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The COVID-19 pandemic and feedback trading dynamics: Unveiling global patterns COVID-19 大流行和反馈交易动态:揭示全球模式
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102638
Chia-Hsien Tang , Yen-Hsien Lee , Chan-Shin Chen , Ya-Ling Huang
This study analyzes how the COVID-19 pandemic impacted stock markets worldwide using the COVID-19 Global Fear Index (GFI) devised by Salisu and Akanni (2020). We examine feedback trading behaviors in stock indices across 70 countries, revealing a complex relationship between pandemic-sentiment and feedback trading. Our study finds that GFI primarily motivates negative feedback trading in many developed countries, particularly those in higher latitudes, while the relationship between pandemic-sentiment and feedback trading is complex and varies across regions. Notably, China and India deviate from these patterns, exhibiting no significant feedback trading effects. These results highlight how regional differences shape financial market responses to the COVID-19 crisis. This analysis offers valuable insights into the pandemic's nuanced impact on global financial markets, emphasizing the distinct reactions across diverse geographic regions.
本研究利用 Salisu 和 Akanni(2020 年)设计的 COVID-19 全球恐惧指数 (GFI) 分析了 COVID-19 大流行对全球股市的影响。我们研究了 70 个国家的股指反馈交易行为,揭示了大流行情绪与反馈交易之间的复杂关系。我们的研究发现,在许多发达国家,尤其是纬度较高的国家,GFI 主要促使负反馈交易,而流行病情绪与反馈交易之间的关系则十分复杂,且因地区而异。值得注意的是,中国和印度偏离了这些模式,没有表现出显著的反馈交易效应。这些结果凸显了地区差异如何影响金融市场对 COVID-19 危机的反应。这一分析提供了关于大流行病对全球金融市场细微影响的宝贵见解,强调了不同地区的不同反应。
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引用次数: 0
Market reaction to EU CRD IV regulation in the banking industry 银行业对欧盟 CRD IV 法规的市场反应
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102652
Sara Longo , Michele Fabrizi , Antonio Parbonetti
This paper aims to provide evidence on the market reaction to the EU CRD IV regulation announcements in the EU banking industry and examine their determinants at the bank and country levels. EU CRD IV came up in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, and it is recognized as the most notable regulatory initiative at the European level to increase overall bank transparency. Employing an event study approach around 15 announcements between 2011 and 2013, we document a negative market reaction on a sample of 145 listed European banks, indicating that transparency increases are borne by shareholders, with detrimental impacts on bank stock prices. We show that investors negatively perceive the introduction of this regulation, with more pronounced reactions for poorly transparent, large, and complex banks located in countries with high exposure to sovereign indebtedness. Our findings contribute to the debate on bank transparency matters.
本文旨在为欧盟银行业对欧盟 CRD IV 监管公告的市场反应提供证据,并从银行和国家层面研究其决定因素。欧盟 CRD IV 于 2008 年金融危机后出台,被认为是欧洲层面提高银行整体透明度的最显著监管举措。通过对 2011 年至 2013 年间的 15 项公告进行事件研究,我们记录了 145 家欧洲上市银行样本的负面市场反应,表明透明度的提高由股东承担,对银行股价产生了不利影响。我们的研究结果表明,投资者对这一法规的引入持负面看法,对于位于主权债务风险较高国家的透明度较低、大型且复杂的银行,投资者的反应更为明显。我们的研究结果为有关银行透明度问题的讨论做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of carbon awareness, country-governance, and innovation on the cost of equity: Evidence from oil and gas firms 碳意识、国家治理和创新对股权成本的影响:来自石油和天然气公司的证据
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102640
Nohade Nasrallah , Rim El Khoury , Osama F. Atayah , Hazem Marashdeh , Khakan Najaf
The present paper explores the impact of carbon awareness on the cost of equity (COE) with a keen focus on the influence of country governance and innovation factors. Drawing on Bloomberg data spanning from 2011 to 2022, our analysis encompasses 263 firms within the Oil and Gas sector across 50 countries, culminating in 2122 annual observations. Through the employment of a comprehensive suite of regression analyses—including median regression, M-estimator regression, and MM-estimator regression, alongside Firm-Fixed Effect and Reverse Causality Models—we uncover a consistently negative association between carbon awareness and COE. Our investigation further assesses the effect of country-level governance on COE, revealing a universally negative correlation. Among governance indicators, regulatory quality emerges as a particularly significant factor. Similarly, we observe a consistent negative relationship between country-level innovation and COE, reinforcing the significance of national innovation capabilities in financial performance metrics. These findings remain robust across a range of tests, underscoring their reliability and relevance. The study is important for policymakers, investors, managers, and strategic environmentalists.
