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Integrated energy trading algorithm for source-grid-load-storage energy system based on distributed machine learning 基于分布式机器学习的源-网-负荷-储能系统综合能源交易算法
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-12-31 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-024-00451-y
Zhiwei Cui, Changming Mo, Qideng Luo, Chunli Zhou

The highly integrated source-grid-load-storage energy system has received increasing attention in energy transformation strategies. However, the current static network isomorphism algorithm for distributed machine learning cannot meet the energy exchange needs of the integrated energy system. To better solve the energy loss problem caused by energy trading in the power system, prevent the clean energy loss, and ensure the stable operation of the power system, a distributed dynamic network heterogeneous algorithm is designed on the basis of distributed machine learning. The proposed method uses a dynamic network to balance communication load among servers while solving the hidden state vector errors that cannot be corrected timely due to static network isomorphism. Compared with other methods with a sensitivity of 25%, the sensitivity level of the improved algorithm was above 75%. When the accuracy of other algorithms was 50%, the improved algorithm was above 80%. In the application experiment, the temperature reached 50℃ with the increase of the power. The humidity value always remained above 20. Therefore, the proposed algorithm has superior performance and good application effects, providing new ideas for energy trading in source-grid-load-storage energy systems.

高度集成的源-网-负荷-储能系统在能源转型战略中越来越受到重视。然而,目前用于分布式机器学习的静态网络同构算法无法满足集成能源系统的能量交换需求。为了更好地解决电力系统中能源交易带来的能量损失问题,防止清洁能源的损失,保证电力系统的稳定运行,设计了一种基于分布式机器学习的分布式动态网络异构算法。该方法利用动态网络平衡服务器间的通信负载,同时解决了静态网络同构导致的状态向量隐藏错误无法及时纠正的问题。与其他灵敏度为25%的方法相比,改进算法的灵敏度水平在75%以上。当其他算法的准确率为50%时,改进算法的准确率在80%以上。在应用实验中,随着功率的增大,温度达到50℃。湿度值一直保持在20以上。因此,该算法具有优越的性能和良好的应用效果,为源-网-负荷-储能系统的能源交易提供了新的思路。
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引用次数: 0
Distributed hybrid energy storage photovoltaic microgrid control based on MPPT algorithm and equilibrium control strategy 基于MPPT算法和平衡控制策略的分布式混合储能光伏微网控制
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-12-31 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-024-00454-9
Yanlong Qi, Rui Liu, Haisheng Lin, Junchen Zhong, Zhen Chen
<div><p>With the rapid advancement of the new energy transformation process, the stability of photovoltaic microgrid output is particularly important. However, current photovoltaic microgrids suffer from unstable output and power fluctuations. To improve the stability and system controllability of photovoltaic microgrid output, this study constructs an optimized grey wolf optimization algorithm. Using the idea of small step perturbation, it is applied to the maximum power point tracking solar controller to construct a maximum power point controller algorithm based on the improved algorithm. Secondly, the algorithm is combined with photovoltaic arrays to construct a maximum tracking point control system for photovoltaic arrays based on the algorithm. Finally, the system is combined with low-pass filtering power allocation and secondary power allocation strategies, as well as a hybrid storage system, to construct a photovoltaic microgrid control model. In the performance comparison analysis of the research algorithm, the average accuracy and average loss value of the algorithm were 98.2% and 0.15, respectively, which were significantly better than the compared algorithms. The performance analysis of the photovoltaic microgrid control model showed that the model could effectively regulate and control the output power of the microgrid under two operating conditions, demonstrating its effectiveness. The above results indicate that The proposed algorithm and the improved algorithm of the PV microgrid control model can not only improve the steady-state tracking accuracy, but also have better dynamic performance and improve the tracking speed. The control strategy can maintain the operational stability of the microgrid system and realize the smooth switching control of each mode, meeting the stability and flexibility requirements of the PV microgrid system. The novelty of this study is that the improved Grey Wolf optimization algorithm enhances the global search ability by introducing the random jump mechanism of Levy flight algorithm and the combination of particle swarm optimization algorithm and Grey Wolf optimization algorithm to avoid falling into the local optimal. The randomness and ergodicity of Levy flight algorithm enable the hybrid algorithm to quickly adapt to the changes of light intensity and environmental conditions, and maintain the efficient operation of MPPT. Moreover, particle swarm optimization has strong local search ability, and gray Wolf optimization improves local search accuracy. The combination of the two improves local search accuracy. By combining the characteristics of Levy flight algorithm, the parameters of PSO and GWO algorithm, such as inertia weight and convergence factor, are dynamically adjusted to adapt to different working conditions of MPPT. The optimal solution is output as the optimal strategy of MPPT through collaboration. The potential practical impact is that the improved MPPT control strategy can track the max
随着新能源转型进程的快速推进,光伏微网输出的稳定性显得尤为重要。然而,目前的光伏微电网存在输出不稳定和功率波动的问题。为了提高光伏微网输出的稳定性和系统可控性,本研究构建了优化的灰狼优化算法。利用小阶摄动思想,将其应用于最大功率点跟踪太阳能控制器中,构造了基于改进算法的最大功率点控制算法。其次,将该算法与光伏阵列相结合,构建基于该算法的光伏阵列最大跟踪点控制系统。最后,结合低通滤波功率分配和二次功率分配策略以及混合存储系统,构建光伏微网控制模型。在对研究算法的性能对比分析中,算法的平均准确率为98.2%,平均损失值为0.15,明显优于对比算法。对光伏微网控制模型的性能分析表明,该模型在两种工况下都能有效调节和控制微网的输出功率,证明了其有效性。上述结果表明,本文提出的算法和改进的光伏微网控制模型算法不仅可以提高稳态跟踪精度,而且具有更好的动态性能,提高了跟踪速度。该控制策略能够保持微网系统的运行稳定性,实现各模式的平滑切换控制,满足光伏微网系统对稳定性和灵活性的要求。本研究的新颖之处在于改进的灰狼优化算法通过引入Levy飞行算法的随机跳跃机制以及粒子群优化算法与灰狼优化算法的结合,增强了全局搜索能力,避免陷入局部最优。Levy飞行算法的随机性和遍历性使得混合算法能够快速适应光照强度和环境条件的变化,保持MPPT的高效运行。粒子群算法具有较强的局部搜索能力,灰狼算法提高了局部搜索精度。两者的结合提高了局部搜索的准确性。结合Levy飞行算法的特点,动态调整PSO算法和GWO算法的惯性权重和收敛因子等参数,以适应MPPT的不同工况。通过协作输出最优解作为MPPT的最优策略。潜在的实际影响是,改进后的MPPT控制策略可以更有效地跟踪最大功率点,提高光伏发电系统的效率和稳定性,通过提高光伏系统的跟踪精度和收敛速度减少能源浪费,提高系统的鲁棒性。
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引用次数: 0
Optimizing power system trading processes using smart contract algorithms 使用智能合约算法优化电力系统交易流程
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-12-30 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-024-00457-6
Chong Shao, Xumin Liu, Ding Li, Xiaoting Chen

