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Multi-objective coordinated optimization of flexible interconnected distribution networks under rainstorm conditions 暴雨条件下柔性互联配电网多目标协调优化
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-12-04 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00612-7
Wei Zeng, Wei Pan, Guobing Liu, Jingguang Lu, Ke Wang, Chong Wang

The widespread integration of high-penetration distributed photovoltaic (PV) systems presents multiple challenges to distribution networks, particularly under extreme weather conditions such as short-term heavy rain, where issues like voltage violations and increased network losses become more severe. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a multi-objective coordinated optimization strategy for flexible interconnected distribution networks. The strategy establishes a multi-objective optimization model that comprehensively considers network losses, voltage deviations, PV output fluctuations, and regulation costs. It fully leverages the precise power flow regulation capability of the Soft Open Points (SOPs), coordinated with the fluctuation-smoothing effect of energy storage systems (ESS) and the voltage support function of multiple types of reactive power compensation devices. By introducing a special crowding distance (SCD) ordering mechanism, the traditional four-vector intelligent metaheuristic (FVIM) algorithm was upgraded to a multi-objective optimization algorithm for solution, significantly enhancing the quality of the Pareto optimal solution set. Simulation results based on the modified IEEE 33-bus and IEEE 39-bus systems show that the proposed strategy reduces the 24-hour total network loss by 19.17% and 6.37%, respectively, while keeping the minimum system voltage within the safe range throughout the day. Comparative analysis across multiple scenarios verifies the effectiveness and robustness of the strategy in smoothing PV fluctuations, optimizing system operation, and coping with extreme weather events. This research provides an efficient solution for the coordinated optimal operation of high-PV-penetration distribution networks, balancing economic efficiency, power quality, and operational stability.

高渗透分布式光伏(PV)系统的广泛集成给配电网带来了多重挑战,特别是在极端天气条件下,如短期大雨,电压违规和网络损耗增加等问题变得更加严重。针对这些挑战,本文提出了一种柔性互联配电网的多目标协调优化策略。该策略建立了综合考虑电网损耗、电压偏差、光伏输出波动和调节成本的多目标优化模型。它充分利用软开点(SOPs)的精确潮流调节能力,配合储能系统(ESS)的平滑波动效应和多类型无功补偿装置的电压支撑功能。通过引入特殊的拥挤距离排序机制,将传统的四向量智能元启发式(FVIM)算法升级为求解多目标优化算法,显著提高了Pareto最优解集的质量。基于改进的IEEE 33-bus和IEEE 39-bus系统的仿真结果表明,该策略可使24小时总网损分别降低19.17%和6.37%,同时使系统最小电压全天保持在安全范围内。多场景对比分析验证了该策略在平滑光伏波动、优化系统运行和应对极端天气事件方面的有效性和鲁棒性。本研究为高光伏渗透配电网协调优化运行,平衡经济效益、电能质量和运行稳定性提供了有效的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Operational optimization of high-proportion clean energy systems based on electricity-hydrogen-energy storage synergy 基于电-氢-储能协同的高比例清洁能源系统运行优化
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00611-8
Yangming Xiao, Jie Jiao, Wenwen Zhang, Wenshi Ren, Xiaobao Yu

High-renewable power systems are crucial for climate change mitigation and energy transition, yet their grid integration poses stability challenges. Hydrogen energy storage, with its large-scale and long-duration advantages, offers a promising solution to enhance flexibility against the volatility and intermittency of high-proportion clean energy. While recent studies have explored various electricity-synergy business models, they often lack a unified multidimensional evaluation framework. This study establishes an electricity-hydrogen-energy storage synergistic optimization model that minimizes total operational costs while comparing hydrogen transportation and electricity transmission modes. Simulation in a high-renewable demonstration area in Southwest China shows the hydrogen transportation mode outperforms, reducing wind and solar curtailment rates to 12.68% and 7.75%, respectively, cutting system costs by 57.3%, and generating additional hydrogen revenue. Sensitivity analysis identifies hydrogen selling price and production efficiency as key economic drivers, offering insights for planning and operating hydrogen storage in high-renewable systems. These findings support decision-making for electro-hydrogen system planning, business model innovation, and policy formulation.