本文探讨了碳意识对股权成本(COE)的影响,重点关注国家治理和创新因素的影响。利用彭博社 2011 年至 2022 年的数据,我们的分析涵盖了 50 个国家石油和天然气行业的 263 家公司,最终得出 2122 个年度观测值。通过采用一整套回归分析,包括中位数回归、M-估计器回归、MM-估计器回归,以及公司固定效应和反向因果关系模型,我们发现碳意识和 COE 之间始终存在负相关。我们的调查进一步评估了国家层面的治理对 COE 的影响,发现两者之间普遍存在负相关关系。在治理指标中,监管质量是一个特别重要的因素。同样,我们观察到国家层面的创新与 COE 之间存在一致的负相关关系,这加强了国家创新能力在财务绩效指标中的重要性。这些发现在一系列测试中都保持稳健,突出了它们的可靠性和相关性。这项研究对政策制定者、投资者、管理者和战略环境学家都很重要。
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引用次数: 0
Towards the estimation of ESG ratings: A machine learning approach using balance sheet ratios 估算环境、社会和治理评级:使用资产负债表比率的机器学习方法
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102653
Federico Cini , Annalisa Ferrari
Despite the persistence of methodological inconsistency and uncertainty, ESG ratings are useful for assessing Environmental (E), Social (S), and Governance (G) risk, individually and as a system (ESG). The ESG rating class is the only investment selection parameter that measures asset class sustainability. This paper tests whether a selected set of balance sheet variables and a dynamic measure of systemic risk, observed at time t, have information content useful to identify a firm’s ESG rating class of at time t+1. Using EuroStoxx 600 firms for the period 2016–2021, we apply a Machine Learning (ML) model. Specifically, a Random Forest (RF) classification model estimates the ESG rating at time t+1 with unprecedented accuracy in the international literature. This agile and parsimonious model offers important information to the sustainable investor for making strategic investment decisions and paves the way for ESG rating estimation for unlisted companies and SMEs.
尽管方法上的不一致性和不确定性一直存在,但 ESG 评级对于评估环境(E)、社会(S)和治理(G)风险非常有用,无论是单独还是作为一个系统(ESG)。ESG 评级类别是衡量资产类别可持续性的唯一投资选择参数。本文检验了在 t 时间观察到的一组选定的资产负债表变量和系统风险动态测量值是否具有有用的信息内容,以确定公司在 t+1 时间的 ESG 评级类别。利用 2016-2021 年期间的 EuroStoxx 600 家公司,我们采用了机器学习(ML)模型。具体来说,随机森林(RF)分类模型可以估算出 t+1 时间的 ESG 评级,其准确性在国际文献中前所未有。这一灵活简洁的模型为可持续投资者做出战略投资决策提供了重要信息,并为非上市公司和中小企业的 ESG 评级估算铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of international diversification on investment efficiency 国际多样化对投资效率的影响
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102641
Alireza Askarzadeh , Kenneth Yung , Fatemeh Askarzadeh
Although internationalization research has proliferated recently, scant attention has been devoted to understanding why international expansion decreases firm value. By applying the concepts of transaction cost economics and agency theory, we propose that the impact of internationalization on investment efficiency—a critical determinant of international strategy success—is significant. Internationalization often exacerbates information asymmetry and complicates effective monitoring leading to diminished investment efficiency. Moreover, this relationship is moderated by international experience, the intensity of industry competition, and the stage of the firm's lifecycle. An Ordinary Least Squares regression analysis of a US sample with 49,168 firm-year observations between 1989 and 2022 supports our predictions. This study not only advances internationalization theories but also provides a fresh perspective on the performance implications of international expansion, underscoring the organizational and industrial conditions that influence the success of internationalization efforts.
