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The impact of financial inclusion on sustainable development: Evidence from BICS economies 普惠金融对可持续发展的影响:来自金砖国家经济体的证据
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103224
Chi Chen , Shreya Pal , Mantu Kumar Mahalik , Giray Gozgor
This study examines the impact of financial inclusion on sustainable development in the BICS (Brazil, India, China, and South Africa) economies, using balanced panel data from 2004 to 2023. This study also employs the System Generalised Method of Moments, Driscoll–Kraay standard errors, and Feasible Generalised Least Squares regression techniques for the empirical analysis. The findings indicate that financial inclusion is a significant driver of sustainable development. Gross fixed capital formation and urbanisation also make positive contributions, underscoring the importance of sustainable infrastructure and well-planned urban growth. By contrast, economic globalisation and ineffective government policies are found to hinder progress towards sustainability. Taken together, these results highlight the need for BICS countries to expand financial access, increase investment in fixed capital, and promote resilient urban development.
本研究利用2004年至2023年的均衡面板数据,考察了金融普惠对金砖国家(巴西、印度、中国和南非)经济体可持续发展的影响。本研究还采用了系统广义矩量法、Driscoll-Kraay标准误差和可行广义最小二乘回归技术进行实证分析。研究结果表明,普惠金融是可持续发展的重要驱动力。固定资本形成总额和城市化也做出了积极贡献,突出了可持续基础设施和规划良好的城市增长的重要性。相比之下,经济全球化和无效的政府政策阻碍了可持续发展的进程。综上所述,这些结果凸显了金砖国家扩大融资渠道、增加固定资本投资和促进韧性城市发展的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Earnings pressure and strategic tax avoidance: Micro evidence based on listed corporations’ subsidiaries 盈利压力与战略性避税:基于上市公司子公司的微观证据
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103219
Huangyue Chen , Yang Zhao
This paper examines the relationship between earnings pressure and tax avoidance behavior among managers striving to meet earnings expectations, using the context of listed corporations’ subsidiaries. Using data on the subsidiaries of Chinese A-share listed companies, this study finds that subsidiaries engage in greater tax avoidance under earnings pressure, suggesting that managers may increase tax avoidance to maximize the retention of economic benefits within the company to meet capital market expectations. Further analysis reveals that this impact is reduced when subsidiaries are not major taxpayers, fall under the jurisdiction of the national tax bureau, are in regions with lower tax enforcement capacity, or are located in regions with high fiscal pressure. These findings indicate that listed companies engage in strategic tax avoidance through their subsidiaries. This study does not find evidence of book-tax conforming tax avoidance, suggesting that book-tax non-conforming tax avoidance is more likely employed. This research extends the literature on corporate strategic behavior under external pressures and provides important insights for academia, regulators, and policymakers.
本文以上市公司子公司为研究对象,考察了努力实现盈余预期的管理者的盈余压力与避税行为之间的关系。利用中国a股上市公司子公司的数据,本研究发现子公司在盈利压力下的避税行为更大,这表明管理者可能会增加避税行为,以最大限度地保留公司内部的经济利益,以满足资本市场的预期。进一步分析表明,当子公司不是主要纳税人、属于国家税务局管辖、位于税收执法能力较低的地区或位于财政压力较大的地区时,这种影响会减弱。这些发现表明,上市公司通过其子公司进行了战略性避税。本研究没有发现符合账面税的避税证据,这表明账面税不符合的避税更有可能被采用。本研究拓展了有关外部压力下企业战略行为的文献,为学术界、监管机构和政策制定者提供了重要的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Does clan culture mitigate earnings management? Evidence from China 家族文化是否减轻盈余管理?来自中国的证据
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103220
Xixiong Xu , Linchun Wu , Cuiliang Lin , Weiyu Gan
We examine the effect of clan culture on corporate earnings management and delineate its underlying mechanism from an institutional theory perspective. Our findings reveal that firms with stronger clan culture have a lower level of earnings management. The transmission mechanism tests demonstrate that clan culture can reduce the earnings management through enhancing ethical constraints, reinforcing resource sharing, and fostering long-term orientation. Furthermore, the negative influence of clan culture on earnings management is more significant in firms with worse audit quality, less foreign cultural experience, lower marketization level, and higher degree of openness. This study not only extends our understanding of the determinants of earnings management from the perspective of informal institutions but also enriches the research on the economic consequences of clan culture.
