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Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-11 DOI: 10.1163/2165025x-04401000
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引用次数: 0
Sociodemographic Factors, Policy Satisfaction, Perceived Character: What Factors Explain President Duterte’s Popularity? 社会人口因素、政策满意度、感知性格:杜特尔特总统受欢迎的原因是什么?
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-11 DOI: 10.1163/2165025x-bja10040
G. Ducanes, S. Rood, J. Tigno
The persistently high satisfaction ratings of President Rodrigo Duterte, despite various perceived policy missteps and in contrast to the pattern for previous Presidents, have puzzled pundits and scholars alike. Using three waves of the Social Weather Stations’ Social Weather Surveys, this article examines the extent to which sociodemographic factors, policy satisfaction, and perceptions of the character of the President could explain this ‘puzzle’. The three survey waves correspond to the beginning of President Duterte’s term, the period when he obtained his lowest net satisfaction rating, and the most recent available data at the time of this study. The study finds that sociodemographic factors, policy satisfaction, and perception of the President’s character all contribute to explaining his high satisfaction rating. Based on the most recent survey examined, perception of the President’s character appears to be the most important for distinguishing those who are satisfied from those who are dissatisfied with the President.
罗德里戈·杜特尔特(Rodrigo Duterte)总统的满意度一直很高,尽管人们认为他有各种政策失误,而且与前几任总统的模式形成鲜明对比,这让权威人士和学者都感到困惑。利用社会气象站的三波社会天气调查,本文考察了社会人口因素、政策满意度和对总统性格的看法在多大程度上可以解释这个“谜题”。这三波调查分别对应于杜特尔特总统任期的开始、他获得最低净满意度评级的时期,以及本研究时可获得的最新数据。研究发现,社会人口因素、政策满意度和对总统性格的看法都有助于解释他的高满意度。根据最近的一项调查,对总统性格的看法似乎是区分对总统满意和不满意的人的最重要因素。
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引用次数: 0
Public Means for Private Ends? Local Electoral Incentives and Public Welfare Expenditures 公用私用?地方选举激励与公共福利支出
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-28 DOI: 10.1163/2165025x-bja10039
M. Mendoza
The literature on distributive politics explores changes in public expenditures vis-à-vis the electoral incentives of politicians. In theory, term-limited politicians are not inclined to increase spending in the absence of re-election prospects. The Philippine case shows otherwise. Guided by theories and studies on Philippine local politics and the effects of term limits on electoral incentives, this article argues that even term-limited politicians can be driven to increase spending if they have a family member intended to succeed them in an upcoming election. Estimates from regression models that used panel data on public expenditures and elections in Philippine provinces and cities from 1992 to 2018 confirm this. Overall, this study provides insights on how electoral incentives and public spending behavior of term-limited politicians change once membership in a political family is factored in.
关于分配政治的文献探讨了公共支出相对于-à-vis政治家的选举激励的变化。理论上,任期有限的政客在没有连任希望的情况下不会倾向于增加开支。菲律宾的情况恰恰相反。根据菲律宾地方政治的理论和研究,以及任期限制对选举激励的影响,本文认为,即使任期有限的政客,如果他们有家庭成员打算在即将到来的选举中接替他们,也可能会被迫增加支出。使用1992年至2018年菲律宾各省和城市公共支出和选举的小组数据的回归模型估计证实了这一点。总的来说,这项研究提供了关于任期有限的政治家的选举激励和公共支出行为在考虑政治家族成员身份后如何变化的见解。
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引用次数: 0
The Fragility of the Philippines in the Context of Increasing China-U.S. Rivalry in the Western Pacific 中美关系日益密切背景下菲律宾的脆弱性西太平洋的对抗
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-28 DOI: 10.1163/2165025x-bja10038
Łukasz Stach
The situation in Southeast Asia is of concern not only to the countries in the region, but also to the world’s great powers. The growing economic and military power of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and its rivalry with the United States (U.S.) are perceived as disruption of the regional status quo. Smaller Southeast Asian states try to secure their position in the changing international environment. These countries include the Philippines, which faces many internal and external security threats. The situation is worsened by the fact that the Philippines is considered by scholars to be a weak and fragile state. The article attempts to elucidate the issue of the Philippines’ fragile state and its influence on the country’s position in the age of growing China-U.S. competition. Moreover, the study tries to answer the question of why the Philippines earned the reputation of a fragile state. The article uses on content analysis of existing literature plus the data from readily accessible sources, and it mostly employs descriptive data analysis methodology.
