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Spread of corruption in Indonesia after decentralisation: a spatiotemporal analysis 权力下放后印尼腐败蔓延的时空分析
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2022.2162493
Z. Yunan, B. Freyens, Yogi Vidyattama, I. Mohanty
ABSTRACT The end of the Suharto era in 1998 brought two prominent reforms to Indonesia: (i) a raft of anti-corruption policies and (ii) decentralisation of administrative and fiscal functions. District-level reported corruption swelled in following years and the role of decentralisation came under scrutiny, but data limitations prevented direct examination of a contributing role. This paper combines perceived and reported (observed) regional measures of corruption to examine spatiotemporal corruption patterns across Indonesian districts post-decentralisation. That period saw both improvements in perceptions measures and increases in the reported number of convicted perpetrators and in the reported value of financial loss. Cross-sectional comparisons show corruption perceptions (i) were milder in districts with less reported incidents of corruption, and (ii) responded positively to efforts by the judiciary and law enforcement agencies to curb corruption. These findings suggest that increased capability and resources allocated to combatting corruption play a large role in determining corruption perceptions.
1998年苏哈托时代的结束给印尼带来了两项重大改革:(1)一系列反腐败政策和(2)行政和财政职能的分散。在接下来的几年里,地区一级的腐败举报激增,权力下放的作用受到了审查,但数据的限制阻止了对促成作用的直接审查。本文结合感知和报告的(观察到的)区域腐败措施来研究印度尼西亚地区分权后的时空腐败模式。在这一时期,人们对犯罪行为的看法有所改善,所报告的被定罪罪犯人数和所报告的经济损失价值也有所增加。横断面比较显示:(1)举报贪污事件较少的地区对贪污的看法较温和,以及(2)对司法和执法机构遏止贪污的努力反应积极。这些发现表明,反腐败能力和资源的增加在决定腐败观念方面发挥着重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Are young internal migrants ‘favourably’ selected? Evidence from four developing countries11 年轻的国内移民是否被“看好”?来自四个发展中国家的证据11
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2022.2156491
Maria Franco Gavonel
ABSTRACT Young people 2 are more likely to migrate than older people. During the transition to adulthood, they make important choices regarding education, labour force participation, and family formation. Using a unique panel dataset on youth born in 1994–95 in Ethiopia, India, Peru, and Vietnam, this paper investigates whether young migrants are ‘positively’ self-selected in observable characteristics, specifically on educational attainment. First, I document patterns on prevalence, frequency, timing, reasons and streams of migration. Second, I describe the factors associated with young people’s reasons for migrating. Results suggest that ‘favourable’ self-selection only holds for those moving for education: a year of schooling is associated with a higher probability of moving for studies, while an extra year of education is correlated with a lower probability of moving for family formation. In sum, migrants are a heterogeneous group: there are systematic differences in the characteristics across them depending on their reasons for moving.
摘要年轻人2比老年人更有可能移民。在向成年过渡的过程中,他们在教育、劳动力参与和家庭组建方面做出了重要选择。本文使用一个关于埃塞俄比亚、印度、秘鲁和越南1994-95年出生的年轻人的独特面板数据集,调查了年轻移民是否在可观察的特征上“积极”自我选择,特别是在教育程度上。首先,我记录了移民的流行率、频率、时间、原因和流动的模式。其次,我描述了与年轻人移民原因相关的因素。结果表明,“有利”的自我选择只适用于那些迁移接受教育的人:一年的教育与迁移学习的概率较高有关,而多受一年教育与迁移组建家庭的概率较低有关。总之,移民是一个异质的群体:根据他们迁移的原因,他们的特征存在系统性差异。
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引用次数: 1
A torrent or a trickle? The local economic impacts of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor 是洪流还是细流?中巴经济走廊对当地经济的影响
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-09-15 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2022.2124241
David Landry
ABSTRACT Chinese mammoth investment projects abroad, and especially those under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) umbrella, are receiving heavy scrutiny in academic and policy circles. However, there is insufficient empirical evidence to evaluate their impact. This paper employs a difference- in-differences approach and a pair of new datasets on government spending and economic activity compiled by the World Bank to examine the local impacts of the Chinese-Pakistan Economic Corridor in Pakistan. It finds that the 2013 announcement of CPEC was accompanied by a disproportionate increase in government spending in CPEC districts. However, in the six years after it was first announced, CPEC has not directly contributed a significant increase in economic activity in the districts along its path.