本文从制度理论的角度考察了家族文化对公司盈余管理的影响,并阐述了其深层机制。研究发现,家族文化越强的企业盈余管理水平越低。传导机制检验表明,家族文化可以通过强化伦理约束、强化资源共享、培养长期导向等途径减少盈余管理。此外,家族文化对盈余管理的负面影响在审计质量较差、外国文化经验较少、市场化程度较低、公开程度较高的事务所中更为显著。本研究不仅拓展了我们对非正式制度视角下盈余管理决定因素的理解,而且丰富了家族文化经济后果的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing the dynamic impact of energy aid on energy transition in South Asia: Policy implications for renewable adaptive capacity and energy decarbonization 分析能源援助对南亚能源转型的动态影响:对可再生适应能力和能源脱碳的政策影响
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103218
Muhammad Farhan Bashir , Fouad Jamaani , Jue Wang , Huan Huang
The global call for energy decarbonization and environmental progress requires augmented financial support to fund climate adaption and withstand climate change ramifications. The current study uses a balanced panel dataset to investigates the role of energy aid in expediting energy transition in South Asian economies from 2002 to 2022. Our extensive econometric analysis helps us determine that energy aid is essential to promoting energy transition in South Asia. from macroeconomic perspective, energy efficiency, institutional quality and human development help foster energy transition through green energy developments whereas, population growth, foreign direct investments and economic growth hinder energy transition. We further substitute energy aid sub-components within the empirical model to conclude that renewable energy aid, non-renewable energy aid, energy policy aid, and energy distribution aid are key to the structural energy shifts and facilitate long-term energy transition process. We conclude our investigation by reporting novel policy suggestions to energy aid distribution aimed at donors and recipients alike to augment energy aid’s efficacy in net-zero transition and climate change adaptation
全球对能源脱碳和环境进步的呼吁需要更多的资金支持,以资助气候适应和抵御气候变化的影响。本研究使用一个平衡的面板数据集来调查2002年至2022年期间能源援助在加速南亚经济体能源转型中的作用。我们广泛的计量经济学分析帮助我们确定,能源援助对促进南亚的能源转型至关重要。从宏观经济角度看,能源效率、体制质量和人的发展有助于通过绿色能源发展促进能源转型,而人口增长、外国直接投资和经济增长阻碍能源转型。我们进一步对实证模型中的能源援助子成分进行了替换,得出可再生能源援助、非可再生能源援助、能源政策援助和能源分配援助是能源结构性转移的关键,并促进了长期的能源转型过程。我们通过报告针对供方和受援方的能源援助分配的新政策建议来结束我们的调查,以增强能源援助在净零转型和气候变化适应方面的功效
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引用次数: 0
When news travels: The role of sentiment in CME Nikkei futures returns 新闻传播:情绪在CME日经指数期货回归中的作用
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103223
Lee A. Smales
There is a well-established relationship between sentiment and financial market returns. We focus on the sentiment-return association for CME Nikkei futures, US-traded futures with a Japanese underlying asset. Using a unique dataset of news published in English and Japanese languages, we establish measures of ‘fundamental sentiment’ related to the underlying Japanese stocks, and ‘local sentiment’ for US stocks trading in the same timezone as the major futures traders. Our empirical results demonstrate that news in diverse languages is important. ‘Fundamental sentiment’ related to the underlying stocks is most salient for futures returns. However, ‘local sentiment’ plays a significant role during recession and in the distribution tail. This emphasizes the importance of economic agents considering news from multiple sources when making decisions.
市场情绪与金融市场回报之间存在一种公认的关系。我们关注CME日经指数期货(CME Nikkei futures)的情绪回报关系,这是一种以日本标的资产在美国交易的期货。使用以英语和日语发布的独特新闻数据集,我们建立了与日本股票相关的“基本情绪”指标,以及与主要期货交易商在同一时区交易的美国股票的“当地情绪”指标。我们的实证结果表明,不同语言的新闻很重要。与标的股票相关的“基本面情绪”是影响期货回报的最显著因素。然而,在经济衰退期间和分配尾部,“当地情绪”发挥了重要作用。这强调了经济主体在做决定时考虑多个消息来源的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “Credit efficiency: Another early warning indicator for systemic risk” [Res. Int. Bus. Financ. 81 (2026) 103192] “信贷效率:系统性风险的另一个早期预警指标”的勘误表[参考文献]。公共汽车。金融。81 (2026)103192]
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103217
Chenyao Tang , Adelphe Ekponon
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引用次数: 0
Access to finance and firm exporting: An inverted-U relationship 融资渠道与企业出口:倒u型关系
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103212
Long Zhao , Di Fan , Caleb Huanyong Chen
Using firm-level data from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys (2006–2022), this study employs Probit models to examine the relationship between firms’ access to finance and their export decisions. We find strong evidence of an inverted-U relationship: firms facing severe financial constraints are more likely to export with improved financial access. However, once these firms attain sufficient financing, further alleviation of financial constraints does not yield additional incentives for exporting. Further analysis suggests that firm growth and innovation are two plausible channels through which access to finance affects firms’ decisions to export. These findings question the conventional belief that access to finance invariably promotes export activities, highlighting the necessity for policymakers to tailor trade policies according to specific circumstances.
