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The firms’ perception of global uncertainty and R&D investment: Evidence from China 企业对全球不确定性的认知与研发投资:来自中国的证据
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102578

This study explores how the firms’ perception of global uncertainty (FGU) affects R&D investment of listed firms in China. Our analysis is rooted in the understanding and measurement of FGU. Consistent with the theory of strategic growth, we find a significantly positive correlation between FGU and R&D investment. We further elucidate the mechanism underlining this correlation. When FGU increases, financing and labour resources are shifted towards R&D activities, promoting R&D investment. We also examine and explain how this correlation is magnified for firms in less competitive industries, those with higher tangible asset ratios, those related to states, and those with lower deleveraging levels. Finally, we divide FGU into five categories and investigate which subcomponent of FGU has the relatively greatest impact on R&D investment. FGU related to criminal and political events has a greater influence on R&D investment than other types of FGU.

本研究探讨了企业对全球不确定性(FGU)的感知如何影响中国上市公司的研发投资。我们的分析植根于对 FGU 的理解和测量。与战略增长理论相一致,我们发现 FGU 与研发投资之间存在显著的正相关关系。我们进一步阐明了这种相关性的内在机制。当 FGU 增加时,资金和劳动力资源会转向研发活动,从而促进研发投资。我们还研究并解释了竞争性较弱行业的企业、有形资产比率较高的企业、与国家有关的企业以及去杠杆化水平较低的企业是如何放大这种相关性的。最后,我们将 FGU 分成五类,并研究 FGU 中哪个子部分对研发投资的影响相对最大。与刑事和政治事件相关的 FGU 对 R&D 投资的影响大于其他类型的 FGU。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of impact investing on performance of private firms 影响力投资对私营公司业绩的影响
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102586

This study empirically examines the effectiveness of impact investing of private firms in Slovenia. We use a sample of 7671 distinct private firms during the 2005–2020 period applying for and eventually receiving various government grants. This allows us to identify firms with the intent to impact-invest. We employ the staggered difference-in-difference (SDiD) approach recently proposed by Baker et al. (2022) and Athey and Imbens (2022) to assess the outcomes of these investments over time and across firms. SDiD allows for firms switching back and forth between receiving and not receiving grants and thus being a treated observation or a potential control observation respectively. Our results show that firms receiving an impact investing grant, on average, increase the number of employees in the subsequent period, generate higher cash flows from operations, increase value added per employee, make higher capital investments, have higher levels of exports, but grants hinder firm productivity in the short-run. PSM, the time-varying average treatment effects, and Heckman’s two-stage approach robustness analyses further support the conclusions that the impact investing grants successfully foster firm performance.

本研究对斯洛文尼亚私营企业影响力投资的有效性进行了实证研究。我们以 2005-2020 年间申请并最终获得各种政府补助的 7671 家私营企业为样本。这使我们能够识别出有意进行社会企业投资的企业。我们采用 Baker 等人(2022 年)和 Athey 与 Imbens(2022 年)最近提出的交错差分法(SDiD)来评估这些投资在不同时期和不同企业间的结果。SDiD 允许企业在接受资助与不接受资助之间来回切换,从而分别成为受治疗观察对象或潜在对照观察对象。我们的研究结果表明,平均而言,获得社会企业投资补助金的企业在随后的时期内会增加员工数量、产生更高的运营现金流、提高每名员工的附加值、进行更高的资本投资、拥有更高的出口水平,但补助金在短期内会阻碍企业的生产率。PSM、时变平均处理效应和赫克曼两阶段稳健性分析进一步支持了影响投资补助金成功促进企业绩效的结论。
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引用次数: 0
Risk spillovers and diversification benefits between crude oil and agricultural commodity futures markets 原油和农产品期货市场之间的风险溢出效应和多样化收益
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102579
This study examines the dependence structure and risk spillovers between crude oil and eight major agricultural futures (wheat, corn, soybean coffee, cotton, lumber, cocoa, and live cattle) markets. It also analyzes the potential conditional diversification benefits using a variety of copula functions and Conditional Value at Risk (CoVaR) measure. The results show significant crisis-sensitive and temporal dependence between oil and agricultural markets. Moreover, crude oil shows a symmetric tail dependence with both wheat, corn, soybeans, and cotton futures, whereas oil exhibits an average dependence with coffee. A strong dependence is observed between oil and cocoa (lumber) during bearish (bullish) market conditions. Oil and Live cattle have a symmetric dependence during bearish and bullish market conditions. On the other hand, we find asymmetric and bidirectional risk spillovers from oil to agricultural markets. Furthermore, the wheat futures contract appears to be the most dominating and vulnerable asset to oil price shocks, followed by lumber and corn futures, respectively, while the live cattle contracts are the least. Finally, an equally weighted portfolio offers the highest diversification benefits at a 5 % expected shortfall.
本研究探讨了原油与八种主要农产品期货(小麦、玉米、大豆、咖啡、棉花、木材、可可和活牛)市场之间的依存结构和风险溢出效应。它还利用各种 copula 函数和条件风险价值 (CoVaR) 度量分析了潜在的条件多样化收益。结果显示,石油和农产品市场之间存在明显的危机敏感性和时间依赖性。此外,原油与小麦、玉米、大豆和棉花期货之间表现出对称的尾部依赖关系,而石油与咖啡之间则表现出平均依赖关系。在市场看跌(看涨)的情况下,石油与可可(木材)之间的依赖性很强。在看跌和看涨的市场条件下,石油和活牛的依存关系是对称的。另一方面,我们发现从石油到农产品市场存在非对称和双向的风险溢出效应。此外,小麦期货合约似乎是最主要、最易受石油价格冲击影响的资产,其次分别是木材和玉米期货,而活牛合约的影响最小。最后,同等权重的投资组合在 5%的预期缺口下提供了最高的多样化收益。
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引用次数: 0
Confucian culture and corporate environmental management: The role of innovation, financing constraints and managerial myopia 儒家文化与企业环境管理:创新、融资限制和管理近视的作用
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102585

