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Comparison of Machine Learning Techniques for Mineral Resource Categorization in a Copper Deposit in Peru 秘鲁某铜矿床矿产资源分类的机器学习技术比较
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-05-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11053-025-10505-x
Marco A. Cotrina-Teatino, Jairo J. Marquina-Araujo, Álvaro I. Riquelme

The primary objective of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of three machine learning techniques in the confidence categorization of mineral resources within a copper deposit in Peru: extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF), and deep neural network (DNN). To achieve this, geostatistical and geometric datasets were employed to categorize mineral resources into measured, indicated, and inferred categories. The dataset included ordinary kriging estimates, kriging variance, average distances, the number of composites, the kriging Lagrangian, and geological confidence. This dataset was used to train the models, followed by the application of smoothing techniques to the initial classification results to ensure a spatially coherent representation of the deposit. The results indicate that the RF model achieved the highest overall accuracy (94%), categorizing 1403.70 million tons (Mt) as measured resources (average grade of 0.43%), 2230.58 Mt as indicated resources (average grade of 0.33%), and 2225.08 Mt as inferred resources (average grade of 0.31%). XGBoost classified a slightly higher tonnage of measured resources (1412.35 Mt) with average accuracy of 91%, while DNN excelled in inferred resources, classifying 2254.64 Mt with accuracy of 93%. Smoothing improved the transitions between categories, reducing discontinuities and providing a more coherent representation of the deposit. The study concluded that machine learning techniques are robust and accurate tools for mineral resource categorization, particularly in geologically complex deposits.

本研究的主要目的是评估三种机器学习技术在秘鲁铜矿矿产资源置信分类中的有效性:极端梯度增强(XGBoost)、随机森林(RF)和深度神经网络(DNN)。为此,利用地质统计学和几何数据集将矿产资源分为测量类、指示类和推断类。该数据集包括普通克里格估计、克里格方差、平均距离、复合数量、克里格拉格朗日和地质置信度。该数据集用于训练模型,然后将平滑技术应用于初始分类结果,以确保矿床的空间连贯表示。结果表明,RF模型获得了最高的整体精度(94%),将140370万吨(Mt)分类为实测资源(平均品位为0.43%),22300.58 Mt为指示资源(平均品位为0.33%),2225.08 Mt为推断资源(平均品位为0.31%)。XGBoost对测量资源的分类吨位略高(1412.35 Mt),平均准确率为91%,而DNN在推断资源方面表现出色,分类吨位为2254.64 Mt,准确率为93%。平滑改善了类别之间的过渡,减少了不连续性,并提供了更连贯的矿床表示。该研究得出结论,机器学习技术是矿产资源分类的强大而准确的工具,特别是在地质复杂的矿床中。
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引用次数: 0
Anisotropy and Hysteresis of Coal Dynamic Deformation During Adsorption and Desorption 煤在吸附和解吸过程中动态变形的各向异性和滞后性
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-05-15 DOI: 10.1007/s11053-025-10500-2
Fenghua An, Liang Wang, Yanning Ding, Haidong Chen, Xiaolei Zhang

Coal deformation-induced by adsorption/desorption is dynamic and anisotropic, influenced by various factors, such as pressure, temperature, and gas type. This paper investigates the dynamic deformation of coal during the adsorption–desorption process and analyzes the anisotropic and hysteretic characteristics. Results show that maximum deformation is reduced by approximately half with every 10 °C increase above 40 °C, and nearly doubles with each 1 MPa pressure increase. The swelling of CO2 at adsorption equilibrium is twice that of CH4, and almost 4 × that of N2. During desorption, shrinkage and desorption gas are approximately linear. Anisotropy coefficients increase initially, then decrease with adsorption, stabilizing around 2. During desorption, anisotropy coefficients generally decrease. The anisotropy coefficient of CO2 is higher than that of CH4 and N2, and all show a tendency to increase with equilibrium pressure. Cumulative hysteresis deformation decreases with the increasing temperature, even reversing at higher temperatures. CO2 exhibits significantly higher hysteresis than CH4 and N2. These findings offer valuable insights for engineering applications.

