Pub Date : 2023-11-29DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2280638
Douglas Gollin
This paper summarizes key findings from the recent literature on agricultural productivity and structural transformation and then identifies priority areas for further research. The paper discusses...
{"title":"Agricultural productivity and structural transformation: evidence and questions for African development","authors":"Douglas Gollin","doi":"10.1080/13600818.2023.2280638","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2023.2280638","url":null,"abstract":"This paper summarizes key findings from the recent literature on agricultural productivity and structural transformation and then identifies priority areas for further research. The paper discusses...","PeriodicalId":51612,"journal":{"name":"Oxford Development Studies","volume":"105 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2023-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138506513","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-11-23DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2276702
Kevin Donovan, Todd Schoellman
Growth is closely related to structural transformation, the reallocation of economic activity among sectors. A well-functioning labor market plays an important role in this process by enabling work...
{"title":"The role of labor market frictions in structural transformation*","authors":"Kevin Donovan, Todd Schoellman","doi":"10.1080/13600818.2023.2276702","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2023.2276702","url":null,"abstract":"Growth is closely related to structural transformation, the reallocation of economic activity among sectors. A well-functioning labor market plays an important role in this process by enabling work...","PeriodicalId":51612,"journal":{"name":"Oxford Development Studies","volume":"266 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2023-11-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138506533","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-11-21DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2270437
Natalie Naïri Quinn, Simone Lombardini
In this paper we develop the Participatory Index of Women’s Empowerment, an innovative measurement tool that reflects its subjects’ own perceptions of empowerment. Participatory measurement is a re...
{"title":"The Participatory Index of Women’s Empowerment: development and an application in Tunisia","authors":"Natalie Naïri Quinn, Simone Lombardini","doi":"10.1080/13600818.2023.2270437","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2023.2270437","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper we develop the Participatory Index of Women’s Empowerment, an innovative measurement tool that reflects its subjects’ own perceptions of empowerment. Participatory measurement is a re...","PeriodicalId":51612,"journal":{"name":"Oxford Development Studies","volume":"313 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2023-11-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138506520","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-11-17DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2281590
Monica Martinez-Bravo, Leonard Wantchekon
Technological progress is widely recognized as a fundamental driver of economic development and structural transformation. Nevertheless, substantial variations in productivity persist both within a...
技术进步被广泛认为是经济发展和结构转型的根本动力。尽管如此,在一个…
{"title":"Political economy and structural transformation: democracy, regulation and public investment","authors":"Monica Martinez-Bravo, Leonard Wantchekon","doi":"10.1080/13600818.2023.2281590","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2023.2281590","url":null,"abstract":"Technological progress is widely recognized as a fundamental driver of economic development and structural transformation. Nevertheless, substantial variations in productivity persist both within a...","PeriodicalId":51612,"journal":{"name":"Oxford Development Studies","volume":"270 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2023-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138506532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-11-15DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2279665
George Alessandria, Robert Johnson, Kei-Mu Yi
ABSTRACTThis paper surveys macroeconomic and microeconomic perspectives on the role of international trade in structural transformation. We start by describing canonical frameworks that have been used to quantify how trade influences sectoral shares of employment and value added. We then pivot to survey micro-empirical evidence on the impact of changes in trade on the allocation of labor across sectors and productivity at the firm level. In this, we put special emphasis on the role of participation in global value chains and inward foreign direct investment in mediating these effects. Next, we evaluate evidence on the barriers to trade faced by low-income countries, with special attention to recent work that measures these costs taking firm dynamics into account. We conclude by discussing how these micro-perspectives can be integrated into macro models to advance our understanding of structural change.KEYWORDS: Global value chainsForeign direct investmentFirm-level