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Response to Discussion by Elms on “Systems and Sustainability” 回应Elms关于“系统与可持续发展”的讨论
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2021-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2021.1980554
P. Jowitt
I am grateful to David Elms for his kind comments on my paper and for extending the conversation. While there are some rich systems ideas in areas of “pure engineering” (eg duality and contragredience in the analysis of water, structural, electrical and other networks, and which is captured and revealed by a common – and beautiful – underlying mathematical framework), systems comes into its own when used to address real world complex problems. Not least, sustainability. It doesn’t give the answer, but it provides the framework for finding one. Nothing is hidden. Disagreements can be out in the open. Discrimination – and not to be confused with prejudice – can be used to compare different options. In that sense, yes, my paper was a call to action. And I hope that young teenage girl who was at my lecture in Christchurch in 2010 is now working on the systems level solutions to ensure a sustainable future.
我很感谢David Elms对我的论文的评论,以及他对我们谈话的延伸。虽然在“纯工程”领域有一些丰富的系统思想(例如,水、结构、电力和其他网络分析中的对偶性和矛盾性,并由一个共同的、美丽的底层数学框架捕获和揭示),但当用于解决现实世界的复杂问题时,系统就有了自己的用处。尤其是可持续性。它没有给出答案,但它提供了寻找答案的框架。没有什么是隐藏的。分歧可以是公开的。歧视——不要与偏见混淆——可以用来比较不同的选择。从这个意义上说,是的,我的论文是一个行动的号召。我希望2010年在克赖斯特彻奇听我演讲的那个年轻女孩现在正在研究系统层面的解决方案,以确保可持续的未来。
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引用次数: 0
Reply to a discussion of ‘a research agenda on systems approaches to infrastructure’ by david elms 回复david elms关于“基础设施系统方法的研究议程”的讨论
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2021-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2021.1980560
A. Mijić, J. Whyte, Rupert J. Myers, Pangiotis Angeloudis, M. Cardin, M. Stettler, Washington Ochieng
ABSTRACT We thank Prof Elms for his insightful comments and suggestions. The paper was indeed aimed at setting the future direction for the Centre for Systems Engineering and Innovation (CSEI) at Imperial College London, with the hope that the ideas will inspire others who work in the same or similar area of research. We are pleased to see that Prof Elms enjoyed reading our paper.
我们感谢Elms教授提出的有见地的意见和建议。这篇论文确实旨在为伦敦帝国理工学院的系统工程与创新中心(CSEI)设定未来的方向,希望这些想法能激励其他从事相同或类似研究领域的人。我们很高兴看到Elms教授喜欢阅读我们的论文。
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引用次数: 0
Reply to Carmichael on BOK and terminology 回复Carmichael关于BOK和术语的问题
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2021-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2021.1980552
D. Blockley
ABSTRACT The history and philosophy of the growth of engineering knowledge is under-developed – the nearest one can get is the progress of science. That history shows the falsity of Carmichael’s assertion that the absence of an agreed set of meanings for systems terms will hold-back the development of Civil Engineering Systems.
工程知识增长的历史和哲学是不发达的,最接近的是科学的进步。这段历史表明,卡迈克尔的断言是错误的,即缺乏一套系统术语的一致含义将阻碍土木工程系统的发展。
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引用次数: 0
Discussion of ‘The systems stance’ by David Elms 讨论David Elms的“系统立场”
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2021-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2021.1980546
Rod Cameron
ABSTRACT Much engineering work requires an outlook which must deal with technical detail within a wider framework of societal and environmental complexities. This calls for multiple points of view ranging from a broad context to localised detail, analogous to the use of a zoom lens. The paper ‘The Systems Stance’ provides an excellent practical way of handling complex system problems needing a range of viewpoints.
