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Service Sector Growth and 
Inequality in India: An Analysis of Household Consumption Spending 印度服务业的增长与不平等:家庭消费支出分析
Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241238498
Chaitanya Talreja
Two important aspects of service sector growth in India in the post-1991 reform period from the demand side have been identified in the literature. Ghose (2015) suggests that the rapid service demand expansion has been driven by the rich, who have disproportionately benefited from the information and communication technology (ICT)-based service boom. Basu and Das (2017) argue that service spending by the poorer section also rose, and the service demand expansion is partly a result of the coercive nature of privatised service expansion. This article examines these two critical aspects in greater detail using the National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO) consumer expenditure surveys from 1993–94, 2004–05 and 2011–12. The article finds clear evidence to show that the service expenditure in India was dominated by the top 20% of Indian households. Even as bottom 20% devoted larger household budget share to services over time, their share in aggregate service expenditure remained marginal. State per capita income, servicification of output, social expenditure by the government, urbanisation and changing nature of the economy post liberalisation are found to be important factors associated with variation in household service expenditure share across quintile classes. The relationships of these factors with service expenditure share differ across expenditure quintiles. Further, service expenditure elasticity estimates by decile classes indicate more than unit elasticity for various services over time, depicting non-saturating demand for services. The decile-wide rise in demand for services during this period, especially for the poorer households, is possibly due to a complex mechanism involving necessity, aspirations and enhanced access to new services and may not fit into the binary of discretion versus involuntary spending. JEL Codes: O1, L16, L80, D30, D12
文献从需求方面指出了 1991 年后改革时期印度服务业增长的两个重要方面。Ghose(2015)认为,服务需求的快速扩张是由富人推动的,他们从基于信息和通信技术(ICT)的服务繁荣中获益过多。Basu 和 Das(2017)认为,贫困阶层的服务支出也在上升,服务需求的扩张部分是私有化服务扩张的强制性质造成的。本文利用全国抽样调查组织(NSSO)1993-94 年、2004-05 年和 2011-12 年的消费者支出调查,更详细地研究了这两个关键方面。文章发现了明确的证据,表明印度的服务支出主要由印度家庭中收入最高的 20% 所支配。即使随着时间的推移,底层 20% 的家庭将更大的家庭预算份额用于服务业,他们在服务业总支出中所占的份额仍然微不足道。研究发现,邦人均收入、产出的服务化、政府的社会支出、城市化以及自由化后经济性质的变化是五等分层家庭服务支出份额变化的重要相关因素。这些因素与服务支出份额的关系在不同支出五分位数之间存在差异。此外,按十分位等级估算的服务支出弹性表明,随着时间的推移,各种服务的弹性都超过了单位弹性,说明对服务的需求并不饱和。在此期间,十等分家庭,特别是贫困家庭对服务需求的增加,可能是由于一个复杂的机制,涉及必要性、愿望和获得新服务的更多机会,可能并不符合自由支配与非自由支配的二元对立。JEL Codes:O1, L16, L80, D30, D12
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引用次数: 0
Does Efficiency Bring Down Default Risk in Indian Banks? 效率是否会降低印度银行的违约风险?
Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241238494
Jagjeevan Kanoujiya, Shailesh Rastogi
Banks are an integral part of a nation’s economy. Therefore, soundness of a bank’s financial health is foremost important for the good economic condition of the country. This article proposes to assess the bank efficiency (BE) and default risk (DR) of banks in India, and to examine the link between BE and DR of banks in India. This study uses the secondary data of 34 banks operating in India for the period from 2016 to 2019 for panel data analysis. BE as technical efficiency of banks and their DR are evaluated using data envelopment analysis and Altman’s Z-score, respectively. The findings of the study indicate no significant association between BE and DR of banks in India. This article is a novel study of its kind and provides surprising result, which indicates encouraging outcome for banks in India. JEL Codes: G30, G33, G38
银行是国家经济不可分割的一部分。因此,银行财务状况的稳健性对于国家良好的经济状况至关重要。本文拟对印度银行的银行效率(BE)和违约风险(DR)进行评估,并研究印度银行的银行效率和违约风险之间的联系。本研究使用 2016 年至 2019 年期间在印度运营的 34 家银行的二手数据进行面板数据分析。分别采用数据包络分析法和 Altman Z-score,对作为银行技术效率的 BE 及其 DR 进行评估。研究结果表明,印度银行的BE和DR之间没有显著关联。本文是同类研究中的一项新研究,其结果令人惊讶,表明印度银行的发展前景令人鼓舞。JEL Codes:G30, G33, G38
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引用次数: 0
Fiscal Conundrum of the North-Eastern States of India 印度东北部各邦的财政难题
Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241238487
M. S. Rymbai, D. W. Thangkhiew
A smooth operation of the public budget requires simultaneous growth of macro-fiscal instruments. In this background, the study intends to estimate the macro-fiscal determinants of the public budget in the North-Eastern states (NES). The percentage estimation of fiscal capacity, fiscal dependency and revenue base depicts an overall fiscal conundrum in the NES. The empirical estimation procedure begins with the unit root test, followed by a Pedroni cointegration test, followed by the fully modified least square and the dynamic least square model to estimate the degree of relationship. Two series have been estimated to avoid multicollinearity. The results depict a cointegration between the macro-fiscal instruments (total government expenditure, state’s own revenue (SOR), gross state domestic product (GSDP), grants (GR), gross fiscal deficit (GFD) and revenue deficit (RD)). The results show that the SOR, GSDP and GR are the positive and significant determinants of government expenditure. On the other hand, GFD is a positive yet insignificant determinant of government expenditure. RD is a negative and significant determinant of government expenditure. This implies that a stronger revenue generation capacity could result in augmenting the public budget for the efficient provision of public services. JEL Codes: E62, H1, H50, H62, H71, H72
公共预算的平稳运行需要宏观财政工具的同步增长。在此背景下,本研究旨在估算东北各州(NES)公共预算的宏观财政决定因素。对财政能力、财政依赖性和收入基础的百分比估算描绘了东北各州的整体财政难题。实证估算程序首先是单位根检验,然后是 Pedroni 协整检验,接着是完全修正的最小二乘法和动态最小二乘法模型来估算关系程度。为避免多重共线性,对两个序列进行了估计。结果显示,宏观财政工具(政府总支出、州自有收入、州国内生产总值、拨款、财政赤字和收入赤字)之间存在协整关系。结果显示,州自有收入、州国内生产总值和州补助金是政府支出的正向显著决定因素。另一方面,GFD 是政府支出的一个积极但不显著的决定因素。RD 是政府支出的一个负向显著决定因素。这意味着更强的创收能力可以增加公共预算,从而有效地提供公共服务。JEL Codes:E62、H1、H50、H62、H71、H72
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引用次数: 0
Derivation of Growth of Import Demand: A Time Series Analysis 
of Less Developed Countries 进口需求增长的推导:欠发达国家的时间序列分析
Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241238591
Riddhi Chatterjee