东南亚局势不仅关系到该地区国家,也关系到世界大国。中华人民共和国(PRC)日益增长的经济和军事实力及其与美国的竞争被视为对地区现状的破坏。较小的东南亚国家试图在不断变化的国际环境中确保自己的地位。这些国家包括面临许多内部和外部安全威胁的菲律宾。学者们认为菲律宾是一个脆弱的国家,这使情况更加恶化。本文试图阐明菲律宾的脆弱国家问题及其在中美关系日益密切的时代对菲律宾地位的影响。竞争。此外,该研究试图回答为什么菲律宾赢得了一个脆弱国家的声誉。本文采用了现有文献的内容分析和现成来源的数据,主要采用描述性数据分析方法。
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引用次数: 0
Humanitarian Objects for COVID-19: Face Masks and Shields in the Philippines 2019冠状病毒病人道主义物品:菲律宾的口罩和盾牌
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-28 DOI: 10.1163/2165025x-bja10033
Mathea Melissa Lim, J. Grayman
Focusing on the Philippines’ response to the COVID-19 pandemic, this article examines two key objects used to mitigate the widespread transmission of the virus. To answer the research question, “What is the meaning of face masks and shields in the Philippines during the COVID-19 pandemic?” a patchwork ethnography research method was used to triangulate data from a variety of sources, including academic scholarship, mass media, grey literature, and personal experience. Using Tom Scott-Smith’s theoretical interpretation of Karl Marx’s “commodity fetishism” as a framework, the article traces the concealment, transformation, and mystification of face masks and face shields as humanitarian objects , and explores the social, political, and cultural role they play in the lives of Filipinos during the COVID-19 era.
本文以菲律宾应对COVID-19大流行为重点,考察了用于减轻病毒广泛传播的两个关键对象。为了回答研究问题,“在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,菲律宾口罩和盾牌的意义是什么?”一种拼凑的民族志研究方法被用来对各种来源的数据进行三角测量,包括学术奖学金、大众媒体、灰色文学和个人经验。本文以汤姆·斯科特-史密斯对马克思“商品拜物教”的理论解释为框架,追溯了口罩和面罩作为人道主义物品的隐藏、改造和神秘化过程,并探讨了它们在新冠疫情时期菲律宾人生活中所扮演的社会、政治和文化角色。
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引用次数: 0
No Beast Larger than All of Us: Theorizing Strongman Rule in the Philippine Postcolony 没有比我们更大的野兽:菲律宾后殖民时代强人统治的理论化
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-28 DOI: 10.1163/2165025x-bja10035
O. T. Serquiña
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引用次数: 0
Camouflage in the Streets: Emergency Powers, the Military, and the Philippines’ COVID-19 Pandemic Response 街道上的伪装:紧急权力、军队和菲律宾的COVID-19大流行应对
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-28 DOI: 10.1163/2165025x-bja10036
Rosalie Arcala Hall
With emergency powers, President Rodrigo Duterte mobilized and deployed military and police to enforce lockdown measures in Metro Manila and Cebu City. For several months in 2020, the deployed forces ran quarantine control points in borders and city wards, and enforced curfew and liquor bans. This article examines how said deployment affected civilian control by the President and local civil-military dynamics. The heightened visibility of uniformed personnel in these urban spaces, and subsequent arrests and detention of quarantine violators came under heavy criticism. Against the backdrop of ex-military dominated national Inter Agency Task Force for Infectious Diseases (IATF), the militarized lockdown failed to stem the virus’ spread and expanded the military’s reach into civilian domain. Its involvement in law enforcement operations alongside the police poses dangers to local civil-military balance and to democracy. President Duterte’s reliance on the state’s coercive apparatus to carry out the pandemic response enabled him to assert control over local governments and to repress dissent.
总统罗德里戈·杜特尔特动用紧急权力,动员并部署了军队和警察,在马尼拉大都会和宿雾市实施封锁措施。在2020年的几个月里,部署的部队在边境和城市地区设立了检疫控制点,并实施了宵禁和禁酒令。本文考察了上述部署如何影响总统对文官的控制以及当地的军民动态。穿制服的人员在这些城市空间的可见度提高,以及随后逮捕和拘留违反检疫者的做法受到了严厉批评。在前军方主导的国家传染病特别工作组(IATF)的背景下,军事封锁未能阻止病毒的传播,反而将军方的触角扩大到了民用领域。它与警察一起参与执法行动,对地方军民平衡和民主构成危险。杜特尔特总统依靠国家的强制机构来应对疫情,这使他能够控制地方政府并压制异见。
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引用次数: 0
Pandemic Politics in the Philippines: An Introduction from the Special Issue Editors 菲律宾的流行病政治:特刊编辑的介绍
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-28 DOI: 10.1163/2165025x-12340047
F. Magno, J. Teehankee
The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic continues to impact people’s health and livelihood systems around the globe. As governments roll out mass vaccination programs in their respective jurisdictions, it is uncertain whether herd immunity can be achieved at the soonest time, given the mutations and emergence of new COVID-19 variants and vaccine hesitancy on the part of citizens. Meanwhile, political leaders have straddled the thin line between imposing mobility restrictions to save lives and reopening the economy to save jobs. This raised fundamental concerns about the political responses at both domestic and international levels toward the crisis. It is important to examine and compare the political dynamics of the pandemic in various contexts. The articles in this special issue unpack the role of politics in confronting an existential health crisis such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Specifically, it delineates three core dimensions of the state necessary to address such a crisis: authority, capacity, and legitimacy (Gisselquist and Vaccaro 2021).