This study presents a distributed electricity trading system using smart contracts to improve transaction efficiency and reduce costs in power markets. Three trading models are analyzed: centralized trading, blockchain-based decentralized trading, and smart contract-driven automated trading. The advantages and challenges of each model are examined, focusing on factors like node inclusion time, transaction costs, and price stability. The results show that the smart contract-driven model outperforms the others by increasing market efficiency, lowering transaction costs, and reducing price fluctuations. Through simulations and real-world analysis, this study provides support for using blockchain technology in power markets and offers practical advice for improving electricity trading systems. The findings suggest that the proposed system could greatly enhance transparency, efficiency, and cost-effectiveness in distributed energy markets, even in uncertain market conditions.

本研究提出了一个使用智能合约的分布式电力交易系统,以提高交易效率并降低电力市场的成本。分析了三种交易模式:集中式交易、基于区块链的去中心化交易和智能合约驱动的自动交易。研究了每个模型的优势和挑战,重点关注节点包含时间、交易成本和价格稳定性等因素。结果表明,智能合约驱动模型在提高市场效率、降低交易成本和减少价格波动方面优于其他模型。本研究透过模拟及实际分析,为区块链技术在电力市场的应用提供支持,并为改善电力交易系统提供实用建议。研究结果表明,即使在不确定的市场条件下,该系统也可以大大提高分布式能源市场的透明度、效率和成本效益。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the impact of enterprise digital transformation based on digital twin technology on renewable energy investment decisions 基于数字孪生技术的企业数字化转型对可再生能源投资决策的影响研究
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-12-30 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-024-00447-8
Mengying Cao, Wanxiao Song, Yanyan Xu

