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Climate change threatens species richness and phylogenetic diversity of endemic woody plants in Caatinga dry forest 气候变化威胁着卡廷加干旱林特有木本植物的物种丰富度和系统发育多样性
IF 2.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2026.105549
Ivania B. Santos , Helder F.P. Araujo , Edgar E. Santo-Silva
In seasonal tropical dry forests, warmer and drier climate conditions projected for the coming decades may reduce the distribution ranges of many woody plants, threatening biodiversity maintenance. Using ecological niche modelling for 70 endemic woody plant species of the Brazilian Caatinga, we assessed how climate change may affect structural and phylogenetic dimensions of assemblages that evolved exclusively within this ecosystem. Models were run for the current period, 2041–2060, and 2081–2100 under two greenhouse gas emission scenarios. By 2100, at least 70 % of species are projected to lose suitable habitat, and up to 11 % may become globally extinct under the pessimistic scenario. The effects of climate change are consistent across both narrow- and wide-range species. Species richness, phylogenetic diversity, and phylogenetic structure are projected to decline across the Caatinga. The number of phylogenetically clustered assemblages is expected to increase by 85–237 %, depending on the phylogenetic metric and climate scenario, whereas the number of overdispersed assemblages is expected to decline. Overall, the impacts of climate change on Caatinga biodiversity may be more severe than previously reported, with the ecosystem projected to host impoverished assemblages of endemic woody plants and lose substantial evolutionary history by the end of this century.
在季节性热带干燥森林中,预计未来几十年气候变暖和变干可能会减少许多木本植物的分布范围,威胁到生物多样性的维持。利用70种巴西Caatinga特有木本植物的生态位模型,我们评估了气候变化如何影响仅在该生态系统内进化的组合的结构和系统发育维度。在两种温室气体排放情景下,运行了当前期、2041-2060年和2081-2100年的模式。到2100年,预计至少70%的物种将失去合适的栖息地,在悲观的情况下,高达11%的物种可能会在全球范围内灭绝。气候变化的影响对范围狭窄和广泛的物种都是一致的。物种丰富度、系统发育多样性和系统发育结构预计将在整个Caatinga地区下降。系统发育聚集的组合数量预计将增加85 - 237%,这取决于系统发育度量和气候情景,而过度分散的组合数量预计将下降。总体而言,气候变化对Caatinga生物多样性的影响可能比之前报道的更为严重,预计到本世纪末,该生态系统将拥有地方性木本植物的贫瘠组合,并失去大量的进化历史。
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引用次数: 0
Melanism in scorpions, reptiles and rodents inhabiting the volcanic fields of north-western Saudi Arabia 居住在沙特阿拉伯西北部火山地带的蝎子、爬行动物和啮齿类动物的黑色素病
IF 2.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2025.105548
Margareta Lakušić , Myrto Roumelioti , Fulvio Licata , Marcello Bilancioni , Diogo F. Ferreira , Leili Khalatbari , Vidak Lakušić , André Vicente Liz , Raquel N. de Oliveira , Bárbara Santos , Yuri Simone , László Patkó , Ayman Abdulkarem , Benjamin P.Y-H. Lee , Magdy El-Bana , Ahmed Al-Ansari , Omar Al-Attas , José Carlos Brito
Body colouration is involved in multiple aspects of species ecology and behaviour. Melanism, a common colour polymorphism, has been associated with camouflage and thermoregulation, particularly in diverse, high-altitude habitats of arid regions. This study reports the first case of melanism in the lacertid Acanthodactylus boskianus, two scorpions, Leiurus haenggii and Compsobuthus manzonii, and the first records of brown-black melanistic colouration in three rodent species, Acomys dimidiatus, Meriones crassus, and Sekeetamys calurus, in the dark lava fields (harrat) of north-western Saudi Arabia. Additionally, it expands observations of melanism in the endemic colubrid Rhynchocalamus hejazicus and provides the first documented records of brown-black melanistic Acomys russatus for the region, consistent with earlier predictions. These observations suggest that colour polymorphism may serve a cryptic function through background matching in both diurnal and nocturnal species, but other roles of melanism should be further investigated. Despite their extent, lava fields in arid regions remain poorly studied due to their remoteness and limited accessibility, yet they offer unique opportunities to investigate phenotypic evolution in arid ecosystems.