In this article, growth of import demand is estimated in a dynamic optimisation framework. Since a conventional micro-theoretic import demand function cannot capture the issue of the growth of import demand, it is derived in a macro-theoretic framework of equilibrium import demand function. Growth rate of import demand in a dynamic optimisation framework (considering utility maximisation problem) has not yet been found in the literature. The main focus of this article is to derive this. It is found that growth rate of imports is the function of the growth of domestic income or expenditure, the growth rate of relative price, which is nothing but the real exchange rate, and productivity of capital. The theoretically derived import growth equation was empirically verified for 35 less developed countries. It is observed that for most of the less developed countries, independent variables are statistically significant with expected sign. JEL Codes: F130, F14
本文在动态优化框架下对进口需求增长进行了估算。由于传统的微观理论进口需求函数无法解决进口需求增长的问题,因此本文在均衡进口需求函数的宏观理论框架下对其进行了推导。在动态优化框架下(考虑效用最大化问题)的进口需求增长率在文献中尚未发现。本文的重点是推导出这一结论。研究发现,进口增长率是国内收入或支出增长率、相对价格增长率(即实际汇率)和资本生产率的函数。从理论上推导出的进口增长方程在 35 个欠发达国家得到了经验验证。结果表明,对于大多数欠发达国家而言,自变量在统计上都具有预期的意义。JEL Codes:F130, F14
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引用次数: 0
Stage-based Non-price 
Determinants of Fuel Choice 
and Its Consumption Decision of Households in Rural India 印度农村家庭燃料选择及其消费决策的阶段性非价格决定因素
Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241238589
Sanchita Daripa, Soumyananda Dinda
This article investigates non-price determinants of fuel choice and consumption decision of households in rural India. Fuel consumption varies at household levels from traditional fuels like firewood and chips to modern fuels such as LPG. Fuel consumption is based on two-stage decisions: (a) whether households participate or not; and (b) how much they consume if they participate. Significant factors might be different in the first stage and the second stage due to certain socio-economic or non-price factors. Applying Cragg’s double hurdle model on NSSO data, this article finds determinants of fuel choice and its consumption at the household level in rural India. Empirical findings indicate that income significantly determines quantity consumption, not choice decision. The role of assets in determining fuel choice and quantity decision is also considered through a comparative study including and excluding landholding, a major asset in rural India. Bottom and top quintile results suggest that advancement of the economic position of the households changes their attitude towards dirty fuel selection and consumption. Firewood fuel consumption decreases with the rising education level of the household head, especially women-headed households. Increased awareness through education and removing social barriers might help to reduce dirty fuel consumption, and India might move towards Sustainable Development Goal. JEL Codes: C20, C13, C34, O13, Q23, Q40, Q56
本文研究了印度农村家庭燃料选择和消费决策的非价格决定因素。从木柴和木片等传统燃料到液化石油气等现代燃料,家庭层面的燃料消费各不相同。燃料消费基于两个阶段的决定:(a) 家庭是否参与;(b) 如果参与,消费多少。由于某些社会经济或非价格因素,第一阶段和第二阶段的重要因素可能不同。本文将克拉格的双障碍模型应用于印度国家统计与调查局的数据,发现了印度农村家庭层面燃料选择及其消费的决定因素。实证研究结果表明,收入在很大程度上决定了消费数量,而不是选择决定。通过比较研究,还考虑了资产在决定燃料选择和数量决策中的作用,包括和不包括印度农村的主要资产--土地所有权。最低和最高五分位数的研究结果表明,家庭经济地位的提高会改变他们对肮脏燃料的选择和消费态度。随着户主教育水平的提高,尤其是女户主家庭的教育水平提高,木柴燃料的消耗量会减少。通过教育和消除社会障碍来提高人们的意识可能有助于减少脏燃料的消耗,印度也可能朝着可持续发展目标迈进。JEL Codes:C20, C13, C34, O13, Q23, Q40, Q56
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引用次数: 0
Richard P. F. Holt (Ed.), The Selected Letters of John Kenneth Galbraith. Cambridge University Press, New York, 2017, pp. xlii + 701, $34.99 (Hardcover). ISBN: 9781107019881. Richard P. F. Holt(编),《约翰-肯尼斯-加尔布雷思书信选》。剑桥大学出版社,纽约,2017 年,第 xlii + 701 页,34.99 美元(精装)。ISBN:9781107019881。
Pub Date : 2024-03-23 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241238501
Manoj Kumar
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引用次数: 0
International Migrants from Rural Punjab—Attributes and Characteristics 来自旁遮普农村地区的国际移民--属性和特征
Pub Date : 2024-03-23 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241235584
Nivedita Agnihotri