In the context of global climate change and sustainable development, enterprise digital transformation has become key to improving efficiency and competitiveness. Digital twin technology, as an emerging tool, enables real-time monitoring, prediction, and optimization by creating dynamic virtual models of real-world processes. This paper explores the impact of digital twin-based transformation on renewable energy investment decisions. Through empirical analysis of over 200 companies globally, the study finds that companies using digital twin technology exhibit higher accuracy and efficiency in renewable energy investment decisions. These companies show improved forecasting of energy consumption and investment returns, gaining a competitive edge. On average, these companies experience a 15% ROI increase for their renewable energy investments and enjoy a 20% acceleration in the decision-making process. Furthermore, the study delves into how the adoption of digital twin technology differs across various company sizes and industries, providing actionable insights and guidance for enterprises embarking on their digital transformation journey.

在全球气候变化和可持续发展的背景下,企业数字化转型已成为提高效率和竞争力的关键。数字孪生技术作为一种新兴工具,通过创建现实世界过程的动态虚拟模型,实现实时监控、预测和优化。本文探讨了基于数字孪生的转型对可再生能源投资决策的影响。通过对全球200多家公司的实证分析,研究发现,使用数字孪生技术的公司在可再生能源投资决策中表现出更高的准确性和效率。这些公司对能源消耗和投资回报的预测有所改善,从而获得了竞争优势。平均而言,这些公司的可再生能源投资回报率增加了15%,决策过程加快了20%。此外,该研究还深入探讨了不同公司规模和行业采用数字孪生技术的差异,为开始数字化转型之旅的企业提供了可行的见解和指导。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of lithium-ion battery SOC based on IGA-GRU and the fusion of multi-head attention mechanism 基于IGA-GRU和多头关注融合机制的锂离子电池SOC预测
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-12-30 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-024-00453-w
Pei Tang, Minnan Jiang, Weikai Xu, Zhengyu Ding, Mao Lv

It is necessary to establish a sufficiently advanced Battery Management System (BMS) for safe driving of electric vehicles. Lithium-ion batteries have been widely used in electric vehicles due to their advantages of high specific energy and low-temperature resistance, so this paper takes lithium-ion batteries as the research object. BMS can monitor various status information of lithium-ion batteries in real-time, and the State of Charge (SOC) of lithium-ion batteries is a key parameter among them. Accurate SOC estimation is crucial for ensuring the safety and reliability of energy storage applications and new energy vehicles. However, the value of SOC cannot be directly measured. In order to more accurately estimate the SOC, this paper proposes a prediction method that combines an immune genetic algorithm, gated recurrent unit, and multi-head attention mechanism (MHA), using battery experimental data from the University of Maryland as the dataset. Compared with the traditional parameter optimization approach, this paper uses the immune genetic algorithm to find the optimal hyperparameters of the model, which on the one hand has a wider choice of parameters, and on the other hand has been improved for the genetic algorithm is easy to fall into the local optimal solution, so as to improve the SOC estimation accuracy of the GRU model. The model also incorporates a multi-attention mechanism to capture different levels of information, which enhances the expressive power of the model. The data preprocessing part adopts the sliding window technique, through which the original time series data is converted into several different training samples when training the machine learning model, as a way to increase the diversity of the dataset and improve the robustness of the model. Finally, the prediction performance of the fusion model proposed in this paper is verified by Pycharm simulation, and the average absolute error, root mean square error and maximum prediction error of the model are 1.62%, 1.55% and 0.5%, respectively, which proves that the model can accurately predict the SOC of lithium-ion battery. It is shown that the model can significantly improve the accuracy and robustness of SOC estimation, enhance the intelligence, real-time and interpretability of the battery management system, and bring a more efficient, safe and long-lasting battery management solution to the fields of electric vehicles and energy storage systems.

