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Agricultural productivity and structural transformation: evidence and questions for African development 农业生产力和结构转型:非洲发展的证据和问题
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-29 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2280638
Douglas Gollin
This paper summarizes key findings from the recent literature on agricultural productivity and structural transformation and then identifies priority areas for further research. The paper discusses...
本文总结了近年来有关农业生产力与结构转型的主要研究成果,并确定了未来研究的重点领域。这篇论文讨论了……
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引用次数: 8
The role of labor market frictions in structural transformation* 劳动力市场摩擦在结构转型中的作用*
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2276702
Kevin Donovan, Todd Schoellman
Growth is closely related to structural transformation, the reallocation of economic activity among sectors. A well-functioning labor market plays an important role in this process by enabling work...
增长与结构转型密切相关,即经济活动在各部门之间的再分配。一个运转良好的劳动力市场在这一过程中发挥着重要作用,使人们能够工作。
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引用次数: 0
The Participatory Index of Women’s Empowerment: development and an application in Tunisia 妇女赋权参与指数:突尼斯的发展和应用
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-21 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2270437
Natalie Naïri Quinn, Simone Lombardini
In this paper we develop the Participatory Index of Women’s Empowerment, an innovative measurement tool that reflects its subjects’ own perceptions of empowerment. Participatory measurement is a re...
在本文中,我们开发了妇女赋权的参与指数,这是一个创新的测量工具,反映了其受试者自己对赋权的看法。参与式测量是一种新方法。
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引用次数: 0
Political economy and structural transformation: democracy, regulation and public investment 政治经济学与结构转型:民主、监管与公共投资
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2281590
Monica Martinez-Bravo, Leonard Wantchekon
Technological progress is widely recognized as a fundamental driver of economic development and structural transformation. Nevertheless, substantial variations in productivity persist both within a...
技术进步被广泛认为是经济发展和结构转型的根本动力。尽管如此,在一个…
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引用次数: 0
Perspectives on trade and structural transformation 贸易与结构转型的视角
Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2279665
George Alessandria, Robert Johnson, Kei-Mu Yi
ABSTRACTThis paper surveys macroeconomic and microeconomic perspectives on the role of international trade in structural transformation. We start by describing canonical frameworks that have been used to quantify how trade influences sectoral shares of employment and value added. We then pivot to survey micro-empirical evidence on the impact of changes in trade on the allocation of labor across sectors and productivity at the firm level. In this, we put special emphasis on the role of participation in global value chains and inward foreign direct investment in mediating these effects. Next, we evaluate evidence on the barriers to trade faced by low-income countries, with special attention to recent work that measures these costs taking firm dynamics into account. We conclude by discussing how these micro-perspectives can be integrated into macro models to advance our understanding of structural change.KEYWORDS: Global value chainsForeign direct investmentFirm-level costs of tradeMicro-evidence and macro modelsJEL CLASSIFICATION: F1F23F43F62 Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1. Several papers have developed models to explain them. One of these papers includes international trade; see Sposi et al. (Citation2021).2. That said, measurement of GVCs has typically employed a more narrow definition: imported inputs are used in production and some of the resulting output is exported, i.e. some stages of production cross multiple national borders.3. We acknowledge that our survey here cannot cover the full range of perspectives; for example, we do not directly address industrial policy, so refer the reader to Chang (Citation2003) and Oqubay et al. (Citation2020) for complementary discussion.4. To clarify the scope of our discussion, we focus on the allocation of factors across sectors. Thus, we do not engage research on the allocation of factors across firms within a sector, which plays an important role in models of trade with heterogeneous firms. To the extent that this within sector reallocation alters sectoral productivity, it may be an additional mechanism through which trade influences structural change.5. A separate set of questions are related to the welfare effects of worker displacements due to trade. One might be concerned that displacements are particularly costly when workers do not have access to social insurance programs, as in most low-income countries. We are not aware of work that addresses these concerns explicitly, though they would be important for understanding the political economy of trade reforms.6. Dix-Carneiro et al. (Citation2021) shows that incorporating the informal sector into models is important quantitatively, and also qualitatively for wage inequality, productivity, and welfare.7. Our emphasis here is tailored to highlight particular issues pertaining to participation in global value chains and trade in low-income countries. See De Loecker and Goldberg (Citation2014) f