身体颜色涉及物种生态学和行为的多个方面。黑化是一种常见的颜色多态性,与伪装和体温调节有关,特别是在干旱地区的多种高海拔栖息地。本研究报道了在沙乌地阿拉伯西北部黑暗的熔岩地带(harrat)发现的第一个黑化的黑化现象,以及两种蝎子(Leiurus haenggii和Compsobuthus manzonii)和三种啮齿类动物(Acomys dimidiatus、Meriones crasssus和Sekeetamys calurus)的黑化现象。此外,它扩展了对特有的黑尺蠖(Rhynchocalamus hejazicus)的黑化现象的观察,并提供了该地区棕黑色黑化Acomys russatus的第一个有记载的记录,与早期的预测一致。这些观察结果表明,在白天和夜间活动的物种中,颜色多态性可能通过背景匹配发挥了一种隐藏功能,但黑化的其他作用有待进一步研究。尽管其范围广泛,但由于其偏远和可达性有限,干旱地区的熔岩田研究仍然很少,但它们为研究干旱生态系统的表型进化提供了独特的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Remote sensing imagery and products used in water harvesting studies: a review 用于集水研究的遥感图像和产品:综述
IF 2.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2025.105547
Robert G. Delaney, Andrew M. Folkard, James D. Whyatt
Remote sensing plays a pivotal role in water harvesting studies by enabling the collection and interpretation of spatial data across extensive regions. This paper examines 290 peer-reviewed articles to assess the adoption and utilisation of remote sensing in water harvesting research. Findings reveal that remote sensing is widely used, with around 92 % of studies published in 2023 incorporating such data. The most frequently used include digital elevation models (DEMs) such as SRTM (91 studies) and ASTER GDEM (60 studies), multi-spectral datasets like Landsat (117 studies), and climatic products such as TRMM (20 studies). DEMs are predominantly used for hydrological modelling, while multi-spectral imagery sources facilitate land use and land cover (LULC) mapping, often through bespoke classification rather than the use of pre-existing global datasets. Despite the critical role of rainfall in water harvesting, the adoption of satellite-derived climatic data remains limited, with researchers often relying on in situ measurements. This review highlights the advantages of extracting multiple thematic layers from a single remote sensing source to ensure consistency in resolution and coverage. Additionally, data fusion techniques are increasingly important for integrating disparate datasets, though challenges remain in reconciling differing spatial and temporal resolutions. This review demonstrates the increasing reliance on remote sensing in water harvesting research while identifying gaps, such as the underutilization of high-resolution climatic imagery sources and products. Evidence-based recommendations are provided to guide future research, including the selection of appropriate DEMs, the adoption of satellite-derived rainfall data, and the optimisation of multi-source data fusion. The findings highlight the need for researchers to adopt a more systematic approach in documenting and detailing the remote sensing sources and products used, to enhance their utility in water harvesting applications.