许多工程工作需要一种观点,必须在更广泛的社会和环境复杂性框架内处理技术细节。这需要从广泛的背景到局部细节的多个视角,类似于变焦镜头的使用。论文“系统立场”提供了一种处理复杂系统问题的极好的实用方法,需要一系列的观点。
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引用次数: 0
Author’s reply to: David Elms’ discussion of ‘a framework for a civil engineering BOK’ 作者回复:David Elms关于“土木工程书籍框架”的讨论
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2021-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2021.1980549
D. Carmichael
I read Professor Elms’ contribution to the Special Issue (Elms, 2020) several times. It contains a lot of food for thought. Of particular interest is Table 1 ‘Commentary onmodels and modelling’ of that paper. What Professor Elmswrites is compatible with the BOK Framework in Carmichael (2020). To understand the compatibility introduces a level of trickiness, something that is difficult to explain to students and for students to understand because of a sort of circularity it introduces. The level of trickiness is like saying that ‘a model is a representation of a system, yet a model is a system’, and ‘models may model models’ (at which point students say that they wanted to become engineers not philosophers, and they head instead towards the laboratories to do some less-challenging breaking of concrete). The following is not a criticism of Elms (2020), because by and large I do not disagree with his views; rather it is an attempt at a reconciliation. Some of the differences between Professor Elms’ work and mine comes down to terminology – I comment on terminology in Carmichael (2020) and in a discussion piece to this Special Issue. It is my belief that agreement on terminology is a large factor in holding back the development of a Civil Engineering Systems BOK. I always attempt to be disciplined in the use of terminology; I always try to use terms, for example, ‘system’, ‘model’, ‘problem’, ‘uncertainty’, ‘risk’ and so on, in a consistent way and with only one meaning each. In the Elms (2020) paper Table 1, many issues are discussed regarding the choice or aide memoire for models and model building, and also in the Elms discussion piece, the terms ‘purpose’, ‘situation’ etc. are raised. The trickiness that throws students is that Professor Elms, when talking about selecting a model, is in fact performing what is referred to as ‘synthesis’ or ‘design’ (Part F) in the proposed BOK Framework in Carmichael (2020). Professor Elms is ‘designing’ the model. This is separate to systems design which I raise at Part F of the proposed BOK Framework. In effect, a fully developed Part F of the BOK Framework would cover all design issues which could be applied to any system (including a model if it is interpreted as a system). This includes issues about iterations in design, creativity, uncertainty and so on. The intangibles and subjectivity spoken of by Elms could also be incorporated. (But thinking of the necessary background to ‘designing’ a model only hastens the students to the concrete laboratory because of the logic loops that it introduces.)
我读了几遍Elms教授对特刊(Elms, 2020)的贡献。它包含了很多值得思考的东西。特别有趣的是该论文的表1“对模型和建模的评论”。埃尔姆斯教授所写的内容与Carmichael(2020)的BOK框架兼容。为了理解兼容性,引入了一定程度的技巧,有些东西很难向学生解释,也很难让学生理解,因为它引入了某种循环。这种复杂程度就像说“一个模型是一个系统的代表,然而一个模型就是一个系统”,以及“模型可以为模型建模”(这时学生们说他们想成为工程师而不是哲学家,他们转而去实验室做一些不那么具有挑战性的具体工作)。以下不是对榆树(2020)的批评,因为总的来说,我并不反对他的观点;相反,这是一种和解的尝试。榆树教授的工作和我的工作之间的一些差异归结为术语——我在卡迈克尔(2020)和本特刊的讨论部分评论了术语。我相信,术语上的一致是阻碍土木工程系统BOK发展的一个重要因素。我总是试图在术语的使用上保持自律;我总是尝试以一致的方式使用术语,例如“系统”、“模型”、“问题”、“不确定性”、“风险”等等,每个术语只有一个含义。在Elms(2020)的论文表1中,讨论了关于模型和模型构建的选择或辅助记忆的许多问题,并且在Elms的讨论部分中,也提出了术语“目的”,“情况”等。让学生感到困惑的是,Elms教授在谈到选择模型时,实际上是在执行Carmichael(2020)提出的BOK框架中所谓的“综合”或“设计”(第F部分)。Elms教授正在“设计”这个模型。这与我在拟议的BOK框架的第F部分提出的系统设计是分开的。实际上,完整开发的BOK框架F部分将涵盖可应用于任何系统(包括模型,如果它被解释为系统)的所有设计问题。这包括设计中的迭代、创意、不确定性等问题。榆树所说的无形性和主观性也可以被纳入其中。(但是,考虑“设计”一个模型的必要背景只会加速学生进入具体的实验室,因为它引入了逻辑循环。)
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引用次数: 0
Reply to discussion ‘At one with systems' by D. Carmichael: why systems education is different 回复D. Carmichael的讨论“与系统合一”:为什么系统教育是不同的
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2021-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2021.1980557
D. Elms
ABSTRACT Carmichael’s discussion focusses on the education of Civil Engineering Systems practitioners, but any such aim requires a clear idea of the end product. There is an analogy between systems work and creativity. Do they rely on innate skill or can they be taught? I believe they can be taught, but the thinking processes needed require an approach radically different from the normal technique- and knowledge-focussed methods of most engineering teaching. A practice-focussed formality is required.
