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Are Chinese Cities Oversized? 中国城市太大了吗?
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-11-01 DOI: 10.1177/0160017619884108
Daidai Shen, J. Thill, Jiuwen Sun
In this article, the socioeconomic determinants on urban population in China are empirically investigated with a theoretical equilibrium model for city size. While much of the research on urban size focuses on the impact of agglomeration economies based on “optimal city size” theory, this model is eschewed in our research due to its theoretical paradox in the real world, and we turn instead toward an intermediate solution proposed by Camagni, Capello, and Caragliu. This equilibrium model is estimated on a sample of 111 prefectural cities in China with multiple regression and artificial neural networks. Empirical results have shown that the model explains the variance in the data very well, and all the determinants have significant impacts on Chinese city sizes. Although sample cities have reached their equilibrium sizes as a whole, there is substantially unbalanced distribution of population within the urban system, with a strong contingent of cities that are either squarely too large or too small.
本文运用城市规模理论均衡模型对中国城市人口的社会经济影响因素进行了实证研究。虽然大多数关于城市规模的研究都集中在基于“最优城市规模”理论的集聚经济的影响上,但由于该模型在现实世界中的理论悖论,我们在研究中回避了这一模型,而是转向Camagni、Capello和Caragliu提出的中间解决方案。利用多元回归和人工神经网络对中国111个地级市的均衡模型进行了估计。实证结果表明,该模型很好地解释了数据的差异,所有决定因素对中国城市规模都有显著影响。虽然样本城市总体上已经达到了平衡规模,但城市系统内的人口分布基本上是不平衡的,有很多城市要么太大,要么太小。
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引用次数: 5
The Local Labor Market Effects of Korean Automotive Investments in the United States 韩国汽车在美国投资的当地劳动力市场效应
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-10-08 DOI: 10.1177/0160017620964849
Eunbi Kim
This study investigates the local labor market effects of automotive foreign direct investment (FDI) in Alabama in the wake of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Of particular interest is the effect of FDI originating from a nontraditional source country in comparison to investments by European and Japanese firms. Using 2005–2011 American Community Survey (ACS) data, we compare changes in employment rates and median weekly wages in three area types: areas with Korean FDI, areas with German and Japanese FDI and areas without FDI. Results show that Korean FDI leads to increased employment rates but decreased median weekly wages. We attribute these findings to price competitive strategies of Korean firms.
本研究调查了北美自由贸易协定(NAFTA)后阿拉巴马州汽车外国直接投资(FDI)对当地劳动力市场的影响。特别令人感兴趣的是,与欧洲和日本公司的投资相比,来自非传统来源国的外国直接投资的影响。利用2005-2011年美国社区调查(ACS)数据,我们比较了三个地区类型的就业率和周工资中位数的变化:有韩国外国直接投资的地区、有德国和日本外国直接投资和没有外国直接投资地区。结果表明,韩国的外国直接投资导致就业率上升,但周工资中位数下降。我们将这些发现归因于韩国企业的价格竞争策略。
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引用次数: 2
Crisis, Adjustment and Resilience in the Greek Labor Market: An Unemployment Decomposition Approach 希腊劳动力市场的危机、调整和弹性:一个失业分解方法
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-10-06 DOI: 10.1177/0160017620964848
V. Monastiriotis, Angelo Martelli
The crisis in Greece led to one of the largest economic shocks in European history. Drawing on micro-data from the Greek Labour Force Survey, we utilize standard micro-econometric methods and non-linear decomposition techniques to measure the size of the shock exerted on the Greek regional and national labor markets and the compositional and price adjustments in response to this. We find elements of economic dynamism, with some sizeable price adjustments in the economy of the Greek capital, Athens; but overall our results show that compositional adjustments (in labor quality/characteristics) have been partial and limited, becoming stronger only in the more recent recovery. Our results suggest a significant metropolitan advantage with regard to economic resilience, coming predominantly from a more efficient functioning of the labor market in metropolitan areas vis-a-vis other regions. Our use of the decomposition techniques for the analysis of macro-level developments in the labor market offers a novel perspective to the application of the decomposition methodology.