遥感通过收集和解释广大区域的空间数据,在集水研究中发挥着关键作用。本文审查了290篇同行评议的文章,以评估遥感在集水研究中的采用和利用。调查结果显示,遥感被广泛使用,2023年发表的研究中约有92%采用了此类数据。最常用的包括数字高程模型(dem),如SRTM(91项研究)和ASTER GDEM(60项研究),多光谱数据集,如Landsat(117项研究),以及气候产品,如TRMM(20项研究)。dem主要用于水文建模,而多光谱图像源通常通过定制分类而不是使用预先存在的全球数据集来促进土地利用和土地覆盖(LULC)制图。尽管降雨在集水过程中发挥着关键作用,但卫星气候数据的采用仍然有限,研究人员往往依赖于实地测量。本综述强调了从单一遥感源提取多个主题层以确保分辨率和覆盖范围的一致性的优点。此外,数据融合技术对于整合不同的数据集越来越重要,尽管在协调不同的空间和时间分辨率方面仍然存在挑战。这篇综述表明,集水研究越来越依赖遥感,同时指出了差距,例如高分辨率气候图像来源和产品的利用不足。为指导未来的研究提供了基于证据的建议,包括选择合适的dem,采用卫星衍生的降雨数据,以及优化多源数据融合。这些发现强调了研究人员需要采用一种更系统的方法来记录和详细说明所使用的遥感来源和产品,以提高它们在集水应用中的效用。
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引用次数: 0
Inhibition or stimulation: effect of high temperature on the seed germination and vigor, and impacts on seedling growth of Sapindus saponaria L 抑制或刺激:高温对皂荚种子萌发和活力的影响及对幼苗生长的影响
IF 2.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2025.105543
José Laurindo dos Santos Júnior , Guilherme Alcântara Matos , Elizamar Ciríaco da Silva
High temperature is a critical environmental factor that impacts seed bank persistence and limits recruitment, particularly hindering regeneration dynamics in arid and semi-arid ecosystems. Given global climate change, understanding how seeds respond to such conditions is crucial for ecosystem resilience and its capacity for natural regeneration. This study investigated how temporal exposure to high temperatures affects the germination and early growth of Sapindus saponaria L., a species found in the Caatinga ecosystem that contributes to seed bank formation. Seeds were exposed to high temperatures (70 °C) for 15, 45, 60, and 90 min, corresponding to the estimated soil surface temperatures and exposition times recorded during the peak solar irradiance period in semi-arid regions. Seed germination, seedling growth, and vigor were evaluated. Exposure of S. saponaria seeds to high temperatures for moderate durations (45 and 60 min) improved germination and seed vigor. Furthermore, seedlings exhibited greater vigor and vegetative growth. Moderate exposure to high temperatures may optimize germination and early seedling vigor in S. saponaria, potentially enhancing the recruitment of new individuals in warm environments.
高温是影响种子库持久性和限制种子补充的关键环境因素,特别是阻碍干旱和半干旱生态系统的更新动态。考虑到全球气候变化,了解种子如何应对这些条件对于生态系统的恢复力及其自然再生能力至关重要。摘要本研究研究了在Caatinga生态系统中发现的Sapindus saponaria L.对种子库形成的影响,研究了高温对Sapindus saponaria L.萌发和早期生长的影响。将种子暴露在高温(70°C)下15、45、60和90分钟,对应于半干旱区太阳辐照峰值期间土壤表面温度和暴露时间的估计。对种子萌发、幼苗生长和活力进行了评价。将皂角草种子在高温下适当暴露45和60分钟,提高了种子的萌发和活力。幼苗表现出更强的活力和营养生长。适度的高温暴露可以优化皂角草的萌发和早期幼苗活力,并有可能在温暖环境中促进新个体的招募。
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引用次数: 0
Remote sensing-based modeling of soil organic carbon in wet meadow and sagebrush ecosystems in semi-arid landscapes 半干旱区湿草甸和山艾草生态系统土壤有机碳遥感模拟
IF 2.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2025.105545
Etinosa Igunbor , Jennie DeMarco , Philip Crossley
Restored wet meadows and sagebrush in the western United States present unique challenges for soil organic carbon (SOC) prediction due to their topographic complexity and ecological heterogeneity. While remote sensing (RS) and machine learning (ML) have shown promise in SOC modeling, the influence of RS temporal averaging and terrain data (TD) on model performance remains poorly understood in these landscapes. This study compares four commonly used SOC prediction models; random forest (RF), generalized additive model (GAM), partial least squares regression (PLSR), and stepwise linear regression (SLR), using averaged RS-derived data alone and in combination with TD and evaluates how different RS averaging periods affect prediction accuracy. These models were applied to RS metrics averaging over 1-day, 3-year, and 5-year periods, in combination with TD covariates (slope, aspect, topographic position index, elevation). The GAM model using NDVI, GSI, and CI performed best (Sapinero 1-day, R2 = 0.44; Wolf Creek 3-year, R2 = 0.29), with accuracy improving when TD was included (Sapinero 5-year, R2 = 0.48; Wolf Creek 1-day, R2 = 0.49). We found that GAMs offer a more robust SOC prediction performance, particularly in complex, restored landscapes, particularly when longer-term averaged RS data is used. Hence, our results highlight that remote sensing can be a low cost and accurate tool for estimating SOC in sagebrush and wet meadow ecosystems within the arid ecosystems.