(Citation2015)利用一项来自越南的独特企业调查,揭示了企业之间的直接采购关系和技术转移在解释部门间总联系(如Javorcik, Citation2004所研究的)在中介溢出效应中的作用。在孟加拉国的具体情况下,有可能在研究中使用丰富的数据来源。例如,Grossi等人(Citation2023)利用了国内服装公司与外国买家之间交易的丰富数据集,以及国内公司投入采购的信息。低收入经济体的国内贸易成本和进口壁垒相对较高。参见高质量的调查,例如世界银行的《营商环境调查》或《物流绩效指数》。例如,Baier和Bergstrand (Citation2007)以及Baier et al. (Citation2014)表明,优惠自由贸易协定只是逐渐增加双边贸易流量。Jung (Citation2012)估计,自由贸易协定带来的贸易扩张中,不到一半发生在前10年内。同样,周期内贸易的急剧变动并不反映政策或贸易壁垒的重大变化,而是反映静态重力模型之外的贸易动态方面。Mix(即将出版)开发了一个具有转型动态的多国模型,以研究贸易改革的动态效应如何受到金融开放、地理、国家规模和发展的影响。参见Alessandria等人最近的调查(Citation2021)。这些类型的模型也需要理解我们前面讨论过的贸易数据总量。尽管我们不在这里回顾,但关于贸易和经济增长的实证宏观文献几乎完全与这些微观证据脱节。参见Irwin (Citation2019)最近的一项调查。参见Martin和Warr (Citation1993)和Friedberg (Citation2001)关于Rybczynski效应的证据。Sposi等人(Citation2021b)提供了一个涉及资本积累的反馈效应模型,但不存在结构性变化。如上所述,McCaig和Pavcnik (Citation2018)是少数几篇研究贸易在正式和非正式企业之间再配置中的作用的论文之一。Pahl和Timmer (Citation2020)为许多国家的全球价值链参与与制造业生产率增长之间的正相关提供了相关证据。这项工作得到了国际发展部(DFID)的支持[STEG LOA PP10 Alessandria Johnson Yi]。
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引用次数: 0
The role of micro data in understanding structural transformation 微观数据在理解结构转型中的作用
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2278601
David Lagakos, Martin Shu
It has long been known that economic growth is accompanied by structural transformation of an economy away from subsistence agriculture and into more productive economic activities (Kuznets 1971, 1973). The literature on structural transformation has focused largely on movements of inputs and outputs from agricultural activities to industry and services. Painting with broad brush strokes, these aggregate sectoral shifts do capture much of what economists think of as structural transformation. Yet in recent years, richer micro datasets have become available and allowed researchers to paint a more nuanced picture of how structural change takes place in practice. This essay aims to take a review of this recent literature bringing micro data to bear on structural change, and to highlight additional opportunities for researchers to help shape our understanding of structural transformation and its role in the development process.
众所周知,经济增长伴随着经济结构的转型,从自给自足的农业转向生产率更高的经济活动(库兹涅茨,1971 年,1973 年)。有关结构转型的文献主要侧重于投入和产出从农业活动向工业和服务业的转移。从大处着眼,这些部门的总体转移确实反映了经济学家所认为的结构转型的大部分内容。然而,近年来更丰富的微观数据集的出现,使研究人员能够更细致地描绘结构性变化是如何在实践中发生的。本文旨在对近期利用微观数据研究结构性变化的文献进行回顾,并强调研究人员有更多机会帮助我们理解结构性转型及其在发展过程中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Early effects of the COVID-19 lockdown on children in north-western Bangladesh COVID-19封锁对孟加拉国西北部儿童的早期影响
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-08-18 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2245363
Momoe Makino, A. Shonchoy, Z. Wahhaj
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引用次数: 1
Regional income inequality in Egypt: Evolution and implications for Sustainable Development Goal 10 埃及的区域收入不平等:演变及其对可持续发展目标10的影响
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-06-20 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2225429
Francesco Savoia, Ioannis Bournakis, Mona Said, A. Savoia
Research on income inequality in developing economies has scarcely looked at the regional dimension. This is important, as progress in reducing income inequality at national level can only be partially successful if in a country very unequal regions coexist alongside relatively equal ones. This paper contributes to filling this gap. Using newly assembled Luxemburg Income Study data, we investigate the evolution of income inequality within Egyptian regions during 1999–2015. The analysis offers three findings. First, income inequality has generally increased. Second, regional differences in income inequality have tended to reduce, but less unequal regions are converging to similar levels of inequality to those in more unequal regions. Third, there has been a decrease in the income share of the bottom 40% and an increase in the proportion of people living below 50% of median income. Hence, geographically diffused progress on the first two targets of SDG 10 depends on reversing these trends.