希腊危机引发了欧洲历史上最大的经济冲击之一。根据希腊劳动力调查的微观数据,我们利用标准的微观计量经济学方法和非线性分解技术来衡量对希腊地区和国家劳动力市场施加冲击的程度,以及为此而进行的成分和价格调整。我们发现了经济活力的因素,希腊首都雅典的经济出现了一些相当大的价格调整;但总体而言,我们的结果表明,构成调整(劳动力质量/特征)是局部和有限的,只有在最近的复苏中才变得更强。我们的研究结果表明,与其他地区相比,大都市在经济弹性方面具有显著的优势,主要来自大都市地区劳动力市场的更有效运作。我们使用分解技术来分析劳动力市场宏观层面的发展,为分解方法的应用提供了一个新的视角。
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引用次数: 22
A Solution for Absent Spatial Data: The Common Correlated Effects Estimator 空间数据缺失的一种解:公共相关效应估计量
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-09-22 DOI: 10.1177/0160017620959132
M. Beenstock, D. Felsenstein
Informed regional policy needs good regional data. As regional data series for key economic variables are generally absent whereas national-level time series data for the same variables are ubiquitous, we suggest an approach that leverages this advantage. We hypothesize the existence of a pervasive “common factor” represented by the national time series that affects regions differentially. We provide an empirical illustration in which national FDI is used in place of panel data for FDI, which are absent. The proposed methodology is tested empirically with respect to the determinants of regional demand for housing. We use a quasi-experimental approach to compare the results of a “common correlated effects” (CCE) estimator with a benchmark case when absent regional data are omitted. Using three common factors relating to national population, income and housing stock, we find mixed support for the common correlated effects hypothesis. We conclude by discussing how our experimental design may serve as a methodological prototype for further tests of CCE as a solution to the absent spatial data problem.
知情的区域政策需要良好的区域数据。由于关键经济变量的区域数据序列通常不存在,而相同变量的国家级时间序列数据普遍存在,我们建议采用一种利用这一优势的方法。我们假设存在一个普遍的“共同因素”,以国家时间序列为代表,对地区产生不同的影响。我们提供了一个实证说明,其中使用国家外国直接投资来代替没有的外国直接投资面板数据。根据区域住房需求的决定因素对所提出的方法进行了实证检验。当省略了缺失的区域数据时,我们使用准实验方法将“共同相关效应”(CCE)估计器的结果与基准情况进行比较。利用与国民人口、收入和住房存量相关的三个共同因素,我们发现共同相关效应假说得到了混合支持。最后,我们讨论了我们的实验设计如何作为CCE的进一步测试的方法原型,以解决缺乏空间数据的问题。
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引用次数: 3
Characterizing the Regional Structure in the United States: A County-based Analysis of Labor Market Centrality 美国地区结构特征分析——基于县的劳动力市场中心性分析
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-09-03 DOI: 10.1177/0160017620946082
N. Kaza, K. Nesse
Categorizing places based on their network connections to other places in the region reveals not only population concentration but also economic dynamics that are missed in other typologies. The US Office of Management and Budget categorization of counties into metropolitan/micropolitan and central/outlying is widely seen as insufficient for many analytic purposes. In this article, we use a coreness index from network analysis to identify labor market centrality of a county. We use county-to-county commute flows, including internal commuting, to identify regional hierarchies. Indicators broken down by this typology reveal counterintuitive results in many cases. Not all strong core counties have large populations or high levels of urbanization. Employment in these strong core counties grew faster in the postrecession (2008–2015) than in other types of counties. This economic dimension is missed by other typologies, suggesting that our categorization may be useful for regional analysis and policy.
根据与区域内其他地方的网络联系对地方进行分类,不仅揭示了人口集中,还揭示了其他类型学所遗漏的经济动态。美国管理和预算办公室(Office of Management and Budget)将县分为大都市/小城市和中心/边远地区,这被广泛认为不足以用于许多分析目的。在本文中,我们使用网络分析的密集度指数来确定一个县的劳动力市场中心性。我们使用县与县之间的通勤流,包括内部通勤,来确定区域层次。按这种类型分解的指标在许多情况下揭示了违反直觉的结果。并不是所有强大的核心县都有大量人口或高水平的城市化。在经济衰退后(2008-2015年),这些强劲的核心县的就业增长速度快于其他类型的县。这一经济维度被其他类型所忽略,这表明我们的分类可能对区域分析和政策有用。
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引用次数: 0
Endogenous Growth in a Spatial Economy: The Impact of Globalization on Innovations and Convergence 空间经济的内生增长:全球化对创新和趋同的影响
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-09-03 DOI: 10.1177/0160017620946095
Dani Broitman, D. Czamanski
In this article we explore the claim that spatial interactions among cities are significant drivers of their growth. We assert that reallocation of ideas among cities is a source of improved allocation of resources. We propose a closed economy, agent-based model that is in constant flux. It is populated by autonomous agents that compete and adjust constantly their behavior in reaction to the conditions they perceive. The economy is a dynamic, self-organizing system. We focus on the intensity of globalization as the critical economic process that explains differences in convergence and divergence in the system. The means by which the extent of globalization affects the long-run performance of economies is the geographic reach of new ideas and their conversion into innovations. The question that plays out in our model is the relative influence of globalization and the localized entrepreneurial ecology on innovation. When the globalization is weak, new firms are limited by the market value of their own city. As the globalization strengthens, more and more new firms belong to the global playground. We demonstrate that in line with empirical literature, the gross domestic product of our urban system increases greatly with the increase in globalization level.
