。因此,降低热带气旋灾变指数和人口密度,加强预防能力管理措施是必要的。通过敏感性分析得出的一些建议可以帮助政府提高防灾减灾能力,制定可持续发展的城市规划政策。基于可持续发展的社会脆弱性评价框架基于蒙特卡罗模拟数据与专家判断相结合的贝叶斯网络高后果低概率事件风险管理
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引用次数: 0
Some reflections on maxEnt 关于maxEnt的一些思考
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2023.2234305
A. Jessop
ABSTRACT Two different applications of Jaynes’ maximum entropy framework, maxEnt, are given. The purpose is to show how maxEnt stimulates questions about the relations between the formal structure of the maxEnt model and the practical, possibly political, considerations which arise when deciding the objective function and the constraints. While these points do not lead to computationally complicated models they do raise important questions about the relationship between model form and the environment in which it is used. The first example is from urban and transportation planning. The use of maxEnt to derive the allocation of trips, the gravity model, brought benefits of clarity but also raised an important question with policy implications: should journey cost rightly be a behavioural constraint in the model or should it be considered an output? The policy implications are discussed. The second case was initially stimulated by personnel selection and raises the possibility that it is not always clear what maxEnt should be optimising, what should we be minimally discriminating about? The issue is quite general and is illustrated by the choice of a scheme for water resource allocation.
给出了Jaynes最大熵框架maxEnt的两种不同应用。目的是展示maxEnt如何激发有关maxEnt模型的形式结构与决定目标函数和约束时出现的实际(可能是政治)考虑之间关系的问题。虽然这些点不会导致计算复杂的模型,但它们确实提出了关于模型形式与使用模型的环境之间关系的重要问题。第一个例子来自城市和交通规划。使用maxEnt来推导出行分配,即重力模型,带来了清晰的好处,但也提出了一个具有政策含义的重要问题:出行成本应该正确地成为模型中的行为约束,还是应该被视为一种输出?讨论了政策影响。第二种情况最初是由人员选择引起的,它提出了一种可能性,即我们并不总是清楚应该优化什么maxEnt,我们应该对什么保持最低限度的歧视?这个问题相当普遍,水资源分配方案的选择说明了这一点。
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引用次数: 0
Towards optimised decisions for resource and carbon-efficient structural design 朝向资源和碳效率结构设计的优化决策
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2023.2198767
R. Hingorani, J. Köhler
ABSTRACT Engineering structures consume a significant fraction of resources and contribute to greenhouse gas emissions worldwide. A conducted literature review shows that most existing approaches to improve the environmental performance of structures concern the adoption of decisions during the conceptual design stage (e.g. on the choice of material), often in connection with life cycle assessment. However, approaches for addressing environmental objectives in practice are often hampered by economic interests pursuing short-term profit. Moreover, such approaches are rather descriptive and lack criteria for assessing the acceptability of specific solutions. Sustainable development of our built environment requires hence a shift of paradigm on how engineering structures are designed. In this paper it is claimed that this should be approached at the strategical level of structural design codes, which contain the rules that support everyday engineering decisions in regard to structural safety and functionality. The paper discusses the reasons why these rules as conceived do not foster an optimal use of materials and explores possibilities for savings of resources and greenhouse gas emissions through modifications of these rules. The potential of risk-informed decision approaches in this context is highlighted and illustrated by a case study – the design of steel beams in building structures.
工程结构消耗了很大一部分资源,并造成了全球温室气体排放。进行的文献审查表明,改善结构环境性能的大多数现有方法涉及在概念设计阶段(例如材料的选择)采用决策,通常与生命周期评估有关。然而,在实践中实现环境目标的方法往往受到追求短期利润的经济利益的阻碍。此外,这种方法是描述性的,缺乏评估具体解决办法可接受性的标准。因此,建筑环境的可持续发展要求工程结构的设计范式发生转变。在本文中,它声称这应该在结构设计规范的战略层面上进行处理,其中包含支持日常工程决策的规则,涉及结构安全和功能。本文讨论了这些规则不能促进材料的最佳利用的原因,并探讨了通过修改这些规则节省资源和温室气体排放的可能性。在这种情况下,风险知情决策方法的潜力被一个案例研究——建筑结构中钢梁的设计——所强调和说明。
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引用次数: 1
The role of falsification in the validation of numerical models 证伪在数值模型验证中的作用
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2023.2212608
D. Forcellini
ABSTRACT Numerical modelling consists of simulating with informatic technologies the conditions of experiments that would require big resources in terms of time and costs. For example, structural engineering considers numerical models of structures because otherwise it would be too expensive to build and destroy a building to study its behaviour under collapse conditions. In this regard, numerical modelling has become a valid alternative to physical experiments since they fall within the scientific method as they need validation that consists in discarding models when the results are not considered reliable. The criterion of falsification is therefore the basis of the selection process not of the ‘most truthful’ model, but of the ‘model least’, that is, less affected by errors. The paper discusses the sources of errors at the base of numerical models by proposing the importance of validation as the application of the falsification method proposed by Karl Popper.
数值模拟是利用信息技术对实验条件进行模拟,这在时间和成本上都需要大量的资源。例如,结构工程考虑结构的数值模型,因为否则建造和摧毁建筑物来研究其在倒塌条件下的行为将过于昂贵。在这方面,数值模拟已成为物理实验的有效替代方案,因为它们属于科学方法,因为它们需要验证,而验证包括在结果被认为不可靠时丢弃模型。因此,证伪标准不是“最真实”模型的选择过程的基础,而是“最小”模型的选择过程的基础,也就是说,受错误影响较小的模型。本文在数值模型的基础上讨论了误差的来源,提出了验证作为波普尔证伪方法应用的重要性。
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Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems
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