对发展中经济体收入不平等的研究几乎没有考虑到地区层面。这一点很重要,因为如果在一个国家中,非常不平等的地区与相对平等的地区共存,那么在国家一级减少收入不平等的进展只能部分成功。本文有助于填补这一空白。利用最新收集的卢森堡收入研究数据,我们调查了1999-2015年埃及地区收入不平等的演变。分析提供了三个发现。首先,收入不平等普遍加剧。其次,收入不平等的地区差异趋于缩小,但不平等程度较低的地区正在趋近于不平等程度较高的地区的不平等水平。第三,底层40%人口的收入占比有所下降,而生活在收入中位数50%以下的人口比例有所增加。因此,可持续发展目标10前两项具体目标的地理分散进展取决于扭转这些趋势。
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引用次数: 0
Military dictatorship and the provision of public goods 军事独裁和提供公共产品
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-06-02 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2218640
T. Islam, S. Mitra, Shiv Nadar
ABSTRACT Non-democracies, particularly dictatorships, provide local public goods differently when compared to democracies. We use the Partition of the Indian sub-continent in 1947 to examine how similar ethnic groups living in similar agro-climatic conditions obtain substantially different configurations of public goods when exposed to different governance regimes. Our methodology draws upon the shifts in the central regime in Pakistan, between popularly elected governments and military dictatorships while using India as a benchmark, which had democratic governments throughout. We create and utilize a novel dataset for our district-level analyses from various census rounds in India and Pakistan. Our regression results consistently show that there is a significant under-provision of various public goods under dictatorships, while controlling for a host of time-varying local factors. Our results survive a battery of robustness checks and are particularly, not driven by large cities, or specific provinces.
摘要非民主国家,特别是独裁国家,与民主国家相比,提供地方公共产品的方式不同。我们利用1947年印度次大陆的分治来研究生活在相似农业气候条件下的相似种族群体在面临不同治理制度时如何获得截然不同的公共产品配置。我们的方法借鉴了巴基斯坦中央政权在民选政府和军事独裁之间的转变,同时以印度为基准,印度自始至终都有民主政府。我们创建并利用了一个新的数据集,用于印度和巴基斯坦各轮人口普查的地区级分析。我们的回归结果一致表明,在独裁统治下,各种公共产品的供应严重不足,同时控制了一系列时变的局部因素。我们的结果经受住了一系列稳健性检查,尤其是不受大城市或特定省份的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Do short-term unconditional cash transfers change behaviour and preferences? evidence from Indonesia 短期无条件现金转移是否会改变行为和偏好?来自印度尼西亚的证据
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-04-28 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2023.2204423
Ridho Al Izzati, D. Suryadarma, A. Suryahadi
ABSTRACT Short-term unconditional cash transfers are used as a temporary mitigation strategy during adverse economic shocks. They can however, cause adverse unintended impacts on behaviour and preferences. We estimate the effect of receiving short-term unconditional cash transfers on behaviour, risk aversion, and intertemporal choice in Indonesia. The country first introduced the program in 2005 and continues to use it whenever adverse economic shocks occur. With 15.5 million beneficiary households, the program remains one of the largest in the world. We use an individual-level longitudinal dataset spanning 1997 – 2014. To identify a causal relationship, we combine coarsened exact matching with difference-in-differences. We find no evidence that the short-term unconditional cash transfer affected beneficiaries’ behaviour or preferences. Together with evidence of its positive impact in mitigating the impact of adverse economic shocks, our findings show that short-term unconditional cash transfers should continue to be part of the government’s portfolio of social protection programs.
短期无条件现金转移被用作不利经济冲击期间的临时缓解策略。然而,它们可能对行为和偏好造成意想不到的不利影响。我们估计了在印度尼西亚接受短期无条件现金转移对行为、风险厌恶和跨期选择的影响。该国于2005年首次引入该计划,并在不利的经济冲击发生时继续使用该计划。该项目有1550万户受益家庭,是世界上规模最大的项目之一。我们使用了一个跨越1997 - 2014年的个人纵向数据集。为了确定因果关系,我们将粗精确匹配与差中的差相结合。我们没有发现短期无条件现金转移影响受益人行为或偏好的证据。我们的研究结果表明,短期无条件现金转移支付在缓解不利经济冲击方面具有积极作用,应继续作为政府社会保障计划组合的一部分。
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引用次数: 1
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Oxford Development Studies
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