高可再生能源发电系统对减缓气候变化和能源转型至关重要,但其并网带来了稳定性挑战。氢能储能具有规模大、持续时间长等优势,为提高灵活性,应对高比例清洁能源的波动性和间歇性提供了一种很有前景的解决方案。虽然最近的研究探索了各种电力协同商业模式,但它们往往缺乏统一的多维评估框架。本研究在比较氢气运输和电力传输模式的同时,建立了总运行成本最小的电力-氢-储能协同优化模型。在中国西南地区高可再生示范区的模拟表明,氢运输模式表现优异,分别将风能和太阳能弃风率降低到12.68%和7.75%,降低了系统成本57.3%,并产生了额外的氢收入。敏感性分析将氢的销售价格和生产效率确定为关键的经济驱动因素,为高可再生系统中氢储存的规划和运营提供了见解。这些发现为电氢系统规划、商业模式创新和政策制定提供了决策支持。
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引用次数: 0
Designing and implementing the trust diamond for verifiable and privacy-preserving data sharing: engineering energy flexibility provision 设计和实现可验证和隐私保护数据共享的信任钻石:工程能源灵活性提供
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00603-8
Till Zwede, Marvin Ehaus, Matthias Babel, Paula Heeß, Leo Schick, Marc-Fabian Körner, Jens Strüker

While data sharing in a digitalized world is increasingly important, its inherent tension between data verifiability and privacy limits stakeholders’ engagement. In the course of the sustainable energy transition, this tension also hinders the integration of small-scale flexibility devices in electricity grids: Grid operators must rely on verifiable data for secure operations, while device owners often seek to ensure data protection and thus privacy. Applying an Action Design Research Approach, we design and implement the Flexibility Provision Data Flow and the digital Trust Diamond that leverages wallet-based identity management for ensuring verifiability and privacy-preserving data sharing. To that end, we also derive two fundamental design principles for systems that leverage the Trust Diamond, namely Verifiability through Delegation and Mediated Sovereignty, and show their applicability for optimized grid operations. Our research further results in proposing a Decentralized Flexibility Provision Architecture that operationalizes these findings in a laboratory and field test environment. Performance tests indicate the solution’s practical scalability. This study highlights the importance of Information Systems-based solutions to enhance data sharing and address trust concerns between stakeholders. Moreover, it provides an actionable design to realize wallet-based data sharing to enable a decentralized flexibility provision for Redispatch measures.

虽然数据共享在数字化世界中变得越来越重要,但数据可验证性和隐私之间固有的紧张关系限制了利益相关者的参与。在可持续能源转型的过程中,这种紧张关系也阻碍了小型灵活设备在电网中的整合:电网运营商必须依靠可验证的数据来安全运行,而设备所有者往往寻求确保数据保护,从而确保隐私。采用行动设计研究方法,我们设计并实现了灵活性提供数据流和数字信任钻石,它们利用基于钱包的身份管理来确保可验证性和隐私保护数据共享。为此,我们还为利用信任钻石的系统导出了两个基本设计原则,即通过委托和中介主权的可验证性,并展示了它们对优化电网运行的适用性。我们的研究进一步提出了一种分散的灵活性供应架构,可以在实验室和现场测试环境中操作这些发现。性能测试表明该解决方案具有实际的可扩展性。本研究强调了基于信息系统的解决方案对于加强数据共享和解决利益相关者之间的信任问题的重要性。此外,它还提供了一个可操作的设计来实现基于钱包的数据共享,从而为重新调度措施提供分散的灵活性。
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引用次数: 0
Regulation-aware optimization for bi-valent industrial processes 双价工业过程的调节感知优化
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00609-2
Jonathan Sejdija, Ralf Schemm, Marco Lauricella, Florian Maurer, Marcel Prinz, Sebastian Dickler, Isabel Kuperjans