煤的吸附/解吸变形是动态的、各向异性的,受压力、温度、气体类型等多种因素的影响。研究了煤在吸附-解吸过程中的动态变形,分析了煤的各向异性和滞后特性。结果表明:在40℃以上,压力每增加10℃,最大变形量减少约一半;压力每增加1 MPa,最大变形量减少近一倍;CO2在吸附平衡时的溶胀量是CH4的2倍,几乎是N2的4倍。在解吸过程中,收缩和解吸气体近似成线性关系。各向异性系数随吸附先增大后减小,稳定在2左右。在解吸过程中,各向异性系数普遍减小。CO2的各向异性系数高于CH4和N2,且均随平衡压力的增大而增大。累积迟滞变形随温度升高而减小,在较高温度下甚至逆转。CO2的迟滞性明显高于CH4和N2。这些发现为工程应用提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated Clustering and Electrofacies Analysis for Reservoir Quality and Heterogeneity Assessment: A Case Study from a Southern Iranian Gas Field 储层质量和非均质性评价的综合聚类和电相分析——以伊朗南部气田为例
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-05-15 DOI: 10.1007/s11053-025-10499-6
Adeleh Jamalian, Ahmad Reza Rabbani, Morteza Asemani

The efficient characterization of heterogeneous carbonate reservoirs remains a significant challenge due to complex depositional environments and diagenetic alterations. While traditional methods like electrofacies analysis and clustering techniques offer inherent benefits, they often yield incomplete or conflicting results if used solely. This paper suggests an integrated study using petrophysical, geological, and statistical analyses to improve reservoir characterization. The proposed approach was applied to a carbonate reservoir case study of a gas field in South Iran. Well-log data and core samples were employed for detailed petrographic and petrophysical analyses. Electrofacies analysis using multi-resolution graph-based clustering (MRGC) identified five distinct electrofacies. Clustering techniques, including K-means and Gaussian mixture models (GMMs), were applied to petrophysical data to delineate similar zones. The Silhouette coefficient was used to evaluate the quality of the clusters. Results showed strong correlation between electrofacies 5 and clusters 4 (from K-means) and 5 (from GMMs), implying the best reservoir properties. This integrated approach suggested a more accurate assessment of reservoir quality attributes (e.g., porosity and water saturation) and highlighted the importance of dolomitized ooid grainstone in controlling hydrocarbon accumulation. This study provides a comprehensive framework for efficiently characterizing heterogeneous carbonate reservoirs by combining petrophysical, geological, and statistical methods. This integrated approach, validated through its successful application in similar reservoir studies, enables a more accurate assessment of reservoir quality attributes such as porosity and water saturation. By leveraging the complementary strengths of these methods, the approach ensures a comprehensive understanding of reservoir heterogeneity and its impact on hydrocarbon accumulation. Additionally, it is beneficial for improving reservoir modeling, enhancing hydrocarbon recovery, and reducing exploration risks.

由于复杂的沉积环境和成岩蚀变,非均质碳酸盐岩储层的有效表征仍然是一个重大挑战。虽然电相分析和聚类技术等传统方法具有固有的优势,但如果单独使用,它们往往会产生不完整或相互矛盾的结果。本文建议采用岩石物理、地质和统计分析相结合的研究方法来改善储层特征。将该方法应用于伊朗南部某气田的碳酸盐岩储层案例研究。利用测井资料和岩心样品进行了详细的岩石学和岩石物理分析。使用多分辨率基于图的聚类(MRGC)进行电相分析,确定了五种不同的电相。包括K-means和高斯混合模型(gmm)在内的聚类技术应用于岩石物理数据,以圈定相似的带。剪影系数用于评价聚类的质量。结果表明,电相5与簇4 (K-means)和簇5 (GMMs)具有较强的相关性,表明储层物性最佳。这种综合方法可以更准确地评价储层质量属性(如孔隙度和含水饱和度),并突出了白云化鲕粒岩在控制油气成藏中的重要性。该研究结合岩石物理、地质和统计方法,为有效表征非均质碳酸盐岩储层提供了一个全面的框架。通过在类似油藏研究中的成功应用,这种综合方法可以更准确地评估储层的质量属性,如孔隙度和含水饱和度。通过利用这些方法的互补优势,该方法确保了对储层非均质性及其对油气聚集的影响的全面了解。此外,还有利于改进储层建模,提高油气采收率,降低勘探风险。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of Cyclic Heat Treatment on Transport Properties of Hot Dry Rock 循环热处理对干热岩石输运特性的影响
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-05-15 DOI: 10.1007/s11053-025-10497-8
Peng Xiao, Dan Shen, Hong Tian, Bin Dou, Jun Zheng, Alessandro Romagnoli, Lizhong Yang

