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Practical wisdom in an age of computerisation 计算机时代的实用智慧
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2020-08-25 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2020.1810675
D. Blockley
All professions are facing some formidable challenges including the ‘big three’ – climate change, pandemics and increasing computerisation. The potential threats include new uncertainties about une...
所有职业都面临着一些艰巨的挑战,包括“三大挑战”——气候变化、流行病和日益普及的计算机化。潜在的威胁包括新的不确定性……
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引用次数: 10
An empirical analysis of complexity management for offshore wind energy supply chains and the benefits of blockchain adoption 海上风能供应链复杂性管理的实证分析及区块链采用的好处
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2020.1810674
S. Keivanpour, A. Ramudhin, Daoud Ait Kadi
ABSTRACT The supply chain plays an essential role in the cost reduction of offshore wind energy. Supply chain complexity is a major driver of end-to-end supply chain costs and at the same time a source of competitive advantage. In this study, a strategic complexity management approach is suggested for analysing and controlling the complexity of the supply chain in offshore wind energy. The adoption of blockchain via the development of software architecture and a discussion of its impact on complexity are provided. A comparative study focused on two UK offshore wind farms based on real industrial data illustrates the complexity analysis and the contribution of blockchain technology to the strategic management of this complexity.
供应链在降低海上风电成本中起着至关重要的作用。供应链的复杂性是端到端供应链成本的主要驱动因素,同时也是竞争优势的来源。本文提出了一种战略复杂性管理方法来分析和控制海上风电供应链的复杂性。通过软件架构的开发采用区块链,并讨论其对复杂性的影响。一项基于真实工业数据的对两个英国海上风电场的比较研究说明了复杂性分析和区块链技术对这种复杂性的战略管理的贡献。
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引用次数: 6
Discussion of ‘Bias and decision making – an overview systems explanation’ by David G. Carmichael, Civil engineering and environmental systems 2020, v. 37, nos. 1-2, 48–61 David G. Carmichael,《偏见与决策——一个概览系统的解释》,土木工程与环境系统,2020,vol . 37, no . 1-2, 48-61
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2020.1828374
D. Elms
I was delighted to see that David Carmichael has once again written on a topic that is both important and sadly neglected. Though I do not always agree what he said, I am glad he said it, and I hop...
我很高兴看到大卫·卡迈克尔再次写了一个既重要又可悲地被忽视的话题。虽然我并不总是同意他说的话,但我很高兴他这么说,我希望……
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引用次数: 0
Comparative analysis of quantitative bidding methods using agent-based modelling 基于agent建模的定量投标方法的比较分析
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2020.1821670
S. Asgari
ABSTRACT Competitive bidding is the main mechanism for the allocation and price determination of construction services in the Architecture, Engineering, and Construction industry. Quantitative bidding methods have received considerable attention in the literature. The validity and reliability of these methods (particularly Freidman and Gates) have been explored using mathematical and statistical analysis. This study aims to compare and examine the characteristics of major quantitative bidding methods under different market scenarios using an agent-based approach as a computational laboratory. The results indicate that using the Friedman model can result in obtaining higher market share and working capital whereas using the Gates model can result in gaining higher profitability in the long run. Finally, the simulation model is verified by breaking down the model into several computation steps and validated using sensitivity analysis, robustness analysis, and structural validation.
【摘要】竞争性招标是建筑、工程和建设行业施工服务分配和价格确定的主要机制。定量招标方法在文献中受到了相当大的关注。这些方法(特别是弗里德曼和盖茨)的有效性和可靠性已经使用数学和统计分析进行了探索。本研究以基于主体的方法作为计算实验室,比较和研究了不同市场情景下主要定量投标方法的特点。结果表明,使用弗里德曼模型可以获得更高的市场份额和营运资金,而使用盖茨模型可以获得更高的长期盈利能力。最后,通过将模型分解为多个计算步骤,并通过灵敏度分析、鲁棒性分析和结构验证对仿真模型进行验证。
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引用次数: 3
Value-driven design approach for optimal long-span timber-concrete composite floor in multi-storey wooden residential buildings 多层木结构住宅大跨度木混复合楼板优化设计方法
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2020.1808888
Hamid Movaffaghi, J. Pyykkö, I. Yitmen
ABSTRACT Long-span timber-concrete composite (TCC) floor systems have the potential to address the design challenges for conventional wooden floors in residential multi-storey timber frame buildings. The aim of this paper is to develop a design approach for long-span timber-concrete composite floor system of 6–9 m. A framework based on value-driven design approach has been developed for integration of results from graphical multi-objective optimisation, spreadsheet-based analysis, structural static and dynamic finite element analysis, and multi-criteria decision making. To verify the developed framework, a residential five-storey timber frame building as a case study has been studied. Optimal design includes optimised thickness of the concrete and optimised smeared stiffness of connectors for three different comfort classes A to C in descending order. TCC floor with span length 7.3 [m] belonging to comfort class A and TCC floor with span length 9.0 [m] belonging to comfort class C has been chosen as optimal solutions. The results indicate that proposed and innovative design approach is a promising tool for developers, architects and structural engineers when designing optimal long-span timber-concrete composite floor system.