This paper explores the impact of Confucian culture on the environmental management practices of firms, utilizing data from A-share listed companies in China from 2009 to 2022. The study reveals several significant findings: (1) Firms in regions with a stronger presence of Confucian culture are more likely to adopt environmentally responsible management practices; (2) Confucian culture enhances firms' environmental management through three channels: promoting innovation, easing financing constraints, and reducing managerial myopia, with a particular emphasis on alleviating financing constraints; (3) Regional environmental regulations mitigate the positive influence of Confucian culture on firms' environmental management practices. This study contributes to the literature by elucidating the determinants of corporate environmental management and emphasizing the critical role of cultural factors, particularly in overcoming financial barriers, in corporate decision-making.

本文利用 2009 年至 2022 年中国 A 股上市公司的数据,探讨了儒家文化对企业环境管理实践的影响。研究发现了几个重要结论:(1)儒家文化影响较强地区的企业更有可能采取对环境负责的管理实践;(2)儒家文化通过促进创新、缓解融资约束和减少管理近视三个渠道加强企业的环境管理,尤其是缓解融资约束;(3)地区环境法规缓解了儒家文化对企业环境管理实践的积极影响。本研究阐明了企业环境管理的决定因素,强调了文化因素在企业决策中的关键作用,尤其是在克服融资障碍方面,从而为相关文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
The bright side of analyst coverage: Evidence from stock price resilience during COVID-19 分析师报道的光明面:COVID-19 期间股价弹性的证据
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102583
Understanding a firm's stock price resilience is crucial in an increasingly uncertain environment. We investigate the impact of financial analysts on a firm's stock price resilience. We find that firms in the Chinese stock market with higher analyst coverage were more resilient during the COVID-19 crisis and had lower pandemic-induced stock price declines, shorter decline and recovery periods, and higher recovery probability. This positive relationship is more prominent for firms with strong star analyst coverage and does not depend on ownership type or firm size. Moreover, analysts help firms attract attention from media and institutional investors, improve corporate governance by improving information disclosure quality (especially for private information), and reduce financial constraints, in turn, firms’ ability to absorb pandemic shocks improves. Overall, we demonstrate that financial analysts play a crucial role in shaping a firm's stock price resilience during crises, particularly for firms with strong star analyst coverage.
在日益不确定的环境中,了解公司的股价弹性至关重要。我们研究了金融分析师对公司股价弹性的影响。我们发现,在 COVID-19 危机期间,中国股市中分析师覆盖率较高的公司具有更强的抗风险能力,由大流行病引发的股价下跌幅度较低,下跌和恢复期较短,恢复概率较高。这种正相关关系在明星分析师覆盖率高的公司中更为突出,且与所有权类型和公司规模无关。此外,分析师还有助于公司吸引媒体和机构投资者的关注,通过提高信息披露质量(尤其是私人信息)来改善公司治理,并减少财务约束,从而提高公司吸收大流行病冲击的能力。总之,我们证明了金融分析师在危机期间对公司股价弹性的形成起着至关重要的作用,尤其是对那些拥有强大明星分析师覆盖面的公司而言。
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引用次数: 0
A hybrid deep learning model for cryptocurrency returns forecasting: Comparison of the performance of financial markets and impact of external variables 用于加密货币收益预测的混合深度学习模型:金融市场表现与外部变量影响的比较
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102575

This study introduces a finetuned hybrid forecasting model combining both Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT) and Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM) to predict dirty and clean cryptocurrency returns (Bitcoin and Ripple). The findings show that the proposed DWT-LSTM model outperforms a large set of benchmark models in terms of forecasting accuracy. We investigate a broader set of predictors involving financial markets (other cryptocurrencies and commodities) and external variables (blockchain information, Twitter economic uncertainty, and CO2 emissions). Our findings underline the comparable performance of the considered predictors, with the Twitter Economic Uncertainty index being the best predictor of Bitcoin returns and S&P GSCI Energy being the best predictor of Ripple returns. We also highlight the superior performance of the trading strategies based on our forecasting results.