Industrial demand-side flexibility is essential for power systems with high shares of variable renewables, yet static grid fees and full load hours incentives can suppress flexible electrification by penalizing peaks and rewarding uniform consumption. This paper introduces an open, extensible, regulation-aware optimization platform that integrates market and emission data with a mixed-integer scheduling model of a bi-valent industrial dryer capable of using electricity and gas. The platform is demonstrated through a representative use case from the energy intensive paper manufacturing sector operating under the current reduced static grid fee pursuant. Because the reduction is contingent on meeting a minimum full load hours threshold, the scope for exploiting the bivalent flexibility potential remains limited. As an alternative, a proposed dynamic grid fee regime featuring time-varying low- and high grid fee windows is evaluated. Any reduction of power consumption from the grid during the high grid fee window does not count against meeting the full load hours threshold. With dynamic fees, the optimization concentrates electric operation within low grid fee windows, increasing electrified heat, reducing emissions, and maintaining competitive costs. Notably, during summer months, these windows align well with periods of lower grid carbon intensity, reinforcing cost–emission co-benefits. However, this alignment deteriorates in winter due to higher variability in renewable generation patterns and constrained window timing, limiting incentive effectiveness. The findings demonstrate that tariff parameterization materially shapes realizable industrial flexibility and that regulation-aware optimization can translate latent technical potential into sustained, temporally targeted electrification aligned with system conditions. The platform enables reproducible, policy-relevant scenario analysis and can aid plant operators for scheduling flexible assets and tariff designers in testing tariff parameters against realistic operational responses.

工业需求侧灵活性对于可变可再生能源比例较高的电力系统至关重要,但静态电网费用和满负荷小时激励可能会通过惩罚峰值和奖励统一消费来抑制灵活的电气化。本文介绍了一个开放的、可扩展的、调节感知的优化平台,该平台将市场和排放数据与电、气双价工业干燥机的混合整数调度模型相结合。该平台通过能源密集型造纸部门的代表性用例进行演示,该用例在当前降低的静态电网费用下运行。由于减少取决于满足最小满负荷小时阈值,因此利用二价灵活性潜力的范围仍然有限。作为一种替代方案,提出了一种动态电网收费制度,该制度具有时变的低和高电网收费窗口。在高电网费用窗口期间,电网的电力消耗的任何减少都不计入满足满负荷小时阈值。通过动态收费,优化将电力运行集中在低电网收费窗口内,增加了电气化热量,减少了排放,并保持了具有竞争力的成本。值得注意的是,在夏季,这些窗口与电网碳强度较低的时期保持一致,从而加强了成本-排放的协同效益。然而,由于可再生能源发电模式的高可变性和受限的窗口时间,这种一致性在冬季恶化,限制了激励的有效性。研究结果表明,电价参数化在很大程度上塑造了可实现的工业灵活性,并且具有监管意识的优化可以将潜在的技术潜力转化为符合系统条件的持续的、暂时有针对性的电气化。该平台支持可重复的、与政策相关的场景分析,可以帮助工厂运营商调度灵活的资产,并帮助电价设计者根据实际运行响应测试电价参数。
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引用次数: 0
A cloud architecture for home energy management systems: a conceptual model 家庭能源管理系统的云架构:一个概念模型
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00599-1
Lucas L. Motta, Washington S. Alvarez, Henry R. Carvajal, Fernando B. Neto, Eduardo R. de Lima, Luís G. P. Meloni

This paper presents a conceptual and architecture-centric design study for Home Energy Management Systems (HEMS), introducing a cloud-based data and software engineering approach that emphasizes the organization, indexing, processing, and analysis of IoT-generated energy data. The proposed architecture supports scalable and reliable ingestion, storage, and retrieval of heterogeneous smart home data, laying the groundwork for high-performance analytics and real-time operations. Among the contributions, a conceptual framework is presented that compiles and classifies HEMS functionalities derived from various demand-side management programs and mechanisms, organized according to their relevance to key stakeholders, including end-users, service aggregators, and utility operators. This framework aims to leverage the potential benefits of these functionalities within multi-level energy communities, while also guiding the design of the proposed architecture and aligning its components with the operational, regulatory, and informational needs of each actor, thereby fostering dynamic interactions and user-centered service delivery. The architecture is structured into three interconnected environments-Ingestion, Operational, and Analytical-each responsible for enabling specific capabilities, from real-time monitoring and control to large-scale data analysis and decision support. By explicitly linking stakeholder needs with software components and data flows, the proposed system ensures adaptability, scalability, and meaningful participation in energy management. A conceptual evaluation demonstrates how the architecture supports representative HEMS use cases and stakeholder roles, offering a structured foundation for addressing emerging challenges in demand-side energy coordination and cloud-based HEMS architectures. Finally, the work includes the practical validation of the Ingestion Environment, providing experimental results that confirm the system’s scalability, performance, and reliability under realistic IoT workloads, thereby bridging the conceptual design with empirical evidence from an implemented component of the proposed architecture.