为了保证电动汽车的安全行驶,有必要建立足够先进的电池管理系统(BMS)。锂离子电池由于具有高比能和耐低温等优点,在电动汽车中得到了广泛的应用,因此本文以锂离子电池为研究对象。BMS可以实时监测锂离子电池的各种状态信息,而锂离子电池的荷电状态(SOC)是其中的关键参数。准确的SOC估算对于保证储能应用和新能源汽车的安全可靠性至关重要。然而,SOC的值不能直接测量。为了更准确地估计SOC,本文以马里兰大学电池实验数据为数据集,提出了一种结合免疫遗传算法、门控循环单元和多头注意机制(MHA)的SOC预测方法。与传统的参数优化方法相比,本文采用免疫遗传算法寻找模型的最优超参数,一方面具有更广泛的参数选择范围,另一方面针对遗传算法容易陷入局部最优解的问题进行了改进,从而提高了GRU模型SOC估计的精度。该模型还结合了多注意机制来捕获不同层次的信息,增强了模型的表达能力。数据预处理部分采用滑动窗口技术,在训练机器学习模型时,将原始时间序列数据转换为多个不同的训练样本,增加数据集的多样性,提高模型的鲁棒性。最后,通过Pycharm仿真验证了本文提出的融合模型的预测性能,模型的平均绝对误差、均方根误差和最大预测误差分别为1.62%、1.55%和0.5%,证明该模型能够准确预测锂离子电池的荷电状态。结果表明,该模型能显著提高电池荷电状态估计的准确性和鲁棒性,增强电池管理系统的智能性、实时性和可解释性,为电动汽车和储能系统领域带来更高效、安全、持久的电池管理解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Intelligent adjustment and energy consumption optimization of the fresh air system in hospital buildings based on Fuzzy Logic and Genetic Algorithms 基于模糊逻辑和遗传算法的医院建筑新风系统智能调节与能耗优化
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-12-30 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-024-00448-7
Jing Peng, Maorui He, Mengting Fan

To improve the intelligent adjustment ability and energy consumption prediction accuracy of the fresh air system in hospital buildings, this study constructs an energy consumption prediction model based on the Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN). Meanwhile, it introduces the Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Fuzzy Logic Algorithm (FLA) to optimize the BPNN, thus enhancing the model’s global search ability and robustness. By comparing the proposed optimized model with other models, the study analyzes the advantages of the proposed model in terms of prediction accuracy and convergence speed. Moreover, its practical effectiveness in energy consumption and operational cost optimization is evaluated. The results show that the Genetic Algorithm-Fuzzy Logic Algorithm-Back Propagation (GA-FLA-BP) algorithm performs the best in load prediction, with prediction errors typically below 1.5%, particularly on the 5th and 18th days, demonstrating exceptional performance. Compared to the GA-BP and FLA-BP models, the GA-FLA-BP algorithm exhibits stronger capabilities in handling complex data and uncertainty. Regarding energy consumption and electricity cost optimization, GA-FLA-BP also outperforms other models. Its energy consumption prediction accuracy is 91.5% and an electricity cost prediction accuracy is 90.8%, resulting in savings of 29.2% in energy consumption and 31.2% in costs. Although other algorithms show improvements, GA-FLA-BP remains significantly ahead. Furthermore, the GA-FLA-BP algorithm excels in robustness, consistency, time complexity, and real-time performance. This algorithm demonstrates the highest stability and consistency, the fastest processing speed, and the shortest response time, proving its superior performance in energy consumption management and cost optimization. This study enhances the intelligent adjustment capability of the fresh air system in hospital buildings by optimizing the energy consumption prediction model. Therefore, the study significantly reduces energy consumption and operational costs, improving the efficiency and economy of energy management.

为了提高医院建筑新风系统的智能调节能力和能耗预测精度,本研究构建了基于反向传播神经网络(BPNN)的能耗预测模型。同时,引入遗传算法(GA)和模糊逻辑算法(FLA)对bp神经网络进行优化,增强了模型的全局搜索能力和鲁棒性。通过与其他模型的比较,分析了该模型在预测精度和收敛速度方面的优势。并对其在能源消耗和运行成本优化方面的实际效果进行了评价。结果表明,遗传算法-模糊逻辑算法-反向传播(GA-FLA-BP)算法在负荷预测中表现最好,预测误差一般在1.5%以下,特别是在第5天和第18天,表现出优异的性能。与GA-BP和FLA-BP模型相比,GA-FLA-BP算法在处理复杂数据和不确定性方面表现出更强的能力。在能耗和电费优化方面,GA-FLA-BP也优于其他模型。能耗预测准确率为91.5%,电费预测准确率为90.8%,能耗节约29.2%,成本节约31.2%。尽管其他算法也有所改进,GA-FLA-BP仍然遥遥领先。此外,GA-FLA-BP算法具有鲁棒性、一致性、时间复杂度和实时性等优点。该算法具有最高的稳定性和一致性、最快的处理速度和最短的响应时间,证明了其在能耗管理和成本优化方面的优越性能。本研究通过优化能耗预测模型,提高医院建筑新风系统的智能调节能力。因此,本研究显著降低了能源消耗和运行成本,提高了能源管理的效率和经济性。
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引用次数: 0
Operation monitoring platform of relay protection equipment at distribution network side under the background of new power system 新型电力系统背景下配电网侧继电保护设备运行监控平台
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-12-30 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-024-00440-1
Qingsheng Li, Yu Zhang, Zhaofeng Zhang, Zhen Li