卡迈克尔的讨论集中在土木工程系统从业者的教育上,但任何这样的目标都需要对最终产品有一个清晰的概念。系统工作和创造力之间有相似之处。他们是依靠天生的技能,还是可以被教导?我相信他们是可以教的,但是所需的思维过程需要一种与大多数工程教学中以技术和知识为中心的常规方法截然不同的方法。以实践为中心的形式是必需的。
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引用次数: 0
Author’s reply to David Elms’ discussion of ‘Practical wisdom in an age of computerization' 作者对David Elms关于“计算机时代的实用智慧”的讨论的回复
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2021-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2021.1980551
D. Blockley
I thank David Elms for his thoughtful and extensive comments on my paper ‘Practical wisdom in an age of computerization’. His comments deserve a full reply. He is right to highlight that that major challenges face everyone on the planet. The rise in global population and massive inequalities are equally important to us all. My choice to focus on three particular challenges does not imply that I consider the others to be of lesser importance. The points made in the paper are relevant, in my view, to all. He perceives a lack of clarity in the paper. My purpose was clearly set out, as he acknowledges, to identify threats and opportunities, to re-evaluate the service we provide as civil engineers, to suggest ways of improving that service and to understand better what it is that we provide that cannot be turned into algorithms of AI. Perhaps his perceived lack of clarity in the paper derives from his thinking that the threats and opportunities fit well with what we do and why we do it – but that increased efficiency and quality (including safety) and the effects of computerisation are somehow subsidiary. The reason I put them together is because quality and safety are paramount in our work and we are often rightly criticized for failures on time and budget as well as loss of life. That is why the section on the interacting objects process model (IOPM) is included. That model is about enabling joined-up systems thinking. It is about getting the right information (what) to the right people (who) at the right time (when) for the right purpose (why) in the right form (where) and in the right way (how). The effectiveness of the IOPM could be transformative if it is developed into servicing worldwide project intra-networks. I think Elms is also a bit dismissive of the loss and changing nature of engineering jobs. The lack of understanding by non-technically qualified decisions makers (politician and business-people) and opinion formers of what engineers ‘bring to the party’ is already leading, in some cases, to inappropriate and harmful decisions about the roles of engineers. These dangers could become even more serious in future projects where AI is used extensively. The distinction between routine work that can be covered by algorithms and that which requires practical intelligence and wisdom is crucial. I agree entirely that we cannot base our decisions about the future on the past alone. Of course, we must learn lessons from the past and our theories do depend on testing in the past and present. We agree that a major concern is how we deal with unknown unknown surprises and that designing for resilience is key.
我感谢David Elms对我的论文《计算机时代的实用智慧》所作的深思熟虑和广泛的评论。他的评论应该得到充分的答复。他强调地球上每个人都面临着重大挑战,这是正确的。全球人口增长和巨大的不平等对我们所有人都同样重要。我选择关注三个特定的挑战,并不意味着我认为其他挑战不那么重要。我认为,文件中提出的观点对所有人都是相关的。他觉得这篇论文不够清晰。正如他所承认的那样,我的目的很明确,即识别威胁和机遇,重新评估我们作为土木工程师提供的服务,提出改进服务的方法,并更好地理解我们提供的哪些东西不能转化为人工智能算法。也许他在论文中缺乏明确性,是因为他认为,威胁和机遇与我们所做的事情以及我们为什么要做这些事情非常吻合,但提高效率和质量(包括安全)以及计算机化的影响在某种程度上是次要的。我把它们放在一起的原因是,质量和安全对我们的工作至关重要,我们经常因为在时间和预算上的失误以及生命损失而受到批评。这就是为什么要包括关于交互对象进程模型(IOPM)的部分。该模型是关于实现联合系统思维的。它是关于在正确的时间(什么时候)为了正确的目的(为什么)以正确的形式(在哪里)以正确的方式(如何)将正确的信息(什么)传递给正确的人(谁)。如果国际海事组织发展成为服务世界范围内项目内部网络的组织,其效力将具有变革性。我认为埃尔姆斯对工程工作的流失和性质的变化也有点不屑一顾。非技术合格的决策者(政治家和商界人士)和舆论领袖对工程师“给党带来了什么”缺乏理解,在某些情况下,已经导致了关于工程师角色的不恰当和有害的决定。在未来广泛使用人工智能的项目中,这些危险可能会变得更加严重。算法可以涵盖的日常工作与需要实际智能和智慧的工作之间的区别至关重要。我完全同意我们不能仅仅根据过去来决定未来。当然,我们必须从过去吸取教训,我们的理论确实依赖于过去和现在的检验。我们一致认为,一个主要的问题是我们如何处理未知的未知的意外,而设计弹性是关键。
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引用次数: 0
Response to discussion of ‘The Systems Stance’ by R. Cameron 对R. Cameron关于“系统立场”的讨论的回应
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2021-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2021.1980555
D. Elms
ABSTRACT Addressing the process of doing systems engineering, Cameron suggests a zoom lens analogy, zooming in from a broad initial view to increasing attention to detail as the work progresses. The process requires a rigorous modelling process at all levels, with careful attention to clarity and balance and an equally careful attention to information quality.