美国西部恢复的湿草甸和山艾树由于其地形复杂性和生态异质性,对土壤有机碳(SOC)预测提出了独特的挑战。虽然遥感(RS)和机器学习(ML)在SOC建模中显示出前景,但在这些景观中,RS时间平均和地形数据(TD)对模型性能的影响仍然知之甚少。本研究比较了四种常用的有机碳预测模型;随机森林(RF)、广义加性模型(GAM)、偏最小二乘回归(PLSR)和逐步线性回归(SLR),分别使用RS平均数据单独和结合TD,并评估不同RS平均周期对预测精度的影响。这些模型结合TD协变量(坡度、坡向、地形位置指数、高程),应用于1天、3年和5年期间的RS指标均值。采用NDVI、GSI和CI的GAM模型表现最佳(Sapinero 1天,R2 = 0.44; Wolf Creek 3年,R2 = 0.29),当纳入TD时准确性提高(Sapinero 5年,R2 = 0.48; Wolf Creek 1天,R2 = 0.49)。我们发现GAMs提供了更强大的SOC预测性能,特别是在复杂的恢复景观中,特别是当使用长期平均RS数据时。因此,我们的研究结果表明,在干旱生态系统中,遥感可以作为一种低成本和准确的工具来估算山艾树和湿草甸生态系统的有机碳。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling dust storms using machine learning and deep learning techniques 使用机器学习和深度学习技术模拟沙尘暴
IF 2.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2025.105542
Mohammad Kazemi , Marzieh Rezaei , Sedigheh Mousaei , Narges Kariminejad
Dust storms pose significant environmental and health challenges in arid regions, necessitating accurate modeling for effective mitigation strategies. This study employed thirteen machine learning (MLs) and deep learning (DLs) models to identify dust-prone areas and evaluate the impact of various environmental drivers on dust storms. A set of variables, including evapotranspiration (ET), air temperature, land surface temperature, vegetation indices, mean precipitation (Pr), soil moisture, and six drought indices (Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Vegetation Health Index (VHI), Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), Temperature Condition Index (TCI), Soil Vegetation Index (SVI), and Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI)), was analyzed using Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) as the target variable. The analysis revealed that tree-based MLs outperformed DLs in this study area, potentially due to the regional scale and dataset characteristics. Random Forest (RF) emerged as the most outstanding model, achieving exceptional accuracy in both regression (R2 > 0.96, RMSE = 0.01, MAE = 0.01) and classification tasks (Critical Success Index = 0.70, Recall = 0.76), along with a Bias value of 1.038 and 85 % overall accuracy in spatial detection of dust sources. Among DLs, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) showed competitive performance as a reliable alternative. Variable importance analysis identified temperature, precipitation, and ET as the most influential predictors, followed by soil moisture and PDSI. The findings provide a good framework for dust susceptibility mapping and highlight the advantage of tree-based MLs for dust modeling in regional-scale studies.