本研究利用世界银行企业调查(2006-2022)中的企业层面数据,采用Probit模型检验企业融资渠道与其出口决策之间的关系。我们发现了倒u型关系的有力证据:面临严重资金约束的企业更有可能通过改善融资渠道进行出口。然而,一旦这些公司获得足够的资金,进一步减轻财政限制并不会产生额外的出口激励。进一步的分析表明,企业成长和创新是两种可能的渠道,通过这两种渠道,融资渠道会影响企业的出口决策。这些发现质疑了获得融资一定会促进出口活动的传统观念,强调了政策制定者根据具体情况量身定制贸易政策的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Dissecting ESG: Do environmental, social, and governance pillars influence share returns differently? 剖析ESG:环境、社会和治理支柱对股票回报的影响不同吗?
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103210
Albert Wijeweera, Michael Alexander Kortt, Namwoon Kim
This study examines whether disaggregated components of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors, namely, environmental, social, and governance scores, provide superior explanatory power in understanding share return performance compared to aggregate ESG scores. We analyse the relationship between firm size, ESG factors, and share returns by estimating augmented Capital Asset Pricing Models (CAPM) using data from 426 S&P 500 companies in 2023. Initially, a CAPM model incorporating the aggregate ESG score is estimated, followed by an extended model including disaggregated ESG components and interaction terms between ESG variables and market beta. Our findings suggest that the aggregate ESG score does not have a statistically significant direct effect on share returns. However, when disaggregated, the governance component of ESG exhibits a moderately significant negative association with share returns, implying that strong governance may reduce perceived risk, leading investors to accept lower return premiums. Although the environmental and social scores do not have a direct impact on share returns, all three ESG components exhibit significant interactions with systematic risk. This suggests that the influence of ESG on share returns arises not from the standalone ESG factors themselves, but from how these factors shape or reflect the firm’s risk environment in relation to systematic risk. In particular, environmental and governance performance scores reduce risk premiums in high-beta firms, while social performance may increase them. These results highlight the limitations of traditional asset pricing models that exclude disaggregated ESG scores and their interaction with systematic risk. The study emphasises the importance of incorporating disaggregated ESG components into multifactor investment models to more accurately capture the risk–return profile of listed firms.
本研究考察了环境、社会和治理(ESG)因素的分解成分,即环境、社会和治理得分,与ESG总分相比,是否在理解股票回报绩效方面提供了更好的解释力。我们利用2023年426家标准普尔500指数公司的数据,通过估计增强型资本资产定价模型(CAPM),分析了公司规模、ESG因素和股票回报之间的关系。首先,我们估计了一个包含ESG总得分的CAPM模型,然后是一个扩展模型,包括ESG分解成分和ESG变量与市场beta之间的相互作用项。我们的研究结果表明,ESG总分对股票收益没有统计上显著的直接影响。然而,当进行分解时,ESG的治理部分与股票收益呈中等显著的负相关,这意味着强有力的治理可能会降低感知风险,导致投资者接受较低的回报溢价。虽然环境和社会得分对股票回报没有直接影响,但所有三个ESG组成部分都与系统风险表现出显著的相互作用。这表明,ESG对股票回报的影响不是来自独立的ESG因素本身,而是来自这些因素如何塑造或反映公司与系统风险相关的风险环境。特别是,环境和治理绩效得分降低了高贝塔公司的风险溢价,而社会绩效可能会增加风险溢价。这些结果突出了传统资产定价模型的局限性,即排除了分解的ESG分数及其与系统风险的相互作用。该研究强调了将ESG分类成分纳入多因素投资模型的重要性,以更准确地捕捉上市公司的风险收益状况。
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引用次数: 0
ESG performance and Bank stability: The role of national culture and formal institutions ESG绩效与银行稳定性:国家文化和正式制度的作用
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103214
Idrees Liaqat , Josanco Floerani , Mirza Muhammad Naseer
Why does ESG stabilize banks in some countries but not others? We argue that the inconsistent relationship between ESG performance and bank stability stems from a neglect of macro-level institutional contexts. While emerging research explores how national culture shapes ESG performance or how ESG performance affects liquidity and stability, no study integrates these perspectives to explain bank stability. We posit that national culture (as an informal institution) and formal institutions are critical, competing moderators that explain this heterogeneity. Using a global sample of 660 banks from 2002 to 2023, we find that ESG performance enhances bank stability, but predominantly in individualistic cultures. In contrast, high levels of uncertainty avoidance, power distance, and long-term orientation diminish this stabilizing effect. Strong formal institutions, however, positively moderate the ESG–stability relationship. Further analysis reveals that bank liquidity and funding costs act as key transmission channels. Our findings are robust to alternative model specifications and proxy measures. Sub-sample analyses indicate divergent patterns across the pre- and post-Paris Agreement periods and banks operating in developed vs developing economies. These results offer valuable implications for regulators and bank executives seeking to tailor ESG strategies to specific institutional and cultural environments.