The new power system puts forward higher requirements for the functionality, real-time performance and reliability of relay protection equipment. Therefore, this paper designs a monitoring platform for the operation of relay protection equipment at distribution network side under the background of new power system. The platform obtains the running state of relay protection equipment by establishing simulation models of different types of relay protection equipment on the distribution network side. The fault time, fault type and current action of relay protection equipment at distribution network side are analyzed to realize the monitoring of operation state. At the same time, the visual representation method of monitoring data based on three-dimensional parallel scattergram and human-computer interaction is adopted for human-computer interaction, and the electromechanical protection device is controlled to realize current quick-break protection and overcurrent protection. The experimental results show that the platform can effectively monitor the operation of relay protection equipment on the distribution network side in real time and accurately judge the action of the equipment, and the application effect is good.

新型电力系统对继电保护设备的功能性、实时性和可靠性提出了更高的要求。因此,本文设计了一个新型电力系统背景下配电网侧继电保护设备运行监控平台。该平台通过建立配电网侧不同类型继电保护设备的仿真模型,获得继电保护设备的运行状态。分析配电网侧继电保护设备的故障时间、故障类型和电流动作,实现对其运行状态的监测。同时,采用基于三维并行散点图和人机交互的监测数据可视化表示方法进行人机交互,控制机电保护装置实现电流速断保护和过流保护。实验结果表明,该平台能够实时有效地监测配电网侧继电保护设备的运行情况,准确判断设备的动作,应用效果良好。
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引用次数: 0
Eco-cities of tomorrow: how green finance fuels urban energy efficiency—insights from prefecture-level cities in China 未来的生态城市:绿色金融如何提高城市能源效率——来自中国地级市的洞察
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-12-30 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-024-00455-8
Jiaomei Tang, Kuiyou Huang

Green finance plays a pivotal role in advancing sustainable urban development by enhancing energy efficiency and supporting low-carbon transitions. This study empirically demonstrates that green finance maturity (GFM), which reflects the development and effectiveness of green financial systems, has a significant positive impact on urban energy efficiency (UEE). Using panel data from Chinese prefecture-level cities spanning 2006 to 2021, the analysis shows that a one-unit increase in GFM improves UEE by 0.221 standard deviations. Mechanism analysis reveals that this effect is primarily mediated through technological advancements and improvements in innovation capacity. Further heterogeneity analysis highlights that GFM’s impact is more pronounced in non-resource-based cities and in regions characterized by advanced financial systems, greater global market integration, and higher levels of urbanization. These findings offer valuable, context-specific insights for policymakers seeking to leverage green finance maturity as a tool to promote sustainable urban development across diverse socio-economic and institutional settings.

绿色金融通过提高能效和支持低碳转型,在推动城市可持续发展方面发挥着关键作用。实证研究表明,绿色金融成熟度(GFM)对城市能源效率(UEE)具有显著的正向影响,反映了绿色金融体系的发展和有效性。利用2006年至2021年中国地级市的面板数据,分析表明,GFM每增加一个单位,UEE就会提高0.221个标准差。机制分析表明,这种效应主要通过技术进步和创新能力的提高来中介。进一步的异质性分析强调,GFM的影响在非资源型城市和金融体系发达、全球市场一体化程度更高、城市化水平更高的地区更为明显。这些发现为寻求利用绿色金融成熟度作为工具,在不同社会经济和制度背景下促进可持续城市发展的政策制定者提供了有价值的、针对具体情况的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Research and development of intelligent bypass ring net cage and collaborative control technology of multi-source power supply system in flooded environment 水淹环境下多源供电系统智能旁路环网箱及协同控制技术的研究与开发
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-12-30 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-024-00438-9
Zhanhua Huang, Liang He

