Climate change is projected to increase human mobility. Research links climate stressors, such as warming temperatures, severe weather events, and rising sea levels, to human migration within and between countries in many regions of the world. This paper reviews this new frontier for migration research and charts directions for future work. Understanding climate mobility, we argue, requires considering local context to identify mechanisms (what climate impacts) and selectivity (who responds). Research needs to draw more on existing theory to deduce selectivity patterns under alternative drivers of mobility and to extend the theory by considering how those patterns shift under climate shocks. Research also needs to generalize from diverse findings by documenting which mechanisms and selectivity patterns are most common in which contexts.
{"title":"Climate Change and Human Mobility: Considering Context, Mechanisms, and Selectivity","authors":"Filiz Garip, Cody A. Reed","doi":"10.1111/padr.12716","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12716","url":null,"abstract":"Climate change is projected to increase human mobility. Research links climate stressors, such as warming temperatures, severe weather events, and rising sea levels, to human migration within and between countries in many regions of the world. This paper reviews this new frontier for migration research and charts directions for future work. Understanding climate mobility, we argue, requires considering local context to identify mechanisms (what climate impacts) and selectivity (who responds). Research needs to draw more on existing theory to deduce selectivity patterns under alternative drivers of mobility and to extend the theory by considering how those patterns shift under climate shocks. Research also needs to generalize from diverse findings by documenting which mechanisms and selectivity patterns are most common in which contexts.","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"14 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143049804","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mónica L. Caudillo, Andrés Villarreal, Florencia Torche
We evaluate the consequences of the COVID‐19 pandemic for preterm birth in Mexico using microdata that include all births from 2014 to 2022. The country's hybrid public/private healthcare system allows us to examine how women's adaptive behaviors to the health crisis shaped their birth outcomes. The proportion of women giving birth in private hospitals increased dramatically after the onset of the pandemic in March 2020. This was likely a strategy to reduce their risk of infection in public hospitals, many of which were overcrowded. Time‐series models suggest that preterm births increased among women who gave birth in public hospitals but decreased among women who gave birth in private settings. Difference‐in‐differences models based on a conception–cohort design with hospital fixed‐effects indicate that the health benefits from receiving private rather than public care were concentrated among women with higher levels of education. The reduction in preterm births among more educated women was partially explained by their choice of higher quality services within the private sector and by changes in the demographic composition of patients who chose private care. Our analysis illustrates how protective behaviors subject to heterogeneous socioeconomic and structural constraints may lead to unequal health outcomes during health emergencies.
{"title":"Individual Behaviors and Health Inequalities: Preterm Birth During the COVID‐19 Pandemic in Mexico","authors":"Mónica L. Caudillo, Andrés Villarreal, Florencia Torche","doi":"10.1111/padr.12715","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12715","url":null,"abstract":"We evaluate the consequences of the COVID‐19 pandemic for preterm birth in Mexico using microdata that include all births from 2014 to 2022. The country's hybrid public/private healthcare system allows us to examine how women's adaptive behaviors to the health crisis shaped their birth outcomes. The proportion of women giving birth in private hospitals increased dramatically after the onset of the pandemic in March 2020. This was likely a strategy to reduce their risk of infection in public hospitals, many of which were overcrowded. Time‐series models suggest that preterm births increased among women who gave birth in public hospitals but decreased among women who gave birth in private settings. Difference‐in‐differences models based on a conception–cohort design with hospital fixed‐effects indicate that the health benefits from receiving private rather than public care were concentrated among women with higher levels of education. The reduction in preterm births among more educated women was partially explained by their choice of higher quality services within the private sector and by changes in the demographic composition of patients who chose private care. Our analysis illustrates how protective behaviors subject to heterogeneous socioeconomic and structural constraints may lead to unequal health outcomes during health emergencies.","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"15 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143027194","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Growing up in an increasingly global world offers the youth of today unprecedented opportunities and novel challenges. This paper uses data from 47 countries to examine recent trends in how young men and women in the Global South navigate five key transitions to adulthood. Despite some similarities, we find little evidence of convergence across or within regions with respect to finishing school, becoming sexually active, forming a union, having a child, and working for pay. Further, although there have been impressive gains in education for both men and women over the past 20 years, labor force participation, particularly among women, has stalled or declined in most regions. Similarly, the steady increase in women's age of union formation was accompanied by relatively modest gains in their age of first childbirth and marriage continues to be incompatible with paid employment for many women. Overall, men and women follow strikingly different paths to adulthood and, with the exception of education, there are few signs of diminishing gender inequalities. Maximizing the economic and demographic potential of these better educated cohorts of youth will require increasing the availability of skilled jobs and helping women reconcile the competing demands of family and paid employment.