International migration is a worldwide phenomenon, and it has influenced every economy in the world. Migration plays a significant role in the development of both home and host countries. Remittances sent by non-resident Indians (NRIs) to the country of origin improve the standard of living of their family members and are also helpful in solving the balance of payment problems of the country. This research article deals with the socio-economic background of the emigrants’ households. The size of the family, housing conditions, age group, earning members in the family, number of migrated persons, etc., is the important variables of this analysis. To analyse the socio-economic characteristics of the migrants’ households and to examine the causes behind international migration are the main objectives of this study. It is observed that prime reason behind the international migration from Punjab to other countries is the lack of suitable work opportunities. This article is based on the sample of 375 households that have been selected from 15 villages of the two districts, namely Jalandhar and SBS Nagar. For the analysis of data, simple percentage method and binary logistic regression model have been used. The analysis and findings of the study revealed that a total of 579 NRIs have migrated from the 375 households, and all these households have their own homes. It is observed that the ratio of male migrants is much higher than the females. The study analysed that the proportion of dependent family members is almost same in both districts. It is also noticed that people of general category went to developed countries like the United States, Canada, Australia and New Zealand, but the OBCs and SCs preferred to go to the United Kingdom, Europe and Gulf countries. The main reasons of this difference are that the visa process of developed countries is more complicated and also contains huge costs, while visa process and cost of Gulf and other countries are simple and low, so OBCs and SCs can easily afford it. JEL Codes: F2, F22, D14, O15, O1
国际移民是一种世界性现象,它影响着世界上的每一个经济体。移民对母国和东道国的发展都起着重要作用。非居民印度人(NRIs)汇往原籍国的汇款提高了其家庭成员的生活水平,也有助于解决该国的国际收支问题。本研究文章涉及移民家庭的社会经济背景。家庭规模、住房条件、年龄组、家庭成员收入、移民人数等是本分析的重要变量。分析移民家庭的社会经济特征和研究国际移民背后的原因是本研究的主要目标。据观察,从旁遮普向其他国家进行国际移民的主要原因是缺乏合适的工作机会。本文基于从贾朗达尔和 SBS Nagar 这两个地区的 15 个村庄中选取的 375 个家庭作为样本。数据分析采用了简单百分比法和二元逻辑回归模型。研究分析和结果显示,375 个家庭中共有 579 名新移民,所有这些家庭都有自己的住房。据观察,男性移民的比例远远高于女性。研究分析发现,两个地区受抚养家庭成员的比例几乎相同。研究还发现,普通类移民前往美国、加拿大、澳大利亚和新西兰等发达国家,而其他落后阶层和在册种姓移民则更愿意前往英国、欧洲和海湾国家。造成这种差异的主要原因是,发达国家的签证程序比较复杂,而且费用高昂,而海湾地区和其他国家的签证程序和费用简单、低廉,所以其他落后阶层和在册种姓可以轻松负担得起。JEL Codes:F2, F22, D14, O15, O1
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引用次数: 0
Urbanisation and Economic Growth: Some Insights from the Himalayan State of Sikkim 城市化与经济增长:喜马拉雅锡金邦的一些启示
Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241235497
K. Singha, L. Sherpa, Md. Samsur Jaman
Sikkim has experienced rapid urbanisation and industrialisation, particularly since the implementation of the North East Industrial and Investment Promotion Policy in 2007 (NEIIPP 2007). Though urbanisation and economic growth are inextricably linked, previous research findings on their causal relationships appear to be contradictory. Increased urbanisation/industrialisation seemed to enrage the Sikkimese, not because of revenue generation or environmental concerns, but because of their disproportionate share of employment opportunities in comparison to outsiders. Using secondary data, this article investigated two critical research questions: (a) Whether urbanisation is a result of or a cause of economic growth; and (b) Has Sikkim’s industrialisation, largely fuelled by the NEIIPP 2007, benefited locals? The causality test revealed a unidirectional relationship between the two, with urbanisation causing economic growth. Despite attracting migrant labour, Sikkim’s increased industrialisation/urbanisation has significantly reduced poverty and unemployment. JEL Codes: H20, L59, O10, O15, O25, R23