Hot dry rock undergoes cyclic temperature variation during an enhanced geothermal system (EGS) operation, resulting in variations in reservoir rock’s transport properties and subsequently influencing the heat extraction efficiency of EGS. Therefore, the subject of this study was to systematically investigate the effect of cyclic heat treatment on the transport properties of granite, commonly employed in EGS, through the analysis of P-wave velocity, density, and scanning electron microscopy images. Besides, the effect of changes in the granite transport properties on EGS operation was also comprehensively discussed. The results indicated that the cyclic heat treatment led to an increase in granite permeability and a reduction in thermal conductivity. These changes primarily occurred due to the initiation and propagation of microcracks within the granite. Notably, higher-temperature heat treatments exhibited a more pronounced impact on granite properties. Additionally, a significant shift in the granite properties was observed within 450–550 °C, serving as a threshold temperature in this study. Due to the Kaiser memory effect and the blocking effect of the pre-microcrack on the subsequent microcrack, the effect of heat treatment on the properties of granite mainly came from the first heat treatment. Finally, the relationship models between heat treatment temperature and transport properties damage factors were obtained by fitting literature data.

热干岩在增强型地热系统(EGS)运行过程中经历了温度的循环变化,导致储层岩石输运特性的变化,进而影响增强型地热系统的排热效率。因此,本研究的主题是通过对纵波速度、密度和扫描电镜图像的分析,系统地研究循环热处理对EGS中常用的花岗岩输运特性的影响。此外,还全面讨论了花岗岩输运性质的变化对EGS运行的影响。结果表明,循环热处理导致花岗岩渗透率增加,导热系数降低。这些变化主要是由于花岗岩内部微裂纹的萌生和扩展引起的。值得注意的是,高温热处理对花岗岩性能的影响更为明显。此外,在450-550°C范围内观察到花岗岩性质的显著变化,这是本研究的阈值温度。由于Kaiser记忆效应和预微裂纹对后续微裂纹的阻断效应,热处理对花岗岩性能的影响主要来自于第一次热处理。最后,通过拟合文献数据,建立了热处理温度与输运性能损伤因素之间的关系模型。
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引用次数: 0
Coal Sample Dynamics Experiment under the Combined Influence of Cyclic Dynamic Load and Gas Pressure: Phenomenon and Mechanism 循环动载与瓦斯压力联合作用下煤样动力学试验:现象与机理
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-05-11 DOI: 10.1007/s11053-025-10503-z
Siqing Zhang, Xiaofei Liu, Zhoujie Gu, Xiaoran Wang, Xin Zhou, Ang Gao

The deterioration of coal strength caused by geological conditions of high gas in deep mines and disturbance from mining operations is one of the elements that influence the incidence of dynamic disasters like gas outbursts and rock bursts. To study how gas pressure and cyclic loads interact to determine the mechanisms and phenomena of coal dynamics, the split Hopkinson pressure bar apparatus was used to perform cyclic impact test on coal samples to investigate the mechanical behavior of gas-bearing coal samples under cyclic dynamic load and gas pressures. The findings indicated that there are three stages in the stress–strain evolution of gas-bearing coal: linear elastic stage, plastic stage, and post-peak stress attenuation. As cycle time grows, the peak stress and attenuation stress of the coal samples decrease, while the maximum and peak strains exhibit a general increasing trend. Under the impact of dynamic load, the macroscopic damage form of the coal sample is mainly a macroscopic crack, and the microscopic examination revealed that the coal samples interior crystal was primarily a trans-granular fracture. By considering dynamic load, gas pressure, and number of cycles, the test results can be more accurately verified by the mechanical damage constitutive model. Finally, based on cyclic dynamic load and gas pressure, the proposed fatigue prediction model of gas-bearing coal can better anticipate coal samples dynamic load-bearing capability.