{"title":"Charting New Courses to Adulthood in the Global South","authors":"Shelley Clark, Khandys Agnant","doi":"10.1111/padr.12711","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12711","url":null,"abstract":"Growing up in an increasingly global world offers the youth of today unprecedented opportunities and novel challenges. This paper uses data from 47 countries to examine recent trends in how young men and women in the Global South navigate five key transitions to adulthood. Despite some similarities, we find little evidence of convergence across or within regions with respect to finishing school, becoming sexually active, forming a union, having a child, and working for pay. Further, although there have been impressive gains in education for both men and women over the past 20 years, labor force participation, particularly among women, has stalled or declined in most regions. Similarly, the steady increase in women's age of union formation was accompanied by relatively modest gains in their age of first childbirth and marriage continues to be incompatible with paid employment for many women. Overall, men and women follow strikingly different paths to adulthood and, with the exception of education, there are few signs of diminishing gender inequalities. Maximizing the economic and demographic potential of these better educated cohorts of youth will require increasing the availability of skilled jobs and helping women reconcile the competing demands of family and paid employment.","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"37 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142987316","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Family policies, defined as measures designed to support families with children, are part of modern welfare states. They range from punctual measures provided at the birth of a child to measures aimed at making it easier for parents to combine work and family responsibilities. The actual goal of these measures varies largely, being explicitly pronatalist in some cases while embracing a more equalitarian principle in others. Despite the variations in the nature of these policies and their stated goal, they are nonetheless all generally assumed to have a positive effect on fertility. The aim of this paper is threefold. First, the aim is to summarize the main findings from the literature on the impact of family policies on fertility. This is done by adopting a historical perspective, including the review of the early studies in this field of research and by distinguishing different methodologies. Second, the aim is to reflect on these findings, including the role of national context and the framing of policies. Third, the aim is also to reflect on the limited impact of policy interventions on fertility, stressing that their “success” should instead be measured in terms of their ability to support families holistically including their work‐life balance.
{"title":"Family Policies in Low Fertility Countries: Evidence and Reflections","authors":"Anne H. Gauthier, Stuart Gietel‐Basten","doi":"10.1111/padr.12691","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12691","url":null,"abstract":"Family policies, defined as measures designed to support families with children, are part of modern welfare states. They range from punctual measures provided at the birth of a child to measures aimed at making it easier for parents to combine work and family responsibilities. The actual goal of these measures varies largely, being explicitly pronatalist in some cases while embracing a more equalitarian principle in others. Despite the variations in the nature of these policies and their stated goal, they are nonetheless all generally assumed to have a positive effect on fertility. The aim of this paper is threefold. First, the aim is to summarize the main findings from the literature on the impact of family policies on fertility. This is done by adopting a historical perspective, including the review of the early studies in this field of research and by distinguishing different methodologies. Second, the aim is to reflect on these findings, including the role of national context and the framing of policies. Third, the aim is also to reflect on the limited impact of policy interventions on fertility, stressing that their “success” should instead be measured in terms of their ability to support families holistically including their work‐life balance.","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"41 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142869881","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The neglect of population in national and international discourses on environment and development has led to a misleading picture of policy options. This article reconstructs the language in which extreme poverty and economic development are discussed by deploying recent advances in our understanding of the population–consumption–biosphere nexus. The new perspective is applied to examine both the global environmental impact and the effects on local ecosystems of individual choices over consumption and reproduction. The analytical apparatus developed here is then used on wide‐ranging evidence to explain and measure humanity's ecological overreach. The authors study the pressures people impose on their local ecosystems to show why persistently high population growth in the world's poorest regions is undermining their ecosystems, in some cases trapping communities in poverty.