沙尘暴给干旱地区带来了重大的环境和健康挑战,需要为有效的缓解战略建立准确的模型。本研究采用了13种机器学习(ml)和深度学习(dl)模型来识别粉尘易发区域,并评估各种环境驱动因素对沙尘暴的影响。以气溶胶光学深度(AOD)为目标变量,对蒸散发(ET)、气温、地表温度、植被指数、平均降水(Pr)、土壤湿度和6个干旱指数(标准化降水指数(SPI)、植被健康指数(VHI)、植被状况指数(VCI)、温度状况指数(TCI)、土壤植被指数(SVI)和帕尔默干旱严重程度指数(PDSI))进行分析。分析表明,基于树的机器学习在本研究区域的表现优于人工学习,这可能与区域规模和数据集特征有关。随机森林(Random Forest, RF)是最突出的模型,在回归(R2 > 0.96, RMSE = 0.01, MAE = 0.01)和分类任务(临界成功指数= 0.70,召回率= 0.76)中都取得了优异的准确性,在尘源空间检测中,偏差值为1.038,总体准确率为85%。其中,人工神经网络(ANN)作为一种可靠的替代方法表现出竞争力。变量重要性分析发现,温度、降水和ET是影响最大的预测因子,其次是土壤湿度和PDSI。研究结果为沙尘敏感性制图提供了一个良好的框架,并突出了基于树的模型分析在区域尺度沙尘模拟中的优势。
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引用次数: 0
Fire resilience and altered competitive dynamics of the endangered forb Pectis imberbis show potential for prescribed fire as a conservation tool 火恢复力和改变竞争动态的濒危草本植物柏树显示了规定火作为保护工具的潜力
IF 2.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2025.105546
Mia Brann , Karen Haubensak , Catherine Gehring , Sara Souther
Dryland managers face a dilemma balancing prescribed fire use with rare species conservation. In semi-arid grasslands and woodlands, managers often avoid burning habitats with threatened plants, though fire may reduce competition from invasive grasses and support native persistence. In the Madrean Sky Islands of southeastern Arizona, drought, altered fire regimes, and non-native species encroachment are transforming lower elevation grasslands and woodlands, home to the endangered forb, Pectis imberbis. These stressors interact in complex ways, yet cumulative effects on rare species like P. imberbis remain poorly understood. We conducted a fully factorial greenhouse experiment to test how fire, drought, and competition affect P. imberbis. Plants were grown from seed with intra- and interspecific competitors, then exposed to fire and drought. After 39 weeks, we measured above- and belowground biomass. Interspecific competition and drought reduced biomass, but burning appeared to ameliorate interspecific competition's negative effects. Pectis imberbis resprouted robustly after fire—even under drought and competition—though drought and intraspecific competition delayed resprouting. Our findings indicate prescribed fire may provide a safe and effective way to manage P. imberbis habitat while supporting broader goals such as invasive species control.
旱地管理者面临着平衡规定的火灾使用和稀有物种保护的两难境地。在半干旱的草原和林地,管理者通常避免焚烧有受威胁植物的栖息地,尽管火灾可能会减少来自入侵草的竞争,并支持原生植物的生存。在亚利桑那州东南部的马德兰天空群岛,干旱、改变的火灾制度和非本地物种的入侵正在改变低海拔的草原和林地,这些地方是濒临灭绝的牧草,山核桃的家园。这些压力源以复杂的方式相互作用,但对像云杉这样的稀有物种的累积效应仍然知之甚少。我们进行了全因子温室试验,以测试火、干旱和竞争对云杉的影响。植物从种内和种间竞争者的种子中生长,然后暴露于火和干旱中。39周后,我们测量了地上和地下的生物量。种间竞争和干旱减少了生物量,但燃烧似乎改善了种间竞争的负面影响。尽管干旱和种内竞争延缓了再生,但火灾后果木的再生依然强劲,即使是在干旱和竞争条件下。我们的研究结果表明,在支持诸如入侵物种控制等更广泛的目标的同时,规定火可能提供一种安全有效的方法来管理云杉栖息地。
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引用次数: 0
Small rodent assemblage variation across a mountain gradient in an arid region of northwestern Argentina 阿根廷西北部干旱地区小啮齿动物群落在山区梯度上的变化
IF 2.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2025.105544
Thamara Fariñas-Torres , Eliana F. Burgos , Maria A. Chemisquy
The province of La Rioja is one of the most neglected regarding the knowledge of its biological diversity, and particularly the study of the mammals in the Sierra de Velasco has been reduced to a few articles. This paper aims to study the richness and distribution of the small mammals of the Sierra de Velasco and the environmental factors that influence the assemblage in an environmental gradient. Samplings were made with Sherman-like traps for 9330 trap nights. For the analysis of assemblage variation, an environmental gradient was established based on several characteristics, and three types of environments were delimited: Ravines, Shrublands, and Rocky fields. Alpha and beta diversity were calculated using Hills numbers, and species richness correlation with environmental variables associations was evaluated. Small mammal species richness was up to seven and was higher in the shrublands environment decreasing towards the extremes of the gradient, with the lowest richness found in the rocky fields’ environment. The richness was mainly correlated to variations in the average elevation of the sampling sites. This is an initial approach to understanding the relationships between small rodent species and environmental variations present in the arid mountains of the Sierra de Velasco.