尽管国际化研究近来如雨后春笋般涌现,但人们却很少关注国际扩张为何会降低企业价值。通过应用交易成本经济学和代理理论的概念,我们提出,国际化对投资效率--国际战略成功的关键决定因素--的影响是巨大的。国际化往往会加剧信息不对称,使有效监督变得复杂,从而导致投资效率降低。此外,这种关系还受到国际经验、行业竞争强度和企业生命周期所处阶段的影响。对 1989 年至 2022 年间 49,168 个企业年观测数据的美国样本进行的普通最小二乘法回归分析支持了我们的预测。这项研究不仅推进了国际化理论的发展,还为国际扩张的绩效影响提供了一个全新的视角,强调了影响国际化努力成功与否的组织和行业条件。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable development goals and environmental performance: Exploring the contribution of governance, energy, and growth 可持续发展目标与环境绩效:探索治理、能源和增长的贡献
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102646
Mirza Muhammad Naseer , Ahmed Imran Hunjra , Alessia Palma , Tanveer Bagh
This study investigates the impact of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption, governance quality, and economic growth on environmental sustainability across frontier, emerging, and developed economies from 2001 to 2021. The Environmental Performance Index (EPI) and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are environmental sustainability measures. The study addresses potential endogeneity issues through advanced econometric techniques and explores the differential impacts of energy sources, governance structures, and economic factors on environmental performance. The findings reveal significant variations in how these factors influence environmental sustainability across frontier, emerging, and developed economies. The results demonstrate a positive relationship between renewable energy consumption and governance quality with environmental sustainability, while non-renewable energy consumption exhibits a negative association. Economic growth emerges as a crucial factor influencing both environmental performance and the advancement of SDGs. This research contributes to the expanding literature on environmental sustainability by presenting a comprehensive analysis of its determinants across different economic contexts. The findings provide valuable insights for policymakers, underscoring the importance of tailored approaches to energy policy, governance reforms, and economic development strategies in the pursuit of environmental sustainability goals.
本研究探讨了 2001 年至 2021 年期间,可再生能源和不可再生能源的消耗、治理质量以及经济增长对前沿经济体、新兴经济体和发达经济体环境可持续性的影响。环境绩效指数(EPI)和可持续发展目标(SDGs)是衡量环境可持续性的指标。研究通过先进的计量经济学技术解决了潜在的内生性问题,并探讨了能源、治理结构和经济因素对环境绩效的不同影响。研究结果表明,这些因素对前沿经济体、新兴经济体和发达经济体环境可持续性的影响存在显著差异。结果表明,可再生能源消费和治理质量与环境可持续性之间存在正相关关系,而不可再生能源消费则呈现负相关关系。经济增长成为影响环境绩效和可持续发展目标进展的关键因素。本研究对不同经济背景下环境可持续性的决定因素进行了全面分析,为不断扩展的环境可持续性文献做出了贡献。研究结果为政策制定者提供了宝贵的见解,强调了在追求环境可持续性目标的过程中,能源政策、治理改革和经济发展战略的针对性方法的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Broadband infrastructure and enterprise digital transformation: Evidence from China 宽带基础设施与企业数字化转型:来自中国的证据
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102645
Meng Li , Zhengqi Wang , Linhan Shu , Haoyu Gao
Broadband infrastructure, as a basis of digital economic development, plays an important role in accelerating the enterprise digital transformation. Using the “Broadband China” strategy as a quasi-natural experiment, this paper investigates whether and how the broadband infrastructure affects enterprise digital transformation. We find that the construction of broadband infrastructure significantly increases enterprise digital transformation. The underlying mechanism is that the broadband infrastructure mitigates transformation costs and facilitates competition among peers within the same industry, thereby promoting enterprise digital transformation from both active and passive aspects. The effect is magnified when enterprises are small-scale, non-SOEs and in high-tech or technology-intensive sectors. Under the rapid development of the digital economy, this paper contributes to the economic consequences of the broadband infrastructure and offers empirical support for enterprise digital transformation.