在本文中,我们探讨了城市之间的空间相互作用是其增长的重要驱动力的说法。我们认为,在城市之间重新分配思想是改善资源分配的一个来源。我们提出一个封闭的、基于主体的、不断变化的经济模型。它由自主的主体组成,这些主体根据感知到的条件不断竞争和调整自己的行为。经济是一个动态的、自组织的系统。我们将重点放在全球化的强度上,作为解释体系中趋同和分歧差异的关键经济过程。全球化程度影响经济长期表现的手段是新思想的地理范围及其转化为创新。在我们的模型中出现的问题是全球化和本地化的创业生态对创新的相对影响。当全球化程度较弱时,新企业受到所在城市市场价值的限制。随着全球化的加强,越来越多的新企业加入到全球化的舞台上。实证研究表明,随着全球化水平的提高,我国城市体系的国内生产总值显著增加。
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引用次数: 9
A Scenario-based Approach for Understanding Changes in Consumer Spending Behavior in Response to Rising Water Bills 一种基于情景的方法来理解消费者支出行为对水费上涨的反应
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-09-03 DOI: 10.1177/0160017620942812
Laura J. Medwid, Elizabeth A. Mack
Rising infrastructure costs for water providers and the rising cost of water for households pose several challenges for water providers, policy makers, and the research community. Consumers may utilize several strategies for coping with rising water costs including reduced water use or spending reductions on other household goods and services. To provide a first glance at the link between rising water bills and consumer spending, this study analyzes data from a household survey in the United States to understand how consumers may change spending behavior given various water bill increase scenarios. Results of this analysis provide insights into the demographics of households likely to be affected, the industries that could be affected, and at what bill increase levels these trends are most pronounced. While additional research on this topic is needed, these results suggest a stronger emphasis on long-term water management planning and allocation of resources to building and maintaining water infrastructure may be required. For utilities, this means a consideration of nonrevenue sources of funds to pay for rising water costs and strategies for making water more affordable for customers without deferring infrastructure improvements.
供水机构基础设施成本的上升和家庭用水成本的上升给供水机构、政策制定者和研究界带来了一些挑战。消费者可以利用几种策略来应对不断上涨的水费,包括减少用水或减少其他家庭用品和服务的支出。为了初步了解水费上涨与消费者支出之间的联系,本研究分析了美国一项家庭调查的数据,以了解在各种水费上涨的情况下,消费者如何改变支出行为。这一分析的结果提供了可能受到影响的家庭的人口统计数据、可能受到影响的行业,以及这些趋势在哪些账单增长水平上最为明显。虽然需要对这一专题进行进一步的研究,但这些结果表明,可能需要更加强调长期的水管理规划和为建设和维护水基础设施分配资源。对于公用事业公司来说,这意味着考虑非收入来源的资金来支付不断上涨的水费,以及在不推迟基础设施改善的情况下,让客户更负担得起水的策略。
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引用次数: 5
Personal Income Tax Compliance at the Regional Level: The Role of Persistence, Neighborhood, and Decentralization 地区层面的个人所得税合规:持久性、邻里关系和权力下放的作用
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-09-03 DOI: 10.1177/0160017620942815
Julio López‐Laborda, Jaime Vallés-Giménez, Anabel Zárate-Marco
This article quantifies personal income tax compliance by regions for the first time in Spain and identifies the factors explaining differences in tax compliance between regions, an aspect that has scarcely been analyzed in the literature. To this end, and in addition to the dynamic and spatial components considered by Alm and Yunus, this article considers the variables included in the classical tax evasion model of Allingham and Sandmo, as well as tax morale and political-institutional variables, including those linked to the country’s fiscal decentralization. The results obtained confirm, on one hand, those reached in the very extensive literature studying tax evasion from the individual perspective (including the importance of the dynamic element) and, on the other, the relevance of the spatial component in explaining tax compliance, so that greater or lesser tax compliance is partly explained by factors such as the tax behavior of neighbors or how those neighbors are treated by the public sector.