本文介绍了家庭能源管理系统(HEMS)的概念和以架构为中心的设计研究,介绍了一种基于云的数据和软件工程方法,强调物联网生成的能源数据的组织、索引、处理和分析。提出的架构支持可扩展和可靠的摄取、存储和检索异构智能家居数据,为高性能分析和实时操作奠定基础。在这些贡献中,提出了一个概念性框架,该框架对各种需求侧管理程序和机制衍生的HEMS功能进行了编译和分类,并根据其与关键利益相关者(包括最终用户、服务聚合者和公用事业运营商)的相关性进行了组织。该框架旨在利用多层次能源社区中这些功能的潜在优势,同时也指导拟议体系结构的设计,并将其组件与每个参与者的操作、监管和信息需求保持一致,从而促进动态交互和以用户为中心的服务交付。该体系结构分为三个相互连接的环境——摄取、操作和分析——每个环境负责实现特定的功能,从实时监测和控制到大规模数据分析和决策支持。通过明确地将利益相关者的需求与软件组件和数据流联系起来,所提出的系统确保了能源管理的适应性、可扩展性和有意义的参与。概念评估展示了该架构如何支持具有代表性的HEMS用例和利益相关者角色,为解决需求侧能源协调和基于云的HEMS架构中出现的新挑战提供了结构化基础。最后,该工作包括对摄取环境的实际验证,提供实验结果,确认系统在现实物联网工作负载下的可扩展性、性能和可靠性,从而将概念设计与所提议架构的实现组件的经验证据联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
A coordinated AGC-RTEM-P2P frequency control strategy using fractional-order controllers for low-inertia power systems 基于分数阶控制器的低惯量电力系统AGC-RTEM-P2P协调频率控制策略
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00608-3
Mengge Liu, Haonan Zhang, Yue Ji, Mengyuan Tan, Zengji Liu

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources has significantly decreased the effective inertia of modern power systems, thereby weakening their ability to regulate frequency. Traditional Automatic Generation Control (AGC) strategies are becoming increasingly inadequate in handling rapid frequency dynamics and stability issues, especially in the presence of communication delays. This paper proposes a novel three-layer coordinated frequency control strategy, named AGC-RTEM-P2P, which incorporates fractional-order control, a hierarchical system architecture, and delay compensation techniques. Central to the approach is a fractional-order proportional-integral-derivative (FOPID) controller, which supports a multi-timescale control framework consisting of the AGC layer, the real-time energy market (RTEM) layer, and the peer-to-peer (P2P) coordination layer. Communication delays are effectively addressed using Padé approximation and Recursive Least Squares (RLS) estimation. Control parameters are globally optimized using the lightning search algorithm (LSA). Simulation studies conducted on the IEEE 118-bus system show that the proposed strategy outperforms conventional methods by reducing frequency deviations, enhancing system stability margins, and lowering control energy consumption.

可再生能源的日益并网大大降低了现代电力系统的有效惯性,从而削弱了其调节频率的能力。传统的自动发电控制(AGC)策略在处理快速的频率动态和稳定性问题,特别是在存在通信延迟的情况下,变得越来越不适应。本文提出了一种新的三层协调频率控制策略AGC-RTEM-P2P,该策略结合了分数阶控制、分层系统架构和延迟补偿技术。该方法的核心是分数阶比例-积分-导数(FOPID)控制器,它支持由AGC层、实时能源市场(RTEM)层和点对点(P2P)协调层组成的多时间尺度控制框架。利用pad近似和递归最小二乘(RLS)估计有效地解决了通信延迟问题。采用闪电搜索算法(LSA)对控制参数进行全局优化。在IEEE 118总线系统上进行的仿真研究表明,该策略在减少频率偏差、提高系统稳定裕度和降低控制能耗方面优于传统方法。
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引用次数: 0
Intelligent dynamic management of microgrid security using MOBAS-EPB-based multi-objective optimization 基于mobas - epb的微电网安全多目标优化智能动态管理
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00606-5
Boda Zhang, Ruibin Wen, Chameiling Di, Yunhao Yu, Xiang Guo