宽带基础设施作为数字经济发展的基础,在加速企业数字化转型中发挥着重要作用。本文以 "宽带中国 "战略为准自然实验,研究了宽带基础设施是否以及如何影响企业数字化转型。我们发现,宽带基础设施的建设显著提高了企业数字化转型的速度。其根本机制在于,宽带基础设施降低了转型成本,促进了同行业间的竞争,从而从主动和被动两个方面促进了企业数字化转型。当企业规模较小、为非国有企业、属于高科技或技术密集型行业时,这种效应会被放大。在数字经济快速发展的背景下,本文对宽带基础设施的经济后果做出了贡献,并为企业数字化转型提供了实证支持。
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引用次数: 0
A paradox of emerging government securities market development 新兴政府证券市场发展的悖论
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102582
Tadashi Endo
Many governmental and international attempts to develop government securities markets (GSMs) in low-income economies have been unsuccessful. Common causes of the failures are a lack of understanding of the development dynamics of emerging GSMs and developmentally and locally suitable policies. Emerging GSMs tend to get trapped in a paradoxical market failure in which the market system cannot develop a GSM or core financial infrastructure. In contrast to advanced GSMs in which the government plays a minor role, emerging GSMs require the government to play a significant role in establishing and supporting a market structure that provides traders with “utilities” to facilitate trading. Using a multiplicative factor model and diagrams and referring to empirically observed development patterns of the Indian GSM, this study examined the effects of “utilities” and found that diminishing returns to utility explained the development dynamics of emerging GSMs. The analyses in this study also used the theories of club, consumer purchasing behavior, and diffusion of innovation. For better policy analyses and formulation for emerging GSM development, the study proposes a financial market utility hypothesis and a two-dimensional policy framework.
许多政府和国际社会试图在低收入经济体发展政府证券市场(GSM),但都没有取得成功。失败的共同原因是缺乏对新兴政府证券市场发展动态的了解,以及缺乏适合发展和当地情况的政策。新兴 GSM 往往陷入自相矛盾的市场失灵,即市场体系无法发展 GSM 或核心金融基础设施。与政府只发挥次要作用的先进全球通用系统相比,新兴全球通用系统需要政府在建立和支持市场结构方面发挥重要作用,为交易者提供 "公用设施 "以促进交易。本研究使用乘法因子模型和图表,并参考经验观察到的印度全球通发展模式,研究了 "效用 "的影响,发现效用回报递减解释了新兴全球通的发展动态。本研究的分析还采用了俱乐部理论、消费者购买行为理论和创新扩散理论。为了更好地分析和制定新兴全球通发展政策,本研究提出了金融市场效用假说和二维政策框架。
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引用次数: 0
Genome-scale analysis of interactions between genetic perturbations and natural variation. 基因组尺度分析遗传扰动与自然变异之间的相互作用。
2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI: 10.1101/2023.05.06.539663
Joseph J Hale, Takeshi Matsui, Ilan Goldstein, Martin N Mullis, Kevin R Roy, Chris Ne Ville, Darach Miller, Charley Wang, Trevor Reynolds, Lars M Steinmetz, Sasha F Levy, Ian M Ehrenreich

Interactions between genetic perturbations and segregating loci can cause perturbations to show different phenotypic effects across genetically distinct individuals. To study these interactions on a genome scale in many individuals, we used combinatorial DNA barcode sequencing to measure the fitness effects of 7,700 CRISPRi perturbations targeting 1,712 distinct genes in 169 yeast cross progeny (or segregants). We identified 460 genes whose perturbation has different effects across segregants. Several factors caused perturbations to show variable effects, including baseline segregant fitness, the mean effect of a perturbation across segregants, and interacting loci. We mapped 234 interacting loci and found four hub loci that interact with many different perturbations. Perturbations that interact with a given hub exhibit similar epistatic relationships with the hub and show enrichment for cellular processes that may mediate these interactions. These results suggest that an individual's response to perturbations is shaped by a network of perturbation-locus interactions that cannot be measured by approaches that examine perturbations or natural variation alone.