本研究介绍了一种结合离散小波变换(DWT)和长短期记忆网络(LSTM)的微调混合预测模型,用于预测肮脏和干净加密货币(比特币和瑞波币)的收益。研究结果表明,所提出的 DWT-LSTM 模型在预测准确性方面优于大量基准模型。我们研究了涉及金融市场(其他加密货币和大宗商品)和外部变量(区块链信息、推特经济不确定性和二氧化碳排放)的更广泛的预测因素。我们的研究结果凸显了所考虑的预测因子具有可比性,Twitter 经济不确定性指数是比特币回报的最佳预测因子,S&P GSCI 能源指数是瑞波币回报的最佳预测因子。我们还强调了基于预测结果的交易策略的卓越性能。
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引用次数: 0
Currency Internationalization, payment infrastructures and central banks: An institutional analysis of renminbi internationalization 货币国际化、支付基础设施和中央银行:人民币国际化的制度分析
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102571
This study explores the role of central banks in designing cross-border payment infrastructure as part of a broader agenda of currency internationalization, focusing on the Chinese experience from 2008 to 2023. Based on primary data- including descriptive statistics and interviews with senior officials from the People's Bank of China and staff from Chinese commercial banks – and triangulating information from secondary literature and official documents, the article traces the evolution of the renminbi's cross-border payment network comparing these developments with the early internationalization stages of the U.S. dollar. China's strategy is characterized as 'imitate and innovate,' where the renminbi's payment network development mirrors, to some extent, the institutional frameworks underpinning the dollar's global use. However, it also exhibits notable differences in public sector involvement and pace of development. This comparison indicates that, for late- industrializers, central bank plays a more pronounced role in jumpstarting a currency internationalization process. Moreover, this article also contributes to the international currency literature by demonstrating how payment infrastructures can aid in enhancing a country's external resilience through currency internationalization, without necessitating the complete liberalization of the capital account.
本研究探讨了中央银行在设计跨境支付基础设施中的作用,这是更广泛的货币国际化议程的一部分,重点是 2008 年至 2023 年的中国经验。文章基于原始数据--包括描述性统计、对中国人民银行高级官员和中国商业银行员工的访谈--并对二手文献和官方文件中的信息进行三角测量,追溯了人民币跨境支付网络的演变,并将这些发展与美元国际化的早期阶段进行了比较。中国的战略特点是 "模仿与创新",人民币支付网络的发展在一定程度上反映了支撑美元全球使用的制度框架。然而,在公共部门的参与和发展速度方面也表现出明显的差异。这种比较表明,对于后发工业化国家而言,中央银行在启动货币国际化进程中发挥着更明显的作用。此外,本文还对国际货币文献做出了贡献,说明了支付基础设施如何通过货币国际化帮助增强一国的对外复原力,而无需完全放开资本账户。
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引用次数: 0
Does ESG information disclosure increase firm value? The mediation role of financing constraints in China 环境、社会和公司治理信息披露会增加公司价值吗?中国融资约束的中介作用
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102584

This study examined the influence of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) information disclosure on firm value and the mediation effect of financing constraints using a panel of Chinese A-listed firms from 2013 to 2020. Based on linear regressions, we found that the relationship between ESG disclosure scores and firm value was significantly positive, and the results remained after robustness checks and endogenous tests. Furthermore, the mediation effect analysis indicates that the relationship is achieved by alleviating financing constraints. The subsample analyses showed that ESG disclosure scores positively affect firm value in non-state-owned, nonheavy polluting, and high-transparency firms. The results of each dimension’s relationship to firm value indicate that environmental and social dimensions significantly affected firm value in the panel data, whereas governance did not. Therefore, this paper determines the influence of ESG information disclosure and firm value in China and reveals the mediation effect of financing constraints, supplementing the influence mechanism of information disclosure and extending the previous studies bsed on the developed stock markets.