里奥哈省在生物多样性知识方面是最被忽视的省份之一,特别是对贝拉斯科山脉哺乳动物的研究已经减少到几篇文章。本文旨在研究贝拉斯科山小兽类的丰富度和分布,以及在一定的环境梯度下影响其组合的环境因素。用谢尔曼式陷阱对9330个陷阱夜进行取样。为分析组合变化,基于若干特征建立了环境梯度,划分了沟谷、灌丛和岩田3种环境类型。利用希尔斯数计算α和β多样性,并评价物种丰富度与环境变量的相关性。小哺乳动物物种丰富度在灌丛环境中最高,在梯度极值处呈递减趋势,在石质地环境中最低。丰富度主要与样点平均海拔的变化有关。这是理解小型啮齿动物物种与贝拉斯科山脉干旱山区环境变化之间关系的初步方法。
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引用次数: 0
The invasion by Neltuma spp. changes herbaceous vegetation communities in Northern Tanzania Neltuma的入侵改变了坦桑尼亚北部的草本植被群落
IF 2.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2025.105529
Juma Ayoub Tegeje , Msafiri Yusuph Mkonda , Zarah Pattison , Charles Joseph Kilawe
There is a limited information on the effects of Neltuma spp. on herbaceous species. This study assessed the effects of Neltuma spp. on herbaceous species in the drylands of northern Tanzania in 250 sampling quadrats established in the invaded and uninvaded areas. In each quadrat, information on herbaceous species composition, abundance, basal cover, and diversity was collected and compared between the two areas using Generalized Linear Mixed Models. Non-metric Multidimensional Scaling and Indicator Species analyses were applied to visualize patterns in species composition and identify species significantly associated with invaded and uninvaded areas, respectively. Results revealed that herbaceous species abundance, basal cover, and diversity were significantly (p < 0.001) lower in invaded areas compared to uninvaded areas. Soil moisture had a significant (p < 0.05) positive effect on herbaceous species. Species composition differed substantially between invaded and uninvaded areas. Digitaria velutina, Eragrostis superba, Eriochloa fatmensis, Pennisetum mezianum, and Indigofera atriceps were indicators of uninvaded areas, while Tragia insuavis was the indicator of invaded areas. Indicator species from uninvaded areas provide important socio-economic benefits. The continuing spread of Neltuma spp. threatens the sustainability of these benefits, calling for targeted management to curb their spread and preserve ecosystem functions in affected drylands.