深部矿井高瓦斯地质条件和开采作业干扰导致的煤强度恶化是影响瓦斯、岩爆等动力灾害发生的因素之一。为了研究气体压力与循环载荷的相互作用对煤的动力学机理和现象的影响,采用分离式霍普金森压杆装置对煤样进行循环冲击试验,研究含气煤样在循环动载荷和气体压力作用下的力学行为。研究结果表明:含气煤的应力-应变演化经历了三个阶段:线弹性阶段、塑性阶段和峰后应力衰减阶段;随着循环时间的增加,煤样的峰值应力和衰减应力减小,最大应变和峰值应变总体呈增大趋势。在动载荷作用下,煤样的宏观损伤形式主要为宏观裂纹,微观检查发现煤样内部晶型主要为穿晶断裂。考虑动载荷、气体压力和循环次数,力学损伤本构模型可以更准确地验证试验结果。最后,基于循环动载荷和瓦斯压力,所建立的含气煤疲劳预测模型能够较好地预测煤样的动承载能力。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of Algerian Reservoir Petrophysics Properties by Principal Components Analysis: Case Study of Illizi Basin 主成分分析法评价阿尔及利亚储层物性——以Illizi盆地为例
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11053-025-10502-0
Djamel Chehili, Kaddour Sadek, Badr Eddine Rahmani, Benaoumeur Aour, Mehdi Bendali, Abdelmoumen Bacetti, Brahmi Serhane

Optimizing hydrocarbon recovery in the Illizi Basin requires precise reservoir characterization. Traditional methods face challenges in efficiently handling large datasets from multiple wells. This paper employs principal components analysis (PCA) to evaluate the petrophysical properties of the reservoir intervals (IV-3, IV-1b, IV-1a) using wells P8, P4, and P6, situated in the northern, center, and south of our reservoir, respectively. PCA reduced the dimensionality of the data, while preserving original information, facilitating the analysis of the reservoir's geological and sedimentological features. The results showed that unit IV-3 has the highest average porosity (average NET porosity) and the lowest average water saturation (average PAY log sw) across all wells, indicating significant hydrocarbon production potential. In contrast, units IV-1b and IV-1a exhibited higher water saturations, suggesting less favorable conditions for hydrocarbon extraction. Strong negative correlations between petrophysical properties and water saturation in unit IV-3 highlighted its potential for hydrocarbon production. PCA correlation circles illustrated these relationships, with unit IV-3 showing predominantly hydrocarbon saturation, Unit IV-1b exhibited mixed saturation, whereas unit IV-1a was characterized by high water saturation. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of PCA in guiding hydrocarbon resource management and exploitation strategies in the Illizi Basin; therefore, we recommend prioritizing drilling in zones with optimal reservoir properties, as identified through PCA. These zones are likely to have higher porosity, permeability, and lower water saturation, we also recommend Considering implementing suitable enhanced oil recovery techniques, such as waterflooding, polymer flooding, or gas injection, to improve recovery factors, especially in low-permeability zones. Finally, we recommend implementing a robust monitoring system to track reservoir performance and adjust production strategies as needed. This may involve real-time monitoring of pressure, temperature, and flow rates. These recommendations, can significantly enhance hydrocarbon recovery from unit IV-3, maximizing economic benefits, while minimizing environmental impact. This study demonstrates the practical application of PCA in reservoir characterization and provides valuable insights for optimizing field development and production strategies in the Illizi Basin.

为了优化Illizi盆地的油气采收率,需要对油藏进行精确的描述。传统方法在有效处理多口井的大型数据集方面面临挑战。本文采用主成分分析(PCA)方法,分别对位于储层北部、中部和南部的P8、P4和P6井的IV-3、IV-1b和IV-1a储层进行了岩石物性评价。PCA在保留原始信息的基础上降低了数据的维数,便于对储层的地质沉积特征进行分析。结果表明,IV-3单元在所有井中具有最高的平均孔隙度(平均净孔隙度)和最低的平均含水饱和度(平均PAY log sw),表明具有巨大的油气生产潜力。而单元IV-1b和单元IV-1a含水饱和度较高,表明其油气开采条件较差。IV-3单元岩石物性与含水饱和度呈显著负相关,突出了其油气生产潜力。PCA相关圈说明了这些关系,其中单元IV-3以烃类饱和度为主,单元IV-1b为混合饱和度,而单元IV-1a以高含水饱和度为特征。这些结果证明了主成分分析在指导伊里兹盆地油气资源管理和开发策略方面的有效性;因此,我们建议优先在通过PCA确定的具有最佳储层性质的区域进行钻井。这些层可能具有更高的孔隙度、渗透率和更低的含水饱和度,我们还建议考虑采用合适的提高采收率技术,如水驱、聚合物驱或注气,以提高采收率,特别是在低渗透层。最后,我们建议实施一个强大的监测系统来跟踪油藏的动态,并根据需要调整生产策略。这可能包括实时监测压力、温度和流量。这些建议可以显著提高IV-3单元的油气采收率,实现经济效益最大化,同时最大限度地减少对环境的影响。该研究展示了PCA在储层表征中的实际应用,为优化Illizi盆地的油田开发和生产策略提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Class Label Representativeness in Machine Learning-Based Mineral Prospectivity Mapping 基于机器学习的矿物远景图分类标记代表性研究
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-05-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11053-025-10468-z
Mohammad Parsa, Renato Cumani