针对进行系统工程的过程,Cameron提出了一个变焦镜头的类比,从一个广泛的初始视图放大到随着工作的进展而增加对细节的关注。这一过程需要在所有级别上进行严格的建模过程,仔细注意清晰度和平衡,并同样仔细注意信息质量。
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引用次数: 0
Discussion of ‘A research agenda on systems approaches to infrastructure’ by Jennifer Whyte et al. 讨论Jennifer Whyte等人的“基础设施系统方法的研究议程”。
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2021-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2021.1980548
D. Elms
ABSTRACT Research focussing on urban infrastructure is much needed. The original paper reviews a number of initiatives for this. The discussion suggests possible additions such as inclusion of network theoretic ideas, a focus on the importance of clearly defined system boundaries, further developments of resilience theory, and issues related to recovery from, rather than response to, major natural disasters, where intertwined physical and management issues can lead to significant system problems.
城市基础设施的研究是非常必要的。最初的论文回顾了这方面的一些倡议。讨论提出了可能的补充内容,如包括网络理论思想,关注明确定义的系统边界的重要性,弹性理论的进一步发展,以及与从而不是响应重大自然灾害中恢复相关的问题,其中交织在一起的物理和管理问题可能导致重大的系统问题。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal retrofit for a school under seismic hazard including risk assessment 地震灾害下学校的最佳改造方案及风险评估
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2021-09-19 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2021.1977798
D. de-León-Escobedo, E. Ismael-Hernández
ABSTRACT The paper proposes a formulation to select the optimal retrofit strategy for a damaged school under seismic hazard, by applying risk and reliability assessment techniques. The formulation considers the cost-effectiveness of alternative retrofit strategies, including failure consequences, to get adequate balance (CE: Balance is an uncountable noun) between the costs and the gains on reliability. The proposed alternatives should produce a failure probability below the target value, which is obtained by minimising the present value of the expected life-cycle cost. The failure consequences include the potential life loss, injuries, expenditures due to off-campus resumption of classes and loss/damage of contents. Exceedance of the shear force and bending moment capacities and the allowable inter-story drift are the considered limit states. A relationship between the cost and the increment on reliability is proposed and calibrated for the case study; MCS is applied to calculate the failure probabilities. An example of a two-story building is a school located in the Tlaxcala State; for this case, the target failure probability is 1.6 × 10−4. The optimal retrofit strategy is the one that corresponds to the minimum expected life-cycle cost. The proposal may serve to generate risk, reliability and resilience-based retrofit recommendations for schools under seismic hazard.
摘要:本文运用风险评估和可靠性评估技术,提出了一种选择地震灾害下受损学校最优改造策略的公式。该公式考虑了替代改造策略的成本效益,包括失效后果,以在成本和可靠性收益之间获得充分的平衡(CE:平衡是一个不可数名词)。建议的备选方案应产生低于目标值的失效概率,该目标值通过最小化预期生命周期成本的现值来获得。失败的后果包括潜在的生命损失、人身伤害、校外复课费用和内容的丢失/损坏。考虑的极限状态是超过剪力和弯矩能力以及允许的层间位移。提出了成本与可靠性增量之间的关系,并对其进行了校正;应用MCS计算失效概率。两层建筑的一个例子是位于特拉斯卡拉州的一所学校;在这种情况下,目标失效概率为1.6 × 10−4。最优改造策略是与最小预期生命周期成本相对应的策略。该提案可以为地震灾害下的学校提供基于风险、可靠性和弹性的改造建议。
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引用次数: 3
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Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems
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