大跨度木材-混凝土复合材料(TCC)地板系统有可能解决住宅多层木结构建筑中传统木地板的设计挑战。本文的目的是为6-9米的大跨度木结构-混凝土组合楼盖体系提供一种设计方法。基于价值驱动设计方法的框架已经开发出来,用于集成图形多目标优化、基于电子表格的分析、结构静态和动态有限元分析以及多标准决策的结果。为了验证开发的框架,以一座五层木结构住宅为例进行了研究。优化设计包括优化混凝土厚度和优化连接器的涂抹刚度,以满足从A到C三个不同舒适等级的要求。选择跨度为7.3 [m]的舒适A级TCC楼面和跨度为9.0 [m]的舒适C级TCC楼面作为最优解。结果表明,本文提出的创新设计方法为开发商、建筑师和结构工程师设计最佳大跨度木混组合楼盖体系提供了一种有前景的工具。
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引用次数: 7
Author's reply to: David Elms’ discussion of ‘Bias and decision making – an overview systems explanation’ 作者回复:David Elms关于“偏见和决策——一个概览系统的解释”的讨论
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2020.1821671
D. Carmichael
Professor Elms is thanked for his comments. I address here some of Professor Elms’ comments. The components of decision making are given in the paper (Carmichael 2020) as {model; constraints; objec...
Elms教授对他的评论表示感谢。我在这里谈谈埃尔姆斯教授的一些评论。本文(Carmichael 2020)给出了决策的组成部分为{模型;约束;objec……
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引用次数: 1
Run-time optimisation of sewer remote control systems using genetic algorithms and multi-criteria decision analysis: CSO and energy consumption reduction 使用遗传算法和多准则决策分析的下水道远程控制系统的运行时优化:CSO和能耗降低
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2020.1771701
E. Bonamente, L. Termite, A. Garinei, L. Menculini, M. Marconi, E. Piccioni, L. Biondi, Gianluca Rossi
ABSTRACT A new approach for sewer regulation with remote-control systems in case of intense meteorological events is presented. A run-time multi-objective decision method was developed and applied to a case study with the aim of minimising water overflow and electric energy consumption of the upstream water collection system of a wastewater treatment plant. Strategy optimisation makes use of genetic algorithms and short-time predictions of water flows into the sewer system. The ability to efficiently optimise the system controllable parameters even for lags as short as 30 guarantees flexibility, prompt adaptation to changing conditions and reliability. With respect to a conventional approach, energy savings up to 32% can be reached using the proposed run-time optimisation at the price of increasing the total combined sewer overflow of approx. 10%. With respect to the basic system layout, installing an additional buffer tank for most intense rain events can guarantee a 7% reduction of the water outflow and a 36% reduction of the energy consumption. The sensitivity analysis, performed on different layouts, shows no evidence for preferring time horizons for water discharge predictions longer than 90 min.
摘要:提出了一种利用远程控制系统在强烈气象事件下进行下水道调节的新方法。以某污水处理厂上游集水系统的溢水和电能消耗最小化为目标,开发了一种运行时多目标决策方法,并将其应用于实例研究。策略优化利用遗传算法和短期预测水流进入下水道系统。即使延迟短至30秒,也能有效优化系统可控参数,保证了灵活性、对不断变化的条件的快速适应和可靠性。与传统方法相比,采用建议的运行时优化方案可节省高达32%的能源,而其代价是增加大约30%的总合流污水溢出量。10%。对于基本的系统布局,为大多数强降雨事件安装一个额外的缓冲水箱可以保证减少7%的水流出,减少36%的能源消耗。对不同布局进行的敏感性分析显示,没有证据表明对超过90分钟的水量预测更倾向于时间范围。
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引用次数: 3
Bias and decision making – an overview systems explanation 偏见和决策-概览系统解释
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2020-03-19 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2020.1744133
D. Carmichael
ABSTRACT People are continuously making decisions, most of a minor nature, but also some of significance. Few people seem to enquire as to the basis of their decisions or as to why one decision is chosen over another, while in some cases people may not be fully cognisant of how decision making is happening. For any given situation, provided it is not over-constrained, everyone reaches a different decision. That is, any decision can be perceived to involve bias, simply because it is different to someone else's decision, with this difference being attributed to a range of bias sources. It is generally not possible to establish the actual bias sources in any given situation. Accordingly, this paper adopts an overview systems approach to explaining bias in contrast to conventional social science treatments of bias. Bias sources and decisions are linked through looking at the essential underlying components involved in decision making. Some elementary experiments demonstrate that, for a given situation, all people will arrive at different underlying components and hence different decisions, implying the presence of bias. The paper is original in offering a different perspective of bias and linking systems thinking with the literature on bias.