Mineral prospectivity mapping (MPM) can be deemed a binary classification task, with classifiers trained and validated on labels indicating the presence or absence of the targeted mineralized zones. Using economically viable mineral deposits as positive labels could, in theory, yield prospectivity models with geometallurgical reliability, thereby aiding land management and decision-making. The inherent scarcity of economically viable deposits, however, ultimately affects MPM products. The positive class label, therefore, often requires augmentation with either mineral occurrences (i.e., mineralized sites lacking economic viability) or synthetically generated labels. This paper examines how augmented positive labels and different negative label selection procedures geospatially represent economically viable mineral deposits and affect deep learning-based MPM’s classification performance and its spatial selectivity (i.e., MPM’s capability to efficiently narrow the exploration search space). To achieve this objective, large ensembles of deep learning classifiers were trained and validated with diverse combinations of positive and negative labels. Two positive class label sets were created by augmenting mineral deposits with either synthetic labels, generated using generative adversarial networks, or mineral occurrences, paired with distinct negative label sets selected based on (1) locations distant from known mineral deposits, (2) areas geospatially dissimilar to known mineral deposits, and (3) mineralized areas unrelated to the targeted style of mineralization, resulting in six unique class configurations. This study ultimately provides insights into how different label sets affect MPM's classification performance and spatial selectivity. The results indicate that selecting negative class labels from geospatially different localities enhances classification performance and MPM's spatial selectivity compared to other negative label selection procedures.

矿产远景图(MPM)可以被视为一项二元分类任务,分类器在指示目标矿化带存在或不存在的标签上进行训练和验证。从理论上讲,使用经济上可行的矿藏作为积极标签可以产生具有地质冶金可靠性的前景模型,从而有助于土地管理和决策。然而,经济上可行的矿床的固有稀缺性最终影响了MPM产品。因此,积极的分类标签通常需要增加矿物出现(即缺乏经济可行性的矿化地点)或合成生成的标签。本文研究了增强的正标签和不同的负标签选择程序如何在地理空间上代表经济上可行的矿床,并影响基于深度学习的MPM的分类性能和空间选择性(即MPM有效缩小勘探搜索空间的能力)。为了实现这一目标,深度学习分类器的大集合被训练并使用不同的正标签和负标签组合进行验证。通过使用生成对抗网络生成的合成标签或矿位来增加矿床,创建了两个正分类标签集,并根据(1)远离已知矿床的位置,(2)地理空间上与已知矿床不同的区域,以及(3)与目标矿化风格无关的矿化区域选择了不同的负分类标签集,从而产生了六个独特的分类配置。本研究最终提供了不同标签集如何影响MPM分类性能和空间选择性的见解。结果表明,与其他负类标签选择方法相比,从地理空间不同的位置选择负类标签提高了分类性能和空间选择性。
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引用次数: 0
Discriminating Deposit and Mineralization Types Using Major Elements and Fluorine in Mica: A Machine Learning Approach 利用云母中主要元素和氟判别矿床和矿化类型:一种机器学习方法
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-04-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11053-025-10498-7
Ziqi Hu, Dexian Zhang, Shaowei Chen, Hao Xu, Shuishi Zeng, Junzhe Kou