摘要中国庞大的海外投资项目,尤其是“一带一路”倡议倡议下的项目,正受到学术界和政策界的严格审查。然而,没有足够的经验证据来评估其影响。本文采用差异中的差异方法和世界银行编制的两个关于政府支出和经济活动的新数据集来研究中巴经济走廊对巴基斯坦的地方影响。它发现,2013年CPEC的宣布伴随着CPEC地区政府支出的不成比例的增加。然而,在首次宣布后的六年里,CPEC并没有直接促进沿途地区的经济活动显著增加。
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引用次数: 1
The impact of precolonial political centralisation on local development: Ghana’s paradox 前殖民时期政治集中化对地方发展的影响:加纳的悖论
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2022.2115474
Mohammed Iddrisu Kambala
ABSTRACT I investigate the impact of precolonial political centralisation (PPC) on local development in Ghana. Accounting for the potential endogeneity associated with the emergence of political centralisation, I find that PPC has a strong negative impact on local development. Further, PPC does not significantly correlate with the provision of local public goods. These results are robust to a battery of sensitivity checks and a wealth of controls at a fine unit. Two mechanisms plausibly explain these findings. First, I show that past colonial public investments, which still significantly determine contemporary development outcomes in Ghana, disfavoured politically centralised regions. Second, I argue that in centralised areas colonial rule might have empowered despotic local patrons who served the interest of the colonial state at the expense of local development.
摘要:我调查了殖民前政治集权对加纳地方发展的影响。考虑到与政治集权的出现相关的潜在内生性,我发现PPC对地方发展有着强烈的负面影响。此外,PPC与当地公共产品的提供没有显著的相关性。这些结果对于一组灵敏度检查和精细单元的大量控制来说是稳健的。两种机制似乎可以解释这些发现。首先,我展示了过去的殖民地公共投资,这些投资仍然在很大程度上决定着加纳当代的发展成果,不利于政治集中地区。其次,我认为,在中央集权地区,殖民统治可能会赋予专制的地方赞助人权力,他们以牺牲地方发展为代价,为殖民国家的利益服务。
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引用次数: 1
Under pressure: assessing the cost of forced solidarity in Côte d’Ivoire 压力之下:评估Côte科特迪瓦被迫团结的代价
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-07-27 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2022.2104238
L. Olié
ABSTRACT Despite the extensive literature on forced solidarity – especially its substantial disincentive effects – some fundamental questions remain unanswered. How many households face pressure to share in a given country? How much does it cost to satisfy it? Which income group is the most impacted? What are the correlates of complying with strong sharing norms? This paper provides a novel measure of the pressure to share to answer these questions. Using nationally representative data from Côte d’Ivoire, I find that one in five Ivorian households faces social pressure to share income. They devoted 10% and 17% of household expenditure and income, respectively, to fulfill their social obligations. This social taxation concerns both the richest and poorest households. Overall, this study offers new insights into the economic cost of such practices and calls attention to targeting households in public cash transfer policies. Implications for policy and research are spelled out.
尽管有大量关于强迫团结的文献,尤其是其实质性的抑制效应,但一些基本问题仍未得到解答。在一个特定的国家,有多少家庭面临分担压力?满足它需要多少钱?哪个收入群体受影响最大?遵守强有力的分享规范有什么关联?本文提供了一种新的衡量分享压力的方法来回答这些问题。通过使用来自Côte科特迪瓦的具有全国代表性的数据,我发现五分之一的科特迪瓦家庭面临着分享收入的社会压力。他们将家庭支出和收入的10%和17%分别用于履行社会义务。这种社会税既涉及最富裕的家庭,也涉及最贫穷的家庭。总的来说,这项研究为此类做法的经济成本提供了新的见解,并呼吁关注公共现金转移政策中针对家庭的问题。对政策和研究的影响被详细说明。
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引用次数: 0
Rural Classes and Credit Participation: The Itasy Livelihood Classes (Madagascar) Between Risk-aversion and Debt Capacity 农村阶层与信贷参与:风险规避与债务能力之间的意大利生计阶层(马达加斯加)
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-07-26 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2022.2104239
Tsiry Andrianampiarivo, C. Gondard-Delcroix
ABSTRACT While technical and economic factors are traditionally advanced to explain the failures of microfinance, a growing literature explores how moral factors and socioeconomic norms help to shape financial behaviors. In order to examine this issue in more depth, we conducted an empirical analysis of the links between socioeconomic stratification and financial behaviors. This original perspective enriches the literature on financial inclusion in the under-explored Malagasy context. Using data from the 2008 Itasy Observatory survey, we conducted a cluster analysis to identify five classes of rural households, ranging from a very poor and insecure group to an upper group of educated farming and non-farming households. Using a multinomial treatment-effects model, we established distinct ‘class-based’ credit behaviors showing that financial needs vary according to the users’ socioeconomic profile. What is more, such financial behaviours can be explained by taking social factors into account in addition to economic ones.