costs of tradeMicro-evidence and macro modelsJEL CLASSIFICATION: F1F23F43F62 Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1. Several papers have developed models to explain them. One of these papers includes international trade; see Sposi et al. (Citation2021).2. That said, measurement of GVCs has typically employed a more narrow definition: imported inputs are used in production and some of the resulting output is exported, i.e. some stages of production cross multiple national borders.3. We acknowledge that our survey here cannot cover the full range of perspectives; for example, we do not directly address industrial policy, so refer the reader to Chang (Citation2003) and Oqubay et al. (Citation2020) for complementary discussion.4. To clarify the scope of our discussion, we focus on the allocation of factors across sectors. Thus, we do not engage research on the allocation of factors across firms within a sector, which plays an important role in models of trade with heterogeneous firms. To the extent that this within sector reallocation alters sectoral productivity, it may be an additional mechanism through which trade influences structural change.5. A separate set of questions are related to the welfare effects of worker displacements due to trade. One might be concerned that displacements are particularly costly when workers do not have access to social insurance programs, as in most low-income countries. We are not aware of work that addresses these concerns explicitly, though they would be important for understanding the political economy of trade reforms.6. Dix-Carneiro et al. (Citation2021) shows that incorporating the informal sector into models is important quantitatively, and also qualitatively for wage inequality, productivity, and welfare.7. Our emphasis here is tailored to highlight particular issues pertaining to participation in global value chains and trade in low-income countries. See De Loecker and Goldberg (Citation2014) f
(Citation2015)利用一项来自越南的独特企业调查,揭示了企业之间的直接采购关系和技术转移在解释部门间总联系(如Javorcik, Citation2004所研究的)在中介溢出效应中的作用。在孟加拉国的具体情况下,有可能在研究中使用丰富的数据来源。例如,Grossi等人(Citation2023)利用了国内服装公司与外国买家之间交易的丰富数据集,以及国内公司投入采购的信息。低收入经济体的国内贸易成本和进口壁垒相对较高。参见高质量的调查,例如世界银行的《营商环境调查》或《物流绩效指数》。例如,Baier和Bergstrand (Citation2007)以及Baier et al. (Citation2014)表明,优惠自由贸易协定只是逐渐增加双边贸易流量。Jung (Citation2012)估计,自由贸易协定带来的贸易扩张中,不到一半发生在前10年内。同样,周期内贸易的急剧变动并不反映政策或贸易壁垒的重大变化,而是反映静态重力模型之外的贸易动态方面。Mix(即将出版)开发了一个具有转型动态的多国模型,以研究贸易改革的动态效应如何受到金融开放、地理、国家规模和发展的影响。参见Alessandria等人最近的调查(Citation2021)。这些类型的模型也需要理解我们前面讨论过的贸易数据总量。尽管我们不在这里回顾,但关于贸易和经济增长的实证宏观文献几乎完全与这些微观证据脱节。参见Irwin (Citation2019)最近的一项调查。参见Martin和Warr (Citation1993)和Friedberg (Citation2001)关于Rybczynski效应的证据。Sposi等人(Citation2021b)提供了一个涉及资本积累的反馈效应模型,但不存在结构性变化。如上所述,McCaig和Pavcnik (Citation2018)是少数几篇研究贸易在正式和非正式企业之间再配置中的作用的论文之一。Pahl和Timmer (Citation2020)为许多国家的全球价值链参与与制造业生产率增长之间的正相关提供了相关证据。这项工作得到了国际发展部(DFID)的支持[STEG LOA PP10 Alessandria Johnson Yi]。
{"title":"Perspectives on trade and structural transformation","authors":"George Alessandria, Robert Johnson, Kei-Mu Yi","doi":"10.1080/13600818.2023.2279665","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2023.2279665","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACTThis paper surveys macroeconomic and microeconomic perspectives on the role of international trade in structural transformation. We start by describing canonical frameworks that have been used to quantify how trade influences sectoral shares of employment and value added. We then pivot to survey micro-empirical evidence on the impact of changes in trade on the allocation of labor across sectors and productivity at the firm level. In this, we put special emphasis on the role of participation in global value chains and inward foreign direct investment in mediating these effects. Next, we evaluate evidence on the barriers to trade faced by low-income countries, with special attention to recent work that measures these costs taking firm dynamics into account. We conclude by discussing how these micro-perspectives can be integrated into macro models to advance our understanding of structural change.KEYWORDS: Global value chainsForeign direct investmentFirm-level costs of tradeMicro-evidence and macro modelsJEL CLASSIFICATION: F1F23F43F62 Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1. Several papers have developed models to explain them. One of these papers includes international trade; see Sposi et al. (Citation2021).2. That said, measurement of GVCs has typically employed a more narrow definition: imported inputs are used in production and some of the resulting output is exported, i.e. some stages of production cross multiple national borders.3. We acknowledge that our survey here cannot cover the full range of perspectives; for example, we do not directly address industrial policy, so refer the reader to Chang (Citation2003) and Oqubay et al. (Citation2020) for complementary discussion.4. To clarify the scope of our discussion, we focus on the allocation of factors across sectors. Thus, we do not engage research on the allocation of factors across firms within a sector, which plays an important role in models of trade with heterogeneous firms. To the extent that this within sector reallocation alters sectoral productivity, it may be an