本文首次在西班牙量化了各地区的个人所得税合规性,并确定了解释各地区之间税收合规性差异的因素,这是文献中很少分析的一个方面。为此,除了Alm和Yunus考虑的动态和空间因素外,本文还考虑了阿林厄姆和桑德莫经典逃税模型中包含的变量,以及税收士气和政治制度变量,包括与国家财政分权相关的变量。所获得的结果一方面证实了从个人角度研究逃税的大量文献(包括动态因素的重要性)所得出的结论,另一方面证实了空间因素在解释税收合规方面的相关性,因此,税收合规程度的提高或降低部分可以由邻居的税收行为或公共部门如何对待这些邻居等因素来解释。
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引用次数: 1
Geographically Weighted Regression Analysis for Spatial Economics Data: A Bayesian Recourse 空间经济学数据的地理加权回归分析:贝叶斯方法
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-07-05 DOI: 10.1177/0160017620959823
Zhihua Ma, Yishu Xue, Guanyu Hu
The geographically weighted regression (GWR) is a well-known statistical approach to explore spatial non-stationarity of the regression relationship in spatial data analysis. In this paper, we discuss a Bayesian recourse of GWR. Bayesian variable selection based on spike-and-slab prior, bandwidth selection based on range prior, and model assessment using a modified deviance information criterion and a modified logarithm of pseudo-marginal likelihood are fully discussed in this paper. Usage of the graph distance in modeling areal data is also introduced. Extensive simulation studies are carried out to examine the empirical performance of the proposed methods with both small and large number of location scenarios, and comparison with the classical frequentist GWR is made. The performance of variable selection and estimation of the proposed methodology under different circumstances are satisfactory. We further apply the proposed methodology in analysis of a province-level macroeconomic data of thirty selected provinces in China. The estimation and variable selection results reveal insights about China’s economy that are convincing and agree with previous studies and facts.
地理加权回归(GWR)是空间数据分析中探讨回归关系空间非平稳性的一种著名的统计方法。本文讨论了GWR的贝叶斯资源。本文详细讨论了基于峰值-平板先验的贝叶斯变量选择、基于距离先验的带宽选择以及基于修正偏差信息准则和修正伪边际似然对数的模型评估。本文还介绍了图距在平面数据建模中的应用。通过大量的仿真研究,验证了所提方法在小数量和大数量定位场景下的经验性能,并与经典频域GWR进行了比较。所提出的方法在不同情况下的变量选择和估计性能令人满意。我们进一步应用所提出的方法分析了中国30个省份的省级宏观经济数据。估算和变量选择结果揭示了对中国经济的深刻见解,这些见解令人信服,与以往的研究和事实一致。
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引用次数: 17
Spatial Agglomerations in the Spanish Food Industry: Does Sectorial Disaggregation Matter? 西班牙食品行业的空间集聚:行业分解重要吗?
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-07-02 DOI: 10.1177/0160017620934177
José Miguel Giner-Pérez, María Jesús Santa-María
The food industry is the most important industrial activity in Spain in terms of production and employment; its spatial concentration is considerable. However, there is a lack of quantitative research on its agglomerations, especially at high levels of spatial and sectorial disaggregation. With the study presented, this deficit is addressed, using systematic and quantitative methods to examine the spatial agglomeration in the subsectors that the food industry is specialized. Spanish food industry clusters have been identified by applying a top-down quantitative methodological approach—the cluster index—and following a high level of territorial and sectorial disaggregation. Clusters were identified at the three- and four-digit sectorial disaggregation. The number of four-digit-level relevant clusters was higher than three-digit disaggregation. This evidence was verified using nonparametric statistical tests (Wilcoxon signed-rank test). Furthermore, the analysis of four significant three-digit subsectors allows us to advance two alternative explanations for the divergent results at the different levels of the analysis (three digits vs. four digits). This partly explains the potential competitiveness of Spain in the food industry and shows the possibility of establishing policies for the development of clusters.
就生产和就业而言,食品工业是西班牙最重要的工业活动;其空间集中程度相当可观。然而,缺乏对其聚集的定量研究,特别是在空间和部门高度分解的情况下。通过本研究的提出,利用系统和定量的方法来研究食品工业专业化子部门的空间集聚,解决了这一缺陷。西班牙食品产业集群通过应用自上而下的定量方法——集群指数——并遵循高水平的地域和部门分解来确定。在三位数和四位数的部门分解中确定了集群。四位数级别的相关聚类的数量高于三位数的分解。使用非参数统计检验(Wilcoxon sign -rank检验)验证了这一证据。此外,对四个重要的三位数子部门的分析使我们能够对不同分析水平(三位数与四位数)的不同结果提出两种替代解释。这在一定程度上解释了西班牙在食品行业的潜在竞争力,并显示了制定集群发展政策的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
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International Regional Science Review
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