锡金经历了快速的城市化和工业化,尤其是自 2007 年实施《东北工业与投资促进政策》(NEIIPP,2007 年)以来。虽然城市化和经济增长密不可分,但以往关于二者因果关系的研究结果似乎相互矛盾。城市化/工业化的加剧似乎激怒了锡金人,这并不是因为创收或环境问题,而是因为与外来者相比,锡金人的就业机会比例过高。本文利用二手数据调查了两个关键的研究问题:(a) 城市化是经济增长的结果还是原因;(b) 锡金的工业化(主要由 2007 年东北工业园区计划推动)是否使当地人受益?因果关系检验显示两者之间存在单向关系,即城市化导致经济增长。尽管锡金吸引了外来劳动力,但其工业化/城市化程度的提高大大减少了贫困和失业。JEL Codes:H20, L59, O10, O15, O25, R23
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引用次数: 0
Power-law Behaviour and Inequality in the Upper Tail of Wealth, Income and Consumption: Evidence from India 财富、收入和消费上端的幂律行为和不平等:印度的证据
Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241238471
Rishabh Kumar
This article analyses the upper tails of wealth, income and consumption in India over the period 2012–2018 using rich lists, wealth surveys, income tax returns and consumer expenditure surveys. We find the upper tail to obey a power-law in all three economic resources. Comparing our estimates in 2012—where we possess data on wealth, income and consumption simultaneously—we find that the upper tail of wealth is most concentrated, income slightly less, and consumption is much less concentrated. Unlike wealth and income, the Pareto coefficients for consumption are estimated to have a well-defined mean and variance. Our findings are suggestive of convex saving functions in the income distribution. JEL Codes: D31, O16, O53
本文利用富豪榜、财富调查、所得税申报表和消费者支出调查,分析了 2012-2018 年期间印度财富、收入和消费的上尾部。我们发现,这三种经济资源的上尾均服从幂律。在 2012 年,我们同时掌握了财富、收入和消费的数据,对比当时的估计结果,我们发现财富的上尾部最为集中,收入略低,而消费的集中度要低得多。与财富和收入不同,消费的帕累托系数估计具有明确的均值和方差。我们的研究结果表明,收入分配中存在凸储蓄函数。JEL Codes:D31, O16, O53
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引用次数: 0
Labour Values and Production Prices 
in Joint Production 联合生产中的劳动力价值和生产价格
Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1177/00194662241235500
Georg Stamatis
In this article, we show that in joint production, both labour values and production prices are positive but not unambiguously determined. Usually, the former is determined under the implicit presupposition that labour productivity in the production of each commodity is the same in all production processes that produce this commodity, and the latter is determined under the indirect presupposition that the capital productivity in the production of each commodity is the same in all production processes, with the consequence that this also applies to the maximum profit rate. This presupposition is equivalent to a transformation of joint into single production—not in the ‘space’ of material quantities but in that of corresponding nominal quantities in terms of labour values or production prices, respectively. The same presupposition is not only arbitrary but also, in the case of separable technique, contradicts the technical data of the given production technique. The same applies to the above transformation of joint into simple production, which is made possible under this presupposition. Consequently, either no theory of joint production based on nominal quantities is possible, or, when it is possible, it is based on an arbitrary and, in some cases, contradictory presupposition. JEL Codes: B50, B51, B59
在本文中,我们将说明在联合生产中,劳动价值和生产价格都是正值,但并不是明确确定的。通常,前者是在生产每种商品的劳动生产率在生产该商品的所有生产过程中都相同这一隐含前提下确定的,而后者是在生产每种商品的资本生产率在所有生产过程中都相同这一间接前提下确定的,其结果也适用于最高利润率。这一预设等同于把联合生产转化为单一生产--不是在物质数量的 "空间 "中,而是在分别以劳动价值或生产价格表示的相应名义数量的 "空间 "中。同样的预设不仅是任意的,而且在可分离技术的情况下,还与特定生产技术的技术数据相矛盾。上述把联合生产转化为简单生产的情况也是如此,这种转化是在这种预设条件下实现的。因此,要么不可能有以名义数量为基础的联合生产理论,要么即使有可能,它也是以任意的、在某些情况下是相互矛盾的预设为基础的。JEL Codes:B50, B51, B59
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引用次数: 0
期刊
The Indian Economic Journal
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