虽然技术和经济因素传统上被用来解释小额信贷的失败,但越来越多的文献探讨道德因素和社会经济规范如何帮助塑造金融行为。为了更深入地研究这一问题,我们对社会经济分层与金融行为之间的联系进行了实证分析。这一原始观点丰富了在未充分开发的马达加斯加背景下的金融包容性文献。利用2008年Itasy Observatory调查的数据,我们进行了聚类分析,以确定农村家庭的五个类别,从非常贫困和不安全的群体到受过教育的农业和非农业家庭的上层群体。使用多项治疗-效应模型,我们建立了不同的“基于阶级”的信贷行为,表明金融需求根据用户的社会经济状况而变化。更重要的是,除了经济因素外,这种金融行为还可以通过考虑社会因素来解释。
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引用次数: 0
When coping strategies become a way of life: a gendered analysis of Syrian refugees in Lebanon 当应对策略成为一种生活方式:对黎巴嫩叙利亚难民的性别分析
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-07-08 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2022.2096210
Saja Al Zoubi
ABSTRACT Using a field survey in informal Syrian refugee camps in Lebanon, this paper analyses refugee coping strategies and demonstrates how severe strategies become a way of life. It addresses how each refugee’s strategic choices are determined by an environment that is conceptualized via four dimensions of displacement: the civil host community, national and international policy, and humanitarian aid, in addition to individual characteristics such as gender. The findings show that the gender of the household head influences the severity of coping strategies, both directly and indirectly. The likelihood of using child labour and reducing the number of daily meals is higher for female-headed households. To categorise coping strategies among refugees, a new framework is proposed based on three categorisations: survival strategies, enhancing strategies and improving strategies.
本文通过对黎巴嫩非正式叙利亚难民营的实地调查,分析了难民应对策略,并证明了严厉策略如何成为一种生活方式。它讨论了每个难民的战略选择是如何由一个环境决定的,这个环境是通过流离失所的四个方面来概念化的:民间收容社区、国家和国际政策、人道主义援助,以及性别等个人特征。研究结果表明,户主的性别直接或间接地影响应对策略的严重程度。在以女性为户主的家庭中,使用童工和减少每日用餐次数的可能性更高。为了对难民的应对策略进行分类,提出了一个基于三种分类的新框架:生存策略、增强策略和改进策略。
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引用次数: 0
Children’s work in environmental chores: ‘says who?’ 孩子们在环境杂务方面的工作:谁说
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2022.2092609
D. DeGraff, D. Levison, E. Dungumaro
ABSTRACT The standard approach for collecting sociodemographic data about children in developing countries is to elicit information from adults. While using proxy respondents is appropriate for very young children or for questions likely beyond children’s knowledge, it is less clear that it is better for older children and topics within their experience. Several arguments can be made that children could provide better or equally valid information on their activities than proxy respondents. We explore this question in the context of children’s work on environmental chores in rural Tanzania, using data that include parallel questions to children ages 10–17 and to proxy respondents about those children. Given the paucity of research on this issue, we offer exploratory evidence suggesting that efforts to collect data directly from children are fruitful and should be vigorously pursued, in keeping with Article 12 of the United Nations Convention on the Rights of the Child
摘要收集发展中国家儿童社会人口统计数据的标准方法是从成年人那里获取信息。虽然使用代理受访者适合年幼的儿童或可能超出儿童知识范围的问题,但不太清楚这是否对年龄较大的儿童和他们经验范围内的话题更好。有几种观点认为,与代理受访者相比,儿童可以提供更好或同样有效的活动信息。我们在坦桑尼亚农村儿童从事环境家务的背景下探讨了这个问题,使用的数据包括对10-17岁儿童的平行问题,以及对这些儿童的代理受访者。鉴于对这一问题的研究很少,我们提供的探索性证据表明,直接从儿童那里收集数据的努力是富有成效的,应该根据《联合国儿童权利公约》第12条大力开展
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 induced national lockdown and income inequality: evidence from Pakistan 新冠肺炎引发的全国封锁和收入不平等:来自巴基斯坦的证据