基因扰动与分离位点之间的相互作用会导致扰动在不同基因个体中表现出不同的表型效应。为了在许多个体的基因组尺度上研究这些相互作用,我们使用组合 DNA 条形码测序技术,测量了在 169 个酵母杂交后代(或分离子)中针对 1 712 个不同基因的 7 700 个 CRISPRi 扰动的适应性效应。我们确定了 460 个基因,这些基因的扰动对不同的杂交后代产生了不同的影响。有几个因素导致扰动产生不同的效应,包括基线分离适配性、扰动对不同分离子的平均效应以及相互作用位点。我们绘制了 234 个相互作用位点的图谱,并发现了与许多不同扰动相互作用的四个中心位点。与特定枢纽相互作用的扰动与枢纽表现出相似的表观关系,并显示出可能介导这些相互作用的细胞过程的富集。这些结果表明,个体对扰动的反应是由扰动-基因座相互作用网络形成的,而这种网络无法通过单独研究扰动或自然变异的方法来测量。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing the role of sustainable investor in global systemically important banks and less significant institutions 分析可持续投资者在全球系统重要性银行和不太重要机构中的作用
IF 6.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2023.102166
Claudio Porzio, Francesca Battaglia

The purpose of our paper is to analyze the market reaction to banks’ sustainable activities, by focusing on the impact of Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) practices on banks’ profitability and risk-taking. Specifically, we investigate if and to what extent banks with lower ESG scores are considered less profitable and riskier than those characterized by higher ones, and by taking into consideration both the joint and the separate effects of ESG dimensions. Using panel estimation methods on listed global systemically important bank and less significant European banks, over the period 2014–2020, we find that banks with higher ESG scores are perceived as more profitable and less risky by the market, thus supporting the risk mitigation view. Interestingly, our findings reveal that investors behave in the same way, regardless of the size of the bank, when assessing the impact of ESG scores on the bank's return and risk. Our evidence is robust to selection bias and endogeneity concerns. Overall, the results support the ESG regulatory policy on mandatory disclosures of non-financial reporting for larger entities and emphasize the need to enhance its benefits and extend it also to smaller banks.

本文的目的是通过关注环境、社会和治理(ESG)实践对银行盈利能力和风险承担的影响,分析市场对银行可持续活动的反应。具体而言,我们研究了ESG得分较低的银行是否以及在多大程度上被认为比ESG得分较高的银行盈利能力和风险更低,并考虑了ESG维度的共同和单独影响。通过对2014-2020年期间全球系统重要性上市银行和不太重要的欧洲银行的面板估计方法,我们发现市场认为ESG得分较高的银行盈利能力更高,风险更低,从而支持风险缓解观点。有趣的是,我们的研究结果显示,在评估ESG分数对银行回报和风险的影响时,无论银行的规模大小,投资者的行为都是一样的。我们的证据对选择偏差和内生性问题是强有力的。总体而言,研究结果支持ESG监管政策对大型实体强制披露非财务报告的规定,并强调有必要提高其效益,并将其扩展到小型银行。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Research in International Business and Finance
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