人们不断地做出决定,大多数是微不足道的,但也有一些是意义重大的。似乎很少有人询问他们的决定的基础,或者为什么选择一个决定而不是另一个决定,而在某些情况下,人们可能并不完全认识到决策是如何发生的。对于任何给定的情况,只要没有过度约束,每个人都会做出不同的决定。也就是说,任何决定都可能被认为涉及偏见,仅仅因为它与他人的决定不同,这种差异归因于一系列偏见来源。在任何给定的情况下,通常都不可能确定实际的偏差来源。因此,本文采用概述系统的方法来解释偏见,而不是传统的社会科学对偏见的处理。偏见来源和决策是通过观察决策过程中涉及的基本基本组成部分联系起来的。一些基本的实验表明,在给定的情况下,所有人都会得出不同的潜在成分,从而做出不同的决定,这意味着存在偏见。这篇论文的独创之处在于提供了一种不同的偏见视角,并将系统思维与偏见文献联系起来。
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引用次数: 7
Relationships among factors affecting construction safety equipment selection: structural equation modelling approach 建筑安全设备选择影响因素之间的关系:结构方程建模方法
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2020-02-18 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2020.1729754
T. Chinda, Pimnapa Pongsayaporn
ABSTRACT The construction industry is ranked the first in terms of accidents. Use of appropriate construction safety equipment helps reduce accidents. This study utilises the structural equation modelling to examine relationships among key factors affecting construction safety equipment selection. The approach considers measurement- and structural-models. The measurement-model confirms key factors and their relationships, while the structural-model examines relationships directions. Questionnaire survey is utilised to collect data. Respondents include managers and operators from medium- and large-sized construction companies. Six key factors are confirmed with the measurement-model results, including (1) Safety-related Policy, (2) Equipment Design, (3) Personal, (4) Supplier Agreement, (5) Supplier Support, and (6) Cost Value factors. They relate with employers, employees, and suppliers to select construction safety equipment that match with company’s policy and employees’ need to reduce chances of accidents. The structural-model results reveal directions of relationships among key factors. Safety-related Policy is the most important factor, as it influences other factors. Equipment Design and Personal factors are crucial when selecting construction safety equipment, as they influence Supplier Agreement and Supplier Support factors, which in turn, affect Cost Value factor. Construction companies can utilise the results to understand key factors affecting construction safety equipment selection, and make better decisions.
建筑行业是事故发生率最高的行业。使用适当的建筑安全设备有助于减少事故。本研究利用结构方程模型研究影响建筑安全设备选择的关键因素之间的关系。该方法考虑了测量模型和结构模型。测量模型确定关键因素及其关系,结构模型考察关系方向。采用问卷调查法收集数据。受访者包括大中型建筑公司的经理和经营者。测量模型结果确定了六个关键因素,包括(1)安全相关政策,(2)设备设计,(3)人员,(4)供应商协议,(5)供应商支持和(6)成本价值因素。他们与雇主,员工和供应商联系,选择符合公司政策和员工需要的建筑安全设备,以减少事故发生的机会。结构模型结果揭示了关键因素之间的关系方向。安全相关政策是最重要的因素,因为它影响其他因素。设备设计和个人因素在选择施工安全设备时至关重要,因为它们影响供应商协议和供应商支持因素,而供应商支持因素反过来又影响成本价值因素。建筑公司可以利用结果来了解影响施工安全设备选择的关键因素,并做出更好的决策。
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引用次数: 3
An ANP model for risk response assessment in large scale bridge projects 大型桥梁工程风险响应评价的ANP模型
IF 1.8 3区 工程技术 Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2020-01-26 DOI: 10.1080/10286608.2019.1702030
Fikri Yücelgazi, I. Yitmen
ABSTRACT Large-scale bridge projects (LSBPs) have emerged due to the gradually increasing transportation needs of the connections between isolated regions. In planning, construction or completion of today’s LSBPs, responses are applied to risks arising in areas such as financial, design, environmental and managerial. The main objective of this study is to prioritise the risk responses from the contractors’ point of view used in LSBPs in Europe and the Middle East by using the analytical network process (ANP). The priorities obtained separately for Europe and the Middle East were compared between each other. The results display that Europe and the Middle East include both common and different risk responses. Two case studies, one in each region, have been conducted to further support the priority values acquired in this study. The priorities and responses obtained in this study can be used as standard risk response list for the prevention or elimination of risks during the planning, construction or completion phases of projects to be implemented in the field of LSBPs in various countries. Lastly, the priorities obtained in this study could be a mirror to detect or juxtapose changes in future studies in the same field.
由于孤立地区之间的交通需求日益增加,大型桥梁项目(lbp)应运而生。在规划、建设或完成今天的lbp时,应对措施适用于财务、设计、环境和管理等领域出现的风险。本研究的主要目的是通过使用分析网络过程(ANP),从欧洲和中东lbp使用的承包商的角度确定风险响应的优先级。对欧洲和中东分别获得的优先事项进行了相互比较。结果表明,欧洲和中东地区既有共同的风险反应,也有不同的风险反应。已经进行了两个案例研究,每个区域一个,以进一步支持本研究中获得的优先价值。本研究得到的优先级和应对措施可以作为标准的风险应对清单,在各国lbp领域实施项目的规划、建设或完工阶段预防或消除风险。最后,本研究中获得的优先级可以作为一面镜子,用于检测或并列显示同一领域未来研究的变化。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems
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