A dynamic management model is developed to improve security and operational resilience in power monitoring networks in isolated microgrid conditions. These systems are subject to frequency and voltage instabilities due to limited generation capacity, low inertia, and large shares of dynamic and pulse loads. The dynamic management model integrates isolation strategies, coordinated load balancing, and security-constrained power management strategies. The Multi-Objective Beetle Antennae Search-driven- Enhanced Pity Beetle Algorithm (MOBAS-EPB) facilitates optimizing multiple objectives concurrently and balancing system stability, operating efficiency, and risk management. The framework includes data preprocessing steps as part of the microgrid security and risk management datasets that handle missing values, Z-score normalization, and dynamically detect security threats, reconfiguration of load sharing to avoid cascading failures, and system integrity. Validation is performed on a modified IEEE 33-bus test system under simulated cyber-attacks and load disturbances using the Power Systems Computer-Aided Design (PSCAD) environment. Experimental results demonstrate that MOBAS-EPB reduces frequency deviations by 41.2%, improves voltage stability by 37.6%, decreases outage duration by 48.5%, and shortens network recovery time by 45.9%. The proposed approach enables adaptive control decisions, effectively managing uncertainties from operational and security factors, and demonstrates the potential of combining intelligent optimization with isolation and load coordination to achieve reliable, secure, and efficient operation of decentralized power monitoring networks.

为了提高孤立微电网条件下电力监测网络的安全性和运行弹性,提出了一种动态管理模型。由于有限的发电容量、低惯性以及大量的动态和脉冲负载,这些系统受到频率和电压不稳定的影响。动态管理模型集成了隔离策略、协调负载均衡策略和安全约束电源管理策略。基于多目标甲虫天线搜索驱动的增强型怜悯甲虫算法(MOBAS-EPB)能够同时优化多个目标,平衡系统稳定性、运行效率和风险管理。该框架包括数据预处理步骤,作为微电网安全和风险管理数据集的一部分,用于处理缺失值、z分数规范化、动态检测安全威胁、重新配置负载共享以避免级联故障和系统完整性。在电力系统计算机辅助设计(PSCAD)环境下,在改进的IEEE 33总线测试系统上进行了模拟网络攻击和负载干扰的验证。实验结果表明,MOBAS-EPB减少了41.2%的频率偏差,提高了37.6%的电压稳定性,减少了48.5%的停电时间,缩短了45.9%的网络恢复时间。该方法能够实现自适应控制决策,有效管理运行和安全因素的不确定性,并展示了将智能优化与隔离和负载协调相结合的潜力,以实现分散电力监测网络的可靠、安全和高效运行。
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引用次数: 0
State space model for anomaly detection of distributed photovoltaic power generation systems 分布式光伏发电系统异常检测的状态空间模型
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00598-2
Xiaodong Wang, Juan Du, Gaohong Zhang, Zixuan Zhao

With the quick incorporation of distributed photovoltaic (PV) systems into the contemporary energy grid, guaranteeing consistent power output and system reliability has become critical. These systems are susceptible to a variety of operational anomalies, including dust accumulation, and shading which can reduce energy efficiency without being detected. Traditional anomaly detection methods frequently fail to capture the internal dynamics and latent factors that affect PV system performance over time. There is an urgent need for a robust, real-time, and dynamic monitoring strategy that can accurately detect abnormal behavior in distributed PV systems. The goal of this research is to create and execute a state space model (SSM)-based anomaly detection framework that dynamically estimates system conditions and alerts to deviations from expected power output in real time. A dataset of 5000 records and 10 attributes was used, which contained time-series data from distributed PV systems, such as actual and expected power output, irradiance, temperature, and other operational parameters. Model matrices (A, B, and C) were estimated using linear regression and enhanced by Kalman filtering. The system estimated power output at each time step and calculated the deviation from actual values. A threshold-based approach was employed to classify anomalies. The model was trained on data labeled as normal and validated against both normal and abnormal entries. The proposed SSM-based anomaly detection model had an accuracy of 94.70%, a precision of 93.85%, a recall of 94.30%, an F1-score of 94.07%, and a Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) of 89.32%, indicating strong predictive capability in detecting abnormal performance in PV systems.