关于Neltuma sp .对草本物种的影响的信息有限。本研究评估了Neltuma spp.对坦桑尼亚北部旱地草本物种的影响,在入侵和未入侵地区建立了250个采样样方。利用广义线性混合模型(Generalized Linear Mixed Models)对各样方的草本物种组成、丰度、基础盖度和多样性进行比较。采用非度量的多维尺度分析和指标物种分析,分别对入侵区和非入侵区有显著相关性的物种进行可视化分析。结果表明,入侵区草本物种丰度、基础盖度和多样性显著低于未入侵区(p < 0.001)。土壤湿度对草本植物有显著的正向影响(p < 0.05)。物种组成在入侵区和非入侵区之间存在显著差异。毛柳Digitaria velutina, Eragrostis superba, Eriochloa fatmensis, Pennisetum mezianum, Indigofera apriceps为未入侵区,黄花蓟马(Tragia insuavis)为入侵区。来自未被入侵地区的指示物种提供了重要的社会经济效益。Neltuma的持续传播威胁到这些利益的可持续性,呼吁有针对性的管理,以遏制其传播并保护受影响旱地的生态系统功能。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying the accuracy of cos(SZA)-based upscaling from instantaneous to daily GPP: Implications for improving satellite-based SIF and GPP retrievals 基于cos(SZA)的从瞬时到每日GPP升级的精度量化:对改进卫星SIF和GPP检索的意义
IF 2.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2025.105541
Fujin Xu , Junchen Long , Changchun Xu
Accurate quantification of ecosystem carbon fixation is essential for carbon accounting and climate governance. However, the limited temporal coverage of remote sensing observations introduces substantial uncertainty in vegetation carbon sink estimates. Identifying errors and their drivers when extrapolating instantaneous to daily gross primary production (GPP) is therefore critical. Here, we used observations from 28 eddy covariance flux sites across major ecosystems in China to estimate instantaneous GPP at six local times (07:30–17:30 at 2 h intervals). Daily GPP was then derived from these instantaneous estimates using a cosine solar zenith angle [cos(SZA)]-based upscaling approach. A hybrid analytical framework combining triple collocation with in situ measurements was applied to evaluate the accuracy of these daily estimates. Results indicate that (1) extrapolation errors exhibit strong diurnal phase dependence, being lowest near noon (R ≈ 0.83, RMSE ≈ 1.26 gC m−2 d−1) but significantly higher during morning and evening (R ≈ 0.61, RMSE ≈ 2.34 gC m−2 d−1), reflecting nonlinear photosynthetic responses to photosynthetically active radiation; (2) grasslands consistently show lower errors than forests and other high-productivity ecosystems, highlighting ecosystem effects on accuracy; and (3) near noon, photosynthetic midday depression causes systematic underestimation (mostly within ±20 %, −356.3 to 52.7 tC km−2 yr−1), whereas morning and evening estimates show both underestimation and overestimation with much larger deviations (up to −1249.8 to 929.9 tC km−2 yr−1, often > ±50 %). In contrast to previous studies that are limited to qualitative analyses of single time periods or ecosystems, this study systematically characterized diurnal- and ecosystem-dependent error patterns in GPP extrapolation, clarifying cos(SZA)-based upscaling limitations. Findings emphasize the importance of scheduling satellite overpasses near solar noon and integrating ecological heterogeneity and stress factors into algorithms to improve accuracy and support reliable carbon sink assessments.
生态系统碳固定的准确量化对于碳核算和气候治理至关重要。然而,遥感观测的有限时间覆盖给植被碳汇估算带来了很大的不确定性。因此,在推断瞬时到每日初级生产总值(GPP)时,识别错误及其驱动因素至关重要。利用中国主要生态系统28个涡动相关通量站点的观测数据,估算了6个当地时间(07:30-17:30,间隔2 h)的瞬时GPP。然后使用余弦太阳天顶角[cos(SZA)]为基础的升级方法从这些瞬时估计中导出每日GPP。结合三重配置和原位测量的混合分析框架被应用于评估这些每日估计的准确性。结果表明:(1)外推误差表现出较强的日相位依赖性,在中午附近最小(R≈0.83,RMSE≈1.26 gC m−2 d−1),而在早晨和傍晚显著增大(R≈0.61,RMSE≈2.34 gC m−2 d−1),反映了光合作用对光合有效辐射的非线性响应;(2)草地的误差始终低于森林和其他高产生态系统,生态系统对精度的影响显著;(3)正午附近,光合作用午间抑制导致系统性低估(大多数在±20%,−356.3至52.7 tC km−2 yr−1),而早晨和晚上的估计显示低估和高估,偏差更大(高达−1249.8至929.9 tC km−2 yr−1,通常为±50%)。与以往的研究局限于单个时间段或生态系统的定性分析相比,本研究系统地表征了GPP外推中依赖于日和生态系统的误差模式,阐明了基于cos(SZA)的升级限制。研究结果强调了在太阳正午附近安排卫星立交桥的重要性,并将生态异质性和压力因素整合到算法中,以提高准确性并支持可靠的碳汇评估。
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Journal of Arid Environments
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