Machine learning (ML) is increasingly being used in geosciences for complex classification tasks. Mica minerals are commonly found in deposits of precious metals, rare metals, and rare earth elements, including tungsten, tin, lithium, and copper, among others. These minerals can provide insights into the formation environment and age of various deposits. While ML has been applied mainly for optical recognition and compositional analysis of mica, its use for classification of deposit types and mineralization types remains underexplored. This study aimed to fill this gap by developing a stacking multi-classification model, which integrates multiple ML algorithms, and logistic regression as the meta-model. Trained with a dataset of 3479 and 4005 mica major element compositions, both models achieved 0.99 accuracy on the test set. Precision, recall, and F1-scores were all reported at 0.99, indicating excellent classification performance. Feature importance analysis revealed that elements such as F, MgO, FeO, MnO, and Al2O3 are crucial for classification, reflecting distinct geological conditions across different types of ore deposits. Copper and gold deposits typically form around 700 °C under high oxygen fugacity and low fluorine fugacity, while W and Sn deposits form in the temperature range of 600–700 °C with varying oxygen fugacity. Lithium and beryllium deposits form at temperatures ranging 500–650 °C, exhibiting moderate oxygen fugacity and a wide range of fluorine fugacity. This paper presents a robust model for classifying deposit types and mineralization types based on mica composition and emphasizes the strong link between ML outcomes and geological characteristics.

机器学习(ML)在地球科学中越来越多地用于复杂的分类任务。云母矿物通常存在于贵金属、稀有金属和稀土元素的矿床中,包括钨、锡、锂和铜等。这些矿物可以帮助我们了解各种矿床的形成环境和年龄。虽然ML主要应用于云母的光学识别和成分分析,但在矿床类型和成矿类型分类方面的应用尚未得到充分探索。本研究旨在通过开发一个堆叠多分类模型来填补这一空白,该模型集成了多种机器学习算法,并将逻辑回归作为元模型。使用3479和4005个云母主元素组成数据集进行训练,两种模型在测试集上的准确率均达到0.99。准确率、召回率和f1得分均为0.99,表明分类性能优异。特征重要性分析表明,F、MgO、FeO、MnO和Al2O3等元素对分类至关重要,反映了不同类型矿床不同的地质条件。铜、金矿床一般在700℃左右形成,具有高氧逸度和低氟逸度特征,而W、Sn矿床一般在600 ~ 700℃形成,具有不同的氧逸度特征。锂和铍在500-650℃的温度下形成,表现出适度的氧逸度和广泛的氟逸度。本文提出了一个基于云母成分划分矿床类型和成矿类型的稳健模型,并强调了ML结果与地质特征之间的紧密联系。
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引用次数: 0
Application of GA/PSO Metaheuristic Algorithms Coupled with Deep Neural Networks for Predicting the Fracability Index of Shale Gas Formations GA/PSO元启发式算法结合深度神经网络在页岩气可压性指标预测中的应用
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-04-29 DOI: 10.1007/s11053-025-10495-w
Mbula Ngoy Nadege, Biao Shu, Meshac B. Ngungu, Mutangala Emmanuel Arthur, Kouassi Verena Dominique

Shale gas reserves represent a significant source of natural gas, but unlocking their full potential depends on effective hydraulic fracturing. This research investigates the application of machine learning (ML) techniques to predict fracability index (FI), offering a faster and more cost-effective alternative to traditional experimental methods. Focusing on the Upper Ordovician Wufeng to Lower Silurian Longmaxi Formation in the Weiyuan shale gas field, Sichuan Basin, China, this study employed deep neural networks that integrate two metaheuristic algorithms—genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO)—with the back-propagation technique. These combined algorithms—termed GABPNN and PSOBPNN—were utilized to predict the FI. Model performance was assessed using three metrics: R2, RMSE, and MAE. The GABPNN achieved R2, RMSE, and MAE of 0.97531, 0.024754, and 0.0042875, respectively, while the PSOBPNN yielded values of 0.97494, 0.024938, and 0.0048962, respectively. Notably, when predicting FI values for the test well, the PSOBPNN model attained a R2 of 0.99848, and the GABPNN model achieved a R2 of 0.9993, indicating exceptional predictive accuracy. Both models demonstrated nearly perfect prediction accuracy for FI in the testing dataset, underscored by their high R2 values. Importantly, the GABPNN model exhibited superior capability in mitigating overfitting, a common challenge in ML applications. Overall, the GABPNN and PSOBPNN models offer effective alternatives for assessing the fracability of shale gas reservoirs. By facilitating the identification of sweet spots for fracturing, these ML-based approaches have the potential to optimize operations in shale gas reservoirs.