随着分布式光伏(PV)系统快速并入现代能源电网,保证稳定的电力输出和系统的可靠性变得至关重要。这些系统容易受到各种操作异常的影响,包括灰尘积聚和阴影,这会在不被发现的情况下降低能源效率。传统的异常检测方法往往无法捕捉到影响光伏系统性能的内部动态和潜在因素。迫切需要一种鲁棒的、实时的、动态的监测策略来准确地检测分布式光伏系统的异常行为。本研究的目标是创建并执行一个基于状态空间模型(SSM)的异常检测框架,该框架可以动态估计系统状况,并实时警告偏离预期的功率输出。使用了5000条记录和10个属性的数据集,其中包含分布式光伏系统的时间序列数据,如实际和预期输出功率、辐照度、温度和其他运行参数。模型矩阵(A, B和C)使用线性回归估计,并通过卡尔曼滤波增强。系统估计每个时间步长的输出功率,并计算与实际值的偏差。采用基于阈值的方法对异常进行分类。该模型在标记为正常的数据上进行训练,并针对正常和异常条目进行验证。基于ssm的异常检测模型准确率为94.70%,精密度为93.85%,召回率为94.30%,f1得分为94.07%,马修斯相关系数(Matthews Correlation Coefficient, MCC)为89.32%,对光伏系统异常性能的检测具有较强的预测能力。
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引用次数: 0
NLESO based integrated flexible planning method for AC/DC hybrid microgrid 基于NLESO的交直流混合微电网综合柔性规划方法
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00593-7
Huixuan Li, Peng Li, Shiqian Wang, Xianyu Yue, Hongkai Zhang, Naixun Li

To address the impact of faults in the planning process of AC/DC hybrid microgrids and achieve integrated and flexible planning, an integrated flexible planning method based on a Nonlinear Extended State Observer (NLESO) is proposed for AC/DC hybrid microgrids. The general structure of the AC/DC hybrid microgrid is analyzed, a mathematical model of the bidirectional AC/DC converter is established, and an optimization model for the AC/DC hybrid microgrid is formulated. With the minimum sum of voltage fluctuations in the hybrid microgrid as the objective function, constraints are defined, and the objective function is solved using particle swarm optimization. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method maintains the voltage amplitude at each node above 0.96 p.u. at all times, ensuring local voltage stability and reducing the microgrid’s operating cost. The annual overall cost is reduced by 318,600 yuan, representing a decrease of approximately 2.37%.

为解决交直流混合微电网规划过程中故障的影响,实现综合柔性规划,提出了一种基于非线性扩展状态观测器(NLESO)的交直流混合微电网综合柔性规划方法。分析了交/直流混合微电网的总体结构,建立了双向AC/DC变换器的数学模型,并建立了交/直流混合微电网的优化模型。以混合微电网电压波动总和最小为目标函数,定义约束条件,采用粒子群算法求解目标函数。实验结果表明,该方法始终保持各节点电压幅值在0.96 p.u.以上,保证了局部电压稳定,降低了微网运行成本。全年减少总成本31.86万元,降幅约2.37%。
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引用次数: 0
Energy consumption predictions using a neural network 利用神经网络进行能源消耗预测
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00601-w
Bechara Nehme, Emile Hajj, Chadi Nohra

Solar and wind energy’s popularity seems to be on the rise and does not show signs of stopping. However, renewable energy resources tend to be unreliable due to unexpected weather. This may lead to an unstable electrical grid, which causes blackouts and additional problems. These issues could be dealt with using multiple energy management systems that are available to help reduce the risk and stabilize the electrical grid. This study aims to examine the capability of these Smart Grids to become smarter and more accurate and whether energy consumption could be forecast in order to use it in small and big renewable energy plants. This study found that to be easily achievable and with great accuracy. In fact, the minimum amount of training data required to achieve good results across all horizon sizes (1, 2, and 7 days) is one year as concluded by the results. However, a small period of two months is enough to forecast small periods from an hour up to 24 h. Additionally, the LSTM network was found to be most suitable.

太阳能和风能的受欢迎程度似乎在上升,而且没有停止的迹象。然而,由于不可预测的天气,可再生能源往往不可靠。这可能会导致电网不稳定,从而导致停电和其他问题。这些问题可以使用多种能源管理系统来解决,这些系统可以帮助降低风险并稳定电网。这项研究旨在研究这些智能电网的能力,使其变得更加智能和准确,以及是否可以预测能源消耗,以便在小型和大型可再生能源工厂中使用。本研究发现,这很容易实现,并且具有很高的准确性。事实上,根据结果得出的结论,在所有视界尺寸(1、2和7天)上获得良好结果所需的最小训练数据量是一年。然而,两个月的小周期足以预测从1小时到24小时的小周期。此外,LSTM网络被发现是最合适的。
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Energy Informatics
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