With the acceleration of urbanization, urban waterlogging has become increasingly serious, posing new difficulties to the stability and safety of the power system. Given this, a new type of waterproof circular net cage is designed to ensure power supply and maintain voltage stability by switching to a bypass during floods. The improved non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm optimizes multi-source power supply systems. This results in the provision of innovative solutions for power systems and multi-source power supply collaborative control in flooded environments. Simulation experiments have demonstrated that, under conditions of mild flooding, the voltage of the ring net cage remained at approximately 400 V. In the case of severe flooding, the voltage of the ring net cage was switched to the bypass backup circuit and the voltage was maintained at around 220 V. The current changed with the load. The minimum comprehensive operating cost of the multi-source power supply system optimized based on the improved non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm was 1,453 yuan. Optimization strategies could reduce the unbalanced power of the system and increase the utilization rate of renewable energy to over 90%. The intelligent bypass net cage design has new features of automatic switching of bypass and maintaining voltage stability during floods. Combining an improved non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm for optimizing multi-source power supply systems can significantly reduce operating costs and greatly improve the utilization of renewable energy. The study provides an innovative solution for power systems in flood environments and theoretical support for multi-source power supply collaborative control technology.

随着城市化进程的加快,城市内涝问题日益严重,给电力系统的稳定和安全带来了新的困难。为此,设计了一种新型的防水圆形网箱,通过在洪水期间切换旁路来确保供电和保持电压稳定。改进的非支配排序遗传算法对多源供电系统进行了优化。这为洪水环境下的电力系统和多源电源协同控制提供了创新的解决方案。仿真实验表明,在轻度泛洪条件下,环形网笼的电压保持在400 V左右。在严重淹水的情况下,将环形网箱的电压切换到旁路备用电路,电压维持在220v左右。电流随负载变化而变化。基于改进的非支配排序遗传算法优化的多源供电系统综合运行成本最小为1453元。优化策略可以降低系统的不平衡功率,将可再生能源的利用率提高到90%以上。智能旁路网箱设计具有旁路自动切换、洪水时保持电压稳定的新特点。结合改进的非支配排序遗传算法对多源供电系统进行优化,可以显著降低运行成本,大大提高可再生能源的利用率。该研究为洪水环境下的电力系统提供了创新的解决方案,为多源电源协同控制技术提供了理论支持。
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引用次数: 0
Energy structure optimization and carbon emission control based on weighted mathematical modeling and CGE model 基于加权数学建模和CGE模型的能源结构优化与碳排放控制
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2024-12-20 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-024-00450-z
Sen Wang

The study employs Hebei Province as its research object and employs the weighting method for mathematical modeling to construct an energy structure optimization calculation model under carbon emission control. Secondly, a computable general equilibrium-based model is constructed for the purpose of assessing the impact of an optimal energy structure on the economic development of the province under different planning constraints. The results indicated that when the energy constraint increased from 0.8 to 1.2, the share of coal energy decreased to 61.19% and the share of petroleum energy decreased to 5.02%. The share of natural gas energy increased to 18.41% and the share of non-fossil fuel increased to 15.02%. The total cost of energy increased to 83.04 billion dollars and abatement cost decreased to 2.74 billion dollars. With the gradual completion of the planning constraints, the effect of emission reduction was gradually obvious, but the decline gradually decreased. While abatement costs could be decreased in tandem with rising energy costs, the macroeconomy and environment in the region suffered as a result of rising energy costs. The study indicates that in order to achieve sustainable regional economic development and align with the principles of ecological governance, it is essential to enhance energy management, actively advance the development of clean energy, and strive for equilibrium between economic growth, energy development, and ecological environmental protection. Concurrently, alternative energy sources must be identified through scientific and technological innovation in order to diminish reliance on fossil energy.

本研究以河北省为研究对象,采用加权法进行数学建模,构建了碳排放控制下的能源结构优化计算模型。其次,构建了基于一般均衡的可计算模型,以评估不同规划约束下最优能源结构对该省经济发展的影响。结果表明,当能源约束由0.8增加到1.2时,煤炭能源占比下降到61.19%,石油能源占比下降到5.02%。天然气能源比重提高到18.41%,非化石能源比重提高到15.02%。能源总成本增加到830.4亿美元,减排成本减少到27.4亿美元。随着规划约束条件的逐步完成,减排效果逐渐明显,但降幅逐渐减小。虽然减排成本可以随着能源成本的上升而降低,但该区域的宏观经济和环境却受到能源成本上升的影响。研究表明,要实现区域经济可持续发展,符合生态治理原则,必须加强能源管理,积极推进清洁能源发展,努力实现经济增长、能源发展和生态环境保护的平衡。同时,必须通过科学和技术革新确定替代能源,以减少对矿物能源的依赖。
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Energy Informatics
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