additional mechanism through which trade influences structural change.5. A separate set of questions are related to the welfare effects of worker displacements due to trade. One might be concerned that displacements are particularly costly when workers do not have access to social insurance programs, as in most low-income countries. We are not aware of work that addresses these concerns explicitly, though they would be important for understanding the political economy of trade reforms.6. Dix-Carneiro et al. (Citation2021) shows that incorporating the informal sector into models is important quantitatively, and also qualitatively for wage inequality, productivity, and welfare.7. Our emphasis here is tailored to highlight particular issues pertaining to participation in global value chains and trade in low-income countries. See De Loecker and Goldberg (Citation2014) f","PeriodicalId":51612,"journal":{"name":"Oxford Development Studies","volume":"10 5","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136227554","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-11-15DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2278601
David Lagakos, Martin Shu
It has long been known that economic growth is accompanied by structural transformation of an economy away from subsistence agriculture and into more productive economic activities (Kuznets 1971, 1973). The literature on structural transformation has focused largely on movements of inputs and outputs from agricultural activities to industry and services. Painting with broad brush strokes, these aggregate sectoral shifts do capture much of what economists think of as structural transformation. Yet in recent years, richer micro datasets have become available and allowed researchers to paint a more nuanced picture of how structural change takes place in practice. This essay aims to take a review of this recent literature bringing micro data to bear on structural change, and to highlight additional opportunities for researchers to help shape our understanding of structural transformation and its role in the development process.
{"title":"The role of micro data in understanding structural transformation","authors":"David Lagakos, Martin Shu","doi":"10.1080/13600818.2023.2278601","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2023.2278601","url":null,"abstract":"It has long been known that economic growth is accompanied by structural transformation of an economy away from subsistence agriculture and into more productive economic activities (Kuznets 1971, 1973). The literature on structural transformation has focused largely on movements of inputs and outputs from agricultural activities to industry and services. Painting with broad brush strokes, these aggregate sectoral shifts do capture much of what economists think of as structural transformation. Yet in recent years, richer micro datasets have become available and allowed researchers to paint a more nuanced picture of how structural change takes place in practice. This essay aims to take a review of this recent literature bringing micro data to bear on structural change, and to highlight additional opportunities for researchers to help shape our understanding of structural transformation and its role in the development process.","PeriodicalId":51612,"journal":{"name":"Oxford Development Studies","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2023-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139273267","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-08-18DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2245363
Momoe Makino, A. Shonchoy, Z. Wahhaj
{"title":"Early effects of the COVID-19 lockdown on children in north-western Bangladesh","authors":"Momoe Makino, A. Shonchoy, Z. Wahhaj","doi":"10.1080/13600818.2023.2245363","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2023.2245363","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51612,"journal":{"name":"Oxford Development Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2023-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46925462","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-06-20DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2225429
Francesco Savoia, Ioannis Bournakis, Mona Said, A. Savoia
Research on income inequality in developing economies has scarcely looked at the regional dimension. This is important, as progress in reducing income inequality at national level can only be partially successful if in a country very unequal regions coexist alongside relatively equal ones. This paper contributes to filling this gap. Using newly assembled Luxemburg Income Study data, we investigate the evolution of income inequality within Egyptian regions during 1999–2015. The analysis offers three findings. First, income inequality has generally increased. Second, regional differences in income inequality have tended to reduce, but less unequal regions are converging to similar levels of inequality to those in more unequal regions. Third, there has been a decrease in the income share of the bottom 40% and an increase in the proportion of people living below 50% of median income. Hence, geographically diffused progress on the first two targets of SDG 10 depends on reversing these trends.