{"title":"Human Population and the Biosphere","authors":"Aisha Dasgupta, Partha Dasgupta","doi":"10.1111/padr.12710","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12710","url":null,"abstract":"The neglect of population in national and international discourses on environment and development has led to a misleading picture of policy options. This article reconstructs the language in which extreme poverty and economic development are discussed by deploying recent advances in our understanding of the population–consumption–biosphere nexus. The new perspective is applied to examine both the global environmental impact and the effects on local ecosystems of individual choices over consumption and reproduction. The analytical apparatus developed here is then used on wide‐ranging evidence to explain and measure humanity's ecological overreach. The authors study the pressures people impose on their local ecosystems to show why persistently high population growth in the world's poorest regions is undermining their ecosystems, in some cases trapping communities in poverty.","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-12-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142849086","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"John RennieShortDemography and the Making of the Modern World: Public Policies and Social ForcesNewcastle upon Tyne: Agenda Publishing, 2024. 171 pp.","authors":"Sarah Walters","doi":"10.1111/padr.12699","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12699","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"121 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142815641","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"PDR Archives: A Fifty‐Year Chronology","authors":"","doi":"10.1111/padr.12708","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12708","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-12-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142810062","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Editors' Note on the December 2024 Issue","authors":"Raya Muttarak, Joshua Wilde","doi":"10.1111/padr.12703","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12703","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"10 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-12-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142810063","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Authors’ Response to “‘Supply‐Side Versus Demand‐Side Unmet Need: Implications for Family Planning Programs’: A Comment”","authors":"Leigh Senderowicz, Nicole Maloney","doi":"10.1111/padr.12700","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12700","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"236 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142804655","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
I review a study by Senderowicz and Maloney (2022), which proposes an approach to classifying women's reasons for not using contraception as either being driven by supply‐side factors or by a lack of demand. Using Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data from seven countries, the authors conclude that most unmet need can be attributed to demand‐side reasons for non‐use. I replicate the analysis and find errors in the authors’ calculations. When corrected, the relative differences between demand‐side and supply‐side reasons are smaller, and the proportion of women reporting supply‐side reasons is larger than demand‐side reasons in two countries. In addition, the approach does not account for endogeneity between supply and demand, which cannot be disentangled using cross‐sectional data like the DHS. Using longitudinal data, I find that more than four out of five women with “demand‐side unmet need” use contraception after receiving an intervention that reduced supply‐side barriers. I discuss the extent of inference gained by these indicators for informing programs, noting that women's true reasons for non‐use may be poorly proxied with cross‐sectional data, and prioritizing resources based on these reasons would fail to reach a nontrivial proportion of non‐users who would have preferred to contracept if access were improved.
{"title":"“Supply‐Side Versus Demand‐Side Unmet Need: Implications for Family Planning Programs”: A Comment","authors":"Mahesh Karra","doi":"10.1111/padr.12701","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12701","url":null,"abstract":"I review a study by Senderowicz and Maloney (2022), which proposes an approach to classifying women's reasons for not using contraception as either being driven by supply‐side factors or by a lack of demand. Using Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data from seven countries, the authors conclude that most unmet need can be attributed to demand‐side reasons for non‐use. I replicate the analysis and find errors in the authors’ calculations. When corrected, the relative differences between demand‐side and supply‐side reasons are smaller, and the proportion of women reporting supply‐side reasons is larger than demand‐side reasons in two countries. In addition, the approach does not account for endogeneity between supply and demand, which cannot be disentangled using cross‐sectional data like the DHS. Using longitudinal data, I find that more than four out of five women with “demand‐side unmet need” use contraception after receiving an intervention that reduced supply‐side barriers. I discuss the extent of inference gained by these indicators for informing programs, noting that women's true reasons for non‐use may be poorly proxied with cross‐sectional data, and prioritizing resources based on these reasons would fail to reach a nontrivial proportion of non‐users who would have preferred to contracept if access were improved.","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"29 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142789900","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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