页岩气储量是天然气的重要来源,但能否充分释放其潜力取决于有效的水力压裂技术。本研究探讨了机器学习(ML)技术在预测可破碎性指数(FI)中的应用,为传统实验方法提供了一种更快、更经济的替代方案。以四川盆地威远页岩气田上奥陶统五峰组至下志留统龙马溪组为研究对象,采用融合遗传算法(GA)和粒子群算法(PSO)两种元启发式算法和反向传播技术的深度神经网络。这些组合算法-称为GABPNN和psobpnn -被用来预测FI。使用三个指标评估模型性能:R2、RMSE和MAE。GABPNN的R2、RMSE和MAE分别为0.97531、0.024754和0.0042875,PSOBPNN的R2、RMSE和MAE分别为0.97494、0.024938和0.0048962。值得注意的是,在预测测试井的FI值时,PSOBPNN模型的R2为0.99848,GABPNN模型的R2为0.9993,表明了出色的预测精度。这两种模型在测试数据集中都显示出近乎完美的FI预测精度,其高R2值突出了这一点。重要的是,GABPNN模型在缓解过拟合方面表现出了卓越的能力,这是ML应用中常见的挑战。总的来说,GABPNN和PSOBPNN模型为评估页岩气储层的可压性提供了有效的替代方法。通过方便地识别压裂的最佳位置,这些基于ml的方法有可能优化页岩气藏的作业。
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引用次数: 0
Molecular Insights into the Occurrence Characteristics of Water and Methane in Nano-Slit Pores of Illite 伊利石纳米裂隙孔隙中水和甲烷赋存特征的分子研究
IF 5.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-04-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11053-025-10493-y
Tingting Yin, Qian Li, Junqian Li, Dameng Liu, Yidong Cai, Junjian Zhang, Zhentao Dong

Handling the micro-occurrence mechanisms of fluids is vital for the exploitation of shale gas. As the research hotspots shift towards the deep strata, the gas storage and transport capacity in shale relies to a great extent on the nanostructure. In this work, the grand canonical Monte Carlo and molecular dynamics simulations were performed to systematically study the adsorption and diffusion behaviors of water and methane in illite pores of marine shale. We aimed at providing a molecule-level insight into the thermodynamic and kinetic properties of fluids. The results demonstrate that water molecules tend to form two adsorption layers on each side of the illite surface in micropores. Specifically, the adsorbates are preferentially distributed between K+ and adsorbed above the tetrahedral silicon oxide layer through the hydrogen bonds. With the addition of methane in the system, the second adsorption layers of water disappear. Meanwhile, the density of free water at the pore center decreases and displays some small fluctuations. The variation in burial depth is mainly manifested by the controlling effects of temperature on the fluids. In general, it is manifested as a decrease in the adsorption capacity and an increase in the diffusion ability under the deep geological conditions. In this paper, the molecular dynamics simulation is shown to be an efficient and effective tool to further improve microscopic theory of the gas–water enrichment in shale nanopores.

研究流体的微观赋存机制对页岩气的开发至关重要。随着研究热点向深层转移,页岩储气输运能力在很大程度上依赖于纳米结构。本文采用大正则蒙特卡罗模拟和分子动力学模拟方法,系统研究了水和甲烷在海相页岩伊利石孔隙中的吸附和扩散行为。我们的目标是在分子水平上深入了解流体的热力学和动力学性质。结果表明,水分子倾向于在微孔中伊利石表面两侧形成两层吸附层。具体来说,吸附物优先分布在K+之间,并通过氢键吸附在四面体氧化硅层上方。随着系统中甲烷的加入,水的第二层吸附层消失。同时,孔隙中心的自由水密度减小,呈现出一些小的波动。埋深的变化主要表现为温度对流体的控制作用。总的来说,在深部地质条件下表现为吸附能力降低,扩散能力增强。分子动力学模拟是进一步完善页岩纳米孔气水富集微观理论的有效工具。
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Natural Resources Research
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