{"title":"Regional income inequality in Egypt: Evolution and implications for Sustainable Development Goal 10","authors":"Francesco Savoia, Ioannis Bournakis, Mona Said, A. Savoia","doi":"10.1080/13600818.2023.2225429","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2023.2225429","url":null,"abstract":"Research on income inequality in developing economies has scarcely looked at the regional dimension. This is important, as progress in reducing income inequality at national level can only be partially successful if in a country very unequal regions coexist alongside relatively equal ones. This paper contributes to filling this gap. Using newly assembled Luxemburg Income Study data, we investigate the evolution of income inequality within Egyptian regions during 1999–2015. The analysis offers three findings. First, income inequality has generally increased. Second, regional differences in income inequality have tended to reduce, but less unequal regions are converging to similar levels of inequality to those in more unequal regions. Third, there has been a decrease in the income share of the bottom 40% and an increase in the proportion of people living below 50% of median income. Hence, geographically diffused progress on the first two targets of SDG 10 depends on reversing these trends.","PeriodicalId":51612,"journal":{"name":"Oxford Development Studies","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2023-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42338511","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-06-02DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2218640
T. Islam, S. Mitra, Shiv Nadar
ABSTRACT Non-democracies, particularly dictatorships, provide local public goods differently when compared to democracies. We use the Partition of the Indian sub-continent in 1947 to examine how similar ethnic groups living in similar agro-climatic conditions obtain substantially different configurations of public goods when exposed to different governance regimes. Our methodology draws upon the shifts in the central regime in Pakistan, between popularly elected governments and military dictatorships while using India as a benchmark, which had democratic governments throughout. We create and utilize a novel dataset for our district-level analyses from various census rounds in India and Pakistan. Our regression results consistently show that there is a significant under-provision of various public goods under dictatorships, while controlling for a host of time-varying local factors. Our results survive a battery of robustness checks and are particularly, not driven by large cities, or specific provinces.
{"title":"Military dictatorship and the provision of public goods","authors":"T. Islam, S. Mitra, Shiv Nadar","doi":"10.1080/13600818.2023.2218640","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2023.2218640","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Non-democracies, particularly dictatorships, provide local public goods differently when compared to democracies. We use the Partition of the Indian sub-continent in 1947 to examine how similar ethnic groups living in similar agro-climatic conditions obtain substantially different configurations of public goods when exposed to different governance regimes. Our methodology draws upon the shifts in the central regime in Pakistan, between popularly elected governments and military dictatorships while using India as a benchmark, which had democratic governments throughout. We create and utilize a novel dataset for our district-level analyses from various census rounds in India and Pakistan. Our regression results consistently show that there is a significant under-provision of various public goods under dictatorships, while controlling for a host of time-varying local factors. Our results survive a battery of robustness checks and are particularly, not driven by large cities, or specific provinces.","PeriodicalId":51612,"journal":{"name":"Oxford Development Studies","volume":"51 1","pages":"307 - 321"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2023-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49293667","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-04-28DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2204423
Ridho Al Izzati, D. Suryadarma, A. Suryahadi
ABSTRACT Short-term unconditional cash transfers are used as a temporary mitigation strategy during adverse economic shocks. They can however, cause adverse unintended impacts on behaviour and preferences. We estimate the effect of receiving short-term unconditional cash transfers on behaviour, risk aversion, and intertemporal choice in Indonesia. The country first introduced the program in 2005 and continues to use it whenever adverse economic shocks occur. With 15.5 million beneficiary households, the program remains one of the largest in the world. We use an individual-level longitudinal dataset spanning 1997 – 2014. To identify a causal relationship, we combine coarsened exact matching with difference-in-differences. We find no evidence that the short-term unconditional cash transfer affected beneficiaries’ behaviour or preferences. Together with evidence of its positive impact in mitigating the impact of adverse economic shocks, our findings show that short-term unconditional cash transfers should continue to be part of the government’s portfolio of social protection programs.
{"title":"Do short-term unconditional cash transfers change behaviour and preferences? evidence from Indonesia","authors":"Ridho Al Izzati, D. Suryadarma, A. Suryahadi","doi":"10.1080/13600818.2023.2204423","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13600818.2023.2204423","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Short-term unconditional cash transfers are used as a temporary mitigation strategy during adverse economic shocks. They can however, cause adverse unintended impacts on behaviour and preferences. We estimate the effect of receiving short-term unconditional cash transfers on behaviour, risk aversion, and intertemporal choice in Indonesia. The country first introduced the program in 2005 and continues to use it whenever adverse economic shocks occur. With 15.5 million beneficiary households, the program remains one of the largest in the world. We use an individual-level longitudinal dataset spanning 1997 – 2014. To identify a causal relationship, we combine coarsened exact matching with difference-in-differences. We find no evidence that the short-term unconditional cash transfer affected beneficiaries’ behaviour or preferences. Together with evidence of its positive impact in mitigating the impact of adverse economic shocks, our findings show that short-term unconditional cash transfers should continue to be part of the government’s portfolio of social protection programs.","PeriodicalId":51612,"journal":{"name":"Oxford Development Studies","volume":"51 1","pages":"291 - 306"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2023-04-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46776599","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}