2019冠状病毒病(新冠肺炎)大流行继续影响全球人民的健康和生计系统。随着各国政府在各自的司法管辖区推出大规模疫苗接种计划,考虑到新冠肺炎变异和新变种的出现以及公民对疫苗的犹豫,目前尚不确定是否能尽快实现群体免疫。与此同时,政治领导人跨越了为拯救生命而实施流动限制和为拯救就业而重新开放经济之间的界限。这引发了人们对国内和国际层面对这场危机的政治反应的根本担忧。重要的是要审查和比较不同背景下新冠疫情的政治动态。本期特刊的文章揭示了政治在应对新冠肺炎大流行等生存健康危机中的作用。具体而言,它描述了应对此类危机所需的国家的三个核心层面:权威、能力和合法性(Gisselquist和Vaccaro,2021)。
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引用次数: 0
Explaining the High Political Trust in the Philippines: The Role of Citizens’ Subjective Health and Political Values 解释菲律宾的高度政治信任:公民的主观健康和政治价值观的作用
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-28 DOI: 10.1163/2165025x-bja10034
Ronald A. Pernia
What accounts for the uptick of political trust in the Philippines? This study theorizes that individual subjective health combined with the extent of democratic (and nondemocratic political attitude) explains political trust in the Philippines. It hypothesizes that healthier authoritarian citizens are more likely to express favorable views towards political institutions because these individuals possess conservative values who put, among others, a premium on maintenance of order and stability. Such political values are activated upon the arrival of strongmen. Using data from the 2019 World Values Survey, estimates strongly support such an argument. The novel operationalization of this study nuances the view of citizen attitudes on political trust in developing democracies. Overall, the main results not only add credence to the cultural origins of political trust, but it also illuminates on why Philippine political institutions remain trusted despite the botched pandemic response and Filipinos’ enduring support for leaders like Duterte.
菲律宾政治信任度上升的原因是什么?本研究推论,个人主观健康与民主(和非民主的政治态度)的程度相结合,解释了菲律宾的政治信任。它假设,健康的威权公民更有可能表达对政治机构的赞成意见,因为这些人拥有保守的价值观,其中包括维护秩序和稳定。这样的政治价值观在强人到来时被激活。根据2019年世界价值观调查的数据,估计结果有力地支持了这一论点。本研究新颖的运作方式,使发展中民主国家的公民对政治信任的态度有细微差别。总体而言,主要结果不仅增加了政治信任的文化起源的可信度,而且还说明了为什么尽管疫情应对不力,菲律宾人对杜特尔特等领导人的持续支持,但菲律宾的政治机构仍然值得信任。
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引用次数: 1
Strong-Arming, Weak Steering: Central-Local Relations in the Philippines in the Era of the Pandemic 强武装,弱引导:大流行时期菲律宾的中央与地方关系
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-28 DOI: 10.1163/2165025x-bja10037
P. Hutchcroft, Weena Gera
This article examines central-local dynamics in the Philippines in the era of the pandemic, demonstrating that the national government has not provided the type of “central steering” necessary to confront a foe as tenacious as COVID-19. Instead, there is another type of power that emanates from the center – namely the strong-arming of local politicians by President Rodrigo Duterte. While this form of power may help conceal the government’s “weak steering,” and make the president appear to be in control, it does not produce the quality of national-subnational coordination required for effective pandemic response. It is an escalation of Duterte’s earlier approaches, from 2016 to 2019, albeit no longer accompanied with rhetoric supporting local autonomy. Through examination of key elements of the government’s pandemic response, we advance our core argument: strong-arming is no substitute for effective central steering – whether in responding to this crisis or to other crises that may emerge in the future.
这篇文章探讨了疫情时代菲律宾的中心地带动态,表明国家政府没有提供必要的“中央指导”来对抗像新冠肺炎这样顽强的敌人。相反,还有另一种来自中央的权力,即罗德里戈·杜特尔特总统对当地政客的强大武装。虽然这种形式的权力可能有助于掩盖政府的“软弱指导”,并使总统看起来处于控制之中,但它并没有产生有效应对疫情所需的国家以下各级协调的质量。这是杜特尔特从2016年到2019年早期做法的升级,尽管不再伴随着支持地方自治的言论。通过研究政府应对疫情的关键要素,我们提出了我们的核心论点:无论是在应对这场危机还是未来可能出现的其他危机时,强有力的武装都不能取代有效的中央指导。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Philippine Political Science Journal
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