本研究以2013-2020年中国A股上市公司为研究对象,考察了环境、社会和治理(ESG)信息披露对公司价值的影响以及融资约束的中介效应。基于线性回归,我们发现ESG信息披露得分与公司价值之间存在显著的正相关关系,并且在经过稳健性检验和内生性检验后,结果依然如此。此外,中介效应分析表明,这种关系是通过缓解融资约束实现的。子样本分析表明,ESG 信息披露得分对非国有企业、非重污染企业和高透明度企业的公司价值有正向影响。各维度与企业价值的关系结果表明,在面板数据中,环境和社会维度对企业价值有显著影响,而治理则没有。因此,本文确定了中国企业环境、社会和治理信息披露对企业价值的影响,并揭示了融资约束的中介效应,补充了信息披露的影响机制,拓展了以往针对发达股票市场的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Geographic matching analysis between green finance development and carbon emissions in China’s new era of environmental transition 中国环境转型新时期绿色金融发展与碳排放的地理匹配分析
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102581

Green finance plays a pivotal role in driving sustainable development. While its effectiveness in promoting green development is well-established, the impact of regional heterogeneity on its outcomes warrants further investigation. By introducing the Spatial Durbin Model (SDM) model, we analyze the causal relationship between provincial carbon emissions and green finance development in China, accounting for spatial spillovers across provinces. A geographic mismatch between regions of green finance development and carbon emission concentration is revealed. Central and Western areas exhibit higher carbon emissions, indicating a greater need for targeted green finance initiatives to promote sustainable development. However, green finance growth in these areas remains sluggish. Moreover, carbon emissions hinder local green finance development and negatively impact neighboring regions. We present new insights into the influence of carbon emissions on green finance, highlighting the importance of inter-regional collaboration and the potential applicability to other countries facing similar challenges.

绿色金融在推动可持续发展方面发挥着关键作用。尽管绿色金融在促进绿色发展方面的有效性已得到公认,但区域异质性对其结果的影响仍值得进一步研究。通过引入空间杜宾模型(SDM),我们分析了中国各省碳排放与绿色金融发展之间的因果关系,并考虑了各省之间的空间溢出效应。结果表明,绿色金融发展地区与碳排放集中地区之间存在地理错配。中西部地区的碳排放量较高,表明更需要有针对性的绿色金融措施来促进可持续发展。然而,这些地区的绿色金融增长仍然缓慢。此外,碳排放阻碍了当地绿色金融的发展,并对周边地区产生了负面影响。我们就碳排放对绿色金融的影响提出了新的见解,强调了区域间合作的重要性以及对面临类似挑战的其他国家的潜在适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Green credit’s impact on pollution and economic development: A study from Vietnam 绿色信贷对污染和经济发展的影响:越南研究
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2024.102570

Vietnam is actively pursuing sustainable economic development while transitioning to a greener economy, facing challenges in balancing economic growth with environmental sustainability. The evaluation of current sustainable development efforts and the identification of effective green financial tools are critical for Vietnam's progress. This study introduces the Sustainable Economic Development (SED) Index, a comprehensive measure of sustainable economic development quality across Vietnam's 63 provinces from 2015 to 2022. Using a range of analytical techniques, we explore the relationships between green credit, environmental pollution, and sustainable economic development during this period. Our findings indicate rapid growth in sustainable economic development until 2019, followed by a deceleration due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukraine war. Green credit emerges as a pivotal factor in supporting sustainable economic growth, managing climate risks, and mitigating environmental pollution, particularly during times of uncertainty. Additionally, we observe spatial spillover effects, where the benefits of green credit and the challenges of environmental pollution transcend provincial boundaries. The study recommends promoting green credit policies, fostering regional cooperation, and enhancing local competitiveness, digital transformation, and social equality to advance Vietnam's journey toward sustainable economic development.

越南正在积极寻求可持续经济发展,同时向绿色经济转型,面临着平衡经济增长与环境可持续发展的挑战。评估当前的可持续发展努力和确定有效的绿色金融工具对越南的进步至关重要。本研究介绍了可持续经济发展(SED)指数,该指数是对越南 63 个省 2015 年至 2022 年可持续经济发展质量的综合衡量。利用一系列分析技术,我们探讨了这一时期绿色信贷、环境污染和可持续经济发展之间的关系。我们的研究结果表明,经济可持续发展在 2019 年前快速增长,随后由于 COVID-19 大流行病和乌克兰战争而减速。绿色信贷成为支持可持续经济增长、管理气候风险和减轻环境污染的关键因素,尤其是在不确定时期。此外,我们还观察到空间溢出效应,即绿色信贷的好处和环境污染的挑战超越了省界。本研究建议推广绿色信贷政策,促进区域合作,增强地方竞争力、数字化转型和社会平等,以推动越南实现可持续经济发展。
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引用次数: 0
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Research in International Business and Finance
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