为什么ESG在一些国家稳定了银行,而在另一些国家却没有?我们认为,ESG绩效与银行稳定性之间的不一致关系源于对宏观层面制度背景的忽视。虽然新兴研究探讨了国家文化如何塑造ESG绩效或ESG绩效如何影响流动性和稳定性,但没有研究整合这些观点来解释银行的稳定性。我们认为,民族文化(作为一种非正式制度)和正式制度是解释这种异质性的关键、相互竞争的调节因素。利用2002年至2023年全球660家银行的样本,我们发现,ESG绩效提高了银行的稳定性,但主要是在个人主义文化中。相反,高水平的不确定性规避、权力距离和长期取向会削弱这种稳定效应。然而,强有力的正式制度对esg -稳定性关系起到正向调节作用。进一步分析表明,银行流动性和融资成本是主要的传导渠道。我们的发现对于替代模型规范和代理度量是稳健的。子样本分析表明,在《巴黎协定》之前和之后的时期,以及在发达经济体和发展中经济体经营的银行之间存在不同的模式。这些结果为监管者和银行高管寻求根据特定的制度和文化环境定制ESG战略提供了宝贵的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Italian SMEs and access to credit: Does being “green” matter? 意大利中小企业与信贷渠道:“绿色”重要吗?
IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2025.103215
Maria Cristina Arcuri , GINO GANDOLFI , RAOUL PISANI
This study explores if Italian MSMEs (Micro, Small, Medium-sized Enterprises) operating in green industries (green MSMEs) are recognized more creditworthy by the banking system than those operating in non-green sectors (non-green MSMEs). In more detail, we explore first if Italian green MSMEs receive more bank credit and have less cost of credit, second if they have a better creditworthiness (in terms of lower probability of default) than non-green ones. We carry out a panel regression with 245,784 observations, of which 7896 refer to green firms and 237,888 to non-green firms over the period 2015–2022. Propensity score matching is also used to check for potential selection bias. Due to the lack of a mandatory green rating, the analysis was not conducted at the level of green enterprises but on “green” industries defined as such based on an assumed particularly high green component. Our results show that Italian green MSMEs pay a higher cost of funding rather than non-green ones and this seems to be, at least partially, justified by a corresponding higher credit risk; differences emerges when the size of enterprises is considered. Public policies should therefore promote the requirement of a green rating based on a rigorous and uniform methodology and provided by an agency that may be promoted by Public Authorities. This would allow for more accurate and objective assessments of the creditworthiness of green companies, improving their access to credit and reducing exposure of banks to credit risk.
本研究探讨了在绿色行业(绿色中小微企业)运营的意大利中小微企业(微型、小型、中型企业)是否比在非绿色行业(非绿色中小微企业)运营的意大利中小微企业(绿色中小微企业)更有信誉。更详细地说,我们首先探讨意大利绿色中小微企业是否获得了更多的银行信贷,信贷成本是否更低,其次,它们是否比非绿色中小微企业具有更好的信誉(就更低的违约概率而言)。我们对2015-2022年期间的245,784个观察值进行了面板回归,其中7896个涉及绿色公司,237,888个涉及非绿色公司。倾向评分匹配也用于检查潜在的选择偏差。由于缺乏强制性的绿色评级,该分析不是在绿色企业层面进行的,而是在假设绿色成分特别高的基础上定义的“绿色”行业。我们的研究结果表明,意大利绿色中小微企业比非绿色中小微企业支付更高的融资成本,这似乎(至少部分地)被相应的更高的信用风险所证明;当考虑到企业规模时,差异就出现了。因此,公共政策应促进绿色评级的要求,绿色评级基于严格和统一的方法,并由公共当局可能推动的机构提供。这将有助于对绿色企业的信誉进行更准确和客观的评估,改善它们获得信贷的渠道,减少银行面临的信贷风险。
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引用次数: 0
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Research in International Business and Finance
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