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2022.2091124
Noman Ahmad, F. Rehman, Nasir Sarwar
ABSTRACT COVID-19 posits two risks to developing countries. On the one hand, growing COVID-19 cases exposed the vulnerabilities of the already debilitating health sector, while, on the other hand, policies to control the spread of COVID-19 can exasperate economic disparities. In this article, we examine one such policy response to control the spread of COVID-19 by the Government of Pakistan, the National Lockdown. This study assesses a plausible impact of this policy response on income equality across Pakistan. By exploiting a nationally representative household survey, it is observed that COVID-19 induced national lockdown is associated with increased income inequality in Pakistan. Our estimates show that about a 16 percent increase in income differences between the top 10 and the bottom 10 percent of the population could be associated with national lockdowns. Gini Coefficient also indicates an up to 3 percent increase in inequality after lockdown. At the disaggregated level, the suggestive evidence shows that inequality has increased within the urban population. Interestingly, the lockdown has also increased the inequality within occupations that can be managed remotely from home.
摘要新冠肺炎给发展中国家带来了两种风险。一方面,不断增长的新冠肺炎病例暴露了本已脆弱的卫生部门的脆弱性,而另一方面,控制新冠肺炎传播的政策可能会加剧经济差距。在这篇文章中,我们研究了巴基斯坦政府为控制新冠肺炎传播而采取的一项政策应对措施,即全国封锁。这项研究评估了这一政策回应对巴基斯坦全国收入平等的可能影响。通过利用一项具有全国代表性的家庭调查,可以观察到新冠肺炎引发的全国封锁与巴基斯坦收入不平等加剧有关。我们的估计显示,前10%和后10%人口之间的收入差距增加约16%可能与全国封锁有关。基尼系数还表明,封锁后,不平等现象增加了3%。在分类层面,提示性证据表明,城市人口中的不平等现象有所加剧。有趣的是,封锁也加剧了可以在家远程管理的职业中的不平等。
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引用次数: 0
Is rural household debt sustainable in a financially included region? Evidence from three districts of Kerala, India 在金融包容性地区,农村家庭债务可持续吗?来自印度喀拉拉邦三个地区的证据
IF 1.3 Q3 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-06-15 DOI: 10.1080/13600818.2022.2088718
Remya Tressa Jacob, Rudra Sensarma, G. Nair
ABSTRACT This paper explores whether institutional change brought about by financial inclusion results in sustainable debt management by households. We analyze household indebtedness and its various dimensions using primary data collected from 600 households across 3 districts of rural Kerala in India. We find that more than half of the sample households are indebted. Using flow and stock analysis, we assess the repayment capacity of households. While the flow analysis based on interest and income comparison shows that debt is sustainable, the stock analysis indicates an alarming debt situation considering the illiquid nature of land assets. Both agricultural and non-agricultural households appeared to be caught in a debt trap. Our econometric analyses show that socio-economic factors like education and age of the household head, main source of household income and household asset value without land, are significant determinants of household level indebtedness.
摘要本文探讨普惠金融带来的制度变迁是否会导致家庭可持续债务管理。我们使用从印度喀拉拉邦农村3个地区的600个家庭收集的原始数据分析了家庭负债及其各个方面。我们发现超过一半的样本家庭负债。运用流量分析和存量分析,对农户的还款能力进行了评估。虽然基于利息和收入比较的流量分析表明债务是可持续的,但考虑到土地资产的非流动性,存量分析表明债务状况令人担忧。农业和非农业家庭似乎都陷入了债务陷阱。我们的计量经济分析表明,社会经济因素,如户主的教育程度和年龄、家庭收入的主要来源和家庭资产价值(不含土地),是家庭负债水平的重要决定因素。
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引用次数: 2
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Oxford Development Studies
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